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ADVISORY SERVICES Six Sigma Green Belt Training Program
Prelude to Six Sigma Expectations form the Organization
Drivers of Project Selection Voice Of  The Employee Business Big Y s   Process Ys Y Y Y Y Project Y X 1 Any parameters that influence the Y Bigger Ys Keep an Outside - In perspective Strong Linkage between Projects & Big Ys is Important Key project metric d efined  from the customer perspective Key output metrics that  summarize process  performance Key output metrics that are  aligned with the strategic  goals / objectives of the business.  Big Ys provide a direct measure  of business performance X 2 X 3 Voice Of  The Customer Voice Of  The Shareholder
Gather VOC ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Customers Requirements determines quantifiable Process Metrics “CTQ’ Identify customer segments that need to be targeted Gather verbatim VOC &  Determine Service Quality Issue  Translate to needs statement & develop a CTQ -  Project Y metric output  characteristic
Gather VOC ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Identify customer segments that need to be targeted Gather verbatim VOC &  Determine Service Quality Issue  Translate to needs statement & develop a CTQ -  Project Y metric output  characteristic
Affinity Diagram – Credit Card Example Organize VOC into broad categories Low Interest Rate Variable Terms Pay Back When I Want No Prepayment Penalties/ Charges Pre-Approved Credit Easy Application Easy Access To Capital Quick Decision Know Status Of Loan (Post- Approval) Will Come To My Facility Available Outside Normal Business Hours Available When I Need To Talk Responsive To My Calls Knowledgeable Reps Professional Make Me Feel Comfortable Patient During Process Knows About My Finances Knows About My Business Makes Finance Suggestions Talk To One Person Friendly Cares About My Business Has Access To Experts Provides Answers To Questions Calls If Problems Arise All Charges Clearly Stated Know Status Of Loan During Application Preference If Bank Customer Can Apply Over Phone Verbatim VOC High-Level Needs Flexible  Product Easy   Process Availability Personal Interface Advice/  Consulting
Translating VOC into CTQ’s Identify customer segments that need to be targeted Gather verbatim VOC &  Determine Service Quality Issue  Translate to needs statement & develop a CTQ -  Project Y metric output  characteristic VOC CTQs Customers Requirements determines quantifiable Process Metrics “CTQ’
Example: Translating VOC to CTQ’s What gets measured gets managed… ensure measurable CTQs “  You take too much time in getting back to me!” “  These forms are too cumbersome!” - Quick Response - User Friendly Forms - Process Turn Around Time not more than 10 min. - Form < 2 pages & < 10 minutes to complete Validate CTQ with customer Verbatim Specific Needs CTQs
Identify “Must Be’s” affecting CTQ’s PROJECT CTQ COMPLIANCE BUSINESS   PROCESS EFFECTIVENESS INTEGRITY OF COMMUNICATIONS CONTROLLERSHIP & BUSINESS STRATEGY EMPLOYEES CUSTOMERS INTERNAL UPSTREAM /  DOWNSTREAM CUSTOMERS COST   &   COMPETITORS SHAREHOLDERS  &
Prioritizing CTQ’s – Kano Model Kano Model helps to prioritize our efforts towards satisfying customers Satisfaction + Dissatisfaction One-Dimensional Delighters Must Be Innovation Competitive Priority Critical Priority Functional Dysfunctional Safe arrival Accurate booking Baggage arrives with passenger 99% system uptime Seat comfort Quality of refreshments Friendliness of staff Baggage speed On-Time arrival Free upgrades Individual movies and games Special staff attention/services Computer plug-ins (power sources)
Prioritizing CTQ’s - Kano Model ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Prioritization of Six Sigma Projects ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Projects can focus on Hard Gains or Soft gains
Work out session –  Identify area of improvement
Contents Define Customer Expectations of the process? Measure What is the frequency of defects? Analyze Why, Where & When do defects occur? Improve How can we fix the Process?  Control How can we keep the process fixed?
Define Customer Expectations of the Organization
Contents - Define CHARTER DETERMINE THE PROJECT CTQs Business Case Problem & Goal Statement Project Scope Milestones Roles & Responsibility Identify your customers Gather “VOC” Organize VOCs Prioritize VOCs  Translate VOC to CTQs MAP THE PROCESS Process Operational Definition Benefits of Process Mapping SIPOC Model Levels of Mapping Mapping Guidelines DEFINE THE PROJECT In-Frame/Out-Frame 15 Word Flip Chart Backward Imaging Deliverables:  CTQs Identified  Charter  SIPOC 1 2 3 4
Charter ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Sample Project Charter
Sample Project Charter CTQ:  Accuracy
Elements of a Project Charter Business Case /  Benefits Problem  /  Opportunity Statement Goal   Statement Project   Scope Milestone /  Project Plan Resources /  Team Members Roles Business Big Ys Process Ys Does project “Y” link to business Y’s? The problem statement is a description of what  is wrong & where? (quantify - % / $$$) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],What is the improvement team seeking to achieve? What is & what is not included? What are the  boundaries? In scope/ out scope? Key Milestones /  Timelines / Detailed Plan Who are the key resources ? What will be the roles of BB’s /  GB’s / Sponsor / MBB’s
Project Scope ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
In Frame / Out Frame - Project Scoping Tool ,[object Object]
Process Definition & Elements ,[object Object],“ The Business Process” Supplier(s ) Customer(s) Inputs Outputs
Process Mapping & Benefits Measures P S I O C Process Map Suppliers Inputs Process Outputs Customers CTQs CTQs Measures
Process Mapping & Benefits ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Levels of Process Mapping Core Process (Level I) Subprocesses (Level 2) Subprocesses  (Level 3) Exports Imports Negotiation Microprocesses (Level 4 & Below) Credit Ops Messaging Payments Payments Collections Trades Billing
Process Mapping Guidelines ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Suppliers Customers Inputs Outputs CTQs Process
G.R.P.I ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
G.R.P.I ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
G.R.P.I ,[object Object],[object Object]
G.R.P.I
Great Project ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Project Selection ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Project Selection ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Define Deliverables ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Work out session –  Create a Project Charter
Key Learning Points and Summary
Measure Quantification of problem and causes
Measure Deliverables:  Data Collection Plan MSA Results Data Plots VARIATION SELECT PROJECT Y Display & Describe Variation Causes of Variation Run Chart Bar Chart Normal Curve Measures CTQ Prioritization  Types of Data Fishbone Diagram DEVELOP DATA COLLECTION PLAN 1 2 Establish Data collection Plan Define Operational Definitions Define Sampling Procedures Measurement System Analysis 3
Select Project Y Essential to validate the linkage between Project CTQ, Process CTQs & Big Ys VOC CTQs Process CTQs/ Process Metrics Big ‘Y’s Project CTQ/ Project Ys Retention Rate Employer of Choice Attrition % Example :
Select Project Y ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Understanding Measures ,[object Object],Classification of Measures Based on SIPOC Based on Focus Based on Statistics ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Based on SIPOC Y = f(X 1 ,   X 2 ,   X 3 ………………….   X n ) Output Y is a function of various Inputs and Process Steps  Measures can be classified as Input, Process or Output Measures Garbage in Garbage out How good is my process Accurate?? Timely?? INPUT PROCESS OUTPUT Productive??
Based on SIPOC ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Based on Focus ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Effectiveness Efficiency Measures for looking at Process Performance The amount of resources allocated in meeting and exceeding customer CTQs The degree to which customer CTQs are met and exceeded Customer   Focussed Process   Focussed
Based on Statistics Binary Ordered categories Count Classified into one of two categories Rankings or ratings Counted discretely Measured on a continuous  scale Is this group ready to travel 100 km daily to  reach office Yes or No  Decision of Group Description Example Discrete Continuous Continuum of Data Types Classification of the group into  categories based on distance each travels daily to reach office Categories : (0 - 2 Kms) (2- 5 Kms) (5-10 Kms) (10-20 Kms) (20-50 Kms) (50-100 Kms) Number of people  who have come late today Actual distance traveled by each in this group measured in Kms
Exercise – Type of Data ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Based on Statistics ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Must be for “Measures” ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Cause & Effect Diagram Why do we have Late  Processing Creation of Bank ID, Cust ID Bunching of Documents Printer Problem Awaiting Memo Replies (Clarifications) Late Scanning & Receipt Forced Priority of deals Lack of Typing Skill Lack of Training Program  for new recruits Fear of committing errors Availability of Imex for  long hours Alternations of Errors making in previous steps Instns not clear  Handwriting not legible Printing not clear Learning Curve To many amendments To many deals held  with same person Complicated Deals Linked Deals not getting released on time Absenteeism Bank Profile with  wrong Swift IDs Full doc not  scanned Correction   of errors in previous deal Delays current deall Changes made in operational data Changes in Bill  category  by Spoke Man Material Machine Measurement Mother nature Method High Level Prompters to help generate possible causes Write the effect here Write the possible  causes here Or use 4 P’s
Cause & Effect Diagram ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Menu Pull-Down Sequence in Minitab
Data Collection Plan ,[object Object],Pilot Collection and Validation Plan Train Data Collectors Monitor and Improvise Develop Measurement System Analysis Test and Validate Formulate Data Collection Plan Sampling Strategy Pilot Data Collection Plan Identify Measure Define Operational Definitions What Data to be collected Word of Caution : Wrong Data Leads to Wrong Conclusions Why collect Data? What to Collect ? How to Collect? Ensure Consistency & Stability Collect Data
Data Collection Plan ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Template -  Data Collection Plan ,[object Object],[object Object]
Work out session –   Complete till Fish Bone and Data Collection in the project
Sampling ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Sampling ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Sampling ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Types of Sampling ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Random / Probability Non Random/Judgmental Types of Sampling All items in the population have an equal chance of getting selected The groups knowledge and opinions are used to identify items from the population
Approaches for Sampling ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],What do you want to study…….the Process or the Output??? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Process Data Population Data
Approaches for Sampling ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Approaches for Sampling Process  Systematic Sampling Population Rational Sub-grouping Random Sampling Stratified Random Sampling
Approaches for Sampling ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Rational Subgrouping ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],12noon to 12.20pm 12.45pm to 1pm 1.20pm to 1.45pm Subgroup of samples The Process Sample
Rational Subgrouping ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Sampling Bias ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Determining the Sample Size ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Sample Size is not dependent on the “Population Size”
Sample Size for Continuous Data ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],The Six Sigma Team can thus infer that the mean for the population lies within m  ±  with 95% confidence - For service industry purposes we will use 95% confidence Interval What do we infer?? The measured value can lie between these  limits Target Value
Sample Size for Discrete Data ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],The Six Sigma Team can thus infer that the population proportion defective lies between  p ±  with 95% confidence Proportion Defective -  Proportion Defective + Proportion Defective What do we infer?? The measured value can lie between these  limits
Measurement System Analysis (MSA) TOTAL VARIANCE Apparent variation = Process variation + Measurement variation Double Challenge: Reduce variation in both processes!
Terms of MSA ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Measures the differences between Observed average measurement against a Standard Measures variation when one Operator repeatedly takes the measurements of the same unit with the same measuring equipment Measures variation when various Operators measure the same unit with the same measuring equipment
GRR Example
GRR Example
GRR Example
GRR Example
Analyzing GRR Results ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
AAA - Example
AAA - Example
AAA - Example
Analyzing AAA Results ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Analyzing AAA Results ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Analyzing AAA Results ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Work out session –  Measurement System Analysis
Tools Displaying Data Variation Discrete Data Continuous  Data x Frequency Diagram Box Plot Histogram Run Chart Pie Chart Bar Chart  For a period of Time Over a period of Time
Characteristics of Data ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Characteristics of “data” Central Tendency Dispersion (Variation)
Central Tendency ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],x Median is not  affected by  the presence  of extreme  values
Dispersion ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],s
Normal Curve ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Histogram showing the  Number of times ‘55’  has occurred in the data  Normal Curve generated  by the Minitab Software  for curve-fitting Menu Pull-Down  Sequence in Minitab
Normal Curve ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],68.26% 95.46% 99.73% 34.13%  34.13% 13.60%    13.60% 2.14%  2.14% 0.13%  0.13% -3s  -2s  -1s  0  +1s  +2s  +3s Percentage of Data  getting covered under the curve
Normality Plot ,[object Object],[object Object],The minitab output of normality plot for a data set Menu Pull-Down  Sequence in Minitab   ‘ P-Value’  Determines the normality of the data
Normal Probability Plot 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Frequency Bimodal Distribution Bimodal curve Normal Probability Plot for an Exponential Distribution 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 0 10 20 Exponential Distribution Frequency Exponential  Curve 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Frequency Long Tailed Distribution Percent Normal Probability Plot For  Long-Tailed Distribution 0 10 20 30 1 5 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 95 99 “ S” curve Normal Probability Plot for a Normal Distribution Roughly Normal Distribution Straight Line 0 10 20 30 1 5 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 95 99 Percent Normal Probability Plot for a Bimodal Distribution Percent
Types of Distribution ,[object Object],12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Frequency Roughly Normal Distribution 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Frequency Bimodal Distribution 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 0 10 20 Exponential Distribution Frequency
Quartile Value ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Q1 Q3
Stability Factor ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],0 More Variation Less Variation 1 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 <1 More Variation Q1 Q3 1 Less Variation
Box Plot Box Plot is another tool to visually display process dispersion  Highest Value Third Quartile (75%) value Lowest Value First Quartile (25%) value Median * Each segment  represents  25% of the  data points Outlier * *
Box Plot ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Descriptive Statistics ,[object Object],[object Object],Menu Pull-Down  Sequence in Minitab
Run Chart ,[object Object],[object Object],Time Median Parameter
Patterns Observed in Run Charts Shift / Mixtures Trend Same Value / Clusters Cycle / Oscillation
Run Charts
Run Charts
Causes of Variations ,[object Object],Common Cause Special Cause Type of Variation Characteristics Inherent to the process Expected Predictable Normal Random Not Always Present   Unexpected Unpredictable Not Normal Not Random Characteristics
Analyze Confer the assumption
Analyze Deliverables:   Process Sigma  Verified Root Causes  Estimate of Benefit QUANTIFY THE OPPORTUNITY IDENTIFY   POSSIBLE   CAUSES Determine the quantum of  Benefits from Root Causes Segmentation & Stratification Sub-process Mapping Process Map Analysis Graphical Analysis Tools Work Value Analysis MUDA/MURI NARROW   TO ROOT CAUSES ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],2 3 4 PROCESS   CAPABILITY Base lining  DPMO/DPU Cp/Cpk Calculate Sigma 1
Rolled Throughput Yield Final Yield (FY) Yield at the end of the process excluding scrap Final Yield, FY = U/S = Units Passed/Units Submitted FY = (100-30)/100 = .70 or 70% Step 1 Step 2 Step 3 70 Units 100 Units 10 Units 10 Units 10 Units Scrap
Rolled Throughput Yield Final Yield Ignores the Hidden Factory Step 1 Step 2 Step 3 70 Units 100 Units 10 Units 10 Units 10 Units Scrap  Rework 10 Units 10 Units 10 Units HIDDEN FACTORY
Rolled Throughput Yield Classical Yield Ignores the Role of Hidden Factory Operation Verify Product Rework HIDDEN FACTORY Scrap
Rolled Throughput Yield Rolled Throughput Yield (RTY) Step 1 Step 2 Step 3 100 Units 10 Units 10 Units 10 Units Scrap  Rework 10 Units 10 Units 10 Units HIDDEN FACTORY Product of Throughput Yields across the entire process 90 Units 80 Units =  30 Units =  30 Units FTY 90 % FTY 88.9 % FTY 87.5 % =  100 Units FTY 70 % TPY 80 % TPY 77.8 % TPY 75.0 % RTY .80 RTY .778  RTY .75 =  46.7 % X X Probability of  Zero Defects
Rolled Throughput Yield ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Rolled Throughput Yield (RTY) Step 1 Step 2 Step 3 100 Units 10 Units 10 Units 10 Units Scrap  Rework 10 Units 10 Units 10 Units HIDDEN FACTORY Product of Throughput Yields across the entire process 90 Units 80 Units =  30 Units =  30 Units FTY 90 % FTY 88.9 % FTY 87.5 % =  100 Units FTY 70 % TPY 80 % TPY 77.8 % TPY 75.0 % RTY .80 RTY .778  RTY .75 =  46.7 % X X Probability of  Zero Defects
Sigma Calculation Process Sigma  (Z ST) Defects Per Million Opportunities (DPMO) 6  99.99966% 3.4 5  99.9770% 230 4  99.3790% 6,210 3  93.320% 66,800 2  69.20% 308,000 Defects in the Process defects w.r.t performance standards Percentage
Common Terms ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Sigma Calculation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],D N * O D N * O x  1,000,000
Abridged Sigma Table
How to improve the process performance ,[object Object],Six Sigma Challenge…. Center Mean and/or Reduce variation  Are we missing on achieving the Target Mean?? Is the problem around the variations…?? OR
The Statistical Problem ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],USL LSL USL LSL
Process Capability ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Menu Pull-Down Sequence in Minitab
Process Capability ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Upper Spec Limit Lower Spec Limit +1 +2 +3 -1 -2 -3 C p <1 C p =1 C p >1
Other Indices ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],But we can definitely estimate the process capability in terms of centricity…... or
Control Impact Matrix ,[object Object],HIGH LOW IMPACT IN OUR CONTROL LOW HIGH The Difficult Piece… Use Change Management Strategy Why wait…??? Just Do it Target it now !!! Check the effort vis a vis the results
Control Impact Matrix ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Segmentation and Stratification ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Segmentation Tools ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Pie Charts Bar   Charts
Pareto Chart Approximately 80% of Defects from Defects D+B+F. 80 % of the effect on Y is caused by 20 % of the factors (X).   Frequency Cumulative Percentage 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 Number Of Units Investigated: 8,000 April 1 – June 30 D B F A C E Other 0 2 0 4 0 6 0 8 0 1 0 0 1 2 0 1 4 0 1 6 0 1 8 0 2 0 0 Type of Defect Cumulative Summation Line (Cum Sum line) *f = frequency f* of D f* of D+B f* of D+B+F A:  Typographical Errors B:  Incomplete Info C:  Sign not verified D:  Illegible  E : Process understanding F:  Poor Scan Quality LEGEND
Pareto Chart ,[object Object],[object Object]
Pareto Chart ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Process Mapping ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Process Mapping ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Sub Process Mapping ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Suppliers S (ext.) Customers (int.) Cust. Service Dept. C Tasks Procedures
Sub Process Mapping ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Examples: Sub Process Mapping ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],No Yes Planning for a party Determine Party Size Find Location Invite Guests 1.0 2.0 3.0 Decide on Budget Decide Theme Complete Invitations Decide on Guest list Select Location Send Invitations 1.1 2.1 3.1 1.2 2.2 3.2 Dept 1  Dept 2  Dept No Creates List Writes  invitation Yes Is the  Guest List  covered Sends out  the invitation Completes  List Invitation task  completed
LEAN ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Types of Waste Type of waste Example Complexity Unnecessary steps, excessive documentation, too may permission needed Labor In efficient operations, excess head count Overproduction Producing more than the customer demands. Producing before the customer needs it Space Storage for inventory, parts awaiting disposition, parts awaiting rework and scrap storage. Excessively wide aisles. Other wasted space Energy Wasted power or human energy Defects Repair, rework, repeated service, multiple calls to resolve problems Materials Scrap, ordering more than is needed Idle materials Material that just sits, inventory Time Waste of time Transportation Movement that adds no value Safety Hazards Unsafe or accident-prone environments
Work Value Analysis ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],VALUE ADDED WORK NON VALUE ADDED WORK ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],VALUE ENABLING WORK ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Work Value Analysis ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Cycle Time Analysis ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Movement of the goods Processing Movement Processing Output waiting to be shipped The entire process is taking 1.5 days……can we reduce the TAT?? 5 hrs 2 hrs 4 hrs 4 hrs 4 hrs
Cycle Time Constituents Process Time + Delay Time = Total Cycle Time Where & Why are we spending the highest time?? What kind of activities are these…. VA / NVA / VE?? Why should we retain activities which are NVA and contributing to total TAT??? Process Step 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 TOTAL % TOTAL % STEPS Time Taken 1 120 15 120 3 180 7 1 120 5 10 15 90 15 120 2 120 5 8 957 100 %
Process Flow Analysis Looking at the process together…..work flow & value analysis Process Step 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 Total % Total % Steps Est. Avg. Time (Mins) 1 120 15 120 3 180 7 1 120 5 10 15 90 15 120 2 120 5 8 957 100%   Value-Added                                       48 5%   Nonvalue-Added                                             -  Internal Failure                                       180 18.80%   -  External Failure                                             - Control/ Inspection                                       8 0.80%   - Delay                                       690 72.10%   - Prep/Set-Up                                             - Move                                       30 3.10%   - Value-Enabling                                       1 0.10%   Total 957 100%  
Process Flow Analysis ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Hypothesis Testing ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Hypothesis Testing ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Types of Hypothesis Testing ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Normal Data A N O V A 1- Sample t Test 2- Sample t Test Regression Chi-Square Test
Hypothesis Testing ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Hypothesis Testing ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Hypothesis Testing of Mean - Roadmap ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],1 Sample t-Test Yes Regression Topics No Yes Are  Xs  Discrete? Are Ys  Continuous? Comparing  only 2  Groups ? Yes, Y Is Continuous Yes No, Y Is Discrete No, Multiple Groups  2  (Chi Square) ANOVA No Are  You  Comparing To  A Standard? 2 Sample t-Test
Minitab Directions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Stat>Basic  Statistics>2 Sample t. Stat>Basic Statistics > 1-Sample t Stat>ANOVA Stat > Tables > Chi-Square Test
T-test: An example ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],A  brand Bulbs B  brand Bulbs
One Sample t Test
One Sample t Test
Homogeneity of Variance
Homogeneity of Variance
Two sample t test
Two sample t test
ANNOVA
Chi Square Test – An example ,[object Object],Since p value is less than 0.05 we Reject Null Hypothesis. The processes are significantly different Non defectives Defectives Total  609  376  985 Chi-Sq =118.547 +192.008 + 123.712 +200.374 = 634.640 DF = 1, P-Value = 0.000 ,[object Object],1 C2 503 310.99 C3 0 192.01 TOTAL 503 2 106 298.01 376 183.99 482
Chi Square
Chi Square
Chi Square
Types of Hypothesis Testing ,[object Object],Non Normal Data Kruskal-Wallis Runs Test Mann-Whitney 1-SampleSignTest  Mood's   Median   Test Chi   Square
Hypothesis Testing ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Correlation & Regression ,[object Object],[object Object]
Correlation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Scatter Diagram ,[object Object],Cycle Time (Days) (Y) Amount to be Sanctioned (X) 40 30 25 20 15 10 5 35 1K 2K 3K 4K 5K 6K 7K 8K 9K 10K
Some Scenarios For all charts: Y = Participant satisfaction (scale: 1 – worst to 100 – best) X = Trainer experience (# of hours) No Correlation Positive Correlation Strong Positive Correlation Other Pattern Negative Correlation Strong Negative Correlation 1 2 3 4 5 6
Some Scenarios ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Word of Caution Lesson learnt : Correlation doesn’t imply causation Growing Population of Human Beings Growing Population of ants
Regression ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Regression Regression Equation: Y = mX + C, where C = Predicted Value Of Y When X = 0 m= Slope Of Line Change in Y Per Unit Change in X X Y Y = mX + C Line  of  Best Fit
Forecasting and optimization are complex Come on! It can‘t go wrong every time...
Work out session –   Complete the project till choosing hypothesis & Minitab session
Quantify the Opportunity ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Key Learning Points and Summary
Improve Fix the process (es)
Improve GENERATE/SELECT SOLUTIONS REFINE SOLUTION FMEA Error Proofing Brainstorming DOE  Criteria Matrix NGT Pilot planning Verification of Results TEST SOLUTION Idea Screening Tools Cost Benefit Analysis JUSTIFY SOLUTION TRIZ Deliverables:  Solution Design  Developed Solution Tested on a small Scale  Cost Benefit Analysis
Improve - Steps Creative   Approach Refine the Idea Test the  new Idea Analytical   Approach Justify  $ Select Best Idea Brainstorming Data Analysis (DOE) Filter Error Proofing / FMEA Pilot
Design of Experiments ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Why Learn about DOE? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
What is DOE? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
DOE Terminology ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
DOE Objectives ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Strategy of Experimentation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Response Relationship to Other Tools Inputs Outputs Projector has bright light Projector is quiet Colors correct Power On Bulb life Instructor Training Computer Interface Projector Process Map Cause & Effect Diagram for Bright Light Low Bulb Brightness Measurement Person Machine Method Environment Room Brightness Instructions Light Meter Instructor Power On Computer Settings Bulb Rating of  Importance to  Customer 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Process  Inputs Bright Light Quiet Color Correct Total 1 119 2 95 3 23 4 95 5 6 7 Power on Bulb Life Instructor Computer 9 3 2 8 8 1 3 3 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 9 8 7 8 Rating of  Importance to  Customer 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Process  Inputs Bright Light Quiet Color Correct Total 1 119 2 95 3 23 4 95 5 6 7 Power on Bulb Life Instructor Computer 9 3 2 8 8 1 3 3 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 9 8 7 8 Cause & Effect Matrix
Factor Relationship to Other Tools Inputs Outputs Projector has bright light Projector is quiet Colors correct Power On Bulb life Instructor Training Computer Interface Projector Process Map Cause & Effect Diagram for Bright Light Low Bulb Brightness Measurement Person Machine Method Environment Room Brightness Instructions Light Meter Instructor Power On Computer Settings Bulb Rating of  Importance to  Customer 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Process  Inputs Bright Light Quiet Color Correct Total 1 119 2 95 3 23 4 95 5 6 7 Power on Bulb Life Instructor Computer 9 3 2 8 8 1 3 3 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 9 8 7 8 Rating of  Importance to  Customer 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Process  Inputs Bright Light Quiet Color Correct Total 1 119 2 95 3 23 4 95 5 6 7 Power on Bulb Life Instructor Computer 9 3 2 8 8 1 3 3 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 9 8 7 8 Cause & Effect Matrix
Experimental Design Considerations Experimental Design Types Experimental Objective Full Factorial (replication) RSM (Response Surface Method) Optimize Model Fractional Designs OFAT (One Factor at a Time) 2 k  Full Factorial Screen 2 k  Full Factorial ( w center points/replication) Few Many KPIV’s Less More KNOWLEDGE Less More COST
Factors and the Process DOE can be applied to both business and industrial processes  Y: Accounts Receivable Hold Business  Process Manufacturing  Process Y: Scrap Reduction X 1  Temp  X 2  Press X 3  Time X 1  Price X 2  PO X 3  Terms
Coding Three Factors Low-1 High+1 Press = 2 Temp = 10 Resin = 56 Press = 10 Temp = 125 Resin = 3560 -1 +1 press -1 +1 temp resin +1 Coding convention often uses “+” for high and “-” for low
TRIZ – Theory of Inventive Problem Solving ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
TRIZ – Key Concepts ,[object Object],[object Object]
TRIZ – Key Concepts ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
TRIZ – Key Concepts
Brainstorming Techniques ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Brainstorming Techniques ,[object Object],[object Object]
Brainstorming Principles ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Channeling / Anti Solution ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Analogy / Brain writing ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Brainstorming Techniques ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Solution Selection Pay Off Matrix Screening against “Must Be” N/3 Voting Effort Benefits L H H Solutions for further  discussions Compliance, Policies & regulations Customer CTQs Business CTQs Generate/Update  List of Solutions Combine all similar choices with consensus Allow members to choose 1/3 of the list as  choices Tally Votes for each  choice Rationalize/Justify/ Reject solutions Criteria Based Matrix ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Establish Criteria Assign  Wt. Soln. 1 Soln. 2 # of Votes Total Score:
Solution Selection ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Criteria Based Matrix ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
N G T: Nominal Group Technique What is the best method to reduce cost per transaction? Simplify Application process & consolidate Sites
Error Proofing ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
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6 Sigma

  • 1. ADVISORY SERVICES Six Sigma Green Belt Training Program
  • 2. Prelude to Six Sigma Expectations form the Organization
  • 3. Drivers of Project Selection Voice Of The Employee Business Big Y s Process Ys Y Y Y Y Project Y X 1 Any parameters that influence the Y Bigger Ys Keep an Outside - In perspective Strong Linkage between Projects & Big Ys is Important Key project metric d efined from the customer perspective Key output metrics that summarize process performance Key output metrics that are aligned with the strategic goals / objectives of the business. Big Ys provide a direct measure of business performance X 2 X 3 Voice Of The Customer Voice Of The Shareholder
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  • 6. Affinity Diagram – Credit Card Example Organize VOC into broad categories Low Interest Rate Variable Terms Pay Back When I Want No Prepayment Penalties/ Charges Pre-Approved Credit Easy Application Easy Access To Capital Quick Decision Know Status Of Loan (Post- Approval) Will Come To My Facility Available Outside Normal Business Hours Available When I Need To Talk Responsive To My Calls Knowledgeable Reps Professional Make Me Feel Comfortable Patient During Process Knows About My Finances Knows About My Business Makes Finance Suggestions Talk To One Person Friendly Cares About My Business Has Access To Experts Provides Answers To Questions Calls If Problems Arise All Charges Clearly Stated Know Status Of Loan During Application Preference If Bank Customer Can Apply Over Phone Verbatim VOC High-Level Needs Flexible Product Easy Process Availability Personal Interface Advice/ Consulting
  • 7. Translating VOC into CTQ’s Identify customer segments that need to be targeted Gather verbatim VOC & Determine Service Quality Issue Translate to needs statement & develop a CTQ - Project Y metric output characteristic VOC CTQs Customers Requirements determines quantifiable Process Metrics “CTQ’
  • 8. Example: Translating VOC to CTQ’s What gets measured gets managed… ensure measurable CTQs “ You take too much time in getting back to me!” “ These forms are too cumbersome!” - Quick Response - User Friendly Forms - Process Turn Around Time not more than 10 min. - Form < 2 pages & < 10 minutes to complete Validate CTQ with customer Verbatim Specific Needs CTQs
  • 9. Identify “Must Be’s” affecting CTQ’s PROJECT CTQ COMPLIANCE BUSINESS PROCESS EFFECTIVENESS INTEGRITY OF COMMUNICATIONS CONTROLLERSHIP & BUSINESS STRATEGY EMPLOYEES CUSTOMERS INTERNAL UPSTREAM / DOWNSTREAM CUSTOMERS COST & COMPETITORS SHAREHOLDERS &
  • 10. Prioritizing CTQ’s – Kano Model Kano Model helps to prioritize our efforts towards satisfying customers Satisfaction + Dissatisfaction One-Dimensional Delighters Must Be Innovation Competitive Priority Critical Priority Functional Dysfunctional Safe arrival Accurate booking Baggage arrives with passenger 99% system uptime Seat comfort Quality of refreshments Friendliness of staff Baggage speed On-Time arrival Free upgrades Individual movies and games Special staff attention/services Computer plug-ins (power sources)
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  • 13. Work out session – Identify area of improvement
  • 14. Contents Define Customer Expectations of the process? Measure What is the frequency of defects? Analyze Why, Where & When do defects occur? Improve How can we fix the Process? Control How can we keep the process fixed?
  • 15. Define Customer Expectations of the Organization
  • 16. Contents - Define CHARTER DETERMINE THE PROJECT CTQs Business Case Problem & Goal Statement Project Scope Milestones Roles & Responsibility Identify your customers Gather “VOC” Organize VOCs Prioritize VOCs Translate VOC to CTQs MAP THE PROCESS Process Operational Definition Benefits of Process Mapping SIPOC Model Levels of Mapping Mapping Guidelines DEFINE THE PROJECT In-Frame/Out-Frame 15 Word Flip Chart Backward Imaging Deliverables: CTQs Identified Charter SIPOC 1 2 3 4
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  • 19. Sample Project Charter CTQ: Accuracy
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  • 24. Process Mapping & Benefits Measures P S I O C Process Map Suppliers Inputs Process Outputs Customers CTQs CTQs Measures
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  • 26. Levels of Process Mapping Core Process (Level I) Subprocesses (Level 2) Subprocesses (Level 3) Exports Imports Negotiation Microprocesses (Level 4 & Below) Credit Ops Messaging Payments Payments Collections Trades Billing
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  • 36. Work out session – Create a Project Charter
  • 37. Key Learning Points and Summary
  • 38. Measure Quantification of problem and causes
  • 39. Measure Deliverables: Data Collection Plan MSA Results Data Plots VARIATION SELECT PROJECT Y Display & Describe Variation Causes of Variation Run Chart Bar Chart Normal Curve Measures CTQ Prioritization Types of Data Fishbone Diagram DEVELOP DATA COLLECTION PLAN 1 2 Establish Data collection Plan Define Operational Definitions Define Sampling Procedures Measurement System Analysis 3
  • 40. Select Project Y Essential to validate the linkage between Project CTQ, Process CTQs & Big Ys VOC CTQs Process CTQs/ Process Metrics Big ‘Y’s Project CTQ/ Project Ys Retention Rate Employer of Choice Attrition % Example :
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  • 43. Based on SIPOC Y = f(X 1 , X 2 , X 3 …………………. X n ) Output Y is a function of various Inputs and Process Steps Measures can be classified as Input, Process or Output Measures Garbage in Garbage out How good is my process Accurate?? Timely?? INPUT PROCESS OUTPUT Productive??
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  • 46. Based on Statistics Binary Ordered categories Count Classified into one of two categories Rankings or ratings Counted discretely Measured on a continuous scale Is this group ready to travel 100 km daily to reach office Yes or No Decision of Group Description Example Discrete Continuous Continuum of Data Types Classification of the group into categories based on distance each travels daily to reach office Categories : (0 - 2 Kms) (2- 5 Kms) (5-10 Kms) (10-20 Kms) (20-50 Kms) (50-100 Kms) Number of people who have come late today Actual distance traveled by each in this group measured in Kms
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  • 50. Cause & Effect Diagram Why do we have Late Processing Creation of Bank ID, Cust ID Bunching of Documents Printer Problem Awaiting Memo Replies (Clarifications) Late Scanning & Receipt Forced Priority of deals Lack of Typing Skill Lack of Training Program for new recruits Fear of committing errors Availability of Imex for long hours Alternations of Errors making in previous steps Instns not clear Handwriting not legible Printing not clear Learning Curve To many amendments To many deals held with same person Complicated Deals Linked Deals not getting released on time Absenteeism Bank Profile with wrong Swift IDs Full doc not scanned Correction of errors in previous deal Delays current deall Changes made in operational data Changes in Bill category by Spoke Man Material Machine Measurement Mother nature Method High Level Prompters to help generate possible causes Write the effect here Write the possible causes here Or use 4 P’s
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  • 55. Work out session – Complete till Fish Bone and Data Collection in the project
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  • 69. Measurement System Analysis (MSA) TOTAL VARIANCE Apparent variation = Process variation + Measurement variation Double Challenge: Reduce variation in both processes!
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  • 82. Work out session – Measurement System Analysis
  • 83. Tools Displaying Data Variation Discrete Data Continuous Data x Frequency Diagram Box Plot Histogram Run Chart Pie Chart Bar Chart For a period of Time Over a period of Time
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  • 90. Normal Probability Plot 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Frequency Bimodal Distribution Bimodal curve Normal Probability Plot for an Exponential Distribution 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 0 10 20 Exponential Distribution Frequency Exponential Curve 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Frequency Long Tailed Distribution Percent Normal Probability Plot For Long-Tailed Distribution 0 10 20 30 1 5 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 95 99 “ S” curve Normal Probability Plot for a Normal Distribution Roughly Normal Distribution Straight Line 0 10 20 30 1 5 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 95 99 Percent Normal Probability Plot for a Bimodal Distribution Percent
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  • 94. Box Plot Box Plot is another tool to visually display process dispersion Highest Value Third Quartile (75%) value Lowest Value First Quartile (25%) value Median * Each segment represents 25% of the data points Outlier * *
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  • 98. Patterns Observed in Run Charts Shift / Mixtures Trend Same Value / Clusters Cycle / Oscillation
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  • 102. Analyze Confer the assumption
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  • 104. Rolled Throughput Yield Final Yield (FY) Yield at the end of the process excluding scrap Final Yield, FY = U/S = Units Passed/Units Submitted FY = (100-30)/100 = .70 or 70% Step 1 Step 2 Step 3 70 Units 100 Units 10 Units 10 Units 10 Units Scrap
  • 105. Rolled Throughput Yield Final Yield Ignores the Hidden Factory Step 1 Step 2 Step 3 70 Units 100 Units 10 Units 10 Units 10 Units Scrap Rework 10 Units 10 Units 10 Units HIDDEN FACTORY
  • 106. Rolled Throughput Yield Classical Yield Ignores the Role of Hidden Factory Operation Verify Product Rework HIDDEN FACTORY Scrap
  • 107. Rolled Throughput Yield Rolled Throughput Yield (RTY) Step 1 Step 2 Step 3 100 Units 10 Units 10 Units 10 Units Scrap Rework 10 Units 10 Units 10 Units HIDDEN FACTORY Product of Throughput Yields across the entire process 90 Units 80 Units = 30 Units = 30 Units FTY 90 % FTY 88.9 % FTY 87.5 % = 100 Units FTY 70 % TPY 80 % TPY 77.8 % TPY 75.0 % RTY .80 RTY .778 RTY .75 = 46.7 % X X Probability of Zero Defects
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  • 109. Sigma Calculation Process Sigma (Z ST) Defects Per Million Opportunities (DPMO) 6 99.99966% 3.4 5 99.9770% 230 4 99.3790% 6,210 3 93.320% 66,800 2 69.20% 308,000 Defects in the Process defects w.r.t performance standards Percentage
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  • 122. Pareto Chart Approximately 80% of Defects from Defects D+B+F. 80 % of the effect on Y is caused by 20 % of the factors (X). Frequency Cumulative Percentage 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 Number Of Units Investigated: 8,000 April 1 – June 30 D B F A C E Other 0 2 0 4 0 6 0 8 0 1 0 0 1 2 0 1 4 0 1 6 0 1 8 0 2 0 0 Type of Defect Cumulative Summation Line (Cum Sum line) *f = frequency f* of D f* of D+B f* of D+B+F A: Typographical Errors B: Incomplete Info C: Sign not verified D: Illegible E : Process understanding F: Poor Scan Quality LEGEND
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  • 131. Types of Waste Type of waste Example Complexity Unnecessary steps, excessive documentation, too may permission needed Labor In efficient operations, excess head count Overproduction Producing more than the customer demands. Producing before the customer needs it Space Storage for inventory, parts awaiting disposition, parts awaiting rework and scrap storage. Excessively wide aisles. Other wasted space Energy Wasted power or human energy Defects Repair, rework, repeated service, multiple calls to resolve problems Materials Scrap, ordering more than is needed Idle materials Material that just sits, inventory Time Waste of time Transportation Movement that adds no value Safety Hazards Unsafe or accident-prone environments
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  • 135. Cycle Time Constituents Process Time + Delay Time = Total Cycle Time Where & Why are we spending the highest time?? What kind of activities are these…. VA / NVA / VE?? Why should we retain activities which are NVA and contributing to total TAT??? Process Step 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 TOTAL % TOTAL % STEPS Time Taken 1 120 15 120 3 180 7 1 120 5 10 15 90 15 120 2 120 5 8 957 100 %
  • 136. Process Flow Analysis Looking at the process together…..work flow & value analysis Process Step 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 Total % Total % Steps Est. Avg. Time (Mins) 1 120 15 120 3 180 7 1 120 5 10 15 90 15 120 2 120 5 8 957 100%   Value-Added                                       48 5%   Nonvalue-Added                                             - Internal Failure                                       180 18.80%   - External Failure                                             - Control/ Inspection                                       8 0.80%   - Delay                                       690 72.10%   - Prep/Set-Up                                             - Move                                       30 3.10%   - Value-Enabling                                       1 0.10%   Total 957 100%  
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  • 146. One Sample t Test
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  • 150. Two sample t test
  • 151. Two sample t test
  • 152. ANNOVA
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  • 162. Some Scenarios For all charts: Y = Participant satisfaction (scale: 1 – worst to 100 – best) X = Trainer experience (# of hours) No Correlation Positive Correlation Strong Positive Correlation Other Pattern Negative Correlation Strong Negative Correlation 1 2 3 4 5 6
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  • 164. Word of Caution Lesson learnt : Correlation doesn’t imply causation Growing Population of Human Beings Growing Population of ants
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  • 166. Regression Regression Equation: Y = mX + C, where C = Predicted Value Of Y When X = 0 m= Slope Of Line Change in Y Per Unit Change in X X Y Y = mX + C Line of Best Fit
  • 167. Forecasting and optimization are complex Come on! It can‘t go wrong every time...
  • 168. Work out session – Complete the project till choosing hypothesis & Minitab session
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  • 170. Key Learning Points and Summary
  • 171. Improve Fix the process (es)
  • 172. Improve GENERATE/SELECT SOLUTIONS REFINE SOLUTION FMEA Error Proofing Brainstorming DOE Criteria Matrix NGT Pilot planning Verification of Results TEST SOLUTION Idea Screening Tools Cost Benefit Analysis JUSTIFY SOLUTION TRIZ Deliverables: Solution Design Developed Solution Tested on a small Scale Cost Benefit Analysis
  • 173. Improve - Steps Creative Approach Refine the Idea Test the new Idea Analytical Approach Justify $ Select Best Idea Brainstorming Data Analysis (DOE) Filter Error Proofing / FMEA Pilot
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  • 180. Response Relationship to Other Tools Inputs Outputs Projector has bright light Projector is quiet Colors correct Power On Bulb life Instructor Training Computer Interface Projector Process Map Cause & Effect Diagram for Bright Light Low Bulb Brightness Measurement Person Machine Method Environment Room Brightness Instructions Light Meter Instructor Power On Computer Settings Bulb Rating of Importance to Customer 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Process Inputs Bright Light Quiet Color Correct Total 1 119 2 95 3 23 4 95 5 6 7 Power on Bulb Life Instructor Computer 9 3 2 8 8 1 3 3 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 9 8 7 8 Rating of Importance to Customer 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Process Inputs Bright Light Quiet Color Correct Total 1 119 2 95 3 23 4 95 5 6 7 Power on Bulb Life Instructor Computer 9 3 2 8 8 1 3 3 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 9 8 7 8 Cause & Effect Matrix
  • 181. Factor Relationship to Other Tools Inputs Outputs Projector has bright light Projector is quiet Colors correct Power On Bulb life Instructor Training Computer Interface Projector Process Map Cause & Effect Diagram for Bright Light Low Bulb Brightness Measurement Person Machine Method Environment Room Brightness Instructions Light Meter Instructor Power On Computer Settings Bulb Rating of Importance to Customer 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Process Inputs Bright Light Quiet Color Correct Total 1 119 2 95 3 23 4 95 5 6 7 Power on Bulb Life Instructor Computer 9 3 2 8 8 1 3 3 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 9 8 7 8 Rating of Importance to Customer 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Process Inputs Bright Light Quiet Color Correct Total 1 119 2 95 3 23 4 95 5 6 7 Power on Bulb Life Instructor Computer 9 3 2 8 8 1 3 3 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 9 8 7 8 Cause & Effect Matrix
  • 182. Experimental Design Considerations Experimental Design Types Experimental Objective Full Factorial (replication) RSM (Response Surface Method) Optimize Model Fractional Designs OFAT (One Factor at a Time) 2 k Full Factorial Screen 2 k Full Factorial ( w center points/replication) Few Many KPIV’s Less More KNOWLEDGE Less More COST
  • 183. Factors and the Process DOE can be applied to both business and industrial processes Y: Accounts Receivable Hold Business Process Manufacturing Process Y: Scrap Reduction X 1 Temp X 2 Press X 3 Time X 1 Price X 2 PO X 3 Terms
  • 184. Coding Three Factors Low-1 High+1 Press = 2 Temp = 10 Resin = 56 Press = 10 Temp = 125 Resin = 3560 -1 +1 press -1 +1 temp resin +1 Coding convention often uses “+” for high and “-” for low
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  • 188. TRIZ – Key Concepts
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  • 198. N G T: Nominal Group Technique What is the best method to reduce cost per transaction? Simplify Application process & consolidate Sites
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