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02 ifad portfolio review

  1. IFAD Country Office, Benoit Thierry, CPM Soulivanh Pattivong, CPO IFAD-Laos Project Retreat/Workshop 9-11 December, 2015, Luangprabang, Lao PDR Overview of IFAD-Funded Programmes Performance in Laos
  2. Introduction 1. Background of Lao PDR (linked to IFAD support) 2. IFAD-Laos COSOP (2011-2015) 3. On-going programmes 4. IFAD-funded Programmes Performance (at country and regional levels) 5. General Issues concerning programmes performance 6. Way forward/areas needing further support
  3. 2005 2007 2010 2013 Human Dev. Index 0.51 0.53 0.549 0.569 Agriculture value added (% of GDP) 36.2 34.9 32.7 26.5 GNI per capita 472 887 1123 1661 Total population (million) 5.88 6.21 6.44 6.77 Rural population as % of population 73 69 67 64 Poverty rate based on population 30.7 27.6 26 23.2 Main crops production: rice, soybeans, sugarcane, corn, tobacco, etc., Nutrition facts: high malnutrition rate (40%), particularly in rural areas Population density – Economic Indicators (source: WB, UNDP)
  4. Poverty rate and Poverty density
  5. Share of Agriculture in GDP 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0% 40.0% 45.0% 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 GDP per capita (USD) Agriculture contribution to GDP per capita (USD) Agriculture contribution to GDP per capita (%)
  6. Three Strategic Objectives: SO1: Community-based access to, and management of, land and natural resources SO2: Access to advisory services and inputs for sustainable, adaptive and integrated farming systems SO3: Access to markets for selected produces Cross-cutting issues that are common to all three strategic objectives: 1. Capacity-building of government, beneficiaries and service providers 2. Engagement with ethnic groups 3. Engagement with women as key partners in all production and marketing systems 4. Strategic infrastructure related to farming systems (e.g. small-scale village irrigation) or markets (e.g. farm-to-market roads) 5. Formation of farmer and producer common-interest groups 6. Resilience to climate-related risks and enhanced capacity to adapt to climate change. IFAD-Laos COSOP (2011-2015)
  7. Portfolios Closed Loans / grant Active Loan / grant Pipelined grant / loan 1. (1980-1982) Casier-Sud Pioneer Agricultural Project 1. (2009-2016) Sustainable Natural Resource Management and Productivity Enhancement Project ($15 mill) 1. GAFSP (2016-2020): Global Agriculture and Food Security Program - 30 million USD 2. (1984-1990) Agricultural Production Project 3. (1988-1992) Rural Credit Project 2. (2011 - 2017) Soum Son Seun Jai / Community based Food Security and Economic Opportunities Programme ($14 m) 2. Livestock project (2016-2020) (with ADB) - 10 million USD 4. (1991-1997) Xieng Khouang Agricultural Development Project - XKADP 5. (1999-2005) XADP – Phase II 6. (1995-2003) Bokeo Food Securiy Project 7. (1998-2004) Northern Sayabouly Rural Dev Project 3. (2013-2019) Southern Laos Food and Nutrition Security and Market Linkages Programme ($14.7) 8. (2004-2010) Oudomxai Community Initiative Support Project 9. (2006-2014) Rural Livelihoods Improvement Programme in Attapeu and Sayabouri 10. (2007-2013) Northern Region Sustainable Livelihoods through Livestock Development Project
  8. IFAD funded operations
  9. FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT IFAD-funded Programmes Performance (at country and regional levels)
  10. Quality of financial management 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Average LAO1301 3 3 4 4 3,5 LAO1396 3 3 5 5 4,0 LAO1459 4 4 4 4 4 4,0 LAO1608 4 4 4 4 4,0 LAO1680 4 4 4,0 Country average 3,33 3,50 4,25 4,20 4,00 3,9 Regional average 3,70 3,80 4,00 4,10 4,05 3,9  Portfolio average score improvement in 5 years: 3.3 (moderately unsatisfactory) in 2011 to 4.0 (moderately satisfactory) in 2015  In 2014 only one project had a “satisfactory” (5) rating for FM: LDP  Other projects were rated “moderately satisfactory” (4) for FM  Increase in average country score has been due to the marked improvement in performance of LDP during its last two years of implementation.  In 2015 Laos avg. is below regional avg. by 0.05 points. 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 LAO1301 LAO1396 LAO1459 LAO1608 LAO1680 Quality of financial management 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 3 4 5 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Quality of financial management Country average Regional average
  11. Acceptable disbursement rate  Country avg in 2015: 3.8, borderline “moderately satisfactory”. However, it is above regional avg.  2014: The highest reported rating was “satisfactory” (5) for RLIP and SNRMPEP, lowest rating was “moderately unsatisfactory” (3) for SSSJ  LDP after an "unsatisfactory" score during its early years of implementation, only gradually improved toward its completion  SNRMPEP has followed the same patterns, but managed to reach satisfactory disbursement levels at completion in 2015 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 LAO1301 LAO1396 LAO1459 LAO1608 LAO1680 Acceptable disbursement rate 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 3 4 5 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Acceptable disbursement rate Country average Regional average 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Average LAO1301 5 5 5 5 5,0 LAO1396 2 2 3 4 2,8 LAO1459 3 3 4 5 3,8 LAO1608 4 3 3 3,3 LAO1680 4 4,0 Country average 3,33 3,50 3,75 4,20 3,8 Regional average 3,40 3,50 3,40 3,50 3,5
  12. Availability of counterpart funding  Avg score for country portfolio in 2015: 4.4 “moderately satisfactory”  In 2015, counterpart funding were found to be both timely and sufficient for all projects but FMNL.  Best scores are recorded by SNRMPEP, which received a "highly satisfactory" rating for two consecutive years since 2014.  After being lower than the APR regional average in 2011 and 2012, average country scores are higher since 2013. 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 LAO1301 LAO1396 LAO1459 LAO1608 LAO1680 Availability of counterpart funding 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 3 4 5 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Availability of counterpart funding Country average Regional average 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Average LAO1301 4 4 6 6 5,0 LAO1396 4 4 4 5 4,3 LAO1459 4 4 4 5 5 4,4 LAO1608 4 4 4 5 4,3 LAO1680 4 4 4,0 Country average 4,00 4,00 4,50 4,80 4,67 4,4 Regional average 4,4 4,4 4,3 4,5 4,443
  13. Quality and timeliness of audits  Since 2013 the country average has been the same or higher than the regional average  In 2015 the country average is 4 “moderately satisfactory”  The quality and timeliness of the last audits of LDP and SSSJ were rated as “satisfactory” (5) 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 LAO1301 LAO1396 LAO1459 LAO1608 LAO1680 Quality and timeliness of audits 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 3 4 5 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Quality and timeliness of audits Country average Regional average 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Average LAO1301 3 3 4 4 3,5 LAO1396 4 4 4 5 4,3 LAO1459 4 4 4 4 4 4,0 LAO1608 4 4 4 5 4,3 LAO1680 4 4 4,0 Country average 3,67 3,75 4,00 4,20 4,33 4,0 Regional average 4,00 4,00 4,00 4,00 4,07
  14. Quality of project management  The average over 5 years: Country portfolio rating very slightly above regional rating  The quality of project management improved in the past two years, mostly due to the improved ratings for LDP and SNRMPEP  On an avg project management rating is still largely “moderately satisfactory” (4)  It is very crucial to bring this rating higher to “satisfactory” (5) from the initial years of the project 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 LAO1301LAO1396LAO1459LAO1608LAO1680 Quality of project management 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 3 4 5 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Quality of project management Country average Regional average 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Average LAO1301 3 4 4 4 3,8 LAO1396 4 4 4 5 4,3 LAO1459 4 4 4 5 5 4,4 LAO1608 4 4 3 4 3,8 LAO1680 4 4 4,0 Country average 3,67 4,00 4,00 4,20 4,33 4,05 Regional average 3,90 4,00 4,10 4,20 4,18 4,08
  15. PROJECT MANAGEMENT
  16. Compliance with procurement  The lack of compliance with IFAD procurement guidelines is one of the key issues of the portfolio  Country average significantly below regional average in 2015  Most projects receiving, at best, a "moderately satisfactory" rating over the period  The exception is LDP, which received a "satisfactory" rating during its last year of implementation.  The score of the newly started FNML was downgraded to “moderately unsatisfactory" in 2015  This is a priority issue to be addressed by all projects 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 1301 1396 1459 1608 1680 Compliance with procurement 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 3 4 5 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Compliance with procurement Country average Regional average 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Average 1301 3 3 4 4 3,5 1396 4 4 4 5 4,3 1459 4 4 4 4 4 4,0 1608 4 4 4 4 4,0 1680 4 3 3,5 Country average 3,67 3,75 4,00 4,20 3,67 3,9 Regional average 3,90 3,90 4,00 4,10 4,20
  17. Performance of M&E  Country average consistently below regional average  SSSJ has been continuously rated “moderately unsatisfactory”, SNRMPEP almost consistently “Moderately Satisfactory”, LDP improved to “Moderately Satisfactory”  FNML has started on “Moderately Satisfactory” and effort should be made to improve to a 5 “satisfactory”  Overall improvement required for all projects  Projects should aim to regularly report on progress at different levels (outcomes, outputs, activities, etc.)  Managers should make use of M&E information for planning and decision-making 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 LAO1301LAO1396LAO1459LAO1608LAO1680 Performance of M&E 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 3 4 5 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Performance of M&E Country average Regional average 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Average LAO1301 3 3 3 3 3,0 LAO1396 3 3 4 4 3,5 LAO1459 4 4 4 3 4 3,8 LAO1608 4 4 3 3 3,5 LAO1680 4 4 4,0 Country average 3,33 3,50 3,75 3,40 3,67 3,53 Regional average 3,60 3,50 3,90 4,00 4,05 3,81
  18. Coherence between AWPB and implementation  Country programme performance as been consistently below the regional average, except for the year 2014  This suggests that most projects struggle to deliver AWPB physical and/or financial targets. 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 LAO1301LAO1396LAO1459LAO1608LAO1680 Coherence between AWPB and implementation 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Average LAO1301 4 3 4 4 3,8 LAO1396 3 3 4 5 3,8 LAO1459 4 4 4 4 4 4,0 LAO1608 4 3 4 4 3,8 LAO1680 4 4 4,0 Country average 3,67 3,50 3,75 4,20 4,00 3,84 Regional average 3,70 3,80 3,90 4,10 4,08 3,92
  19. Responsiveness of service providers  Ratings for country portfolio consistently below APR average  The weak capacities and/or lack of responsiveness of service providers are the key issues faced by the country programme portfolio  An improvement is however noted in 2015 for three projects, which received a score of "4" 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 LAO1301LAO1396LAO1459LAO1608LAO1680 Responsiveness of service providers 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 3 4 5 1 2 3 4 5 6 Responsiveness of service providers Country average Regional average 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Average LAO1301 4 4 4 4 4,0 LAO1396 2 2 3 4 2,8 LAO1459 3 3 3 4 4 3,4 LAO1608 4 3 3 4 3,5 LAO1680 4 4 4,0 Country average 3,00 3,25 3,25 3,80 4,00 3,47 Regional average 3,90 3,90 3,90 4,30 4,31 4,06
  20. Overall implementation progress  Over the last 5 years there has been only one instance of a "satisfactory" rating (LDP)  Average score for the portfolio is 3.84, bordering between “moderately unsatisfactory” and “moderately satisfactory”  For all 5 years country average score has been consistently lower the APR regional average  Average performance dropped from 2014 to 2015  However, SSSJ has recovered from being a “problem project” to having a “moderately satisfactory” score in 2015 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 LAO1301LAO1396LAO1459LAO1608LAO1680 Overall implementation progress 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 3 4 5 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Overall implementation progress (LAO) Country average Regional average 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Average LAO1301 4 4 4 4 4,0 LAO1396 4 4 4 5 4,3 LAO1459 3 3 3 4 4 3,4 LAO1608 4 4 4 3 3,8 LAO1680 4 4 4,0 Country average 3,67 3,75 3,75 4,20 3,67 3,84 Regional average 3,90 4,00 4,00 4,20 4,16 4,05
  21. TARGETING
  22. Gender focus  Most projects have performed "moderately satisfactorily" with regard to mainstreaming gender in implementation and/or targeting women.  SSSJ has received a score of "3" for the past three years, while LDP’s performance improved towards project completion  For last 5 years average performance for country has been below regional average 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 LAO1301 LAO1396 LAO1459 LAO1608 LAO1680 Gender focus 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2 3 4 5 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Gender focus Country average Regional average  Since 2013, there has been a marked improvement in the extent to which projects manage to reach poor households effectively, but from a low base  Still, the country programme performance has been consistently below the APR regional average  Best performance is recorded by two projects with a score of "5" in the past two years of implementation: LDP and SSSJ Poverty focus 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 LAO1301 LAO1396 LAO1459 LAO1608 LAO1680 Poverty focus 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2 3 4 5 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Poverty focus Country average Regional average
  23. Effectiveness of targeting approach  Until 2013, few projects were assessed as adequately reaching out to their intended target groups, especially in the initial years  Three projects received a low score of "3" or "2" in their early years of implementation.  Although the gap has decreased, the average country programme average score has been consistently below the APR regional average  The quality of beneficiary participation has been found "moderately satisfactory" for most projects during the period under review (except for LDP with a 5)  The country programme performance is broadly at par with the APR regional portfolio  But the closure of LAO1396 has caused a recent decline in the country average score Quality of beneficiary participation 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 LAO1301 LAO1396 LAO1459 LAO1608 LAO1680 Effectiveness of targeting approach 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2 3 4 5 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Effectiveness of targeting approach Country average Regional average 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 LAO1301 LAO1396 LAO1459 LAO1608 LAO1680 Quality of beneficiary participation 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2 3 4 5 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Quality of beneficiary participation Country average Regional average
  24. QUALITY OF RESULTS
  25. Innovation and learning  Starting from a low base (3.33 was the average country score in 2011), the portfolio average score is higher that the average APR regional score since 2013  Two projects (LDP and SNRMPEP) received the highest score ("5") towards completion  These scores accounted for the sharp improvement in country portfolio score between 2012 and 2013/4.  Project-level focus on climate change and the environment is only rated "moderately satisfactory“ for most projects  The average country portfolio score is also lower that the APR regional average,  A sharper focus on these important issues - that have a critical bearing on target groups' livelihoods means - need to be better reflected in project design and/or implementation. Climate and environment focus 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 LAO1301LAO1396LAO1459LAO1608LAO1680 Innovation and learning 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 3 4 5 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Innovation and learning Country average Regional average 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 LAO1301LAO1396LAO1459LAO1608LAO1680 Climate and environment focus 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 3 4 5 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Climate and environment focus Country average Regional average
  26. Institution building and learning  The performance of most projects in strengthening capacities of local institutions was rated "moderately satisfactory"  Except for the year 2013, the average country programme score was below the average APR regional score  In a context of low capacities, this is certainly an issue of concern that deserves adequate attention and more investment in institutional capacity building activities  Only SNRMPEP managed to receive a score of "5" during its last two years of implementation  Two projects, RLIP and SSSJ had low score for empowerment  Overall, the country portfolio average scores has been consistently lower than the APR regional average Empowerment 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 LAO1301LAO1396LAO1459LAO1608LAO1680 Institution building and learning 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 3 4 5 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Institution building and learning Country average Regional average 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 LAO1301LAO1396LAO1459LAO1608LAO1680 Empowerment 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 3 4 5 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Empowerment Country average Regional average
  27. Innovation and learning  This indicator measures the extent to which project activities are generating adequate benefits for project beneficiaries.  Completed projects RLIP and LDP were rated "satisfactory" rating towards completion  Other projects have received a "moderately satisfactory" score for this important indicator  The portfolio average score has been below the APR regional average for most of the period except in 2013 and 2014  Performance against "food security" follows a similar pattern as the indicator "physical/financial assets"  The average score of "4" recorded over the last 5 years for the portfolio as a whole  Important to improve scores especially since most projects are implemented in districts with a large proportion of malnourished children and food-insecure households, as measured by RIMS surveys. Food security 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 LAO1301LAO1396LAO1459LAO1608LAO1680 Physical/financial assets 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2 3 4 5 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Physical/financial assets Country average Regional average 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 LAO1301LAO1396LAO1459LAO1608LAO1680 Food security 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2 3 4 5 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Food security Country average Regional average
  28. IMPACTS
  29. Institution building and learning  Most projects rated "moderately satisfactory" throughout the period under review  In a context of low capacities, this is certainly an issue of concern that deserves adequate attention and more investment in institutional capacity building activities. Except for the year 2013, the average country programme score was lower that the average APR regional score. Empowerment: Of the five projects, only LAO1459 managed to receive a score of "5" during its last two years of implementation for the indicator "empowerment". Two projects, one completed (LAO1301) and one on-going (LAO1608) were provided a low score of "3". For the latter project, important changes in implementation approaches may be recommended. Overall, the country portfolio average scores has been consistently lower than the APR regional average, which should call for action and correction. Empowerment 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 LAO1301LAO1396LAO1459LAO1608LAO1680 Institution building and learning 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 3 4 5 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Institution building and learning Country average Regional average 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 LAO1301LAO1396LAO1459LAO1608LAO1680 Empowerment 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 3 4 5 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Empowerment Country average Regional average
  30. Exit strategy  The long-term sustainability of project benefits not well imbedded in project design  and/or actively pursued through an appropriate exit strategy  Trend is similar to that of the entire APR portfolio, but to a lesser extent,  Lao portfolio average has been consistently lower that the regional average.  Most projects rated "moderately satisfactory"  LPD seems to have the greatest potential and in fact will be scaled up in a new project  Compared with the APR regional portfolio, Lao portfolio scores were consistently lower. Potential for replication and upscaling 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 LAO1301LAO1396LAO1459LAO1608LAO1680 Exit strategy 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2 3 4 5 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Exit strategy Country average Regional average 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 LAO1301LAO1396LAO1459LAO1608LAO1680 Potential for scaling up and replication 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2 3 4 5 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Potential for scaling up and replication Country average Regional average
  31. Quality of natural assets and climate resilience  Project impact on improving resilience to climate change has been rated "moderately satisfactory" for all projects since this new indicator was introduced.  This compares unfavourably with the APR regional average. 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 LAO1301 LAO1396 LAO1459 LAO1608 LAO1680 Quality of natural assets and climate resilience 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2 3 4 5 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Quality of natural assets and climate resilience Country average Regional average
  32. 1. Institutional capacity building 2. Effective coordination between central project coordination unit and provincial/district team 3. Delivering AWPB physical and/or financial targets 4. Timely and transparent procurement and disbursement 5. M&E: data collection, reporting and use for programme management General Issues
  33. 1. Improved and timely planning process and programme implementation (faster, cheaper and better) • Planning and budgeting =>AWPB <= Financial Management • Beneficiaries HHs -> M&E 2. Integrated project management system (e.g. M&E for planning, mapping, MIS in program management, etc.,) 3. KM / KS (Agriculture and Rural Development Sector Working group, considering as the highest policy platform in the country / case studies and learning events/routes at country and regional levels in partnership with Procasur, etc.,) 4. Partnerships with other DPs to support programme performance (Lux-Dev, AFD, FAO, WFP, CIAT, IRRI, WB, ADB, UN-HABITA, etc.,) 5. Coordination/ Capacity building /management to support decentralization initiative • How to strengthen the in-country capacity for the development of effective pro-poor investment policies and institutions? • How to develop the capacity of key service providers for the delivery of quality services? • How to improve the accountability of public institutions and systems and to ensure sustainability? 6. Implementation Support Missions/ technical coaching Way forward/areas needing further support
  34. Thank You IFAD Country Office Benoit Thierry, CPM Soulivanh Pattivong, CPO
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