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Grundlagen Risikomanagement

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Vortrag Thomas Pallokat - Er zeigt ein methodisches Herangehen an die Organisation eines Risikomanagemensystems für die Landwirtschaft, aber keine Standardlösung.

Veröffentlicht in: Leadership & Management
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Grundlagen Risikomanagement

  1. 1. www.iakleipzig.de 1 Risikomanagement in der Landwirtschaft an einem praktischen Beispiel Leipzig | 05./ 06.05.2017 | Thomas Pallokat
  2. 2. 1. Grundlagen des Risikomanagements Risikoarten Externe Risiken Interne Risiken Landwirtschafts- unternehmen ● Marktrisiken ● Politikrisiken ● Sonstige Risiken ● Produktionsrisiken ● Personenrisiken ● Finanzrisiken ● Anlagerisiken ● Sonstige Risiken www.iakleipzig.de 2
  3. 3. 1. Grundlagen des Risikomanagements Risikomanagement 1. Risikoidentifizierung Prozess2. Risikobewertung 3. Risikobewältigung 4. Risikokontrolle www.iakleipzig.de 3
  4. 4. 1. Grundlagen des Risikomanagements Risikobewältigung Instrumente Risikovermeidung Risikotragung Risikominderung Risikostreuung Risikoabwälzung www.iakleipzig.de 4
  5. 5. 2. Risikomanagement eines IAK-Mandanten Grundlage ● Risikomanagement basiert wesentlich auf betrieblicher Plan-GuV Worst-Case-Szenarien Ertrag/Aufwand Ist Plan WJ 2015 (€) WJ 2016 (€) Ø (€) WJ 2017 (€) dav. 1. HJ (€) dav. 2. HJ (€) Verkauf Weizen … 210.000 … 185.000 … 197.500 … 230.000 … 30.000 … 200.000 … Gewinn/Verlust www.iakleipzig.de 5
  6. 6. 2. Risikomanagement eines IAK-Mandanten Worst-Case-Szenario: Weizenpreis - 25% ● Plan-GuV: Erntemenge Weizen = 26.325 dt Weizenpreis = 18 €/dt Umsatz Weizen = 473.850 € ● Worst-Case: Weizenpreis/-umsatz: -25% = -4,50 €/dt = -118.000 T€ www.iakleipzig.de 6
  7. 7. 2. Risikomanagement eines IAK-Mandanten Worst-Case-Szenario: Weizenpreis - 25% ● Risikocharakter: Eintrittswahrscheinlichkeit = 40% Risikodeckungspotential = 2.290.000 € Schadenspotential = 5,1 % des Risikodeckungspotentials Risikostrategie: Wesentliches Risiko! Maßnahmen zur Risikobewältigung notwendig! www.iakleipzig.de 7
  8. 8. 2. Risikomanagement eines IAK-Mandanten Worst-Case-Szenario: Weizenpreis - 25% ● Risikobewältigung: Lieferkontrakte für 12.500 dt Weizen = 47% Erntemenge Schadenspotential Restmenge = 62.000 € Schadenspotential Restmenge = 2,7 % des Risikodeckungspotentials www.iakleipzig.de 8
  9. 9. 3. Fazit ● Landwirtschaftliche Unternehmen: sind insbesondere durch Markt- und Politikrisiken verstärkt Verlustgefahren ausgesetzt nutzen meist diverse Risikomanagementinstrumente; es fehlen jedoch ein koordinierendes System und fest definierte Ablaufprozesse ● Vortrag zeigt ein methodisches Herangehen an Organisation eines Risikomanagementsystems; aber: keine Standardlösung www.iakleipzig.de 9

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