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Integrated approaches to restore degraded multifunctional landscapes in Ethiopia
1. Integrated approaches to restore degraded
multifunctional landscapes in Ethiopia
Ermias Betemariam, Leigh Winowiecki, Tor-Gunnar Vagen
Sant’Anna
Pisa , 22 Jan 2019
2. • What are the drivers of land degradation?
• Why restoration?
• How to restore?
• How to evaluate and monitor change?
• What knowledge gap?
1
Outline
3. • How can drivers of degradation can be reversed,
• What function is to be restored for whom (objectives),
• Who has rights, obligations (responsibilities) and stakes? (including
restoration after planned destruction in the case of mining contracts),
• What means are appropriate (do nothing, support natural processes, or plant
and manage),
• What incentives and investment is needed and how can this be sourced,
• How all of the above can be managed in a multi-stake-holder process,
supported by monitoring and evaluation
2
Key questions in land degradation
4. 3
Uncertainty in land degradation
Gibbs & Salmon, 2015
Ermias Betemariam, ICRAF, 22 Jan 2019, Santa’Anna
Uncertainty about defining and assessing land degradation have played a major role in
lack of policy action
6. “Yield gaps as poverty traps”
Tittonell and Giller (2013)
Shifting cultivation as driver for forest
loss in Africa
Classifying drivers of global forest loss (Curtis et al.
2018)
Poor soil fertility and nutrient
availability are the major biophysical
limitations
5Ermias Betemariam, ICRAF, 22 Jan 2019, Santa’Anna
7. • Maintain or improve the sustainable delivery of ecosystem
services;
• Maintain or improve productivity, in order to enhance food
security;
• Increase resilience of the land and populations dependent on the
land;
• Seek synergies with other social, economic and environmental
objectives; and
• Reinforce responsible and inclusive governance of land
6Ermias Betemariam, ICRAF, 22 Jan 2019, Santa’Anna
Why restoration?
9. The LDN Logic Model
8Ermias Betemariam, ICRAF, 22 Jan 2019, Santa’Anna
How? Restoration approach
Avoiding degradation of non-degraded Lands
- enhancing the productivity of cropland and pastoral land per unit area,
time and input rather than expanding the area of land in production
10. • Start with the big picture
• Consider all available information, including expert knowledge,
in making a causal decision model
• Project ranges (probability distributions) of decision outcomes
that acknowledge our uncertainties
• Quantify which knowledge gains would be most valuable for
decision-makers
• Fill these gaps to improve decisions
• Focus monitoring on “sensitive” variables & model updating as a
learning process
9Ermias Betemariam, ICRAF, 22 Jan 2019, Santa’Anna
Decision focused restoration
11. The use of land resources, including soils, water, animals and plants, for the
production of goods to meet changing human needs, while
simultaneously ensuring the long-term productive potential of these
resources and the maintenance of their environmental functions. Source:
WOCAT
10Ermias Betemariam, ICRAF, 22 Jan 2019, Santa’Anna
Sustainable Land Management
12. 11
Evidence: effects of SLM on the environment
Holistic valuation of SLM impacts on ecosystem
services is important
Understanding the local context
Increase in NDVI (proxy to land
productivity) could mean land
degradation
- bush encroached grazing
lands in Boraran area
Ermias Betemariam, ICRAF, 22 Jan 2019, Santa’Anna
14. Learn from restoration successes
– Tanzania, Shinyanga: Ngitili as a local practice of enclosing degraded areas
as a collective property boosting the supply of wood and non-wood
products to the agropastoral community
– Ethiopia and Kenya: grazing land restoration by exclosures
Top-down
Bottom-up
Closing the gap
between topdown and
bottomup perspectives
on ‘restoratation’
13Ermias Betemariam, ICRAF, 22 Jan 2019, Santa’Anna
15. Spectroscopy
Rapid
Low cost
Reproducible
Predicts many soil
functional properties
14
Precision Soil and Plant Health Measurement: Driving Agricultural
Transformation
Capacity development is a priority in Africa
(15 countries have soil spectral labs)
• Africa Soil Information Service (AfSIS)
• EthioSIS, GhaSIS, NiSIS, TanSIS
Ermias Betemariam, ICRAF, 22 Jan 2019, Santa’Anna
Land health evaluation and monitoring
16. 15
Improving small-holder Agricultural statistics through the
integration of soil health data into the household socio-
economic panel surveys
Ermias Betemariam, ICRAF, 22 Jan 2019, Santa’Anna
17. Africa Soil Information Service
Consistent field
protocol
Soil spectroscopy
Coupling with
remote sensingPrevalence, Risk factors, Digital
mapping
Sentinel sites
Randomized sampling schemes
16Ermias Betemariam, ICRAF, 22 Jan 2019, Santa’Anna
20. National Soil Organic Carbon Stock Estimates
Winowiecki, L., Vågen, T.-G., & Huising, J. (2014). Effects of land cover on ecosystem services in Tanzania:
A spatial assessment of soil organic carbon. Geoderma, 263.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geoderma.2015.03.010
19Ermias Betemariam, ICRAF, 22 Jan 2019, Santa’Anna
21. Mapping SOC stocks at 30 m resolutions and
assessing the impact of land degradation
Vågen&and&Winowiecki,&2013.&Mapping&of&SOC&stocks&
for&spa>ally&explicit&assessments&of&climate&change&
mi>ga>on&poten>al.&Environmental&Research&LeHers.&8&
Lower SOC stocks in highly
eroded especially in grasslands
20Ermias Betemariam, ICRAF, 22 Jan 2019, Santa’Anna
22. 21
Using a time series improved accuracy of
land cover classification and tree cover
prediction in comparison to the single
images
23. Demand for science
• UNCCD
– LDN at the nexus of SGDs: Extending LDN Indicators to address synergies trade-offs
– Soil Carbon Gap analysis for targeting interventions
– Tools/Methods for monitoring LDN
• Lack of accurate baselines for LDN & estimates of soil carbon changes are
associated with large uncertainties
– Counterbalancing future land degradation
• More attention to address past land degradation
• But we rarely anticipate (forecast, model, project) likely NEW degradation
• GEF
• How to use restoration for multiple-benefits: climate, land and
biodiversity?
• How to monitor change?
• AFR100
• Understanding drivers of land degradation
• Monitoring progress & learning for adaptive management
22Ermias Betemariam, ICRAF, 22 Jan 2019, Santa’Anna
24. CGIAR
• The “How” of Restoration- Practices, Tools, Methods
• Economics and political ecology of restoration
– Benefit-cost ratio for grazing land (75) > tropical forest (37) [International Institute
for Sustainability)
• Policies and Governance of Restoration
Demand for science
23Ermias Betemariam, ICRAF, 22 Jan 2019, Santa’Anna
25. Too many oxpeckers?,
Not enough herbivores?
Not enough grass?
Oxpecker
Egret
Feeding on ticks,
two-way benefits
Feeding on insects
stirred up; mostly
one-way benefits…
Embrace complexity as an opportunity for success!
23Ermias Betemariam, ICRAF, 22 Jan 2019, Santa’Anna
Causal chains
Lessons from public health surveillance - Only a few risk factors account for most of the disease burden
Central to the surveillance approach is a risk-based framework. Outcomes such as soil fertility decline are associated with process causes such as soil fertility depletion, which in turn are the result of proximal causes such as low nutrient input use, which in turn are associated with more distal drivers, such as poverty, poor market access and policies.
Much of the focus is currently on project-scale rehabilitation interventions, but our work points to the importance of not ignoring preventive opportunities, which need to address interventions higher up the causal chain.
Food demand increase by 60% by 2050 compared with 2005/07
Sub Sahara Africa may have the highest food security risk to feed its increasing population (demand for cereals could triple)
3/4 of the world’s poorest people get their food and income by farming small plots of land
Poor soil fertility and nutrient availability are the major biophysical limitations
landscape perspective; emphasise landscape approach, planning
Using SLM practices as a rewarding mechanism, behavioral change
Black red light/white/yellow
Fine, medium, coarse
We implement those science principles through a set of tools, which encompass use of randomized, landscape level sampling schemes. The use of consistent field sampling protocols so we collect data on land health indicators in the same way everywhere. The use of soil spectroscopy methods to provide high throughput low cost analysis of key soil health metrics, centred on soil functional properties. Coupling of the field and lab observations with remote sensing data, to provide consistent data on the population distributions and prevalence of land health problems, associated risk factors and digital mapping of indicators.
Have we really made the case for the role of agroforestry in SLM?
What is our evidence base and what is agroforestry’s added value in LDN
What approaches & tools could help planning and implementation of LDN?