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2016 Mobile And App Marketing Trends
Integrating Mobile In Your Strategy As A Key Brand Differentiator
by Thomas Husson
January 25, 2016
FOR B2C MARkETINg PROFESSIONAlS
FORRESTER.COM
key Takeaways
Integrating Mobile In Your Marketing Strategy
Becomes A Key Differentiator
While most brands are trying to mobilize their
ads, few are going the extra mile: serving
their customers in their mobile moments by
transforming the entire customer experience.
Those who go that extra mile will differentiate
their brands via mobile. These leaders will also
start measuring the impact of mobile on offline
channels and will end up allocating up to 20% of
their marketing budgets to mobile.
Lines Between Mobile Web And Apps Will
Start Blurring
Consumers will continue to spend their time in
fewer apps, turning their attention especially
to messaging apps that will progressively
become application ecosystems on their own.
However, the gap between mobile Web and app
experiences will slowly start shrinking and it will
be easier to move between these environments.
Mobile Will Enable Brand Innovation With
Artificial Intelligence, Virtual Reality, And IoT
Artificial intelligence (AI), virtual reality (VR), and
the Internet of Things (IoT) are key technologies
going way beyond the mobile space. In 2016,
smartphones will activate them and enable B2C
marketers to innovate.
Why Read This Report
More than 50% of searches are happening on
a mobile device and US consumers spent more
time with mobile apps than watching TV in 2015.
In India, Flipkart — the largest eCommerce
player — has unplugged the desktop Web and
only engages with consumers via mobile. How
will mobile trends impact brands in 2016? This
report highlights the key mobile and app trends
that B2C marketers should expect in 2016, and
guides senior marketers in making the right calls
when crafting their mobile marketing strategies
for the coming year.
2
4
8
10
© 2016 Forrester Research, Inc. Opinions reflect judgment at the time and are subject to change. Forrester®
,
Technographics®
, Forrester Wave, RoleView, TechRadar, and Total Economic Impact are trademarks of Forrester
Research, Inc. All other trademarks are the property of their respective companies. Unauthorized copying or
distributing is a violation of copyright law. Citations@forrester.com or +1 866-367-7378
Forrester Research, Inc., 60 Acorn Park Drive, Cambridge, MA 02140 USA
+1 617-613-6000 | Fax: +1 617-613-5000 | forrester.com
Table Of Contents
Few Brands Embrace Integrated Mobile
Strategies To Differentiate
The Divide Between Mobile Web And Apps
Starts To Fade
In 2016, Mobile Enables Brand Innovation
With Adjacent Technologies
Supplemental Material
Notes & Resources
Forrester interviewed dozens of vendor and user
companies during Q4 2015.
Related Research Documents
2015 Mobile App Marketing Trends
Predictions 2016: The Mobile Revolution
Accelerates
Predictions 2015: Most Brands Will Underinvest
In Mobile
For B2C Marketing Professionals
2016 Mobile And App Marketing Trends
Integrating Mobile In Your Strategy As A Key Brand Differentiator
by Thomas Husson
with Luca S. Paderni, Nicole Dvorak, Jennifer Wise, Michael Facemire, Ryan Skinner,
Theresa Pappafotopoulos, Kasia Madej, and Laura Glazer
January 25, 2016
For B2C Marketing Professionals
2016 Mobile And App Marketing Trends
January 25, 2016
© 2016 Forrester Research, Inc. Unauthorized copying or distributing is a violation of copyright law.
Citations@forrester.com or +1 866-367-7378
2
Integrating Mobile In Your Strategy As A Key Brand Differentiator
Few Brands Embrace Integrated Mobile Strategies To Differentiate
A year ago, Forrester said most brands would underinvest in mobile.1
This is likely to remain the case
in 2016, since too many marketers have a narrow view of mobile as a sub-digital media and channel.
This is good news for the 20% of marketers that told us they have the budget they need and the 33%
that know how to measure mobile ROI.2
In 2016, this growing minority of leading marketers will start to
fully integrate mobile into their marketing strategies. These mature mobile marketers will measure the
impact of mobile across channels, see a clear opportunity to differentiate their brands, and increase
their investments in mobile initiatives. In 2016, we expect smart mobile marketers to:
›› Mobilize brand storytelling with sights, sounds, and motion. Display ads have exploded on
mobile devices to the point at which they accounted for over 55% of all display ad clicks in Q3
2015, according to Marin Software.3
Video is the fastest-growing mobile ad format: We expect tablet
and smartphone spend on video advertising to grow by 36.9% annually and to represent 43.8% of
total display ad spend on these devices by 2019.4
Combined with new ad formats on apps like
Facebook and Instagram and native feeds or Teads’ inRead, interest among brand marketers to
mobilize their video content to tell stories is growing. Streaming music services like Pandora or
Spotify have huge audiences of 85 and 75 million listeners, respectively, opening the door to audio
advertising.5
Ad-supported streaming already represents 56% of US streaming revenue.6
Action for marketers: Align branded content with context. Marketers should make sure they
embrace mobile-centric ad formats and follow IAB’s Mobile Phone Creative Guidelines.7
However,
scaling content up and down to adapt to the screen size will not be enough. To really differentiate
their brand experience, they must combine context with specific ad creative for the mobile
environment, especially for mobile video.8
Brands should also leverage behavioral in-app data
to deliver more contextualized and personalized content following the example of the New York
Times, who has an 11-person team to focus on push alerts and in-app notifications.9
›› Power mobile moments with deep marketing integration and automation. In 2016, more
advanced marketers will increasingly integrate mobile with their legacy marketing and campaign
automation systems. The goal is to deliver visible value into the user’s day and limit intrusive
marketing by arming themselves with holistic insights into their brand interactions and context
and becoming value aware. In 2016, expect big marketing cloud vendors like Adobe, Oracle,
or Salesforce and mobile-centric solutions like Kahuna, Leanplum, or Swrve to provide not just
automation to deliver engagements rapidly, but machine learning to derive insights from big data
and drive campaign optimization.10
Action for marketers: Define a mobile engagement strategy and select a partner. Marketers
must work with mobile engagement automation solutions that can crunch context and customer
information in real time to allow them to engage with customers proactively in their mobile
moments, generating a clear competitive advantage. Use Forrester’s vendor landscape on mobile
engagement automation solutions to take the right steps to define your mobile engagement
strategy and select the right strategic partner.11
For B2C Marketing Professionals
2016 Mobile And App Marketing Trends
January 25, 2016
© 2016 Forrester Research, Inc. Unauthorized copying or distributing is a violation of copyright law.
Citations@forrester.com or +1 866-367-7378
3
Integrating Mobile In Your Strategy As A Key Brand Differentiator
›› See a new equation emerge: Mobile * Offline > Digital. In 2016, mobile’s role in influencing sales
will reach at least 30% of US retail sales, while fears of showrooming are vanishing.12
Mobile wallets
are a good example of how mobile can change the in-store game by offering a combined checkout
experience. “While it is still the early days for mobile wallet marketing, 100% of the retailers we work
with see clear incremental revenues by mobilizing their coupons and loyalty programs and
personalizing offerings in-store,” said Mark Tack, VP marketing at Vibes, a mobile marketing
platform solution.13
Mobile’s ability to augment offline channels will accelerate significantly: from
second-screen TV campaigns à la Shazam, to QR codes, to access branded content or to pay for
goods, to in-store beacons to capture offline data on how people navigate a store.
Action for marketers: Use mobile to transform the offline customer experience. It is now time
for marketers to stop thinking of mobile as a sub-digital media or channel. Use journey mapping
and ethnographic research to add mobile in your customer journey and understand where mobile
will add value.
›› Find mobile attribution solutions maturing to support cross-channel planning. Among the
various options available to attribute in-store purchases to mobile ads, almost two-thirds of US
marketers still consider mobile coupons as the most effective method for attributing in-store
purchases to mobile ads.14
In 2016, several mobile marketing vendors such as 4Info, adjust,
AppsFlyer, Kochava, Tapad, and Tune (but also Criteo, or even Facebook) will make progress in
cracking mobile attribution. “I believe a deterministic approach to attribution, relying on direct
mobile activity, really enables marketers to optimize their marketing mix,” Peter Hamilton, CEO of
Tune, told us.15
Action for marketers: No more excuses — it’s time to measure across channels. With the
myriad probabilistic and determinist solutions today, there is no better time to measure the impact
of mobile. Beyond scaling mobile coupons initiatives, marketers should test new attribution
solutions to prove and scale customer life-cycle engagement. Mature B2C marketers should track
and measure the impact of mobile on other online and offline channels, fostering cross-channel
planning thanks to mobile attribution. Bridging the cross-device chasm is a difficult exercise that
requires marketers to make deterministic matching and customer identification strategic priorities.16
›› Finally integrate mobile into their marketing mix, increasing mobile investments. Based on a
robust cross-media attribution modeling approach, the Mobile Marketing Association (MMA) SMoX
research analysis, along with campaigns from AT&T, Coca-Cola, MasterCard, and Walmart, has
proved that most marketers are under-investing in mobile and that the optimal allocation of mobile
in the overall marketing mix (not just in digital) ranges from between 8% and 20%.17
“In 2016, I
know a number of CMOs at top leading US brands that are allocating up to 20% of their budgets
to mobile in their overall marketing mix and to capture the competitive advantage of being a first
mover,” Greg Stuart, the CEO of the Global Mobile Marketing Association, told us.18
For B2C Marketing Professionals
2016 Mobile And App Marketing Trends
January 25, 2016
© 2016 Forrester Research, Inc. Unauthorized copying or distributing is a violation of copyright law.
Citations@forrester.com or +1 866-367-7378
4
Integrating Mobile In Your Strategy As A Key Brand Differentiator
Action for marketers: Align mobile success metrics with business outcomes. Most marketers
still live with a mismatch between marketers’ top mobile objectives (improve customer engagement,
increase customer satisfaction) and the metrics they follow to measure success (active users, time
spent, traffic, and app downloads).19
To be in a better position to evaluate the ROI of mobile
marketing, marketers should make sure mobile serves broad business objectives, and they should
measure the full impact of mobile on the broader marketing mix (TV, radio, Internet, etc.).
The Divide Between Mobile Web And Apps Starts To Fade
Consumers spend 78% of their mobile time in apps, while web browsing only accounts for 22% of
time spent on mobile.20
And apps offer the best-of-breed user experience, offer personalized value,
load much faster, offer send and push notifications, and are easier to integrate with device sensors,
right? Well, not so fast. In 2016, we expect a few trends challenging the established divide between
mobile Web and mobile apps:
1.	 The experience gap between mobile Web and apps will slowly decrease. First, Apple (with
Web Markup) and Google (with App Indexing) recognize that more people are using browsers
to discover apps, and have therefore turned the Web into a dominant component in their app
store algorithms. Second, fast-loading pages such as Facebook’s Instant Articles or Google’s
Accelerated Mobile Pages aim to turn the slow experience of rendering web pages on mobile
into a seamless, rapid process.21
Third, push notifications are slowly moving to the mobile Web
with Google’s recent support of push notification for web browsers. Lastly, Google announced in
July 2015 the launch of Eddystone — an open software platform — allowing beacons to send out
encoded links to smartphone browsers in addition to apps.22
Action for marketers: Use the mobile Web for acquisition and apps for engagement. While
native apps will continue to offer the best and most engaging experiences in 2016, the mobile
Web will remain a fantastic acquisition tool. Marketers should analyze mobile pathways of your
customers — with Forrester’s mobile pathway analytic framework — to chart the immediate path
customers take to and from your brand’s mobile moments.23
2.	 The mobile app install war will continue but will be less and less relevant. Facebook’s early bet
on the importance of social app discovery made it the de facto leader for paid acquisition
campaigns. As anticipated last year, Google started to catch up in this space by announcing
universal app campaigns in May 2015 and, more recently, Google App Previews to stream an app
before downloading it.24
Despite fierce competition and because marketers with deep pockets still
want their apps to stand out from the crowd, the cost per install (CPI) has increased to $1.53 in
October 2015, according to Fiksu, a mobile marketing platform.25
However, in 2016, this level of new
user acquisition cost will not be sustainable for a growing number of marketers. As Jérôme Perani,
head of mobile at Altice Media, told us: “The CPI on Facebook can run as high as €5 for us if you
don’t invest in hypertargeted campaigns during special events; this is simply too expensive.”26
For B2C Marketing Professionals
2016 Mobile And App Marketing Trends
January 25, 2016
© 2016 Forrester Research, Inc. Unauthorized copying or distributing is a violation of copyright law.
Citations@forrester.com or +1 866-367-7378
5
Integrating Mobile In Your Strategy As A Key Brand Differentiator
Action for marketers: Invest in app analytics and master ASO. To stop wasting money,
marketers should use app data (post-install attribution, engagement, retention, and lifetime value)
to model how much they can afford to pay to acquire a new app user. Then, if it still makes sense,
you can use many different app store optimization (ASO) tools — like Mobile Action, Mobile DevHq,
AppAnnie, Sensor Tower, or Keyword Planner — to identify what keywords can help your app
stand out in application stores. In reality, it is still more effective to partner with a mobile marketing
agency to understand the specific ASO tactics for App Store versus Google Play.27
According to
Rubi Cohen, VP marketing at Moburst, a mobile marketing agency, “Because of deep linking and
app indexing, ASO will start merging with SEO in 2016.”
3.	 Few apps will get most of users’ time, and messaging apps will morph into platforms. On
average, UK and US consumers use an average of about 25 apps per month. However, the average
smartphone owner spends more than 88% of his time on just five downloaded apps (see Figure
1). When observing the distribution of all US and UK smartphone minutes spent on apps in each
market, messaging and social media apps make up a sizable chunk of all the app time spent on
smartphones — not gaming, as is commonly assumed (see Figure 2 and see Figure 3). Messaging
apps like WeChat or Facebook Messenger will increasingly morph into marketing and commerce
platforms and emerge as alternative ecosystems to Android and iOS as brands look to serve
existing customers in context and developers flock to platforms with large audiences.
Action for marketers: Create a strategy for “borrowing” mobile moments. In 2016, smart
marketers will borrow their way to customers’ home screens by partnering with one of the small
number of apps that command the majority of consumers’ mobile prime time. Don’t just think
media buys, but embed your services in other apps like hotel group AccorHotels is doing by
seamlessly integrating Uber’s car sharing service in its customers’ journeys. For example, if you are
a global brand investing in China, you must deeply understand the WeChat phenomenon and how
it can be used to reinvent consumer relationships and a social CRM platform.
For B2C Marketing Professionals
2016 Mobile And App Marketing Trends
January 25, 2016
© 2016 Forrester Research, Inc. Unauthorized copying or distributing is a violation of copyright law.
Citations@forrester.com or +1 866-367-7378
6
Integrating Mobile In Your Strategy As A Key Brand Differentiator
FIGURE 1 Average Smartphone Owners Spends 88% Of Their App Time In Just Five Downloaded Apps
Distribution of time spent across most time-consuming apps for
the average US smartphone owner
Note: Preinstalled (native) email and messaging apps are not included in the analysis.
Source: Forrester’s US Consumer Technographics®
Behavioral Study, August 2015 To October 2015
Base: 1996 US online smartphone owners (18+)
88% of time spent
on apps by all US
smartphone owners
are in the top five.
Popular time-consuming apps:
Facebook
YouTube
Instagram
Gmail
Facebook
Messenger
The average smartphone owner spends
almost half their total app time in one app.
App 1
App 2
App 3
App 4
App 5
Apps 6-24
46%
19%
11%
7%
5%
12%
For B2C Marketing Professionals
2016 Mobile And App Marketing Trends
January 25, 2016
© 2016 Forrester Research, Inc. Unauthorized copying or distributing is a violation of copyright law.
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Integrating Mobile In Your Strategy As A Key Brand Differentiator
FIGURE 2 Time Spent On Apps Is Concentrated Among A Few Apps In The US
15% Facebook
(+5%)
5% YouTube
(-1%)
5% Maps
(0%)
4% Gmail
(+1%)
4% Stocks
(+1%)
1% Amazon
1% Google Drive
1% eBay
1% Google Maps
1% Pinterest
1% Snapchat
1% Fitbit
1% Hangouts
2% FB Messenger
2% WhatsApp
2% Twitter
2% AppStore
2% Yahoo Mail
2% Pandora
3% Instagram
Distribution of total minutes spent on apps by all US smartphone owners (+18)
(X%) = Percentage point difference from 2014
Note: Preinstalled (native) email and messaging apps are not included in the analysis.
Source: Forrester’s US Consumer Technographics®
Behavioral Study, August 2015 To October 2015
Base: 1996 US online smartphone owners (18+)
For B2C Marketing Professionals
2016 Mobile And App Marketing Trends
January 25, 2016
© 2016 Forrester Research, Inc. Unauthorized copying or distributing is a violation of copyright law.
Citations@forrester.com or +1 866-367-7378
8
Integrating Mobile In Your Strategy As A Key Brand Differentiator
FIGURE 3 Time Spent On Apps Is Even More Concentrated In The UK
1% Google Drive
1% Skype
2% Candy Crush Saga
2% Yahoo Mail
2% Weather
2% Instagram
2% Netflix
2% Amazon
3% FB Messenger
3% eBay
3% Gmail
Distribution of total minutes spent on apps by all UK smartphone owners (+18)
(X%) = Percentage point difference from 2014
Note: Preinstalled (native) email and messaging apps are not included in the analysis.
Source: Forrester’s UK Consumer Technographics®
Behavioral Study, August 2015 To October 2015
Base: 907 UK online smartphone owners (18+)
15% Facebook
(+2%)
9% WhatsApp
(-4%)
6% YouTube
(0%)
5% Stocks
(+3%)
4% Maps
(+1%)
2% Snapchat
2% BBC News
2% AppStore
2% Twitter
In 2016, Mobile Enables Brand Innovation With Adjacent Technologies
While it is still the early days for technologies like AI, VR, and IoT, all of them will rely on smartphones
for some of their connectivity and as a key enabler of these new innovative experiences. In 2016, in
particular, we expect:
›› Artificial intelligence and voice-based personal assistants to inspire more conversational
apps. Digital platforms will accelerate their efforts in improving voice-based anticipatory agents
such as Amazon Echo, Google Now, or Microsoft Cortana. By leveraging contextual data and AI —
and sometimes human curation as for Facebook M — these services will predict customers’ needs,
offer a new human-to-machine interface and prompt a conversational approach. While we expect
developer API access and customer usage to be very limited in 2016, these players will offer a
For B2C Marketing Professionals
2016 Mobile And App Marketing Trends
January 25, 2016
© 2016 Forrester Research, Inc. Unauthorized copying or distributing is a violation of copyright law.
Citations@forrester.com or +1 866-367-7378
9
Integrating Mobile In Your Strategy As A Key Brand Differentiator
glimpse into the next generation of app experiences. Opening up these platforms like Apple Siri to
app developers could be a catalyst for brand innovation. “I think it will be very interesting to look at
market innovations combining messaging and AI in 2016,” David Hewitt, vice president, global lead
for mobility strategy at SapientNitro, confirmed to us.28
Action for marketers: Experiment early and learn from innovative startups. While still in its early
days, AI and anticipatory intelligent agents will move beyond mobile to be used in connected cars or
connected homes and could supplant marketers’ own apps.29
It is key to prepare now for the next
wave of brand innovation by experimenting early and keeping a close eye on the numerous innovative
startups such as Snips, who is planning to put AI in every connected device, having recently released
a predictive address keyboard aggregating and suggesting addresses in any app that needs one.30
Marketers today can already learn from advanced players like Lark and how they have leveraged AI
and mobile analytics to deliver a personalized fitness coaching assistant.31
›› Virtual reality will start opening up experimental opportunities for brands. Facebook’s Oculus,
Google’s Cardboard, Samsung’s Gear VR, or Sony’s PlayStation VR will all be commercially
available during 2016 and will get cheaper and cheaper. Reach on these new platforms will be
initially limited because it will take time to build a significant installed base. For example, we
estimate that Oculus will sell 1 million units globally in 2016 and that Microsoft could sell more
than 1 million HoloLens headsets in its first full year once it’s officially on the market, pending
product pricing and availability.32
“I think VR is a way to deliver a differentiated experience upper
in the funnel — a massive wow factor — for example to help people plan their trips or experience
products visiting virtual high-street stores,” Ross Sleight, chief strategy officer at Somo, a
technology innovation agency told us.33
Action for marketers: Experiment with innovative agencies to deliver new experiences. While
the primary use cases will be for immersive gaming and entertainment environments, innovative
marketers at retail, automotive, travel, or hospitality companies should work on prototypes with
their agencies. VR will enable them to connect in new ways with consumers in the discovery and
explore phases of the consumer life cycle. To avoid confusion with AR or mixed reality, marketers
should use Forrester’s evaluation matrix to choose the right technology.34
›› IoT’s opportunities hype will expand to the consumer space. In 2016, the growing adoption
of wearables and smart home products will start opening new opportunities for B2C marketers.
While independent of mobile, these early experiences will all be directly connected to smartphones
via companion apps. Usage of connected objects will remain niche but will create interesting
opportunities for brands to create more intimate relationships and differentiate customer
experiences. Few brands though will be in a position — like Disney’s MagicBands or Royal
Caribbean International’s Quantum of the Seas — to fully scale such differentiated experiences.35
Action for marketers: Lead or at the very minimum join IoT pilots or projects. Don’t let
technology management executives, product owners, or designers define the future of your
relationship with consumers without you taking the lead. Focus your energy on what IoT means to
the relationship with your customers and on how it could help you reinvent your consumer brand.
For B2C Marketing Professionals
2016 Mobile And App Marketing Trends
January 25, 2016
© 2016 Forrester Research, Inc. Unauthorized copying or distributing is a violation of copyright law.
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Integrating Mobile In Your Strategy As A Key Brand Differentiator
Supplemental Material
Survey Methodology
Forrester’s Q3 2015 Global Mobile Executive Online Survey received 215 complete or partial responses
from professionals from our ongoing Marketing and Strategy Research Panel. The panel consists
of volunteers who join on the basis of interest and familiarity with specific marketing and strategy
topics. For quality assurance, panelists are required to provide contact information and answer basic
questions about their firms’ revenue and budgets. Forrester fielded the survey in Q3 2015. Respondent
incentives included a summary of the survey results. Exact sample sizes are provided in this report on
a question-by-question basis. Panels are not guaranteed to be representative of the population. Unless
otherwise noted, statistical data is intended to be used for descriptive and not inferential purposes.
Data from Forrester’s Consumer Technographics® Behavioral Study, August 2015 through October
2015 in this report comes from Forrester’s US Consumer Technographics® Mobile Audience Data,
our ongoing smartphone and tablet behavioral tracking panels in the US. Data is taken from US
online smartphone owners (18+) and a subset of US online tablet owners (18+). Forrester uses
ResearchNow’s passive meter tracking technology on an ongoing basis to capture and record all
smartphone behaviors and, for a subset of the panel, tablet behaviors. The behavioral tracking
panel in the US is weighted to be representative of online smartphone owners. Each of the panelists
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Integrating Mobile In Your Strategy As A Key Brand Differentiator
downloaded an application that runs a passive metering technology to measure what people do in their
daily lives on their smartphones and tablets. Panelists are monetarily incentivized on a monthly basis
for their participation.
We track behavior on iOS and Android supported devices for apps that communicate with web servers,
with the exception of preinstalled (native) email and messaging apps. We collect URL website data
from native web browsers that come pre-installed on a user’s smartphone/tablet at the truncated URL
level. For non-native (downloaded) web browser apps, we do not collect URL behavior.
We apply data cleaning rules to eliminate outliers including: individual session cleaning, extremely
heavy user sessions, minimum usage sessions, and extreme user daily aggregated single app usage
and total app usage. We remove certain native applications that are part of the back end process.
We calculate all behavioral metrics at the month level and average equally across months for the date
range specified. All data displayed has a sample size of more than 30 participants. We do not deem
any data with a sample size of fewer than 30 as statistically representative of a general population.
Endnotes
1
	 For more information on the mobile mind shift and the effects of a sophisticated approach to mobile experiences, see
the “Predictions 2015: Most Brands Will Underinvest In Mobile” Forrester report.
2
	 Source: Forrester’s Q3 2015 Global Mobile Executive Online Survey.
3
	 For more detailed information, readers can download the full report on Marin Software website. Source: “The Q3
2015 Performance Marketer’s Benchmark Report,” Marin Software, 2015 (http://www.marinsoftware.com/resources/
whitepapers/the-q3-2015-performance-marketers-benchmark-report-vital-search-social-and-display-performance-
data-by-device).
4
	 For more information on the full scope of mobile ad strategy opportunity for marketers, see the “Executive Q&A: Five
Key Questions To Kick Off Your Mobile Video Advertising Strategy” Forrester report.
5
	 Source: Matthew Ingram, “Pandora continues to grow, but giants loom on the horizon,” Fortune, July 23, 2015 (http://
fortune.com/2015/07/23/pandora-earnings/).
6
	 Source: “Ad Supported Is 56% Of US Streaming Revenue,” Music Industry Blog, September 25, 2015 (https://
musicindustryblog.wordpress.com/2015/09/25/ad-supported-is-56-of-us-streaming-revenue/).
7
	 For more information on IAB’s Mobile Phone Creative Guidelines, check out the following website. Source: “Mobile
Phone Creative Guidelines,” IAB, 2015 (http://www.iab.com/guidelines/mobile-phone-creative-guidelines/).
8
	 For more information on the importance of separating mobile video ad strategies from TV campaigns, see the “Don’t
Rerun Your TV Commercials For Mobile Video Ads” Forrester report.
9
	 For more information on the New York Times’ messaging strategy, check out the following website. Source: Lucia
Moses, “Inside The New York Times’ new push notifications team,” Digiday, November 3, 2015 (http://digiday.com/
publishers/inside-new-york-times-new-push-notifications-team/).
10
	For more information on the top 15 mobile trends, see the “Predictions 2016: The Mobile Revolution Accelerates”
Forrester report.
For B2C Marketing Professionals
2016 Mobile And App Marketing Trends
January 25, 2016
© 2016 Forrester Research, Inc. Unauthorized copying or distributing is a violation of copyright law.
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12
Integrating Mobile In Your Strategy As A Key Brand Differentiator
11
	For more information on the emerging landscape of mobile engagement automation, see the “Vendor Landscape:
Mobile Engagement Automation Solutions” Forrester report.
12
	In the US, more than 30% of sales will have a mobile cross-channel component, meaning consumers will use mobile
at some point throughout the purchase life cycle, from product research to in-store interactions. Source: Forrester
Research Web-Influenced Retail Sales Forecast, 2015 To 2020 (US).
13
	Source: Interview with Forrester on December 17, 2015.
14
	Source: “State of the Industry: How Mobile Is Changing Marketing,” Digiday (http://digiday.com/marchex-state-of-the-
industry-how-mobile-is-changing-marketing/).
15
	Source: Interview with Forrester on December 2, 2015.
16
	For more information on cross-device targeting and measurement, see the “Bridging The Cross-Device Chasm”
Forrester report.
17
	For more information on the MMA’s SMoX study, check out the following website. Source: “SMoX Study,” Mobile
Marketing Association (http://www.mmaglobal.com/smox).
18
	Source: Interview with Forrester on November 24, 2015.
19
	Source: Forrester’s Q3 2015 Global Mobile Executive Online Survey.
20
	Source: Forrester’s US Consumer Technographics Behavioral Study, August 2015 To October 2015.
21
	Source: Michael Reckhow, “Introducing Instant Articles,” Facebook Media, May 12, 2015 (http://media.
fb.com/2015/05/12/instantarticles/) and “Introducing the Accelerated Mobile Pages Project, for a faster, open mobile
web,” Google Blog, October 7, 2015 (https://googleblog.blogspot.fr/2015/10/introducing-accelerated-mobile-pages.
html).
22
	Source: “Lighting the way with BLE beacons,” Google Developers Blog, July 14, 2015 (http://googledevelopers.
blogspot.fr/2015/07/lighting-way-with-ble-beacons.html).
23
	For more information on customers’ direct engagement with a mobile app or site, see the “Master Your Customers’
Mobile Pathways” Forrester report.
24
	Source: Sarah Perez “Google Search Now Surfaces App-Only Content, Streams Apps From The Cloud When Not
Installed On Your Phone,” TechCrunch, November 18, 2015 (http://techcrunch.com/2015/11/18/google-search-now-
surfaces-app-only-content-streams-apps-from-the-cloud-when-not-installed-on-your-phone/#.0tglfa:IFvz).
25
	For more information, check out the following website. Source: Jeremy Sacco, “Fiksu’s September Indexes: App
Downloads Reach Lowest Volume in Past Year,” The Fiksu Blog, October 29, 2015 (https://www.fiksu.com/blog/
fiksu%E2%80%99s-september-indexes-app-downloads-reach-lowest-volume-past-year).
26
	Source: Interview with Forrester on September 25, 2015.
27
	In an interview with Forrester on December 10, 2015, Rubi Cohen, VP marketing at Moburst, a mobile marketing
agency, listed five key differences between ASO on Google Play versus Apple App Store: 1) Meta keywords are very
important for App Store but don’t exist in Google Play; 2) Google Play allows up to seven images, App Store only
allows for five; 3) Most important graphic for Google Play is feature graphic — doesn’t exist in Apple; 4) Apple ASO
can only be updated with new versions, Google Play can be updated at any time; and 5) Google Play has built-in A/B
testing platform.
28
	Source: Interview with Forrester on December 8, 2015.
29
	For more information on the emerging technology of cognitive systems and engagement, see the “Cognitive
Engagement: A New Force Of Creative Destruction” Forrester report.
For B2C Marketing Professionals
2016 Mobile And App Marketing Trends
January 25, 2016
© 2016 Forrester Research, Inc. Unauthorized copying or distributing is a violation of copyright law.
Citations@forrester.com or +1 866-367-7378
13
Integrating Mobile In Your Strategy As A Key Brand Differentiator
30
	For more information on SNIPS, check out the following website. Source: Rand Hindi, “Announcing the Snips
Predicitve Address Keyboard Beta for iOS!” Medium, September 7, 2015 (https://medium.com/snips-ai/snips-
predictive-address-keyboard-beta-66a296a1971#.vvq3tiogc) and (https://medium.com/snips-ai/the-future-of-
computing-and-search-or-why-and-how-i-joined-snips-b7e7eddeffbd#.7zyu5tngx).
31
	For more information on delivering life-changing mobile moments through Forrester’s IDEA cycle, see the “Case Study:
Win Customers With Mobile Analytics” Forrester report.
32
	We previously estimated that if Microsoft had a reasonably priced HoloLens available to consumers at the outset of
2016, it could sell as many as 1.8 million of them in the same year. We still believe it could sell more than 1 million
units in its first full year once it’s officially on the market, however it’s waiting for product pricing and availability. For
more information on the HoloLens and the impact of devices that follow it, see the “Brief: Microsoft HoloLens Changes
Everything With The Next Natural Computing Interface” Forrester report.
33
	Source: Interview with Forrester on November 16, 2015.
34
	For more information on choosing the right augmented reality or virtual reality device through Forrester’s Evaluation
Matrix, see the “Augmented And Virtual Reality Should Be Part Of The Innovator’s Toolkit” Forrester report.
35
	For more information on the Internet of Things technologies and how they can be incorporated into a winning business
technology agenda, see the “Bridge The Broken Internet-Of-Things Promise” Forrester report.
We work with business and technology leaders to develop
customer-obsessed strategies that drive growth.
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2016 mobile and app marketing trends

  • 1. 2016 Mobile And App Marketing Trends Integrating Mobile In Your Strategy As A Key Brand Differentiator by Thomas Husson January 25, 2016 FOR B2C MARkETINg PROFESSIONAlS FORRESTER.COM key Takeaways Integrating Mobile In Your Marketing Strategy Becomes A Key Differentiator While most brands are trying to mobilize their ads, few are going the extra mile: serving their customers in their mobile moments by transforming the entire customer experience. Those who go that extra mile will differentiate their brands via mobile. These leaders will also start measuring the impact of mobile on offline channels and will end up allocating up to 20% of their marketing budgets to mobile. Lines Between Mobile Web And Apps Will Start Blurring Consumers will continue to spend their time in fewer apps, turning their attention especially to messaging apps that will progressively become application ecosystems on their own. However, the gap between mobile Web and app experiences will slowly start shrinking and it will be easier to move between these environments. Mobile Will Enable Brand Innovation With Artificial Intelligence, Virtual Reality, And IoT Artificial intelligence (AI), virtual reality (VR), and the Internet of Things (IoT) are key technologies going way beyond the mobile space. In 2016, smartphones will activate them and enable B2C marketers to innovate. Why Read This Report More than 50% of searches are happening on a mobile device and US consumers spent more time with mobile apps than watching TV in 2015. In India, Flipkart — the largest eCommerce player — has unplugged the desktop Web and only engages with consumers via mobile. How will mobile trends impact brands in 2016? This report highlights the key mobile and app trends that B2C marketers should expect in 2016, and guides senior marketers in making the right calls when crafting their mobile marketing strategies for the coming year.
  • 2. 2 4 8 10 © 2016 Forrester Research, Inc. Opinions reflect judgment at the time and are subject to change. Forrester® , Technographics® , Forrester Wave, RoleView, TechRadar, and Total Economic Impact are trademarks of Forrester Research, Inc. All other trademarks are the property of their respective companies. Unauthorized copying or distributing is a violation of copyright law. Citations@forrester.com or +1 866-367-7378 Forrester Research, Inc., 60 Acorn Park Drive, Cambridge, MA 02140 USA +1 617-613-6000 | Fax: +1 617-613-5000 | forrester.com Table Of Contents Few Brands Embrace Integrated Mobile Strategies To Differentiate The Divide Between Mobile Web And Apps Starts To Fade In 2016, Mobile Enables Brand Innovation With Adjacent Technologies Supplemental Material Notes & Resources Forrester interviewed dozens of vendor and user companies during Q4 2015. Related Research Documents 2015 Mobile App Marketing Trends Predictions 2016: The Mobile Revolution Accelerates Predictions 2015: Most Brands Will Underinvest In Mobile For B2C Marketing Professionals 2016 Mobile And App Marketing Trends Integrating Mobile In Your Strategy As A Key Brand Differentiator by Thomas Husson with Luca S. Paderni, Nicole Dvorak, Jennifer Wise, Michael Facemire, Ryan Skinner, Theresa Pappafotopoulos, Kasia Madej, and Laura Glazer January 25, 2016
  • 3. For B2C Marketing Professionals 2016 Mobile And App Marketing Trends January 25, 2016 © 2016 Forrester Research, Inc. Unauthorized copying or distributing is a violation of copyright law. Citations@forrester.com or +1 866-367-7378 2 Integrating Mobile In Your Strategy As A Key Brand Differentiator Few Brands Embrace Integrated Mobile Strategies To Differentiate A year ago, Forrester said most brands would underinvest in mobile.1 This is likely to remain the case in 2016, since too many marketers have a narrow view of mobile as a sub-digital media and channel. This is good news for the 20% of marketers that told us they have the budget they need and the 33% that know how to measure mobile ROI.2 In 2016, this growing minority of leading marketers will start to fully integrate mobile into their marketing strategies. These mature mobile marketers will measure the impact of mobile across channels, see a clear opportunity to differentiate their brands, and increase their investments in mobile initiatives. In 2016, we expect smart mobile marketers to: ›› Mobilize brand storytelling with sights, sounds, and motion. Display ads have exploded on mobile devices to the point at which they accounted for over 55% of all display ad clicks in Q3 2015, according to Marin Software.3 Video is the fastest-growing mobile ad format: We expect tablet and smartphone spend on video advertising to grow by 36.9% annually and to represent 43.8% of total display ad spend on these devices by 2019.4 Combined with new ad formats on apps like Facebook and Instagram and native feeds or Teads’ inRead, interest among brand marketers to mobilize their video content to tell stories is growing. Streaming music services like Pandora or Spotify have huge audiences of 85 and 75 million listeners, respectively, opening the door to audio advertising.5 Ad-supported streaming already represents 56% of US streaming revenue.6 Action for marketers: Align branded content with context. Marketers should make sure they embrace mobile-centric ad formats and follow IAB’s Mobile Phone Creative Guidelines.7 However, scaling content up and down to adapt to the screen size will not be enough. To really differentiate their brand experience, they must combine context with specific ad creative for the mobile environment, especially for mobile video.8 Brands should also leverage behavioral in-app data to deliver more contextualized and personalized content following the example of the New York Times, who has an 11-person team to focus on push alerts and in-app notifications.9 ›› Power mobile moments with deep marketing integration and automation. In 2016, more advanced marketers will increasingly integrate mobile with their legacy marketing and campaign automation systems. The goal is to deliver visible value into the user’s day and limit intrusive marketing by arming themselves with holistic insights into their brand interactions and context and becoming value aware. In 2016, expect big marketing cloud vendors like Adobe, Oracle, or Salesforce and mobile-centric solutions like Kahuna, Leanplum, or Swrve to provide not just automation to deliver engagements rapidly, but machine learning to derive insights from big data and drive campaign optimization.10 Action for marketers: Define a mobile engagement strategy and select a partner. Marketers must work with mobile engagement automation solutions that can crunch context and customer information in real time to allow them to engage with customers proactively in their mobile moments, generating a clear competitive advantage. Use Forrester’s vendor landscape on mobile engagement automation solutions to take the right steps to define your mobile engagement strategy and select the right strategic partner.11
  • 4. For B2C Marketing Professionals 2016 Mobile And App Marketing Trends January 25, 2016 © 2016 Forrester Research, Inc. Unauthorized copying or distributing is a violation of copyright law. Citations@forrester.com or +1 866-367-7378 3 Integrating Mobile In Your Strategy As A Key Brand Differentiator ›› See a new equation emerge: Mobile * Offline > Digital. In 2016, mobile’s role in influencing sales will reach at least 30% of US retail sales, while fears of showrooming are vanishing.12 Mobile wallets are a good example of how mobile can change the in-store game by offering a combined checkout experience. “While it is still the early days for mobile wallet marketing, 100% of the retailers we work with see clear incremental revenues by mobilizing their coupons and loyalty programs and personalizing offerings in-store,” said Mark Tack, VP marketing at Vibes, a mobile marketing platform solution.13 Mobile’s ability to augment offline channels will accelerate significantly: from second-screen TV campaigns à la Shazam, to QR codes, to access branded content or to pay for goods, to in-store beacons to capture offline data on how people navigate a store. Action for marketers: Use mobile to transform the offline customer experience. It is now time for marketers to stop thinking of mobile as a sub-digital media or channel. Use journey mapping and ethnographic research to add mobile in your customer journey and understand where mobile will add value. ›› Find mobile attribution solutions maturing to support cross-channel planning. Among the various options available to attribute in-store purchases to mobile ads, almost two-thirds of US marketers still consider mobile coupons as the most effective method for attributing in-store purchases to mobile ads.14 In 2016, several mobile marketing vendors such as 4Info, adjust, AppsFlyer, Kochava, Tapad, and Tune (but also Criteo, or even Facebook) will make progress in cracking mobile attribution. “I believe a deterministic approach to attribution, relying on direct mobile activity, really enables marketers to optimize their marketing mix,” Peter Hamilton, CEO of Tune, told us.15 Action for marketers: No more excuses — it’s time to measure across channels. With the myriad probabilistic and determinist solutions today, there is no better time to measure the impact of mobile. Beyond scaling mobile coupons initiatives, marketers should test new attribution solutions to prove and scale customer life-cycle engagement. Mature B2C marketers should track and measure the impact of mobile on other online and offline channels, fostering cross-channel planning thanks to mobile attribution. Bridging the cross-device chasm is a difficult exercise that requires marketers to make deterministic matching and customer identification strategic priorities.16 ›› Finally integrate mobile into their marketing mix, increasing mobile investments. Based on a robust cross-media attribution modeling approach, the Mobile Marketing Association (MMA) SMoX research analysis, along with campaigns from AT&T, Coca-Cola, MasterCard, and Walmart, has proved that most marketers are under-investing in mobile and that the optimal allocation of mobile in the overall marketing mix (not just in digital) ranges from between 8% and 20%.17 “In 2016, I know a number of CMOs at top leading US brands that are allocating up to 20% of their budgets to mobile in their overall marketing mix and to capture the competitive advantage of being a first mover,” Greg Stuart, the CEO of the Global Mobile Marketing Association, told us.18
  • 5. For B2C Marketing Professionals 2016 Mobile And App Marketing Trends January 25, 2016 © 2016 Forrester Research, Inc. Unauthorized copying or distributing is a violation of copyright law. Citations@forrester.com or +1 866-367-7378 4 Integrating Mobile In Your Strategy As A Key Brand Differentiator Action for marketers: Align mobile success metrics with business outcomes. Most marketers still live with a mismatch between marketers’ top mobile objectives (improve customer engagement, increase customer satisfaction) and the metrics they follow to measure success (active users, time spent, traffic, and app downloads).19 To be in a better position to evaluate the ROI of mobile marketing, marketers should make sure mobile serves broad business objectives, and they should measure the full impact of mobile on the broader marketing mix (TV, radio, Internet, etc.). The Divide Between Mobile Web And Apps Starts To Fade Consumers spend 78% of their mobile time in apps, while web browsing only accounts for 22% of time spent on mobile.20 And apps offer the best-of-breed user experience, offer personalized value, load much faster, offer send and push notifications, and are easier to integrate with device sensors, right? Well, not so fast. In 2016, we expect a few trends challenging the established divide between mobile Web and mobile apps: 1. The experience gap between mobile Web and apps will slowly decrease. First, Apple (with Web Markup) and Google (with App Indexing) recognize that more people are using browsers to discover apps, and have therefore turned the Web into a dominant component in their app store algorithms. Second, fast-loading pages such as Facebook’s Instant Articles or Google’s Accelerated Mobile Pages aim to turn the slow experience of rendering web pages on mobile into a seamless, rapid process.21 Third, push notifications are slowly moving to the mobile Web with Google’s recent support of push notification for web browsers. Lastly, Google announced in July 2015 the launch of Eddystone — an open software platform — allowing beacons to send out encoded links to smartphone browsers in addition to apps.22 Action for marketers: Use the mobile Web for acquisition and apps for engagement. While native apps will continue to offer the best and most engaging experiences in 2016, the mobile Web will remain a fantastic acquisition tool. Marketers should analyze mobile pathways of your customers — with Forrester’s mobile pathway analytic framework — to chart the immediate path customers take to and from your brand’s mobile moments.23 2. The mobile app install war will continue but will be less and less relevant. Facebook’s early bet on the importance of social app discovery made it the de facto leader for paid acquisition campaigns. As anticipated last year, Google started to catch up in this space by announcing universal app campaigns in May 2015 and, more recently, Google App Previews to stream an app before downloading it.24 Despite fierce competition and because marketers with deep pockets still want their apps to stand out from the crowd, the cost per install (CPI) has increased to $1.53 in October 2015, according to Fiksu, a mobile marketing platform.25 However, in 2016, this level of new user acquisition cost will not be sustainable for a growing number of marketers. As Jérôme Perani, head of mobile at Altice Media, told us: “The CPI on Facebook can run as high as €5 for us if you don’t invest in hypertargeted campaigns during special events; this is simply too expensive.”26
  • 6. For B2C Marketing Professionals 2016 Mobile And App Marketing Trends January 25, 2016 © 2016 Forrester Research, Inc. Unauthorized copying or distributing is a violation of copyright law. Citations@forrester.com or +1 866-367-7378 5 Integrating Mobile In Your Strategy As A Key Brand Differentiator Action for marketers: Invest in app analytics and master ASO. To stop wasting money, marketers should use app data (post-install attribution, engagement, retention, and lifetime value) to model how much they can afford to pay to acquire a new app user. Then, if it still makes sense, you can use many different app store optimization (ASO) tools — like Mobile Action, Mobile DevHq, AppAnnie, Sensor Tower, or Keyword Planner — to identify what keywords can help your app stand out in application stores. In reality, it is still more effective to partner with a mobile marketing agency to understand the specific ASO tactics for App Store versus Google Play.27 According to Rubi Cohen, VP marketing at Moburst, a mobile marketing agency, “Because of deep linking and app indexing, ASO will start merging with SEO in 2016.” 3. Few apps will get most of users’ time, and messaging apps will morph into platforms. On average, UK and US consumers use an average of about 25 apps per month. However, the average smartphone owner spends more than 88% of his time on just five downloaded apps (see Figure 1). When observing the distribution of all US and UK smartphone minutes spent on apps in each market, messaging and social media apps make up a sizable chunk of all the app time spent on smartphones — not gaming, as is commonly assumed (see Figure 2 and see Figure 3). Messaging apps like WeChat or Facebook Messenger will increasingly morph into marketing and commerce platforms and emerge as alternative ecosystems to Android and iOS as brands look to serve existing customers in context and developers flock to platforms with large audiences. Action for marketers: Create a strategy for “borrowing” mobile moments. In 2016, smart marketers will borrow their way to customers’ home screens by partnering with one of the small number of apps that command the majority of consumers’ mobile prime time. Don’t just think media buys, but embed your services in other apps like hotel group AccorHotels is doing by seamlessly integrating Uber’s car sharing service in its customers’ journeys. For example, if you are a global brand investing in China, you must deeply understand the WeChat phenomenon and how it can be used to reinvent consumer relationships and a social CRM platform.
  • 7. For B2C Marketing Professionals 2016 Mobile And App Marketing Trends January 25, 2016 © 2016 Forrester Research, Inc. Unauthorized copying or distributing is a violation of copyright law. Citations@forrester.com or +1 866-367-7378 6 Integrating Mobile In Your Strategy As A Key Brand Differentiator FIGURE 1 Average Smartphone Owners Spends 88% Of Their App Time In Just Five Downloaded Apps Distribution of time spent across most time-consuming apps for the average US smartphone owner Note: Preinstalled (native) email and messaging apps are not included in the analysis. Source: Forrester’s US Consumer Technographics® Behavioral Study, August 2015 To October 2015 Base: 1996 US online smartphone owners (18+) 88% of time spent on apps by all US smartphone owners are in the top five. Popular time-consuming apps: Facebook YouTube Instagram Gmail Facebook Messenger The average smartphone owner spends almost half their total app time in one app. App 1 App 2 App 3 App 4 App 5 Apps 6-24 46% 19% 11% 7% 5% 12%
  • 8. For B2C Marketing Professionals 2016 Mobile And App Marketing Trends January 25, 2016 © 2016 Forrester Research, Inc. Unauthorized copying or distributing is a violation of copyright law. Citations@forrester.com or +1 866-367-7378 7 Integrating Mobile In Your Strategy As A Key Brand Differentiator FIGURE 2 Time Spent On Apps Is Concentrated Among A Few Apps In The US 15% Facebook (+5%) 5% YouTube (-1%) 5% Maps (0%) 4% Gmail (+1%) 4% Stocks (+1%) 1% Amazon 1% Google Drive 1% eBay 1% Google Maps 1% Pinterest 1% Snapchat 1% Fitbit 1% Hangouts 2% FB Messenger 2% WhatsApp 2% Twitter 2% AppStore 2% Yahoo Mail 2% Pandora 3% Instagram Distribution of total minutes spent on apps by all US smartphone owners (+18) (X%) = Percentage point difference from 2014 Note: Preinstalled (native) email and messaging apps are not included in the analysis. Source: Forrester’s US Consumer Technographics® Behavioral Study, August 2015 To October 2015 Base: 1996 US online smartphone owners (18+)
  • 9. For B2C Marketing Professionals 2016 Mobile And App Marketing Trends January 25, 2016 © 2016 Forrester Research, Inc. Unauthorized copying or distributing is a violation of copyright law. Citations@forrester.com or +1 866-367-7378 8 Integrating Mobile In Your Strategy As A Key Brand Differentiator FIGURE 3 Time Spent On Apps Is Even More Concentrated In The UK 1% Google Drive 1% Skype 2% Candy Crush Saga 2% Yahoo Mail 2% Weather 2% Instagram 2% Netflix 2% Amazon 3% FB Messenger 3% eBay 3% Gmail Distribution of total minutes spent on apps by all UK smartphone owners (+18) (X%) = Percentage point difference from 2014 Note: Preinstalled (native) email and messaging apps are not included in the analysis. Source: Forrester’s UK Consumer Technographics® Behavioral Study, August 2015 To October 2015 Base: 907 UK online smartphone owners (18+) 15% Facebook (+2%) 9% WhatsApp (-4%) 6% YouTube (0%) 5% Stocks (+3%) 4% Maps (+1%) 2% Snapchat 2% BBC News 2% AppStore 2% Twitter In 2016, Mobile Enables Brand Innovation With Adjacent Technologies While it is still the early days for technologies like AI, VR, and IoT, all of them will rely on smartphones for some of their connectivity and as a key enabler of these new innovative experiences. In 2016, in particular, we expect: ›› Artificial intelligence and voice-based personal assistants to inspire more conversational apps. Digital platforms will accelerate their efforts in improving voice-based anticipatory agents such as Amazon Echo, Google Now, or Microsoft Cortana. By leveraging contextual data and AI — and sometimes human curation as for Facebook M — these services will predict customers’ needs, offer a new human-to-machine interface and prompt a conversational approach. While we expect developer API access and customer usage to be very limited in 2016, these players will offer a
  • 10. For B2C Marketing Professionals 2016 Mobile And App Marketing Trends January 25, 2016 © 2016 Forrester Research, Inc. Unauthorized copying or distributing is a violation of copyright law. Citations@forrester.com or +1 866-367-7378 9 Integrating Mobile In Your Strategy As A Key Brand Differentiator glimpse into the next generation of app experiences. Opening up these platforms like Apple Siri to app developers could be a catalyst for brand innovation. “I think it will be very interesting to look at market innovations combining messaging and AI in 2016,” David Hewitt, vice president, global lead for mobility strategy at SapientNitro, confirmed to us.28 Action for marketers: Experiment early and learn from innovative startups. While still in its early days, AI and anticipatory intelligent agents will move beyond mobile to be used in connected cars or connected homes and could supplant marketers’ own apps.29 It is key to prepare now for the next wave of brand innovation by experimenting early and keeping a close eye on the numerous innovative startups such as Snips, who is planning to put AI in every connected device, having recently released a predictive address keyboard aggregating and suggesting addresses in any app that needs one.30 Marketers today can already learn from advanced players like Lark and how they have leveraged AI and mobile analytics to deliver a personalized fitness coaching assistant.31 ›› Virtual reality will start opening up experimental opportunities for brands. Facebook’s Oculus, Google’s Cardboard, Samsung’s Gear VR, or Sony’s PlayStation VR will all be commercially available during 2016 and will get cheaper and cheaper. Reach on these new platforms will be initially limited because it will take time to build a significant installed base. For example, we estimate that Oculus will sell 1 million units globally in 2016 and that Microsoft could sell more than 1 million HoloLens headsets in its first full year once it’s officially on the market, pending product pricing and availability.32 “I think VR is a way to deliver a differentiated experience upper in the funnel — a massive wow factor — for example to help people plan their trips or experience products visiting virtual high-street stores,” Ross Sleight, chief strategy officer at Somo, a technology innovation agency told us.33 Action for marketers: Experiment with innovative agencies to deliver new experiences. While the primary use cases will be for immersive gaming and entertainment environments, innovative marketers at retail, automotive, travel, or hospitality companies should work on prototypes with their agencies. VR will enable them to connect in new ways with consumers in the discovery and explore phases of the consumer life cycle. To avoid confusion with AR or mixed reality, marketers should use Forrester’s evaluation matrix to choose the right technology.34 ›› IoT’s opportunities hype will expand to the consumer space. In 2016, the growing adoption of wearables and smart home products will start opening new opportunities for B2C marketers. While independent of mobile, these early experiences will all be directly connected to smartphones via companion apps. Usage of connected objects will remain niche but will create interesting opportunities for brands to create more intimate relationships and differentiate customer experiences. Few brands though will be in a position — like Disney’s MagicBands or Royal Caribbean International’s Quantum of the Seas — to fully scale such differentiated experiences.35 Action for marketers: Lead or at the very minimum join IoT pilots or projects. Don’t let technology management executives, product owners, or designers define the future of your relationship with consumers without you taking the lead. Focus your energy on what IoT means to the relationship with your customers and on how it could help you reinvent your consumer brand.
  • 11. For B2C Marketing Professionals 2016 Mobile And App Marketing Trends January 25, 2016 © 2016 Forrester Research, Inc. Unauthorized copying or distributing is a violation of copyright law. Citations@forrester.com or +1 866-367-7378 10 Integrating Mobile In Your Strategy As A Key Brand Differentiator Supplemental Material Survey Methodology Forrester’s Q3 2015 Global Mobile Executive Online Survey received 215 complete or partial responses from professionals from our ongoing Marketing and Strategy Research Panel. The panel consists of volunteers who join on the basis of interest and familiarity with specific marketing and strategy topics. For quality assurance, panelists are required to provide contact information and answer basic questions about their firms’ revenue and budgets. Forrester fielded the survey in Q3 2015. Respondent incentives included a summary of the survey results. Exact sample sizes are provided in this report on a question-by-question basis. Panels are not guaranteed to be representative of the population. Unless otherwise noted, statistical data is intended to be used for descriptive and not inferential purposes. Data from Forrester’s Consumer Technographics® Behavioral Study, August 2015 through October 2015 in this report comes from Forrester’s US Consumer Technographics® Mobile Audience Data, our ongoing smartphone and tablet behavioral tracking panels in the US. Data is taken from US online smartphone owners (18+) and a subset of US online tablet owners (18+). Forrester uses ResearchNow’s passive meter tracking technology on an ongoing basis to capture and record all smartphone behaviors and, for a subset of the panel, tablet behaviors. The behavioral tracking panel in the US is weighted to be representative of online smartphone owners. Each of the panelists Engage With An Analyst Gain greater confidence in your decisions by working with Forrester thought leaders to apply our research to your specific business and technology initiatives. Analyst Inquiry Ask a question related to our research; a Forrester analyst will help you put it into practice and take the next step. Schedule a 30-minute phone session with the analyst or opt for a response via email. Learn more about inquiry, including tips for getting the most out of your discussion. Analyst Advisory Put research into practice with in-depth analysis of your specific business and technology challenges. Engagements include custom advisory calls, strategy days, workshops, speeches, and webinars. Learn about interactive advisory sessions and how we can support your initiatives.
  • 12. For B2C Marketing Professionals 2016 Mobile And App Marketing Trends January 25, 2016 © 2016 Forrester Research, Inc. Unauthorized copying or distributing is a violation of copyright law. Citations@forrester.com or +1 866-367-7378 11 Integrating Mobile In Your Strategy As A Key Brand Differentiator downloaded an application that runs a passive metering technology to measure what people do in their daily lives on their smartphones and tablets. Panelists are monetarily incentivized on a monthly basis for their participation. We track behavior on iOS and Android supported devices for apps that communicate with web servers, with the exception of preinstalled (native) email and messaging apps. We collect URL website data from native web browsers that come pre-installed on a user’s smartphone/tablet at the truncated URL level. For non-native (downloaded) web browser apps, we do not collect URL behavior. We apply data cleaning rules to eliminate outliers including: individual session cleaning, extremely heavy user sessions, minimum usage sessions, and extreme user daily aggregated single app usage and total app usage. We remove certain native applications that are part of the back end process. We calculate all behavioral metrics at the month level and average equally across months for the date range specified. All data displayed has a sample size of more than 30 participants. We do not deem any data with a sample size of fewer than 30 as statistically representative of a general population. Endnotes 1 For more information on the mobile mind shift and the effects of a sophisticated approach to mobile experiences, see the “Predictions 2015: Most Brands Will Underinvest In Mobile” Forrester report. 2 Source: Forrester’s Q3 2015 Global Mobile Executive Online Survey. 3 For more detailed information, readers can download the full report on Marin Software website. Source: “The Q3 2015 Performance Marketer’s Benchmark Report,” Marin Software, 2015 (http://www.marinsoftware.com/resources/ whitepapers/the-q3-2015-performance-marketers-benchmark-report-vital-search-social-and-display-performance- data-by-device). 4 For more information on the full scope of mobile ad strategy opportunity for marketers, see the “Executive Q&A: Five Key Questions To Kick Off Your Mobile Video Advertising Strategy” Forrester report. 5 Source: Matthew Ingram, “Pandora continues to grow, but giants loom on the horizon,” Fortune, July 23, 2015 (http:// fortune.com/2015/07/23/pandora-earnings/). 6 Source: “Ad Supported Is 56% Of US Streaming Revenue,” Music Industry Blog, September 25, 2015 (https:// musicindustryblog.wordpress.com/2015/09/25/ad-supported-is-56-of-us-streaming-revenue/). 7 For more information on IAB’s Mobile Phone Creative Guidelines, check out the following website. Source: “Mobile Phone Creative Guidelines,” IAB, 2015 (http://www.iab.com/guidelines/mobile-phone-creative-guidelines/). 8 For more information on the importance of separating mobile video ad strategies from TV campaigns, see the “Don’t Rerun Your TV Commercials For Mobile Video Ads” Forrester report. 9 For more information on the New York Times’ messaging strategy, check out the following website. Source: Lucia Moses, “Inside The New York Times’ new push notifications team,” Digiday, November 3, 2015 (http://digiday.com/ publishers/inside-new-york-times-new-push-notifications-team/). 10 For more information on the top 15 mobile trends, see the “Predictions 2016: The Mobile Revolution Accelerates” Forrester report.
  • 13. For B2C Marketing Professionals 2016 Mobile And App Marketing Trends January 25, 2016 © 2016 Forrester Research, Inc. Unauthorized copying or distributing is a violation of copyright law. Citations@forrester.com or +1 866-367-7378 12 Integrating Mobile In Your Strategy As A Key Brand Differentiator 11 For more information on the emerging landscape of mobile engagement automation, see the “Vendor Landscape: Mobile Engagement Automation Solutions” Forrester report. 12 In the US, more than 30% of sales will have a mobile cross-channel component, meaning consumers will use mobile at some point throughout the purchase life cycle, from product research to in-store interactions. Source: Forrester Research Web-Influenced Retail Sales Forecast, 2015 To 2020 (US). 13 Source: Interview with Forrester on December 17, 2015. 14 Source: “State of the Industry: How Mobile Is Changing Marketing,” Digiday (http://digiday.com/marchex-state-of-the- industry-how-mobile-is-changing-marketing/). 15 Source: Interview with Forrester on December 2, 2015. 16 For more information on cross-device targeting and measurement, see the “Bridging The Cross-Device Chasm” Forrester report. 17 For more information on the MMA’s SMoX study, check out the following website. Source: “SMoX Study,” Mobile Marketing Association (http://www.mmaglobal.com/smox). 18 Source: Interview with Forrester on November 24, 2015. 19 Source: Forrester’s Q3 2015 Global Mobile Executive Online Survey. 20 Source: Forrester’s US Consumer Technographics Behavioral Study, August 2015 To October 2015. 21 Source: Michael Reckhow, “Introducing Instant Articles,” Facebook Media, May 12, 2015 (http://media. fb.com/2015/05/12/instantarticles/) and “Introducing the Accelerated Mobile Pages Project, for a faster, open mobile web,” Google Blog, October 7, 2015 (https://googleblog.blogspot.fr/2015/10/introducing-accelerated-mobile-pages. html). 22 Source: “Lighting the way with BLE beacons,” Google Developers Blog, July 14, 2015 (http://googledevelopers. blogspot.fr/2015/07/lighting-way-with-ble-beacons.html). 23 For more information on customers’ direct engagement with a mobile app or site, see the “Master Your Customers’ Mobile Pathways” Forrester report. 24 Source: Sarah Perez “Google Search Now Surfaces App-Only Content, Streams Apps From The Cloud When Not Installed On Your Phone,” TechCrunch, November 18, 2015 (http://techcrunch.com/2015/11/18/google-search-now- surfaces-app-only-content-streams-apps-from-the-cloud-when-not-installed-on-your-phone/#.0tglfa:IFvz). 25 For more information, check out the following website. Source: Jeremy Sacco, “Fiksu’s September Indexes: App Downloads Reach Lowest Volume in Past Year,” The Fiksu Blog, October 29, 2015 (https://www.fiksu.com/blog/ fiksu%E2%80%99s-september-indexes-app-downloads-reach-lowest-volume-past-year). 26 Source: Interview with Forrester on September 25, 2015. 27 In an interview with Forrester on December 10, 2015, Rubi Cohen, VP marketing at Moburst, a mobile marketing agency, listed five key differences between ASO on Google Play versus Apple App Store: 1) Meta keywords are very important for App Store but don’t exist in Google Play; 2) Google Play allows up to seven images, App Store only allows for five; 3) Most important graphic for Google Play is feature graphic — doesn’t exist in Apple; 4) Apple ASO can only be updated with new versions, Google Play can be updated at any time; and 5) Google Play has built-in A/B testing platform. 28 Source: Interview with Forrester on December 8, 2015. 29 For more information on the emerging technology of cognitive systems and engagement, see the “Cognitive Engagement: A New Force Of Creative Destruction” Forrester report.
  • 14. For B2C Marketing Professionals 2016 Mobile And App Marketing Trends January 25, 2016 © 2016 Forrester Research, Inc. Unauthorized copying or distributing is a violation of copyright law. Citations@forrester.com or +1 866-367-7378 13 Integrating Mobile In Your Strategy As A Key Brand Differentiator 30 For more information on SNIPS, check out the following website. Source: Rand Hindi, “Announcing the Snips Predicitve Address Keyboard Beta for iOS!” Medium, September 7, 2015 (https://medium.com/snips-ai/snips- predictive-address-keyboard-beta-66a296a1971#.vvq3tiogc) and (https://medium.com/snips-ai/the-future-of- computing-and-search-or-why-and-how-i-joined-snips-b7e7eddeffbd#.7zyu5tngx). 31 For more information on delivering life-changing mobile moments through Forrester’s IDEA cycle, see the “Case Study: Win Customers With Mobile Analytics” Forrester report. 32 We previously estimated that if Microsoft had a reasonably priced HoloLens available to consumers at the outset of 2016, it could sell as many as 1.8 million of them in the same year. We still believe it could sell more than 1 million units in its first full year once it’s officially on the market, however it’s waiting for product pricing and availability. For more information on the HoloLens and the impact of devices that follow it, see the “Brief: Microsoft HoloLens Changes Everything With The Next Natural Computing Interface” Forrester report. 33 Source: Interview with Forrester on November 16, 2015. 34 For more information on choosing the right augmented reality or virtual reality device through Forrester’s Evaluation Matrix, see the “Augmented And Virtual Reality Should Be Part Of The Innovator’s Toolkit” Forrester report. 35 For more information on the Internet of Things technologies and how they can be incorporated into a winning business technology agenda, see the “Bridge The Broken Internet-Of-Things Promise” Forrester report.
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