Futures Thinking - Palestra na Escola Sustentare @daniel_egger
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The document discusses various concepts related to futures thinking including different types of possible futures like probable, preferred, possible, and plausible futures. It contrasts futures thinking with design thinking, noting that futures thinking is about understanding future contexts and implications while design thinking focuses more on current problems, contexts, insights, and solutions. The document also lists several areas that futures thinking and design thinking relate to such as complexity, uncertainty, research, and storytelling.
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Futures Thinking - Palestra na Escola Sustentare @daniel_egger
- 2. 2 “The real voyage consist not in seeking new lands, but in seeing with new eyes.” Marcel Proust
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- 6. 6 1938 1928 1910 1950 1905 1923
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- 9. 9 CONTEXT CIRCUNSTÂNCIA FUTURO PROVÁVEL FUTURO PREFERIDO FUTUROS POSSÍVEIS FUTUROS PLAUSÍVEL
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- 12. 12 Jean Laherrère, John Howe 4.7 barrels in 2012 81 Singapore 43 United Arab Emirates 39 Saudi Arabia 24 Canada 22 United States 17 Australia 22 Belgium 9.7 France 8.8 United Kingdom 2.8 China 1.2 Africa 1 India 1 CPF 1.5 CPF 2 CPF 2 CPF 1 CPF
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- 15. 15 Novalis (1772-1801, aka Friedrich von Hardenberg) Mygoalistoturnthe familiar strange andthe strangefamiliar. Sowhatismygoal?
- 16. 16 1 Existem muitos futuros 2 Os futuros não podem ser previstos 3 O Futuro é neutro 4 O amanhã é complexo 5 Gerando Valor Futuro
- 17. 17 •areabouthuman(andAIinthefuture) •areaboutusingyourBRAIN •areaboutamindset •areaboutcomplexity •areaboutuncertainty •areaboutpatterns •areaboutresearch •areaboutconcepts •areaboutStorytelling •areaboutcreatingchoices DESIGN THINKING AND FUTURES THINKING…
- 18. 18 •isaboutaproblem •Itisaboutcontextandcreatingempathy •Isabout“realpersons” •isaboutexperiences,meaning, delight •isaboutInsights •isaboutsolutions •isaboutvolume •isabouta(physical)prototype DESIGNTHINKING…
- 19. 19 •is about future contexts, understanding, possibilities and creating empathy •is about Value. •is about the changes in value •is about implications •is about Insights. •is about the hidden question •is about context relevancy •is about society + individual •is about real and average persons •is about prototyping strategic options FUTURESTHINKING…
- 20. 20 VALOR FUTURO EXPLORAR DEFINIR GERAÇÃO FAZER
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- 22. 22 Strategic Planning Strategic Management Strategic Planning Strategic Planning Futuring Futuring Strategic Management Innovation Business Intelligence Strategic Planning Futuring Futuring Innovation Provável Preferido Possível Plausível
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