UCLA Luskin Center - PEV Infrastructure. Presentation given by JR DeShazo, Director UCLA Luskin Center on October 26th, 2011 at the E-Mobility Symposium organized by the German State of Baden-Wuerttemberg at the W-Hotel in Los Angeles.

1. W Hotel (Westwood)|Los Angeles
October 26, 2011

2. Projected PEV Base in Los Angeles: 2000-2020
800,000
700,000
600,000
Installed
Base
500,000
400,000
300,000
200,000
100,000
0
2000
2001
2002
2004
2006
2007
2008
2009
2011
2012
2013
2014
2016
2018
2019
2020
2003
2005
2010
2015
2017
BEV
Cumulative PHEV
Cumulative Hybrid
Cumulative
Source: Jeffrey Dubin, et.al., UCLA Luskin Center for Innovation, 2011.

3. Market Analysis
ž PEVs projected to be 9% of new car
sales in 2015, and 11.7% in 2020
ž Based on demographic and conjoint
survey of 2,072 LA residents in
2010-2011.
Source: Jeffrey Dubin, et.al., UCLA Luskin Center for Innovation, 2011.

4. PEV Charging & Multifamily Dwellings
ž Residential Parking a problem for Early
Adopters
ž “How much of a problem would it be if
there were no EV chargers in your
building?”
— Would prevent from buying an EV: 42%
— Serious problem, but could work: 27%
Source: Jeffrey Dubin, et.al., UCLA Luskin Center for Innovation, 2011.

5. PEV Charging & Multifamily Dwellings
ž Unlocking Multifamily Dwelling Charging
= Unlocking the Market
Other,
0.7%
Los Angeles Housing Stock (2009)
Single
Family,
46%
Multifamily,
51%
Duplex,
3%
Source: David Peterson, UCLA Luskin Center for Innovation, 2011.

6. PEV Charging & Multifamily Dwellings
ž LA Green Building Code mandates new
construction to install EVSE electrical
conduits in low rise multifamily.
ž LAGBC mandates designated PEV
spaces for new high-rise construction
Source: City of Los Angeles Green Building Code, 2010.

7. PEV Charging & Multifamily Dwellings
ž New residential construction is too slow to
meet demand
ž SR solutions?
— PHEVs & Extended range vehicles
— Workplace and publicly-accessible charging
ž What are actual installation costs in
overlapping areas of high nighttime
demand and high concentrations of
multifamily?
ž What role can public policy play to expedite
installations?

8. Siting & Managing Public Charging
ž Workplace,Commercial and other
Publicly-accessible charging addresses
key need for niche markets:
— PEV drivers without residential charging
— PEVs with small batteries wanting to charge
“opportunistically”
— Reducing range anxiety
ž Whereshould they go, and how should
they be managed?

9. Siting & Managing Public Charging
ž Many siting methodologies exist:
— #1: Ad-hoc
— #2 Informed
ž Estimating demand, identifying low cost
supply sites, and matching supply and
demand gives cities the power to:
— Leverage private investment
— Know where to upgrade old infrastructure
— Informs electric utility where to expect demand
— Plan for integration with transportation demand
strategies (e.g., parking pricing)

10. Concentrations of Nighttime PEV Charging 2020
Source: Jeffrey Dubin, et.al., UCLA Luskin Center for Innovation, 2011.

11. Siting & Managing Public Charging
First Generation Charging
Stations (07.2011) • Appx 35% of U.S. Gen 1
1000
charging stations are in
800
LA County
EVSE (units)
600
312 • Most are 220-240 Volts
400 • Opportunity for low-cost
484
200 refurbishment
0 2
3 • Need to strategically target sites
Public EVSE 1.0 L1 Public EVSE 1.0 L2
U.S. (ex-CA) CA (ex-LA County) LA County
EV Charging Station Locations
by Land Use Category (07.2011)
• Over 50% of publicly-accessible Gen 1
Miscellaneous 1
charging stations on commercial Recreational 4
property. Industrial 6
• Opportunity to leverage private Institutional 7
Government Owned Property 32
investment. Commercial 59
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
Source: Peterson & Goepel, UCLA Luskin Center for Innovation, 2011.
Number of Locations

12. Conclusion
ž Need to responsibly site and manage
infrastructure to avoid wasteful spending
and costly decommissioning of stranded
assets
ž Public sector can have a hand in guiding
this process
ž Innovative solutions need to emerge for
multi-unit dwellings
ž Need for greater sharing of best
practices across California and U.S.

13. www.luskin.ucla.edu
ž J.R. DeShazo, Director
— 310.593.1198
— deshazo@ucla.edu
ž David Peterson, PEV Project Manager
— 650.477.4883
— davidpeterson@ucla.edu