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First security Islamic bank Ltd (FSIB)
Security Type: Subordinated Bond
Market Lot: 20 units {BDT 500000 in each unit}
Tenure: 6-years
Yield: Half yearly at 15.76%
Redemption: 20% of the total bond value to be redeemed at the end of each year starting from 2
to 6 years.
YTM PROBABILITY
1. Base Rate = 15.76 % 50%
2. Best Case = 17.53% 25%
3. Worse Case = 14.33% 25%
Unit 20 * 500000 = 10000000
10%
. . . . .
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
For Base case 15.76%
10000000*15.76%
2
= 788000
When we will reinvest this money then we will get
To reinvest it for future we will follow
FV = PV * (1+.10) ^5.5
First year
1. FV = 788000*(1+.10) ^5.5 = 1331024.3 [first period)
2. FV = 788000*(1+.10) ^5 = 1269081.8 [second period]
of redemption PV will be
Second year
10000000- 2000000=8000000
8000000*15.76%
2
PV=630400
3. FV = 630400*(1.10) ^ 4.5 = 968017.6 [3rd
period]
4. FV = 630400*(1.10)^4=922968.6 [4th
period]
Third year
Because of redemption here the PV will be
8000000-2000000=6000000
6000000*15.76%
2
PV=472800
Now the FV will be
5.472800*(1.10) ^3.5=660012.0
6.472800*(1.10) ^3=629296.8
Fourth year
Because of redemption now the PV will be
6000000-2000000=4000000
4000000*15.76% = 315200
2
Now the FV will be
7.315200*(1.10) ^2.5=400007.3
8.315200*(1.10) ^2=381392
Fifth year
Because of redemption the PV will be
4000000-2000000=2000000
2000000*15.76%
2
=157600
Now the FV will be
9.157600*(1.10)^1.5=181821.5
10.157600*(1.10)^1=173360
Sixth year
Because of redemption the money will be 0
Total return
6916981.9
10000000-6916981.9=3083018.1
For best case (17.53%)
10000000*17.53%
2
= 876500
When we will reinvest this money then we will get
To reinvest it for future we will follow
FV = PV * (1+.10) ^5.5
First year
1. FV = 876500*(1+.10) ^5.5 = 1480511.1 [first period)
2. FV = 876500*(1+.10) ^5 = 1411612.0 [second period]
Second year
10000000- 2000000=8000000
8000000*17.53%
2
PV=701200
3. FV = 701200*(1.10) ^ 4.5 = 1076735.3 [3rd
period]
4. FV = 701200*(1.10)^4=1026626.9 [4th
period]
Third year
Because of redemption here the PV will be
8000000-2000000=6000000
6000000*17.53%
2
PV=525900
Now the FV will be
5.525900*(1.10) ^3.5=734137.7
6.525900*(1.10) ^3=699972.9
Fourth year
Because of redemption now the PV will be
6000000-2000000=4000000
4000000*17.53%
2
PV = 350600
Now the FV will be
7. FV=350600*(1.10) ^2.5=444931.9
8. FV=350600*(1.10) ^2=424226
Fifth year
Because of redemption the PV will be
4000000-2000000=2000000
2000000*17.53%
2
=175300
Now the FV will be
9.175300*(1.10)^1.5=202241.8
10.175300*(1.10)^1=192830
Sixth year
Because of redemption the money will be 0
Total return
7693825.6
1000000-7693825.6=2306174.4
For worse case (14.33%)
10000000*14.33%
2
= 716500
When we will reinvest this money then we will get
To reinvest it for future we will follow
FV = PV * (1+.10) ^5.5
First year
1. FV = 716500*(1+.10) ^5.5 = 1210252.43 [first period)
2. FV = 716500*(1+.10) ^5 = 1153930 [second period]
Second year
10000000- 2000000=8000000
8000000*14.33%
2
PV=573200
3. FV = 573200*(1.10) ^ 4.5 = 880183.53 [3rd
period]
4. FV = 573200*(1.10)^4=839222.12 [4th
period]
Third year
Because of redemption here the PV will be
8000000-2000000=6000000
6000000*14.33%
2
PV=429900
Now the FV will be
5.429900*(1.10) ^3.5=600125.17
6.429900*(1.10) ^3=572196.9
Fourth year
Because of redemption now the PV will be
6000000-2000000=4000000
4000000*14.33%
2
PV = 286600
Now the FV will be
7. FV=286600*(1.10) ^2.5=363712.22
8. FV=286600*(1.10) ^2=346786
Fifth year
Because of redemption the PV will be
4000000-2000000=2000000
2000000*14.33%
2
=143300
Now the FV will be
143300*(1.10)^1.5=165323.7
143300*(1.10)^1=157630
Sixth year
Because of redemption the money will be 0
Total return
5774462
10000000-5774462=4225537.46
Decision
We will not invest our 10000000 in subordinated bond because it will not even give us our
$10000000m back rather we could keep it in a bank on โ€œdouble scheme fundโ€ where our money
will be double without any risk. Or we can search for which bond will give us higher return.
Assignment
On
โ€œInvestment in subordinated bondโ€
Submitted to
Md. Mozaffar Alam Chowdhury
Faculty of Finance,
College of Business Administration, IUBAT.
Submitted by
Name: Ishak
ID: 11302026
Section: D
Program: BBA
Course Name: Commercial Bank Management
Course No: FIN 402
Date of Submission: 18th
March, 2014
IUBATโ€”International University of Business Agriculture and Technology

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Investment in subordinated bond

  • 1. First security Islamic bank Ltd (FSIB) Security Type: Subordinated Bond Market Lot: 20 units {BDT 500000 in each unit} Tenure: 6-years Yield: Half yearly at 15.76% Redemption: 20% of the total bond value to be redeemed at the end of each year starting from 2 to 6 years. YTM PROBABILITY 1. Base Rate = 15.76 % 50% 2. Best Case = 17.53% 25% 3. Worse Case = 14.33% 25% Unit 20 * 500000 = 10000000 10% . . . . . 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 For Base case 15.76% 10000000*15.76% 2 = 788000 When we will reinvest this money then we will get To reinvest it for future we will follow FV = PV * (1+.10) ^5.5
  • 2. First year 1. FV = 788000*(1+.10) ^5.5 = 1331024.3 [first period) 2. FV = 788000*(1+.10) ^5 = 1269081.8 [second period] of redemption PV will be Second year 10000000- 2000000=8000000 8000000*15.76% 2 PV=630400 3. FV = 630400*(1.10) ^ 4.5 = 968017.6 [3rd period] 4. FV = 630400*(1.10)^4=922968.6 [4th period] Third year Because of redemption here the PV will be 8000000-2000000=6000000 6000000*15.76% 2 PV=472800 Now the FV will be 5.472800*(1.10) ^3.5=660012.0 6.472800*(1.10) ^3=629296.8
  • 3. Fourth year Because of redemption now the PV will be 6000000-2000000=4000000 4000000*15.76% = 315200 2 Now the FV will be 7.315200*(1.10) ^2.5=400007.3 8.315200*(1.10) ^2=381392 Fifth year Because of redemption the PV will be 4000000-2000000=2000000 2000000*15.76% 2 =157600 Now the FV will be 9.157600*(1.10)^1.5=181821.5 10.157600*(1.10)^1=173360 Sixth year Because of redemption the money will be 0 Total return 6916981.9 10000000-6916981.9=3083018.1
  • 4. For best case (17.53%) 10000000*17.53% 2 = 876500 When we will reinvest this money then we will get To reinvest it for future we will follow FV = PV * (1+.10) ^5.5 First year 1. FV = 876500*(1+.10) ^5.5 = 1480511.1 [first period) 2. FV = 876500*(1+.10) ^5 = 1411612.0 [second period] Second year 10000000- 2000000=8000000 8000000*17.53% 2 PV=701200 3. FV = 701200*(1.10) ^ 4.5 = 1076735.3 [3rd period] 4. FV = 701200*(1.10)^4=1026626.9 [4th period] Third year Because of redemption here the PV will be 8000000-2000000=6000000 6000000*17.53% 2 PV=525900 Now the FV will be 5.525900*(1.10) ^3.5=734137.7
  • 5. 6.525900*(1.10) ^3=699972.9 Fourth year Because of redemption now the PV will be 6000000-2000000=4000000 4000000*17.53% 2 PV = 350600 Now the FV will be 7. FV=350600*(1.10) ^2.5=444931.9 8. FV=350600*(1.10) ^2=424226 Fifth year Because of redemption the PV will be 4000000-2000000=2000000 2000000*17.53% 2 =175300 Now the FV will be 9.175300*(1.10)^1.5=202241.8 10.175300*(1.10)^1=192830 Sixth year Because of redemption the money will be 0 Total return 7693825.6 1000000-7693825.6=2306174.4
  • 6. For worse case (14.33%) 10000000*14.33% 2 = 716500 When we will reinvest this money then we will get To reinvest it for future we will follow FV = PV * (1+.10) ^5.5 First year 1. FV = 716500*(1+.10) ^5.5 = 1210252.43 [first period) 2. FV = 716500*(1+.10) ^5 = 1153930 [second period] Second year 10000000- 2000000=8000000 8000000*14.33% 2 PV=573200 3. FV = 573200*(1.10) ^ 4.5 = 880183.53 [3rd period] 4. FV = 573200*(1.10)^4=839222.12 [4th period] Third year Because of redemption here the PV will be 8000000-2000000=6000000 6000000*14.33% 2 PV=429900 Now the FV will be 5.429900*(1.10) ^3.5=600125.17
  • 7. 6.429900*(1.10) ^3=572196.9 Fourth year Because of redemption now the PV will be 6000000-2000000=4000000 4000000*14.33% 2 PV = 286600 Now the FV will be 7. FV=286600*(1.10) ^2.5=363712.22 8. FV=286600*(1.10) ^2=346786 Fifth year Because of redemption the PV will be 4000000-2000000=2000000 2000000*14.33% 2 =143300 Now the FV will be 143300*(1.10)^1.5=165323.7 143300*(1.10)^1=157630 Sixth year Because of redemption the money will be 0 Total return 5774462 10000000-5774462=4225537.46
  • 8. Decision We will not invest our 10000000 in subordinated bond because it will not even give us our $10000000m back rather we could keep it in a bank on โ€œdouble scheme fundโ€ where our money will be double without any risk. Or we can search for which bond will give us higher return.
  • 9. Assignment On โ€œInvestment in subordinated bondโ€ Submitted to Md. Mozaffar Alam Chowdhury Faculty of Finance, College of Business Administration, IUBAT. Submitted by Name: Ishak ID: 11302026 Section: D Program: BBA Course Name: Commercial Bank Management Course No: FIN 402 Date of Submission: 18th March, 2014 IUBATโ€”International University of Business Agriculture and Technology