5. Goals in Operations w.r.t
Inventory
Carrying the right amount of inventory and
ensuring that neither overstocking nor shortages
occur is the ultimate goal of inventory
management
Keep the level of inventory in the supply chain
as low as possible
Moving the inventory, in its continually changing
form, as fast as possible through the supply
chain for delivery to the final client
6. What is Inventory
Management?
Inventory management encompasses
processes that ensures product availability
while reducing investment costs
7. Why do we need Inventory
Management?
Largest (physical and financial sense) and
most difficult asset to manage for an
organization
8. Two Views of Inventory
Pressure for high inventory
Pressure for low inventory
9. Pressure for High Inventory
To achieve economies of scale in production (cycle inventory)
Immediate delivery not possible
Crude oil, iron ore, coal can’t always be supplied on time
To protect against unanticipated events (strikes, weather)
To protect against price increases and take advantage of quantity
discount
To satisfy periods of high seasonal demand
Economies of scale offered by transportation companies
One truck load or one ship load can reduce unit transportation cost
Decoupling Inventory
10. Pressure for Low Inventory
Holding costs
Cost of coordinating production
Quality issue
Increased waste
11.
12. Forms of Manufacturing
Inventories
Manufacturing Inventory: Items that contribute to or
become part of a firm’s product.
Raw material
Physical inputs at the start of the production
process.
Work-in-process
Inventory between the start and end points of a product routine (yet
to become finished products)
14. Manufacturing Inventory
Finished goods
End item ready to be sold at
the end of routine
Maintenance / Repair /
Operating Supplies (MRO)
Oil, lubricants, cotton waste,
wood dust
Pens, papers, files, envelopes
Pipeline or Transit Stock
Inventory ordered but not yet
received
16. Service Inventory
Inventory: Tangible goods to be sold and
the supplies necessary to administer the
services in various types of service
organizations (hospitals, banks)
Hospitals: (medicines, syringes, blood,
sutures, glucose bottles, bandages etc.)
Banks: brochures, pamphlets, currency notes,
coins
17. Levels of Inventory
High Levels
Tying more financial capital
High interest charges
Low Levels
Stock outs
Lost sales
18. Goal of Materials Manager
Optimal Level of Inventory
Key Questions
What should be the size of order to the
supplier?
When should the order be placed?
19. Measures of Inventory
Management
Inventory turnover
Costs of goods sold
--------------------------------------------------------
Average aggregate inventory value
Cost of goods sold is finished goods valued at cost, not the
final sale price
Average aggregate inventory value is the total value at
cost of all items (RM, WIP, Finished goods) being held in
inventory
20. Measures of Inventory
Management
Days (or weeks) of inventory in hand
average aggregate value of inventory
= --------------------------------------------------
(cost of goods sold) / 365 days
21. Selective Control of Inventory
FSN Classification
Based on movement of inventory
F: fast moving, S: slow moving, N: non-moving
VED Classification
Based on criticality of items
V: Vital, E: essential, D: desirable
ABC Classification
Based on cost of items consumed
22. ABC Classification System
ABC classification method divides inventory items into
three groups
A items (high rupee volume)
B items (moderate rupee volume)
C items (low rupee volume)
Note: Rupee volume is a measure of importance; an item low in
cost but high in volume can be more important than a high-cost
item with low volume.
23. ABC Classification System
In ABC analysis each class of inventory
requires different levels of inventory
monitoring and control – the higher the
value of the inventory, the tighter the
control
24. ABC Inventory Planning
A items
10 to 20% of # of items
60 to 70% of annual rupee value of inventory
Tight inventory control
B items
Represent 30% of # items and 15% of inventory value
C items
50 to 60% of # of items
10 to 15% of annual rupee value of inventory
Less stringent inventory control
29. Key Use of ABC Concepts
Use in customer service
Focus on essential aspects
Guide to cycle counting
Physical counting of items in inventory
To avoid discrepancy indicated by inventory
records and actual quantities
30. ABC Analysis
Annual Rupee Value Review Period
Rs >10,000 ≤30 days
Rs 3,000 – 10,000 ≤45 days
Rs 250 – 3,000 ≤90 days
<= Rs 250 ≤180 days
Experts recommend following accuracy:
A items: ±0.2%, B: ± 1%, C: ± 5%
31. Independent vs. Dependent
Demand
Independent demand
Influenced by market conditions, i.e., originates outside the
system (say cars, bicycles, refrigerators, washing machines)
Uncertain
Dependent demand
Depends on demand of independent items, i.e., make up
independent demand products
Known
Example: Subassemblies, components parts
34. Inventory Costs
Types of costs
Ordering costs (costs associated with placing an order and receiving
inventory, independent of order size). Assigned to entire batch
Identification of sources of supply
Price negotiation, purchase order generation
Follow-up and receipt of materials
Inspecting goods upon arrival for quality and quantity
Stationery, postage, telephone and electricity bills
Transportation costs
Set-up Costs
When a firm produces its own inventory, the cost of machine set-up
such as arranging tools, drawings, cleaning the machine, adjusting
the machine are all parts of set-up costs
35. Inventory Costs
Holding or Carrying costs (in warehouse)
Cost of storage facilities (rent, if rented)
Electricity
Cost of capital tied up in inventory
Material handling
Interest charges
Insurance and taxes
Pilferage, scrap, & obsolescence
Cost of personnel
Software for maintaining inventory status
37. Basic Inventory Control
Systems
Two types
Fixed order quantity
model (Q – Model)
Also known as Perpetual
system or Continuous
inventory System
Event or quantity triggered
Fixed time period model
(P-model)
Also known as Periodic
Review System
Time Triggered
38. Economic Order Quantity
(EOQ) Model
Assumptions
Annual demand for item is constant and uniform throughout
Lead time is constant
Price per unit of product constant
Inventory holding cost is based on avg. inventory
Ordering or set-up costs are constant
Instantaneous replenishment
There are no quantity discounts
Inventory incurred no cost in transit
39. Q-Model
Lead Time: Time between placing an
order and its receipt
Reorder Point: The inventory level at
which a new order should be placed.
45. Minimum Total Cost
The total cost curve reaches its
minimum where the carrying and
ordering costs are equal.
Q
2
H
D
Q
S=
46. Q Model
Q opt=
2DS
H
Reorder Point, R = d×L
Where, d = average daily demand
L = Lead time in days
(constant demand, so no safety stock)
The square root formula is the EOQ, also referred as economic lot size
Q answers the “how much” question directly
48. When to Reorder with EOQ
If demand and lead time are both
constant, the reorder point is
ROP = d X LT
where d = Demand rate (units per
day or week)
LT = Lead time in days or
weeks
50. Fixed Order Quantity Model
(Q-model)
Total Annual Cost = Annual Purchase Cost + Annual
Ordering Cost + Annual Holding Cost
TC = PD + (D/Q)×S + (Q/2)×H
Where, TC = Total annual cost
D = Demand
P = Unit cost
Q = Quantity to be ordered
S = Ordering cost or set-up cost
R = reorder point
L = Lead Time
H = Annual holding or storing cost per unit of average
inventory
51. Q Model
Item cost (P×D) is not a function of the order
quantity – there are no quantity discounts– so
the amount PD is constant. Therefore, the value
of Q that minimizes the equation is the value
that minimizes the sum of the ordering costs and
holding costs, called the total inventory cost or
total stock cost. This quantity is called Economic
Order Quantity (EOQ).
54. Little’s Law
Average Inventory
Average Flow time = ----------------------------------------
Flow Rate (or Average demand)
The average amount of inventory in a system is equal to
the product of average demand and the average time a
unit is in the system
55. Observation
If demand increases by a factor k, the optimal lot
size increases by factor √k. The number of
orders placed per year should also increase by a
factor √k. Flow time attributed to cycle inventory
should decrease by a factor of √k.
56. Production Order Quantity
Model or EPQ Model
It is a variant of EOQ model
Assumptions
Annual demand known
Usage rate constant
Usage occurs continually, but production
occurs periodically
Production rate constant
No quantity discounts
64. When to Reorder with EOQ
When variability is present in demand or
lead time, it creates the possibility that
actual demand will exceed expected
demand
Therefore, it is necessary to carry safety
stock to avoid stock out
65. Safety Stock
EOQ model assumed deterministic demand
Demand in reality varies from day-to-day
Probability of stock out during lead time
Need to keep safety stock in addition to expected
demand
To hedge against the possibility of stock out
Amount of safety stock depends on
Service Level
Probability that inventory on hand during lead time
in sufficient to meet expected demand, i.e., the
probability that stock out will not occur.
69. Service Level
Probability that the demand will not
exceed supply during lead time
Example: Service level of 95% implies a probability of 95%
that demand will not exceed supply during lead time, and
probability of stock out is 5%
Service Level = 100% - Stock out risk
74. Reorder Point (ROP)
If expected demand during lead time and its
standard deviation are available, then
ROP = d×L + safety stock
ROP = Expected demand during lead time + ZσdLT
Where, z = # standard deviations
σdLT = The standard deviation of demand during
lead time
ZσdLT = Safety Stock
Note: Smaller the risk manager is willing to accept, the greater the value of Z
75. Other Three Probabilistic
Models
1. Demand is variable, and LT constant
2. Lead time is variable, demand constant
3. Both lead time and demand are variable
80. Managing Inventory (Key
Learning)
Inventory costs money, inventory hides problems
Reduce inventory
Reducing lot sizes (EOQ)
Lowering order costs through E-bidding
Reducing receiving costs
Automated payment of invoices
Examine holding cost. If understated, larger H will
reduce EOQ
Reducing set-up costs
Automation and process improvements
81. Managing Inventory (Key
Learning)
Reduce safety stock
Better forecasting models to reduce the unpredictability of
demand
Collaborating Planning Forecasting and Replenishment
(CPFR)
Reduce variability in demand by working with customers
Reduce lead time
Bringing suppliers close to the buyer, reduce throughput
time of suppliers
Reliable method of transportation
Faster method of transportation
82. Impact of Location on Inventory
(Key Learning)
Questions related to inventory
How much to order?
When to order?
Where to stock inventories?
Square Root Rule
85. Managing Inventory
(Key Learning)
Reduce number of locations
Major effort by many firms to reduce the
number of warehouses and distribution
centres
Substantial reduction in inventories due to
consolidation
86. Bar Code – 3 Litre Diet Coke
Manufacturer identification
number
Specific Item Number
Check digit
87. Quantity Discount Model
Price reductions for large orders offered to
customers to induce them to buy in large
quantities
TC = (Q/2)H + (D/Q)S + PD
Carrying Cost Ordering Cost Purchasing Cost
88. Advantages to Disadvantages
of Buyer on Discounts
Advantages
Reduces units cost of materials
# of orders few, low ordering costs
Low transportation costs
Chances of stock out less
Disadvantages
High carrying costs
High fund requirement
Low stock turnover
Deterioration of stocks
89. Advantages to Disadvantages
of Seller on Discounts
Advantages
Clear glut in the inventory
Less carrying costs of inventories
90. Discount - Incremental
In incremental discount increasing rates of
discounts are offered for higher range of
quantities purchased. Hence, under this
discount offer there shall be multiple unit
costs for the same item in a lot. The
ranges of quantity at which price changes
are called price breakers
91. Price Discount Model
Two general cases
Carrying cost is constant (Rs 5 per unit per
year)
Carrying cost is a % of purchase price (say
20% of unit price)
92. Total Cost Curve with Constant Carrying
Cost
When carrying costs are constant, all curves have same minimum points at the
same quantity
94. Total Cost with Carrying Cost as
% of Unit Price
When carrying costs are % of unit price, minimum points don’t line up
95. Procedure for Determining Overall EOQ
when Carrying Costs are Constant
Compute the common minimum point
If the feasible minimum point is on the lowest price
range, that is the optimal quantity
If the minimum point is in any other range, compute the
total cost for the minimum point and for the price breaks
of all lower unit costs. Compare the total costs; the
quantity (minimum point or price break) that yields the
lowest total cost is the optimal order quantity
97. Determining Best Purchase Quantity when
Carrying Costs are % of Price
Begin with lowest unit price, compute the minimum
points for each price range until you find a feasible
minimum point (i.e. until a minimum point falls in the
quantity range for its price)
If the minimum point for the lowest unit price is feasible,
it is the optimal order quantity. If the minimum point is
not feasible in the lowest price range, compare the total
cost at the price breaks for all lower prices with the total
cost of the feasible minimum point. The quantity which
yields the lowest total cost is the optimum
100. Fixed Time Period Model
(P-Model) or Periodic Review System
Inventory checked only at fixed intervals of time,
rather than on a continuous basis
Time between orders is constant
On-hand inventory is counted
Only the amount necessary to bring the total
inventory up to a pre-specified target is ordered
(order size varies depending on on-hand
inventory)
103. Fixed Time Period Model
(P-Model) or Periodic Review System
Order Qty = Avg. demand + Safety Stock - Inventory on hand
104. P Model
Advantages
Practical approach if the inventory withdrawals can’t be closely
monitored
Inventory counted only before the next review period
Convenient administratively
More appropriate for C-items
Disadvantages
No tally of inventory during review period
Possibility of stock out
Large amount of safety stock because need to protect against
shortages during order interval and lead time
105. Differences (Q vs. P Models)
Q model
Order Qty: Q fixed
When order: ROP triggered
Record keep: Each time
material withdrawn
Size of Inv: Less than P
model
Time to maintain: High
If Higher than normal
demand – Shorter time
between orders
Type of items: High priced,
critical, important items
A items
P model
Order Qty: variable (varies
each time order is placed due
to demand variability)
When order: Review period
(time triggered)
Record keep: Counted only at
review period
Administration: Easy
Size of Inv.: Larger than Q
model
Type of items: Retail, drugs
Appropriate when large
number of items ordered
from same supplier
resulting in consolidation
and lower freight rates
106. Choosing Between Q and P
Not an easy decision
Part science and part human judgment
It depends on variety of factors
Total SKUs monitored
Computerized or manual system
ABC profile
Strategic focus
Cost minimization or customer service
107. Choosing Between Q and P
P system
The P system should be used when orders may be placed at specified
intervals
Weekly order and delivery of FMCG products to a grocery store
The P system is ideal when items are ordered from same supplier, and
delivered in same shipment
Shipments can be consolidated resulting in lower freight rates
Ordering for multiple products at the same time
Provides scheduled replenishment and less record keeping
Often used for inexpensive items
Q system
Often used for expensive items
108. Inventory Records and
Accuracy
Inventory records differ from physical count
Inventory accuracy refers to how closely they match
How to keep up-to-date inventory records
Keep store room locked
Educating employees
Putting fence up to ceiling around storage area to
prevent unauthorised access to pull items
clandestinely
Cycle counting at regular intervals
112. MRP
The logic for determining the number of
parts, components, and materials needed
to produce a product.
It also provides a schedule specifying
when each of these materials, parts, and
components should be ordered and
produced
113. Independent vs. Dependent
Demand
Independent demand
Influenced by market conditions, i.e., originates outside the
system (say cars, bicycles, refrigerators, washing machines)
Uncertain
Dependent demand
Depends on demand of independent items, i.e., make up
independent demand products
Known
Example: Subassemblies, components parts
116. Attribute Dependent
Demand
Independent
Demand
Nature of Demand No uncertainty Uncertainty
Goal Meet requirements
exactly
Meet demand for a
targeted service
level
Service Level 100% 100% difficult
Demand
occurrence
Often lumpy Often continuous
Estimation of
demand
By production
planning
By forecasting
How much to
order?
Known with
certainty
Estimate based on
past consumption
Key Differences: Dependent vs. Independent Demand
117. Material Requirements Planning (MRP)
MRP is a technique that has been employed since the
1940s and 1950s.
Joe Orlicky is known as the Father of MRP
The use and application of MRP grew through the
1970s and 1980s as the power of computer hardware
and software increased.
MRP gradually evolved into a broader system called
manufacturing resource planning (MRP II).
118. Material Requirements Planning
(MRP)
MRP is a computerized inventory system
developed specifically to manage dependent
demand items
MRP works backward from the due date using
lead times to determine when and how much to
order for
Subassemblies, component parts & raw
materials
119. MRP
MRP begins with a schedule for finished goods
that is converted into a schedule of requirements
for subassemblies, component parts and raw
materials needed to produce the finished items in
the specified time frame
MRP designed to answer the following questions
• What is needed ?
• How much is needed?
• When is it needed ?
120. MRP
MRP thus works with finished products, or end items,
and their constituent parts, called lower level items
According to one study, 80% of high performing
manufacturing plants have implemented MRP
MRP works well for assembling complex discrete
products produced in batches
Example: computers, consumer durables, furniture,
watches, trucks, generators, motors, machine tools
122. MRP
MPS
BOM MRP Inventory Records
Planned Order
Release
Work Order Purchase order
Rescheduling
Notices
123. Master Production Schedule
A time table that specifies what (end item)
is to be made and when
Time period used for planning is called a
time bucket
MPS shows how many of each individual
item must be completed each period
126. Aggregate Production Plan - Cars
Hundai Motors:
Month # of Cars
Jan 10,000
Feb 12,000
Mar 8,000
April 11,000
May 7,000
127. Weeks
of
January
I II III IV Total
Santro 1,200 2,000 2,500 700 6,400
Accent 700 950 1,300 250 3,200
Sonata 100 50 200 50 400
2,000 3,000 4,000 1,000 10,000
MASTER PRODUCTION SCHEDULE
128. 1. Master Production Schedule
(MPS)
Master production schedule states
which end items are to be produced, when
these are needed, and in what quantities.
• Example: A master schedule for end item
X:
Comes from: customer orders, forecasts and orders from
warehouses to build up seasonal inventories, and
interplant transfers
130. 2. Bill of Materials (BOM)
A document that lists the components, their description,
sequence in which the product is created and the
quantity of each required to make one unit of a product
Thus relationship between end items and lower level
items is described by the BOM
It depicts exactly how a firm makes the item in the
master schedule
Extremely important to have BOM correct to have
accurate material estimates
131. 2. Bill of Materials (BOM)
The BOM file is often called the product
structure file or product tree because it
shows how a product is put together
134. Product Structure Tree of Product
X With Levels
Visual description of the requirements in a bill of materials, where all
components are listed by levels
(Highest)
(Lowest)
136. A Product Structure Tree
Note: Restructuring the BOM so that multiple occurrences of a component all coincide
with the lowest level at which the component occurs
139. 3. Inventory Record
Third input in MRP
It tells us about the status of inventory of an item
at present, or in a given interval of time in the
coming future
On hand
On Order (scheduled receipt)
Lead time
Lot size
Low Level Code (LLC)
140. Outputs of MRP
(Primary Reports)
Planned order receipt – A schedule indicating the
quantity that is planned to arrive at the beginning of a
period
Planned Order release – Authorizes the execution of
planned orders (work order + purchase order). To
determine planned order release, count backward from
the planned order receipt using the lead time
Order changes report – Changes to planned order,
including revisions for due dates or order quantities and
cancellation of orders
141. Outputs of MRP
(Secondary Reports)
Performance control report – evaluate
system performance, deviations from
plans, missed deliveries, and stock outs
Exception reports – attention to major
discrepancies such as late and overdue
orders, requirements for non-existence
parts, reporting errors
142. MRP Terminologies
Gross Requirements: Total demand for an item during
each time period. For end items, these quantities are
shown in the master production schedule
For components, these quantities are derived from the planned
order releases of their immediate parents
Scheduled Receipts: Orders that have been released
and scheduled to be received from vendors by the
beginning of a period
Projected On-Hand: The expected amount of inventory
that will be on hand at the beginning of each time period
(SR + Avl inv from last period)
143. MRP Terminologies
Net requirements: The actual amount needed in each
time period
Planned Order Receipts: The quantity expected to be
received from a vendor or in-house shop at the
beginning of the period in which it is shown. It is the
amount of an order that is required to meet a net
requirement in the period.
Under lot-for-lot ordering, this quantity will equal net requirements.
Under lot-size ordering, this quantity may exceed net requirements. Any
excess is added to available inventory in the next time period.
144. MRP Terminologies
Planned Order Release: Indicates a
planned amount to order in the beginning
of each time period; equals planned-order
receipts offset by lead time.
145. Format of MRP
Week Number 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Item:
Gross requirements
Scheduled receipts
Projected on hand
Net requirements
Planned-order
receipts
Planned-order
releases
146. MRP Explosion
The MRP process of determining
requirements for lower level items
(subassemblies, components, raw
materials) based on the master production
schedule
148. Lot Sizing in MRP Systems
Lot-for-lot (L4L)
Sets planned orders to exactly match
the net requirements. Eliminates
holding costs
Economic order quantity (EOQ)
Balances setup and holding costs
149. Lot Sizing in MRP Systems
Least total cost (LTC)
Balances carrying cost and setup cost for various
lot sizes, and selects the one where they are most
nearly equal
Least unit cost (LUC)
Adds ordering and inventory carrying costs for
each trial lot size and divides by number of units
in each lot size, picking the lot size with the
lowest unit cost
158. Lot Size Cost Comparisons
L4L: Rs 376
EOQ: Rs 171.05
Least Total Cost: Rs 140.50
Least Unit Cost: Rs 153.50
Preferred method: Least Total Cost
159. MRP and Capacity Planning
MRP , as it was originally introduced, considered
only materials. MRP does not compare the
planned orders to the available capacity. Most
MRP plans assume infinite loading; that is an
infinite amount of capacity is available, which is
not realistic. Individual machines or work
centres may have capacity shortages and
backlogs of work to be completed
We therefore need capacity planning.
160. Two Approaches to Capacity
Planning
Rough-cut capacity planning
Uses the MPS (end item) as the source of product
demand information
Capacity determination at critical work centres
Capacity Requirement Planning
Completed at the component level rather than at the
end item level
Uses planned order release from MRP
Capacity determination at all work centres
163. Capacity Requirements
Planning (CRP)
CRP determines if all the work centres
involved have the capacity to implement
the MRP plan.
A load profile compares weekly loads
needs against a profile of actual capacity.
170. Capacity
Work center Effective Capacity/week (2 machines):
(# machines)×(# shifts)× (# of hours/shift)× (# days/week)×
(utilization)×(efficiency)
Utilization: Time working / Time available
Efficiency: Actual output / standard output
Load: Standard hours of work assigned to a production facility
Load % = (Load / Capacity)×100%
171. Scheduled Workload for a Work
Center
161.5
137.8
190.3
128.8
2m/c * 2 shifts/day * 10 hours/shift * 5 days/week * 85%(m/c Util) * 0.95 (m/c efficiency) =161.5 hrs/week
172. Capacity Levelling
Work Overtime
Selecting an alternative work center
Subcontract
Scheduling part of work of week 11 into
week 10
Renegotiate due date
173. Safety Stock
It would seem that an MRP inventory system should not require
safety stock. Practically, however, there may be exceptions.
Typically SS built-into projected on-hand inventory
Why is safety stock necessary?
Two types of uncertainties are prevalent
A. The quantity of components received (soln: SS)
I. Poor quality may result in quantity loss
II. Reliability in supplier may result in quantity uncertainty
B. Timing of the receipts (solution: safety time)
A. Machine breakdowns, fluctuations in staffing
174. Updating MRP Schedules
Updating MRP schedule is required because
Customers may cancel or amend order
Suppliers could default on supply
Unexpected disruptions in manufacturing
Two techniques of updating
Regeneration, i.e., re plan the whole system (run MRP from
scratch, updated periodically, 100% replacement of the existing
information)
Net change
Instead of running the entire MRP system, schedules of
components pertaining to portions where changes have
happened are updated.
Applies to sub-set of data as opposed to regeneration
175. MRP Dynamics - System
Nervousness
MRP systems work best under conditions of reasonable
stability
Frequent changes in an MRP system leads to major
changes in the order profiles for lower level
subassemblies or components creating havoc for
purchasing and production departments. This is called
system nervousness Two tools are helpful in reducing
system nervousness
Time fences
177. Time Fences in MPSTime Fences in MPS
Period
“frozen”
(firm or
fixed)
“slushy”
somewhat
firm
“liquid”
(open)
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Time Fences divide a scheduling time horizon into three
sections or phases, referred as frozen, slushy, and liquid.
Strict adherence to time fence policies and rules.
178. Pegging
Tracing upward in the BOM from the
component to the parent item. By pegging
upward, the production planner can
determine the cause for the requirement
and make a judgement about the
necessary for a change in schedule
179. Reduction in inventory
Increased customer satisfaction due to
meeting delivery schedules
Faster response to market changes
Improved labor & equipment utilization
Better inventory planning & scheduling
MRP Benefits
180. Benefits of MRP
Ability to easily determine inventory
usage by backflushing
Back flushing: Exploding an end item’s
bill of materials to determine the
quantities of the components that were
used to make the item.
181. MRP – Problems Encountered
Data integrity is low
Not frequent updates of databases when
changes takes place
Uncertainties related to lead time and
quantity delivered
182. Requirements of Successful
MRP System
Computer and necessary software
Accurate and up-to-date
Master schedules
Bills of materials
Inventory records
User knowledge
Management support
183. Evolved from MRP in 1980s
Didn’t replace or improve MRP. Rather expanded the scope
to include capacity requirements planning and to involve
other functional areas of the organization:
Purchasing, Manufacturing, Marketing, Finance,
Logistics
MRP II employed common database and an integrated
platform where sales, inventory, purchasing transactions
were updated in both inventory and accounting applications
Manufacturing Resource Planning
(MRP II)
188. Aggregate Planning (or Sales
and Operations Planning)
It is the process of planning the quantity and timing of
output over the intermediate time horizon (often 3-18
months) by adjusting the production rate,
employment, inventory, and other controllable
variables
The term has been coined by companies to refer to
the process that helps companies keep demand and
supply in balance
Minimize long-run costs of meeting forecasted
demand
189. Aggregate planning is a big picture approach to production
plan to meet the demand throughout the year or so.
It is not concerned with individual products, but with a single
aggregate product representing all products.
For example, in a TV manufacturing plant, the aggregate
planning does not go into all models and sizes. It only
deals with a single representative aggregate TV.
All models are lumped together and represent a single
product; hence the term aggregate planning.
Aggregate Planning
190. What does Aggregate Mean?
Overall terms
Product families or product lines rather than individual
products, thus the term aggregate
In other words, one “collapses” a multi-product firm to
a single-product firm, the “product” being aggregate
units of production
Big picture approach to planning
Aggregate, for example # bicycles to be produced,
but would not identify bicycles by colour, size, type
etc.
192. Aggregation (Example)
Suppose a bicycle manufacturer makes three models (Standard,
Deluxe, Sports)
Time: Standard: 30 m/c hours, Deluxe: 60 m/c hours, Sports: 90 m/c
hours
Thus manufacturing 1 deluxe model is equivalent to manufacturing
2 standard models. 1 sports model is equivalent to manufacturing 3
standard models from resource consumption perspective
Thus a monthly demand of 1000 standard cycles, 500 deluxe, and
250 sports can be aggregated as 2750 standard models on the
basis of machine hours
193. Identifying Aggregate Units of
Production (Basic Data)
Family
Material
Cost/ Unit
($)
Revenue/
Unit ($)
Setup
Time/Ba
tch
(hour)
Average
Batch
Size
Production
Time/ Unit
(hour)
Net
Production
Time/Unit
(hour)
Percentage
Share of
Units Sold
A 15 54 8 50 5.60 5.76 10
B 7 30 6 150 3.00 3.04 25
C 9 39 8 100 3.80 3.88 20
D 12 49 10 50 4.80 5.00 10
E 9 36 6 100 3.60 3.66 20
F 13 48 5 75 4.30 4.37 15
194. Identifying Aggregate Units of
Production
Product
Family
Material cost/
Unit (Rs)
Revenue /
unit (Rs)
Prodn.
Time /unit
(includes
setup time)
% share of
units sold
A 15 54 5.76 10
B 7 30 3.04 25
C 9 39 3.88 20
D 12 49 5.00 10
E 9 36 3.66 20
F 13 48 4.37 15
Material cost / aggregate unit = 15*0.10+7*0.25+9*0.20+12*0.10+9*0.20+13*0.15 = Rs 10
Revenue / aggregate unit = 54*0.10+30*0.25+39*0.20+49*0.10+36*0.20+48*0.15 = Rs 40
Production time / agg. unit = 5.76*0.1+3.04*.25+3.88*0.20+5*0.1+3.66*0.20+4.37*0.15 = 4 hrs
195. Building a Rough Master
Production Schedule
Disaggregate an aggregate plan
Family
Setup
Time/B
atch
(hour)
Average
Batch
Size
Production
Time/Unit
(hour)
Production
Quantity
Number
of
Setups
Setup
Time
(hours)
Production
Time
(hours)
A 8 50 5.60 258 5 40 1,445
B 6 150 3.00 646 4 24 1,938
C 8 100 3.80 517 5 40 1,965
D 10 50 4.80 258 5 50 1,238
E 6 100 3.60 517 5 30 1,861
F 5 75 4.30 387 5 25 1,664
2583
197. Why Aggregate Planning?
Provides for fully loaded facilities, thus
minimizing
Overloading and under loading
Minimizing cost over the planning period
Adequate production capacity to meet
expected aggregate demand
Optimize balance between demand and
supply
198. Why Aggregate Planning?
A plan for orderly and systematic change
of production capacity to meet peaks and
valleys of expected customer demand
Getting the most output for the amount of
resources available, which is important in
times of scarce production resources
199. Steps in Aggregate Planning
1. Begin with sales forecast for each product that
indicates the quantities to be sold in each time
period (usually months, or quarters) over the
planning horizon (3-18 months)
2. Total all the individual product or service
forecast into one aggregate demand.
200. Steps in Aggregate Planning
3. Determine capacities (regular time, OT,
subcontracting) for each period
4. Determine unit costs for regular time, OT,
subcontracting, holding inventories, back
orders, layoffs etc.
5. Identify company policy (chase, level, mixed)
201. Steps in Aggregate Planning
6. Develop alternative plans and compute
cost for each
7. Select the best alternative that satisfies
company’s objectives
202. Strategies for Meeting Demand
Proactive
Alter demand to match capacity
Reactive
Alter capacity to match demand
Mixed
Some of each
203. Strategies for Meeting Demand
Proactive strategies
Influencing Demand
Offer discounts and promotions
Increase advertising in slack periods
Counter seasonal products
Lawnmowers (summer) and snow-blowers (winter)
204. Strategies for Meeting Demand
Reactive Strategies
Changing inventory levels
Vary workforce size (hiring and lay-off)
Varying shifts
Varying working hours
Varying production through overtime or idle
time
Subcontracting
205. Inputs and Costs in AP
Decision Variable Costs
Varying work force size Hiring, training, firing costs
Using Overtime Overtime costs
Varying inventory levels Holding costs
Accepting back orders Back order costs
Subcontracting others Subcontracting costs
206. Outputs of Aggregate Planning
Total cost of a plan
Projected levels of
Inventory held
Output from
Regular time, overtime
Employment
Subcontracting
207. Graphical Method
Popular techniquePopular technique
Easy to understand and useEasy to understand and use
Trial-and-error approaches that doTrial-and-error approaches that do
not guarantee an optimal solutionnot guarantee an optimal solution
Require only limited computationsRequire only limited computations
210. Aggregate Planning Techniques
Two pure forms of aggregate planning
strategies
Level Production
Maintain constant workforce and
adjust inventory
Chase Demand
Hiring and Firing people
211. Aggregate Planning Techniques
Mixed Strategy
Combination of
Overtime, under time, & subcontracting
Part Time employees
Hiring and firing
Inventory
Backordering
Note: When one alternative: Pure Strategy
When two or more are selected: Mixed strategies
212. Level Production Strategy
It is an aggregate planning in which monthly production
is uniform
Requires no overtime, no change in work force levels,
and no subcontracting
Toyota and Nissan follow this strategy
Finished goods inventory go up or down to buffer the
difference between demand and production
Works when demand is stable
215. Chase Production Strategy
It attempts to achieve output rates that match demand
forecast for that period.
This strategy can be accomplished by:
Vary workforce levels (hiring and firing)
Service businesses use because they don’t have the
option to build inventory of their product
218. Chase vs. Level
Chase Approach
Advantages
Investment in inventory
is low
Labor utilization in high
Disadvantages
The cost of adjusting
output rates and/or
workforce levels
Level Approach
Advantages
Stable output rates and
workforce
Disadvantages
Greater inventory costs
Increased overtime and
idle time
Resource utilizations vary
over time
219. Mixed Strategy
For most firms, neither a chase strategy
nor a level strategy is likely to prove ideal,
so a combination of options must be
achieved to meet demand and minimize
cost
More complex than pure ones but typically
yield a better strategy
221. Linear Programming
Approaches to AP
Finds minimum cost solution related to
regular labour time, overtime,
subcontracting, caring inventory, and
costs associated with changing the size of
workforce
222. Mathematical Techniques to
Aggregate Planning
Linear Programming
Optimal solutions
Cost minimization
Profit maximization
Appropriate when cost and variable
relationships are linear
Application in industry limited
228. Transportation Method: Cost of
Plan
Period 1: 50($0)+300($50)+50($65)+50($80)=$22,250
Period 2: 400($50)+50($65)+100($80)=$31,250
Period 3: 50($81)+450($50)+50($65)+200($80)=$45,800
Total Cost: $99,300
229. Simulation Models in AP
Development of computerized model under
variety of conditions to find reasonably
acceptable solutions
Advantages
Lends itself to problems that are difficult to solve
mathematically
Experimenting system behaviour without any risk
Compresses time to understand system
Understand system behaviour under wide range of
conditions
230. Simulation Models in AP
Limitations
Simulation does not produce optimal
solutions, it merely indicates approximate
behaviour for a set of inputs
Simulations are based on models, and
models are only approximation of reality
231. Summary of Aggregate
Planning Techniques
Technique Solution
Approach
Characteristics
Spreadsheet Heuristic (trial and
error)
Intuitively appealing,
easy to understand,
solution not optimal
Linear Programming Optimizing Computerized
Simulation Heuristic (trial and
error)
Computerized
models can be
examined under
various scenarios
234. Scheduling
Specifies when labour, equipment, and
facilities are needed to produce a product
or a service
Scheduling deals with timing of
operations
Scheduling occurs in every organization
237. Gantt Progress ChartGantt Progress Chart
Plymouth
Ford
Pontiac
Job 4/20 4/22 4/23 4/24 4/25 4/264/214/17 4/18 4/19
CurrentCurrent
datedate
Scheduled activity time
Actual progress
Start activity
Finish activity
Nonproductive time
Gantt Progress Chart for an Auto Parts Company
240. Dealing with the Problem Complexity
through Decomposition
Aggregate Planning
Master Production Scheduling
Materials Requirement Planning
Aggregate Unit
Demand
End Item (SKU)
Demand
Corporate Strategy
Capacity and Aggregate Production Plans
SKU-level Production Plans
Manufacturing
and Procurement
lead times
Component Production lots and due dates
Part process
plans
(Plan. Hor.: 1 year, Time Unit: 1 month)
(Plan. Hor.: a few months, Time Unit: 1 week)
(Plan. Horizon.: a few months, Time Unit: 1 week)
Shop floor-level Production Control
(Plan. Hor.: a day or a shift, Time Unit: real-time)
241. Reasons for Planning for Short-
Term
Additional information becomes available
Order cancellation, new orders, terms of existing orders
Random occurrence of events
Breakdown of machines, absenteeism, delays in raw material
supply, revision of job priorities
Fine tune planning and decision making
Focus on micro-resources
Single machine, set of workers and so on
Such focus is neither possible nor warranted in medium or lon-
term planning
244. Scheduling Techniques
Forward Scheduling
Refers to situation in which the system takes
an order and then schedules each operation
that must be completed forward
Applications
Hospitals and clinics
Fine-dining restaurants
Machine tool manufacturers
For special machines
245. Backward Scheduling
Backward Scheduling
Starts from some date in future (due date)
and then schedules the required operations in
reverse sequence
Applications
Assembly programs in manufacturing
Holding conferences
Scheduling surgery
Marriages
246. 246
Forward Vs. Backward Scheduling
Start processing when order is received regardless of due date
Schedule the job’s last activity so it is finished right before the due date
247. Objectives of Scheduling
Meeting customer due dates
Minimizing job lateness
Minimizing response time
Minimizing time in system
Maximizing machine or labour utilization
248. Job Shop Scheduling
Job shop scheduling also known as production
control or shop floor control
Responsibilities of production control dept. are
Loading
Sequencing
Dispatching
Monitoring
Preparing various reports (scrap, performance,
rework)
249. Loading
Loading is a capacity control technique
that decides which jobs to assign to which
work centers
251. Sequencing
When more than one job is assigned to a
machine or activity, the operator needs to
know the order in which to process the
jobs. The process of prioritizing jobs is
called sequencing
252. Dispatching
Administrative process of releasing of a work
order from the production planning department
to production authorizing processing of jobs
Shop paperwork
254. Priority Rules for Job Sequencing
(n Jobs on One M/c)
Single Dimension Rules
First Come First Served (FCFS)
Shortest Processing Time (SPT)
Earliest Due Date (EDD)
Longest Processing Time (LPT)
Smallest Critical Ratio
255. Performance measures
Flow time: Length of time a job is at a particular
work station (Processing time + Transport time +
any waiting due to breakdown, parts non-
availability, quality problems etc.)
Makespan: Total time needed to complete a
group of jobs. It is the time between start of the
first job in the group and the completion time of
the last job in the group
256. Performance Measures
Job Tardiness is the difference between a
late job’s due date and its completion time
257. Metrics
Average flow time per job
Utilization
Average job tardiness
Average # jobs in the system (WIP)
259. FCFS Job Seq
(1)
Proc Time
(days)
(2)
Flow Time
(days)
(3)
Job Due
Date (4)
Job
Tardiness
(3) - (4)
A 6 0+6 = 6 8 0
B 2 6+2 = 8 6 2
C 8 8+8 = 16 18 0
D 3 16+3 = 19 15 4
E 9 19+9 = 28 23 5
TOTAL 28 77 11
AVG. 77/5 =15.4
days
11 / 5 = 2.2
days
FIRST COME FIRST SERVED (FCFS)
260. Metrics
Avg. flow Time = Sum of total flow time / # jobs = 77 /5 =
15.4 days
Utilization = Total proc. time / Sum of total flow time
28 / 77 = 36.4%
Avg # jobs in system = Sum of flow time /
Total job processing time
77 days / 28 days = 2.75 jobs
Avg job tardiness = Total late / # jobs = 11 / 5 = 2.2 days
261. SPT Job Seq
(1)
Proc Time
(2)
Flow Time
(3)
Job Due
Date
(4)
Job
Tardiness
(3-4)
B 2 0+2 =2 6 0
D 3 2+3=5 15 0
A 6 5+6 =11 8 3
C 8 11+18
=19
18 1
E 9 19+9 =28 23 5
Total 28 65 9
SMALLEST PROCESSING TIME (SPT)
262. SPT Metrics
Avg. flow time = 65 / 5 = 13 days
Utilization = 28 / 65 = 43.1%
Avg. # jobs in the system = 65 / 28 = 2.32
jobs
Avg job lateness = 9 / 5 = 1.8 days
263. EDD Job Seq
(1)
Proc Time
(2)
Flow Time
(3)
Job Due
Date
(4)
Job
Tardiness
(3-4)
B 2 2 6 0
A 6 8 8 0
D 3 11 15 0
C 8 19 18 1
E 9 28 23 5
TOTAL 28 68 6
EARLIEST DUE DATE (EDD)
264. LPT Job Seq Proc Time Flow Time Job Due
Date
Job
Tardiness
E 9 9 23 0
C 8 17 18 0
A 6 23 8 15
D 3 26 15 11
B 2 28 6 22
TOTAL 28 103 48
Longest Processing Time (LPT)
265. Sequencing
Rule
Avg. Flow
Time
Util. (%) Avg. #
jobs in
system
Average
tardiness
(days)
FCFS 15.4 36.4 2.75 2.2
SPT 13.0 43.1 2.32 1.8
EDD 13.6 41.2 2.43 1.2
LPT 20.6 27.2 3.68 9.6
266. Critical Ratio (CR)
Time Remaining until due date
CR = ----------------------------------
Workdays remaining
Due Date – Today’s Date
CR =-----------------------------
Workdays remaining (remaining processing time)
267. Critical Ratio (CR)
If CR < 1.0, Job falling behind schedule
If CR = 1.0, Job on schedule
If CR > 1.0, Job ahead of schedule
268. Priority Rule (FCFS)
Advantages
For service systems
Dominant priority rule
Appear fair to
customers
Simplicity
Disadvantage
Long jobs will tend to
delay other jobs
269. Priority Rule (EDD)
Advantages
Addresses due dates
Intuitively appealing
Minimizes tardiness
Disadvantages
Ignores processing
time
Long waiting for other
jobs
Shop congestion
High In-process
inventories
270. Priority Rules (SPT)
Advantages
Lowest avg.
completion time
Lower WIP
Lower tardiness
Better customer service
levels
Lowest avg. # jobs in
the system
Less congestion
Ideal where shop is
highly congested
Disadvantage
Tend to make long
jobs wait
Solution- truncated
SPT
271. Sequencing
(n Jobs on 2 Machines)
Johnson’s Rule
Objective is to minimize processing time for
sequencing a group of jobs through two work
centers
Developed by S M Johnson in 1954 for job
shop scheduling
272. Examples (2 work centres)
A book binding operation where books
must first pass through binding before
going to trimming
Finished products must pass through
inspection before packaging
A medical clinic where patient goes for
registration and then consulting
273. Steps – Johnson’s Rule
1. All the jobs are to be listed, and the time that
each requires on a machine is to be shown. Set
up a one-dimensional matrix to represent the
desired sequence with the number of slots
equal to # of jobs
2. Select the job with the shortest activity time. If
the shortest time lies with the first machine, the
job is scheduled first. If the shortest time lies
with the second machine, schedule the job last.
274. Steps – Johnson’s Rule
3. Once a job is scheduled, eliminate it
4. Repeat steps 2 and 3 to the remaining jobs until all the
slots in the matrix have been filled or all jobs have
been sequenced
5. If a tie for the shortest processing time occurs in the
same work station, the competing two job sequences
need to be evaluated by comparing cumulative
processing times. The lowest cumulative processing
time would be the recommended sequence
275. Johnson’s Rule (Conditions)
Job time (set up + proc time) must be known
for each work center
All jobs follow same two-step sequence
All units in a job must be completed at the first
work center before moving to second work
center
280. Johnson’s rule – 3 work centres
Three work centres is an extension of the previous
model (2 work-centres)
Examples
A book binding operation where books pass through
printing and binding before going for trimming
Finishing products, which pass through inspection,
painting, before going to packaging
A medical centre where patients see a doctor, pass
onto x-ray, and then consult a specialist
281. Johnson’s rule – 3 work centres
Johnson’s rule can be applied if either of
the following two criteria applies:
The smallest time at the first processing operation is
at least as great as the largest duration on the second
processing operation
The smallest duration on the third processing
operation is at least as great as the largest duration
on the second operation.
283. Johnson’s rule – 3 work centres
Beauty Products Pre-preparation
(hour)
Preparation
(hour)
Finishing
(hour)
Baby Blue 7 1 3
Virgin White 6 4 2
Shy Pink 8 5 4
Daring Purple 9 2 5
Sensuous Black 10 3 7
Minimum of 1st
operation, i.e., 6 >= maximum of second operation, i.e., 5
Therefore, Johnson’s rule can be applied
284. Johnson’s rule – 3 work centres
Beauty products Work centre 1
Operation time (hour)
Work centre 2
Operation time (hour)
Baby Blue (BB) 7+1 = 8 1+3 = 4
Virgin White (VW) 6+4 = 10 4+2 = 6
Shy Pink (SP) 8+5 = 13 5+4 = 9
Daring Purple (DP) 9+2 = 11 2+5 = 7
Sensuous Black (SB) 10+3 = 13 3+7 = 10
Apply Johnson’s rule with two work centres
Sequence: SB SP DP VW BB
285. Scheduling a Set Number of Jobs on
the Same no. of Machines
Some work centres have enough of the right kinds of
machines to start all jobs at the same time
Assignment Method (special case of transportation
method)
There are n “things” to be distributed to n “destination”
Each thing must be assigned to one and only one
destination
Only one criteria can be used (min cost or max profit)
286. Assignment Method
Job A B C D E
I Rs 5 Rs 6 Rs 4 Rs 8 Rs 3
II Rs 6 Rs 4 Rs 9 Rs 8 Rs 5
III Rs 4 Rs 3 Rs 2 Rs 5 Rs 4
IV Rs 7 Rs 2 Rs 4 Rs 5 Rs 3
V Rs 3 Rs 6 Rs 4 Rs 5 Rs 5
Five jobs, 5 machines, Cost of each job given. Devise min cost assignment.
287. Shop Configuration
Refers to the manner in which machines
are organized on the shop floor and the
flow pattern of the jobs utilizing these
machines
Two alternative configurations
Flow shop
Job shop
288. Introduction-Elements of the Job Shop Scheduling Problems
An assembly line is a classic example of flow shop
Every car goes through all the stations one by one in the same
sequences;
Same tasks are performed on each car in each station;
Its operations scheduling is simplified as assembly line balancing;
An assembly balancing problem is to determine the number of stations
and to allocate tasks to each station.
Flow shop:
Each of the n
jobs must be
processed
through the m
machines in the
same order.
Each job is
processed
exactly once on
each machine.
289. A Pure Flow Shop
As there are n jobs, there are n! ways in which one can draw up
alternative schedules in the shop
In flow shop resources are organized one after another in the order the jobs are
processed
Since all jobs follow the same order of visiting machines, the scheduling function
Is essentially reduced to one of ordering the jobs in front of the first machine.
290. 290
Job Shop
Low volume job shop operations are
designed for flexibility
Each product or service may have its own
routing (scheduling is much more difficult)
Bottlenecks move around depending upon
the products being produced at any given
time
292. Introduction-Job Shop
Not all jobs are assumed to require exactly the same number of
operations, and some jobs may require multiple operations on a single
machine (Reentrant system, Job B twice in work center 3 ).
Each job may have a different required sequencing of operations.
No all-purpose solution algorithms for solving general job shop problems
;
Operations scheduling of shop floor usually means job shop scheduling;
Job A
Job B
293. Job Shop
Since there are n! ways of rank-ordering jobs in front of a machine and since
there are m machines in the shop, and all jobs are processed on all machines,
the number of alternatives that one can draw for a job shop is given by (n!)m
Job 1: 1-4-2-5-6
Job 2: 3-2-1-4-6-7
Job 3: 2-3-4-7-5-6
295. Scheduling n jobs on m machines
Number of alternative schedules (n!)m
Complex
Likely solution - Simulation
296. Some Insights
Bad news
Real world > 2 machines
Process times are not deterministic
Real world production scheduling problems
are hard
Hard to find optimal solutions to realistic size
scheduling problems
Far from exact science
297. Minimizing Scheduling
Difficulties
Good News
Setting realistic due dates
Focus on bottlenecks
Schedule this resource and propagate the
schedule to non-bottleneck resource
298. Bottleneck Scheduling
Common approach
Simplify problem by breaking into pieces
Scheduling bottleneck stations and then
propagating that schedule to non-bottleneck
stations
303. Toyota Production System
(Lean Manufacturing)
Taiichi Ohno (1912-1990), Toyota
executive pioneered the concept
To do more and more with less and less
Less human effort
Less equipment
Less time
Less space
Less capital
304. Toyota Production System
Toyota Production System
System for absolute elimination of waste
80% waste elimination
15% production system
5% kanban
Drive out waste so that all work adds value and satisfies
customer’s need
305. Lean Production
(Levels of Abstraction)
Lean production has been described at
three levels
1. Philosophical perspective
A. Elimination of waste (Womack and
Jones,1996)
2. Implementation of tools and techniques
3. System design using three rules
306. What is Waste?
Waste is defined as any activity that does
not add value to a product from
customer’s perspective
Fujio Cho, Toyota’s president defined
“Anything other than the minimum amount of
equipment, materials, parts, and workers
essential for production”
307. Seven Categories of Muda
Muda means Waste
1. Overproduction
2. Unnecessary Inventory
3. Transportation
4. Over Processing
5. Waiting
6. Unnecessary motion
7. Product Defects
317. How Time is Spent by a Typical Part in a
Batch Production Machine Shop
Time on M/c
5%
Moving and Waiting
Time in
factory
Time on m/c
30% 70%
Cutting Loading, positioning,
gauging
95%
319. Wastes in IT Sector
How long did you wait to start a scheduled
meeting?
How many reports you created that nobody
read?
How much time you waited for a decision from
your superior?
How much rework you did while developing the
software?
320. Activities
Value-added
Makes a product more complete
Non-value-added
Does not add value in the customer’s eyes
and customer unwilling to pay
Required non-value-added
321. Value-added Activity
An activity that makes a product a more
complete product, in the eyes of the customer
The value is defined from customer’s point of
view
End result is the receipt of cash for our actions
322. Required Non-Value Added
Activity
Activity for which the customer is likely to
pay
We can change and improve the method
of performing these activities
323. Non-Value Added Activity
The activity that consumes time and resources
but does not advance the product to a more
complete or finished state. Adds no value in
the customer’s eyes and that customer is
unwilling to pay for
Seven categories of waste
Overproduction, unnecessary motion, transport,
process, waiting, unnecessary motion
324. Basic Words
Seven forms of waste composed of non-
value added activities, add cost
The value added activities, generate
revenues
325. Conversion TimeConversion Time
Value-added
Start of production
for a single item
Components ofComponents of
Lead TimeLead Time
Components ofComponents of
Lead TimeLead Time
Nonvalue-added
Wait TimeWait Time Move TimeMove Time Down TimeDown Time
End of production
for a single item
Total Lead Time
326. Relationship Between SetupRelationship Between Setup
Times and Lead TimesTimes and Lead Times
Relationship Between SetupRelationship Between Setup
Times and Lead TimesTimes and Lead Times
LongLong
SetupSetup
TimesTimes
LargeLarge
BatchBatch
SizesSizes
LargeLarge
InventoryInventory
Longer Lead Times
327. Value Stream Mapping
Process mapping tool that enables all
stakeholders of an organization to
visualize and understand a process
To differentiate value from waste
Eliminate waste
Chinese Proverb: “One picture is worth ten thousand words”
328. Value Stream Map
Walking and drawing the processing steps
(material and information) for one
product family from door to door in your
plant
329. Value Stream Mapping
To maximize value and eliminate waste
1. Form inter-disciplinary team
2. Mapping the current key process how it actually
operates
Identify value added and non-value added activities
Eliminate non value added activities using Kaizen
(continuous incremental improvement)
1. Develop future state value stream map
330.
331. Takt Time
Available work time
per day
Takt Time = --------------------------------
Customer demand rate
per day
333. Ways to Eliminate NVAs
Rearranging sequence
Consolidating process steps
Changing work methods
Change type of equipment
Redesigning forms and documents
Improving operator training
Eliminate unnecessary steps
334. Toyota Production System
Multiple explanations for Toyota’s
success:
Elimination of waste
Using specific tools for production
Design Rules
335. Lean – Tools and Techniques
1. Pull Systems
2. Cellular Layout
3. Uniform Plant Loading (Heijunka)
4. Small lot sizes
5. Minimized set-up times
6. Kanban Systems
7. Quality at source (Poka-Yoke)
8. Flexible Resource
9. Total Productive maintenance
10. 5S
339. 1. Pull vs. Push (Traditional)
Pull Method: A method where customer demand
activates the production of service or item. Work
releases are authorised
Push Method: A push method where the
production of the item begins in advance of
customer needs. Work releases are scheduled
342. 2. Cellular Layouts
Cells group dissimilar machines to
process parts with similar shapes or
processing requirements
343.
344. 2. Cellular Layout
Process (Functional) LayoutProcess (Functional) Layout Group (Cellular) LayoutGroup (Cellular) Layout
Similar resources placed
together
Resources to produce similar
products placed together
T T T
M
M M T
M
SG CG CG
SG
D D D
D
T T T CG CG
T T T SG SG
M M D D D
M M D D D
A cluster
or cell
346. LEVELLED PRODUCTION
Levelled production means producing various models on the same production line to cater
the customer demand. See the following diagram. The various products are shown in the
form of different geometrical shapes. Assume they are different models of vehicles being
produced on the same production line.
Production leveling is done by finding the ratio of demand of various models. Instead of
producing batches of the same model, mix models are produced on the same production
line according to the ratio of their demand in the market.
This is how customers do not have to wait for long and throughout the month all the
customers are served equally well
349. 4. Small Lots
Use lot sizes as small as possible
Advantages
Average level of inventory less
Pass through the system faster
Quality problems are detected fast
Easier to schedule
Disadvantage
Multiple set ups
350. 5. Minimized Set up Times
Small lot sizes to make mixed models
Japanese workers: 800 T, time: 10 mins
US workers time: 6 Hrs
German workers time: 4 Hrs
Set Ups
Internal (Done when m/c is stopped); disruptive
External (Done when m/c is running)
Convert internal to external set ups
Abolish the setup itself (uniform product design)
Single Minute Exchange of Dies (SMED)
353. 7. Quality at Source
Emphasis on eliminating defects at their origination points
Workers act as inspectors
Jidoka (the authority of the workers to stop the line if quality problems
encountered)
Andons or call lights
Each worker given access to andons to seek help.
Visual control of quality
Poka-Yoke
Are either warnings that signal existence of a problem or controls
that stop production until the problem is resolved
Minimize human errors
http://facultyweb.berry.edu/jgrout/everyday.html
355. Classifying Service Poka-Yokes
Server Errors
Task:
Doing work incorrectly
Treatment:
Failure to listen to
customer
Tangible:
Errors in physical
elements of service (dirty
waiting rooms, unclear
bills)
Customer Errors
Preparation:
Failure to bring necessary
materials before the
encounter
Encounter:
Failure to follow system flow
Resolution:
Failure to signal service failure
Failure to execute post
encounter actions
357. 9. Total Productive Maintenance
(TPM)
Eliminating causes of machine failure
Maximizing effectiveness of machine throughout
its entire life
Involving everyone in all departments and at all
levels
TPM develops a maintenance system
Central to TPM is the concept of Overall
Equipment Effectiveness (OEE)
358. Overall Equipment
Effectiveness(OEE)
OEE =
Availability Rate * Performance Rate * Quality Rate
OEE captures six big losses which result
in reduced effectiveness of using an
equipment
359. OEE
Availability: % of scheduled time that the
operation is available to operate. Often
referred to as Uptime.
Performance: Speed at which the work
centre runs as a % of designed speed
Quality: Good units produced as a % of
total units produced
360. OEE
Can be applied to any individual work
centre or rolled up to department or plant
levels
362. 10. 5 Elements of 5S
1. Sort: Remove all unnecessary material
and equipment
2. Straighten: Make it obvious where
things belong
3. Shine: Clean everything, inside and out
4. Standardize: Establish policies and
procedures to ensure 5S
5. Sustain: Training, daily activities
Note: Some add 6th
S for “safety”
368. Toyota Production System
Multiple explanations for Toyota’s
success:
Elimination of waste
Using specific tools for production (SMED,
Poka Yoke)
Design Rules
371. Rule 1: Activity
All work shall be highly specified as to
Content
Sequence
Timing
Outcome
Specified Tasks
372. Rule 2: Connections
Every customer-supplier connection must
be direct and there must be an
unambiguous yes-or-no way to send
requests and receive responses
Streamlined communication
373. Rule 3: Pathways
The pathway for every product and service
must be simple and direct
Simple process architecture
374. Rule 4: Scientific Problem Solving
Any improvement must be made in
accordance with the scientific method,
under the guidance of a teacher, at the
lowest possible level in the organization
Hypothesis-driven problem solving
380. 5 Whys Approach
A workstation starved for work
Why starved? A pump failed
Why pump failed? It ran out of
lubricant
Why it ran out of lubricant? A leaky
gasket not detected
Why leaky gasket not detected?
Lack of training
382. Questions
Do principles of lean production apply to
knowledge work?
How can we extend the existing
framework of lean production to a new
context that differs substantially from that
in which lean was observed?
386. History of Quality Management
Rooted in Post-World war II Japan
Japanese in an effort to build their nation adopted the US
manufacturing practices
Embraced and suppported the work of two American
researchers: Joseph Juran (1904-2008) and W Edwards
Deming (1900-1993)
Juran blamed the culture of the firm and management for
poor quality
Deming developed SPC for industries
Japanese industry leaders embraced the idea that efforts
to improve quality can actually reduce costs
387. History of Quality Management
By 1970s and 1980s, US market was invaded by
Japanese electronic and automobile products
Toyota was already using advanced quality management
system, and TPS became the international superstar of
manufacturing practice
In late 1980s, Motorola developed the Six Sigma (SS)
approach, others (GE, Seagate, AlliedSignal) adopted
SS
TQM, another well-known method adopted by industry
388. Performance and Conformance
Successful quality management requires
managers to understand what constitutes
quality for the customer
Firms need to identifying the needs of the
customers (internal or external) and
provide a product or service that will
satisfy or exceed their expectations
389. Performance and Conformance
Different kinds of quality
Performance quality
Refers to the ability of the product to excel along one
or more performance dimensions (“attributes”)
Conformance quality
Because of inherent variability in production
processes, nothing is produced exactly according to
specifications. The degree of match between
specifications and the actual product or service is
what we call as conformance quality
390. Quality Article
“Competing on eight dimensions of
quality” (Harvard Business Review, Nov-
Dec 1987) by David Garvin
391. Dimensions of Quality:
Manufactured Products
Performance – primary product characteristics
Features – secondary characteristics
Reliability – How often does the product fail?
Consistency of performance
Conformance to standards – meeting design
specifications
Durability – How long the product lasts; its life span
before replacement
Serviceability – ease of repair, speed of repair
Aesthetics – sensory characteristics (sound, feel, look)
Perceived Quality – past performance, reputation,
recognition
392. Article – Key Points
Eight dimensions of quality
Companies need not pursue all eight
dimensions
If pursued, products become costly
Companies need to find what dimensions
customers care for and work on those
dimensions
Proper market research is key
393. Some Quality Issues in Recent
Times – Indian companies
Safety features in Indian made passenger
vehicles
Five Indian made hatchbacks failed in New
Car Assessment Program (NCAP) Test
Banning of Indian drugs in US for some Indian
pharmaceutical companies for poor
manufacturing practices
Ranbaxy, Wockhardt, RPG Life Sciences and
many
394. Quality Gurus
Walter Shewart
W. Edward Deming
Joseph Juran
Armand V. Feigenbaum
Philip Crosby
Kaoru Ishikawa
Taguchi
395. Key Contributors to Quality
Management
Shewart Control Charts
Deming 14 points, special vs. common cause
variation
Juran Quality is fitness-for-use
Feigenbaum Customer defines quality
Crosby Quality is free, zero defects
Ishikawa Cause-and-effect diagrams
Taguchi Taguchi loss function
Ohno and Shingo Continuous improvement
396. Modern Definition of Quality
Quality is inversely proportional to variability
Reduction of variability is the fundamental idea in quality
control.
397. Describing Variability
Measures of variability (or spread out)
Range
Variance and the standard deviation
Stem-and-leaf plot
Histogram
Box Plot
Coefficient of variation
399. Describing Variability
Stem-and-leaf display (Graphical display about a data
set)
Shape
Spread
Central tendency
Box Plot (Graphical Display)
Central tendency
Spread or variability
Departure from symmetry
Identification of outliers
Histogram
Same as above
401. Coefficient of Variation
Coefficient of Variation, c = σ / µ
Where σ = standard deviation
µ = mean
If c<0.75 , low variability
If 0.75 <= c <=1.33, moderate variability
If c >= 1.33, High variability
402.
403. Approaches to Quality
Assurance
Acceptance
Sampling
Process Control
Continuous
Improvement
The least
progressive
The most
progressive
Inspection before/
After production
Inspection and
corrective action
during production
Quality built in
the process
404. Acceptance Sampling and
Process Control
TransformationInputs Output
Acceptance
Sampling
Process control
Acceptance
Sampling
Inspection before and after production often involves acceptance sampling
Procedures; monitoring during the production process is referred to as process
control
405. Acceptance Sampling
In acceptance sampling, managers take
two key decisions
When in the process to conduct inspections
How rigorously to test
Frequency of inspection
How many products to test each time
406. When in the Process to Inspect?
Raw materials and purchased parts
Finished products
Before a costly operation or where
significant value is added to the product
Before an irreversible process
Before a covering process
407. How Much to Inspect and How
Often?
The amount of inspection can range from no inspection
whatsoever to inspection of each item.
Low –cost, high volume items require less inspection
High-cost, low volume items require intensive inspection
Majority of the quality control applications lie somewhere
between the two
As a rule, operations with high proportion of human involvement necessitate
more inspection than mechanical operations
408.
409. Costs of Quality
Prevention Costs (costs associated with tasks intended to prevent
defects from occurring)
Quality Planning (developing & implementing quality
management program)
Process monitoring
Training
Purchasing better equipment that produces less variation
Working with vendors to increase the quality of input materials
Process redesign to reduce errors
Quality data acquisition and analysis
Quality improvement projects
410. Costs of Quality
Appraisal Costs (assessing the condition of
materials and processes at various points in
process)
Inspection and testing of incoming materials
Product inspection and test at various stages
Maintaining accuracy of test equipment
(calibration)
Laboratory testing
Costs of quality estimated to be between 15%-20% of sales at most companies
Crosby
411. Cost of Quality
Internal failure costs (defects discovered before shipment)
Scrap
Rework
Process downtime
Retest
Failure analysis
Disposition
External failure costs (defects discovered after shipment)
Customer complaint
Warranty charges
Liability costs
Returned product/material
External and internal failure costs together accounted for 50%-80% of COQ
Juran
416. Cost of Quality
It is estimated that the cost to fix a problem at the customer end is about 5 times the
cost to fix a problem at the design stage
417. Cost of Quality
Ce + Ci + Ca + Cp
Cost of Quality= --------------------------------------
Cb + Ce + Ci + Ca + Cp
Ce = External failure cost
Ci = Internal failure cost
Ca = appraisal cost
Cp = prevention cost
Cb = measured base production cost ( no costs for quality)
418. Consequences of Poor Quality
Loss of business
Liability
Productivity
Costs
419.
420. Process Control
Starts with measuring an important
variable. This can be a
Product attribute
Diameter of a metal component, weight of a bag of
potato chip
Process Attribute
Temperature in a restaurant’s oven, length of
waiting time in a ticket booth, pressure applied in a
molding process
421. Statistical Process Control
(SPC)
A statistical process control involves testing a random
sample of output from a process to determine whether the
process is producing items within a pre-selected range
SPC uses statistical tools to observe the performance of the
production process in order to detect significant variations
before they result in the production of a sub-standard article.
SPC is about monitoring consistency and repeatability of a
process
422. Major Objectives of SPC
Quickly detect the occurrence of
assignable causes of process so that
investigation of the process and corrective
action may be undertaken before non-
conforming units are manufactured
Reducing variability in the process
423. Why Quality Problems?
Variation due to two reasons
Common Cause or random variation
Assignable or Special cause or controllable
variation
424. Statistical Process Control Tools
(SPC)
Variation in output is due to:
Common causes (also known as natural variation)
Inherent variation present in every process
Causes may difficult to distinguish or wholly
unidentifiable
Resulting degree of variation is minor
Assignable causes (known as special variation)
Variations due to specific causes
A process subject to assignable variation is out of control
425. Statistical Process Control
Tools (SPC)
Control (or in control or stable)
A process that exhibits only common cause
variation is said to be in control or stable
A process is said to be out of control when
it exhibits assignable variation
Examples: less experienced worker has
replaced an experienced worker, machine
malfunctioning, change of machine settings
426. Common Cause & Assignable
Causes ( A Game)
Writing “R” with right hand (one line)
Writing “R” with left hand (one line)
431. Control Charts
A control chart is a time ordered plot of sample statistics
Sometimes called “the voice of the process”
Graphical display of a quality characteristics (for example, level of
beer in each bottle in a bottling plant)
Distinguish between random and non-random variability
Chart contains a center line and two limits
Upper control limit
Lower control limit
If the process is in control, all sample points will fall between them
As long as points fall within control limits – the process is in
statistical control
However, any point outside limits – investigate the assignable
causes
432.
433.
434. Control Charts
If all the points plot inside the limits, but
behave in a nonrandom manner –
indication that process is out of control
and needs investigation
436. In Statistical Control
A process that is operating with only
chance cause of variation present is said
to be in statistical control
If the process is in control, all the plotted
points should have an essentially random
pattern
437. Reasons for Popularity of Control
Charts
Proven technique for improving
productivity
Effective in defect prevention
Prevents unnecessary process adjustment
Provides diagnostic information
Provides information about process
capability
438. Statistical Process Control Tools
Control Charts for variables (Characteristics that are expressed on a
numerical scale: density, weight, diameter, resistance, length, time, volume)
X-bar Chart and R-Chart
X-bar chart for process average
R-chart for process variability
Control Charts for attributes (characteristic that can’t be measured on a
numerical scale: smell of cologne acceptable or not acceptable, color of a
fabric acceptable or not)
p-chart and c-chart
p-charts for percent defective in a sample
c-charts for counts (e.g. # of defects)
439. SPC Tools
Control Charts for variables (X-chart, R-Chart)
Variables data are measured on continuous
scale
Length
Width
Weight
Voltage
Viscosity
Amount of time needed to complete a task
440. Mean Control Chart (x-bar
chart)
A mean control chart or x-bar chart can be
computed in one of the two ways.
Choice depends on what information is
available
If process standard (σ) is known from past
experience or historical data
442. Mean Control Chart (x-bar
chart)
If the process standard deviation is not known, a
second approach is to use the sample range as
a measure of process variability. The
appropriate formulas for control limits are
443. R-Chart Control Limits
D3, D4 = constants that provide 3 standard deviations (3D3, D4 = constants that provide 3 standard deviations (3σσ) limits) limits
for a given sample sizefor a given sample size
444. X-bar Chart Limits
A2 = constant to provide three sigma limits for the sample meanA2 = constant to provide three sigma limits for the sample mean
445.
446.
447. Steps in developing X-bar and R-
chart
Collect data on the variable measured (time, weight,
diameter). Collect at least 20-25 samples randomly.
Sample size should be of 4 to 5 units.
Compute range for each sample, and average R-bar
Calculate the UCL and LCL
Plot the sample ranges. If all are in control process,
Calculate UCL and LCL for x-bar chart
Plot the sample means. If all are in control, process is in
statistical control.
452. Pattern Recognition in Control
Charts
Recognizing non-random patterns on the control
chart
One point plots outside 3σ limits
Two or three consecutive points plot beyond
2σ limits
Four out of 5 consecutive points plot at a
distance of 1σ or beyond from the centre line
Eight consecutive points on one side of centre
line
453. p-chart
Control charts for attributes
p-chart measures % defective items or proportion defective
items in a sample
Total # defects from all samples
p-bar = ----------------------------------------
# samples × Sample size
Appropriate when data consists of two categories of items
Good or bad, pass or fail
Examples: # bad light bulbs and good light bulbs in a given
lot
# of bad glass bottles and good glass bottles
455. c-chart
Appropriate when number of defects are counted
because not possible to compute proportion defective
Examples
Number of accidents per day
Number of crimes committed in a month
Blemishes on a desk
Complaints in a day
Typo errors in a chapter of the text book
# customer invoice errors
456. C-chart Limits
C-bar = average no. of defects per unit = Total number of defects
No of samples
457. Process Capability
Specifications: A range of values imposed by designers
of the product or service based on customer
requirements
Control limits and based on production process, and they
reflect process variability
Process variability: Natural or inherent variability in a
process due to randomness
Process capability: The inherent variability of process
output relative to the variation allowed by the design
specifications
458. Measures of Process Capability
Measures of Process Capability
Process Capability Ratio
Process Capability Index
459. Process Capability Ratio
Cp = (Upper Spec – Lower Spec) / 6σ
If Cp < 1, process range > tolerance range
Process not capable of producing within design
specifications
If Cp = 1, Tolerance range and process range are same
If Cp > 1, Tolerance range > process range
A desirable situation
Ideally Cp > 1.33
462. Process Capability
Cp does not take into account where the
process mean is located relative to the
specifications
Cp simply measures the spread of the
specifications relative to the six sigma
spread in the process
463. Process Capability Index
Generally, if Cp = Cpk, the process is centered at the midpoint of the specifications
When Cpk < Cp, the process is off center
Editor's Notes
In the supply chain one of the key variables that has to be managed is inventory. Inventory includes a vast spectrum of material that is being transferred, stored, consumed, produced, packaged or sold during a firm’s normal course of business. Inventory has a financial value, which for accounting purposed is considered to be a short-term asset.
Keep the level of inventory in the supply chain as low as possible thus freeing up the funds for other purposes.
Moving the inventory, in its continually changing form, as fast as possible through the supply chain for delivery to the final client, in order to realize the gains in the value added.
Cycle inventory (Q/2): It is often economical to produce material in lots. In this case, a lot may be produced over a short period of time, and then no further production is done until the lot is nearly depleted. This makes it possible to spread the set up cost of the production machines over large number of items. It also permits the use of the productive equipment for different products. A similar situation holds for purchase of raw materials. Owing to ordering costs, quantity discounts, and transportation costs, it sometimes economical to purchase in large lots, even though part of the lot is then held in inventory for later use. The inventory resulting from the purchase or production of material is lots is called cycle inventory, since the lots are produced or purchased on a cyclic basis.
Immediate delivery not possible: Sometimes getting crude oil is problematic due to middle east political situation. For iron ore, JSW steel had to stop production because government of India had stopped mining and transportation due to environmental reasons.
To protect against unanticipated events: Toyota had to suspend production in 2011 because parts production came to halt due to Tsunami in Japan (2011). Similarly, Honda faced severe shortage of parts die to flood in Thailand in 2011.
Decoupling Inventory: Since it is not possible to carry out supply chain activities with one decision maker, the entire supply chain is usually is divided into various decision making units. Usually the decision making takes place at the organizational and departmental boundaries. It is not uncommon to hold inventories at organizational and departmental boundaries. Many companies find it necessary to maintain buffer inventories at different stages of their supply chain to provide independence between stages in the manufacturing process to avoid work stoppages or delays. WIP are kept between stages in the manufacturing process so that production can continue smoothly if there are temporary machine breakdowns or other work stoppages.
Anticipation inventory:
Raw material: These are parts that a company has received but no one has done anything yet. You could in theory return them if you wanted to. Rolled or forged steel bars used to manufacture input or output shafts in a gear box.
Work-In-process: Once parts are pulled from raw materials, the first operation has been performed on them, they are considered work-in-process. In other words, materials that are in the intermediate stage, i.e., they are under process at different stages of the production. You have added labour dollars to the part, and is not in original shape. It is yours now; you have added cost, and you can’t send it back to vendor.
Finished goods: Inventory that is complete in all respect and is ready for delivery to the ultimate customer. The product is sitting in your stock room. For example, motor cycles, TV, washing machines that we see with the retailer.
In our homes we carry inventory as well. Raw chicken (RM), marinated chicken (WIP), cooked chicken (finished goods). Same with many other recipes.
Overstocking of inventory results in unnecessary tying up of funds that could have been used elsewhere. Understocking or low levels results in missed deliveries, lost sales, dissatisfied customers, and production bottlenecks.
Therefore, the inventory of an item should not be too high or too low. It should be just optimal.
Expected number of days of sales that can be supplied from existing inventory. Here a balance is desirable; a high number of days might imply excess inventory, while a low number of days might imply a risk of running out of system
When dealing with large number of items, the management may not be in a position to focus attention on all items. So it makes sense for a company to classify items so that managers can pay suitable attention to different categories of items.
ABC: Focus most on A (very important), then B (moderate important), and finally C (less important)
FSN: Fast moving stocked in a decentralized inventory while slow moving items stocked centrally. N are candidates for disposal.
VED: Very popular in maintenance management. Reliance Industries maintains 99.995 % service level for V category of spares. While deciding the inventory of D category product, one will fix lower level of service requirements.
An important aspect of inventory management is that items held in inventory are not of equal importance in terms of dollar invested, profit potential, sales or usage volume, or stockout penalties.
ABC approach classifies inventory according to some measure of importance, usually annual dollar value (i.e., dollar value per unit multiplied by annual usage rate)
In the nineteenth century, Villefredo Pareto in a study on distribution of wealth found that 20% of the people controlled 80% of the wealth. This is certainly true in inventory systems where a few items account for the bulk of our investment. Pareto principle states that there are critical few and trivial many. So focus on few critical inventory parts and not the many trivial ones.
For example, A items will be counted once a month, B items will be counted less frequently, say one a quarter, and C items will be counted perhaps once in every 6 months.
Class A items require tighter inventory control because they represent a large percentage of the total rupee value. These inventory levels should be as low as possible, ad safety stocks minimized. In addition, close attention should be given to purchasing policies and procedures to determine the order quantity.
The ABC approach classifies inventory items according to some measure of importance, usually annual dollar value (i.e. dollar value per unit multiplied by annual usage rate) and then allocate control efforts accordingly.
Note: The unit cost of items is not related to their classification. An A item may have a high Rupee volume through a combination of either low cost and high usage or high cost and low usage. Similarly, C items may have a low Rupee volume because of either low demand or cost. For example, in an automobile gas station, gasoline would be an A item with daily or weekly requirement; tires, batteries, oil, grease, and transmission fluid may be B-items, and C-items would consist of valve stems, windshield wiper, blades, radiator caps, hoses, fan belts, oil and gas additives, and so forth. A items may be controled with weekly ordering, B items may be ordered biweekly, C items may be ordered monthly or bi-monthly.
APICS recommends the following guidelines for inventory record accuracy: (+-) 0.2% for A items, (+-)1% for B items, and (+-)5% for C items. A items are counted frequently, B-items are counted less frequently, and C-items are counted less frequently.
Bicycle or Car = Independent demand
Bicycle parts: Dependent demand
The ordering costs is associated with ordering a batch or lot of items. Ordering cost does not depend on the number of items ordered; it is assigned to the entire batch. This cost includes typing the purchase order, expediting the order, transportation costs, receiving costs and so on.
The ordering costs can be determined from company records. However, difficulties are sometimes encountered in separating fixed and variable ordering costs components. The ordering costs should include only the costs which vary with the number of orders placed.
The second cost (holding) is a big one. If you could bring material into the building, process it through the manufacturing steps to make the finished product, and ship the product immediately, there would be very little expense associated with inventory. As soon as you accumulate inventory that you are not processing, you start to add costs for storage (cost of space, light, heat, and facilities cost), cost of people to track it, count it, and move from place to place, and the associated computer software and hardware systems, and equipment required (forklift, pallet truck and so on). These cost of people, equipment, and facility add up quickly to a large amount of expense.
Cost of capital – when items are carried in inventory, the capital invested is not available for other purposes. This represents a cost of foregone opportunities for other investments, which is assigned to inventory as an opportunity cost.
The carrying cost is more difficult to determine accurately. First of all, the cost of capital is an opportunity cost which cannot be derived from historical records. One can, however, determine an appropriate cost of capital on the basis of financial considerations The rest of the carrying costs ---storage, deterioration, obsolescence, and losses – can be based on company records plus special cost studies.
Shortage costs occurs when customer demand can’t be met because of insufficient inventory. Shortage can result in customer dissatisfaction and loss of goodwill that can result in permanent loss of customers and future sales. There is a tradeoff between carrying stock to satisfy demand and the costs resulting from stock out. This balance is sometimes difficult to obtain, because it may not be possible to estimate lost profits, the effects of lost customers, or lateness penalties. Frequently, the assumed shortage is little more than a guess, although it is usually possible to specify a range of such costs.
A perpetual inventory system monitors changes in inventory levels on a continuous basis. For that reason it is also called continuous review system. Under such system inventory transactions are recorded as they occur. Computers have made that process much easier these days. For example, Walmart uses point-of-sale systems that record the transactions as each item is read by the bar code scanner. In fact, the ATM machine that you use is a perpetual inventory system that updates the balance in your account as you make withdrawals. The advantage of this system is that we are constantly aware of inventory level at any point in time. When inventory drops to a pre-determined level (the order point), an order for more can be generated. Often, the order is generated by the same computer system that maintains the inventory records. The quantity ordered is usually a fixed amount.
Periodic Inventory Systems: Many smaller organizations do not have resources to maintain perpetual inventory systems. For example, small retailers often perform periodic counts of inventory on hand of each item, then place an order based on that inventory and the level of demand expected. The main disadvantage is that it is possible to run out of items because inventory is not monitored on a continuous basis.
In fixed order quantity model, the order is placed when the inventory reached the reorder level, R, irrespective of time. Thus a fixed order quantity model is a perpetual system, which requires that every time a withdrawal from the inventory is made, records must be updated to reflect whether the reorder point has been reached.
In fixed time period model, counting takes place only at the review period.
Annual Demand is constant: This means that the consumption takes place at a constant rate. For example, if the demand for an item is 3,650 units, then the rate of consumption is 10 units per day, considering 365 days in a year. Practically, it is not possible that everyday exactly 10 units are demanded, neither more nor less. This is a simplifying assumption in the model.
Lead Time is zero: Lead time is the time gap between placing the order and receiving the items from the supplier
The objective of most inventory model is to minimize costs.
Lead Time: Time interval between ordering and receiving the order.
A cycle begins with receipt of an order of Q units, which is withdrawn at a constant rate over time. When the quantity on hand is just sufficient to satisfy demand during lead time, an order for Q units is submitted to the supplier. Because it is assumed that both the usage rate and the lead time do not vary, the order will be received at the precise instant that the inventory on hand falls to zero. Thus the orders are timed to avoid both excess stock and stockouts.
Lead Time: In purchasing systems, the time between placing an order and receiving it.
Reorder point: The inventory level (point) at which action is taken to replenish the stocked item.
The ideal solution is an order size that causes neither a few very large orders nor many small orders, but one that lies somewhere between. The exact amount will depend on the relative magnitudes of carrying and ordering costs.
Workout problem, Example 15.2, see pp 634, Operations Management, Chase, Jacobs, Aquilano, Agarwal.
If demand and lead time are both constant, the reorder point is simply ROP = d Х LT, where d = demand rate (units per day or week), LT = Lead time in days or weeks
Holding and ordering costs, and annual demand are typically estimated values rather than values that can be precisely determined, say, from accounting records. Usually the operation function will not have such information itself, so the next likely source is accounting. In some companies, accounting is responsible for determining holding and ordering costs. However, such costs are often buried as part of overhead expenses and are not readily available for use in calculating EOQ. Therefore, it is not uncommon for top management to set these values based on the organization’s inventory policy. Holding costs are sometimes designated by management rather than computed. Consequently, the EOQ should be regarded as estimate or ballpark (approximate) figure rather than exact quantity. An obvious question is how robust is EOQ? The answer is EOQ is fairly robust, the total cost curve is relatively flat near the EOQ, especially to the right of EOQ. In other words, even if the resulting EOQ differs from actual EOQ, total costs will not increase much at all. This is particularly true for quantities larger than the real EOQ, because the total cost curve rises very slowly to the right of the EOQ. A firm is better served by ordering a convenient lot size close to the economic order quantity rather than precise EOQ.
Thus, if a unit is in the system for an average of 10 days, and the demand rate is 5 units per day, the average inventory is 50 units: 5 units/day *10 days = 50 units.
Batch mode of production widely used in production. Even in assembly, portion of work done in batches. The reason for this is that in certain instances, the capacity to produce a part exceeds the part’s usage or demand rate. As long as the production continues, inventory will continue to grow. In such instances, it makes sense to produce items in batches instead of producing continually.
Also called EOQ model with non-instantaneous receipt or Economic Production Quantity (EPQ)
The batch mode of production is widely used in production. Even in assembly operations, production of work is done in batches. The reason for this is that in certain instances, the capacity to produce a part exceeds the parts usage or demand rate. As long as production continues, inventory will continue to grow. In such instances, it makes sense to periodically produce such items in batches, or lots, instead of producing continually.
During the production phase of the cycle, inventory builds at the rate equal to the difference between production and usage rates. For example, if the daily production rate is 20 units and the daily usage rate is 5 units, inventory will build at the rate of 20-5 = 15 units per day. As long as the production occurs, the inventory will continue to build; when production ceases, the inventory will begin to decrease. Hence the inventory level will be maximum at the point where production ceases. When the amount on hand is exhausted, production is resumes, and the cycle repeats itself.
Because the company make the product itself, there are nor ordering costs as such. Nonetheless, with every production run (batch) there are set up costs (costs related to cleaning, adjusting, changing tools and fixtures). They are treated in the formula in exactly the same way. The larger the run size, the fewer the number of runs needed and, hence the lower annual setup costs.
The explanation for order point determination works well in situations where demand rate and lead time are known and invariant. Unfortunately, it is much more common to find the demand and lead time are both variable. If either lead time or demand, or both, is less than expected, there will be no problem when the order arrive, some inventory will be left. But, if either demand or lead time , or both, exceed our expected values, then a stock out will occur because inventory will hit zero before the order arrives. There is no margin of safety.
A stock out occurs when the demand exceeds the available inventory in stock. As a hedge against stock outs when demand is uncertain, a safety(or buffer) stock of inventory is frequently added to the expected demand during lead time. The customer service level increases as the risk of stock out decreases. Service level can be defined as the probability that demand will not exceed supply during lead time (i.e., the amount of stock on hand will be sufficient to meet demand). Hence a service level of 95% implies that a probability of 95% that demand will not exceed supply during lead time. Hence Service Level = 100% - Stock out Risk
A service level of 90% means that 0.90 probability that demand will be met during lead time, and the probability that stock out will occur is 10%. Service level is a policy decision.
A stock out may occur sometimes because of any of the following reasons
Excessive consumption of inventory during lead time
Undue stretching of lead time by the supplier.
Also note that stock out protection is needed only during lead time. If there is sudden surge at any point during the cycle, that will trigger another order. Once that order is received, the danger of an imminent stock out is negligible. Because it costs money to hold safety stock, a manager must carefully weigh the cost of carrying safety stock against the reduction in stock out risk. The customer service level increases as the risk of stock out decreases.
Service level is defined as the amount of stock on hand will be sufficient to meet demand. Service level is typically a policy decision based on a number of factors, including carrying costs for the extra stock and lost sales if customer demand can’t be met.
The models generally assume that the variability in demand rate or lead time can be adequately described by a normal distribution.
Service level is usually referred to the ability to satisfy a customer’s delivery date, for instance, the percent of all orders sent on or before the promised delivery date. (See Simchi-Levi book, pp 392)
For a given order cycle service level, the greater the variability in either demand rate or lead time, the greater the amount of safety stock that will be needed to achieve that service level. Similarly, for a given amount of variation in demand rate or lead time, achieving an increase in service level will require increasing the amount of safety stock. Selection of service level may require stock out costs (e.g. lost sales, customer dissatisfaction) or it might be simply be a policy variable (e.g. manager wants to achieve a specified service level for a certain item). The first model can be assumed if an estimate of expected demand during lead time and its standard deviation are available.
When data on lead time demand are not available, the previous formula can’t be used. Nevertheless, data are generally available on daily or weekly demand, and on length of lead time. Using those data, a manager can determine whether demand and or lead time is variable, if variability exists in both, and the related standard deviations. For those situations, one of the above formulas can be used.
All other things remaining same, ordering costs will lower the order quantity, with a resulting decline in cycle stock.
Better forecasting method: Use combination forecasts.
CPFR: Collaboration with your supply chain partners to create a much more accurate forecast.
Generally, firms hold stocks close to customers so that they can satisfy demand more quickly. While each location may use the models described previously to plan its inventory of an item, the sum of the inventory held across all the locations is of concern as well. It is the total inventory that represents the company’s asset investment, which must be financed and for which carrying cost will be incurred. Suppose a company is currently serving all of the demand in the USA for its product from a single location in Michigan. It has applied the principles discussed previously and, as a result, has decided to hold 1000 units of safety stock. What would happen if the company decided to open a second warehouse in California. However, as a result of adding this location, the variation in demand that each location will face individually is greater than the variation in demand that was faced by serving the entire country from a single location. This occurs because from a single location, some of the variations in demand that exist across different markets are essentially offset by one another. Increase the number of locations means that this offering does not occur. Thus while two locations will carry safety stock that is less than required by a single location, the total safety stock carried by the firm will have to be increased to provide the same protection against stockouts. The impact of the change in the number of locations can be estimated by using a formula, known as square root rule.
The distribution centres reduce, rather than increase, the total amount of inventory that is actually held by the companies. While this may seem counterintuitive at first, consider the alternative for the chains. The alternative is to treat each store location as a totally independent location, ordering inventory from far-distant suppliers, likely with vary long and variable lead times. The result would be extremely large inventories required at each store location to service customers. By utilizing distribution centres, many stores can draw on the stocks held at the local centre and receive very rapid and consistent lead times, reducing the amount of inventory held at each location.
Another approach used in some situations is to share inventory among different locations within a firm. The argument is that each dealer can reduce inventory , knowing that there may be another dealer located close by who can provide a part, if needed.
Global Trade Item Number (GTIN) is an item identification system for finished goods sold to customers. There are several variations of GTIN and is continuously evolving, but the simplest example is also perhaps the oldest: The Universal Product Code (UPC) that is familiar in North America and European Automatic Numbering (EAN) used in Europe.
The UPC has two parts: The manufacturer identification number is the first six digits (049000) and the next five digits, 01134, constitute the specific item number, in this case a 3-litre bottle of diet coke. The UPC coordinator makes sure the same code is not used on more than one product, retires codes as products are removed from the product line, and so forth. What is so useful about UPC and other GTIN is that all companies in a supply chain are able to use the same identification number for a specific item. The last digit is the check digit. This digit lets the scanner determine if it is scanned the number correctly or not. Assume that the scanner determines that the number is correct, the computer system then looks up the price of the item in a separate file to determine how much the customer pays for the item.
The original 12 digit North American UPC system is undergoing a change to 14-digits so it is compatible with other numbering systems in GTIN, such as EAN.
Quantity discounts are price reductions for large orders offered to customers to induce them to buy in large quantities. If quantity discounts are offered, the buyer must weigh the potential benefits of reduced purchase price and fewer orders that will result from buying in large quantities against the increase in carrying costs caused by higher level of inventories. The buyer’s goal with quantity discounts is to select the order quantity that will minimize total costs, where total cost is the sum of carrying costs, ordering costs,, and purchasing costs (i.e. product) cost
When carrying costs are constant, there will be a single minimum point. All curves will have their minimum point at the same quantity. Consequently, the total-cost curves line up vertically, differing only in that the lower unit prices are reflected by lower total cost curves.
The optimal order size is same regardless of the discount price. Although the total cost curve decreases with each discount in price (i.e., d1 and d2), since ordering and carrying costs are constant, the optimal quantity does not change.
The graph in the above figure reflects the composition of the total cost curve resulting from the discount kicking in at two successively higher order quantities. The first segment of the total cost curve with no discounts is valid up to 99 units ordered. Beyond the total cost curve represented by the dashed line is meaningless because over 100 units there is a discount (d2). The middle cost curve is valid up to 199 units because at 200 units there is another, lower discount (d2). So the total cost curve has two discrete steps, starting with original cost curve, dropping down to the next level cost curve for the first discount, and finally dropping down to the third level for the final discount. Therefore, no one curve applies to the entire range, rather each curve applies to a portion of the range. Hence the feasible total cost is initially on the curve with highest unit price and then drops down curve by curve, at the price breaks, which are the minimum quantities needed to obtain the discounts.
Notice that the optimal order size Qopt is feasible for the middle level of the total cost curve. TC(d1) does not coincide with the top or the lowest level. If the optimal quantity had coincided with the lowest level of the total cost curve, TC(d2), it would have been the optimal order size for the entire price discount schedule. Since it does not coincide with the lowest level of the total cost curve, the total cost with Qopt must be compared with the lower level total cost using Q(d2) which results in the minimum total cost. In this case, the optimal order quantity is 200.
When carrying costs are specified as a percentage of unit price, each curve will have a different minimum point. Because carrying costs are a percentage of price, lower prices will mean lower carrying costs and larger minimum points. Thus, as price decreases, each curve’s minimum point will be to the right of the next curve’s minimum point.
In the previous classes we developed inventory policies in which order quantity, Q, was the same for each order cycle, but the time when we placed the order could vary according to how quickly our inventory position reached reorder point; that is, variations in lead time and demand were reflected by when we placed the order. That analysis was based on the assumption of continuous review of our inventory position. Instead, we check the inventory position at regular intervals; that is, periodic review. In this case, time between orders is fixed, but the quantity ordered in each cycle changes according to the inventory position at the time of interview.
Although the cost of interviewing inventory periodically may be less than the cost of reviewing it continuously, a major disadvantage is that it introduces more stock out risk. With the continuous review system, as soon as the inventory position reaches the reorder point, an order is placed. However, with a periodic review system, soon after an order is placed a large surge in demand could deplete inventories dangerously low ( or to zero), and the company will not know till the next review period. Even if an order were placed immediately, the company would be out of stock until a delivery occurred. That is the company will be vulnerable to a stock out for a period of T + LT, where T is the time between reviews and LT is the lead time. For this reason, periodic review systems require large safety stocks than a continuous review system in order to achieve the same service level.
To make this simpler, we will assume that the demand is random, with a normal distribution, and that lead time is constant.
In the fixed quantity arrangement, orders are triggered by a quantity (ROP), while in the fixed interval arrangement orders are triggered by a time. Therefore, the fixed interval system must have a stock out protection for lead time plus next order cycle, but the fixed quantity system needs protection during lead time because additional orders can be placed at any time and will be received shortly thereafter. Consequently, there is a greater need for safety stock in the fixed interval model than fixed quantity model. The target inventory level is set high to cover demand over the lead time plus the review period. This coverage time is needed because stock will not be ordered again until the next review period, and that stock will take the lead time to arrive. To achieve the specified service level, demand must be covered over the time between orders and lead time at the average level plus safety stock.
Both models are sensitive to demand experience just prior to reordering, but in somewhat different ways. In the fixed quantity model, a higher than normal demand causes a shorter time between orders, whereas in the fixed interval model, the result in large order size. Another difference is that fixed order quantity model requires close monitoring of inventory levels in order to know when the amount on hand reached the reorder point. The fixed order interval requires periodic review. Another difference, in the fixed interval model, the order size will vary from cycle to cycle. This is quite different from an EOQ approach where in which order size remains constant from cycle to cycle, while the length of the cycle varies (shorter if demand is above average, and longer, if demand is below average).
P system requires more safety stock than the Q system because P system must provide coverage over the “time period between orders” plus “lead time”, while Q system has to provide protection against stock out only over the “lead time” only.
The choice between Q and P systems is not a simple one and should be based on the basis of timing of replenishment, the type of record keeping system in use, and the cost of item.
In practice, one also finds a hybrid system which are a mixture of P and Q inventory rules.
Small retailers often use this system. Drug stores are one example of a business that sometimes uses a fixed time period inventory system. Drug stores stock a number of personal hygiene and health related products such as shampoo, toothpaste, soap, cough medicine, bandages and aspirin. Normally, vendors who provide these items to the store will make periodic visits—every few weeks or every month—and count the stock of inventory on hand for thie product. If the inventory is exhausted or at some predetermined reorder point, a new order will be placed to bring the inventory up to the desired level. The drug store manager will not monitor the inventory level between vendor visits but instead will rely on the vendor to take inventory.
Under this system, the vendor will bundle many small, low cost items into a single order and deliver thereby saving costs. Also, if the items are noncritical, even if there is a stock out, it is not a big deal. However, inventory may be exhausted early in the time period between visits, resulting in a stock out that will not be remedied until the next scheduled order. As a result, larger safety stock for more critical items is sometimes required for the fixed interval system.
In practice, one also finds hybrid systems which are a mixture of P and Q systems.
Under fixed interval system, a physical count of inventory items in inventory is made at periodic intervals (ex, weekly, monthly) in order to decide how much to order for each item. Many small retailers (drug stores, small grocery stores) use this approach. A manager periodically checks the shelves and stock room to determine the quantity on hand. Then the manager estimates how much will be demanded prior to the next delivery period and bases the order quantity on that information. Ashis, the manager of Purushottam Stores in Nagpur was mentioning that different companies such as Proctor and Gamble people come to his stores at regular intervals, counts stocks and then determines how much to replenish based on the estimated demand for the next period.
An advantage of this system is that orders for may items occur at the same time, which can result in economies in processing and shipping orders.
There are several disadvantages of periodic review. One is lack of control between reviews. Another is the need to protect against shortages between review periods by carrying extra stock.
Managing component demand inventory is different from managing finished goods inventory. Demand for components does not have to be forecasted, it can be derived from the demand for finished product. For example, demand for table, consisting of four legs and a table top. If the demand for table is 100 per week, then demand for table top is also 100 per week and demand for table legs would be 400 per week. Demand for table legs is totally dependent on demand for tables. Demand for tables is forecasted, but demand for table legs is calculated.
Another difference between finished products and component parts is the continuity of demand. Independent demand is fairly stable once allowances are made for seasonal variations, but dependent demand tends to be sporadic or lumpy; large quantities are used at specific points in time with little or no usage at other times. Let us assume in our table example that table legs are the last items to be assembled onto the tables before shipping. Also assume that it takes 1 week to make a batch of tables and that table legs are assembled onto table tops every Friday. In that case, demand for table legs would be zero on Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday, but on Friday the demand for table legs would jump to 400 The same pattern would repeat the following week. With this scenario, we do not need to keep inventory of table legs available on Monday through Thursday of any week. Thus demand for table legs occurs in lumps, it is discrete, and not continuous. Therefore, using an inventory system such as EOQ for component items would result in inventory being held that we know will not be needed until a later date. The excess inventory takes up space, soaks funds, and requires additional resources for counting, sorting, storing, and moving.
Independent demand items must be carried on a continual basis, but dependent demand items need only be stocked just prior to the time they will be needed in the production process. Moreover, the predictability of usage of the dependent demand items means that there is little or no need for safety stock.
Estimation of demand for dependent demand items: By production planning. For independent items: By forecasting
Nature of demand: no uncertainty for dependent demand items. For independent demand items: considerable uncertainty
MRP translates a master schedule for end items into time phased requirements for subassemblies, components, and raw materials. The main objective of MRP is to maintain the lowest possible inventory. It determines what component items are needed and scheduling them to be ready at that time, no earlier, and no later.
MRP was the first inventory system to recognize that inventories of raw materials, components, and finished good need to be handled differently. In the process of planning inventory levels for the various types of goods, the system also planned purchasing activities (raw materials and purchased components), manufacturing activities of component parts and assemblies, and delivery schedules for finished products.
MRP system is based on the philosophy that each raw material, part, and assembly needed in production should arrive simultaneously at the right time to produce the end items in the MPS.
Primary Reports: Planned order report, Order release report, Order changes report
Planned Order: A schedule indicating the amount and timing of future orders.
Order Release: Authorizing the execution of planned orders
Order Changes report: Changes to planned order, including revision of due dates or order quantities and cancellation of orders.
Secondary Reports: Performance control reports (deviation from plans, missed deliveries), planning reports (forecasting future inventory requirements), and exception reports (data on any major discrepancy).
The primary inputs of MRP are a bill of materials, which tells us the composition of a finished product; a master schedule, which tells us how much finished product is needed and when; and an inventory records file, which tells us how much inventory is on hand or on order. The planner processes this information to determine the net requirements for each period of the planning horizon.
100 units needed at the start of week 4 and that another 150 units will be needed at start of week 8
Above is a MPS example.
If the aggregate production plan is given in months, the MPS may divide it further into weeks.
The MPS is initially developed from firm customer orders or from forecasts of demand. The MPS identifies the quantity of each end product (end item) and when it needs to be produced during future period in the production planning horizon. Depending on the needs of the firm, the master schedule can be stated in terms of individual products, generic products, modules, or sub-assemblies.
The quantities in the master schedule come from different sources, including customer orders, forecasts, and orders from warehouses to build up seasonal inventories. The master schedule separates the time horizon into a series of time buckets, which are often expressed in weeks. However, the time buckets need not be of equal length. In fact, the near portion of the master schedule may be in weeks, but later portion may be in months or quarters. Usually, plans for those more distant time periods are more tentative than near term requirements.
Although a MPS has no set time period than it must cover, most managers like to plan far enough into the future so they have some general idea of probable upcoming demands for the near term. It is important, though, that the master schedule cover the cumulative end item lead time necessary to produce the end items. Cumulative lead time means the amount of time to get the materials from the suppliers, produce all the parts and assemblies, get the end item assembled and ready for shipment, and deliver it to customers. The end item with the greatest cumulative lead time determines the least amount of time that a planning horizon should span. In practice, planning horizons are usually greater than this minimum.
A bill of materials is a list of the raw materials, sub-assemblies, intermediate assemblies, sub-components, parts and the quantities of each needed to manufacture an end product.
BOM and Product Structure Tree are same things
In real life examples, it is not possible to represent dependency information in the form of a product structure. This is because the number of components that make up the final product could be numerous and the number of levels involved could be many. Instead, one can represent this information using a standard data structure. Such a structure is known an Bill of Materials (BOM). It is a list of parts, ingredients, or materials required to assemble or put together one unit of product.
Product structure shows a product’s buildup. It shows diagrammatically the components required to assemble it, their numbers, and the sequence of assembly.
When an MRP system calculates requirements, the computer scans a bill of material by level. When a component such as E in the above figure appears on more than one level, low level coding is used so that all occurrences of that component appear on the lowest level at which the component appears. In the above figure, conceptually that would be equivalent to lengthening the vertical line for the two appearances of E at Level 2 so that all three occurrences line up at level 3 in the tree.
Planned order report: A plan of the quantity of each material to be ordered in each time period. This schedule is used by purchasing department to place orders with suppliers and by production to order parts, sub-assemblies, or assemblies from upstream department. The planned order reports become a guide for future production at suppliers and for in-house production schedules.
Order changes report: Modification of previous planned orders. Quantities of orders can be changes, orders can be cancelled, or the orders can be delayed or advanced to different time periods through the updating process.
Gross Requirements: Total demand from all parent product plans.
Scheduled Receipts: Orders that have been placed but not yet completed. For an item manufactured by the company, scheduled receipt is an order that has been released (i.e. started) but is still waiting to be processed, is waiting for additional components, or is waiting to be moved. For an item purchased from another company, a scheduled receipt indicates that the order has been released to the supplier but the item may still be in process at the supplier, may be in transit from the supplier etc.
Projected On-Hand Inventory: Estimate of the amount of inventory available each week after gross requirements have been satisfied.
Planned Receipts: Planning for receipts of new orders will keep the projected on-hand balance from dropping below zero.
Planned Order Release: Indicates when an order for a specified quantity of an item is to be issued.
Indicates when an order must be released in order to offset the lead time so that the order will be received when planned.
Difference between Planned Receipt and Scheduled Receipt
A planned receipt is not firmly committed to and can be changed easily up until the order is released. As soon as the order is released, it becomes a scheduled order, which becomes harder to change because it is out of the control of the MRP system.
Once the orders are actually released, the planned-order releases are deleted from the form and the planned order receipts become scheduled receipts.
After completion of the MRP calculations, one needs to summarize the results. We construct a planned order report from the planned order release of each matrix.
Determining a lot size to order or to produce is an important issue in inventory management for both independent and dependent-demand items. This is called lot sizing. For independent-demand items, managers use economic order sizes and economic production quantities. For dependent-demand systems, however, a much wider variety of plans is used to determine lot sizes, mainly because no single plan has a clear advantage over the others. Some of the most popular plans for lot sizing are described here. Most lot sizing techniques deal with how to balance the setup or order costs and holding costs associated with meeting the net requirements generated by the MRP planning process.
Lot for Lot: Simplest of all methods. The order for each period is set equal to demand for that period. Not only is the order size obvious, it also virtually eliminates holding costs for parts carried over to next periods. Hence L4L minimizes investment in inventory.
EOQ: Sometimes EOQ models are used. They can lead to minimum costs if usage is fairly uniform. This is sometimes the case for lower level items that are common to different parents and for raw materials. However, more lumpy the demand is the less appropriate such an approach is. Since demand tends to be most lumpy at the end item level, EOQ models tend to be less useful than for items and materials at the lowest levels.
EOQ is an effective lot-sizing technique when demand is relatively constant. However, notice that actual holding cost will vary from the computed $730, depending on the rate of usage. From the above table, we can see that in our 10-week example, costs really are $400 for four steps, plus a holding cost of 318 units (43*1 + 3*1 +3*1 + 66*1 + 26*1 + 69*1 + 69*1 + 39*1 = 318) $318 at $1 per week. Because usage was not constant, the actual computed cost was in fact less than the theoretical EOQ ($730) cost, but more than the lot-for-lot rule ($700). If any stock outs occurred, these costs need to be added to our actual EOQ cost of $718.
Whenever we have a net requirements plan, a decision must be made about how much to order. The decision is called lot sizing rule. There are variety of ways to determine lot sizes in an MRP system. We now review few of them.
Advantages: Lowest average inventory
Disadvantage: More frequent ordering
Application: Expensive items and for items with low set up/ordering costs
The lot sizing techniques used for MRP assume that part requirements are satisfied at the start of the period. Holding costs are then charged only to the ending inventory for the period, not to the average inventory as in the case of the EOQ model.
Annual demand based on 8 weeks = 525/8 * 52 = 3412.5 units
Annual holding cost = H = 0.5% *10 *52 weeks = $2.60
Set up cost = $47
EOQ = sqrt (2*3412.5*47/2.60 = 351 units
In this lot sizing technique, lot sizes generally meet requirements for one or more periods.
This procedure computes least cost lot sizes to compare order costs and holding costs for various number of weeks and tries to balance the two (mostly nearly equal). For example, costs are compared for producing in week 1 to cover the requirements for week 1; producing in week 1 for weeks 1 and 2; producing in week 1 to cover weeks 1, 2, and 3 and so on. The correct selection is the lot size ordering cost and holding costs are approximately equal.
Week 1-2: Inventory carrying cost = 60 * 0.005 *10* 1 = 3
Week 1-3 = 60*0.005*10*1 + 70*0.005*10*2 = 10
Week 1-4 = 60*0.005*10*1 + 70*0.005*10*2 + 60*0.005*10*3 = 19
Week 1-5 = 60*.005*10*1 +7*.005*10*2+60*0.005*10*3+95*0.005*10*4= 38
If we had used the average inventory concept, the inventory holding cost will be the same as follows:
WeekNet RequirementProduction QtyBegin inv End InvAvg Inv Hold cost
1 50 335 0 285 142.5 7.12
2 60 0 285 225 255 12.75
3 70 0 225 155 190 9.5
4 60 0 155 95 125 6.25
5 95 0 95 0 47.5 2.375
---------
38.00
In general, lot-for-lot approach should be used whenever low cost deliveries can be achieved. LFL can be modified as necessary for scarp allowances, process constraints (for example, heat treating process may require a lot of given size), or raw material purchase lots (for example a truck load of chemicals may be available in only one lot size).
When setup costs are significant and demand is reasonably smooth, part period balancing (PPB) or Least Total Cost approach should provide satisfactory results. In fact, if the ordering and set up costs remain constant, the lowest total cost method is more attractive because it is simpler and easier to compute.
So far in our discussion, we have scheduled units (quantities). However, each of these units require resources in addition to its components. Those additional resources include labour-hours, machine hours, and accounts payable (cash). These requirements are then compared with respective machine capacity (i.e. labour hours, machine hours, cash), so operations managers can make schedules that will work.
The steps followed in the previous slide will represent trial MPS not necessarily the final one. As the above exhibit indicates, a trial master schedule is developed and a determination is made whether we have sufficient capacity is available. Although the aggregate plan was developed to ensure that adequate overall capacity would be available, the specific mix of products and timing of production can mean that there will not be sufficient capacity every week. This check is done using rough cut capacity planning. Rough cut capacity planning is to determine whether approximately enough capacity will be available to meet master production schedule. Thus, we shall not be concerned with exact figure. Next marketing must approve the master schedule. If the trial MPS does not satisfy marketing’s requirements, then it must be redone.
MRP , as it was originally introduced, considered only materials. MRP does not compare the planned orders to the available capacity. Most MRP plans assume infinite loading; that is an infinite amount of capacity is available, which is not realistic. We therefore need CRP.
As was mentioned previously, the master schedule is developed, or disaggregated, from the aggregate plan. Thus, the master schedule can provide much more exact measures of capacity requirements than the aggregate plan can. As the master schedule is developed, rough cut capacity planning is used to check capacity requirements against capacity availability. But rough cut capacity planning does not take into account lead-time offsetting or the amount ahead of time component parts must be made to meet the master schedule for end items. Because MRP performs lead time offsetting when it generates planned order releases, MRP can form the basis for much more detailed capacity requirements. For parts made in-house, the planned order releases will touch off a series of capacity requirements on the machines and equipment that must be used in producing those parts and sub-assemblies. By using the routing sheet, which indicates the sequence of machines or work centers a part must go through during processing and the labour standards, it will be possible to determine the capacity requirements at each operation.
Utilization: Refers to actual time that the machines are used. Efficiency refers to how well the machine is performing while it is being used. Efficiency is usually defined as a comparison to a standard output. For example, a machine used for six hours of an eight hours shift is utilized 6/8 = 75% If the standard output for the machine is defined as 200 parts per hour and an average of 250 parts are made, then efficiency is 125%. Note that in these definitions, efficiency can be more than 100%, but utilization cannot.
Note that the job schedule for the three weeks result in two weeks planned under work center capacity and one week over capacity
The schedule work exceeds capacity
In case of components produced in-house, there could be uncertainty in supply quantity due to changes in batch quantity of upstream stages.
When lead times are variable, the concept of safety time is often used instead of safety stock. This results in scheduling orders for arrival sufficiently ahead of time they are needed in order to eliminate or substantially reduce the element of chance in waiting for those items. When quantities tend to vary, some safety stock may be called for, but the manager must carefully weigh the need and cost of carrying extra inventory.
An MRP is not a static document. As time passes, some orders will be completed, other orders will be nearing completion, and new orders will be entered. In addition, there may have been changes in quantity, delays, missed deliveries of parts or raw materials and so on. Hence a MRP is a material requirement plan is a “living” document, one that changes over time. And what we refer to as period 1 (current period) is continually moving ahead and so what is now Period 2 becomes period 1. So the plans are updated and revised so that they reflect the moving horizon over time.
A regenerative system is essentially a batch-type system, which compiles all changes (e.g. new orders, receipts) that occur within the time interval (e.g. week) and periodically updates the system. Using that information, a revised production plan is developed in the same way that the original plan was developed (exploding the bill of materials, level by level).
In a net-change system, the production plan is modified to reflect changes as they occur. If some defective parts had to be returned to a vendor, the manager can enter the information into the system as soon as it becomes known. Only changes are exploded through the system, level by level, the entire plan would not be generated.
The regenerative system is best suited to fairly stable systems, whereas the net-change is best suited to systems that have frequent changes. The obvious disadvantage of a regenerative system is the potential amount of lag between the time information becomes available and the time it can be incorporated into the material requirements plan. The advantage is processing costs are low. The disadvantage of the net-change system is costs involved in continuously updating the system. The advantage of net-change is the up-to-date information for planning and control.
Frequent changes generate what is called “system nervousness” and can create havoc in production and purchasing departments. MRP system nervousness is caused by various operating variables such as lot-sizing rules, environmental factors, capacity utilization or forecast errors. Therefore system nervousness is the result of uncertainty existing within or beyond the production system. If frequent schedule changes occur that are beyond the production system’s ability to recat promptly, the benefit of maintaining the up-to-date priority is outweighed by the negative effects resulting from excessive resheduling. OM personnel reduce such nervousness by evaluating the need and the impact of changes prior to disseminating requests to other departments. Two tools are particularly helpful in when trying to reduce MRP system nervousness: Time fences
The earliest time fence is absolutely frozen—no changes can be made. The next fence may be 5-7 weeks out, is restricted but less rigid. Changes may be accepted with a possible financial penalty to the customer. The next fence 8-12 weeks out, is less rigid. In the final fence, 13 weeks and beyond, anything goes.
An important point to note that plans we are discussing are not something done once a year and put away in drawer. Planning is a continuous process. Obviously forecasts far into the future will be less accurate that nearer term forecast. Thus, it may be necessary to make changes in planned production as the planning horizon gets closer. For instance, a company might find that demand for one of its products is far exceeding the company’s forecast. This organization would be foolish not to alter its production plans to meet the increased demand. Thus, aggregate plan and master production schedule will change as time passes. But too much change can be disruptive. For example, a company might have hired employees and bought materials to meet its production. Altering that plan would mean idle materials and employees. To avoid such problems, many companies freeze their master production schedule. Freezing the master production schedule means that no further changes can be made after a certain time. Time fences allow a segment of the master schedule to be designated as “not to be rescheduled”. This segment of the master schedule is therefore not changed during the periodic regeneration of schedules.
Suppose an automobile manufacturer learnt that some of the brake materials (already used in production) were defective. The “where used” pegging file would allow production analysts to trace requirements upward in the product structure tree to determine what end-items contained the defective components. Example: automobile companies sometimes call back certain models of car for free replacement of parts when they hear some complaints.
While MRP certainly can produce these benefits, it is useful to discuss the problems faced in establishing an MRP system. A number of companies have given up on the task - the necessary transformation of old processes has simply proven too difficult.
Most dedicated MRP systems have ceased to exist. They eventually evolved into MRPII systems and later into ERP systems where the core functionality is still available.
MRP was developed as a way for manufacturing companies to calculate more precisely what materials were needed to produce a finished product and when and how much of these materials were needed. Once a firm has a MRP system in place, inventory data can be augmented by labour-hours, material cost, capital cost or by virtually any other resource. So far we have scheduled quantities in MRP. However, each of these units require resources such as labour hours, machine hours, and cash. To aid the functioning of MRP II, most MRP II computer programs are tied into other computer files that provide data to the MRP system or receive data from the MRP system. Purchasing, production scheduling, capacity planning, and ware house management are a few examples of this data integration.
MRP is at the heart of the process. The process begins with an aggregation of demand from all sources. Production, marketing and Finance work towards developing a master production schedule. Although manufacturing people will have the major input in determining that schedule and major responsibility for making it work, marketing and finance will also have important inputs and responsibilities.
Production Planning is a complex problem! The capacity of most firms is relatively stable, whereas the demand for goods and services is often quite variable. Demand cannot always be met. The objective of aggregate planning is to respond to irregular market demand by utilizing the organization’s equipment, personnel, and other resources in the most effective manner possible.
Organizations make capacity decisions on three levels: long-term, intermediate, and short-term. Long term relates to product and service selection (which products to offer), facility size and location, layout, and equipment decisions. These long-term decisions establish the capacity constraints within which intermediate planning must function, such as levels of employment, output, and inventories, which in turn establishes boundaries within which short-term decisions must be made. Short-term decisions involves, scheduling jobs, worker, and equipment, lot sizes, job sequencing and so on.
Planning is probably one of the most important, yet least understood, jobs that a manager performs. Poor planning can mean a company’s inability to handle unexpected occurrences. However, all parts of the organization—marketing, operations, finance, and so on—must work together in the planning process to ensure that they are moving in harmony with one another. Aggregate planning decisions are strategic decisions that define the framework within which operating decisions will be made. They are the starting points for scheduling and production control systems.
the top with strategic planning. The strategic plan is then converted into business plan– a blue print for actually implementing the strategic plan. Based on the business plan, each organization must then develop its own plans that describe how the various parts will work to implement the business and strategic plans.
The starting point for the aggregate plan is the development of an estimate of future needs of end products. This estimate, derived with input from Marketing, may be firm orders from clients, anticipated orders ‘promised’ but not yet booked or pure forecasts. When this estimate is established, all the end products are totalled or aggregated into a demand for the production facility. For production to convert this into capacity requirements of material quantities, labour hours and machine hours using appropriate standards.
The conversion of an aggregate demand into production units is relatively straightforward for a company that produces just one product, closely allied products, products that are reasonably homogenous or products that use few components, for example: a cement factory, a coal mine, a shoe manufacturer, an oil refinery etc. However, for facilities that produce a diverse set of products such as furniture, medical instruments or house hold appliances the development of an aggregate plan is more complex.
Demand is “aggregate demand”. An aggregate demand forecast is more accurate than forecasts of individual products because when forecasting is done at an aggregate level, the errors that would be associated with all individual product forecasts tend to cancel each other out. At the individual product level, some forecasts will be high and some low, but we won’t know which until it’s too late. At the aggregate level, we get the effect of averaging, and it reduces the random component.
The basic idea behind aggregate planning is to reduce the complexity involved in handling multiple products by anticipating demand in some representative aggregate units. Then the analysis proceeds as if the firm produces just one product, the “aggregate product”. The operations manager considers how he or she will meet the anticipated demand for the aggregate product with a combination of regular time, overtime, subcontracting, and inventory.
For example, Hewlett Packard makes notebook, desktops, other advanced technology machines. For each month in the upcoming 3 quarters, HP might have the following output.
Likewise, GM tells how many cars it will make, not how many two door sedans versus four door sedans
Similarly, Tata Steel will say how many tons of steel it will produce, but not differentiate between grades of steel.
Similarly, planners in a company producing television sets would not concern themselves with 21 inch TV sets versus 25 inch TV sets. Instead planners would lump all models together and deal with them as though they were a single product.
Standard = 1000
Deluxe = 500 = 1000 standard
Sports = 250 = 750 standard
Total: 2750 standard bicycles
Aggregate because plans are developed for product lines or product families, rather than individual products. It provides the big picture approach to planning. An aggregate production plan may say how many bicycles to be produced but would not identify them by color, size, tires, or types of brakes. While this grouping by product seems logical, it is not uncommon for companies to group end items according to similar processing requirements. Thus, it could be possible for an appliance manufacturer to group dishwasher and washing machines together into one category for aggregate planning purposes because both products use the same production facilities. An airline might group together all routes in a given geographic area or routes that serve a particular hub. Resource capacity is also expressed in aggregate terms, typically as labor or machine hours.
Aggregation allows for greater forecast accuracy and simplifies the planning process.
The basic idea behind aggregate planning is to reduce the complexity involved in handling multiple products by anticipating demand in some representative aggregate units. Then the analysis proceeds as if the firm produces just one product, the “aggregate product”. Product-specific forecasts are likely to be less reliable than total sales forecasts, because the latter benefit from statistical pooling. That is, one product might exceed its forecasted sales, but another might fall short. These random fluctuations about the product specific forecasts can tend to cancel each other out so that the total forecast is more reliable than the forecasts for any one product. This fact is exploited in aggregate plans by planning for total instead of product-specific demand. The operations manager considers how he will meet the anticipated demand for the aggregate product with a combination of regular time, overtime, subcontracting, and inventory.
This technique is useful as long as capacity can be changed from one product to another. Thus, an aggregate planning procedure is most appropriate for a plant or productive center that handles multiple products with same set of resources.
CHOPRA
An important step in aggregate planning is the identification of a suitable aggregate unit of production. While planning is done at an aggregate level, it is important that the aggregate unit be identified in a way that when the final production schedule is built (this has to be at the disaggregate product level), the results of the aggregate plan reflect approximately what can be accomplished in practice. Given that the bottleneck is likely to be the most constraining area in any manufacturing unit, it is important to focus on the bottleneck when selecting the aggregate unit and identifying the capacity and production times. When evaluating the production times, its also important to account for activities such as setups and maintenance that use up capacity but do not result in production. Otherwise, the aggregate plan will overestimate the production capacity available, resulting in a plan that cannot be implemented in practice.
Aggregate (worm shaft): 0.15*9.28+.25*9.58+0.20*9.83+.06*10.11+.15*10.43+.1*10.7+.09*10.96 = 9.98 hours, close to size 700 gear box
Usually aggregate unit turns out to be some measure of capacity. For example, a textile manufacturer may make several varieties of cloth but may plan on the basis of metres of cloth production. Similarly, a PCB manufacturer may fabricate thousands of customized PCBs but may plan on the basis of metres of board that it can process. Similarly, iron castings manufacturer may use metric tons as aggregate unit of capacity. Cement in metric tons etc…Therefore, APP can be viewed as capacity planning exercise over the medium term horizon.
The operation managers try to determine the best way to determine demand by adjusting production rates, labour levels, inventory levels, overtime work, subcontracting works and other controllable variables.
Aggregate planning strategies can be described as proactive, reactive, or mixed.
Influencing demand: When demand is low, a company can try to increase demand through promotion, personal selling, and price cuts. Airlines and hotels have long offered weekend discounts and off-season rates. Some hotels offer early bird specials in an attempt to move the heavier dinner demand to earlier time that traditionally has less traffic. Telephone companies charge less at night. Railways give discount to senior citizens. Air-conditioners are least expensive during winters. Lot of grocery chains in foreign countries offer coupons to promote their product.
Increase advertising In Slack Periods: Advertising can obviously have a great impact on demand. During periods when demand is ordinarily low, increased advertising can generate increased demand
Counter-seasonal products: A widely used technique among manufacturers is to develop a product mix of counter-seasonal items. Examples include companies that make lawn mowers and snow blowers because the processes are similar.
Changing inventory levels: managers can increase inventory during periods of low demand to meet high demand in future periods. If this strategy is selected, costs associated with storage, insurance, handling, obsolescence, pilferage, and capital invested will increase. On the other hand, when the firm enters the period of increasing demand, shortage can result in lost sales due to potentially longer lead times and poor customer service.
Varying workforce: One way to meet demand is hire and lay off production workers to match production rates. Often new employees need to be trained, and average productivity drops as they are absorbed into the firm. Layoffs or firing during periods of low demand lowers the morale of all workers and can lead to productivity loss.
Varying production rates through overtime or idle time: It is possible to keep a constant workforce while varying working hours, cutting back the number of hours worked when the demand is low and increasing them when it rises. Overtime requires more money, and too much overtime can wear workers down to the point that overall productivity drops.
Subcontracting: a firm can acquire temporary capacity by subcontracting work during peak demand periods. Subcontracting has its pitfalls: it is often hard to find a perfect supplier, it may be costly, it risks opening the client’s door to a competitor
Part-time workers: Part-time workers can fill unskilled labour needs. This practice is common in restaurants, retail stores, and supermarkets.
Because aggregate planning spans periods from only 6 months to 18 months, not enough time is available to increase capacity by adding buildings, complex machines, and other capital goods. This shifts the focus to other sources of production capacity as plans are developed for supplying customer demand. Several variables are altered such as:
Straight time labour (Production of workers over 40 hours or less per week, and paid straight time labour rate. It is the preferred source of production capacity and is used as a base production capacity.
Overtime: Working beyond 40 hours per week
Inventory: Production in previous time periods that is held for shipment in later time periods.
Subcontracting: Production of products by suppliers.
Problem: Mexico
The graph illustrates that the forecast differs from the average demand. Some strategies for meeting demand forecast will be as follows:
a. Employ people so that a production rate that meets the average demand is achieved and use inventory to accumulate demand during lean periods and use that inventory during peak demand.
b. Or, it might produce a steady rate of say 30 units per day and use subcontract for excess demand or use overtime to manage the excess demand.
Level production: Appropriate where change of production level is impossible (example, an oil refinery, paper mill where the machinery can’t be easily scaled up or down). Carrying inventory can be beneficial, but it is also costly. Inventory can be used to eliminate the direct effects demand fluctuations, but this approach can come for a price. The more inventory we store, and the longer we store, the greater the inventory carrying costs. But refusing to store inventory carries a price as well.
Chase Demand: One alters the production rate to exactly match the forecasted demand rate. Holding inventory is expensive or impossible (services) or changing production levels are relatively low.
Chasing demand by continuously adjusting capacity is not cost-free either. Hiring, training, layoff are expensive activities. The more a company uses inventory to smooth production, the less hiring and firing, bit higher inventory carrying costs. Aggregate planning considers the interaction of these practices and attempts to reach a low cost solution.
The vast majority of firms often achieve lower costs than the costs of these two pure strategies by using a hybrid (mixed) strategies that include overtime, hiring and firing, subcontracting, and the like.
In the level strategy, the emphasis is not on disturbing the existing production system at all. This implies that the system would employ a constant workforce and or maintain constant working hours. In this strategy inventory plays a vital role of linking one period with another. Therefore, firms employ inventory related alternatives to address the supply-demand mismatch. During periods of lean demand, anticipation inventory is build up and during period of high demand, the anticipation inventory is consumed and other alternatives such as backordering/shortage are made use of to match supply with demand. Their philosophy is that stable workforce leads to better quality product, less turnover, and absenteeism, and more commitment to corporate goals. A case in point is the IT sector in India. As the global recession continues to affect several economies there could be drop in demand for IT services in the country. Firms such as infosys and Wipro will resort to undertime strategy rather than layoff software engineers. At most, they may temporarily halt fresh recruitment of employees.
Disadvantage: Inventory levels may be quite high during low-demand seasons --- high inventory carrying cost, risk of obsolescence, and requires storage capacity.
At the other end of the spectrum, in the chase strategy, no inventory is carried from one period to another. Rather the supply and demand mismatch is obtained by employing a variety of capacity related alternatives. For example, during periods of high demand, additional workers are hired, the number of working hours is increased, workers are permitted to do overtime, and more capacity is obtained by outsourcing unmet demand. Similarly during period s of low demand, some workers are laid off, others are permitted to go on undertime (work less than normal time), and the number of working hours is reduced by reducing the number of shifts. Clearly, these strategies are appropriate when it is not possible to stock inventory because of high holding cost. Several service systems and made-to-order project type organizations fall under this category. This approach would not work for industries in which worker skills are scarce or competition for labour is intense. It is appropriate for low skilled workers.
So far we have used trial and error approach, i.e., spreadsheet approach. Although trial and error spreadsheet approach will find a relatively low cost aggregate planning solution, and are easy to evaluate but it is not likely to find the minimum cost solution or optimum solution. Linear programming is one technique for finding the minimum cost solution. However, aggregate planning techniques other than trial and error do not appear to be widely used. Instead, in the majority of the organizations, aggregate planning seems to be accomplished more on the basis of experience along with trial and error methods. It is difficult to say exactly why some of the mathematical techniques are not used to a great extent. Perhaps the level of mathematical sophistication discourages greater use, or the assumptions of the models appear to be unrealistic, or the models to be too narrow in scope.
The previous techniques that we have used so far were essentially trial and error approach. Actually, aggregate planning techniques other than trial and error do not appear to be widely used. It is difficult to say why mathematical techniques are not used to a great extent. Perhaps the level of mathematical sophistication discourages greater use, or the assumptions required in certain models appear unrealistic, or the models may be too narrow in scope. Whatever the reasons, none of the techniques have captured the attention of aggregate planners on a broader scale.
There are number of approaches to transportation modelling: The Northwest Corner Rule, The Intuitive Lowest Cost Method, The Stepping Stone Method. The likelihood of the minimum cost solution increases with the intuitive method, we would have been fortunate if the intuitive solution yielded minimum cost. In this case, as in northwest-corner solution, it did not. Because the northwest corner rule and the intuitive lowest cost method are meant only to provide with a starting point, we often will have to employ an additional procedure to reach an optimal solution. The Stepping-stone method provides the optimal solution.
Of the fourth period’s demand of 3000 units, 1300 comes from regular production, 200 from overtime, and 500 from subcontracting in the same period, 150 more units can be provided at a cost of $31 per unit from overtime production in period 2 and 500 from subcontracting in period 3. The next lowest alternative is $34 from overtime in period 1 or subcontracting in period 2. At this point in time, we make a judgment call as to whether our workers want overtime or whether it would be easier to subcontract out the entire amount. We decide to use the overtime to its full capacity of 100 units and fill the remaining demand of 250 units from subcontracting.
End inventory (period 1): (300+1000+100) – 900 = 500
End Inventory (period 2): (500+1200+150+250) – 1500 = 600
End Inventory (period 3): (600+1300+200+500)-1600 = 1000
End Inventory (period 4): (1000+ 1300+200+500) – 3000 = 0
Scheduling can be defined as assignment and timing of the use of resources – such as personnel, equipment, and facilities for production activities. For example, manufacturers must determine the sequence in which products will be processed at each work cell. Accounting and consulting firms must determine which consultants will work on each project and when. TV Cable companies must schedule service calls to best utilize their service staff. Airlines companies determine which flight leaves on what time, and arranges for cabin crew, pilots, and support staff. Dean’s office schedules class room faculty, support staff for first year class in the beginning of the trisemester, and sometimes in-between. She also schedules classes on a weekly basis for 2nd year electives and arranges resources accordingly. Lawyers, doctors, hairdressers, auto repairs shops schedule appointments.
Most companies establish daily production schedule, but as problems occur and customer demand changes, the schedule may be revised one or more times during the day. For example, as flights get delayed, cancelled, or rerouted, airlines must reschedule aircraft and crew on ongoing basis.
Scheduling has a direct impact on the profitability of the company. One of the US airlines (Delta) saved approx $300M over a 3-year period by using and improved fleet assignment and scheduling model.
Scheduling
Hospital: Operating room use, patient admissions, outpatient treatments, maintenance staff
University: Student and instructors schedules
Factory: Production of goods, purchase of materials, workers
Airlines: Flight arrival and departure schedules, maintenance of aircraft, flight crews, gate and ticketing personnel
High volume systems are characterized by standardized equipment and activities are identical. Also referred as flow systems, and scheduling flow-shop scheduling. Example, autos, PCs, TVs, In process industries such as petroleum refining, sugar refining, mining, manufacturing of fertilizers. Because of the highly repetitive nature of these systems, loading and sequencing decisions are determined during the design of the system. The use of highly specialized equipment, arrangement of equipment, design of material handling equipment are all designed to enhance the flow of work through the system. A major aspect of the design of flow system is line balancing, which concerns allocating required tasks to workstations so that they satisfy technical requirements and are also balanced to equal work times among stations.
One source of scheduling concern is possible disruptions in the system that result in less than the desired output. This can be caused by equipment failures, material shortages, accidents, and absences.
Intermediate Volume Systems: Volume not large enough to justify continuous production, multiple products, and therefore set ups are more. Run sizes are relatively large. Examples: canned foods, baked goods, cosmetics.
Low Volume: The characteristics of low volume systems are considerably different from those of high and intermediate volume systems. Products are made to order, orders usually differ considerably in terms of processing requirements, materials needed, processing time, and process sequence. Because of these circumstances job shop scheduling is usually fairly complex.
Forward scheduling refers to a situation in which the system takes an order and then schedules each operation that must be completed forward in time.
Forward scheduling starts with the schedule as soon as the job requirements are known. It is used in variety of organizations such as hospitals, restaurants, machine tool manufacturers. In these facilities, jobs are performed to customer order, and delivery is often requested as soon as possible. Forward scheduling is usually designed to produce a schedule that can be accomplished even if it mean not meeting due dates.
The correct scheduling technique depends on the volume of orders, the nature of operations, and the overall complexity of jobs, as well as the importance placed on each of four criteria such as (1) minimize completion time, (2) maximize utilization, (3) minimize WIP, (4) minimize customer waiting time.
Backward Scheduling: Begins with due date, scheduling the final operations first. Steps in the jobs are then scheduled, one at a time, in reverse order. By subtracting the lead time for each item, the start time is obtained. Backward scheduling is used in many manufacturing and service environments such as catering a banquet, scheduling a surgery. In practice, a combination of forward and backward scheduling is often used.
MRP is a backward scheduling system for materials
Loading: checking the availability of material, machines, and labour.
Sequencing: releases work orders to the shop and issues dispatch lists for individual machines. MRP recommends when orders should be released (hence the name planned order releases). After verifying their feasibility, production control releases the order. When several orders are released to one machine center, they must be prioritized so that the worker knows which one to do first, second, and so on.
Monitoring: maintaining progress reports on each job until it is completed.
Operation managers assign jobs to work centers so that costs, idle time, or completion times are minimized.
Although the capacity planning system determines that sufficient gross capacity is available to meet the master schedule, no actual assignment of jobs to work centers is made. Some equipment may be superior for certain jobs, and some equipment will be less heavily loaded than other equipment. Thus, there is often a best (fastest or least costly) assignment of jobs to work centers.
Infinite loading occurs when work is assigned to a work center simply base on what is needed over time. No consideration is given directly to whether there is sufficient capacity at the resources or not.
A finite loading approach actually schedules in detail each resource using the set up time and run time required for each order. In essence, the system determines exactly what will be done by each resource at every moment during the working day. Stated differently, finite loading limits the load assigned to a work center to the maximum capacity of the work center.
The priority sequencing rules used in this chapter use infinite loading. One possible result of infinite loading is formation of queues.
In a job shop environment, where jobs follow different paths through the shop, visit many different machine centers, and compete for similar resources, it is not always easy to keep track of the status of the job. When jobs are first released to the shop, it is relatively easy to observe the queue that they join and predict when their initial operations might be completed. As the job progresses, however, or the shop becomes more congested, it becomes increasingly difficult to follow the job through the system. Competition for resources, machine breakdowns, quality problems, and setup requirements are just a few things that can delay the progress. Shop paperwork, sometimes called work package (yellow colour batch card and process sheet in ABL), travels with the job to specify what work needs to be done at a particular work center and where the item should be routed next.
Priority rules are simple heuristics used to select the order in which jobs will be processed.
Example: A salon with a single barber.
Lateness L = Completion Date – Due Date. Lateness is the amount of time by which the completion time of a job exceeds its due date. Note that L can be positive or negative. A positive lateness represents a violation of the due date and is called Tardiness (T). Similarly, a negative lateness represents the completion of a job before its due date and is called earliness. Thus the three measures of schedule are Lateness, Tardiness, and Earliness measure the deviation of the completion time from the due date. Since there is often a penalty associated with not meeting due dates, the tardiness measure is often used. However, in some cases, there may be a penalty for being either too early or too late (eg crop harvesting), so both tardiness and earliness measures may be useful. (Buffa and Sarin, pp 289)
Used Russel and Taylor book (4th ed), pp 610-611
Process jobs in order of their arrival
Total completion (flow time) = 93 days
Average completion time = 93/5 = 18.6 days
Average lateness: 48/5 = 9.6 days
Sequence jobs by earliest due date
Sequence jobs by earliest due date
The EDD rule directly addresses due dates and minimizes lateness, which may be necessary for jobs that have a very high penalty after a certain date. Although it has intuitive appeal, its main limitation is that it does not take processing time into account. One possible consequence is that it can result in some jobs waiting a long time, which adds both in-process inventories and shop congestion.
Because SPT rule results in very low completion time, it can result in low in-process inventories. And since it results in very low average tardiness, it can result in better customer service levels. Since it always involves lower number of jobs at the work center, there tends to be less congestion in the work area. However, due dates are often uppermost in managers’ mind, so they may not use SPT because it does not incorporate due dates.
The major disadvantage is that it makes long jobs wait, perhaps for long periods of time. Various modifications may be necessary in an effort to avoid this. For example, after waiting for a given period of time, any remaining jobs are automatically moved to the head of the line. This is known as truncated SPT.
Johnson’s algorithm pertains to flow shop.
Visiting a health specialist in a medical clinic: first station is registration (filling patient details and paying fees) and the second station could be doctor’s consultation. Every patient has to go through both the stages in sequence.
Assumption: Only one resource is available at each work center such as one drilling machine, one binding machine, one trimming, one inspector etc
Some work centers have enough of the right kinds of machine to start all jobs at the same time. Here the problem is not which job to do first, but rather which particular assignment of individual job to individual assignment will result in best overall schedule. It can be applied to situations where there are n supply sources and n demand uses (such as five jobs on five machines) and the objective is to minimize cost or maximize profit.
The assignment model is a special purpose linear programming model that is useful in situations that call for assigning tasks to resources. Typical examples include assigning jobs to machines, territories to sales people, and repair jobs to repair crews. The idea is to obtain an optimum matching of tasks and performances.
For example, one machine has 5 different jobs to process. Any of these jobs could be processed first, following that, any one of the remaining four jobs and so on. This means there are 5*4*3*2*1 = 120 different schedules possible. For n jobs there are 5! (factorial 5) different ways of scheduling. We can now consider what impact there would be if there was more than one type of machine. If we are trying to minimize the number of set-ups on two machines, there is no reason to believe why the sequence on one machine would be same as the sequence on machine 2. If we consider the two sequencing tasks to be independent of each other, for two machines there would be 120*120 = 14,400 possible schedules of the two machines and five jobs.
In a job shop, machines are not organized in any processing order. Rather similar types of resources are grouped together. Every job follows a unique order in which it visits the machines for processing. Moreover, there is no requirement for all jobs to visit a particular machine for their first operation or a particular machine for their last operation. (as in the case of flow shop). The above figure presents a simple illustration of a job shop consisting of seven machines. In this example, the route the job follows for processing is 1-4-2-5-6. On the other hand, job 2 follows the sequence 3-2-1-4-6-7 and job 3 follows 2-3-4-7-5-6. Since each job has its own unique route, the set of jobs visiting each machine is not the same.. Therefore, the ordering of jobs in front of each machine has to be separately determined. There are n! ways of rank-ordering jobs in front of a machine. Since there are m machine in the shop, the number of alternative schedules that one can draw for a job shop is given by (n!)m
In practical terms, this means that there are often many millions of feasible schedules, even for a relatively small operations. This is why scheduling rarely attempts to provide an optimal solution but rather satisfies itself with an “acceptable” solution.
Scheduling can be difficult for a number of reasons. One is that, in reality, an operation must deal with variability in set up times, processing times, interruptions, and changes in the set of jobs. Another major reason is that, except for small job sets, there is no method of identifying the optimal schedule, and it would be virtually impossible to sort through a vast number of possible alternatives to obtain the best possible schedule. As a result scheduling is far from an exact science and, in many instances, is an ongoing task of a manager.
Focusing on bottleneck operations: Try to increase the capacity of the operations. If that is not possible, schedule the bottleneck operations first, and then schedule the non-bottleneck operations around the bottleneck operations.
Thus, four basic stages:
Determine the bottleneck for the shop
Propagate the due date requirement from the end of the line back to the bottleneck using a fixed lead time with a time buffer.
Schedule the bottleneck most efficiently.
Propagate material requirements from the bottleneck to the front of the line using a fixed lead time to determine the release schedule.
Considering lot splitting for large jobs. This probably works best when there is large differences in job times.
A major reason why restricting attention to the bottleneck can simplify the scheduling problem is that is reduces a multi-machine problem to a single-machine problem.
JIT is a key component of TPS
The minus cost principle is the basic concept underlying the Toyota Production System. The survival of a company depends, therefore, on cost reduction. This calls for thorough elimination of waste. Only way to improve profits is by reducing cost. Only way to reduce cost is to reduce waste in the system.
Lean production directly descended from and is frequently used as a proxy for TPS, which itself evolved from Taichii Ohno’s experiments and initiatives over three decades at Toyota. Motor Company. TPS was formally introduced in US in 1984 when NUMMI was established as a joint venture between General Motors and Toyota, but its informal transfer to the US began much earlier. Taiichi Ohno, the father of Toyota Production System was the biggest foe of waste, human history has ever produced. Ohno was the executive vice president when he retired.
However, there is an antidote to muda: lean thinking. Lean thinking is about doing more and more with less and less.
After seeing Toyota’s success in US as a car maker, many researchers from US visited Toyota plant in Japan to understand the reasons behind Toyota’s success. They came up with various reasons as above:
Waste is anything other than the minimum amount of equipment, items, parts, and workers that are absolutely essential to production. In other words, any activity that adds cost/time without value to the service we offer to our customers is called waste.
Taiichi Ohno, the principal architect of the TPS said there are seven wastes that every manufacturing organization must strive to eliminate.
One of the cornerstone of the lean philosophy is waste elimination. This raises a question: if elimination is priority, then why is it common to see so much of waste when we walk around in any facility. Apparently people are directed to eliminate waste, but are not trained to identify waste. I think the slogan should be “identify waste”.
Taiichi Ohno (1912 – 1990), the Toyota executive who was the most ferocious foe of waste human history has produced identified first seven types of muda. Fujio Cho, Toyota’s president identified seven wastes.
Overproduction: producing more than what is needed.
Early: making product before it is needed
Greaves Falta example. Dismantle stock gear boxes that were not sold and used in gear boxes that were against customer orders.
Overproduction, as the name implies, means producing more than you need to produce. In other words, building something before you can ship it to someone in exchange for cash. Lot of times we produce goods against stock with the hope that one day we will sell it. But if the order does not mature then what happens to the stock – sheer waste of what we produced.
Overproduction causes all kinds of waste, not just excess inventory, and money tied up in inventory. Batches of parts must be stored, requiring storage space, handled, requiring people and equipment; sorted; and reworked. Overproduction results in shortages because processes are busy making wrong things. It means that you need extra operators and equipment capacity, because you are using some of your labour and equipment to produce parts that are not yet needed. It also lengthens the lead time, which impairs your flexibility to respond to customer requirements.
Give example of Paharpur Cooling Towers raw material stock. Huge!!!
Unnecessary inventory as the name implies, is inventory that is not needed. In other words, if inventory is sitting idle somewhere (anywhere) in your facility, with nobody working on it, is it needed? Many companies have inventory and supplies sufficient for one or two months sitting idle in storage. It is not uncommon for a company to have several months worth of supply of some items.
There are two ways to accumulate inventory that is not needed: make it or buy it. The question is why will you make a product that is not needed? Gotta to keep the people busy, gotta to keep the expensive machines running. Why would people buy materials that you don’t need? Sometimes vendors have a minimum order quantity to get a certain price discount. In order to avail that discount, we by more than what is needed.
Give example of Steel plants…
Transport is moving stuff from one place to another. It happens a lot in batch manufacturing. We move batch of materials from one department to another after some operation. We move the materials (usually components) to store when all the operations are complete. We again draw materials from store, assemble, and then sell the assembled product to painting, then shipping, then dispatching. Sounds familiar??? Any transport of material falls into the waste bucket. When product is being moved, it is not transformed into a more finished stage, it is merely moving from one place to another. Remember, these areas generate no revenue; they merely add a great deal of cost.
There are many reasons why people wait during the course of the day: waiting for materials, waiting for inspection to perform a required task, waiting for information, waiting on machine cycle time (operators load parts, begin the machine cycle, and wait for the machine to through the cycle activity.
Unnecessary motion is a waste category that is associated with people. This has to do with areas where work is performed. It is very common to see excessive distance travelled or reached by people during the course of the operation (looking for drawings, looking for tools, looking for helpers to load the job on machine or unload the job on the machine etc.) Excessive twists or turns, lots of walking, uncomfortable reaches, all contribute to wasted motion.
Extra inspection that may not be needed from customer’s point of view but the inspector does. Sometimes we used spend lots of time on sand blasting before painting, which was unnecessary. But it was done from aesthetic point of view not necessarily from functional point of view.
For cardiac patients, doctors often prescribe angioplasty and use of stents even when the problem can be managed by using medicines (please see Telegraph dated 2nd fen, 2014) thus incurring heavy expenses for the patients, the customers.
Rejects and rework related waste is a big one for many companies.
Cost that is directly related to waste is pretty straight forward. A product is worked on until the point in the process where someone determines that something is wrong — a characteristic is out of specification; something does not look right; something doesn’t meet the aesthetic expectations. For whatever reason, in the name of quality, a member of the production team has stopped this unit from moving forward. Up to this point we have accumulated cost for material and cost for labour. Once this job is rejected all of the cost fall into the category of waste, non-value added from customer point of view.
In our factory, we used to have the problem of blow holes, sometimes casting cracks, that we used to find after significant machining.
Benefits - Costs = Value
When we look at what people do during the course of the day, there are three categories that we place activity into.
Required non-value added activity: You are supplying a product to a government agency, and the agency requires certain tests to be performed and documented. The task of testing does not change the product to a more complete product. By strict definition (product changes shape), this activity is non-value added; however, the customer requires you to do itand you are paid for doing it. And thus, it is required non-value added activity.
Second example, accounting department writing paychecks – it is non-value added. But if you don’t pay wages, the workers will stop coming. Thus the act of paying workforce is required if you are to remain a viable company. However, while the act of paying your people is required, the process you use to accomplish this is totally up to you.
Value added activity refers to an activity that makes a product a more complete product. For example, we pour liquid iron to form iron castings, we machine components, we weld components, we assemble parts, we drill, we polish, we paint etc. As we do these activities, we change the shape of the product and becomes a more complete product that is ready to ship to our customer. The bottom line is, when we do these things, we get money for doing them.
Here is an example, i.e., fairly black and white. You are supplying a product to a government agency, and that agency requires certain tests to be performed and documented. The task of testing does not change the product into a more complete product. The product is complete, done, its all over. All you are doing is testing for performance and compiling the associated documentation package. By our strict definition (the product changes shape), this activity is non-value added; however the customer requires you to do it, and you are being paid for it. In this example, the definition of non-value added activity holds, since the product does not change form to a more complete product. But the customer is willing to pay, and it is required.
Talk about the other examples in the class, Example 2, Example 2A, 2B (Carreira, pp 67-71).
This activity that does not advance the product to a more complete or finished state , that adds no value in the customer’s eyes, and that customers is unwilling to pay for. The seven categories of waste are (1) Overproduction, (2) Inventory (3) Transport, (4) Process, (4) Rejects, (5) Waiting, (5) Unnecessary motion.
In a manufacturing setting, the overall value stream is often defined as the from the point an order is received to the point the product is delivered and payment is received from the customer. On the manufacturing floor, the focus is on the point when raw material arrives to the point finished product is shipped.
Lean thinking is not a manufacturing tactic or a cost-reduction program, but a management strategy
that is applicable to all organizations because it has to do with improving processes. All organizations
— including health care organizations — are composed of a series of processes, or sets of actions
intended to create value for those who use or depend on them (customers/patients).
The core idea of lean involves determining the value of any given process by distinguishing value added
steps from non-value-added steps, and eliminating waste (or muda in Japanese) so that
ultimately every step adds value to the process.
To maximize value and eliminate waste, leaders in health care, as in other organizations, must
evaluate processes by accurately specifying the value desired by the user; identifying every step
in the process (or “value stream,” in the language of lean) and eliminating non-value-added steps;
and making value flow from beginning to end based on the pull — the expressed needs — of the customer/patient. When applied rigorously and throughout an entire organization, lean principles can have a dramatic
affect on productivity, cost, and quality.
Takt Time is how often you should produce one part or product, based on the rate of sales to meet customer requirements. In other words, it is the link between demand and production.
Example: If customers demand 240 widgets per day and the factory operates 480 minutes per day, takt time is 2 minutes. Takt time sets the pace of production to match the rate of customer demand and becomes the heartbeat of any lean system
Many perceive Lean to be about tools and techniques. Lean production is a complicated system composed of many sub-systems. The objective in lean implementation is to enhance customer value by streamlining the flow of production while continually eliminating waste.
Focused Factory Networks: Japanese build small factories rather than large ones. In fact, Toyota has 12 factories in and around Toyota city. Simple reason being they find large factories difficult to manage. Plants designed for one purpose can be constructed and operated more economically. Bulk of Japanese plants, some 60,000 have workers between 30 and 1,000 workers.
Group Technology: Is a type of layout where similar parts are grouped into families, and the machines and arranged in a specialized work cell to make those parts. These group technology cells eliminate movement and queue time between operations, reduce inventory, and reduce the number of employees required. Workers are flexible enough to run several machines.
Quality at Source: Do it right the first time and stop the process when something goes wrong. Factory workers become their own inspectors, personally responsible for the quality of their output.
Uniform Plant Loading: When a change is made in the final assembly, the changes are magnified throughout the supply chain. The only way to address this problem is to set a firm monthly production plan. Toyota found they could build the same the same mix of products every day in small quantities to respond to variations in demand.
Kanban is Japanese for “signal”. It means “sign” or “instruction card” in Japanese. Kanban systems are used to link the production rate to the demand rate so that the end result is production of only what is needed when it is needed. Kanbans use small buffers of inventory between work centers, departments, and manufacturing plants. The unique characteristic of each inventory buffer is that it has maximum size determined by management. When the maximum size of inventory buffer is reached, no more inventory can be added. So, if a particular work center produces parts that go into buffer between it and the next work station, when the buffer is full, it must stop producing. The signal to replenish the buffer is created when the buffer drops below full.
Minimized set-up times: Adopting single minute exchange of die is an effective way of reducing set up times. Generally set up time is composed of four functions: Preparation of material, dies, jigs and fixtures (30%), Clamping (5%), Centering and determining dimensions and position of tools (15%), and trial processing and adjustments (50%). Few principles of SMED techniques are as follows:
Separate internal from external set up times
Convert internal from external steup
Standardize function and not shape
JIT production: Means producing what is needed when needed and no more. Anything over the minimum amount necessary is viewed as waste because effort and material are wasted for something not needed now. In JIT, the ideal lot size is one. Toyota believes that when the inventory levels are low, quality problems become very visible, otherwise it hides the problems.
The traditional approach assumes that each stage in a process or supply network will be buffered from the next stage downstream. These buffers “insulate” each stage from its neighbours making each stage relatively independent so that if one stage stops operating for some reason, the next stage continues, at least for some time. The larger the buffer inventory, the greater the degree of insulation between the stages, but throughput times will be long because items will spending time waiting in the inventories. The main arguments against this traditional approach lies in the very conditions it seeks to promote, namely the insulation of the stages from one another. When a problem occurs at one stage, the problem will not be immediately be apparent elsewhere in the system, so the responsibility of solving the problem lies with the people within that stage. However, with a pure lean process, items will only flow from stage to another when the subsequent stage needs them. This means that problem at any stage are quickly exposed. The responsibility of solving the problem is now shared and is more likely to be solved. By preventing items accumulating between stages, the operation has increased the chances of the intrinsic efficiency of the process being improved.
In pull system, workers go back to previous stations and take only the parts or materials they need and can process immediately. When the output has been taken, workers at the previous station know is time to start producing more, and they replenish the exact quantity that the subsequent station just took away. If their output is not taken, workers at the previous station simply stop production; no excess is produced. This system forces operations to work in coordination with one another. It prevents overproduction and underproduction; only necessary quantities are produced. Although the concept of pull production seems simple, it can be difficult to implement. After several years of experience with the pull system, Ohno found it necessary to introduce Kanbans to exercise more control over the pull process on the shop floor.
In a push system or MRP system, releases into the production line are triggered by the schedule. As soon as work on part is complete, it is pushed to the next workstation. As long as machine have parts they continue working under this system.
In the push system, a schedule is prepared in advance for a series of workstations, and each workstation pushed its completed product to the next station.
What kind of waste eliminated: Excess production
What kind of waste eliminated: Excess motion, excess inventory, excess transportation, product defects, waiting for various reasons
JIT requires a relatively smooth production plan. If either the volume or the product mix vary over time, it will be very difficult for workstation to replenish stock over time. To return to the supermarket analogy, if all the customers decided to do their shopping on Tuesday, or if all the shoppers decided to buy canned tomatoes at the same time, stock outs are likely. However, because the customers are spread over time and buy different mixes of products, the supermarket is able to replenish the shelves a little at a time, for the most part avoid stockouts.
What kind of waste eliminated: Excess inventory of finished goods by matching demand with supply, unnecessary inventory, waiting for the customers (micro-matching demand and supply)
The Manesar plant rolls out about 1,200 units every day in two shifts. The factory produces hatchbacks Swift and A-Star and sedans DZiRE and SX4.
A £1-billion (Rs 7,300 crore) research and development (R&D) programme at JLR this year includes a joint engine manufacturing programme in Britain and India.
In a first-of-its-kind integration plan, teams from both the brands are looking to jointly develop engines for high-end Tata Motors&apos; products and JLR&apos;s smaller entry-level products. The new range, which could be less than two litres in size and powered by four cylinders, would be more fuel-efficient than the engines that both the brands have at present.
JLR wants to shift from the bigger six- and eight-cylinder engines to four-cylinder engines. One reason for this is pressure from environmentalists for reducing the carbon footprint.
While the two premium brands may continue to buy the bigger engines from their former owner, Ford Motor Company, Tata Motors aims to become a mass producer of the smaller range. Building engines in-house will reduce the group&apos;s dependence on Ford, which has been facing constraints following a sudden spurt in orders from JLR. Also, multiple use of common engines and transmissions will improve economies of scale. The R&D programme will include spending on new technology, new products, production capacity, emission technology and a proposed joint venture in China, according to a recent company note.
Location: The location of the new engine plant, which may come up in India or the UK, is under discussion. Sources said India, with lower manufacturing costs, could have an upper hand, but a lot would depend on the quality of parts supplied by the Indian companies. The demand for smaller, yet powerful, engines is driven by the fact that both Jaguar and Land Rover are scaling down models to cater to the more mass, yet luxury, segment.
This new range can generate better demand in emerging markets such as China and India due to their lower price tags, say market watchers.
While Land Rover has finalised production plans for the Range Rover Evoque, the smallest Range Rover till date, Jaguar is targeting the segment dominated by the Mercedes-Benz C-class, BMW 3 Series and Audi A4.
Supply of parts is not as big an issue in India as it is in some developed markets, where component makers have failed to ramp up capacities to suit demand.
A work sequence like the one depicted in the previous example probably may not be workable if there are significant set up times required to switch production from one product to another.
What kind of waste eliminated: Excess production, excess inventory, rejects etc.
Internal set up: In CNC horizontal machining center, you have to enter the program or call the program from the server. Then you have to set the tools in the tool magazine. Set the home position and so forth. Machine remains completely stopped during this stage. If the program is already created and saved else where and called right before the machining, then program entry time is completely avoided.
External set up: Job loading and unloading, clamping and so forth.
What kind of waste eliminated: Waiting
Kanban: A Japanese word for card or visible record, such as sign, plaque etc. It is used to control the flow of production. The purpose of Kanban is to signal the need for more parts and to ensure that those parts are produced in time to support subsequent fabrication or assembly.
This terminology originated when Taiichi Ohno observed how Americans supermarkets worked. Customers pulled product from the shelves. When stock on the shelf got low, it was replenished by pulling product from the stock room. In contrast, a push system would try to forecast exactly what each customer would buy, and exactly when they would buy it. It would schedule production and deliveries based on these forecasts, whether the shelves were full or empty.
Here is how the Kanban system works, assuming containers are moved one at a time. When a container of parts is emptied at work center B, the empty container and associated withdrawal card are taken back to work center A. The production card from a full container of parts is removed from its container and replaced by the withdrawal card. The production card is then placed in the Kanban receiving post at work center A, thereby authorizing production of another container of parts. The empty container is left at work center A.
The full container of parts and its withdrawal are moved to work center B and placed in the input area. When this container of parts is eventually used, its withdrawal card and the empty container are taken back to work center A, and the cycle is repeated.
What kind of waste eliminated: Excess inventory, excess production
What kind of waste eliminated: Defects
A research done by service research firm indicates that one third of all customer complaints were related to problems caused by the customer themselves. Thus we need to find tools to help the customers do things right.
Equipment failures, setups, processing speed losses, and quality defects can often be traced back to lack of preventive maintenance. Typical preventive maintenance emphasize shop floor organization, disciplined adherence to operating procedures, rigorous equipment design and upkeep, and a focus on preventing problems rather than fixing them.
What kind of wastes eliminated: Waiting for a machine, reduction in defects
OEE is an interesting measure for a variety of reasons.
OEE provides a broad canvas to understand the effectiveness of the maintenance function in an organization.
It establishes a critical linkage between maintenance and quality and thereby directs the attention of everyone in the organization towards maintenance.
Categorization of losses helps the operating personnel to focus specific efforts towards improvement.
Japanese plants are very clean and orderly. 5S is a concept related to housekeeping which entails need, orderly, and efficient workplace. The Japanese developed the initial 5S. Not only are 5Ss a good checklist for lean operations but they also provide an easy vehicle with which to assist the culture change that is often necessary to bring about lean operations.
Sort: Keep what is needed and remove everything else from the work area. Getting rid of these items makes space to improve work flow.
Straighten: Arrange the needed materials in order. Label and display.
Shine: Clean daily, eliminate all forms of dirt, contamination, and clutter from the work area.
Standardize: Remove variations in the process by developing standard operating procedures, checklists, good standards that make abnormal obvious. Train and retrain work team.
Sustain: Review periodically to recognize efforts and to motivate to sustain progress.
What kind if wastes eliminated: Unnecessary motion, unnecessary inventory, waiting
Activities are work tasks that people or machine do to transform material, information, and energy.
Toyota specifies an activity in terms of four parameters. Content refers to specific tasks within an activity. Sequence refers to the sequential order in executing the tasks. Timing refers to the time taken by individual tasks, and outcome refers to the results of the task.
For example, a physician who writes a medication order ( an activity) transforms his or her knowledge of the patient into a specific service, e.g., a patient to receive Tylenol every 6 hours as needed for the pain.
The second building block is the connection, is the mechanism by which adjacent customers and suppliers transfer material and information.
For example, the physician who wrote the medication order is a supplier of information to the nurse, who is a customer as she receives and uses the physician’s order to obtain medication. The nurse in turn becomes the supplier of information to a new customer, the pharmacist.
The third building block, a pathway or routing is defined as a series of connected activities that create and deliver goods, services, and information. The outgoing pathway starts with the activity of the physician who writes the medication order in the chart, which the nurse telephones or faxes to the pharmacist. The return pathway is when the pharmacist fills the order and carries it to the nurse who then walks it to the patient for administration.
The mindset of experimentation requires a willingness to take decisive action to produce results. Toyota employees are constantly encourages to get their hands dirty with the motto, “if you are 60% sure, take action.” Taking action an not succeeding is considered okay, because doing nothing is worse. The high worth attached to decisive action originates with the founders, Sakichi and Kiichiro Toyoda, who were fond of saying: “Before you say you can’t do something, try it.” (Sakichi Toyoda).
Usually innovation should bring about a staircase progression. In reality there is no such thing as a static constant. All systems are destined to deteriorate once they have been established. One of the famous Parkinson’s Law is that an organization, once it has built its edifice, begins its decline. In other words, there must be a continuous effort for improvement to even maintain the status quo. When such effort is lacking, decline is inevitable.
While Toyota institutionalizes what works, it does not assume that those new practices are effective forever.
IMV – Innovative International Multipurpose Vehicle. See Book (Extreme Toyota by Osono, Shimizu, and Takeuchi, Wiley, see LRC, IMT Nagpur)
The value of decisive action has been reinforced over time through the practice of PDCA (Plan, do, check, act).
Quality Management we know today is rooted in post world war II Japan. Japan’s scientists, engineers, and industry leaders in an effort to build their nation adopted manufacturing practices from US and embraced and supported the ideas of two American researchers: Joseph Juran and W. Edwards Deming. In the early 1950s, Juran had completed the first edition of his book “Quality Control Handbook” (now in its sixth edition) , which remains a canonical reference to quality management. Juran focused on the action and mind-sets of managers because he believed that an organization’s culture was a root cause of quality problems. Deming initially brought expertise in statistics to help Japan with 1951 census and continued to develop statistical process control tools for industry. During the 1960s and 1970s Japanese industry leaders embraced the idea that efforts to improve quality can actually reduce costs.
By 1970s and 1980s, high quality electronics products and automobiles had started flooding the US market sparking a quality crisis in the US. The most famous company to employ advanced quality management system was Toyota, whose “TPS” became an international superstar of manufacturing practice. Motorola in late 1980s developed Six Sigma and others like GE, Seagate, Allied Signal followed suit. Another well known method TQM in 1980s was developed during this time.
TQM: refers to the quest for quality in an organization. There are three key philosophies in this approach. First, never ending push for improving processes, second involvement of everyone in the organization, and third is the goal of customer satisfaction, which means meeting or exceeding customer expectations.
Performance quality: when a customer buys a product, he or she buys that product’s bundle of attributes. Since products and services can have many different attributes, different firms in the same industry can offer “high quality” in different ways. Attributes for cell phones include shape, weight, screen visibility, battery life, ease of use, durability as well as many other features. For autos, attributes include fuel efficiency, interior space, visibility, noise level, repair frequency, safety features, and so on. For a meal in a fine restaurant, attributes include type of cuisine served, atmosphere, taste, presentation, menu variety, and service. Marketing departments investigates how customer preferences vary across different bundles of attributes. Target levels of performance qualities are decided at the design stage and stipulated as performance specifications. A business unit’s choice of performance attributes (and thus its specifications) should be tightly tied to its strategy. A firm that seeks higher profit margins from a superior product or service will design its product or service very differently from a firm that is targeting price conscious customers with no-frills product or services.
Rather than struggle with hundreds or thousands of attributes that a product may have, Harvard Professor David Garvin identified categories of attributes called dimensions of quality. This list of dimensions is useful not for operations managers alone because it represents a framework for the priorities and strategy of the entire organization.
Performance: The primary characteristics of a product or service for which it was purchased. Basic operating characteristics of a car; how is its gas mileage; acceleration, handling, cruising speed, comfort. For TVs (sound and picture quality, and the ability to receive distant station). For fast food (promptness of service). Size of the TV screen.
Features: The extra items or secondary items or added features that supplements basic functionality to use the product or service. Examples, stereo system in the car, or a leather interior. In a washing machine, permanent press cycle, in an airplane free drinks served or free movies. For a car, a free car wash while the vehicle is getting serviced. The line separating performance characteristics from secondary features is often difficult to draw.
Reliability: Length of time a product performs before it must be repaired. How often the product fails? The probability that a product, say a car, will operate properly within an expected time frame; A TV will work without any problem for 7 years. A car will operate without major problem for 14 years…Among the most common measures of reliability are the mean time to first failure, mean time between failures, failure rate per unit of time. Reliability normally becomes more important to consumers as downtime and maintenance becomes more expensive. My HP note pad developed a mother board problem and it was replaced within the warranty period (six months from purchase).
Conformance: Degree to which a product’s design and operating characteristics meet established standards. Is the product made as exactly as the designer intended?
Durability: How long the product will last? In other words, amount of use one gets from a product before it deteriorates. Stated differently, amount of use one gets from a product before it breaks down and replacement is preferable to continued repair. The expected life of an automobile is approximately 14 years.
Serviceability: How easy is it to repair the product? The ease of getting repairs, speed of repairs, and the courtesy, and competence of the repair person. These days, most cars appear to be highly complicated and difficult to repair unless you take it to a reliable garage. Quick servicing can be a powerful selling tool. Caterpillar guarantees delivery of repair parts anywhere in the world within 48 hours.
Aesthetics: How the product looks, feels, sounds, smells, or tastes.
Safety: Assurance that the customer will not suffer from injury or harm from the product. Chinese toys in recent years were rejected by US because it contained lead which was harmful to the kids.
Note: The most traditional motions – conformance and reliability remain important. A company may not pursue all eight dimensions simultaneously, rather companies can pursue a selective quality niche. In fact, that is seldom possible unless it intends to charge reasonably high prices. Technological limitations may impose a further constraint or competitors may have established reputation for a certain kind of excellence. Few products rank high on all eight dimensions of quality such as cross pens, Rolex watches, Rolls Royce automobiles. Customers pay high prices for skilled workmanship.
Few products rank on eight dimensions such as Rolex watches, Rolls Royce automobiles, cross pens
Safety: Best selling India-made hatchbacks Maruti Suzuki Alto 800, Tata Nano, Hyundai i10, Ford Figo and Volkswagen Polo failed to pass the Global New Car Assessment program (NCAP) by a UK based independent charity focused on consumer-oriented vehicle safety initiatives. All these cars scored zero on a scale of 1-5(with 1 being the least safe).
Manufacturing Practices (Conformance Quality): India’s 79,000 crore pharmaceutical industry has come under severe attack globally for significant lapses in manufacturing practices. The United States Food and Drug Administration has banned Ranbaxy’s four Indian factories from selling in that country (the US is the world’s largest market for pharmaceutical products). It has also raised issues regarding manufacturing practices followed by Wockhardt and RPG’s Life Sciences. In fact, 19 Indian pharma companies were blacklisted.
Quality is free. What does it mean?
Philip Crosby coined the term “Quality is free” to indicate not that quality improvement efforts cost nothing but that benefits of quality improvement – fewer errors, higher productivity, more repeat business – outweigh the costs over the long term.
Variability refers to “spread” of an input , process, or output around the mean. Examples include a table that is longer than specified, a bowl of soup served hotter than the restaurant intended, an airplane boarding performance that is faster than the average boarding time. Note, from this last example, that variation can be good as well as bad.
Greater variability leads to a flatter curve with longer tails. In other words, production is less consistent overall and there is a higher probability that the product falls outside the specifications.
Lower the variability of the product, better the product and vice versa. Excessive variability in process performance results in waste. Consider the wasted money, time, and effort that is associated with repairs. Therefore, quality improvement is reduction of waste.
Most organizations find it difficult to provide the customers with products that have quality characteristics that are identical from unit to unit. A major reason being variability. There is a certain amount of variability in every product, consequently, no two products are ever identical. For example, the thickness of blades on a jet turbine impeller is not identical even on the same impeller. If the blade thickness is small, it may not affect the customer. However, if the variation is large, then the customer may perceive the unit to be undesirable and unacceptable. Sources of variability is due to differences in materials, operation of a manufacturing equipment, and difference in the way the operators perform the tasks.
The first task of making sense out of dataset is to summarize it. Summarizing data is one important part of the fundamental management problem of controlling and improving quality.
Stem and leaf plot is a graphical technique for summarizing data.
Range: Difference between the largest and the smallest. If the highest number is 100 and the lowest number is 62, the range can be calculated in two possible ways. First the range of scores is between 100 and 62. It can also be expressed as a single number; in this case, 38 points is the difference between the highest and the lowest.
Advantage: simple, easy to compute
Difficulty: (1) Range is very sensitive to outliers, (2) as sample size increases, the range tends to increase
Variance and Standard deviation: Population Variance = ∑(x-µ)2/n, Standard Deviation is square root of variation.
A percentile is the value of a variable below which a certain percent of observations fall. So the 20th percentile is the value (or score) below which 20 percent of the observations may be found. 80% refers to the number you got correct, not to your score in reference to anyone else’s performance. Some teachers grade on a curve, and award the highest grade not based on actual percentage, but on highest test score. So if your 80% was the highest score in the class, you’d earn an A. More standard is assigning As to 90% and up, Bs to 80-89%, Cs to 70-79% and so on.
Especially when testing is standardized, it is meant to serve a diverse group of people and accurately gauge not only individual performance but comparative performance. If we look at the same test again, your score in percentiles would be based on the number of students who scored below you on the test. So if you did get the top grade, and there were 100 students taking the class, you would score in the 99th percentile. This means you had a score better than 99% of the people taking the test. This is far different than your base 80% score.
When looking at a data set, percentiles can help better gauge the middle or median performance of students, or of any type of data. Many students will cluster into the median area, earning percentiles anywhere from 25 to 75. A few students will far surpass this, with percentiles in the 90s range. Even when the student population or data set being tested is large, average and median scores are computed into expected results, and can gauge the average desired performance of a student. Percentiles can show us how most people are performing, as well as how each individual student is performing.
Quality Assurance covers the entire scope of the organization in how to prevent things from going wrong in the first place. While Inspection and Testing is about what is actually being tested (either after something goes wrong, after manufacture of a product, during the production of a product or before something is made i.e. incoming supplier parts or materials .
Difference between QA and QC.
QA prevents defects from happening by putting proper quality management system (Procative in nature). QA is the system of policies, procedures, and guidelines that establishes standards of product quality. QC only checks defects after the actual parts and produced (Reactive).
Difference between Inspection and Quality Control: Hardly any difference.
When the inspection is for the purpose of acceptance or rejection of a product, based on adherence to a standard, the type of inspection procedure employed is usually called acceptance sampling. A company receives a shipment of product from a supplier. The product is often a component or a raw material used in the company’s manufacturing process. A sample is taken from the lot, and some quality characteristic of the units are examined. On the basis of the examination, a decision is made on accepting the lot or rejecting it. Sometimes we refer to this decision as “lot sequencing”. Acceptance sampling is appropriate when (1) the cost of 100% inspection is extremely high, (2) 100% inspection is technologically not feasible or would require so much calendar time that production scheduling would be seriously impacted, (3) when the vendor has excellent quality history etc.
Inspection (appraisal activity) before and after production often involves acceptance sampling. Monitoring during production process is called process control.
Quality assurance, or QA for short, refers to planned and systematic production processes that provide confidence in a product&apos;s suitability for its intended purpose. It is a set of activities intended to ensure that products (goods and/or services) satisfy customer requirements in a systematic, reliable fashion. In other words, it is a process of verifying or determining whether product or services meet or exceed customer expectations. IT IS THE MANAGEMENT OF QUALITY THROUGHOUT THE ORGANIZATION.
Quality assurance that relies primarily on inspection of previously produced products is referred to as acceptance sampling.
The best companies emphasize designing quality into the process, thereby greatly reducing the need for inspection or control efforts. That is the ultimate goal. Different business organizations are in different stages of this evolutionary process. The least progressive rely heavily on the inspection process. Many occupy a middle ground that involves some inspection and a great deal of process control. The most progressive have achieved an inherent level of quality that is sufficiently high that they can avoid wholesale inspection activities and process control by mistake prevention.
Process Control ensures that a process performs as it should and take corrective action when it does not. A good process control system would include documented standard operating procedures, a clear understanding of the appropriate equipment, understanding critical quality characteristics, tools to be used, inspection frequency, sample size etc.
Acceptance sampling involves inspection, problems are discovered after they have occurred. Thus, quality problems that are missed or passed on either to a subsequent process, which can be highly disruptive to operations, or to customers directly, which may be very costly.
These dual costs --- of defects and of inspections --- are the key considerations for determining how a business conducts acceptance sampling;
When in the process to inspect?
How rigorously to inspect, which can be divided into two related matters
The frequency with which to test
How many products to test each time.
Less than 100% acceptance sampling is employed when testing is destructive to the product, the cost of 100% ispection is too high, or 100% inspection takes too long.
Before an irreversible process: Say you are in pottery business. Now after the desired shape of the item using clay has been done, you need to fire to harden. So you have to ensure the quality before firing, otherwise the process is irreversible, i.e., pottery can be reworked before firing only. Same with heat treatment in manufacturing. You make the keyway in the shaft and then send to heat treatment for hardening. But is the key dimension turns out to be wrong and you discover after the hardening process, you can’t rectify because it is already hardened.
Covering process means painting, plating, assembly.
Before the advent of TQM, most managers felt improving quality means adding more features and thus adding more costs thus dampening demand. The idea that organizations might experience a decrease in overall costs by increasing investment in quality was first developed by Juran and supported by many others such as Feigenbaum and Crosby. They argued that larger investments in quality planning and process improvement helps to eliminate defects paid for themselves in savings. As long as the incremental costs of managing quality are no more than the incremental return from the resulting improvement, quality is free. To explore this concept, we have to understand how managers can evaluate costs of quality.
For Details see Introduction Statistical Quality Control, Montgomery, pp 26-30.
Appraisal costs: Costs of inspection of incoming vendor-supplied material, product inspection (cost of checking the conformance of product at various stages of manufacturing, including final inspection and testing). The cost of material and products consumed in a destructive test or devalued by reliability tests. Maintaining accuracy and calibration of instruments for testing.
Prevention Costs: The sum of all the costs to prevent the defects: costs to identify the causes, to train personnel aimed at improving quality, to redesign the product (cost incurred during the design of the product or the selection of the production processes that are intended to improve the overall quality of the product) or system, to modify equipment, to purchase equipment. Cost incurred during the design of a product or the selection of the production processes.
QUALITY - NON DESTRUCTIVE TESTING Southwest Steel Casting Company achieved certification to ISO-9002 on December 26, 1996. In so doing, SWS becomes only the second foundry in Texas to distinguish itself in this manner.
Steel Castings
Non Destructive Testing is a descriptive term used for the examination of materials and components in such a way that allows materials to be examined without changing or destroying their usefulness.Visual InspectionVisual inspection is the one NDT method used extensively to evaluate the condition or the quality of a weld or component. It is easily carried out, inexpensive and usually doesn&apos;t require special equipment.Magnetic Particle InspectionMagnetic particle inspection is a method that can be used to find surface and near surface flaws in ferromagnetic materials such as steel and iron.The technique uses the principle that magnetic lines of force (flux) will be distorted by the presence of a flaw in a manner that will reveal it&apos;s presence. the flaw (for example, a crack) is located from the &quot;flux leakage&quot;, following the application of fine iron particles, to the area under examination. There are variations in the way the magnetic field is applied. but they are all dependant on the above principle.Ultrasonic InspectionUltrasonic inspection uses sound waves of short wavelength and high frequency to detect flaws or measure material thickness.Radiographic InspectionX-ray or gamma rays are placed close to the material to be inspected and they pass through the material and are then captured on film This film is then processed and the image is obtained as a series of gray shades between black and white. Careful inspection of the film will revel internal flaws that may not be found by other inspection methods.
Liquid or Dye Penetration Test is widely used as a low cost test for casting, forging, or welded materials. Usually used for surface defects (hairline cracks, surface porosity, etc.). First, penetrant (dye) is applied to the surface, excess penetrant is removed, then developer is applied rendering the crack visible.
Internal failure costs: cost of scrap (net loss of labor, material, and overhead resulting from defective product that cannot be economically be repaired or used), rework (cost of correcting non-conforming parts), retest (cost of re-inspection and retesting of products so that they meet specifications), failure analysis (the cost incurred to determine the causes of product failures), disposition (the time of those involved in determining whether non-conforming products are usable and what should be done with them), and downtime (The line may be down because of nonconforming raw materials supplied by a vendor).
Warranty: All products manufactured are warranted to be free of defects in workmanship and material for a period of 1 year (say) from the date of sale. The sole obligation of the manufacturer will be to repair or replace any item of equipment covered under the warranty clause.
External failure costs: Complaint (costs of investigating and responding to complaints due to defective products, faulty installation, or improper instructions). customer warranty replacements, loss of customers or goodwill, liability costs (costs incurred as a result of product liability litigations), returned material (costs associated with receiving and replacing defective products returned from the field).
It is important to recognize that these four categories of costs are not independent of each other. For example, an increased investment in appraisal will decrease external failure costs. Managers must make trade-offs when deciding how much to invest in quality management and how that investment should be allocated. How managers make this trade-off depends to a large extent on the products or services their organization deliver. It’s important for a T-shirt manufacturer to minimize defects, but not nearly as important as it is for a hospital oncology unit.
A rule of thumb says that for every rupee you spend in prevention, you save Rs 10 in failure and appraisal costs
Quality costs are sometimes reported by using index numbers, which are ratios that measure quality costs against a base value, such as manufacturing costs, sales, unit production, and labour hours.
In practice, it is difficult to separate all costs, but even making an estimation would give a manufacturer or service operator as to how much is involved.
Process control can be thought of measuring, managing, and reducing the tails --- or the variation--- of the distribution curve and ensuring that the mean distribution does not shift.
Attribute: A quality or characteristic inherent in or ascribed to someone or something.
Statistics is described as a mathematical body of science that pertains to the collection, analysis, interpretation or explanation, and presentation of data.
After World War II, W. E. Deming, the quality expert was invited to Japan by Japanese government to give a series of lecture on improving product reliability. This was probably the single most event that started Japanese toward a global quality revolution. These lectures were based on statistical quality control and they became the cornerstone of the Japanese commitment to quality management.
Process control is achieved by taking periodic samples from the process and plotting the sample points on a chart, to see if the process is within statistical control limits. A sample can be a single item or a group of items. If a sample is out of control, and the cause is identified, the problem can be corrected.
Statistical process control involves testing random samples of output from a process to determine whether the process is producing items within a pre-selected range. A control chart is one of the primary techniques of statistical process control or SPC.
Walter Shewart is credited with recognizing between two principal types of variation at Bell Labs in 1920s.
Common cause variation is result of complex interactions of variations in materials, tools, machines, information, workers, and the environment. Such variation is the natural part of the technology and process design and can’t be controlled. Common causes of variation are purely random, unidentifiable sources of variation that are unavoidable with the current process. It appears at random, and individual sources or causes cannot be identified or explained. Common cause variation can be reduced through improvements in the design process and application of technology. However, their combined effect is usually stable ( a system governed by common causes is called stable system) and can be described statistically. Common causes included poor product design, incoming materials unsuited to their use, machines out of order, improper bill of materials, poor machinery that would not hold tolerances, poor physical working conditions, and so on. Common cause variation generally account for 80-95% of the observed variation in process. Chance or random causes are part of the system itself. It can be reduced by using better technology, better process design, or operator training. This is clearly the responsibility of the management. Management was responsible for common cause and operators were responsible for special causes.
Common cause variation is the variation we expect in the process and special cause variation is due to unexpected variation. For example, when ordering food from outside at midnight, let’s say it usually takes 35 -45 minutes to deliver. That is normal, and that’s what is common. Hence the name common cause variation. On the other hand, if it takes 2 hours for the vendor to deliver, that would be unexpected, something special must have happened. It appears sporadically, and disturbs the random pattern of common causes. Hence the name special cause variation or assignable cause variation.
So which type of variation should a manager get rid of? Special cause variation.
A system governed by common cause is called stable system. Keeping special cause variation from occurring is the essence of quality control. If no special causes affect the output we call the process is in statistical control. When the special causes are present, the process is said to be out of control.
Keeping special cause variation from occurring is the essence of quality control. If no special causes affect the output of a process, we say that the process is in control; when special causes are present the process is said to be out of control.
SEE HAND NOTES, WORKOUT PROBLEMS IN CLASS
Stem and leaf plot gives a visual impression of shape, spread or variability, and central tendency or middle of data.
Histogram represents the observed frequencies .
Box Plot: plays several important features such as location or central tendency, spread or variability, departure from symmetry and identification of observations that lie unusually far from the bulk of the data (these observations are often called “outliers”).
The key tool that Deming advocated to distinguish between systemic and special causes – and indeed, the key to quality management in general – was statistical process control. Developed by Walter Shewart while in Bell Labs in 1930s and later refined by Deming in a well known paper, “On Statistical Theory of Errors”, SPC was required because variation was an inevitable fact of industrial life. It was unlikely that two parts, even when produced by the same operator at the same machine, would ever be identical. The issue, therefore, was distinguishing acceptable variation from variation that could indicate problems. The rules of statistical probability provided a method for making this distinction.
Probability rules could determine whether variation was random or not, i.e., whether it was due to chance. Random variation occurred within statistically determined limits. If variation remained within those limits, the process was stable one and in control. As long as nothing changed the process, further variation could be predicted easily, for it would remain indefinitely within the same statistical limits.
The fundamental challenge of SPC is to separate assignable-cause variation from natural variation. Because we generally observe directly only the quality attribute itself, but not the causes of variation, we need statistics to accomplish this.
Common cause included poor product design, incoming materials not suited to their use, machinery that would not hold tolerances, poor physical conditions, and so on. Special cause included lack of knowledge or skill, worker inattention, or a poor lot of incoming material. Management was responsible for common cause, and operators were responsible for special causes. The worker at a machine can do nothing about causes common to all machines. He can’t do anything about the light, he does not purchase raw materials; the training, supervision and the company policies are not his.
Bring this deviation closer to the mean
As long as the readings, taken on a small sample of units at predetermined intervals (such as every half hour), fell between limits and did not show a trend or “run”, the process was in control and no intervention was required, despite the obvious variation in readings. Readings that fell outside the limits or produced a run indicated a problem to be investigated.
To improve the system itself, common causes had to be removed. Simply because a system was in statistical control did not mean it was as good as it could be. Indeed, a process in control could produce a high proportion of defects. Control limits indicated what the process was, not what it should be or could be. To move the average (yield, sales, defects, returns etc.) up or down and thus also the control limits up or down typically required the concerted efforts of engineering, research, sales, manufacturing, and other departments. To narrow the range of variation around the target could consume even more efforts.
Variable: In quality context, any quality characteristic that is measured on a numerical scale (continuous) is called a variable. Examples, dimension, weight, diameter, volume, length, viscosity, resistance in ohms, time taken by a process are variables.
Where are control charts used: Control charts are used at critical points in the process where historically the process has shown a tendency to go out of control, and at points where the process goes out of control it is particularly harmful and costly. Control charts also used before a costly or irreversible point in the process, after which the product is difficult to rework or correct.
Control charts: Even though these control charts differ in how they measure process control, they all have certain similar characteristics. They all look alike, with a line through the center of the graph that indicates the process average and lines above and below the center line that represent the upper and lower limits of the process. A process is said to be in control, if there are no sample points outside the control limits. Most points are near the average (i.e., the center line), without too many close to the control limits. Approximately equal number of points are above and below the center line. The points appear to be randomly distributed around the center line (i.e., no discernible pattern). If any of these conditions are violated, the process may be out of control.
Control charts have been traditionally used in manufacturing sectors. But control charts can be equally useful in monitoring quality of services. A control chart is a quick way of detecting the occurrences of assignable causes so that investigative action and control of process can be undertaken. The defect being the nature of defect being measured. A defect can be an empty soap dispenser in the bathroom or an error in the phone dialogue, as well as a blemish on a piece of cloth, or a faulty plug on a VCR set.
CONTROL CHARTS SHOULD BE USED WHEREVER THE PROCESS IS LIKELY TO GO OUT OF CONTROL AND COULD BE COSTLY AND HARMFUL TO THE COMPANY.
List of areas where control charts can be used in services:
Grocery stores: Waiting time to check out, quality of food items, customer complaints, check-out register errors
Airlines: Flight delays, lost luggage and handling, waiting time at a ticket counter, accurate flight information
Insurance companies: Billing accuracy, timeliness of claims processing, agent availability, response time
Fast food restaurants: Waiting time for service, customer complaints, food quality, order accuracy
Hospitals: Timeliness and quickness of care, staff response to requests, waiting time at the radiology department, accuracy of lab tests, accuracy of paper work etc.
Banks: Errors in documents, response time
For X and R charts see page 384, Operations Management for competitive advantage, Chase, Jacobs, Aquilano, and Agarwal. For P chart, see page 381, same book (Exhibit TN8.6). Also See hand notes created.
Attributes: Attribute data are usually discrete data often taking the form of counts. Certain quality characteristics cannot be measured on a numerical scale. In such cases we classify them as “defective” or “non-defective”, “conforming” or “non-conforming”, “good” or “bad”, functioning or mal-functioning. For example, a car may run or it doesn’t. This type of measurement is known as sampling by attributes.
C –chart: The healthcare manager has to use the appropriate type of control chart for the process being monitored and that depends on how the process is monitored. For example, how many times a staff member did not respond to patient request within an appropriate time is a counting process, and the measure of such outcome is called an attribute. Thus C-charts are appropriate for such count types measurements. Other examples of c-chart are number of wrong medications delivered in a day. Number of infections occurring during a month is another example.
On the other hand when we are measuring percentage of discharges that were not met within 2 hours, we use p-chart.
Sampling distribution of means is normal, and it is has less variability than the process.
There are several guidelines associated with zones to identifying patterns in a control chart.
Eight consecutive points on one side of the center line
2.Eight consecutive points up or down
3.Fourteen points alternating up or down
4. Two out of three consecutive points in zone A (on one side of center line)
5. Four out of 5 consecutive points in zone A or B on one side of the center line.
Attributes are quality characteristics that are counted rather than measured. For example:
Control charts for attributes are used when the process characteristic is counted rather than measured. For example, the number of defective items are counted in a sample, whereas the length of each item is measured. There are two types of attribute control charts, one for the fraction of defective items in a sample ( a p-chart) and one for the number of defects per unit ( a c-chart). A p-chart is appropriate when data consists of two categories of items. For instance, if glass bottles are inspected for chipping and cracking, both the good bottles and the defective ones can be counted. The number of unsatisfied patients with the meal in a patient survey of 100 patients.
C-chart: However, one can count the number of accidents that occur during a given time period of time but not the number of accidents that did not occur. Similarly, one can count number of scratches on a polished surface, the number of bacteria present in a water sample, and the number of crimes committed during the month of August, but one cannot count the number of non-occurrences. In such cases, a c-chart is appropriate.
C-chart follows a Poisson distribution. The Poisson distribution describes a discrete random variable that can take on values 0, 1, 2, …The mean of the Poisson is µ and the standard deviation is √µ. Notice that this implies that the Poisson is “one parameter” distribution because specifying the mean automatically specifies the standard deviation.
Part of the reason that the Poisson distribution is so important is that it arises frequently in practice. In particular, counting processes that are composed of a number of independent counting processes tend to look Poisson.
Process Capability Definition: In other words, how capable is the process of producing acceptable units according to the design specifications.
There are three main elements associated with process capability: natural range of variation in the process, the process center (mean), and the design specifications.
Process Capability: Control limits and process variability are directly related. Control limits are based on sampling variability, ans sampling variability is a function of process variability. Control limits provide a means for determining natural variation in a production process. They are statistical results based on sampling. Control limits are based on production process, and they reflect process variability. On the other hand, tolerances are design specifications reflecting customer requirements for a product. In other words, tolerances are not determined by the production processes. They are externally imposed by the designers of the product and service. It is possible for a process in an instance to be statistically “in control” according to control charts, and yet the process may not conform to design specifications.
PROCESS CAPABILITY: refers to the natural variation in process relative to the variation allowed by the design specifications. (Read Russel and Taylor, pp 715-717)
Cp= Tolerance range / Process Range = (Upper specification limit – Lower specification limit) / 6σ
If Cp&lt;1, process is not capable of producing within design specifications all the time
If Cp=1, process is capable of meeting specifications.
If Cp&gt;1, process is capable of meeting design specifications
As a general rule, most values of any process distribution fall within (+-) 3 standard deviations of the mean.
Process Capability Index (Cpk) = indicates is the process mean has shifted away from the design target, and in which direction it has shifted.
If Cpk &gt; 1.0, the process is capable of meeting design specifications.
If Cpk &lt; 1.0, then the process mean has moved closer to one of the upper or lower design specifications, and will generate defects.
When Cpk=Cp, indicates the process mean is centered on the design (nominal target).
The capability index will always be less than or equal to the capability ratio. Because of this, the capability index can be used as a first check for capability; if the capability index passes the test, the process can be declared capable.. If it does not pass, the process capability ratio must be calculated to see if the process variability is a source of the problem.
NOTE: There is no link between design sepcefications and either the control limits or process variability.
Process Capability Definition: In other words, how capable is the process of producing acceptable units according to the design specifications.
There are three main elements associated with process capability: natural range of variation in the process, the process center (mean), and the design specifications.
Process Capability: Control limits provide a means for determining natural variation in a production process. They are statistical results based on sampling. Control limits are based on production process, and they reflect process variability. On the other hand, tolerances are design specifications reflecting customer requirements for a product. In other words, tolerances are not determined by the production processes. They are externally imposed by the designers of the product and service. It is possible for a process in an instance to be statistically “in control” according to control charts, and yet the process may not conform to design specifications.
PROCESS CAPABILITY: refers to the natural variation in process relative to the variation allowed by the design specifications. (Read Russel and Taylor, pp 715-717)
Cp= Tolerance range / Process Range = (Upper specification limit – Lower specification limit) / 6σ
If Cp&lt;1, process is not capable of producing within design specifications all the time
If Cp=1, process is capable of meeting specifications.
If Cp&gt;1, process is capable of meeting design specifications
As a general rule, most values of any process distribution fall within (+-) 3 standard deviations of the mean.
Process Capability Index (Cpk) = indicates is the process mean has shifted away from the design target, and in which direction it has shifted.
If Cpk &gt; 1.0, the process is capable of meeting design specifications.
If Cpk &lt; 1.0, then the process mean has moved closer to one of the upper or lower design specifications, and will generate defects.
When Cpk=Cp, indicates the process mean is centered on the design (nominal target).
The capability index will always be less than or equal to the capability ratio. Because of this, the capability index can be used as a first check for capability; if the capability index passes the test, the process can be declared capable.. If it does not pass, the process capability ratio must be calculated to see if the process variability is a source of the problem.
a) The process is not capable of producing meeting the specification limits. The natural variation in the process is greater than the design specification limits. Situation will result in defective products or outcome. This scenario can be very costly because you may need to buy machine, or redesign the product, or improve the process.
Note: We take the minimum of the two ratios because it is the worst case situation. If Cpk&gt; than the critical value (say 1.33 for 4 sigma, i.e.4/3 =1.33) and the process capability is also greater than the critical value, we can say the process is capable. If Cpk &lt; less than the critical value, either the process average is close to one of the tolerance limits and is generating defective output, or the process variability is too large.
The capability index will always be less than or equal to the capability ratio. Because of this, the capability index can be used as the first check for capability; if the capability index passes the test, the process can be declared capable. If it does not pass, the process capability must be calculated to see if the process variation is a source of the problem. When Cpk = Cp, the process is centered between upper and lower specifications and, hence, the mean of the process distribution is centered on the nominal value of the design specifications.
I walk into my class and see the chalks, duster, pens are missing. I go to the next class room and bring them and run my class. What kind of problem solving did I do? 1st Order. I have not identified the root cause to the problem, i.e., why the chalks, duster, pens are missing in the first place. Most organizations firefight. They have a problem. They do 1st order problem solving and forget to investigate. Ideally one should do 1st order problem solving and then do root cause analysis to fix the problem permanently. But that does not happen in reality. So problems recur at regular intervals. In a recent research study on 9 hospitals the researcher found that in 8% of the cases the employees were involved in 2nd order problem solving. However, second order problem solving can have positive consequences for the workers and the organization.
There are multiple reasons why people do not participate in 2nd order problem solving. The first one being lack of time. Second order problem solving requires dealing with various people, spending time with them on investigating the problem and so forth. Second one being they want to look good in front of their supervisors as a competent individual. Third reason being unit efficiency goal is more important than overall organizational goal.
Plan: study the process, identify the problem, set goals and develop the plan for improvement.
Do: Implement the plan on a test basis, measure improvement.
Study/Check: Assess the plan; is it working? Goals achieved?
Act: Institutionalize the improvement; continue the cycle with new problems at stage 1.
Promoted early in its history by Motorola and General Electric
Green Belts (received first-level of training; who participates in a team, teach other team members on problem solving on a small scale projects in addition to his day-to-day assigned duties. Black Belts (fully trained, who coach or actually lead a Six-sigma improvement team). Master Black Belts (who receive in-depth training in statistical tools and process improvement, they perform same functions as a black belt but for a larger number of teams; mentor black belts; full-time teachers).
Define: Determine the characteristics of the process’s outputs that are critical to customer satisfaction and identify gaps. These gaps provide opportunities for improvement. Is the business case clear and defined? Is the project goal specific and measurable?
Measure: Quantify the output of the process (deciding metrics, identify data sources, prepare data collection plan). Tools (Check sheets, pareto charts, histogram). What is the current sigma level?
Analyze: Use different SPC tools to analyze the process (pareto chart, cause-and effect diagram) factors affecting the process. What are the vital few that affects the process? Tools (Pareto charts, cause-effect diagram).
Improve: Modify or redesign the existing methods to meet the new performance objectives. Implement the changes. How will the new process be implemented? What is the cost-benefit of the new process? Tools (process flow chart)
Control: Monitor the process to ensure that high performance levels are maintained. Use SPC tools (control charts to control the process). Who remains accountable for the process? Is there any response plan if the process goes out of limits? What is the new sigma level? Tools (Control charts)
Patterned after the PDCA approach. It uses the DMAIC model. It uses the seven SPC tools as well as the advanced statistical tool like hypothesis testing, design of experiments, multiple regression and so forth.
The difficulty with DMAIC is that is very powerful but requires intense training in statistics and problem solving for the employees and costs lot of money. As a result, it kind of lost its importance in the market place.
DMAIC model
THE SEVEN BASIC DATA ANALYSIS TOOLS
The first step in improving the quality of an operation is data collection. Data can help uncover operations requiring improvement.
Seven basic tools that can improve quality. The concept behind the seven basic tools came from Kaoru Ishikawa, a renowned quality expert from Japan. According to Ishikawa, 95% of quality related problems can be solved with these basic tools.
Check sheets organize data by category. It is very useful in the data collection activity. They show how many times each particular value occurs and their information is increasingly helpful as more data are collected. It helps operators spot problem. From the above sheet, departure delay appears to be a major problem.
Pareto Diagram: A Pareto diagram is a simple frequency distribution of attribute data arranged in decreasing order of frequency. The principle was developed by Vilfredo Pareto, an Italian economist and sociologist who theorized that the majority of the wealth was held by a disproportionately small segment of the population. The principle is based on the unequal distribution of things in the universe. It is the law of the &quot;significant few versus the trivial many.&quot; The significant few things will generally make up 80% of the whole, while the trivial many will make up about 20%. In other words, quality experts refer to pareto as 80-20 rule, which means 80% of the problems are caused by 20% of the potential causes. Quality engineers have observed that defects usually follow a similar Pareto distribution.
Example, when we used to test gear boxes in the final testing sections, we used to find several reasons for gearbox rejection: gear noise, vibration of the gear box, oil leakage etc, and we used to plot Pareto chart to find which reason occurred most frequently.
Note that Pareto chart does not automatically identify the most important defects, but rather only those that occur most frequently.
Pareto charts are widely used in service applications: errors on purchase orders.
A hotel keeps records over time of the reasons why guests requested room changes.
The histogram plots the frequency of some quality characteristic on a continuous scale. A histogram is an easy way to see the distribution of the data, its average, and variability.
A bar chart is a series of bars representing frequency of occurrence of data characteristic measured on a yes-or-no basis. The bar height indicates the number of times a particular quality characteristic was observed.
A Run Chart is a graph that displays observed data in a time sequence. Often, the data displayed represent some aspect of the output or performance of a manufacturing or other business process. Examples could include measurements of the fill level of bottles filled at a bottling plant or the water temperature of a dishwashing machine each time it is run. Time is generally represented on the horizontal (x) axis and the property under observation on the vertical (y) axis. Often, some measure of central tendency (mean or median) of the data is indicated by a horizontal reference line.
Run charts are analyzed to find anomalies in data that suggest shifts in a process over time or special factors that may be influencing the variability of a process. Typical factors considered include unusually long &quot;runs&quot; of data points above or below the average line, the total number of such runs in the data set, and unusually long series of consecutive increases or decreases. (Pyzdek 2003)
Run charts are similar in some regards to the control charts used in statistical process control, but do not show the control limits of the process. They are therefore simpler to produce, but do not allow for the full range of analytic techniques supported by control charts.
Scatter diagrams illustrate how two variables are related. It can’t prove that one variable causes the changes in other, only that a relationship exists. In other words, correlation does not necessarily imply causality. This apparent relationship could be caused by something quite different. For example, both variables could be related to a third one. Design of experiments must be used to verify causality.
Also called Cause and Effect Diagram. First developed by Kaori Ishikawa. It is a participatory problem solving approach to identify causes of quality problem. The main problem is indicated in the fish head. Then we identify the major causes (men, material, machines, methods) and so forth. For each category, the problem solver lists the potential causes of the performance gap. Brainstorming helps the analyst identify and properly classify all suspected causes.
Flow charts describe a process in as much detail as possible by graphically displaying the steps in proper sequence (chronologically). A good flow chart show all process steps and helps identify critical process points for control, suggest areas for further improvement, and help solve a problem. Process charts are also called process mapping. Flow charts must be constructed in sufficient details to include value-added and non value added activities.
Manufacturing cost per good product
Direct manufacturing cost = Direct labor + Direct material + Manufacturing overhead
Manufacturing Overhead: Indirect Labour + Indirect material + Other indirect manufacturing cost
Indirect labour = material handling team, supervisors, sweepers etc.
Indirect material = lubricants, grease, water
Other indirect manufacturing cost = land rent, property insurance, electricity, depreciation, administrative expense
quality as a gap between what customers feel should be offered and what is provided. When expectations are exceeded, service is perceived to be of exceptional quality. When expectations are not met, however, service quality is deemed unacceptable.
SEVQUAL is designed to apply to all service industries; however, measures specific to a certain industry or business or process may provide more accurate measures.
Tangibles – appearance of the physical facilities, equipment, personnel, and communication materials related to service.
Reliability – Ability to perform the promised service dependably and accurately. It means that the service organization performs the service right the first time in the same manner without errors. For examples, receiving mail at approximately the same time each day is important to most people, back office operations (billing accuracy, keeping records correctly), completing the service at promised time.
Responsiveness – Willingness to help customers and provide prompt service. For example, returning customer calls quickly. If a service failure occurs the ability to recover quickly and with professionalism can create a very positive impression.
Assurance – Knowledge, competence, and courtesy of the employees and their ability to inspire trust and confidence. Competence means possessing the requisite knowledge to do the job. Courtesy means politeness, respect, consideration, and friendliness of the employees.
Empathy – Caring and individualized attention that the firm provides to its customers. Empathy includes the following features: approachability, sensitivity, and effort to understand customer’s needs.
When Zeithaml, Parasuraman, and Berry were asked 1900 customers of five national known companies to allocate 100 points across the five service quality dimensions they averaged reliability (32%), responsiveness (22%), assurance (19%), empathy (16%) and tangibles (11%). Customers mentioned that service company’s most serious shortcoming was lack of reliability. The result seem to suggest that reliability is the most important service quality dimension.
Thus, if the customer assigns a 6 to expectation and 4 to perception, the gap score is -2. By convention, expectations are subtracted from perceptions.
Service quality is consistently meeting or exceeding customer expectations for all service encounters.
Service quality measures are based primarily on human perceptions of service collected from customer surveys, focus groups, and interviews.
Gap Score: Perception (P) – Expectation (E)
Refer to page 132 and 133 of Fitzsimmon’s book on SERVQUAL model. It is related to evaluating service quality in a budget hotel. On one side there are 22 questions related to customers’ expectation. On the other side there are same questions related to what customers perceived regarding those dimensions.
Ask the students if they have been involved in any projects on the job
Orissa sponge iron project at Keonjhar, Orissa.
210 MW Kolaghat Thermal Power Project (boiler erection and commissioning at Kolaghat).
Greaves Expansion Project 22000 diesel engines to 32,000 diesel engines per year. From 32,000 to 42,000 in the second phase.
Cellular layout project in Greaves Falta.
Numerous small scale improvement project in CMC, Missoula, USA.
Greaves expansion project: 22000 diesel engines/year project to 32,500 diesel engines per year
Greaves Ltd, Falta: Developing group technology layout
Mini-project: Developing jigs and fixtures in ABL, small scale process improvement projects in CMC, Missoula.
In order to define project management, we need to understand what a project is. One time endeavor: constructing a building, bridge, dam, factory etc.
A project is a temporary and one-time endeavor undertaken to create a unique product or service, which brings about beneficial change or added value.
Projects have end dates!
These definition articulates that the purpose of project management is to satisfy needs and expectations of stakeholders. Stakeholders are all individuals and organisations which are directly and indirectly influenced by the project or influences and it includes the client or the customer as key stakeholder. One of the focus of project management is on “controlling the introduction of the desired change”. This is achieved by understanding the needs of stakeholders including clients and planning, building & motivating the project team, monitoring and managing changes in order to deliver successful results.
All projects go through predictable stages called a project life cycle and has four phases: (1) Definition, (2) Planning, (3) Execution, (4) Termination
Project Time: Refers to the amount of time available to complete the project.
Project Cost: Refers to the budget amount available for the project.
Project scope: Refers to what must be dome to achieve a project’s end goal.
ASK THE AUDIENCE?? Do we have any project managers in the audience?? Does anyone know what the PM Triple Constraints are? (GIVE CANDY)
The PM Triple constraints are the keys to quality and success! These three are interdependent and create quite a balancing act for Project Managers.
The time constraint is the amount of time available to complete a project. All projects have deadlines or end dates. This may be the most difficult constraint to manage.
The cost constraint is the budgeted amount available for the project. Remember that cost also translates to resources – people, equipment, and materials.
The scope constraint is what must be done to produce the project&apos;s end result – the system you need – meeting your requirements!
These three constraints are often competing constraints:
increased scope typically means increased time and increased cost,
a tight time constraint could mean increased costs and reduced scope,
a tight budget could mean increased time and reduced scope, or managing the project over a longer period of time to take advantage of various funding opportunities without a loss of continuity!
The discipline of project management is about providing the tools and techniques that enable the project team (not just the project manager) to organize their work to meet these constraints.
Over the years, a number of scholars have studied the factors that affect the success or failure of a project. In a recent article, Dilts and Fence (2006) summarized the critical factors that were identified as causes for project failure.
Based on a review of several large scale consulting projects in various countries around the world, Pinto and Kharbanda (1996) identified 12 critical reasons why projects fail
Named after Henry Grantt, who originally developed the chart in the 1910s. Is a special type of horizontal bar chart that displays the schedule for the entire project. It shows the beginning and end times for each activity and can also show the relationships between activities.
While AOA and AON conventions are used in industry, I will use the AON convention for the sale of clarity and brevity.
Crashing activities reduce indirect project costs and increase direct costs; the optimum amount of crashing results in minimizing the sum of these two types of costs.
Risks are inherent in projects and have undesirable consequences such as delays, increased costs, and inability to meet technical specifications. The probability of occurrence of risk events are highest near the beginning of a project and lowest near the end. Hence, the cost associated with risk events tend to be lowest near the beginning of a project and highest near the end. Example Tata Project in Singur. Tata lost 1500 crores when they left Bengal.
Events in upper right hand quadrant have the highest probability of occurring and also have high cost. They should be given the highest attention. Events in the lower left hand quadrant have relatively low probabilities and low cost, and so they should be given least attention. Events in other quadrants should get moderate attention.
The model is like other mathematical models, but it explicitly incorporates uncertainty in one or more input variables. When we allow this random input variables to take on various values, and we keep track of any resulting output variables of interest. In this way, we are able to see how the output varies as a function of the varying inputs.
Example: Let us take an automobile company that is interested in planning to develop and market a new model. The company is interested in th net present value of the profits from this car over the next 10 years. However, many uncertainties surround the car, including the customer demands, cost of development, and others. We could develop a spread sheet model for the 10 year NPV using our best guess for these uncertain quantities. We could use a simulation model by entering probability distributions for the uncertain quantities and seeing how the NPV varies as the uncertain quantities vary.
Another example could be simulating the operating conditions of a super market and ask a number of what-if questions. For example, the super market might want to experiment with the number of open registers to see the effect on customer waiting times. The only way the supermarket physically experiemnt with more registers than it currently owns is to purchase more equipment. Then, if it determines that this equipment is not a good investment ---customer waiting times do not decrease appreciably – the company is stuck with expensive equipment it doesn’t need. Computer simulation is a much less expensive alternative because it provides the company with an electronica replica of what would happen if the new equipment were purchased. Then, if the simulation indicates that the new equipment is worth the cost, the company can be confident that purchasing it is the right decision. Otherwise, the company can abandon the idea of the new equipment before the equipment is purchased.
When wheel is spun actual demand for PC’s is determined by a number at rim of the wheel.
Expected number of breakdowns = 0(0.10) + 1 ().30) + 2 (0.25) + 3 (0.20) + 4 (0.10) + 5 (0.05) = 2.05 per day
Machine operators maintain their own machines with daily care, periodic inspections, and preventive repair activities. They compile and interpret maintenance and operating data on their machines, identify signs of deterioration prior to failure. Maintaining and repairing own machine is called autonomous maintenance. Collecting data and designing remedies based on the data collected is referred to as predictive maintenance. They also scrupulously clean equipment, tools, and workspaces to make unusual occurrences more noticeable. Oil spots on a clean floor may indicate a machine problem, whereas oil spots on a dirty floor would go unnoticed.. In Japan, this is known as 5S – seiri, seiton, seiso, seiketsu, and shisuke -- roughly translated as sort, set, shine, standardize, and sustain.
OEE is an interesting measure for a variety of reasons.
OEE provides a broad canvas to understand the effectiveness of the maintenance function in an organization.
It establishes a critical linkage between maintenance and quality and thereby directs the attention of everyone in the organization towards maintenance.
Categorization of losses helps the operating personnel to focus specific efforts towards improvement.
Maintenance alternatives:
Inspection (Routine): Checking of lubrication of moving parts, looking for loosened fasteners, vibration of moving components, oil leakages, dusting and cleaning of surfaces. Done in the beginning or end of the shift. Time taken is usually minimal.
Preventive Maintenance: Stop working equipment and perform some maintenance. This may include routine inspection as well as replacement of certain parts. Typically components such as bearing, oil seals, gaskets, and other parts will be replaced even when they have not failed. It is a conscious decision on the part of management to perform some maintenance on the equipment even when the equipment is working.
Predictive maintenance: It is a method of preventive maintenance in which the condition of the equipment (few parameters such as noise, vibration, temperature) is constantly monitored and the decision to carry out maintenance is taken based on the analysis of the equipment’s behavior. In other words, some mathematical modeling of the of the equipment working condition is developed and the model is used for decision making. Thus, it is possible to detect any impending malfunctioning in the equipment and perform some preventive maintenance to avoid breakdowns.
Breakdown Maintenance: After the equipment breaks down, some repair is carried out to restore the equipment to working condition. Break down maintenance poses greater challenges to both the maintenance as well as production planners. The unscheduled arrival of the breakdown makes prediction of the expected availability in the system highly uncertain, making production planning and scheduling difficult.
Planned shutdowns and Major Overhaul: In planned shutdowns, substantive efforts are made to de-bottleneck the operation, improving the working condition by adding more capacity. This becomes more important in process industries as the production capacity of the entire plant is a function of the bottlenecks in the process. Moreover, in process industries, frequent stoppages of the system for maintenance may prove to be expensive. Therefore, planned shutdowns are made once in a year and major efforts are directed towards de-bottlenecking and maintenance.
Equipment Replacement: When the equipment reaches the end of its useful life, the failure rate begins to increase. Frequent break downs are quite large At some point, both preventive maintenance and breakdown maintenance may prove to be expensive. Equipment replacement may be a viable option at this stage. However, equipment replacement involves heavy capital outlay. Therefore, the cost of other methods of maintenance needs to be compared with the annualized cost of new equipment before a decision is taken.