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8th World Meeting on Pharmaceutics, Biopharmaceutics, and Pharmaceutical Technology

                       19th to 22nd March 2012, Istanbul, Turkey




      Pharmaceutical Quality by Design:
A Personal Review of Progress and Challenges

                            Ajaz S. Hussain, Ph.D.


                       Current Affiliation: Chief Scientific Officer

                   Philip Morris International R&D, Neuchatel, Switzerland




                                               3/19/2012   Ajaz S. Hussain, Ph.D.      1
Reflections, a decade ago at FDA




                3/19/2012   Ajaz S. Hussain, Ph.D.   2
Reflections, a decade ago at FDA
                        OVERALL CYCLE TIMES:
              QC TESTING TIMES ARE SIGNIFICANT
                               Overall Cycle Time Components

                   25

                   20


          TIME 1 5
         (D ays) 1 0                                                                 Pro ce s s Time s
                                                                                     QC Te stin g Time s
                    5

                    0
                         A       B      C       D        E         F
                             PR OC ESS CASE STUD Y

                                                                MIT PHARMACEUTICAL MANUFACTURING INITIATIVE (PHARMI)

•[PPT] Final Report on Process Analytical Technology and ... - FDA
•www.fda.gov/ohrms/dockets/ac/04/.../2004-4080s1_09_Hussain.ppt
•(Source: G. K. Raju, M.I.T. FDA Science Board Meeting, November 16, 2001).
                                                    3/19/2012    Ajaz S. Hussain, Ph.D.                                3
Reflections, a decade ago at FDA
                        Pharmaceutical Manufacturing:
                            Impact of Exceptions
                                 (Detailed Analysis of 2 Products)


                PERFORMANCE MEASURE                                                VALUE
         •   Average Cycle time                                                     95 days
         •   Std dev(Cycle time)                                                  > 100 days
         •   Exceptions increase cycle time by                                    > 50 %
         •   Exceptions increase variability by                                   > 100%
         •   Capacity Utilization of “System”                                      LOW


                NEED FOR FUNDAMENTAL TECHNOLOGY

                                                             MIT PHARMACEUTICAL MANUFACTURING INITIATIVE (PHARMI)


•[PPT] Final Report on Process Analytical Technology and ... - FDA
•www.fda.gov/ohrms/dockets/ac/04/.../2004-4080s1_09_Hussain.ppt
•(Source: G. K. Raju, M.I.T. FDA Science Board Meeting, November 16, 2001).
                                                      3/19/2012    Ajaz S. Hussain, Ph.D.                           4
Reflections, a decade ago at FDA
                      Pharma Manufacturing - Unmet Performance Expectations




                       Utilisation levels - 15% or less
                        (but low levels masked).
                       Scrap and rework - we plan for 5-10%
                        (accepted as necessary).
                       Time to effectiveness - takes years
                        (not challenged).
                       Costs of quality - in excess of 20%
                        (that's the way it is).

                                                      9



•[PPT] Final Report on Process Analytical Technology and ... - FDA
•www.fda.gov/ohrms/dockets/ac/04/.../2004-4080s1_09_Hussain.ppt
•(Source: FDA Science Board Meeting, November 16, 2001).
                                                  3/19/2012   Ajaz S. Hussain, Ph.D.   5
Shared vision for the 21st Century
       Product quality and performance are achieved and
       assured by design of effective and efficient
       manufacturing processes


       Product specifications are based on a mechanistic
       understanding of how formulation and process
       factors impact product performance


       Manufacturers are able to effect continuous
       improvement and continuous "real time"
       assurance of quality



                        3/19/2012   Ajaz S. Hussain, Ph.D.   6
Observing the current trends
                           Recent industry comments suggest an ongoing
                           struggle; for example, “QbD is in its infancy” or “not
                           focused on QbD”

                           State of QbD Implementation: Adoption, Success and
                           Challenges (McKinsey Report, 2011)

                           Negative perceptions - quality related recalls, warning
                           letters, consent decrees, drug shortages, etc.

                           How should we measure progress of this
                           initiative?


http://www.fda.gov/downloads/AdvisoryCommittees/CommitteesMeetingMaterials/Drugs/AdvisoryCommitteeforPharma
ceuticalScienceandClinicalPharmacology/UCM263468.pdf  3/19/2012 Ajaz S. Hussain, Ph.D.                      7
How should we measure progress
of this initiative?
      Number of guidance documents and the numerous
      conferences on the topic?

      Industry comments (‘QbD is in its infancy’) or
      regulatory plans for implementing QbD by 2013?

      Number of recalls, unresolved OOS investigations,
      warning letters and the resulting erosion of public trust?

      QbD has always been the foundation – are there
      gaps in the initiative that needs to be filled



                          3/19/2012   Ajaz S. Hussain, Ph.D.       8
Gaps that needs to be filled
Precise vocabulary & communication
• QbD is the foundation
• Objective is to make science visible


‘Initiatives’ and ‘on the ground’ quality
• Enhance efforts on effective root-cause investigations
• Risk management


Pragmatic approach to design-space
• Continual improvement
• Supporting innovation

                                  3/19/2012   Ajaz S. Hussain, Ph.D.   9
Precise vocabulary &
communication
      The phrase “quality cannot be tested into products,
      it has to be built in by design” describes the
      foundation for Process Validation in the
      pharmaceutical industry

      In early 2000 an additional focus was placed on this
      foundational element and the phrase ‘quality by
      design’ was used for emphasis


       The objective was to overcome ‘art’ vs. ‘science’
       debate and to ‘make science more visible’ and
       effectively utilized for risk-based decisions


                         3/19/2012   Ajaz S. Hussain, Ph.D.   10
Design: Art or science?
                              A decade ago, at FDA, we debated the utility of
                              pharmaceutical development information in regulatory
                              decisions; “art (practice) vs. science’
                              The natural sciences are concerned with how things
                              are...design on the other hand is concerned with how
                              things ought to be
                              Scientific design is based on scientific knowledge but
                              utilizes a mix of both intuitive and non-intuitive design
                              methods

                              Through the application of scientific knowledge in
                              practical tasks, design ‘makes science visible’


Cross, Nigel (2001). Designerly ways of knowing: design discipline versus design science. Design Issues, 17(3), pp. 49–
55.
                                                              3/19/2012 Ajaz S. Hussain, Ph.D.                          11
Make science visible
     Why? To provide assurance of quality, for demonstrating
     effective risk reduction, and justifying options for
     efficiency improvements

     How? Recognizing that ‘uncertainty = risk +
     opportunity’ and that regulators are open to science-
     based risk reduction and to create flexibility to facilitate
     efficiency improvements
     What? Science and practice of assuring effective
     quality risk management and efficiency
     improvement




                            3/19/2012   Ajaz S. Hussain, Ph.D.      12
Science and practice of
Quality risk reduction                     Efficiency improvement

• Risks such as in 483                     • Reducing development,
  observations & Warning                     production and regulatory
  letters, and multiple review               cycle times & costs
  cycles                                   • Timely implementation of
• Improving assurance of                     post-approval changes needed
  identity, purity, strength,                to improve the business
  potency                                    ‘bottom line’
• Justifying acceptable variability        • Reducing stress and
  of critical quality attributes             uncertainty associated with
• Capability for rapid root-cause            regulatory inspections
  investigations



                                      3/19/2012   Ajaz S. Hussain, Ph.D.    13
Initiative's and ‘on the ground
quality’
      Currently there are a large number of high profile
      ‘quality issues’ such as product recalls and warning
      letters that have attracted publics’ attention


      While at the same time several companies have
      significant initiatives related to QbD


      Is there not a need to balance efforts to also
      improve assurance of effective quality risk
      management for current products?



                           3/19/2012   Ajaz S. Hussain, Ph.D.   14
Enhance the focus on effective quality
risk management for current products

      Risks such as in 483 observations & warning letters, and
      multiple review cycles



      Justifying acceptable variability of critical quality attributes



      Capability for rapid and effective problem root-cause
      investigations



                               3/19/2012   Ajaz S. Hussain, Ph.D.        15
Capability for effective problem
root-cause investigations
                Root-cause investigations often conclude with ‘root
                cause unknown’

                How we set specifications can contribute to OOS
                simply because of inherent variability ( often ‘common
                cause variability)
                Discussions in Nov 2001 at the FDA Science Board
                highlithed a potential weakens in how we currently
                set specifications

                Resolution of OOS is often difficult, a reason for
                warning letter - escalating to a consent decree


OOS: Out of specification                    Ajaz S. Hussain, Ph.D.      16
                                 3/19/2012
Conflicts in risk management
                       Cognitive: Lack of agreement on causal links


                       Evaluative: Lack of agreement on trade-offs


                       Normative: Lack of agreement on values and fairness

                       Manifest depending on complexity, uncertainty and
                       ambiguity in the problem to be solved




Risk Analysis (2002)                         3/19/2012   Ajaz S. Hussain, Ph.D.
Risk management: Simple to
       ambiguous problems         Risk tradeoff
                                                                                                  analysis and
                                                                 Risk balancing                   deliberations
                                                                 necessary                        necessary
                                 Scientific risk-                • Risk assessment                • Risk assessment
                                 assessment                        necessary                        and balancing
                                 necessary                                                          necessary
  Routine operation                                              • Conflict:
                                                                   Cognitive and                  • Conflict:
  • Agency staff                 • Conflict:                                                        Cognitive,
                                   Cognitive                       Evaluative
  • Discourse:                                                                                      Evaluative,
                                 • Agency staff &                • Agency staff,                    Normative
    Internal                                                       external
                                   external experts                                               • Agency staff,
  • Simple                                                         experts,
                                 • Discourse:                                                       external
                                   Cognitive                       stakeholders
                                                                                                    experts,
                                 • Complex                       • Discourse:                       stakeholders,
                                                                   Reflective                       public
                                                                 • Uncertain                        representatives
                                                                                                  • Discourse:
Causal links identified &                               Low confidence in causal                    Participatory
       quantified                                                links                            • Ambiguous

                            Difficult to identify and                                Variable interpretation of
                             quantify causal links                                          identical data
 Risk Analysis (2002)
                                                           3/19/2012    Ajaz S. Hussain, Ph.D.                    18
Resolving conflicts for effective risk
management
        Cognitive conflict: Improving understanding and
        acceptance of causal links


        Evaluative conflict: Improving understanding of
        uncertainty inherent in the current approach and/or
        agreement on acceptable level of uncertainty

        Ideally done by ‘making science visible’ when in
        good compliance status; after a warning letter
        focus on options that minimize evaluative
        conflict


                          3/19/2012   Ajaz S. Hussain, Ph.D.   19
Making science visible during
       review phase
                            A decade ago, in the US, pharmaceutical development
                            information was not considered useful for CMC review

                            Currently ICH Q8 has been implemented in the NDA
                            review process and by 2013 will be implemented for
                            ANDAs
                            ICH Q8 introduced the concept of ‘design space’ to
                            facilitate continual improvement; an option to reduce
                            uncertainty and post-approval supplements

                             Pragmatic implementation of ICH Q8 (including
                             design space) is necessary


http://www.fda.gov/Drugs/DevelopmentApprovalProcess/HowDrugsareDevelopedandApproved/ApprovalApplications/Abbrevi
atedNewDrugApplicationANDAGenerics/ucm292533.htm?source=govdelivery
                                                         3/19/2012 Ajaz S. Hussain, Ph.D.                       20
Pragmatic implementation of
ICHQ8
       Objective: scientific understanding to identify
       critical to quality attributes, variability in these
       attributes; to set controls and specifications

       Specific information to improve decisions (e.g., risk-
       based)

       Design space development – a focus on anticipated
       or planned efficiency improvements in the post
       approval phase can be a useful guide
       Scientific design is based on scientific
       knowledge but utilizes a mix of both intuitive
       and non-intuitive design methods


                          3/19/2012   Ajaz S. Hussain, Ph.D.    21
Regulatory submissions: Pharmaceutics
     & Pharmaceutical Technology
                         Design thinking (often implicit)

                         Reasoning about uncertainty (blind spot?)


                         Making estimates (implicit)

                         Need to explicitly state the underlying theories
                         and generate testable predictions


http://www.unusualleading.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/12/HBR-on-Design-Thinking.pdf

                                                         3/19/2012   Ajaz S. Hussain, Ph.D.   22
What is scientific and what is not?
           The U.S. Supreme Court: An Evolved Theory of Science (2000)


                                             The theoretical underpinnings of the methods
                    Francis Bacon’s
                   Scientific Method         must yield testable predictions by means of
                                             which the theory could be falsified
                     Karl Popper’s
                  Falsification Theory

                    Thomas Kuhn’s
                    Paradigm Shifts
                                             There should be a known rate of error that
                                             can be used in evaluating the results.


                                             The methods should preferably be published
                                             in a peer-reviewed journal.


                                             The methods should be generally accepted
                                             within the relevant scientific community

http://www.fjc.gov/public/pdf.nsf/lookup/sciman00.pdf/$file/sciman00.pdf

                                                             3/19/2012     Ajaz S. Hussain, Ph.D.   23
Quality: Testable predictions?
(illustrative)
     For the selected formulation, plus established raw-material
     acceptance criteria and control of process equipment, variability in
     content uniformity is expected to be within X% regardless of
     manufacturing site (e.g., Chicago vs. Louisiana)

     Change in the supplier of excipients, using the established
     acceptance criteria, is expected to have an insignificant impact on
     shelf-life.

     The established SOP and training procedures will result in X%
     deviations in first 1Q 2012 and the rate of deviations will reduce to
     Y% by end of 4Q 2012.




                               3/19/2012   Ajaz S. Hussain, Ph.D.           24
Pharmacokinetic/
pharmacodynamics modeling

                               • Utilizes theories and methods from
                                 physics, mathematics and engineering
                               • Examples
                                 • Transform theory from mathematics
Pharmacometics                   • Transport phenomena from
 (a multidisciplinary field)       engineering and physics
                                 • Linear systems analysis from
                                   engineering systems theory
                                 • Control theory from electrical
                                   engineering




                                     3/19/2012   Ajaz S. Hussain, Ph.D.   25
Impact of Pharmacometrics on
     drug approval decisions
                                Pharmacometric analyses are an increasingly
                                important component NDA and BLA submissions to
                                the US FDA (End of Phase II Meetings)


                                During 2000–2008 the number of reviews with an
                                impact on approval and labeling increased
                                significantly


                                Selection of pediatric dosing regimens, approval of
                                regimens that had not been directly studied in
                                clinical trials and provision of evidence of
                                effectiveness to support a single pivotal trial.


Clinical Pharmacokinetics (October 2011)
                                                 3/19/2012   Ajaz S. Hussain, Ph.D.   26
Concluding remarks
     A decade ago, at FDA, we debated the utility of
     pharmaceutical development information in regulatory
     decisions; “art (practice) vs. science’

     Through the application of scientific knowledge in
     practical tasks, design ‘makes science visible’’

     A pragmatic approach based on explicit description of
     ‘theory’ underpinning assurance of product quality is
     essential

     “Without theory, there is no learning.”
                                    - William E Deming


                        3/19/2012   Ajaz S. Hussain, Ph.D.   27

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Pharmaceutical Quality by Design: Review of Progress and Challenges

  • 1. 8th World Meeting on Pharmaceutics, Biopharmaceutics, and Pharmaceutical Technology 19th to 22nd March 2012, Istanbul, Turkey Pharmaceutical Quality by Design: A Personal Review of Progress and Challenges Ajaz S. Hussain, Ph.D. Current Affiliation: Chief Scientific Officer Philip Morris International R&D, Neuchatel, Switzerland 3/19/2012 Ajaz S. Hussain, Ph.D. 1
  • 2. Reflections, a decade ago at FDA 3/19/2012 Ajaz S. Hussain, Ph.D. 2
  • 3. Reflections, a decade ago at FDA OVERALL CYCLE TIMES: QC TESTING TIMES ARE SIGNIFICANT Overall Cycle Time Components 25 20 TIME 1 5 (D ays) 1 0 Pro ce s s Time s QC Te stin g Time s 5 0 A B C D E F PR OC ESS CASE STUD Y MIT PHARMACEUTICAL MANUFACTURING INITIATIVE (PHARMI) •[PPT] Final Report on Process Analytical Technology and ... - FDA •www.fda.gov/ohrms/dockets/ac/04/.../2004-4080s1_09_Hussain.ppt •(Source: G. K. Raju, M.I.T. FDA Science Board Meeting, November 16, 2001). 3/19/2012 Ajaz S. Hussain, Ph.D. 3
  • 4. Reflections, a decade ago at FDA Pharmaceutical Manufacturing: Impact of Exceptions (Detailed Analysis of 2 Products) PERFORMANCE MEASURE VALUE • Average Cycle time 95 days • Std dev(Cycle time) > 100 days • Exceptions increase cycle time by > 50 % • Exceptions increase variability by > 100% • Capacity Utilization of “System” LOW NEED FOR FUNDAMENTAL TECHNOLOGY MIT PHARMACEUTICAL MANUFACTURING INITIATIVE (PHARMI) •[PPT] Final Report on Process Analytical Technology and ... - FDA •www.fda.gov/ohrms/dockets/ac/04/.../2004-4080s1_09_Hussain.ppt •(Source: G. K. Raju, M.I.T. FDA Science Board Meeting, November 16, 2001). 3/19/2012 Ajaz S. Hussain, Ph.D. 4
  • 5. Reflections, a decade ago at FDA Pharma Manufacturing - Unmet Performance Expectations  Utilisation levels - 15% or less (but low levels masked).  Scrap and rework - we plan for 5-10% (accepted as necessary).  Time to effectiveness - takes years (not challenged).  Costs of quality - in excess of 20% (that's the way it is). 9 •[PPT] Final Report on Process Analytical Technology and ... - FDA •www.fda.gov/ohrms/dockets/ac/04/.../2004-4080s1_09_Hussain.ppt •(Source: FDA Science Board Meeting, November 16, 2001). 3/19/2012 Ajaz S. Hussain, Ph.D. 5
  • 6. Shared vision for the 21st Century Product quality and performance are achieved and assured by design of effective and efficient manufacturing processes Product specifications are based on a mechanistic understanding of how formulation and process factors impact product performance Manufacturers are able to effect continuous improvement and continuous "real time" assurance of quality 3/19/2012 Ajaz S. Hussain, Ph.D. 6
  • 7. Observing the current trends Recent industry comments suggest an ongoing struggle; for example, “QbD is in its infancy” or “not focused on QbD” State of QbD Implementation: Adoption, Success and Challenges (McKinsey Report, 2011) Negative perceptions - quality related recalls, warning letters, consent decrees, drug shortages, etc. How should we measure progress of this initiative? http://www.fda.gov/downloads/AdvisoryCommittees/CommitteesMeetingMaterials/Drugs/AdvisoryCommitteeforPharma ceuticalScienceandClinicalPharmacology/UCM263468.pdf 3/19/2012 Ajaz S. Hussain, Ph.D. 7
  • 8. How should we measure progress of this initiative? Number of guidance documents and the numerous conferences on the topic? Industry comments (‘QbD is in its infancy’) or regulatory plans for implementing QbD by 2013? Number of recalls, unresolved OOS investigations, warning letters and the resulting erosion of public trust? QbD has always been the foundation – are there gaps in the initiative that needs to be filled 3/19/2012 Ajaz S. Hussain, Ph.D. 8
  • 9. Gaps that needs to be filled Precise vocabulary & communication • QbD is the foundation • Objective is to make science visible ‘Initiatives’ and ‘on the ground’ quality • Enhance efforts on effective root-cause investigations • Risk management Pragmatic approach to design-space • Continual improvement • Supporting innovation 3/19/2012 Ajaz S. Hussain, Ph.D. 9
  • 10. Precise vocabulary & communication The phrase “quality cannot be tested into products, it has to be built in by design” describes the foundation for Process Validation in the pharmaceutical industry In early 2000 an additional focus was placed on this foundational element and the phrase ‘quality by design’ was used for emphasis The objective was to overcome ‘art’ vs. ‘science’ debate and to ‘make science more visible’ and effectively utilized for risk-based decisions 3/19/2012 Ajaz S. Hussain, Ph.D. 10
  • 11. Design: Art or science? A decade ago, at FDA, we debated the utility of pharmaceutical development information in regulatory decisions; “art (practice) vs. science’ The natural sciences are concerned with how things are...design on the other hand is concerned with how things ought to be Scientific design is based on scientific knowledge but utilizes a mix of both intuitive and non-intuitive design methods Through the application of scientific knowledge in practical tasks, design ‘makes science visible’ Cross, Nigel (2001). Designerly ways of knowing: design discipline versus design science. Design Issues, 17(3), pp. 49– 55. 3/19/2012 Ajaz S. Hussain, Ph.D. 11
  • 12. Make science visible Why? To provide assurance of quality, for demonstrating effective risk reduction, and justifying options for efficiency improvements How? Recognizing that ‘uncertainty = risk + opportunity’ and that regulators are open to science- based risk reduction and to create flexibility to facilitate efficiency improvements What? Science and practice of assuring effective quality risk management and efficiency improvement 3/19/2012 Ajaz S. Hussain, Ph.D. 12
  • 13. Science and practice of Quality risk reduction Efficiency improvement • Risks such as in 483 • Reducing development, observations & Warning production and regulatory letters, and multiple review cycle times & costs cycles • Timely implementation of • Improving assurance of post-approval changes needed identity, purity, strength, to improve the business potency ‘bottom line’ • Justifying acceptable variability • Reducing stress and of critical quality attributes uncertainty associated with • Capability for rapid root-cause regulatory inspections investigations 3/19/2012 Ajaz S. Hussain, Ph.D. 13
  • 14. Initiative's and ‘on the ground quality’ Currently there are a large number of high profile ‘quality issues’ such as product recalls and warning letters that have attracted publics’ attention While at the same time several companies have significant initiatives related to QbD Is there not a need to balance efforts to also improve assurance of effective quality risk management for current products? 3/19/2012 Ajaz S. Hussain, Ph.D. 14
  • 15. Enhance the focus on effective quality risk management for current products Risks such as in 483 observations & warning letters, and multiple review cycles Justifying acceptable variability of critical quality attributes Capability for rapid and effective problem root-cause investigations 3/19/2012 Ajaz S. Hussain, Ph.D. 15
  • 16. Capability for effective problem root-cause investigations Root-cause investigations often conclude with ‘root cause unknown’ How we set specifications can contribute to OOS simply because of inherent variability ( often ‘common cause variability) Discussions in Nov 2001 at the FDA Science Board highlithed a potential weakens in how we currently set specifications Resolution of OOS is often difficult, a reason for warning letter - escalating to a consent decree OOS: Out of specification Ajaz S. Hussain, Ph.D. 16 3/19/2012
  • 17. Conflicts in risk management Cognitive: Lack of agreement on causal links Evaluative: Lack of agreement on trade-offs Normative: Lack of agreement on values and fairness Manifest depending on complexity, uncertainty and ambiguity in the problem to be solved Risk Analysis (2002) 3/19/2012 Ajaz S. Hussain, Ph.D.
  • 18. Risk management: Simple to ambiguous problems Risk tradeoff analysis and Risk balancing deliberations necessary necessary Scientific risk- • Risk assessment • Risk assessment assessment necessary and balancing necessary necessary Routine operation • Conflict: Cognitive and • Conflict: • Agency staff • Conflict: Cognitive, Cognitive Evaluative • Discourse: Evaluative, • Agency staff & • Agency staff, Normative Internal external external experts • Agency staff, • Simple experts, • Discourse: external Cognitive stakeholders experts, • Complex • Discourse: stakeholders, Reflective public • Uncertain representatives • Discourse: Causal links identified & Low confidence in causal Participatory quantified links • Ambiguous Difficult to identify and Variable interpretation of quantify causal links identical data Risk Analysis (2002) 3/19/2012 Ajaz S. Hussain, Ph.D. 18
  • 19. Resolving conflicts for effective risk management Cognitive conflict: Improving understanding and acceptance of causal links Evaluative conflict: Improving understanding of uncertainty inherent in the current approach and/or agreement on acceptable level of uncertainty Ideally done by ‘making science visible’ when in good compliance status; after a warning letter focus on options that minimize evaluative conflict 3/19/2012 Ajaz S. Hussain, Ph.D. 19
  • 20. Making science visible during review phase A decade ago, in the US, pharmaceutical development information was not considered useful for CMC review Currently ICH Q8 has been implemented in the NDA review process and by 2013 will be implemented for ANDAs ICH Q8 introduced the concept of ‘design space’ to facilitate continual improvement; an option to reduce uncertainty and post-approval supplements Pragmatic implementation of ICH Q8 (including design space) is necessary http://www.fda.gov/Drugs/DevelopmentApprovalProcess/HowDrugsareDevelopedandApproved/ApprovalApplications/Abbrevi atedNewDrugApplicationANDAGenerics/ucm292533.htm?source=govdelivery 3/19/2012 Ajaz S. Hussain, Ph.D. 20
  • 21. Pragmatic implementation of ICHQ8 Objective: scientific understanding to identify critical to quality attributes, variability in these attributes; to set controls and specifications Specific information to improve decisions (e.g., risk- based) Design space development – a focus on anticipated or planned efficiency improvements in the post approval phase can be a useful guide Scientific design is based on scientific knowledge but utilizes a mix of both intuitive and non-intuitive design methods 3/19/2012 Ajaz S. Hussain, Ph.D. 21
  • 22. Regulatory submissions: Pharmaceutics & Pharmaceutical Technology Design thinking (often implicit) Reasoning about uncertainty (blind spot?) Making estimates (implicit) Need to explicitly state the underlying theories and generate testable predictions http://www.unusualleading.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/12/HBR-on-Design-Thinking.pdf 3/19/2012 Ajaz S. Hussain, Ph.D. 22
  • 23. What is scientific and what is not? The U.S. Supreme Court: An Evolved Theory of Science (2000) The theoretical underpinnings of the methods Francis Bacon’s Scientific Method must yield testable predictions by means of which the theory could be falsified Karl Popper’s Falsification Theory Thomas Kuhn’s Paradigm Shifts There should be a known rate of error that can be used in evaluating the results. The methods should preferably be published in a peer-reviewed journal. The methods should be generally accepted within the relevant scientific community http://www.fjc.gov/public/pdf.nsf/lookup/sciman00.pdf/$file/sciman00.pdf 3/19/2012 Ajaz S. Hussain, Ph.D. 23
  • 24. Quality: Testable predictions? (illustrative) For the selected formulation, plus established raw-material acceptance criteria and control of process equipment, variability in content uniformity is expected to be within X% regardless of manufacturing site (e.g., Chicago vs. Louisiana) Change in the supplier of excipients, using the established acceptance criteria, is expected to have an insignificant impact on shelf-life. The established SOP and training procedures will result in X% deviations in first 1Q 2012 and the rate of deviations will reduce to Y% by end of 4Q 2012. 3/19/2012 Ajaz S. Hussain, Ph.D. 24
  • 25. Pharmacokinetic/ pharmacodynamics modeling • Utilizes theories and methods from physics, mathematics and engineering • Examples • Transform theory from mathematics Pharmacometics • Transport phenomena from (a multidisciplinary field) engineering and physics • Linear systems analysis from engineering systems theory • Control theory from electrical engineering 3/19/2012 Ajaz S. Hussain, Ph.D. 25
  • 26. Impact of Pharmacometrics on drug approval decisions Pharmacometric analyses are an increasingly important component NDA and BLA submissions to the US FDA (End of Phase II Meetings) During 2000–2008 the number of reviews with an impact on approval and labeling increased significantly Selection of pediatric dosing regimens, approval of regimens that had not been directly studied in clinical trials and provision of evidence of effectiveness to support a single pivotal trial. Clinical Pharmacokinetics (October 2011) 3/19/2012 Ajaz S. Hussain, Ph.D. 26
  • 27. Concluding remarks A decade ago, at FDA, we debated the utility of pharmaceutical development information in regulatory decisions; “art (practice) vs. science’ Through the application of scientific knowledge in practical tasks, design ‘makes science visible’’ A pragmatic approach based on explicit description of ‘theory’ underpinning assurance of product quality is essential “Without theory, there is no learning.” - William E Deming 3/19/2012 Ajaz S. Hussain, Ph.D. 27