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CVA and Risk:
World Vision
Experience in Somalia
Global Commitments –WVI
WVI will seek to deliver 50% of its humanitarian
aid through a multi-sectoral and multi-purpose
cash first approach by 2020, where context is
appropriate, such as in urban settings.
2019 achievements –WV Somalia
✓ 67% of the assistance was given through Cash
and Voucher compared to 33% assistance given
through food (in kind)
✓ $24.5 M value of C&V distributed to over
280,000 people
3
Enterprise Risk Management (ERM)
World Vision has adopted ERM
Enterprise Risk Management as a discipline is
designed to be a high-level “umbrella” to unify
all specialized forms of Risk Management (
Project, IT, Financial, insurance, security,
strategic)
4
Enterprise Risk Management Process
Establish the Context
Risk Identification
Risk Analysis
Risk Evaluation
Risk Treatment
Communication
And
Consultation
Monitoring
And
Review
1. Establishing the Context
Internal context
• The social, cultural, political, natural environment
• E.g. PESTLE Analysis, Fraud/Corruption Index
• Community interviews, FGD, KIIs
• Internal Audits, Peer Reviews, security risk assessme
Child Protection risk assessments
• WVI ERM Policy
• WVI RM Framework
• Local / Industry Requirements
• Risk Appetite
• Risk Tolerance
• Risk Capacity
Defining risk criteria
External context
Context of the RM process
6
• There are two main sources for risk identification:
• Forward looking: what possibly could happen?
• Historic: what has already happened?
Scope of Risk Assessment
Context and culture
Programming
Finance
Contractual
Responsiveness/ readiness
2. Risk Identification
7
 Project implementation is disrupted by insecurity
that makes it difficult to move and disrupts markets
 Breach of fraud protection policies and standards
by staff, contractors and partners engaging in
fraudulent and corruption activities
 Less assistance to the registered beneficiaries
due to pipeline breaks or due to technical
challenges resulting in beneficiaries not receiving
their stipulated rations.
 Terrorism financing
 Protection issues
 Taxation of beneficiaries
Examples of Risks in WV Somaia
8
Purpose:
• Risk Analysis is the process by which we comprehend the
nature of risk and to determine the level of risk. Another
way to say this is risk is a combination of:
• The Impact of an event if it were to occur and
• The Likelihood of that event occurring at that magnitude
3. Risk Analysis
9
Purpose:
To determine if a risk is acceptable or unacceptable
Assists in making decisions, which areas are in need of the
most attention?
Identify Key Controls, and assign the cumulative set of
Controls a “Control Effectiveness Rating.”
4. Risk Evaluation
10
Guideline for Impact Rating: Sample impact ratings across different dimensions. (A risk can have an impact on
multiple dimensions, use these as a guideline to select one overall impact rating.)
Rate Impact Operational People Financial Reputation
5 Critical
Extreme impact on
operations and ability to
achieve ministry objectives
on a longterm basis.
Recovery may not be
possible.
Multiple fatalities or
permanent total
disabilities from an
accident or occupational
illness.
Direct loss >
$3 million
Partnership-wide
international impact:
International public &
media attention
4 Severe
Major impact on operations
and ability to achieve
ministry objectives and
outcomes on a medium
term basis. Difficult
recovery.
Single fatality or
permanent total
disability from an
accident or occupational
illness
Direct loss
$250k - 3
million
Regional impact:
Negative regional
public and media
attention
3 Moderate
Moderate impact on
operation ability to achieve
ministry objectives. Medium
duration, and ability to
recover.
Major injury or health
effects (absences,
irreversible health
damage chronic
condition)
Direct loss of
$25k - 250k
National impact:
Considerable negative
public and media
attention
2 Minor
Minor impact on operations
and ability to achieve
outcomes. Short duration,
no long term impact.
Recovery possible.
Minor injuries or health
effects (restricted work
case or lost time).
Limited reversible health
effects.
Direct loss of
$5k - $25k
Localized impact:
Some local public
attention, some local
media attention
Minimal impact to
operations and ability to Slight injury or health
Slight impact: Public
Risk Evaluation: Impact
11
Guideline for Likelihood Rating: The potential for problems to occur at The
impact level identified.
Rating Likelihood
5 Certain Happens often
Could occur within days to
weeks
4 Very Likely Could easily happen
Could occur within weeks to
months
3 Likely
Could happen, has
happened before
Could occur within a year or
so
2
Moderately
Likely
Has not happened, but
could
Could occur after several
years
1 Unlikely
Conceivable but only in
extreme circumstances.
A 100-year event
Risk Evaluation: Likelihood
12
Control Effectiveness Rating Scales
Rating Guidelines
Fully Effective
Requires no further action beyond monitoring current controls in
place. Controls are well designed for the risk and address the root
causes. Management believes they are effective and reliable at
all times.
Substantially
Effective
Most controls are designed correctly, are in place, and are
effective. Some more work could be done to improve operating
effectiveness. -OR- Management has doubts about operational
effectiveness and reliability.
Partially Effective
While the design of controls may be largely correct in that they
treat most of the root causes of the risk, they are not currently
very effective - OR- Some of the controls do not seem correctly
designed in that they do not treat root causes; those that are
correctly designed are operating effectively.
Largely Ineffective
Significant control gaps exist. Either controls do not treat root
causes or they do not operate effectively.
Totally Ineffective
Virtually no credible controls exist. Management has no
confidence that any degree of control is being achieved due to
poor control design and/or very limited operational effectiveness.
Risk Evaluation: Control
Effectiveness
13
• World Vision conduct block party screening (BPS) on all transactions
where funds are spent
• Airlifting or use of contracted transporters to deliver the supplies/
equipment in areas with accessibility challenges
• WV conduct annual partner capacity assessment and carry out capacity
development alongside regular review of partner project and financial
documents. These partners cover the areas where WV cannot implement
directly
• Policy enforcement to zero fraud, regular documents review
• Third party Monitors engaged to support in hard to reach/ Insecure areas
• Back ground checks on all and potential employees and vendors/ partners
• Humanitarian Accountability Partnership (HAP) /Complaint Response
Mechanism training for WV/communities to help community give their
feedback/complaints
• Continuous community sensitization
• Aging analysis of invoices, follow up of long outstanding invoices
• Market assessments on prices and availability of goods in the markets
• Post Distribution monitoring
Examples of controls in Somalia
14
Purpose:
• This is where Risk Management turns into action, and ultimately creates
value to the organization.
Examples of Risk treatment
• Regular engagement with WV regional ofiice and support
offices on the changing context
• Quarterly partnership meetings with donors to review the
projects progress
• Staff and partners training on quality registration
The results of the risk assessments, including controls and
treatment plans, are recorded in a risk register.
5. Risk Treatment
15
Risk Category Risk Title Description of Risk Inherent Risk Rating Controls Control
Effectiveness
Net Risk Rating Risk Owner Risk
Treat
ment
(Select One Category under
Tab 2)
(Select one Title under the category
chosen on Tab 2)
Describe the Risk following this model: "Something
happens…impactingsomething…causedby something."
Impact:
1 =
Negligible
2 = Minor
3 =
Moderate
4 =
Significant
5 = Critical
Likelihood:
1 = Unlikely
2 =
Moderately
Likely
3 = Likely
4 = Very
Likely
5 = Certain
Risk Rating
(Impact x
Likelihood)
See Tab 3
List all systems,processes, and controls in place to prevent
this risk from occurring or reducing it's impact.
Rate the total effectiveness
of all controls for each risk
(see Tab 4)
Impact:
1 =
Negligible
2 = Minor
3 =
Moderate
4 =
Significant
5 = Critical
Likelihood:
1 = Unlikely
2 =
Moderately
Likely
3 = Likely
4 = Very
Likely
5 = Certain
Risk Rating
(Impact x
Likelihood)
See Tab 3
(Person responsible
for Risk item)
List Ref#
of the
applicable
Risk
Treatment
Conclusion
s from Tab
5 that
apply to
each Risk.
LEGAL,
REGULATORY &
COMPLIANCE
Non-compliance with
external / country
laws and regulations
WV Xanadu gains registration status
but due to various restrictive
government requirements on
registration, WV Xanadu faces
challenges in maintaining its current
mode of operation in Xanadu, leading
to unsustainable WV programming at
ADP level.
4 4 16 1. Change in Operating models from
direct management of ADP to working
through local partners within WV
Development Programming Approach
(DPA) contextualized to Xanadu
context in line with local legislation.
3. Partially
Effective
4 3 12 SLT,
including
ND Jose
Garcia and
Ops
Director
Julia Brown
#1
HUMAN
RESOURCES
Insufficient
recruitment,
retention, and
succession of key roles
Due to unattractive remuneration
when compared with technical
qualifications required and limited
recruitment efforts, staff recruitment
does not reaching the manpower
plan, leading to many departments
unable to achieve their operations as
planned.
5 4 20 1. Engage Universities and churches
for recruitment
2. Engage with other NGOs to find
suitable candidates
3. Internal recruitment
3. Partially
Effective
3 4 12 P&C
Director,
John Smith;
P&C
Manager
Maria
Juarez; and
Payroll
Department
Manager,
Grace
Okeke
#2
FINANCE Financial losses due to
fraud and corruption
(refer to fraud and corruption)
Due to the structure at the project-
level and non-segregation of roles and
responsibilities between accountant
and finance officers, there is a risk of
fraudulent behavior of our staff,
which has a negative impact to our
organization, including reputational
damage and loss of trust and
reduction of donation in addition to
untrustworthy staff and declining
office morale.
4 4 16 1. Corruption reporting channels are
in place
2. Project disbursement needs to be
reviewed and approved by IPM
3. Bookkeeper randomly reviews
accounting and financial activities
4. Regular Internal audits
5. Financial and resource reports to
the board
6. Board Stewardship Committee
meet quarterly
3. Partially
Effective
3 3 9 Finance and
Accounting
Manager,
David Jones
#3
Sample of a Risk Register
16
• Risks are always changing, either through Risk treatment activities or
through changing environments, and therefore this step is essential to
good risk management.
• The risk management committee update the risk register regularly
(Quarterly), and agree on which of the risks should be reported to
Snr. Management and/or the Board.
• Identify and prioritize new risks and take into account the changing
context.
6. Monitor and Review
17
Purpose:
• Helps to establish the context appropriately
• Takes place during all stages of the risk management
process
• Stakeholders interests understood & considered
• Risks from all areas of the organization are identified
• Bring expertise together for risk analysis
• Ensure different views are considered when defining risk
criteria and in evaluating risks
• Secure support for risk treatment plans
• Utilize process for team & capacity building
7. Communication and Consultation
18
In Practice:
• Consult with Senior management to secure support for the
ERM program
• Engage management from all major operational areas, on
the Risk Committee to ensure their input and risks are
captured in the process
• Listen to your stakeholders, and adapt your program as
necessary to be relevant to your office context! RM is not
useful if we don’t have engagement and partnership.
Communication and Consultation, cont.
19
Conclusion - Key Elements
People:
• Risk Primes – One in every office (national,
Regional, Global)
• Management – Risk Owners/”Clients”
• Board Members – Holds Management responsible
for managing risk in line with policy.
Committees:
• The Risk Committee – Oversees the process of Risk
Management. Ensures it’s success, acts on behalf of
management.
Processes:
• The Risk Assessment
• Risk Reporting
• Risk Escalation 20
Key Elements (Cont)
Tools:
• Risk Templates ( Register, Rating Scales, Matrix,
Risk Treatment worksheet, etc..)
• Risk Software (Riskonnect)
• Risk Reporting Templates
• Risk Committee Charters
• The Risk Framework
• WVI ERM Policy
• Risk Appetite/Tolerance/Criteria
21
Recommendation on Risk Management
• Have a risk framework
• Have tools for use for in risk management
• Regular monitoring
• Continuous consultation with community and other
stakeholders
• Escalation mechanism from the field office to the
global level
• Have resources for personnel
22
Questions?

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world_vision-cva_-_risk_presentation.pptx

  • 1. CVA and Risk: World Vision Experience in Somalia
  • 2. Global Commitments –WVI WVI will seek to deliver 50% of its humanitarian aid through a multi-sectoral and multi-purpose cash first approach by 2020, where context is appropriate, such as in urban settings. 2019 achievements –WV Somalia ✓ 67% of the assistance was given through Cash and Voucher compared to 33% assistance given through food (in kind) ✓ $24.5 M value of C&V distributed to over 280,000 people
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  • 4. Enterprise Risk Management (ERM) World Vision has adopted ERM Enterprise Risk Management as a discipline is designed to be a high-level “umbrella” to unify all specialized forms of Risk Management ( Project, IT, Financial, insurance, security, strategic) 4
  • 5. Enterprise Risk Management Process Establish the Context Risk Identification Risk Analysis Risk Evaluation Risk Treatment Communication And Consultation Monitoring And Review
  • 6. 1. Establishing the Context Internal context • The social, cultural, political, natural environment • E.g. PESTLE Analysis, Fraud/Corruption Index • Community interviews, FGD, KIIs • Internal Audits, Peer Reviews, security risk assessme Child Protection risk assessments • WVI ERM Policy • WVI RM Framework • Local / Industry Requirements • Risk Appetite • Risk Tolerance • Risk Capacity Defining risk criteria External context Context of the RM process 6
  • 7. • There are two main sources for risk identification: • Forward looking: what possibly could happen? • Historic: what has already happened? Scope of Risk Assessment Context and culture Programming Finance Contractual Responsiveness/ readiness 2. Risk Identification 7
  • 8.  Project implementation is disrupted by insecurity that makes it difficult to move and disrupts markets  Breach of fraud protection policies and standards by staff, contractors and partners engaging in fraudulent and corruption activities  Less assistance to the registered beneficiaries due to pipeline breaks or due to technical challenges resulting in beneficiaries not receiving their stipulated rations.  Terrorism financing  Protection issues  Taxation of beneficiaries Examples of Risks in WV Somaia 8
  • 9. Purpose: • Risk Analysis is the process by which we comprehend the nature of risk and to determine the level of risk. Another way to say this is risk is a combination of: • The Impact of an event if it were to occur and • The Likelihood of that event occurring at that magnitude 3. Risk Analysis 9
  • 10. Purpose: To determine if a risk is acceptable or unacceptable Assists in making decisions, which areas are in need of the most attention? Identify Key Controls, and assign the cumulative set of Controls a “Control Effectiveness Rating.” 4. Risk Evaluation 10
  • 11. Guideline for Impact Rating: Sample impact ratings across different dimensions. (A risk can have an impact on multiple dimensions, use these as a guideline to select one overall impact rating.) Rate Impact Operational People Financial Reputation 5 Critical Extreme impact on operations and ability to achieve ministry objectives on a longterm basis. Recovery may not be possible. Multiple fatalities or permanent total disabilities from an accident or occupational illness. Direct loss > $3 million Partnership-wide international impact: International public & media attention 4 Severe Major impact on operations and ability to achieve ministry objectives and outcomes on a medium term basis. Difficult recovery. Single fatality or permanent total disability from an accident or occupational illness Direct loss $250k - 3 million Regional impact: Negative regional public and media attention 3 Moderate Moderate impact on operation ability to achieve ministry objectives. Medium duration, and ability to recover. Major injury or health effects (absences, irreversible health damage chronic condition) Direct loss of $25k - 250k National impact: Considerable negative public and media attention 2 Minor Minor impact on operations and ability to achieve outcomes. Short duration, no long term impact. Recovery possible. Minor injuries or health effects (restricted work case or lost time). Limited reversible health effects. Direct loss of $5k - $25k Localized impact: Some local public attention, some local media attention Minimal impact to operations and ability to Slight injury or health Slight impact: Public Risk Evaluation: Impact 11
  • 12. Guideline for Likelihood Rating: The potential for problems to occur at The impact level identified. Rating Likelihood 5 Certain Happens often Could occur within days to weeks 4 Very Likely Could easily happen Could occur within weeks to months 3 Likely Could happen, has happened before Could occur within a year or so 2 Moderately Likely Has not happened, but could Could occur after several years 1 Unlikely Conceivable but only in extreme circumstances. A 100-year event Risk Evaluation: Likelihood 12
  • 13. Control Effectiveness Rating Scales Rating Guidelines Fully Effective Requires no further action beyond monitoring current controls in place. Controls are well designed for the risk and address the root causes. Management believes they are effective and reliable at all times. Substantially Effective Most controls are designed correctly, are in place, and are effective. Some more work could be done to improve operating effectiveness. -OR- Management has doubts about operational effectiveness and reliability. Partially Effective While the design of controls may be largely correct in that they treat most of the root causes of the risk, they are not currently very effective - OR- Some of the controls do not seem correctly designed in that they do not treat root causes; those that are correctly designed are operating effectively. Largely Ineffective Significant control gaps exist. Either controls do not treat root causes or they do not operate effectively. Totally Ineffective Virtually no credible controls exist. Management has no confidence that any degree of control is being achieved due to poor control design and/or very limited operational effectiveness. Risk Evaluation: Control Effectiveness 13
  • 14. • World Vision conduct block party screening (BPS) on all transactions where funds are spent • Airlifting or use of contracted transporters to deliver the supplies/ equipment in areas with accessibility challenges • WV conduct annual partner capacity assessment and carry out capacity development alongside regular review of partner project and financial documents. These partners cover the areas where WV cannot implement directly • Policy enforcement to zero fraud, regular documents review • Third party Monitors engaged to support in hard to reach/ Insecure areas • Back ground checks on all and potential employees and vendors/ partners • Humanitarian Accountability Partnership (HAP) /Complaint Response Mechanism training for WV/communities to help community give their feedback/complaints • Continuous community sensitization • Aging analysis of invoices, follow up of long outstanding invoices • Market assessments on prices and availability of goods in the markets • Post Distribution monitoring Examples of controls in Somalia 14
  • 15. Purpose: • This is where Risk Management turns into action, and ultimately creates value to the organization. Examples of Risk treatment • Regular engagement with WV regional ofiice and support offices on the changing context • Quarterly partnership meetings with donors to review the projects progress • Staff and partners training on quality registration The results of the risk assessments, including controls and treatment plans, are recorded in a risk register. 5. Risk Treatment 15
  • 16. Risk Category Risk Title Description of Risk Inherent Risk Rating Controls Control Effectiveness Net Risk Rating Risk Owner Risk Treat ment (Select One Category under Tab 2) (Select one Title under the category chosen on Tab 2) Describe the Risk following this model: "Something happens…impactingsomething…causedby something." Impact: 1 = Negligible 2 = Minor 3 = Moderate 4 = Significant 5 = Critical Likelihood: 1 = Unlikely 2 = Moderately Likely 3 = Likely 4 = Very Likely 5 = Certain Risk Rating (Impact x Likelihood) See Tab 3 List all systems,processes, and controls in place to prevent this risk from occurring or reducing it's impact. Rate the total effectiveness of all controls for each risk (see Tab 4) Impact: 1 = Negligible 2 = Minor 3 = Moderate 4 = Significant 5 = Critical Likelihood: 1 = Unlikely 2 = Moderately Likely 3 = Likely 4 = Very Likely 5 = Certain Risk Rating (Impact x Likelihood) See Tab 3 (Person responsible for Risk item) List Ref# of the applicable Risk Treatment Conclusion s from Tab 5 that apply to each Risk. LEGAL, REGULATORY & COMPLIANCE Non-compliance with external / country laws and regulations WV Xanadu gains registration status but due to various restrictive government requirements on registration, WV Xanadu faces challenges in maintaining its current mode of operation in Xanadu, leading to unsustainable WV programming at ADP level. 4 4 16 1. Change in Operating models from direct management of ADP to working through local partners within WV Development Programming Approach (DPA) contextualized to Xanadu context in line with local legislation. 3. Partially Effective 4 3 12 SLT, including ND Jose Garcia and Ops Director Julia Brown #1 HUMAN RESOURCES Insufficient recruitment, retention, and succession of key roles Due to unattractive remuneration when compared with technical qualifications required and limited recruitment efforts, staff recruitment does not reaching the manpower plan, leading to many departments unable to achieve their operations as planned. 5 4 20 1. Engage Universities and churches for recruitment 2. Engage with other NGOs to find suitable candidates 3. Internal recruitment 3. Partially Effective 3 4 12 P&C Director, John Smith; P&C Manager Maria Juarez; and Payroll Department Manager, Grace Okeke #2 FINANCE Financial losses due to fraud and corruption (refer to fraud and corruption) Due to the structure at the project- level and non-segregation of roles and responsibilities between accountant and finance officers, there is a risk of fraudulent behavior of our staff, which has a negative impact to our organization, including reputational damage and loss of trust and reduction of donation in addition to untrustworthy staff and declining office morale. 4 4 16 1. Corruption reporting channels are in place 2. Project disbursement needs to be reviewed and approved by IPM 3. Bookkeeper randomly reviews accounting and financial activities 4. Regular Internal audits 5. Financial and resource reports to the board 6. Board Stewardship Committee meet quarterly 3. Partially Effective 3 3 9 Finance and Accounting Manager, David Jones #3 Sample of a Risk Register 16
  • 17. • Risks are always changing, either through Risk treatment activities or through changing environments, and therefore this step is essential to good risk management. • The risk management committee update the risk register regularly (Quarterly), and agree on which of the risks should be reported to Snr. Management and/or the Board. • Identify and prioritize new risks and take into account the changing context. 6. Monitor and Review 17
  • 18. Purpose: • Helps to establish the context appropriately • Takes place during all stages of the risk management process • Stakeholders interests understood & considered • Risks from all areas of the organization are identified • Bring expertise together for risk analysis • Ensure different views are considered when defining risk criteria and in evaluating risks • Secure support for risk treatment plans • Utilize process for team & capacity building 7. Communication and Consultation 18
  • 19. In Practice: • Consult with Senior management to secure support for the ERM program • Engage management from all major operational areas, on the Risk Committee to ensure their input and risks are captured in the process • Listen to your stakeholders, and adapt your program as necessary to be relevant to your office context! RM is not useful if we don’t have engagement and partnership. Communication and Consultation, cont. 19
  • 20. Conclusion - Key Elements People: • Risk Primes – One in every office (national, Regional, Global) • Management – Risk Owners/”Clients” • Board Members – Holds Management responsible for managing risk in line with policy. Committees: • The Risk Committee – Oversees the process of Risk Management. Ensures it’s success, acts on behalf of management. Processes: • The Risk Assessment • Risk Reporting • Risk Escalation 20
  • 21. Key Elements (Cont) Tools: • Risk Templates ( Register, Rating Scales, Matrix, Risk Treatment worksheet, etc..) • Risk Software (Riskonnect) • Risk Reporting Templates • Risk Committee Charters • The Risk Framework • WVI ERM Policy • Risk Appetite/Tolerance/Criteria 21
  • 22. Recommendation on Risk Management • Have a risk framework • Have tools for use for in risk management • Regular monitoring • Continuous consultation with community and other stakeholders • Escalation mechanism from the field office to the global level • Have resources for personnel 22