Lightning talk for the CLIVAR Climate Dynamics Panel (CDP) annual workshop: external versus internal variability on decadal and longer time scales on 12 October 2022.

1. 1. An artificial neural network
predicts the onset of slowdowns
in decadal warming trends of
global mean surface
temperature
2. Explainable AI reveals the neural
network is leveraging tropical
patterns of ocean heat content
anomalies to make its
predictions
3. Transitions in the phase of the
Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation
are frequently associated with
warming slowdown predictions
in CESM2-LE
Temporary slowdowns in decadal warming
predictions by a neural network
Labe, Z.M. and E.A. Barnes (2022), Predicting
slowdowns in decadal climate warming trends with
explainable neural networks. Geophysical Research
Letters, DOI:10.1029/2022GL098173
Paper