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“Nanomaterials exemplify the kind of challenge
    for which attention to closing gaps in knowledge and regulation is necessary but insufficient.
 Effective governance will mean looking beyond traditional regulation for other, more imaginative
 solutions, often involving a wider range of actors and institutions than has been customary in the
      past…Ultimately however, many of the questions raised…extend beyond the (important)
                issues of risk and risk management to questions about the direction,
                                application and control of innovation.”
                            – The UK’s Royal Commission on Environmental Pollution (RCEP),
                      Novel Materials in the Environment: The Case of Nanotechnology, November 2008.
                        (In July 2010, the UK’s Environment Secretary Caroline Spelman announced
                              she was abolishing the RCEP as part of a deficit reduction effort.)


 About the cover
 From Georges Seurat’s ‘Bathers at Asnières’
 (National Gallery, London) painted in 1884
 (as shown here). Against a backdrop of
 smokestacks spewing industrial pollution,
 Seurat’s anonymous workers from a suburb
 of Paris relax along and in the River Seine.
 In Shtig’s adaptation for our cover, the scene
 of workers at leisure is made ominous by
 nanotech’s new form of industrial pollution,
 visible only by its effects on the
 environment and human health.

 Acknowledgements
 ETC Group owes a tremendous debt of
 gratitude to Stephanie Howard, whose
 careful, original and comprehensive research
 forms the basis of this report. We have also
 benefitted from discussions that took place      We are extremely grateful to all of the      Nano-hazard symbol (reproduced on
 during a series of meetings organized to         participants. ETC Group gratefully             this report’s cover) by Kypros
 explore the implications of BANG                 acknowledges the financial support               Kyprianou.
 (converging technologies), including an          of SwedBio (Sweden), HKH                           This symbol was one of three
 international seminar in Montpellier,            Foundation (USA), CS Fund                             winners of ETC Group’s 2007
 France, in November 2008 convened by             (USA), Christensen Fund                                Nano-Hazard Symbol
 ETC Group, The What Next? Project,               (USA), Heinrich Böll                                    Contest. All entries can be
 BEDE, Fondation Sciences Citoyennes, as          Foundation (Germany), the                               seen here:
 well as subsequent regional meetings             Lillian Goldman Charitable Trust (USA),   www.etcgroup.org/gallery2/main.php?g2
 convened by (among others) Centro                Oxfam Novib (Netherlands), Ben and
 Ecológico (Brazil), FASE (Brazil), African       Jerry’s Foundation (USA) and the
 Biodiversity Network, African Centre for                                                   The Big Downturn? Nanogeopolitics is
                                                  Norwegian Forum for Environment and
 Biosafety (South Africa), CASIFOP                                                          ETC Group Communiqué # 105
                                                  Development.
 (Mexico), Alliance for Humane                                                              Published in Ottawa, Canada, December
 Biotechnology (USA), EQUINET,                    ETC Group is solely responsible for the   2010
 SEARICE (Philippines), Friends of the            views expressed in this document.         All ETC Group publications are available
 Earth (USA), ICTA (USA), Center for                                                        free of charge on our website:
 Genetics and Society (USA) and Movement          Copy-edited by Leila Marshy               www.etcgroup.org
 Generation (USA).                                Design by Shtig (.net)



The Big Downturn?                                                      i                                              Nanogeopolitics
The Big
                Downturn?

            Nanogeopolitics

            ETC Group revisits nanotech’s geopolitical landscape
             and provides a snapshot of current investment,
                    governance and control, including
                           intellectual property.




ETC Group                            ii                      www.etcgroup.org
Overview

Issue                                                              Actors
Is Tiny Tech down in the dumps or just lying low? ETC            The ground has shifted considerably in the five years
concludes that even though the market is soft and                since ETC Group published its first survey of nano’s
industry is increasingly nervous about its health and            geopolitical landscape. Despite bleak – and largely
environmental exposure, the world’s governments have             rhetorical – forecasts of the U.S.’s diminishing stature in
invested too much (more than $50 billion through 2009) nanoworld, the USA (including the public and private
to retreat from a technology they’ve claimed will not            parts of corporatized America) still spends the most
only help end the recession but rescue the climate and           money on R&D, though China fields more scientists.
resolve Peak Oil. With Europe and the U.S. divided on            Meanwhile, Russia has suddenly emerged as the biggest
regulation, industry wants to dump its self-inflicted            (but, perhaps, not the brightest or most consistent)
“nanotechnology” moniker, determined not to                                public spender. Europe and Japan are still in the
draw unwelcome public attention until the                                       game, but lagging. At least 60 countries have
regulatory nano-dust settles. Far from                      History               state nanotech initiatives, including
settling, the clouds are gathering to rain          makes clear that new            newcomers Nepal, Sri Lanka and
on little nano’s surprisingly ponderous                                              Pakistan. In 2010, nano is bigger in
                                                   technologies don’t have
parade.                                                                              Asia than in either North America or
                                                  to work particularly well Europe. Worldwide, there are more
                                                     to be profitable and           than 2000 nanotech enterprises
At Stake                                               transformative.            researching and/or manufacturing
Nanotech is still positioned as the multi-                                      nanoparticles utilizing a largely uncounted
trillion dollar game-changer that will restructure                         (and unprotected) workforce. Partial estimates
global commodity markets. History makes clear that new include: 35,000 nanotech researchers in the global
technologies don’t have to work particularly well to be          chemistry sector alone but, also, 63,000 workers in
profitable and transformative. Estimates of today’s              Germany and another 2 million or so in the U.S. – all
commercial market range irrationally between a meager            exposed to potentially hazardous nano-scale particles.
$12 billion and a whopping $224 billion. The lower               Five years from now, the number of workers is predicted
figure is closer to reality. In the absence of labeling rules    to reach 10 million. (How many jobs nanotech’s
(or common sense) nobody knows how many products                 commodity market disruptions could make obsolete is
contain what types (or sizes) of nanoparticles but one           still not a topic for polite conversation.) Trade unions,
survey has identified at least 1600 products. ETC                such as IUF, ETUC and United Steelworkers, are taking
believes the number of products – which includes foods,          a tough stance on nano and civil society organizations
feeds, pesticides and skin care products – is substantially      have campaigned for strong oversight grounded in
higher. In the past couple of years, private nano                precaution.
investment has exceeded public funding so that, in 2010,
total global investment probably exceeds $20 billion. So,
“at stake” is our environment and the health of both our
economies and our societies.



The New Biomassters                                          iii                                            Nanogeopolitics
What is Nanotechnology?                                                   For example:

                                                                           • Carbon in the form of graphite (like pencil “lead”)
                                                                             is soft and malleable; at the nanoscale, carbon can
 Nanotechnology is a suite of techniques used to                             be stronger than steel – somewhere between 10 and
 manipulate matter on the scale of atoms and                                 500 times stronger, according to the science press –
 molecules. Nanotechnology speaks solely to scale:                           and is six times lighter.
 Nano refers to a measurement, not an object. A
                                                                           • Nanoscale copper is elastic at room temperature,
 “nanometer” (nm) equals one-billionth of a meter.
                                                                             able to stretch to 50 times its original length
 Ten atoms of hydrogen lined up side-by-side equal
                                                                             without breaking.
 one nanometer.
                                                                           • Aluminum – the material of soft drink cans – can
 A DNA molecule is about 2.5 nm wide. A red blood                            spontaneously combust at the nanoscale.
 cell is enormous in comparison: about 5,000 nm in
 diameter. Everything on the nanoscale is invisible to                     Researchers celebrate their “new, expanded periodic
 the unaided eye and even to all but the most                              table” of elements and are exploiting nanoscale
 powerful microscopes.                                                     property changes to create new materials and modify
                                                                           existing ones. Companies now manufacture
 Key to understanding the potential of nanotech is                         engineered nanoparticles that are used in thousands
 that, at the nanoscale, a material’s properties can                       of commercial products. Nanotech tools and
 change dramatically; the changes are called “quantum                      processes are being applied across all industry sectors.
 effects.” With only a reduction in size (to something                     Products on the market or in the pipeline include
 smaller than 1000 nm in at least one dimension) and                       cell-specific drugs; new chemical catalysts (used in
 no change in substance, materials can exhibit new                         the processing of petroleum, for example); foods
 characteristics – such as electrical conductivity,                        containing nanoscale ingredients; nano-scaffolds for
 increased bioavailability, elasticity, greater strength or                tissue engineering; sensors to monitor everything in
 reactivity – properties that the very same substances                     the land, sea and air as well as everything in and on
 may not exhibit at the micro or macro scales.                             our bodies.




Fora
Most activity is still aimed at facilitating nano’s path from        Since then, however, OECD efforts – led by the U.S. –
lab to market, through research collaborations, standards            have focused on containing the ICCM rebellion. More
development, and reportedly by early 2011, a formal                  recently, the UN Food and Agriculture Organization
commodity exchange for trade in nanomaterials. In 2008,              (FAO) and the World Health Organization (WHO)
political differences on the meaning of responsible                  have gotten into the act and the International Labour
stopped (or at least stalled) the International Dialogue             Organization (ILO) will take up nano’s invisible hazards
on Responsible Nanotechnology Development: EU                        at its XIX World Congress on Safety and Health at
representatives are feeling pressure to talk regulation;             Work in Istanbul in September 2011. Importantly, the
U.S. reps, not so much. About the same time, the UK’s                UN’s Rio+20 Summit in 2012 will scrutinize nano’s
DFID, Canada’s IDRC and the Rockefeller Foundation                   claim to be central to the future “Green Economy” – one
hung up on the Global Dialogue on Nanotechnology                     of two Summit themes. Even if the G8/G-20 countries
and the Poor. Luckily, the International Conference on               are indifferent or incompetent, the UN and the G77
Chemicals Management (ICCM), egged on by civil                       seem willing to act.
society, rebelled against regulatory inactivity on nano at
its 2008 meeting in Senegal.


ETC Group                                                       iv                                              www.etcgroup.org
Policies
Ten years, $50 billion, and a couple of thousand products
since the nanotech boom began in 2000, the 60+
                                                              Nano's coming of age?
governments with national programs still lack an agreed
                                                              In November 2010, IBM's nano-logo turned 21 years old. Painstakingly
definition for nano; an accepted measurement standard;        arranged over a period of 22 hours using a scanning tunneling
replicable research models; public health and                 microscope (STM), the "35 atoms that changed the world" signified the
                                                              capture of atom-scale precision by corporate science. (See below.) In a
environmental safety regulations; and the remotest            2009 press release marking the feat's 20th anniversary, an IBM vice-
understanding of the potential social-economic,               president called the creation of the nano-logo "a defining moment"
                                                              enabling research that will eventually lead to "advance computing...
intellectual property or competition issues involved in       using less energy resources.” Maybe by the time nano's a senior citizen?
the several hundred nanomaterials under research or
manufacture. Barring catastrophe, it is increasingly
                                                            Why this report? When ETC Group began
unlikely that OECD country regulators will have the
                                                            investigating nanoscale technologies in 2000, an iconic
courage or the clout to provide the governance
                                                            image showing 35 xenon atoms arranged to form the
nanotechnology requires. Although the European
                                                                      letters I B M appeared everywhere in the popular
Parliament is prodding reluctant EC
                                                                               press – demonstrating, according to
regulators, and even some U.S.
                                                                                    scientists and journalists, an ability (by
government agencies show signs of                   Since our call                      corporate researchers) to control
acknowledging their mandates,
industry is still telling OECD
                                                 for a moratorium,                         individual atoms and arrange them
                                              science has cast nano’s                        in any desired configuration. The
states to back off. Eight years ago,
                                                                                              commercial potential of
ETC Group called for a                    safety even further in doubt,                       unprecedented, precise atomic-
moratorium until exposed                 with hundreds of studies now                         level manipulations was both
researchers and workers could
proceed with reasonable safety
                                             demonstrating harmful                           obvious and great, and to
                                             effects from exposure to                       jumpstart the nano-revolution, the
assurances and we asked for the
                                                                                         U.S. government launched its
withdrawal of all products being                   nanoparticles.                    ambitious National Nanotechnology
sprayed in the environment, ingested by
                                                                                 Initiative in 2001. When, in mid-2002,
people or animals, or used on the skin until
                                                                          ETC Group called for a moratorium on the
proven safe. We continue to call for this
                                                            commercialization of new nano products for health and
moratorium. Without effective intergovernmental
                                                            safety reasons, the response bordered on hysteria. Our
action, CSOs will redub the Rio(plus)20 Summit “Silent
                                                            publication early the next year of The Big Down, in
Spring(minus)50” marking the publication of Rachel
                                                            which we reiterated our call for a moratorium and
Carson’s groundbreaking book in 1962.
                                                            warned of possible downsides to a nanotech revolution –
                                                            including the privatization of the earth’s fundamental
                                                            building blocks and the displacement of workers
                                                            dependent on markets for traditional commodities –
                                                            didn’t win us any more love from nanophiles.



The Big Downturn?                                                 v                                                 Nanogeopolitics
The fledgling U.S. nanotech trade journal, Small Times,
featured articles characterizing ETC Group as a “merry
band of miscreants” with “avowed Maoist sympathies”
whose “bizarre beliefs seem to be driving their attacks on
legitimate science and social advances to the detriment of
all of us.”1 In the intervening eight years since our call for
a moratorium, science has cast nano’s safety even further
in doubt, with hundreds of studies now demonstrating
harmful effects from exposure to nanoparticles.
In 2005, our merry band published Nanogeopolitics, a
global survey of the (sad) state of nanoregulations. In
2007, a broad coalition of civil society, public interest,
environmental and labor organizations from across the
globe worked out a set of Principles for the Oversight of
Nanotechnologies and Nanomaterials grounded in the
Precautionary Principle.2 2010 marks nearly a decade that
governments have been patting themselves on the back
with one hand – for being “pro-active” – and waving
away red flags raised by scientists and civil society
organizations with the other hand. Industry has generally
refused to lend a hand at all, consistently declining to
provide information on activities or release data on
toxicity.
Manipulating matter at the nanoscale has turned out to
be more complicated than IBM’s nano-logo led us all to
believe, and investment in nanotech R&D has yet to
return a “world-saving” application. Policymakers – some
kicking and screaming – are beginning to acknowledge
that fast-tracking nanotech has come at a price and that
some sort of regulation is needed to deal with at least
some of the risks it poses. But governments and industry,                     Governments
hand in hand, have come too far and invested too much                   and industry have come
to give up on nanotech’s promise of becoming the                        too far and invested too
strategic platform for global control of manufacturing,               much to give up on nanotech’s
food, agriculture and health – a pillar of the 21st                      promise of becoming a
century’s “green economy.” This report revisits nano’s                 pillar of the 21st century’s
                                                                            “green economy.”
geopolitical landscape, providing a snapshot of global
investment, governance and control, including
intellectual property, in 2010.

ETC Group                                                        vi                           www.etcgroup.org
Contents                                                        4. Nano in the Age of Crisis                         11
                                                                Financial Crisis                                    11
                                                                Climate Crisis and Peak Oil:                        11
 Overview                                         iii            Nano “Cleantech” to the Rescue
   Issue                                          iii            Box: What Exactly Is Cleantech?                    12
   At Stake                                       iii
   Actors                                         iii           5. Nano Neo Governance:                             13
   Fora                                           iv               Tiny Technologies / Big World
   Box: What is Nanotechnology?                   iv
                                                                Knowing What to Regulate Would Be a Start           13
   Policies                                        v
   Box: Nano's coming of age?                      v             What is Nano?                                      13
   Box: Tiny Tech’s Titanic Impacts               vi             Where is Nano?                                     13
                                                                Nano Regulation in Europe: Tiny Steps in the        14
                                                                 Right Direction?
1. The State of the NanoNation                          3
                                                                 Or REACH: No Data, No Regulation                   14
NanoNation Roundup                                      3        Box: Regulatory Loopholes: Nanotubes               14
 – Public Sector Investment                                      End of the Regulatory Holiday?                     14
 Come on Down: NanoNation Contenders                    4        Nanocosmetics: Regulatory Touch-Up                 15
 Table: Government Investment 2009                      4        Nanofoods Still on the Shelf                       15
 Box: Military Nano: War Games                          5        Regulating Nano's eHazards?                        15
Nano, Inc. – Private Sector Investment                  5       The United States: Giant Investor / Nanoscale       16
 Box: Irreconcilable Differences? Buyer Beware.         6        Regulator
More than Money Matters: Other Indicators               6        Box: Nothing New About Nano?                       16
                                                                 Box: Nanosilver Spin Cycles                        16
2. Market Forecasts:                                    7        Can’t – or Won’t?                                  17
   From Banal to Bloated                                         Box: U.S. Nanotech Regs: An Oversight?             17
 Playing the Nano Numbers                               7        Federal Inaction Prompts State Governments         18
 Table: Lux Research’s Nano Value Chain                 7        Nano’s Regulatory World Pass                       18
The Foggy Commercial Bottom?                            7
 Box: “Bulk Nano?” – A New Commodity                    8       6. Voluntary Schemes:                               19
       Exchange for Nanomaterials                                  Discount Governance
 Box: The Price of Tubes                                9        Box: Uncle Sam Wants You!…To Buy Nanotech          19
                                                                Reporting Schemes: Industry’s a no-show             19
3. Jobs, Jobs, Jobs:                                    9        Box: EPA Scores its Nanomaterials                  20
   But Do We Want Them?                                                Stewardship Program
 Cartoon: Teeni-WeeniLeaks                          10           Why is Industry a No-show?                         20
 What About Worker Safety?                          10



The Big Downturn?                                           1                                           Nanogeopolitics
Box: Have Mercy on the Start-Ups                20       10. Insuring the Invisible                           32
 Gluttons for Punishment                         21
                                                           Will They, Won’t They?                              32
 Box: “It’s a disaster”                          21
                                                           Outclauses                                          32
Codes of Conduct                                 22
 The Responsible Nano Code: All Care             22
                                                          11. Nano Standards: Private Codes                    33
      and No Responsibility?
 Bottom Line: No Regs = No-show by Cos.          23        The Contenders                                      33
 Box: Regulatory Harmony or the Sound of         23        Other Players in the Standards Arena                34
      Silence?                                             Progress: Baby’s First Words                        35
                                                          I Came, ISO, I Conquered:                            35
7. Intergovernmental                             24         The Globalization of Private Standards
   Policy Frameworks
                                                          12. Codes of Monopoly:                              36
International Dialogue on Responsible            24
  Research and Development of                                 Nanotech Intellectual Property
  Nanotechnology                                           The Morning After Hangover                          37
 The Picnic’s Over: Time for IPNiC?              24        Patent Pending…Reforms at the USPTO                 37
 Box: United Nations’ Nano Presence              25       Class of 2008: Nano Patent Activity at the USPTO 37
The OECD Working Parties                         25        Table: Top 5 Countries by Patent Activity           38
 Box: OECD: Industry’s PR Department             26              at USTPO*
The International Conference on Chemicals        26        Table: USPTO Nano Patents 1976 to 2008              38
 Management                                               The Miracle Molecule: Carbon Nanotubes at the        39
                                                           USPTO in 2008
8. Gone-a-Courtin’:                              27        Carbon Nanotube Patents Awarded in 2008             39
   Engaging the Public                                     Carbon Nanotube Patent Applications                 39
                                                                Filed in 2008
 Who’s the EU talking to?                        28
                                                           U.S. Government: Largest Patent                     40
 Illustration: Cover detail from Communicating   28
                                                                 Patron for 2008
        Nanotechnology
                                                           Table: U.S. Government-funded R&D Leading           40
 Box: Not So Bon Voyage for Nano?                28
                                                                 to Nano Patents and Applications, 2008
                                                          The Prior Art of War: Military and Defense           41
9. The Science of Catching Up:                   29        Applications
   Ums and Ehs
                                                           Cartoon: M0.00016 - Don't ask!                      41
 Up for Grabs                                    29        Academia Boosts the Nano-War Effort                 42
 Box: United States EHS Research Effort          30
      Gets an ‘F’                                         Appendix: Class of 2008 – Awarded                    43
The Generation Gap                               31        Patents and Filed Applications of
                                                           Note at the USPTO
 Box: “A war worth fighting”?                    31

                                                          Endnotes                                             47


ETC Group                                             2                                           www.etcgroup.org
Part 1.              The State of the NanoNation

  “To promote industrial growth, a vibrant economy,                    NanoNation Roundup
  and social welfare, Europe must maintain its leading
  position in all fields of Nanotechnologies, Materials                – Public Sector Investment
  Science and Engineering and Production Systems                       2001 marked the beginning of the United States’ interagency
  (NMP).”                                                              National Nanotechnology Initiative; since then the federal
  – NMP Expert Advisory Group (EAG) Position paper                     government has invested around $12 billion dollars of public
                                                                                                              14
  on future RTD activities of NMP for the period                       funds, including $1.6 billion in 2010. The Department of
  2010 – 2015, November 2009                                           Defense has gotten the biggest allowance with $3.4 billion (or
                                                                       just under 30% of the total nano R&D funds); the National
Nanotech has had a tough time over the last couple of years:           Science Foundation just over 25%; the Department of Energy
raising capital funds and turning a profit were uphill battles,        18%, and the Department of Health and Human
and commercialization faltered as no blockbuster products              Services/National Institutes of Health 15% of the NNI
                                                                              15
                              3
emerged to rally the markets. In 2009, venture capital                 funds. President Obama’s budget for 2011 gives nanotech
                                                 4
investment had dropped 43% from 2008 levels. By some                   another $1.8 billion. Some state governments, including
accounts, public funding is still to peak as more states enter         Georgia, New York, Oklahoma and Illinois, are funding
          5
the arena, but the rate of investment that marked the first half       nanotech initiatives out of their own budgets, to the tune of
                                                                                                           16
                                              6
of the nanotech decade has dropped sharply. According to               an estimated $400 million per year – nudging all public
one industry analyst assessing nano’s performance in 2009,             funding per annum over the $2 billion mark, but still below
“Nanotechnology treaded water, barely staying afloat.”
                                                         7
                                                                       total public EU spending.
Meanwhile, rankings placed nano as one of three major                  The European Commission has invested around €5.1 billion
                                       8
technological risks facing the planet; as Europe’s top emerging        through its Framework Programmes, with the current
                 9
workplace risk; and one of the new global environmental                Framework (FP7, 2007 through 2013) earmarking a total of
                        10
threats to child health.                                                                                 17
                                                                       €3.5 billion for nanotechnology. In 2008, total public
The sea may be rough, but there’s no doubt nanotech is                 funding (from the 27 member state governments and the
keeping its head above water, buoyed by greater government             Commission) was $2.6 billion, accounting for 30% of global
investment with an eye toward moving products to market.               public funding and putting it ahead of the U.S.’s federal
For Brussels, Moscow, Washington and Beijing, dominance in             investment. The EU maintained its lead in 2009, although its
nanotech is still synonymous with economic competitiveness,            slice of the public-funding pie shrunk to just over one-quarter
                                                                                        18
industrial growth and even social wellbeing.
                                             11
                                                                       of global R&D. Germany, one of the world’s largest chemical
Nanotechnologies remain a fixture of the future – a platform           economies, leads the Europack with €441.2 million invested
                                                                                                        19
promising to permeate every sector of the economy. By the              from all public sources in 2009. A 2010 review of the EU’s
end of 2009, governments had pumped more than $50 billion              investment in nano R&D under the previous funding
of public funds – including a colossal $9.75 billion in 2009 by        programme (FP6, 2002-2006) hints at lowered expectations,
                                                                                                                                       20
           12
one count – into the technology. At least 60 countries now             however. The report’s title: “Strategic impact, no revolution.”
have state nanotech initiatives, investment programmes and/or          Japan is a longstanding member of the NanoNation-
                                     13
publicly funded research programs.                                     triumvirate with per annum investment hovering just above or
                                                                       below the $1 billion mark over the past five years. According
                                                                       to some analysts, 2009 saw Japan surpassing the U.S. in
                                                                                                                            21
                                                                       successful commercialization of nanotech products.




The Big Downturn?                                                  3                                                   Nanogeopolitics
Come on Down: NanoNation Contenders                                    Brazil is a leader of nano development in Latin America. In
                                                                       2009, the government invested over $44 million in nanoscale
While the U.S., the EU and Japan are still out in front in terms       technologies through the Ministry of Science & Technology,
of expertise, infrastructure, and capacity, market analyst firm        which doled out funds equalling 1.4% of GDP to all areas of
Cientifica reports that the share of the top three in R&D was          science R&D.
                                                                                       31

just 58% of global R&D spending by governments by 2009,
                               22
compared with 85% in 2004. Other emerging economies are            In general, Asian countries are big on nano. South Korea has
beginning to shake up the NanoNation league table:                          invested US$1.4 billion in the technology over the
                                                                                   past eight years and has announced its
Russia exploded onto the scene in 2007                                                 intention to become one of the top three
with a massive cash injection (and the                Germany’s future                     nanoindustry leaders by 2015.
                                                                                                                          32

detonation of what was billed as the             competitiveness in industries               Undeterred, Thailand plans to be the
                    23
first “nanobomb”). The Kremlin                 such as automotives, chemicals,                 focus of nano industrial activity in
established a state corporation             pharmaceuticals, medicine technology,                                    33
                                                                                                the ASEAN region, and Sri
focused on nanotechnologies,            information and communication technology,                Lanka has recently made known
Rusnano, and reportedly handed
                                        and optics, and in traditional industries such           its plan to become the Asian hub
it almost $4 billion to invest. The                                                                                        34
                                                                                                  of sustainable nanotech. As a
                                        as engineering, textiles, and construction, will
aim was to capture 3% of the                                                                     region, Asia’s investment had
                                24           largely depend on the realisation of
global nano market by 2015.                                                                      topped that of the U.S. by 2007.
Russia’s nano-investment became                nanotechnological innovations.
                                                                                                By 2008, investment in nano
less certain when, in 2009, some              – Federal Ministry of Research and               R&D from all sources – public,
Rusnano funds were shifted back to            Education, Nano-Initiative – Action            private, including venture capital – in
state coffers to plug wider funding                    Plan 2010, 2007                     Asian countries reached $6.6 billion
gaps; then, in July 2010 – in the wake of                                               (with Japan responsible for a weighty $4.7
a federal investigation of all state                                               billion) according to U.S.-based consultancy
corporations – Rusnano was reorganized into a                                Lux Research, compared to an estimated $5.7 billion
                           25
publicly traded company. According to one                          from all sources (public and private) in the U.S.
                                                                                                                     35

commentator, Russia remains a “minor league” player, despite
its investment, due to poor performance in IP and other
aspects of technology development, including so-called brain         Government Investment in
                                                                     Nanotechnology 2009 36
       26
drain.
                                              27
The figures on China’s nano investment vary, but there is no                                             % of          % of total
doubt that the country is committed to the technology. The                                               total         adjusted for PPP*
Chinese Academy of Sciences reports public nano-investment
                              28                                         EU                              27%           27%
of $180 million per annum. London-based consultancy
Cientifica estimated China’s investment for 2008 at around               (27 members + FP7)
$510 million, which, when adjusted for so-called “purchasing             Russia                          23%           25%
power parity,” put it in third place, tied with the U.S. and
                                         29                              U.S.A                           19%           16%
behind the EU and Russia (see table). In 2009, nano
commanded a greater portion of the science R&D budget in                 Japan                           12%           9%
China than in the U.S.
                        30
                                                                         China                           10%           18%
South Africa has had its eye on nanotech for the better part of          Korea                           4%
the last decade, paying particular attention to the impact new           Taiwan                          1%
nanomaterials could have on minerals markets (e.g., platinum,                                                            * Purchasing
                                                                         India                           (<1%)
palladium). The government launched its National                                                                         Power Parity
                                                                         Rest of world                   4%
Nanotechnology Strategy in 2005, funding R&D through the
                                                                                                                                        37
Department of Science & Technology whose overall budget                 (Cientifica’s 2009 white paper on global funding of nanotech R&D did
for 2009/10 neared $600 million.                                        not see the global recession having an immediate effect on government
                                                                        funding. Cientifica sees the slowdown as reflecting a shift from basic
                                                                        research to application-focused investment.)




ETC Group                                                          4                                                      www.etcgroup.org
Military Nano: War Games                                           Nano, Inc.
 The U.S. is understood to be making the world’s largest            – Private Sector Investment
 investment in military applications of nanotechnology –            More than once, decision-makers in Washington have been
 accounting for as much as 90% of global nano-military              warned that the U.S. risks losing its lead in the nano race to
                         38
 R&D by one estimate – though the UK, Netherlands,                  the EU, China, India, or Japan – or that the lead has already
 Sweden, France, Israel, India, China, Malaysia and Iran are                   48
                                                                    been lost. In commercializing tiny tech, the U.S. is reportedly
 all said to be investing some public funds in military                                                          49
                                                                    trailing Japan, Germany and South Korea. Stepped up
 research as well.                                                  adoption by the private sector, they say, is key to securing
                                                                                  50
 The U.S. Department of Defense (DOD) has reportedly                dominance. Across the Atlantic, the European Commission
 invested in “sub-micron technologies” since the 1980s
                                                        39          is similarly insecure about the EU’s position and, too, has
 and, in the first decade of NNI funding, received a total          called for greater involvement and investment by the private
                                                                            51
 $3.4 billion for nano R&D – around 30% of the total                sector.
                                     40
 federal investment for that period. The White House has            While investment by the private sector is less transparent and
 proposed cutting the DOD’s nano R&D funds for the                  therefore more difficult to calculate – especially without the
 2011 fiscal (in favour of greater funds for energy and             benefit of proprietary market reports, just one of which can
                           41
 health-related research), but still leaving the Department         cost several thousand dollars – it is now agreed that corporate
 with some $349 million to spend.                                   investment in nanotech R&D outstrips government spending.
 Projects in the UK’s Defence Technology Plan that both             Lux Research predicted that global private sector investment
                                                                                                                      52
 likely and explicitly include tiny tech suggest the Ministry       would outpace government spending by 2005, but it was not
 of Defence is investing between £29.6 million and £73              until 2007 that the consultancy reported corporate R&D
                                                                                                     53
 million over a three-year period (2009-2012), though               investment had nudged ahead. Cientifica reported corporate
 nano may not be a significant component of some of the             funding had indeed pulled ahead by 2005 and estimates the
 projects; on the other hand, these projects may not reflect        private sector will foot the bill for 83% of all nano R&D
                                                                                                      54
 the entire nano R&D portfolio.
                                   42                               investment by the end of 2010.

 Russia declared military applications to be high on its            According to the European Commission (relying on figures
                        43
 nanotech R&D agenda – an interest it punctuated with               from Lux Research) private sector investment in nano R&D is
 the televised detonation, in 2007, of what the Kremlin             highest in the Asia region ($2.8 billion), closely followed by
 declared to be the world’s first nanobomb – a fuel-air             the U.S. ($2.7 billion), with European companies less
                                                                                                  55
 explosive with reportedly nanometer-sized features                 enthusiastic, at $1.7 billion. The U.S. is the clear leader in
                                                44
 endearingly dubbed the Father Of All Bombs. The bomb               venture capital funding, cornering 80% of all investment from
                                                                                 56
 carried almost 8 tonnes of explosives and flattened a four-        that source.
                  45
 storey building.                                                   Most Fortune 100 companies are said to be running nano
 Military applications are also within the Indian                   R&D programmes or using nano commercially. According to
 government’s sights. The Department of Science and                 a report by the U.S. President’s Council of Advisors on Science
 Technology (DST) has commandeered the Agharkar                     and Technology (PCAST, also relying on Lux Research
 Research Institute (ARI) to provide nanoparticles to the           figures), the $2.7 billion investment by U.S. corporations into
                       46
 defence establishment and the Indian Defence Research              nano R&D breaks down as follows: around half to electronics
 & Development Organization (DRDO) is developing                    and IT, 37% to materials and manufacturing sector, 8% to
 manufacturing capacity in fullerenes and carbon                    healthcare and life sciences, and 4% to the energy and
                                                                                          57
 nanotubes for use in stealth, smart materials and                  environment sector.
                  47
 nanoelectronics.




The Big Downturn?                                               5                                                 Nanogeopolitics
In 2008, Cientifica estimated that corporations across the
globe would pump a staggering $41 billion dollars into nano
                                                                     More than Money Matters:
R&D in 2010, in the following sectors:
                                       58
                                                                     Other Indicators
• The semiconductor industry would continue to see the               Investment by government and companies – however fuzzy
  largest share of corporate R&D investment, with a $19.5            the math – is the most obvious factor in assessing so-called
  billion investment predicted for 2010.                             technology leadership, but analysts are also watching closely
• Pharmaceutical and health care industries would overtake           the league tables in intellectual property (IP), science journal
  the chemical industry in nano R&D, with a projected $8.3           publications, research infrastructure, educational indicators
  billion compared to $7.4 billion by chemical companies.            and commercialization data.
  Major players in chemicals are BASF, DuPont, Dow,                 On the IP front, the U.S. is believed to lead in total number of
                                                                                      62
  Syngenta, 3M. In pharmaceuticals: Johnson & Johnson,              granted patents. European Commission analysis has the EU
                                                                                                         63
  GlaxoSmithKline, AstraZeneca, Pfizer, Aventis.                    trailing well behind the U.S. in IP. Regarding patent
• The aerospace and defense sectors would invest $2.7 billion       applications – “the forward indicator” of technology-capture
                                                                                                                             64
  in nano R&D, while the electronics industry was heading for       – a different picture emerges, with China in the lead. Over
  $2.1 billion in 2010. The top corporate spenders in               the 1991-2008 period, applicants in China had filed more
  aerospace and defense are BAE Systems, Boeing, Lockheed           applications in total (16,348) than applicants in the U.S.
                                                                                                                           65
  Martin, EADS, Honeywell International.                            (12,696) had filed, at their respective patent offices. (Mr.
• Food companies were expected to spend just $22 million in         Yang Mengjun alone accounts for more than 900 patents
  nano R&D in 2010.                                                 related to nano-scale formulations of traditional Chinese
                                                                               66
                                                                    medicines. ) In 2008, Chinese applicants filed almost twice as
                                                                                   many applications (4,409) as U.S. applicants did
                                                                                   (2,228). This, however, could also be an
  Irreconcilable Differences? Buyer Beware                                         indication of the broad scope of patent claims
  While the two most prominent nano-consultancies – Lux Research in the            filed by U.S. applicants compared to the more
  U.S. and Europe-based Cientifica – agree on general points (e.g.,                narrow claims made by inventors in other
  nanotech will play a critical role in the 21st century economy; private          countries.
  investment now exceeds public investment), there is more than an ocean           According to an OECD assessment, the U.S.
  separating them. The discrepancy between their investment figures is             leads in scientific publications, with 22% of all
  anything but nanoscale, with Cientifica estimating that the global private       journal papers related to nanoscience and
  sector would invest $41 billion in nano R&D just in 2010 – that’s nearly         technology; China (11%), Japan (10%), as well
  as much as the global public sector has invested over a decade. While            as Germany (8%), France (6%), and the UK
  Cientifica’s major nano-market report is proprietary, the $41 billion            (5%). China, however, is closing the gap.
                                                                                                                                67
                                                                            59
  figure was presented in a (formerly) freely-available Executive Summary.         According to assessments cited in the PCAST
  Lux Research puts private investment in nano R&D at about $7.2 billion.          report, the U.S. lags China and the EU in total
  Lux’s 2009 report, which provides private sector investment figures by           number of publications, although, they argue,
          60
  region, is also proprietary – and ETC Group didn’t buy it – so the               numbers do not signify quality or influence nor
  timeframe in question is not clear to us. We’re guessing the $7.2 billion        are the many publications by Chinese scientists
  refers to recent per annum investment, but publicly-available reports that       appearing in the canon of twelve or so core
  relied on Lux for private investment figures – such as reports from the EC       nanoscience journals – all English language
  Directorate-General for Research and the U.S. President’s Council of             publications – where EU and U.S. scientists
                                          61
  Advisors for Science and Technology – aren’t explicit. In light of the                          68
                                                                                   predominate. That said, China’s share of
  discrepancy between the Lux and Cientifica figures, it seems that                publications in these journals is increasing at
  somebody (or maybe everybody?) who handed over thousands of dollars              about the same rate as the U.S.’s share is
  for insider information on the nano-market is getting a bum steer.               decreasing.




ETC Group                                                        6                                                www.etcgroup.org
Part 2.                 Market Forecasts: From Banal to Bloated
Enthusiastic predictions of nano’s commercial returns                    Lux’s estimate for the total market value of nanotech in 2009
continue to spur government investment. The figure said to               may be $253 billion, but a teeny $1.1 billion (or 0.42%) of
have launched a thousand nanotechnology initiatives is the               that arises from nanomaterials themselves; and that’s about as
U.S. National Science Foundation’s 2001 prediction that the              good as it gets for the predicted value of nanomaterials until
world market for nano-based products would reach US$1                    2015, where these account for just 0.11% of the total value
trillion by 2015. That landmark projection has since been                chain.
                        69
raised to $1.5 trillion, though U.S.-based Lux Research’s
                                                                         These figures would tend to support Lux’s assessment that the
visions of $3.1 trillion have been recently trimmed to $2.5                                                                         75
                                                70                       big money is not to be made manufacturing nanoparticles,
trillion due to the global economic recession. (See below.)
                                                                         but they also confirm the OECD’s caution that such
                                                                                                                                         76
                                                                         approaches are likely to generate “significant overstatements,”
Playing the Nano Numbers                                                 or, as one industry member put it, “terribly deceiving
                                                                                    77
Assessing market value of nano is not a dark art, but it may             numbers.”
require some creative accounting alchemy, not least because              Nevertheless, value chain predictions have received
formal definitions of what constitutes nano are under                    considerable uncritical airtime unaccompanied by the more
negotiation and because the level of market activity is not fully        sobering breakdown of the value chain. This incautious
        71
known. Indeed, like private investment calculations – and                repetition may be due – at least partially – to the fact that the
even in hindsight – accounts of nano’s market share vary                 detail is typically inside the cover of proprietary consultancy
wildly: In 2007, the market value for nano was either $11.6              reports that are so expensive even governments are known to
                                                          72
billion or $147 billion, depending on whom you consult.                  rely on the free summaries.
In general, estimates from Lux Research occupy the high end
of the scale and are among the most widely cited. Lux                    The Foggy Commercial Bottom?
developed a “value chain” approach that combines the value of
the (raw) nanomaterials, the “intermediates” they are                   The lack of labeling requirements, consensus on terminology,
incorporated into, as well as the final, “nano-enabled” product         pre-market assessment and post-market monitoring by
to arrive at the total market value. The potential for bloat            governments – as well as industry’s uncompromising lack of
from this method is considerable. For example, if a                     transparency – also contribute to the fog around nano’s market
housebuilder installs a kitchen countertop that incorporates            impact. Most governments rely on charity – a freely available
antimicrobial silver nanoparticles, should nano’s contribution          online inventory of consumer products developed by the U.S.-
                                                                                                                               78
be understood as the value of the silver nanoparticles, the             based Project on Emerging Nanotechnologies (PEN).
countertop, or the value of the whole house? Lux Research               According to that inventory, there were just over one thousand
would count all three.
                        73                                              product lines on the market as of August 2009 (when the
                                                                        inventory was last updated). That number is significantly
                                                                        lower than the actual number of commercialized products as
                                                                                                      the inventory lists only those
                                                                                                      products the manufacturer
  Lux Research’s Nano Value Chain                    74

                                                                                                      claims to incorporate nano and
  (US$ millions)                                                                                      does not cover intermediate
                                 Value % of               Value    % of           Value % of          products (such as coatings used
                                     in value                 in   value              in value
                                                                                                      in the automotive industry).
                                 2009 chain                2012    chain           2015 chain
  Product                               2009                       2012                   2015        A survey conducted by two
                                                                                                      government agencies in Canada
  Nanomaterials                   1,074 0.42%             1,798    0.2%           2,916 0.11%
                                                                                                      a few months earlier than PEN’s
  Nanointermediates            28,839 11.36%         120,206       13.6%       498,023 20.2%          latest assessment identified
  Nano-enabled products        223,785 88.22%        762,204       86.2%      1,962,950 79.66%        roughly 1600 nanoproduct lines
                                                                                                                                  79
  Total V alue C hain         253,699               884,208                  2,463,890                on the Canadian market.




The Big Downturn?                                                    7                                                   Nanogeopolitics
Based on PEN’s product inventory, nanosilver is the most
common nanomaterial in commercial circulation, accounting                 “Bulk Nano?” – A New Commodity
for one-quarter of available nanoproducts. This is followed by            Exchange for Nanomaterials
carbon nanomaterials (82), titanium (50), silica (35), zinc (30)
              80                                                          According to the web site of the Integrated Nano-Science
and gold (27). Over half (540) of the products in the
                                                                          and Commodity Exchange (INSCX), a formal
inventory are produced in the U.S.; Asia accounts for around
                                                                          commodity exchange trading platform for trading a wide
25% of the production (240) and Europe 15% (154).
                                                                          range of nanomaterials will be launched in Europe and the
Whatever the actual number of consumer products, it is                                                82
                                                                          United States early in 2011. Based in the UK, the
agreed that tiny tech is at an early stage of development –               exchange will cover basic raw materials as well as finished
laying claim to mostly trivial achievements when set against              products. The goal of the exchange “is to be the focal
the technology’s revolutionary aspirations. In 2008, stain-               point of the emerging world trade in nanomaterials,”
resistant trousers had been, for one commentator, the best the            assuring “quality and competitive prices” for
technology had to offer in terms of “real life” products for half         nanomaterials.
a decade, aside from early commercial successes in
                              81
semiconductor applications.
                                                                        • Technologies without a product: According to Lux
Despite the lack of clarity regarding nano’s market, it appears           Research, nanotech is widely seen as “a technology without a
                                                                                    88
that the explosion in nano sales has not happened, “at least not          product.” An advisory group to the EU points to the “need
                                                             83
at the projected levels of the original NNI business model.”              for clear market drivers, for example, industrial problems
                                                                                                                                      89
In addition to the worldwide financial slowdown, analysts                 that can be solved by the application of nanotechnologies.”
point to a handful of challenges before nano can deliver the              Without governments, investors and the like lining up to
promised profits:                                                         purchase early stage products, “disruptive nanotechnologies
                                                                          will primarily remain as science projects and underfunded
• Far horizons: Nano’s revolutionary or ‘disruptive’                                 90
                                                                          start-ups.”
  applications will require a long haul in R&D before big
                       84
  money can be made. The nature of much of the                 • Wider industry wariness of nanotech: Stimulating industries
  revolutionary nano research agenda is characterized as ‘high-  to incorporate nanotech in their product lines has proved
  risk, high-reward’ – one reason it tends to sit outside        difficult. The news that in many cases, nanoproducts “will be
                                                                                                                          91
  private sector investment horizons and                                     only marginally profitable” hasn’t helped. More
  budgets.
           85                                                                     significantly, Lloyd’s of London, the OECD
                                                                                      and re-insurer SwissRe all report wider
• Mass production, scaling up and
                                                                                         industry concerns about nanosafety,
  quality control are fundamental for                     Despite                          regulatory uncertainty and public
  cost-effective nanomaterials that
  the wider manufacturing
                                                  reportedly holding the                                    92
                                                                                             perceptions. Companies
                                                                                              considering using nanomaterials in
  industry will use. At present,                 largest stack of patents,
                                                                                               their product lines are advised to
  nanomaterial production is                     Procter & Gamble, for                         be especially diligent to avoid
  typically a low-volume affair,                                                                                          93
                                                 example, appears to be                        liabilities down the road.
  generating considerable waste
                                                                                               President Obama’s science
  and byproducts making some                     holding off on nanotech                      advisors also point to industry’s
  nanomaterials, at least,
                            86
  prohibitively expensive. The                     because of potential                     reticence for fear of a consumer
                                                                                                        94
                                                                                           backlash. Despite reportedly
  nanomanufacturing industry,                           liabilities.                     holding the largest stack of patents,
  according to an OECD assessment, “is
                                                                                      Procter & Gamble, for example, appears
  still in its infancy and characterised by
                                                                                  to be holding off on nanotech because of
  […] lack of infrastructure equipment for                                                           95
                                                                              potential liabilities.
  nanomanufacturing, and few efficient
  manufacturing methods especially in bottom-up approaches
                               87
  to nanoscale engineering.”




ETC Group                                                           8                                               www.etcgroup.org
The Price of Tubes                                                   Cheap Tubes Inc., the bargain-basement retailer for CNT in
                                                                       the U.S., is on a mission “to help usher in the Carbon
  Governments, universities and companies are proposing to             Nanotubes-CNTs Application Age.” In November 2010,
  use carbon nanotubes in every product from the mundane to            Cheap Tubes offered multiwalled nanotubes for as little
  the Martian, including fertilizers, home cleaning products,          $600/kg (for non-functionalized varieties) and ~$1,500/kg
  drug delivery systems, combat gear, fuel cells and space                                    101
                                                                       for high purity tubes. (Bargain shoppers may be able to get
  elevators.                                                           even cheaper tubes from the Hanoi-based Institute for
  To begin generating real profits, nanotubes will need to             Material Sciences if the half-price sale they announced in
                                                                                        102
  become affordable. Prices have been reportedly going down            2009 is still on. )
  – one source describes ‘nosedives’ of 43% for multiwalled            Industrial demand is currently low, with applications
  tubes (MWNTs) since 2005 and 33% for single-walled tubes             relegated to the low hanging ‘fruit-of-the-looms’ until the
             96
  (SWNTs). Another commentator reports prices dropping                                                          103
                                                                       industrial sector shows greater interest. The potential for
                                                          97
  “by three orders of magnitude” over the past few years. Lux          some types of tubes to behave like asbestos fibres has, rightly,
  Research predicted in late 2009 that the price for standard          not helped whet the appetite of potential buyers. In addition,
  grade MWNTs will drop to approximately $50 per kilogram              hefty technological hurdles stand in the way of scaling up
                                          98
  at some unspecified point in the future, while another               nanotube production for widespread commercial use.
                                                                                                                               104

  estimate predicted the price would drop to $30/kg-$40/kg             Although a number of companies have boosted production
                               99
  in the next three-four years. The industry will have to get          capacity (Bayer and Arkema, among others), manufacture of
  cracking to meet those projections. In 2004, the price of            multi-walled nanotubes – the most widely used
  carbon nanotubes was predicted to fall to $284/kg by                 commercially – is generally operating at “single-digit percent
        100
  2007. That has yet to happen, even for low-grade multi-              utilisation.”
                                                                                    105

  walled tubes.




Part 3. Jobs, Jobs, Jobs: But Do We Want Them?
Enthusiastic characterizations of nanotech as job creator              In short supply, too, are assessments of the jobs that nanotech
abound. Forecasts from the turn of the millennium include              may take away – particularly in countries of the global South –
the National Science Foundation’s estimate of two million              so net job creation is not known. In a 2005 report prepared
                     106
new workers by 2015 (or seven million assuming that for                for the Geneva-based South Centre, The Potential Impacts of
each nanotech worker another 2.5 positions are created in              Nano-Scale Technologies on Commodity Markets: The
               107                                                                                                                   112
related areas). What the OECD labels “even more optimistic             Implications for Commodity Dependent Developing Countries,
forecasts” are from Lux Research, which estimates that 10              ETC Group provided a preliminary look at the potentially
million manufacturing jobs related to nanotechnology will              devastating socio-economic impacts if nano’s promise to up-
                                   108
emerge within the next four years.                                     end traditional markets is realized and governments are not
In any case, attempts to put numbers on the current nano               prepared. The report focused on rubber, platinum and copper
workforce are rare. As with market analysis, assessments               because those markets have been identified as likely to be
related to employment are difficult due to lack of government          dramatically affected by the introduction of new
oversight of nanotech R&D and commercial activity as well as           nanomaterials and because the materials are currently heavily
the lack of a consensus definition for nano. In 2008, Cientifica       sourced from the global South. More recently, social scientists
estimated that 35,000 researchers in the worldwide chemicals           Guillermo Foladori and Noela Invernizzi have examined
                                         109
sector were engaged in nanotech R&D. The German                        nano’s implications for labour and development, focusing on
                                                                                       113
government put the number of people involved in nano R&D               Latin America.
                                                      110
and commercial activity within its borders at 63,000. An
OECD review takes the position that there is “a large
discrepancy” between the projections and the state of the
            111
workforce.


The Big Downturn?                                                  9                                                   Nanogeopolitics
What About Worker Safety?                                           Workers (and consumers), of course, do not have the luxury of
                                                                    waiting for experts to come to a consensus on the health
In 2000 – pre-nanotech boom – an estimated 2 million people effects of nanoparticle exposure. In 2007, IUF (International
were already being exposed to nanoscale particles at work in        United Food, Farm, Hotel workers) called for a moratorium
the United States (e.g., in by-products of diesel combustion,       on commercial uses of nanotechnology in food and agriculture
                                                 114
sanding or abrasion of metals, wood, plastic). Production,                                    until they could be shown to be safe and
handling and use of engineered nanoparticles have created                                           ETUC (European Trade Union
new venues for workplace exposure, with poorly understood                                               Confederation) has also
consequences. The most dramatic case to date involved                     “We have only
                                                                                                          demanded the application of
seven female workers in China who were exposed to                   scratched the surface of                the Precautionary Principle.
polyacrylate (a polymer/plastic ingredient in an adhesive        nanotechnology’s potential                  United Steelworkers
paint) containing nanoparticles. All of the women                         to create jobs.”                   International (North
became sick with breathing problems; two of them died.            – U.S. Congressman Dan Lipinski,           America) has called for
A team of Chinese scientists examined the lung tissue of       pledging support for nanotechnology at        regular medical screenings
all seven women, found nanoparticles lodged in cells of       the 8th annual NanoBusiness Conference,        of workers exposed to
the lungs and concluded, cautiously, that the seven cases             Chicago, September 2009
                                                                                                             nanoparticles. In 2007, a
“arouse concern that long-term exposure to some                Perhaps Rep. Lipinski’s most memorable
                                                               endorsement of nanotech came in April
                                                                                                             broad coalition of civil
nanoparticles without protective measures may be                                                             society, public interest,
                                             115                  2009 at the NanoNow Science and
related to serious damage to human lungs.”                    Technology Leadership Forum, hosted by         environmental and labor
The publication of the Chinese study in the peer-                     the University of Chicago:             organizations published a
reviewed European Respiratory Journal in 2009 sparked                                                        set of Principles for the
                                                                 “I have drunk the nanotech
a storm of speculation on its implications, with several                                                     Oversight of
                                                                     kool-aid. I believe it’s
commentators taking the “precautionary” position that                                                       Nanotechnologies and
                                                                       the next Industrial                Nanomaterials grounded in
unknowns about the specific workplace conditions,
                                                                           Revolution.”                 the Precautionary Principle.
                                                                                                                                       117
including the absence of worker protections, cast doubt on
the usefulness of the study and prevented conclusions from                                          Calls to make nano products liable
              116
being drawn. No one, however, ventured to categorically                                      as part of a regulatory regime have been
exonerate nanoparticles.                                            issued by ETUC and the European Parliament’s Committee
                                                                                                                             118
                                                                    on Employment and Social Affairs, among others.


ETC Group                                                          10                                                www.etcgroup.org
Part 4.                   Nano in the Age of Crisis

Financial Crisis                                                        Climate Crisis and Peak Oil:
The global recession may have deflated an industry prone to             Nano “Cleantech” to the Rescue
‘bubbling,’ but the financial crisis hasn’t been all bad news for
nanotech. It has provided a stimulus to increase government           The nano industry has leapt onto the Cleantech
funding in some areas, drawing on the theory that investment          (hybrid)bandwagon with both feet. The convergence of
in innovation is a sure route out of recession. In India,             government support of nanotech and venture capital funding
government officials cast nanotech as “the answer for future          of cleantech is a boon for the industry as nanotechnologies are
recessions as it helps in reducing wastage of material and            claimed to provide “clean” solutions through miniaturization
                                             119
enhancing quality by almost 40 per cent.” In the U.S., nano           (reduced raw material requirements), reduced energy usage,
has been heralded as the “rejuvenating fuel in the economy’s          greater efficiencies in solar energy generation (i.e.,
                                                120
engine” and the “road out of the recession.” Government               photovoltaics), biofuels, greenhouse gas transformation and
stimulus packages have responded accordingly,                         use and greater capacity in water and bioremediation.
particularly in energy and environment-related                                       Miniaturization has already been achieved in
nano R&D. Indeed, according to one                                                       certain commercial applications (particularly
industry member, the U.S.’s alternative                                                      in ICT), but for the rest, nano’s role in
energy policy “cannot advance
                                                              The rush                          “clean technologies” remains
without the successful                                 into nano-cleantech                        aspirational and contingent. Lux
                                   121
commercialization of nanotech.”                    investment is of particular                      Research estimated cleantech would
The American Recovery and                                                                           account for just 1.8% of the market
                                                     concern because there is,                       value that nano is expected to earn
Reinvestment Act (ARRA)                                                                                       125
directed an additional $140                         as yet, little to support the                    by 2015. In 2007, Cientifica
                                                                                                     estimated that 0.00027% could be
million toward nanotechnology                         assertion that nano is                        shaved off emissions by 2010 using
research and infrastructure
investments in 2009. That included                           inherently                            currently available nanotech, but
                                                                                                  that future revolutionary applications
a $40 million cash injection to the                             clean.                         will result in fewer greenhouse gas
Department of Energy for nano R&D,                                                                       126
which comes on top of funding increases                                                      emissions.
                    122
to the Department. The Obama                                                            Big NanoNations, such as USA, Germany and
administration has proclaimed nanotech “a very                                    Japan, are said to be leading the charge in cleantech
powerful tool for achieving some of the president’s goals such          investment. Signature initiatives in the U.S. federal budget
as accelerating the transition to a low-carbon economy and              proposal for 2011 include Nanotechnology Applications for
                                            123
reducing death and suffering from cancer.”                              Solar Energy (a joint agency initiative to receive $51 million)
The European Union has come up with a €200 billion                      and Sustainable Nano manufacturing ($23 million), which is
Recovery Plan, with three public-private-partnership R&D                to focus on “high-speed communication and computation,
programs aimed at accelerating progress in energy efficient             solar energy harvesting, waste heat management and recovery,
                                                                                             135
cars and buildings and future manufacturing. (The                       and energy storage.”
programme will run on funds redirected from FP7 nano-
                        124
manufacturing budgets. )




The Big Downturn?                                                  11                                                 Nanogeopolitics
What Exactly Is Cleantech?                                            The rhetoric is certainly seductive. After all, “who wouldn’t
                                                                        want a technology that is ‘safe by design’, that can deliver
  For some, cleantech is a fundamentally new approach that              clean water to billions, or enable consumption without
  “addresses the roots of ecological problems with new science,         negative effects on ourselves or our environment?”
                                                                                                                             132

  emphasizing natural approaches such as biomimicry and
           127
  biology.” For others, the brand is like a smokestack                  Included under the cleantech banner is nuclear power
  scrubber – a laundering service for problematic technologies          generation – the technology that was to provide electricity
  (such as nuclear, coal) that could make business-as-usual             “too cheap to meter” but persists as the technology too
  ‘sustainable.’ Rather than referring to a specific set of             difficult to decommission and too difficult to clean up after.
  technologies, the term cleantech almost always points to a            That should be sufficient to encourage critical evaluation of
  new market opportunity that has emerged from the eye of               the cleantech concept. But the rush into nano-cleantech
  the perfect storm created by climate change and peak oil.             investment is of particular concern because there is, as yet,
                                                                        little to support the assertion that nano is inherently clean,
  There appears to be a consensus within industry that                  including the accumulating data on the health effects of
  cleantech refers to applications that “add economic value             exposure to nanomaterials and the absence of lifecycle
                                         128
  compared to traditional alternatives.” It has been described          analyses.
                                                            129
  as “the largest economic opportunity of the 21st century”
  and a “natural fit” between economic growth and projected             The nano-cleantech hype also casts a long shadow in R&D
                        130
  environmental gains. At the moment, however, cleantech is             investment and blocks out the sun on a range of other
  effectively a fundraising slogan. The mere announcement of            competing strategies and approaches with the potential to
  government research grants for cleantech projects including           deliver less risky alternatives. Consultants to the UK
  nano-pesticide production was claimed to have made the                Government advised that nano applications in energy
  Canadian economy “instantly cleaner.”
                                           131                          efficiency and generation due to come online in the longer-
                                                                        term may offer significant gains, but that these may not
  Gift Horse Dental Exam: Should civil society welcome                  necessarily outperform competing technologies and “they
  governments’ new emphasis on cleantech investment and the             probably underestimate technological advances in non-
  effect that funding incentives may have on the orientation of                                             133
                                                                        nanotechnological innovations.” “It is important,” says one
  some nano R&D?                                                        commentator, “that we do not choose too early the winners
                                                                                                           134
                                                                        and losers among technologies.”




Fuel cell technology involving nano alone is attracting $1              In the U.S., a new lobby launched this year to leverage more
billion per annum investment in International Energy Agency             funds for nano cleantech. Pitched from the politically potent
                        136
(i.e., OECD) countries. A 2008 United Nations University                intersection of energy security and national security, the
report listed 70 hydrogen fuel cell projects in varying stages,         NanoAssociation for Natural Resources and Energy Security
                                        137
from R&D to pilot commercialization.                                    (NANRES) is a self-described group of “forward-thinking
                                                                        leaders” with a shared interest in bringing nano to market.
The EU’s Seventh Framework Programme (2007-2013)
                                                                        The lobby is on a member-recruitment drive, but the chair has
embraces nano cleantech and includes a €55 million fund to
                  138                                                   already been supplied by arms manufacturer Lockheed Martin
produce biofuels. Among the projects funded is ROD SOL
                                                                        and the CEO by the Washington-based thinktank, Center for
– a three-year, €4 million project to boost solar power
                                                                        a New American Security. The group is not short on
efficiency using inorganic nano-rod based thin-film solar cells.
                                                                        optimism: “Nanotechnology is the answer that will empower,
                                                                        strengthen, and secure our nation’s energy security
                                                                                    139
                                                                        condition.”




ETC Group                                                          12                                               www.etcgroup.org
Part 5. Nano Neo Governance:
        Tiny Technologies / Big World
At the close of the first decade of government pledges to               The UK Soil Association has called for an upper limit of 200
govern nanotechnology responsibly, nano-specific regulation             nm; Friends of the Earth believes that 300 nm is an acceptable
                                                                                   146
remains rare, and regulatory scrutiny of nanomaterials rarer            threshold.
still. However, patience is running thin for the laissez-faire
                                                                        Size is not the only relevant factor determining whether a
approach and governments may not be able to extend the
                                                                        substance exhibits quantum effects. Other factors include
regulatory holiday much longer.
                                                                        shape/morphology, chemical composition, solubility, surface
                                                                        area, particle concentration, degree of bio-degradability and
                                                                        bio-persistence and the presence of impurities such as residual
Knowing What to Regulate                                                         147
                                                                        catalyst. Then there is the question of nanoparticles that
Would Be a Start                                                        form aggregates (collections of strongly bound particles) or
                                                                        agglomerates (collections of weakly bound particles) larger
What is Nano?                                                           than 100 nm. At present these do not appear to fall within any
                                                                        regulatory frame, although as the EU’s SCENIHR stated,
The conventional “100 nm” definition of nano – ascribing to             clusters of nanoparticles are still ‘nano’ from a risk
the theory that unique properties occur only in substances              perspective.
                                                                                     148

below that size threshold in at least one dimension – has had
considerable play since the U.S. National Nanotech Initiative
adopted it in 2001. Yet, from a toxicological perspective, it
                                                                        Where is Nano?
would appear to be an arbitrary limit. According to a leading
nanotoxicologist, “The idea that a 102 nm particle is safe and          In addition to the definitional quandary, governments are hard
                                              140
a 99 nm particle is not is just plain daft...” At the beginning         pressed to identify which nanomaterials are on the market
of 2009, the European Union’s Scientific Committee on                   within their borders.
Emerging and Newly Identified Health Risks (SCENIHR)                    It is not simply that detection-technology has yet to make its
stated that “the definition of what is ‘nano’ is still under            way to the light of day. Nor is it that legislation does not
         141
debate.”                                                                provide regulators with a mandate to require information
Not everyone agrees. German chemical giant Evonik, for                  from producers or from companies incorporating
example, claims that not only is there no quantum action                nanomaterials into their products. Industry is currently playing
above the 100 nm mark, but also that 100 nm is a generous               a large-scale game of hide-and-seek, claiming “confidential
             142
threshold. In October 2010, the European Commission put                 business information” and leaving governments either
forward its draft definition – citing 100 nm as the upper size          receiving favours from NGOs that have compiled product
threshold – to a public consultation. Earlier in 2010, the UK           inventories, or at the mercy of industry consultants who would
House of Lords explicitly rejected the 100 nm threshold and             seem to have the inside track. The latter is an expensive
recommended that regulatory coverage of nanoparticles                   avenue, as the European Parliament knows. In 2006, a
                                                 143
should encompass anything under 1,000 nm. The Swiss                     parliamentary committee attempting to pinpoint consumer
Federal Office for Public Health and the Federal Office for             nanoproducts on the European market was stymied by the
                                                                                                                                 149
the Environment recommend that 500 nm be used as the                    refusal of food companies to share such information. The
upper limit in order to avoid excluding any nano-specific               committee was forced to turn to industry but had not
      144
risks. Across the Atlantic, U.S. federal agencies differ. The           budgeted for the expensive consultancy reports and had to rely
                                                                                                 150
Food and Drug Administration (FDA) has chosen not to                    on the free summaries. Now the European Commission
place size limits on nano in order to avoid arbitrary cut-off           appears to have decided that it should have some grasp on
         145
points. Trade unions and civil society organizations have also          what is on the market and has hired some industry guns to
                                                                                             151
been calling for official definitions to reflect developments in        scout the territory.
scientific understanding, both in terms of size and other
physical properties.


The Big Downturn?                                                  13                                                 Nanogeopolitics
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etc group on Nano geopolitics

  • 1.
  • 2. “Nanomaterials exemplify the kind of challenge for which attention to closing gaps in knowledge and regulation is necessary but insufficient. Effective governance will mean looking beyond traditional regulation for other, more imaginative solutions, often involving a wider range of actors and institutions than has been customary in the past…Ultimately however, many of the questions raised…extend beyond the (important) issues of risk and risk management to questions about the direction, application and control of innovation.” – The UK’s Royal Commission on Environmental Pollution (RCEP), Novel Materials in the Environment: The Case of Nanotechnology, November 2008. (In July 2010, the UK’s Environment Secretary Caroline Spelman announced she was abolishing the RCEP as part of a deficit reduction effort.) About the cover From Georges Seurat’s ‘Bathers at Asnières’ (National Gallery, London) painted in 1884 (as shown here). Against a backdrop of smokestacks spewing industrial pollution, Seurat’s anonymous workers from a suburb of Paris relax along and in the River Seine. In Shtig’s adaptation for our cover, the scene of workers at leisure is made ominous by nanotech’s new form of industrial pollution, visible only by its effects on the environment and human health. Acknowledgements ETC Group owes a tremendous debt of gratitude to Stephanie Howard, whose careful, original and comprehensive research forms the basis of this report. We have also benefitted from discussions that took place We are extremely grateful to all of the Nano-hazard symbol (reproduced on during a series of meetings organized to participants. ETC Group gratefully this report’s cover) by Kypros explore the implications of BANG acknowledges the financial support Kyprianou. (converging technologies), including an of SwedBio (Sweden), HKH This symbol was one of three international seminar in Montpellier, Foundation (USA), CS Fund winners of ETC Group’s 2007 France, in November 2008 convened by (USA), Christensen Fund Nano-Hazard Symbol ETC Group, The What Next? Project, (USA), Heinrich Böll Contest. All entries can be BEDE, Fondation Sciences Citoyennes, as Foundation (Germany), the seen here: well as subsequent regional meetings Lillian Goldman Charitable Trust (USA), www.etcgroup.org/gallery2/main.php?g2 convened by (among others) Centro Oxfam Novib (Netherlands), Ben and Ecológico (Brazil), FASE (Brazil), African Jerry’s Foundation (USA) and the Biodiversity Network, African Centre for The Big Downturn? Nanogeopolitics is Norwegian Forum for Environment and Biosafety (South Africa), CASIFOP ETC Group Communiqué # 105 Development. (Mexico), Alliance for Humane Published in Ottawa, Canada, December Biotechnology (USA), EQUINET, ETC Group is solely responsible for the 2010 SEARICE (Philippines), Friends of the views expressed in this document. All ETC Group publications are available Earth (USA), ICTA (USA), Center for free of charge on our website: Genetics and Society (USA) and Movement Copy-edited by Leila Marshy www.etcgroup.org Generation (USA). Design by Shtig (.net) The Big Downturn? i Nanogeopolitics
  • 3. The Big Downturn? Nanogeopolitics ETC Group revisits nanotech’s geopolitical landscape and provides a snapshot of current investment, governance and control, including intellectual property. ETC Group ii www.etcgroup.org
  • 4. Overview Issue Actors Is Tiny Tech down in the dumps or just lying low? ETC The ground has shifted considerably in the five years concludes that even though the market is soft and since ETC Group published its first survey of nano’s industry is increasingly nervous about its health and geopolitical landscape. Despite bleak – and largely environmental exposure, the world’s governments have rhetorical – forecasts of the U.S.’s diminishing stature in invested too much (more than $50 billion through 2009) nanoworld, the USA (including the public and private to retreat from a technology they’ve claimed will not parts of corporatized America) still spends the most only help end the recession but rescue the climate and money on R&D, though China fields more scientists. resolve Peak Oil. With Europe and the U.S. divided on Meanwhile, Russia has suddenly emerged as the biggest regulation, industry wants to dump its self-inflicted (but, perhaps, not the brightest or most consistent) “nanotechnology” moniker, determined not to public spender. Europe and Japan are still in the draw unwelcome public attention until the game, but lagging. At least 60 countries have regulatory nano-dust settles. Far from History state nanotech initiatives, including settling, the clouds are gathering to rain makes clear that new newcomers Nepal, Sri Lanka and on little nano’s surprisingly ponderous Pakistan. In 2010, nano is bigger in technologies don’t have parade. Asia than in either North America or to work particularly well Europe. Worldwide, there are more to be profitable and than 2000 nanotech enterprises At Stake transformative. researching and/or manufacturing Nanotech is still positioned as the multi- nanoparticles utilizing a largely uncounted trillion dollar game-changer that will restructure (and unprotected) workforce. Partial estimates global commodity markets. History makes clear that new include: 35,000 nanotech researchers in the global technologies don’t have to work particularly well to be chemistry sector alone but, also, 63,000 workers in profitable and transformative. Estimates of today’s Germany and another 2 million or so in the U.S. – all commercial market range irrationally between a meager exposed to potentially hazardous nano-scale particles. $12 billion and a whopping $224 billion. The lower Five years from now, the number of workers is predicted figure is closer to reality. In the absence of labeling rules to reach 10 million. (How many jobs nanotech’s (or common sense) nobody knows how many products commodity market disruptions could make obsolete is contain what types (or sizes) of nanoparticles but one still not a topic for polite conversation.) Trade unions, survey has identified at least 1600 products. ETC such as IUF, ETUC and United Steelworkers, are taking believes the number of products – which includes foods, a tough stance on nano and civil society organizations feeds, pesticides and skin care products – is substantially have campaigned for strong oversight grounded in higher. In the past couple of years, private nano precaution. investment has exceeded public funding so that, in 2010, total global investment probably exceeds $20 billion. So, “at stake” is our environment and the health of both our economies and our societies. The New Biomassters iii Nanogeopolitics
  • 5. What is Nanotechnology? For example: • Carbon in the form of graphite (like pencil “lead”) is soft and malleable; at the nanoscale, carbon can Nanotechnology is a suite of techniques used to be stronger than steel – somewhere between 10 and manipulate matter on the scale of atoms and 500 times stronger, according to the science press – molecules. Nanotechnology speaks solely to scale: and is six times lighter. Nano refers to a measurement, not an object. A • Nanoscale copper is elastic at room temperature, “nanometer” (nm) equals one-billionth of a meter. able to stretch to 50 times its original length Ten atoms of hydrogen lined up side-by-side equal without breaking. one nanometer. • Aluminum – the material of soft drink cans – can A DNA molecule is about 2.5 nm wide. A red blood spontaneously combust at the nanoscale. cell is enormous in comparison: about 5,000 nm in diameter. Everything on the nanoscale is invisible to Researchers celebrate their “new, expanded periodic the unaided eye and even to all but the most table” of elements and are exploiting nanoscale powerful microscopes. property changes to create new materials and modify existing ones. Companies now manufacture Key to understanding the potential of nanotech is engineered nanoparticles that are used in thousands that, at the nanoscale, a material’s properties can of commercial products. Nanotech tools and change dramatically; the changes are called “quantum processes are being applied across all industry sectors. effects.” With only a reduction in size (to something Products on the market or in the pipeline include smaller than 1000 nm in at least one dimension) and cell-specific drugs; new chemical catalysts (used in no change in substance, materials can exhibit new the processing of petroleum, for example); foods characteristics – such as electrical conductivity, containing nanoscale ingredients; nano-scaffolds for increased bioavailability, elasticity, greater strength or tissue engineering; sensors to monitor everything in reactivity – properties that the very same substances the land, sea and air as well as everything in and on may not exhibit at the micro or macro scales. our bodies. Fora Most activity is still aimed at facilitating nano’s path from Since then, however, OECD efforts – led by the U.S. – lab to market, through research collaborations, standards have focused on containing the ICCM rebellion. More development, and reportedly by early 2011, a formal recently, the UN Food and Agriculture Organization commodity exchange for trade in nanomaterials. In 2008, (FAO) and the World Health Organization (WHO) political differences on the meaning of responsible have gotten into the act and the International Labour stopped (or at least stalled) the International Dialogue Organization (ILO) will take up nano’s invisible hazards on Responsible Nanotechnology Development: EU at its XIX World Congress on Safety and Health at representatives are feeling pressure to talk regulation; Work in Istanbul in September 2011. Importantly, the U.S. reps, not so much. About the same time, the UK’s UN’s Rio+20 Summit in 2012 will scrutinize nano’s DFID, Canada’s IDRC and the Rockefeller Foundation claim to be central to the future “Green Economy” – one hung up on the Global Dialogue on Nanotechnology of two Summit themes. Even if the G8/G-20 countries and the Poor. Luckily, the International Conference on are indifferent or incompetent, the UN and the G77 Chemicals Management (ICCM), egged on by civil seem willing to act. society, rebelled against regulatory inactivity on nano at its 2008 meeting in Senegal. ETC Group iv www.etcgroup.org
  • 6. Policies Ten years, $50 billion, and a couple of thousand products since the nanotech boom began in 2000, the 60+ Nano's coming of age? governments with national programs still lack an agreed In November 2010, IBM's nano-logo turned 21 years old. Painstakingly definition for nano; an accepted measurement standard; arranged over a period of 22 hours using a scanning tunneling replicable research models; public health and microscope (STM), the "35 atoms that changed the world" signified the capture of atom-scale precision by corporate science. (See below.) In a environmental safety regulations; and the remotest 2009 press release marking the feat's 20th anniversary, an IBM vice- understanding of the potential social-economic, president called the creation of the nano-logo "a defining moment" enabling research that will eventually lead to "advance computing... intellectual property or competition issues involved in using less energy resources.” Maybe by the time nano's a senior citizen? the several hundred nanomaterials under research or manufacture. Barring catastrophe, it is increasingly Why this report? When ETC Group began unlikely that OECD country regulators will have the investigating nanoscale technologies in 2000, an iconic courage or the clout to provide the governance image showing 35 xenon atoms arranged to form the nanotechnology requires. Although the European letters I B M appeared everywhere in the popular Parliament is prodding reluctant EC press – demonstrating, according to regulators, and even some U.S. scientists and journalists, an ability (by government agencies show signs of Since our call corporate researchers) to control acknowledging their mandates, industry is still telling OECD for a moratorium, individual atoms and arrange them science has cast nano’s in any desired configuration. The states to back off. Eight years ago, commercial potential of ETC Group called for a safety even further in doubt, unprecedented, precise atomic- moratorium until exposed with hundreds of studies now level manipulations was both researchers and workers could proceed with reasonable safety demonstrating harmful obvious and great, and to effects from exposure to jumpstart the nano-revolution, the assurances and we asked for the U.S. government launched its withdrawal of all products being nanoparticles. ambitious National Nanotechnology sprayed in the environment, ingested by Initiative in 2001. When, in mid-2002, people or animals, or used on the skin until ETC Group called for a moratorium on the proven safe. We continue to call for this commercialization of new nano products for health and moratorium. Without effective intergovernmental safety reasons, the response bordered on hysteria. Our action, CSOs will redub the Rio(plus)20 Summit “Silent publication early the next year of The Big Down, in Spring(minus)50” marking the publication of Rachel which we reiterated our call for a moratorium and Carson’s groundbreaking book in 1962. warned of possible downsides to a nanotech revolution – including the privatization of the earth’s fundamental building blocks and the displacement of workers dependent on markets for traditional commodities – didn’t win us any more love from nanophiles. The Big Downturn? v Nanogeopolitics
  • 7. The fledgling U.S. nanotech trade journal, Small Times, featured articles characterizing ETC Group as a “merry band of miscreants” with “avowed Maoist sympathies” whose “bizarre beliefs seem to be driving their attacks on legitimate science and social advances to the detriment of all of us.”1 In the intervening eight years since our call for a moratorium, science has cast nano’s safety even further in doubt, with hundreds of studies now demonstrating harmful effects from exposure to nanoparticles. In 2005, our merry band published Nanogeopolitics, a global survey of the (sad) state of nanoregulations. In 2007, a broad coalition of civil society, public interest, environmental and labor organizations from across the globe worked out a set of Principles for the Oversight of Nanotechnologies and Nanomaterials grounded in the Precautionary Principle.2 2010 marks nearly a decade that governments have been patting themselves on the back with one hand – for being “pro-active” – and waving away red flags raised by scientists and civil society organizations with the other hand. Industry has generally refused to lend a hand at all, consistently declining to provide information on activities or release data on toxicity. Manipulating matter at the nanoscale has turned out to be more complicated than IBM’s nano-logo led us all to believe, and investment in nanotech R&D has yet to return a “world-saving” application. Policymakers – some kicking and screaming – are beginning to acknowledge that fast-tracking nanotech has come at a price and that some sort of regulation is needed to deal with at least some of the risks it poses. But governments and industry, Governments hand in hand, have come too far and invested too much and industry have come to give up on nanotech’s promise of becoming the too far and invested too strategic platform for global control of manufacturing, much to give up on nanotech’s food, agriculture and health – a pillar of the 21st promise of becoming a century’s “green economy.” This report revisits nano’s pillar of the 21st century’s “green economy.” geopolitical landscape, providing a snapshot of global investment, governance and control, including intellectual property, in 2010. ETC Group vi www.etcgroup.org
  • 8. Contents 4. Nano in the Age of Crisis 11 Financial Crisis 11 Climate Crisis and Peak Oil: 11 Overview iii Nano “Cleantech” to the Rescue Issue iii Box: What Exactly Is Cleantech? 12 At Stake iii Actors iii 5. Nano Neo Governance: 13 Fora iv Tiny Technologies / Big World Box: What is Nanotechnology? iv Knowing What to Regulate Would Be a Start 13 Policies v Box: Nano's coming of age? v What is Nano? 13 Box: Tiny Tech’s Titanic Impacts vi Where is Nano? 13 Nano Regulation in Europe: Tiny Steps in the 14 Right Direction? 1. The State of the NanoNation 3 Or REACH: No Data, No Regulation 14 NanoNation Roundup 3 Box: Regulatory Loopholes: Nanotubes 14 – Public Sector Investment End of the Regulatory Holiday? 14 Come on Down: NanoNation Contenders 4 Nanocosmetics: Regulatory Touch-Up 15 Table: Government Investment 2009 4 Nanofoods Still on the Shelf 15 Box: Military Nano: War Games 5 Regulating Nano's eHazards? 15 Nano, Inc. – Private Sector Investment 5 The United States: Giant Investor / Nanoscale 16 Box: Irreconcilable Differences? Buyer Beware. 6 Regulator More than Money Matters: Other Indicators 6 Box: Nothing New About Nano? 16 Box: Nanosilver Spin Cycles 16 2. Market Forecasts: 7 Can’t – or Won’t? 17 From Banal to Bloated Box: U.S. Nanotech Regs: An Oversight? 17 Playing the Nano Numbers 7 Federal Inaction Prompts State Governments 18 Table: Lux Research’s Nano Value Chain 7 Nano’s Regulatory World Pass 18 The Foggy Commercial Bottom? 7 Box: “Bulk Nano?” – A New Commodity 8 6. Voluntary Schemes: 19 Exchange for Nanomaterials Discount Governance Box: The Price of Tubes 9 Box: Uncle Sam Wants You!…To Buy Nanotech 19 Reporting Schemes: Industry’s a no-show 19 3. Jobs, Jobs, Jobs: 9 Box: EPA Scores its Nanomaterials 20 But Do We Want Them? Stewardship Program Cartoon: Teeni-WeeniLeaks 10 Why is Industry a No-show? 20 What About Worker Safety? 10 The Big Downturn? 1 Nanogeopolitics
  • 9. Box: Have Mercy on the Start-Ups 20 10. Insuring the Invisible 32 Gluttons for Punishment 21 Will They, Won’t They? 32 Box: “It’s a disaster” 21 Outclauses 32 Codes of Conduct 22 The Responsible Nano Code: All Care 22 11. Nano Standards: Private Codes 33 and No Responsibility? Bottom Line: No Regs = No-show by Cos. 23 The Contenders 33 Box: Regulatory Harmony or the Sound of 23 Other Players in the Standards Arena 34 Silence? Progress: Baby’s First Words 35 I Came, ISO, I Conquered: 35 7. Intergovernmental 24 The Globalization of Private Standards Policy Frameworks 12. Codes of Monopoly: 36 International Dialogue on Responsible 24 Research and Development of Nanotech Intellectual Property Nanotechnology The Morning After Hangover 37 The Picnic’s Over: Time for IPNiC? 24 Patent Pending…Reforms at the USPTO 37 Box: United Nations’ Nano Presence 25 Class of 2008: Nano Patent Activity at the USPTO 37 The OECD Working Parties 25 Table: Top 5 Countries by Patent Activity 38 Box: OECD: Industry’s PR Department 26 at USTPO* The International Conference on Chemicals 26 Table: USPTO Nano Patents 1976 to 2008 38 Management The Miracle Molecule: Carbon Nanotubes at the 39 USPTO in 2008 8. Gone-a-Courtin’: 27 Carbon Nanotube Patents Awarded in 2008 39 Engaging the Public Carbon Nanotube Patent Applications 39 Filed in 2008 Who’s the EU talking to? 28 U.S. Government: Largest Patent 40 Illustration: Cover detail from Communicating 28 Patron for 2008 Nanotechnology Table: U.S. Government-funded R&D Leading 40 Box: Not So Bon Voyage for Nano? 28 to Nano Patents and Applications, 2008 The Prior Art of War: Military and Defense 41 9. The Science of Catching Up: 29 Applications Ums and Ehs Cartoon: M0.00016 - Don't ask! 41 Up for Grabs 29 Academia Boosts the Nano-War Effort 42 Box: United States EHS Research Effort 30 Gets an ‘F’ Appendix: Class of 2008 – Awarded 43 The Generation Gap 31 Patents and Filed Applications of Note at the USPTO Box: “A war worth fighting”? 31 Endnotes 47 ETC Group 2 www.etcgroup.org
  • 10. Part 1. The State of the NanoNation “To promote industrial growth, a vibrant economy, NanoNation Roundup and social welfare, Europe must maintain its leading position in all fields of Nanotechnologies, Materials – Public Sector Investment Science and Engineering and Production Systems 2001 marked the beginning of the United States’ interagency (NMP).” National Nanotechnology Initiative; since then the federal – NMP Expert Advisory Group (EAG) Position paper government has invested around $12 billion dollars of public 14 on future RTD activities of NMP for the period funds, including $1.6 billion in 2010. The Department of 2010 – 2015, November 2009 Defense has gotten the biggest allowance with $3.4 billion (or just under 30% of the total nano R&D funds); the National Nanotech has had a tough time over the last couple of years: Science Foundation just over 25%; the Department of Energy raising capital funds and turning a profit were uphill battles, 18%, and the Department of Health and Human and commercialization faltered as no blockbuster products Services/National Institutes of Health 15% of the NNI 15 3 emerged to rally the markets. In 2009, venture capital funds. President Obama’s budget for 2011 gives nanotech 4 investment had dropped 43% from 2008 levels. By some another $1.8 billion. Some state governments, including accounts, public funding is still to peak as more states enter Georgia, New York, Oklahoma and Illinois, are funding 5 the arena, but the rate of investment that marked the first half nanotech initiatives out of their own budgets, to the tune of 16 6 of the nanotech decade has dropped sharply. According to an estimated $400 million per year – nudging all public one industry analyst assessing nano’s performance in 2009, funding per annum over the $2 billion mark, but still below “Nanotechnology treaded water, barely staying afloat.” 7 total public EU spending. Meanwhile, rankings placed nano as one of three major The European Commission has invested around €5.1 billion 8 technological risks facing the planet; as Europe’s top emerging through its Framework Programmes, with the current 9 workplace risk; and one of the new global environmental Framework (FP7, 2007 through 2013) earmarking a total of 10 threats to child health. 17 €3.5 billion for nanotechnology. In 2008, total public The sea may be rough, but there’s no doubt nanotech is funding (from the 27 member state governments and the keeping its head above water, buoyed by greater government Commission) was $2.6 billion, accounting for 30% of global investment with an eye toward moving products to market. public funding and putting it ahead of the U.S.’s federal For Brussels, Moscow, Washington and Beijing, dominance in investment. The EU maintained its lead in 2009, although its nanotech is still synonymous with economic competitiveness, slice of the public-funding pie shrunk to just over one-quarter 18 industrial growth and even social wellbeing. 11 of global R&D. Germany, one of the world’s largest chemical Nanotechnologies remain a fixture of the future – a platform economies, leads the Europack with €441.2 million invested 19 promising to permeate every sector of the economy. By the from all public sources in 2009. A 2010 review of the EU’s end of 2009, governments had pumped more than $50 billion investment in nano R&D under the previous funding of public funds – including a colossal $9.75 billion in 2009 by programme (FP6, 2002-2006) hints at lowered expectations, 20 12 one count – into the technology. At least 60 countries now however. The report’s title: “Strategic impact, no revolution.” have state nanotech initiatives, investment programmes and/or Japan is a longstanding member of the NanoNation- 13 publicly funded research programs. triumvirate with per annum investment hovering just above or below the $1 billion mark over the past five years. According to some analysts, 2009 saw Japan surpassing the U.S. in 21 successful commercialization of nanotech products. The Big Downturn? 3 Nanogeopolitics
  • 11. Come on Down: NanoNation Contenders Brazil is a leader of nano development in Latin America. In 2009, the government invested over $44 million in nanoscale While the U.S., the EU and Japan are still out in front in terms technologies through the Ministry of Science & Technology, of expertise, infrastructure, and capacity, market analyst firm which doled out funds equalling 1.4% of GDP to all areas of Cientifica reports that the share of the top three in R&D was science R&D. 31 just 58% of global R&D spending by governments by 2009, 22 compared with 85% in 2004. Other emerging economies are In general, Asian countries are big on nano. South Korea has beginning to shake up the NanoNation league table: invested US$1.4 billion in the technology over the past eight years and has announced its Russia exploded onto the scene in 2007 intention to become one of the top three with a massive cash injection (and the Germany’s future nanoindustry leaders by 2015. 32 detonation of what was billed as the competitiveness in industries Undeterred, Thailand plans to be the 23 first “nanobomb”). The Kremlin such as automotives, chemicals, focus of nano industrial activity in established a state corporation pharmaceuticals, medicine technology, 33 the ASEAN region, and Sri focused on nanotechnologies, information and communication technology, Lanka has recently made known Rusnano, and reportedly handed and optics, and in traditional industries such its plan to become the Asian hub it almost $4 billion to invest. The 34 of sustainable nanotech. As a as engineering, textiles, and construction, will aim was to capture 3% of the region, Asia’s investment had 24 largely depend on the realisation of global nano market by 2015. topped that of the U.S. by 2007. Russia’s nano-investment became nanotechnological innovations. By 2008, investment in nano less certain when, in 2009, some – Federal Ministry of Research and R&D from all sources – public, Rusnano funds were shifted back to Education, Nano-Initiative – Action private, including venture capital – in state coffers to plug wider funding Plan 2010, 2007 Asian countries reached $6.6 billion gaps; then, in July 2010 – in the wake of (with Japan responsible for a weighty $4.7 a federal investigation of all state billion) according to U.S.-based consultancy corporations – Rusnano was reorganized into a Lux Research, compared to an estimated $5.7 billion 25 publicly traded company. According to one from all sources (public and private) in the U.S. 35 commentator, Russia remains a “minor league” player, despite its investment, due to poor performance in IP and other aspects of technology development, including so-called brain Government Investment in Nanotechnology 2009 36 26 drain. 27 The figures on China’s nano investment vary, but there is no % of % of total doubt that the country is committed to the technology. The total adjusted for PPP* Chinese Academy of Sciences reports public nano-investment 28 EU 27% 27% of $180 million per annum. London-based consultancy Cientifica estimated China’s investment for 2008 at around (27 members + FP7) $510 million, which, when adjusted for so-called “purchasing Russia 23% 25% power parity,” put it in third place, tied with the U.S. and 29 U.S.A 19% 16% behind the EU and Russia (see table). In 2009, nano commanded a greater portion of the science R&D budget in Japan 12% 9% China than in the U.S. 30 China 10% 18% South Africa has had its eye on nanotech for the better part of Korea 4% the last decade, paying particular attention to the impact new Taiwan 1% nanomaterials could have on minerals markets (e.g., platinum, * Purchasing India (<1%) palladium). The government launched its National Power Parity Rest of world 4% Nanotechnology Strategy in 2005, funding R&D through the 37 Department of Science & Technology whose overall budget (Cientifica’s 2009 white paper on global funding of nanotech R&D did for 2009/10 neared $600 million. not see the global recession having an immediate effect on government funding. Cientifica sees the slowdown as reflecting a shift from basic research to application-focused investment.) ETC Group 4 www.etcgroup.org
  • 12. Military Nano: War Games Nano, Inc. The U.S. is understood to be making the world’s largest – Private Sector Investment investment in military applications of nanotechnology – More than once, decision-makers in Washington have been accounting for as much as 90% of global nano-military warned that the U.S. risks losing its lead in the nano race to 38 R&D by one estimate – though the UK, Netherlands, the EU, China, India, or Japan – or that the lead has already Sweden, France, Israel, India, China, Malaysia and Iran are 48 been lost. In commercializing tiny tech, the U.S. is reportedly all said to be investing some public funds in military 49 trailing Japan, Germany and South Korea. Stepped up research as well. adoption by the private sector, they say, is key to securing 50 The U.S. Department of Defense (DOD) has reportedly dominance. Across the Atlantic, the European Commission invested in “sub-micron technologies” since the 1980s 39 is similarly insecure about the EU’s position and, too, has and, in the first decade of NNI funding, received a total called for greater involvement and investment by the private 51 $3.4 billion for nano R&D – around 30% of the total sector. 40 federal investment for that period. The White House has While investment by the private sector is less transparent and proposed cutting the DOD’s nano R&D funds for the therefore more difficult to calculate – especially without the 2011 fiscal (in favour of greater funds for energy and benefit of proprietary market reports, just one of which can 41 health-related research), but still leaving the Department cost several thousand dollars – it is now agreed that corporate with some $349 million to spend. investment in nanotech R&D outstrips government spending. Projects in the UK’s Defence Technology Plan that both Lux Research predicted that global private sector investment 52 likely and explicitly include tiny tech suggest the Ministry would outpace government spending by 2005, but it was not of Defence is investing between £29.6 million and £73 until 2007 that the consultancy reported corporate R&D 53 million over a three-year period (2009-2012), though investment had nudged ahead. Cientifica reported corporate nano may not be a significant component of some of the funding had indeed pulled ahead by 2005 and estimates the projects; on the other hand, these projects may not reflect private sector will foot the bill for 83% of all nano R&D 54 the entire nano R&D portfolio. 42 investment by the end of 2010. Russia declared military applications to be high on its According to the European Commission (relying on figures 43 nanotech R&D agenda – an interest it punctuated with from Lux Research) private sector investment in nano R&D is the televised detonation, in 2007, of what the Kremlin highest in the Asia region ($2.8 billion), closely followed by declared to be the world’s first nanobomb – a fuel-air the U.S. ($2.7 billion), with European companies less 55 explosive with reportedly nanometer-sized features enthusiastic, at $1.7 billion. The U.S. is the clear leader in 44 endearingly dubbed the Father Of All Bombs. The bomb venture capital funding, cornering 80% of all investment from 56 carried almost 8 tonnes of explosives and flattened a four- that source. 45 storey building. Most Fortune 100 companies are said to be running nano Military applications are also within the Indian R&D programmes or using nano commercially. According to government’s sights. The Department of Science and a report by the U.S. President’s Council of Advisors on Science Technology (DST) has commandeered the Agharkar and Technology (PCAST, also relying on Lux Research Research Institute (ARI) to provide nanoparticles to the figures), the $2.7 billion investment by U.S. corporations into 46 defence establishment and the Indian Defence Research nano R&D breaks down as follows: around half to electronics & Development Organization (DRDO) is developing and IT, 37% to materials and manufacturing sector, 8% to manufacturing capacity in fullerenes and carbon healthcare and life sciences, and 4% to the energy and 57 nanotubes for use in stealth, smart materials and environment sector. 47 nanoelectronics. The Big Downturn? 5 Nanogeopolitics
  • 13. In 2008, Cientifica estimated that corporations across the globe would pump a staggering $41 billion dollars into nano More than Money Matters: R&D in 2010, in the following sectors: 58 Other Indicators • The semiconductor industry would continue to see the Investment by government and companies – however fuzzy largest share of corporate R&D investment, with a $19.5 the math – is the most obvious factor in assessing so-called billion investment predicted for 2010. technology leadership, but analysts are also watching closely • Pharmaceutical and health care industries would overtake the league tables in intellectual property (IP), science journal the chemical industry in nano R&D, with a projected $8.3 publications, research infrastructure, educational indicators billion compared to $7.4 billion by chemical companies. and commercialization data. Major players in chemicals are BASF, DuPont, Dow, On the IP front, the U.S. is believed to lead in total number of 62 Syngenta, 3M. In pharmaceuticals: Johnson & Johnson, granted patents. European Commission analysis has the EU 63 GlaxoSmithKline, AstraZeneca, Pfizer, Aventis. trailing well behind the U.S. in IP. Regarding patent • The aerospace and defense sectors would invest $2.7 billion applications – “the forward indicator” of technology-capture 64 in nano R&D, while the electronics industry was heading for – a different picture emerges, with China in the lead. Over $2.1 billion in 2010. The top corporate spenders in the 1991-2008 period, applicants in China had filed more aerospace and defense are BAE Systems, Boeing, Lockheed applications in total (16,348) than applicants in the U.S. 65 Martin, EADS, Honeywell International. (12,696) had filed, at their respective patent offices. (Mr. • Food companies were expected to spend just $22 million in Yang Mengjun alone accounts for more than 900 patents nano R&D in 2010. related to nano-scale formulations of traditional Chinese 66 medicines. ) In 2008, Chinese applicants filed almost twice as many applications (4,409) as U.S. applicants did (2,228). This, however, could also be an Irreconcilable Differences? Buyer Beware indication of the broad scope of patent claims While the two most prominent nano-consultancies – Lux Research in the filed by U.S. applicants compared to the more U.S. and Europe-based Cientifica – agree on general points (e.g., narrow claims made by inventors in other nanotech will play a critical role in the 21st century economy; private countries. investment now exceeds public investment), there is more than an ocean According to an OECD assessment, the U.S. separating them. The discrepancy between their investment figures is leads in scientific publications, with 22% of all anything but nanoscale, with Cientifica estimating that the global private journal papers related to nanoscience and sector would invest $41 billion in nano R&D just in 2010 – that’s nearly technology; China (11%), Japan (10%), as well as much as the global public sector has invested over a decade. While as Germany (8%), France (6%), and the UK Cientifica’s major nano-market report is proprietary, the $41 billion (5%). China, however, is closing the gap. 67 59 figure was presented in a (formerly) freely-available Executive Summary. According to assessments cited in the PCAST Lux Research puts private investment in nano R&D at about $7.2 billion. report, the U.S. lags China and the EU in total Lux’s 2009 report, which provides private sector investment figures by number of publications, although, they argue, 60 region, is also proprietary – and ETC Group didn’t buy it – so the numbers do not signify quality or influence nor timeframe in question is not clear to us. We’re guessing the $7.2 billion are the many publications by Chinese scientists refers to recent per annum investment, but publicly-available reports that appearing in the canon of twelve or so core relied on Lux for private investment figures – such as reports from the EC nanoscience journals – all English language Directorate-General for Research and the U.S. President’s Council of publications – where EU and U.S. scientists 61 Advisors for Science and Technology – aren’t explicit. In light of the 68 predominate. That said, China’s share of discrepancy between the Lux and Cientifica figures, it seems that publications in these journals is increasing at somebody (or maybe everybody?) who handed over thousands of dollars about the same rate as the U.S.’s share is for insider information on the nano-market is getting a bum steer. decreasing. ETC Group 6 www.etcgroup.org
  • 14. Part 2. Market Forecasts: From Banal to Bloated Enthusiastic predictions of nano’s commercial returns Lux’s estimate for the total market value of nanotech in 2009 continue to spur government investment. The figure said to may be $253 billion, but a teeny $1.1 billion (or 0.42%) of have launched a thousand nanotechnology initiatives is the that arises from nanomaterials themselves; and that’s about as U.S. National Science Foundation’s 2001 prediction that the good as it gets for the predicted value of nanomaterials until world market for nano-based products would reach US$1 2015, where these account for just 0.11% of the total value trillion by 2015. That landmark projection has since been chain. 69 raised to $1.5 trillion, though U.S.-based Lux Research’s These figures would tend to support Lux’s assessment that the visions of $3.1 trillion have been recently trimmed to $2.5 75 70 big money is not to be made manufacturing nanoparticles, trillion due to the global economic recession. (See below.) but they also confirm the OECD’s caution that such 76 approaches are likely to generate “significant overstatements,” Playing the Nano Numbers or, as one industry member put it, “terribly deceiving 77 Assessing market value of nano is not a dark art, but it may numbers.” require some creative accounting alchemy, not least because Nevertheless, value chain predictions have received formal definitions of what constitutes nano are under considerable uncritical airtime unaccompanied by the more negotiation and because the level of market activity is not fully sobering breakdown of the value chain. This incautious 71 known. Indeed, like private investment calculations – and repetition may be due – at least partially – to the fact that the even in hindsight – accounts of nano’s market share vary detail is typically inside the cover of proprietary consultancy wildly: In 2007, the market value for nano was either $11.6 reports that are so expensive even governments are known to 72 billion or $147 billion, depending on whom you consult. rely on the free summaries. In general, estimates from Lux Research occupy the high end of the scale and are among the most widely cited. Lux The Foggy Commercial Bottom? developed a “value chain” approach that combines the value of the (raw) nanomaterials, the “intermediates” they are The lack of labeling requirements, consensus on terminology, incorporated into, as well as the final, “nano-enabled” product pre-market assessment and post-market monitoring by to arrive at the total market value. The potential for bloat governments – as well as industry’s uncompromising lack of from this method is considerable. For example, if a transparency – also contribute to the fog around nano’s market housebuilder installs a kitchen countertop that incorporates impact. Most governments rely on charity – a freely available antimicrobial silver nanoparticles, should nano’s contribution online inventory of consumer products developed by the U.S.- 78 be understood as the value of the silver nanoparticles, the based Project on Emerging Nanotechnologies (PEN). countertop, or the value of the whole house? Lux Research According to that inventory, there were just over one thousand would count all three. 73 product lines on the market as of August 2009 (when the inventory was last updated). That number is significantly lower than the actual number of commercialized products as the inventory lists only those products the manufacturer Lux Research’s Nano Value Chain 74 claims to incorporate nano and (US$ millions) does not cover intermediate Value % of Value % of Value % of products (such as coatings used in value in value in value in the automotive industry). 2009 chain 2012 chain 2015 chain Product 2009 2012 2015 A survey conducted by two government agencies in Canada Nanomaterials 1,074 0.42% 1,798 0.2% 2,916 0.11% a few months earlier than PEN’s Nanointermediates 28,839 11.36% 120,206 13.6% 498,023 20.2% latest assessment identified Nano-enabled products 223,785 88.22% 762,204 86.2% 1,962,950 79.66% roughly 1600 nanoproduct lines 79 Total V alue C hain 253,699 884,208 2,463,890 on the Canadian market. The Big Downturn? 7 Nanogeopolitics
  • 15. Based on PEN’s product inventory, nanosilver is the most common nanomaterial in commercial circulation, accounting “Bulk Nano?” – A New Commodity for one-quarter of available nanoproducts. This is followed by Exchange for Nanomaterials carbon nanomaterials (82), titanium (50), silica (35), zinc (30) 80 According to the web site of the Integrated Nano-Science and gold (27). Over half (540) of the products in the and Commodity Exchange (INSCX), a formal inventory are produced in the U.S.; Asia accounts for around commodity exchange trading platform for trading a wide 25% of the production (240) and Europe 15% (154). range of nanomaterials will be launched in Europe and the Whatever the actual number of consumer products, it is 82 United States early in 2011. Based in the UK, the agreed that tiny tech is at an early stage of development – exchange will cover basic raw materials as well as finished laying claim to mostly trivial achievements when set against products. The goal of the exchange “is to be the focal the technology’s revolutionary aspirations. In 2008, stain- point of the emerging world trade in nanomaterials,” resistant trousers had been, for one commentator, the best the assuring “quality and competitive prices” for technology had to offer in terms of “real life” products for half nanomaterials. a decade, aside from early commercial successes in 81 semiconductor applications. • Technologies without a product: According to Lux Despite the lack of clarity regarding nano’s market, it appears Research, nanotech is widely seen as “a technology without a 88 that the explosion in nano sales has not happened, “at least not product.” An advisory group to the EU points to the “need 83 at the projected levels of the original NNI business model.” for clear market drivers, for example, industrial problems 89 In addition to the worldwide financial slowdown, analysts that can be solved by the application of nanotechnologies.” point to a handful of challenges before nano can deliver the Without governments, investors and the like lining up to promised profits: purchase early stage products, “disruptive nanotechnologies will primarily remain as science projects and underfunded • Far horizons: Nano’s revolutionary or ‘disruptive’ 90 start-ups.” applications will require a long haul in R&D before big 84 money can be made. The nature of much of the • Wider industry wariness of nanotech: Stimulating industries revolutionary nano research agenda is characterized as ‘high- to incorporate nanotech in their product lines has proved risk, high-reward’ – one reason it tends to sit outside difficult. The news that in many cases, nanoproducts “will be 91 private sector investment horizons and only marginally profitable” hasn’t helped. More budgets. 85 significantly, Lloyd’s of London, the OECD and re-insurer SwissRe all report wider • Mass production, scaling up and industry concerns about nanosafety, quality control are fundamental for Despite regulatory uncertainty and public cost-effective nanomaterials that the wider manufacturing reportedly holding the 92 perceptions. Companies considering using nanomaterials in industry will use. At present, largest stack of patents, their product lines are advised to nanomaterial production is Procter & Gamble, for be especially diligent to avoid typically a low-volume affair, 93 example, appears to be liabilities down the road. generating considerable waste President Obama’s science and byproducts making some holding off on nanotech advisors also point to industry’s nanomaterials, at least, 86 prohibitively expensive. The because of potential reticence for fear of a consumer 94 backlash. Despite reportedly nanomanufacturing industry, liabilities. holding the largest stack of patents, according to an OECD assessment, “is Procter & Gamble, for example, appears still in its infancy and characterised by to be holding off on nanotech because of […] lack of infrastructure equipment for 95 potential liabilities. nanomanufacturing, and few efficient manufacturing methods especially in bottom-up approaches 87 to nanoscale engineering.” ETC Group 8 www.etcgroup.org
  • 16. The Price of Tubes Cheap Tubes Inc., the bargain-basement retailer for CNT in the U.S., is on a mission “to help usher in the Carbon Governments, universities and companies are proposing to Nanotubes-CNTs Application Age.” In November 2010, use carbon nanotubes in every product from the mundane to Cheap Tubes offered multiwalled nanotubes for as little the Martian, including fertilizers, home cleaning products, $600/kg (for non-functionalized varieties) and ~$1,500/kg drug delivery systems, combat gear, fuel cells and space 101 for high purity tubes. (Bargain shoppers may be able to get elevators. even cheaper tubes from the Hanoi-based Institute for To begin generating real profits, nanotubes will need to Material Sciences if the half-price sale they announced in 102 become affordable. Prices have been reportedly going down 2009 is still on. ) – one source describes ‘nosedives’ of 43% for multiwalled Industrial demand is currently low, with applications tubes (MWNTs) since 2005 and 33% for single-walled tubes relegated to the low hanging ‘fruit-of-the-looms’ until the 96 (SWNTs). Another commentator reports prices dropping 103 industrial sector shows greater interest. The potential for 97 “by three orders of magnitude” over the past few years. Lux some types of tubes to behave like asbestos fibres has, rightly, Research predicted in late 2009 that the price for standard not helped whet the appetite of potential buyers. In addition, grade MWNTs will drop to approximately $50 per kilogram hefty technological hurdles stand in the way of scaling up 98 at some unspecified point in the future, while another nanotube production for widespread commercial use. 104 estimate predicted the price would drop to $30/kg-$40/kg Although a number of companies have boosted production 99 in the next three-four years. The industry will have to get capacity (Bayer and Arkema, among others), manufacture of cracking to meet those projections. In 2004, the price of multi-walled nanotubes – the most widely used carbon nanotubes was predicted to fall to $284/kg by commercially – is generally operating at “single-digit percent 100 2007. That has yet to happen, even for low-grade multi- utilisation.” 105 walled tubes. Part 3. Jobs, Jobs, Jobs: But Do We Want Them? Enthusiastic characterizations of nanotech as job creator In short supply, too, are assessments of the jobs that nanotech abound. Forecasts from the turn of the millennium include may take away – particularly in countries of the global South – the National Science Foundation’s estimate of two million so net job creation is not known. In a 2005 report prepared 106 new workers by 2015 (or seven million assuming that for for the Geneva-based South Centre, The Potential Impacts of each nanotech worker another 2.5 positions are created in Nano-Scale Technologies on Commodity Markets: The 107 112 related areas). What the OECD labels “even more optimistic Implications for Commodity Dependent Developing Countries, forecasts” are from Lux Research, which estimates that 10 ETC Group provided a preliminary look at the potentially million manufacturing jobs related to nanotechnology will devastating socio-economic impacts if nano’s promise to up- 108 emerge within the next four years. end traditional markets is realized and governments are not In any case, attempts to put numbers on the current nano prepared. The report focused on rubber, platinum and copper workforce are rare. As with market analysis, assessments because those markets have been identified as likely to be related to employment are difficult due to lack of government dramatically affected by the introduction of new oversight of nanotech R&D and commercial activity as well as nanomaterials and because the materials are currently heavily the lack of a consensus definition for nano. In 2008, Cientifica sourced from the global South. More recently, social scientists estimated that 35,000 researchers in the worldwide chemicals Guillermo Foladori and Noela Invernizzi have examined 109 sector were engaged in nanotech R&D. The German nano’s implications for labour and development, focusing on 113 government put the number of people involved in nano R&D Latin America. 110 and commercial activity within its borders at 63,000. An OECD review takes the position that there is “a large discrepancy” between the projections and the state of the 111 workforce. The Big Downturn? 9 Nanogeopolitics
  • 17. What About Worker Safety? Workers (and consumers), of course, do not have the luxury of waiting for experts to come to a consensus on the health In 2000 – pre-nanotech boom – an estimated 2 million people effects of nanoparticle exposure. In 2007, IUF (International were already being exposed to nanoscale particles at work in United Food, Farm, Hotel workers) called for a moratorium the United States (e.g., in by-products of diesel combustion, on commercial uses of nanotechnology in food and agriculture 114 sanding or abrasion of metals, wood, plastic). Production, until they could be shown to be safe and handling and use of engineered nanoparticles have created ETUC (European Trade Union new venues for workplace exposure, with poorly understood Confederation) has also consequences. The most dramatic case to date involved “We have only demanded the application of seven female workers in China who were exposed to scratched the surface of the Precautionary Principle. polyacrylate (a polymer/plastic ingredient in an adhesive nanotechnology’s potential United Steelworkers paint) containing nanoparticles. All of the women to create jobs.” International (North became sick with breathing problems; two of them died. – U.S. Congressman Dan Lipinski, America) has called for A team of Chinese scientists examined the lung tissue of pledging support for nanotechnology at regular medical screenings all seven women, found nanoparticles lodged in cells of the 8th annual NanoBusiness Conference, of workers exposed to the lungs and concluded, cautiously, that the seven cases Chicago, September 2009 nanoparticles. In 2007, a “arouse concern that long-term exposure to some Perhaps Rep. Lipinski’s most memorable endorsement of nanotech came in April broad coalition of civil nanoparticles without protective measures may be society, public interest, 115 2009 at the NanoNow Science and related to serious damage to human lungs.” Technology Leadership Forum, hosted by environmental and labor The publication of the Chinese study in the peer- the University of Chicago: organizations published a reviewed European Respiratory Journal in 2009 sparked set of Principles for the “I have drunk the nanotech a storm of speculation on its implications, with several Oversight of kool-aid. I believe it’s commentators taking the “precautionary” position that Nanotechnologies and the next Industrial Nanomaterials grounded in unknowns about the specific workplace conditions, Revolution.” the Precautionary Principle. 117 including the absence of worker protections, cast doubt on the usefulness of the study and prevented conclusions from Calls to make nano products liable 116 being drawn. No one, however, ventured to categorically as part of a regulatory regime have been exonerate nanoparticles. issued by ETUC and the European Parliament’s Committee 118 on Employment and Social Affairs, among others. ETC Group 10 www.etcgroup.org
  • 18. Part 4. Nano in the Age of Crisis Financial Crisis Climate Crisis and Peak Oil: The global recession may have deflated an industry prone to Nano “Cleantech” to the Rescue ‘bubbling,’ but the financial crisis hasn’t been all bad news for nanotech. It has provided a stimulus to increase government The nano industry has leapt onto the Cleantech funding in some areas, drawing on the theory that investment (hybrid)bandwagon with both feet. The convergence of in innovation is a sure route out of recession. In India, government support of nanotech and venture capital funding government officials cast nanotech as “the answer for future of cleantech is a boon for the industry as nanotechnologies are recessions as it helps in reducing wastage of material and claimed to provide “clean” solutions through miniaturization 119 enhancing quality by almost 40 per cent.” In the U.S., nano (reduced raw material requirements), reduced energy usage, has been heralded as the “rejuvenating fuel in the economy’s greater efficiencies in solar energy generation (i.e., 120 engine” and the “road out of the recession.” Government photovoltaics), biofuels, greenhouse gas transformation and stimulus packages have responded accordingly, use and greater capacity in water and bioremediation. particularly in energy and environment-related Miniaturization has already been achieved in nano R&D. Indeed, according to one certain commercial applications (particularly industry member, the U.S.’s alternative in ICT), but for the rest, nano’s role in energy policy “cannot advance The rush “clean technologies” remains without the successful into nano-cleantech aspirational and contingent. Lux 121 commercialization of nanotech.” investment is of particular Research estimated cleantech would The American Recovery and account for just 1.8% of the market concern because there is, value that nano is expected to earn Reinvestment Act (ARRA) 125 directed an additional $140 as yet, little to support the by 2015. In 2007, Cientifica estimated that 0.00027% could be million toward nanotechnology assertion that nano is shaved off emissions by 2010 using research and infrastructure investments in 2009. That included inherently currently available nanotech, but that future revolutionary applications a $40 million cash injection to the clean. will result in fewer greenhouse gas Department of Energy for nano R&D, 126 which comes on top of funding increases emissions. 122 to the Department. The Obama Big NanoNations, such as USA, Germany and administration has proclaimed nanotech “a very Japan, are said to be leading the charge in cleantech powerful tool for achieving some of the president’s goals such investment. Signature initiatives in the U.S. federal budget as accelerating the transition to a low-carbon economy and proposal for 2011 include Nanotechnology Applications for 123 reducing death and suffering from cancer.” Solar Energy (a joint agency initiative to receive $51 million) The European Union has come up with a €200 billion and Sustainable Nano manufacturing ($23 million), which is Recovery Plan, with three public-private-partnership R&D to focus on “high-speed communication and computation, programs aimed at accelerating progress in energy efficient solar energy harvesting, waste heat management and recovery, 135 cars and buildings and future manufacturing. (The and energy storage.” programme will run on funds redirected from FP7 nano- 124 manufacturing budgets. ) The Big Downturn? 11 Nanogeopolitics
  • 19. What Exactly Is Cleantech? The rhetoric is certainly seductive. After all, “who wouldn’t want a technology that is ‘safe by design’, that can deliver For some, cleantech is a fundamentally new approach that clean water to billions, or enable consumption without “addresses the roots of ecological problems with new science, negative effects on ourselves or our environment?” 132 emphasizing natural approaches such as biomimicry and 127 biology.” For others, the brand is like a smokestack Included under the cleantech banner is nuclear power scrubber – a laundering service for problematic technologies generation – the technology that was to provide electricity (such as nuclear, coal) that could make business-as-usual “too cheap to meter” but persists as the technology too ‘sustainable.’ Rather than referring to a specific set of difficult to decommission and too difficult to clean up after. technologies, the term cleantech almost always points to a That should be sufficient to encourage critical evaluation of new market opportunity that has emerged from the eye of the cleantech concept. But the rush into nano-cleantech the perfect storm created by climate change and peak oil. investment is of particular concern because there is, as yet, little to support the assertion that nano is inherently clean, There appears to be a consensus within industry that including the accumulating data on the health effects of cleantech refers to applications that “add economic value exposure to nanomaterials and the absence of lifecycle 128 compared to traditional alternatives.” It has been described analyses. 129 as “the largest economic opportunity of the 21st century” and a “natural fit” between economic growth and projected The nano-cleantech hype also casts a long shadow in R&D 130 environmental gains. At the moment, however, cleantech is investment and blocks out the sun on a range of other effectively a fundraising slogan. The mere announcement of competing strategies and approaches with the potential to government research grants for cleantech projects including deliver less risky alternatives. Consultants to the UK nano-pesticide production was claimed to have made the Government advised that nano applications in energy Canadian economy “instantly cleaner.” 131 efficiency and generation due to come online in the longer- term may offer significant gains, but that these may not Gift Horse Dental Exam: Should civil society welcome necessarily outperform competing technologies and “they governments’ new emphasis on cleantech investment and the probably underestimate technological advances in non- effect that funding incentives may have on the orientation of 133 nanotechnological innovations.” “It is important,” says one some nano R&D? commentator, “that we do not choose too early the winners 134 and losers among technologies.” Fuel cell technology involving nano alone is attracting $1 In the U.S., a new lobby launched this year to leverage more billion per annum investment in International Energy Agency funds for nano cleantech. Pitched from the politically potent 136 (i.e., OECD) countries. A 2008 United Nations University intersection of energy security and national security, the report listed 70 hydrogen fuel cell projects in varying stages, NanoAssociation for Natural Resources and Energy Security 137 from R&D to pilot commercialization. (NANRES) is a self-described group of “forward-thinking leaders” with a shared interest in bringing nano to market. The EU’s Seventh Framework Programme (2007-2013) The lobby is on a member-recruitment drive, but the chair has embraces nano cleantech and includes a €55 million fund to 138 already been supplied by arms manufacturer Lockheed Martin produce biofuels. Among the projects funded is ROD SOL and the CEO by the Washington-based thinktank, Center for – a three-year, €4 million project to boost solar power a New American Security. The group is not short on efficiency using inorganic nano-rod based thin-film solar cells. optimism: “Nanotechnology is the answer that will empower, strengthen, and secure our nation’s energy security 139 condition.” ETC Group 12 www.etcgroup.org
  • 20. Part 5. Nano Neo Governance: Tiny Technologies / Big World At the close of the first decade of government pledges to The UK Soil Association has called for an upper limit of 200 govern nanotechnology responsibly, nano-specific regulation nm; Friends of the Earth believes that 300 nm is an acceptable 146 remains rare, and regulatory scrutiny of nanomaterials rarer threshold. still. However, patience is running thin for the laissez-faire Size is not the only relevant factor determining whether a approach and governments may not be able to extend the substance exhibits quantum effects. Other factors include regulatory holiday much longer. shape/morphology, chemical composition, solubility, surface area, particle concentration, degree of bio-degradability and bio-persistence and the presence of impurities such as residual Knowing What to Regulate 147 catalyst. Then there is the question of nanoparticles that Would Be a Start form aggregates (collections of strongly bound particles) or agglomerates (collections of weakly bound particles) larger What is Nano? than 100 nm. At present these do not appear to fall within any regulatory frame, although as the EU’s SCENIHR stated, The conventional “100 nm” definition of nano – ascribing to clusters of nanoparticles are still ‘nano’ from a risk the theory that unique properties occur only in substances perspective. 148 below that size threshold in at least one dimension – has had considerable play since the U.S. National Nanotech Initiative adopted it in 2001. Yet, from a toxicological perspective, it Where is Nano? would appear to be an arbitrary limit. According to a leading nanotoxicologist, “The idea that a 102 nm particle is safe and In addition to the definitional quandary, governments are hard 140 a 99 nm particle is not is just plain daft...” At the beginning pressed to identify which nanomaterials are on the market of 2009, the European Union’s Scientific Committee on within their borders. Emerging and Newly Identified Health Risks (SCENIHR) It is not simply that detection-technology has yet to make its stated that “the definition of what is ‘nano’ is still under way to the light of day. Nor is it that legislation does not 141 debate.” provide regulators with a mandate to require information Not everyone agrees. German chemical giant Evonik, for from producers or from companies incorporating example, claims that not only is there no quantum action nanomaterials into their products. Industry is currently playing above the 100 nm mark, but also that 100 nm is a generous a large-scale game of hide-and-seek, claiming “confidential 142 threshold. In October 2010, the European Commission put business information” and leaving governments either forward its draft definition – citing 100 nm as the upper size receiving favours from NGOs that have compiled product threshold – to a public consultation. Earlier in 2010, the UK inventories, or at the mercy of industry consultants who would House of Lords explicitly rejected the 100 nm threshold and seem to have the inside track. The latter is an expensive recommended that regulatory coverage of nanoparticles avenue, as the European Parliament knows. In 2006, a 143 should encompass anything under 1,000 nm. The Swiss parliamentary committee attempting to pinpoint consumer Federal Office for Public Health and the Federal Office for nanoproducts on the European market was stymied by the 149 the Environment recommend that 500 nm be used as the refusal of food companies to share such information. The upper limit in order to avoid excluding any nano-specific committee was forced to turn to industry but had not 144 risks. Across the Atlantic, U.S. federal agencies differ. The budgeted for the expensive consultancy reports and had to rely 150 Food and Drug Administration (FDA) has chosen not to on the free summaries. Now the European Commission place size limits on nano in order to avoid arbitrary cut-off appears to have decided that it should have some grasp on 145 points. Trade unions and civil society organizations have also what is on the market and has hired some industry guns to 151 been calling for official definitions to reflect developments in scout the territory. scientific understanding, both in terms of size and other physical properties. The Big Downturn? 13 Nanogeopolitics