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Briefing on National Planning
Law
2014-2015
Fiscal year
Abstracted by Wunna Htun
Governance Coordinator
ActionAid Myanmar
This law has been categorized into
three chapters
• Chapter (1) Title and Definition
• Chapter (2) Objectives
• Chapter (3) General Provisions
• This law has been enacted and in 1st April , 2014.
• This law is 4th year of first five year short term plan
from 2011-2012 to 2015-2016.
General Definition
• National Plan: Set of plans of action of Union Government
for socio-economic development of the country. It could be
sectorally or regionally or country as a whole.
• Which includes 20 years long term plan, 5 years short term
plans and annual plan which is drawn upon every financial
year.
• Different types of plan will also coverage human resource
development plans, project plans, industrial zones, SEZ and
Urban plans, industrial sector development plans,
investment development plans, rural development plans,
boarder areas development plans.
• Ultimately, all the plans must be complementing each other
and develop in holistic approach.
For calculation of GDP Growth
• Basic Year Price Index-
- Price index of commodities and services of
2010-2011 fiscal year.
• Yearly Price Index-
- Price index of commodities and services
which has occurred according to every fiscal
year.
Chapter (2)
• Real GDP projection (targeted)
• - By taking as a basic of 2010-2011, real GDP
growth has been targeted to project into 9.1
%.
Sectoral GDP Growth ( targeted)
( 14 sectors in total)
Sr No Sector Targeted % of growth
1 Agricultural Sector 2.7 %
2 Fishery and livestocks 8.7 %
3 Forestry - 29.4 % ( will be decreased
as government is planning to
stop raw timber export
starting from 2014-2015
fiscal year)
4 Energy 13.4 %
5 Mining 8.8 %
6 Industry 9.5 %
7 Electricity 11.6 %
8 Construction 14.1 %
9 Transportation 68.9 %
Cont:
10 Communication 68.9 %
11 Financial 23.9 %
12 Social and management 21.2 %
13 Renting and other services 11.7 %
14 Trade 5.4 %
GDP growth of Regions and states (targeted)
Sr N State and Regions % in growth
1 Kachin 2.0
2 Kayah 10.1
3 Kayin 15.4
4 Chin 26.4
5 Sagaing 9.6
6 Tanintharyi 9.4
7 Bago 8.7
8 Magway 8.2
9 Mandalay 12.4
10 Mon 10.4
11 Rakhine 5.7
12 Yangon 9.3
13 Shan 5.0
14 Ayeyarwaddy 6.2
15 Nay Pyi Taw Union Council area 28.2
• Maximum targeted GDP growth area is
NayPyitaw council area with targeted growth
of 28.2 % . And
• Minimum targeted GDP growth area is Kachin
state with targeted growth of 2.0 %.
Targeted GDP growth of each sector for 2014- 2015 fiscal year
( On the basic of 2010-2011 fiscal year)
( Agricultural and livestock Sector)
Sub-sector Fiscal year
( Agricultural and livestock sector)
2013-2014 fiscal year 2014-2015 fiscal year
% of
Contribution to
GDP
Acutal GDP
growth
% of Contribution to
GDP
targeted GDP
growth
Agricultural 23.3 2.3 21.9 2.7
Fishery 8.2 6.7 8.2 8.7
Forestry 0.3 -6.1 0.2 -29.4
Total 31.8 3.3 30.3 3.9
Targeted GDP growth of each sector for 2014- 2015 fiscal year
( On the basic of 2010-2011 fiscal year)
( Industrial Sector)
Sub-sector Fiscal year
( Industrial Sector)
2013-2014 fiscal year 2014-2015 fiscal year
% of
Contribution to
GDP
Acutal GDP
growth
% of Contribution to
GDP
targeted GDP
growth
Energy 0.2 5.5 0.2 13.4
Mining 0.8 24.6 0.8 0.8
Industry
(manufacturi
ng)
21.6 10.9 21.7 9.5
Electricity 1.2 13.8 1.2 10.6
Construction 5.0 22.7 5.2 14.1
Total 28.8 13.3 29.1 10.4
Targeted GDP growth of each sector for 2014- 2015 fiscal year
( On the basic of 2010-2011 fiscal year)
( Service Sector)
Sub-sector Fiscal year
(Service Sector)
2013-2014 fiscal year 2014-2015 fiscal year
% of
Contribution
to GDP
Acutal GDP
growth
% of Contribution to
GDP
targeted GDP
growth
Transportation 12.4 5.1 12.3 7.6
Tele-com 3.1 57.2 4.8 68.9
Financial 0.2 92.7 0.2 23.9
Social and
Management
2.3 15.7 2.3 11.7
Rental and
other services
2.3 15.7 2.3 11.7
Trade 19.1 6.6 18.4 5.4
Total 39.4 10.7 40.6 12.4
Targeted GDP growth of regions and states for 2014- 2015 fiscal year
( On the basic of 2010-2011 fiscal year)
Regions and
states
Fiscal year
Regions and states
2013-2014 fiscal year 2014-2015 fiscal year
% of
Contribution to
GDP
Acutal GDP
growth
% of Contribution to
GDP
targeted GDP
growth
Kachin 2.5 8.4 2.3 2.0
Kayah 0.4 8.0 0.4 10.1
Kayin 1.7 8.6 1.9 15.4
Chin 0.4 8.8 0.4 26.4
Sagaing 11.6 9.5 11.6 9.6
Tanintharyi 3.4 7.4 3.4 9.4
Bago 8.6 8.7 8.6 8.7
Magway 9.6 8.0 9.5 8.2
Mandalay 11.1 7.0 11.4 12.4
Targeted GDP growth of regions and statesfor 2014- 2015 fiscal year
( On the basic of 2010-2011 fiscal year)
Regions and
states
Fiscal year
Regions and states
2013-2014 fiscal year 2014-2015 fiscal year
% of
Contribution to
GDP
Acutal GDP
growth
% of Contribution to
GDP
targeted GDP
growth
Mon 4.3 9.1 4.3 10.4
Rakhine 3.8 6.2 3.7 5.7
Yangon 22.2 8.0 22.3 9.3
Shan 7.1 6.1 6.8 5.0
Ayeyarwaddy 11.3 5.6 11.0 6.2
Naypyitaw 2.0 76.7 2.4 28.2
Changes in contribution of GDP growth of each sector for 2014- 2015 fiscal year
( Base on yearly price changes index)
( Agricultural and livestock Sector)
Sub-sector Fiscal year
( Agricultural and livestock sector)
2013-2014 fiscal year 2014-2015 fiscal year
% of
Contribution to
GDP
% of Contribution to
GDP
Changes in
contribution
to GDP
Agricultural 22.0 20.8 5.4
Fishery 7.6 7.6 11.9
Forestry 0.3 0.2 -31.1
Total 29.9 28.6 6.7
Changes in contribution of GDP growth of each sector for 2014- 2015 fiscal year
(Base on yearly price changes index)
( Industrial Sector)
Sub-sector Fiscal year
( Industrial Sector)
2013-2014 fiscal year 2014-2015 fiscal year
% of
Contribution to
GDP
% of Contribution to
GDP
Changes in
contribution
to GDP
Energy 6.4 6.8 18.8
Mining 1.2 1.1 0.3
Industry
(manufacturi
ng)
20.4 20.4 11.9
Electricity 1.2 1.5 40.0
Construction 4.6 5.2 29.1
Total 33.8 35.0 16.1
Changes in contribution of GDP growth of each sector for 2014- 2015 fiscal year
(Base on yearly price changes index)
( Service Sector)
Sub-sector Fiscal year
(Service Sector)
2013-2014 fiscal year 2014-2015 fiscal year
% of
Contribution
to GDP
Acutal GDP
growth
% of Contribution to
GDP
Changes in
contribution
to GDP
Transportation 11.7 11.4 `8.4
Tele-com 1.0 0.9 5.0
Financial 0.1 0.1 23.9
Social and
Management
2.3 2.8 39.1
Rental and
other services
2.1 2.3 21.9
Trade 19.1 18.9 10.1
Total 36.3 36.4 12.0
Changes in contribution of GDP growth of states and regions for 2014- 2015 fiscal year
(Base on yearly price changes index)
Regions and
states
Fiscal year
Regions and states
2013-2014 fiscal year 2014-2015 fiscal year
% of Contribution
to GDP
% of Contribution to
GDP
Changes in
contribution
to GDP
Kachin 2.6 2.3 0.1
Kayah 0.3 0.3 16.0
Kayin 1.6 1.7 18.4
Chin 0.3 0.4 26.1
Sagain 10.9 10.9 11.8
Thanintharyi 5.5 5.3 8.6
Bago 8.0 7.8 10.1
Targeted GDP growth of regions and statesfor 2014- 2015 fiscal year
( On the basic of 2010-2011 fiscal year)
Regions and
states
Fiscal year
Regions and states
2013-2014 fiscal year 2014-2015 fiscal year
% of
Contribution to
GDP
Acutal GDP
growth
% of Contribution to
GDP
targeted GDP
growth
Magway 9.3 9.3 11.9
Mandalay 10.3 10.3 11.1
Mon 4.0 4.0 13.2
Rakhine 4.7 4.5 5.7
Yangon 21.0 21.0 12.8
Shan 6.6 6.3 7.0
Ayeyarwaddy 13.1 13.6 15.4
Naypyitaw 1.8 2.2 33.1
Investment plan for each sector based on 2014-2015 fiscal year
Sector 2013-2014 fiscal year
( National Planning)
2014-15 fiscal year
( National Planning)
State-
owned
25.5 29.4
Co-
operative
0.01 0.01
Private 74.5 70.6

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National Planning Law Briefing Fiscal Year Abstract

  • 1. Briefing on National Planning Law 2014-2015 Fiscal year Abstracted by Wunna Htun Governance Coordinator ActionAid Myanmar
  • 2. This law has been categorized into three chapters • Chapter (1) Title and Definition • Chapter (2) Objectives • Chapter (3) General Provisions • This law has been enacted and in 1st April , 2014. • This law is 4th year of first five year short term plan from 2011-2012 to 2015-2016.
  • 3. General Definition • National Plan: Set of plans of action of Union Government for socio-economic development of the country. It could be sectorally or regionally or country as a whole. • Which includes 20 years long term plan, 5 years short term plans and annual plan which is drawn upon every financial year. • Different types of plan will also coverage human resource development plans, project plans, industrial zones, SEZ and Urban plans, industrial sector development plans, investment development plans, rural development plans, boarder areas development plans. • Ultimately, all the plans must be complementing each other and develop in holistic approach.
  • 4. For calculation of GDP Growth • Basic Year Price Index- - Price index of commodities and services of 2010-2011 fiscal year. • Yearly Price Index- - Price index of commodities and services which has occurred according to every fiscal year.
  • 5. Chapter (2) • Real GDP projection (targeted) • - By taking as a basic of 2010-2011, real GDP growth has been targeted to project into 9.1 %.
  • 6. Sectoral GDP Growth ( targeted) ( 14 sectors in total) Sr No Sector Targeted % of growth 1 Agricultural Sector 2.7 % 2 Fishery and livestocks 8.7 % 3 Forestry - 29.4 % ( will be decreased as government is planning to stop raw timber export starting from 2014-2015 fiscal year) 4 Energy 13.4 % 5 Mining 8.8 % 6 Industry 9.5 % 7 Electricity 11.6 % 8 Construction 14.1 % 9 Transportation 68.9 %
  • 7. Cont: 10 Communication 68.9 % 11 Financial 23.9 % 12 Social and management 21.2 % 13 Renting and other services 11.7 % 14 Trade 5.4 %
  • 8. GDP growth of Regions and states (targeted) Sr N State and Regions % in growth 1 Kachin 2.0 2 Kayah 10.1 3 Kayin 15.4 4 Chin 26.4 5 Sagaing 9.6 6 Tanintharyi 9.4 7 Bago 8.7 8 Magway 8.2 9 Mandalay 12.4 10 Mon 10.4 11 Rakhine 5.7 12 Yangon 9.3 13 Shan 5.0 14 Ayeyarwaddy 6.2 15 Nay Pyi Taw Union Council area 28.2
  • 9. • Maximum targeted GDP growth area is NayPyitaw council area with targeted growth of 28.2 % . And • Minimum targeted GDP growth area is Kachin state with targeted growth of 2.0 %.
  • 10. Targeted GDP growth of each sector for 2014- 2015 fiscal year ( On the basic of 2010-2011 fiscal year) ( Agricultural and livestock Sector) Sub-sector Fiscal year ( Agricultural and livestock sector) 2013-2014 fiscal year 2014-2015 fiscal year % of Contribution to GDP Acutal GDP growth % of Contribution to GDP targeted GDP growth Agricultural 23.3 2.3 21.9 2.7 Fishery 8.2 6.7 8.2 8.7 Forestry 0.3 -6.1 0.2 -29.4 Total 31.8 3.3 30.3 3.9
  • 11. Targeted GDP growth of each sector for 2014- 2015 fiscal year ( On the basic of 2010-2011 fiscal year) ( Industrial Sector) Sub-sector Fiscal year ( Industrial Sector) 2013-2014 fiscal year 2014-2015 fiscal year % of Contribution to GDP Acutal GDP growth % of Contribution to GDP targeted GDP growth Energy 0.2 5.5 0.2 13.4 Mining 0.8 24.6 0.8 0.8 Industry (manufacturi ng) 21.6 10.9 21.7 9.5 Electricity 1.2 13.8 1.2 10.6 Construction 5.0 22.7 5.2 14.1 Total 28.8 13.3 29.1 10.4
  • 12. Targeted GDP growth of each sector for 2014- 2015 fiscal year ( On the basic of 2010-2011 fiscal year) ( Service Sector) Sub-sector Fiscal year (Service Sector) 2013-2014 fiscal year 2014-2015 fiscal year % of Contribution to GDP Acutal GDP growth % of Contribution to GDP targeted GDP growth Transportation 12.4 5.1 12.3 7.6 Tele-com 3.1 57.2 4.8 68.9 Financial 0.2 92.7 0.2 23.9 Social and Management 2.3 15.7 2.3 11.7 Rental and other services 2.3 15.7 2.3 11.7 Trade 19.1 6.6 18.4 5.4 Total 39.4 10.7 40.6 12.4
  • 13. Targeted GDP growth of regions and states for 2014- 2015 fiscal year ( On the basic of 2010-2011 fiscal year) Regions and states Fiscal year Regions and states 2013-2014 fiscal year 2014-2015 fiscal year % of Contribution to GDP Acutal GDP growth % of Contribution to GDP targeted GDP growth Kachin 2.5 8.4 2.3 2.0 Kayah 0.4 8.0 0.4 10.1 Kayin 1.7 8.6 1.9 15.4 Chin 0.4 8.8 0.4 26.4 Sagaing 11.6 9.5 11.6 9.6 Tanintharyi 3.4 7.4 3.4 9.4 Bago 8.6 8.7 8.6 8.7 Magway 9.6 8.0 9.5 8.2 Mandalay 11.1 7.0 11.4 12.4
  • 14. Targeted GDP growth of regions and statesfor 2014- 2015 fiscal year ( On the basic of 2010-2011 fiscal year) Regions and states Fiscal year Regions and states 2013-2014 fiscal year 2014-2015 fiscal year % of Contribution to GDP Acutal GDP growth % of Contribution to GDP targeted GDP growth Mon 4.3 9.1 4.3 10.4 Rakhine 3.8 6.2 3.7 5.7 Yangon 22.2 8.0 22.3 9.3 Shan 7.1 6.1 6.8 5.0 Ayeyarwaddy 11.3 5.6 11.0 6.2 Naypyitaw 2.0 76.7 2.4 28.2
  • 15. Changes in contribution of GDP growth of each sector for 2014- 2015 fiscal year ( Base on yearly price changes index) ( Agricultural and livestock Sector) Sub-sector Fiscal year ( Agricultural and livestock sector) 2013-2014 fiscal year 2014-2015 fiscal year % of Contribution to GDP % of Contribution to GDP Changes in contribution to GDP Agricultural 22.0 20.8 5.4 Fishery 7.6 7.6 11.9 Forestry 0.3 0.2 -31.1 Total 29.9 28.6 6.7
  • 16. Changes in contribution of GDP growth of each sector for 2014- 2015 fiscal year (Base on yearly price changes index) ( Industrial Sector) Sub-sector Fiscal year ( Industrial Sector) 2013-2014 fiscal year 2014-2015 fiscal year % of Contribution to GDP % of Contribution to GDP Changes in contribution to GDP Energy 6.4 6.8 18.8 Mining 1.2 1.1 0.3 Industry (manufacturi ng) 20.4 20.4 11.9 Electricity 1.2 1.5 40.0 Construction 4.6 5.2 29.1 Total 33.8 35.0 16.1
  • 17. Changes in contribution of GDP growth of each sector for 2014- 2015 fiscal year (Base on yearly price changes index) ( Service Sector) Sub-sector Fiscal year (Service Sector) 2013-2014 fiscal year 2014-2015 fiscal year % of Contribution to GDP Acutal GDP growth % of Contribution to GDP Changes in contribution to GDP Transportation 11.7 11.4 `8.4 Tele-com 1.0 0.9 5.0 Financial 0.1 0.1 23.9 Social and Management 2.3 2.8 39.1 Rental and other services 2.1 2.3 21.9 Trade 19.1 18.9 10.1 Total 36.3 36.4 12.0
  • 18. Changes in contribution of GDP growth of states and regions for 2014- 2015 fiscal year (Base on yearly price changes index) Regions and states Fiscal year Regions and states 2013-2014 fiscal year 2014-2015 fiscal year % of Contribution to GDP % of Contribution to GDP Changes in contribution to GDP Kachin 2.6 2.3 0.1 Kayah 0.3 0.3 16.0 Kayin 1.6 1.7 18.4 Chin 0.3 0.4 26.1 Sagain 10.9 10.9 11.8 Thanintharyi 5.5 5.3 8.6 Bago 8.0 7.8 10.1
  • 19. Targeted GDP growth of regions and statesfor 2014- 2015 fiscal year ( On the basic of 2010-2011 fiscal year) Regions and states Fiscal year Regions and states 2013-2014 fiscal year 2014-2015 fiscal year % of Contribution to GDP Acutal GDP growth % of Contribution to GDP targeted GDP growth Magway 9.3 9.3 11.9 Mandalay 10.3 10.3 11.1 Mon 4.0 4.0 13.2 Rakhine 4.7 4.5 5.7 Yangon 21.0 21.0 12.8 Shan 6.6 6.3 7.0 Ayeyarwaddy 13.1 13.6 15.4 Naypyitaw 1.8 2.2 33.1
  • 20. Investment plan for each sector based on 2014-2015 fiscal year Sector 2013-2014 fiscal year ( National Planning) 2014-15 fiscal year ( National Planning) State- owned 25.5 29.4 Co- operative 0.01 0.01 Private 74.5 70.6