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#SUSTFOODFUTURE
WRI.ORG/SUSTFOODFUTURE
WORLD RESOURCES REPORT
CREATING A SUSTAINABLE
FOOD FUTURE
wri.org/sustfoodfuture | World Resources Report: Creating a Sustainable Food Future
PARTNERS
wri.org/sustfoodfuture | World Resources Report: Creating a Sustainable Food Future
MANY THANKS TO OUR SUPPORTERS
• The Norwegian Ministry of Foreign Affairs
• The Netherlands Ministry of Foreign Affairs
• The Danish International Development Agency
• The Swedish International Development Agency
wri.org/sustfoodfuture | World Resources Report: Creating a Sustainable Food Future
WORLD NEEDS TO CLOSE A FOOD GAP OF 56 PERCENT BY 2050
wri.org/sustfoodfuture | World Resources Report: Creating a Sustainable Food Future
WORLD NEEDS TO CLOSE AN EMISSIONS MITIGATION GAP OF 11 GT BY 2050
wri.org/sustfoodfuture | World Resources Report: Creating a Sustainable Food Future
WORLD NEEDS TO CLOSE A LAND GAP OF 593 MILLION
HECTARES TO AVOID FURTHER AGRICULTURAL EXPANSION
wri.org/sustfoodfuture | World Resources Report: Creating a Sustainable Food Future
AGRICULTURE EMISSIONS LIKELY TO BE 70 PERCENT OF TOTAL
ALLOWABLE EMISSIONS FOR ALL SECTORS BY 2050
wri.org/sustfoodfuture | World Resources Report: Creating a Sustainable Food Future
wri.org/sustfoodfuture | World Resources Report: Creating a Sustainable Food Future
Course 1: Reduce Growth in
Demand for Food and Other
Agricultural Products
• Reduce food loss and waste
• Shift to healthier and more
sustainable diets
• Avoid competition from bioenergy
for food crops and land
• Achieve replacement-level fertility
rates
Course 2: Increase food
production without expanding
agricultural land
• Increase livestock and pasture
productivity
• Improve crop breeding to boost yields
• Improve soil and water management
• Plant existing cropland more
frequently
• Adapt to climate change
Course 3: Protect and restore
natural ecosystems and limit
agricultural land-shifting
• Link productivity gains with
protection of natural ecosystems
• Limit inevitable cropland
expansion to lands with low
environmental opportunity costs
• Reforest abandoned,
unproductive, and liberated
agricultural lands
• Conserve and restore peatlands
Course 4: Increase fish supply
• Improve wild fisheries
management
• Improve productivity and
environmental performance of
aquaculture
Course 5: Reduce
greenhouse gas emissions
from agricultural
production
• Reduce enteric fermentation
through new technologies
• Reduce emissions through
improved manure
management
• Reduce emissions from
manure left on pasture
• Reduce emissions from
fertilizers by increasing
nitrogen use efficiency
• Adopt emissions-reducing rice
management and varieties
• Increase agricultural energy
efficiency and shift to
nonfossil energy sources
• Focus on realistic options to
sequester carbon in soils
FOOD LOSS AND WASTE OCCURS CLOSER TO THE CONSUMER
IN DEVELOPED REGIONS AND TO THE FARM IN DEVELOPING
wri.org/sustfoodfuture | World Resources Report: Creating a Sustainable Food Future
ANIMAL-BASED FOODS ARE
MORE RESOURCE-INTENSIVE
THAN PLANT-BASED FOODS
wri.org/sustfoodfuture | World Resources Report: Creating a Sustainable Food Future
LIMITING CONSUMPTION OF RUMINANT MEAT TO 52 CALORIES PER
PERSON PER DAY IN ALL REGIONS REDUCES GHG GAP BY HALF AND
NEARLY CLOSES THE LAND GAP
wri.org/sustfoodfuture | World Resources Report: Creating a Sustainable Food Future
IF WORLD’S ENTIRE HARVEST OF CROPS, CROP RESIDUES, GRASSES
AND WOOD IN 2000 WERE USED FOR BIOENERGY, IT WOULD PROVIDE
ONLY 20 PERCENT OF ENERGY NEEDS IN 2050
wri.org/sustfoodfuture | World Resources Report: Creating a Sustainable Food Future
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA HAS WORLD’S LOWEST PERFORMANCE IN KEY
INDICATORS OF TOTAL FERTILITY RATE, WOMEN’S EDUCATION AND
CHILD MORTALITY
wri.org/sustfoodfuture | World Resources Report: Creating a Sustainable Food Future
IMPROVEMENTS IN CROP AND LIVESTOCK PRODUCTIVITY ALREADY BUILT
INTO 2050 BASELINE CLOSE MAJORITY OF THE LAND & GHG GAPS THAT
WOULD OTHERWISE EXIST WITHOUT PRODUCTIVITY GAINS AFTER 2010
wri.org/sustfoodfuture | World Resources Report: Creating a Sustainable Food Future
INEFFICIENT BEEF PRODUCTION RESULTS IN FAR HIGHER GHG
EMISSIONS PER UNIT OF MEAT OUTPUT
wri.org/sustfoodfuture | World Resources Report: Creating a Sustainable Food Future
CLIMATE CHANGE COULD SHORTEN
GROWING SEASONS IN MUCH OF
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA BY MORE
THAN 20 PERCENT BY 2100
wri.org/sustfoodfuture | World Resources Report: Creating a Sustainable Food Future
GROSS FOREST LOSSES ARE FAR GREATER THAN NET FOREST
LOSSES BECAUSE AGRICULTURE LANDS ARE SHIFTING
wri.org/sustfoodfuture | World Resources Report: Creating a Sustainable Food Future
SCREENING OUT LANDS THAT DO NOT MEET ENVIRONMENTAL,
ECONOMIC AND LEGAL CRITERIA REDUCES THE AREA OF LAND
SUITABLE FOR OIL PALM EXPANSION IN KALIMANTAN, INDONESIA
wri.org/sustfoodfuture | World Resources Report: Creating a Sustainable Food Future
GHG EMISSIONS FROM DRAINED PEATLANDS ARE ONGOING IN
INDONESIA AND MALAYSIA
wri.org/sustfoodfuture | World Resources Report: Creating a Sustainable Food Future
PERCENTAGE OF OVERFISHED STOCKS HAS RISEN OVER PAST
40 YEARS
wri.org/sustfoodfuture | World Resources Report: Creating a Sustainable Food Future
AQUACULTURE PRODUCTION MUST CONTINUE TO GROW TO
MEET WORLD FISH DEMAND
wri.org/sustfoodfuture | World Resources Report: Creating a Sustainable Food Future
ANNUAL AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION EMISSIONS REACH 9
GIGATONS IN 2050 BASELINE PROJECTION
wri.org/sustfoodfuture | World Resources Report: Creating a Sustainable Food Future
MORE EFFICIENT MILK PRODUCTION REDUCES GHG EMISSIONS
DRAMATICALLY
wri.org/sustfoodfuture | World Resources Report: Creating a Sustainable Food Future
PERCENTAGE OF APPLIED NITROGEN THAT IS ABSORBED BY
CROPS VARIES WIDELY ACROSS THE WORLD
wri.org/sustfoodfuture | World Resources Report: Creating a Sustainable Food Future
SOILS IN AFRICA ARE RELATIVELY LOW IN ORGANIC CARBON
wri.org/sustfoodfuture | World Resources Report: Creating a Sustainable Food Future
UNDER ‘BREAKTHROUGH TECHNOLOGIES’ SCENARIO, AMOUNT
OF ADDITIONAL FOOD NEEDED IN 2050 COULD BE CUT BY HALF
wri.org/sustfoodfuture | World Resources Report: Creating a Sustainable Food Future
UNDER ‘BREAKTHROUGH TECHNOLOGIES’ SCENARIO, AREA OF LAND
NEEDED FOR AGRICULTURE COULD SHRINK BY 800 MILLION HECTARES
wri.org/sustfoodfuture | World Resources Report: Creating a Sustainable Food Future
UNDER THE BREAKTHROUGH TECHNOLOGIES SCENARIO, AGRICULTURAL GREENHOUSE GAS
EMISSIONS WOULD FALL DRAMATICALLY BUT REFORESTATION AND PEATLAND RESTORATION
WOULD BE NECESSARY TO MEET THE TARGET OF 4 GIGATONS PER YEAR
wri.org/sustfoodfuture | World Resources Report: Creating a Sustainable Food Future
WORLD’S LEADING AGRICULTURE PRODUCERS PROVIDED
NEARLY $600B IN PUBLIC FUNDING TO SUPPORT FARMS IN 2015
wri.org/sustfoodfuture | World Resources Report: Creating a Sustainable Food Future
WHY GREENHOUSE GAS REDUCTIONS FROM BIOENERGY
REQUIRE ADDITIONAL BIOMASS
wri.org/sustfoodfuture | World Resources Report: Creating a Sustainable Food Future
FIND OUT MORE
wri.org/sustfoodfuture | World Resources Report: Creating a Sustainable Food Future
WORLD RESOURCES REPORT
Creating a Sustainable Food Future
www.wri.org/sustfoodfuture

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World Resources Report: Creating a Sustainable Food Future

  • 2. wri.org/sustfoodfuture | World Resources Report: Creating a Sustainable Food Future PARTNERS
  • 3. wri.org/sustfoodfuture | World Resources Report: Creating a Sustainable Food Future MANY THANKS TO OUR SUPPORTERS • The Norwegian Ministry of Foreign Affairs • The Netherlands Ministry of Foreign Affairs • The Danish International Development Agency • The Swedish International Development Agency
  • 4. wri.org/sustfoodfuture | World Resources Report: Creating a Sustainable Food Future
  • 5. WORLD NEEDS TO CLOSE A FOOD GAP OF 56 PERCENT BY 2050 wri.org/sustfoodfuture | World Resources Report: Creating a Sustainable Food Future
  • 6. WORLD NEEDS TO CLOSE AN EMISSIONS MITIGATION GAP OF 11 GT BY 2050 wri.org/sustfoodfuture | World Resources Report: Creating a Sustainable Food Future
  • 7. WORLD NEEDS TO CLOSE A LAND GAP OF 593 MILLION HECTARES TO AVOID FURTHER AGRICULTURAL EXPANSION wri.org/sustfoodfuture | World Resources Report: Creating a Sustainable Food Future
  • 8. AGRICULTURE EMISSIONS LIKELY TO BE 70 PERCENT OF TOTAL ALLOWABLE EMISSIONS FOR ALL SECTORS BY 2050 wri.org/sustfoodfuture | World Resources Report: Creating a Sustainable Food Future
  • 9. wri.org/sustfoodfuture | World Resources Report: Creating a Sustainable Food Future Course 1: Reduce Growth in Demand for Food and Other Agricultural Products • Reduce food loss and waste • Shift to healthier and more sustainable diets • Avoid competition from bioenergy for food crops and land • Achieve replacement-level fertility rates Course 2: Increase food production without expanding agricultural land • Increase livestock and pasture productivity • Improve crop breeding to boost yields • Improve soil and water management • Plant existing cropland more frequently • Adapt to climate change Course 3: Protect and restore natural ecosystems and limit agricultural land-shifting • Link productivity gains with protection of natural ecosystems • Limit inevitable cropland expansion to lands with low environmental opportunity costs • Reforest abandoned, unproductive, and liberated agricultural lands • Conserve and restore peatlands Course 4: Increase fish supply • Improve wild fisheries management • Improve productivity and environmental performance of aquaculture Course 5: Reduce greenhouse gas emissions from agricultural production • Reduce enteric fermentation through new technologies • Reduce emissions through improved manure management • Reduce emissions from manure left on pasture • Reduce emissions from fertilizers by increasing nitrogen use efficiency • Adopt emissions-reducing rice management and varieties • Increase agricultural energy efficiency and shift to nonfossil energy sources • Focus on realistic options to sequester carbon in soils
  • 10. FOOD LOSS AND WASTE OCCURS CLOSER TO THE CONSUMER IN DEVELOPED REGIONS AND TO THE FARM IN DEVELOPING wri.org/sustfoodfuture | World Resources Report: Creating a Sustainable Food Future
  • 11. ANIMAL-BASED FOODS ARE MORE RESOURCE-INTENSIVE THAN PLANT-BASED FOODS wri.org/sustfoodfuture | World Resources Report: Creating a Sustainable Food Future
  • 12. LIMITING CONSUMPTION OF RUMINANT MEAT TO 52 CALORIES PER PERSON PER DAY IN ALL REGIONS REDUCES GHG GAP BY HALF AND NEARLY CLOSES THE LAND GAP wri.org/sustfoodfuture | World Resources Report: Creating a Sustainable Food Future
  • 13. IF WORLD’S ENTIRE HARVEST OF CROPS, CROP RESIDUES, GRASSES AND WOOD IN 2000 WERE USED FOR BIOENERGY, IT WOULD PROVIDE ONLY 20 PERCENT OF ENERGY NEEDS IN 2050 wri.org/sustfoodfuture | World Resources Report: Creating a Sustainable Food Future
  • 14. SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA HAS WORLD’S LOWEST PERFORMANCE IN KEY INDICATORS OF TOTAL FERTILITY RATE, WOMEN’S EDUCATION AND CHILD MORTALITY wri.org/sustfoodfuture | World Resources Report: Creating a Sustainable Food Future
  • 15. IMPROVEMENTS IN CROP AND LIVESTOCK PRODUCTIVITY ALREADY BUILT INTO 2050 BASELINE CLOSE MAJORITY OF THE LAND & GHG GAPS THAT WOULD OTHERWISE EXIST WITHOUT PRODUCTIVITY GAINS AFTER 2010 wri.org/sustfoodfuture | World Resources Report: Creating a Sustainable Food Future
  • 16. INEFFICIENT BEEF PRODUCTION RESULTS IN FAR HIGHER GHG EMISSIONS PER UNIT OF MEAT OUTPUT wri.org/sustfoodfuture | World Resources Report: Creating a Sustainable Food Future
  • 17. CLIMATE CHANGE COULD SHORTEN GROWING SEASONS IN MUCH OF SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA BY MORE THAN 20 PERCENT BY 2100 wri.org/sustfoodfuture | World Resources Report: Creating a Sustainable Food Future
  • 18. GROSS FOREST LOSSES ARE FAR GREATER THAN NET FOREST LOSSES BECAUSE AGRICULTURE LANDS ARE SHIFTING wri.org/sustfoodfuture | World Resources Report: Creating a Sustainable Food Future
  • 19. SCREENING OUT LANDS THAT DO NOT MEET ENVIRONMENTAL, ECONOMIC AND LEGAL CRITERIA REDUCES THE AREA OF LAND SUITABLE FOR OIL PALM EXPANSION IN KALIMANTAN, INDONESIA wri.org/sustfoodfuture | World Resources Report: Creating a Sustainable Food Future
  • 20. GHG EMISSIONS FROM DRAINED PEATLANDS ARE ONGOING IN INDONESIA AND MALAYSIA wri.org/sustfoodfuture | World Resources Report: Creating a Sustainable Food Future
  • 21. PERCENTAGE OF OVERFISHED STOCKS HAS RISEN OVER PAST 40 YEARS wri.org/sustfoodfuture | World Resources Report: Creating a Sustainable Food Future
  • 22. AQUACULTURE PRODUCTION MUST CONTINUE TO GROW TO MEET WORLD FISH DEMAND wri.org/sustfoodfuture | World Resources Report: Creating a Sustainable Food Future
  • 23. ANNUAL AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION EMISSIONS REACH 9 GIGATONS IN 2050 BASELINE PROJECTION wri.org/sustfoodfuture | World Resources Report: Creating a Sustainable Food Future
  • 24. MORE EFFICIENT MILK PRODUCTION REDUCES GHG EMISSIONS DRAMATICALLY wri.org/sustfoodfuture | World Resources Report: Creating a Sustainable Food Future
  • 25. PERCENTAGE OF APPLIED NITROGEN THAT IS ABSORBED BY CROPS VARIES WIDELY ACROSS THE WORLD wri.org/sustfoodfuture | World Resources Report: Creating a Sustainable Food Future
  • 26. SOILS IN AFRICA ARE RELATIVELY LOW IN ORGANIC CARBON wri.org/sustfoodfuture | World Resources Report: Creating a Sustainable Food Future
  • 27. UNDER ‘BREAKTHROUGH TECHNOLOGIES’ SCENARIO, AMOUNT OF ADDITIONAL FOOD NEEDED IN 2050 COULD BE CUT BY HALF wri.org/sustfoodfuture | World Resources Report: Creating a Sustainable Food Future
  • 28. UNDER ‘BREAKTHROUGH TECHNOLOGIES’ SCENARIO, AREA OF LAND NEEDED FOR AGRICULTURE COULD SHRINK BY 800 MILLION HECTARES wri.org/sustfoodfuture | World Resources Report: Creating a Sustainable Food Future
  • 29. UNDER THE BREAKTHROUGH TECHNOLOGIES SCENARIO, AGRICULTURAL GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS WOULD FALL DRAMATICALLY BUT REFORESTATION AND PEATLAND RESTORATION WOULD BE NECESSARY TO MEET THE TARGET OF 4 GIGATONS PER YEAR wri.org/sustfoodfuture | World Resources Report: Creating a Sustainable Food Future
  • 30. WORLD’S LEADING AGRICULTURE PRODUCERS PROVIDED NEARLY $600B IN PUBLIC FUNDING TO SUPPORT FARMS IN 2015 wri.org/sustfoodfuture | World Resources Report: Creating a Sustainable Food Future
  • 31. WHY GREENHOUSE GAS REDUCTIONS FROM BIOENERGY REQUIRE ADDITIONAL BIOMASS wri.org/sustfoodfuture | World Resources Report: Creating a Sustainable Food Future
  • 32. FIND OUT MORE wri.org/sustfoodfuture | World Resources Report: Creating a Sustainable Food Future WORLD RESOURCES REPORT Creating a Sustainable Food Future www.wri.org/sustfoodfuture