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4. ✍ MCX - WEEKLY NEWS LETTERS
INTERNATIONAL NEWS
Thursday's U.S. Work Division information indicated to a lighter perspective, with the number
of individuals processing new every week statements for lack of employment advantages
dropping to nearly the minimum level since before the 2007-09 economic downturn.
China was also buying more oil, with a device of state-owned Petro China taking the
comparative of 17 cargoes of 500,000 drums each of Center Southern bitter raw over just six
dealing days this month
Alcoa Inc has reduced its calculate for the international metal market lack this season due to
smelter reboots in China suppliers, the world's No. 1 manufacturer.
The U.S. metal manufacturer desires requirement to outpace provide by 671,000 tonnes this
season, down from a past calculate of 930,000 tonnes .
Aluminum Price which increased 27 percent in the first seven months of the season to an 18-
month optimum have persuaded some China smelters to give up manufacturing cost reduction
programs and are seen resulting in reboots of other vegetation, cracking away at what was
predicted to be the first international lack after years of oversupply.
PRECIOUS METALS
Silver Price dropped by 0.2 % taken clues from gold Prices. Strength in the dollar index also
served as a negative factor.
On the MCX, Silver Price increased by 1.04 % and shut at Rs.38615/kg
Gold Price increased to a two week high on Friday as safe home buying increased after U.S.
stocks tumbled on issues over the speed of financial development.
Minutes of the latest U.S. Federal Reserve policy meeting persuaded investors to rebel their
objectives for the moment of a Fed interest rate rise. Slouching German export and gradual
industrial outcome there also stimulated issues over the speed of financial development.
On the MCX, gold Price increased by around 0.8 % and closed at Rs.26958/10 gms.
BASE METAL
Base Metals on the LME exchanged higher last night due to weak point in the DX in the earlier
part of trade that improved the appeal of industrial materials as alternative investment
strategies.
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5. In the indian market, base metals on a mixed note and Rupee admiration assigned distinct
benefits.
LME copper gained by 0.9 % on Friday after U.S. central bank regulators signaled they would
not hurry to boost attention levels, increasing a interval of cheap capital for industry and
traders.
Peru, a top world exporter of copper, precious metal, published a 1.65 % financial development
in the second one fourth from the same interval in 2013 - the worst reading since the third one
fourth of 2009.
However, symptoms that Malaysia is seeing a recession driven serious concerns about demand
for the steel. Also, gain in LME stocks by 0.2 % served as a negative factor. The red steel shut
at $6702/tonne in the last interval.
In indian market Copper Price increased by 0.2 % but distinct benefits were limited due to
Rupee admiration and closed at Rs.413/kg in the last session
ENERGY
U.S.Natural gas dropped by 0.7 % on Thursday as predictions for poor heating requirement
over the next two weeks balanced out a slightly smaller-than-expected storage space develop.
The U.S. Energy Information Administration said resources added 105 billion dollars cubic feet
of gas into storage space a couple weeks ago that was also less the 112-bcf develop in the
previous 7 days.
WTI Crude Oil Price dropped by around 1.8 % as Europe's difficult outlook and rising oil
stocks destroyed power marketplaces. Concerns about world financial systems sent U.S. and
other stock marketplaces lower, reversing a move from a day ago stimulated by the Federal
Reserve's caution about raising interest levels soon.
Data showed Europe's No. 1 economy Germany , in Aug experienced its largest plunge in
exports since the height of the economic crisis. In China, a Reuter’s study prediction that soft
domestic requirement probably bogged down imports, investment and retail sales to multi-month
or multi-year lows in Sept.
On the MCX,Crude oil Price dropped by 2.2 % taking hints from poor international
marketplaces and closed at Rs.5264/bbl.
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6. LME INVENTORY 01-10-2014
Last updated at OCT 10 01:30 pm IST
Metal Change from previous day
Aluminium -9550
Copper -250
Lead -250
Nickel 1986
Tin -20
Zinc -2850
✍ NCDEX - WEEKLY NEWS LETTERS
SOYABEAN / REFI. SOYA
Soyabean’s new crops with high quality have been revealed in mandis in MP. This improved
appearance stress could keep stress on the overall sentiments, as Worldwide markets trade back
and forth. Improved manufacturing leads among lack of demand are keeping prices down.
As per 1st Advance Reviews for 2014-15 launched by Government of Indian, complete
manufacturing of kharif Oilseeds is expected to fall to 19.66 thousand plenty, down 2.75
thousand plenty from 2013-14 Kharif season. Due to decrease in place and efficiency in
Gujarat, complete manufacturing of Groundnut has experienced and dropped to 5.02 thousand
loads as in comparison to its record manufacturing of 7.81 thousand loads during 2013-14.
Manufacture of Soy bean approximated at 11.82 thousand loads is also partially lower than last
season.
Farmers across the world may harvest 310.8 thousand plenty of soy beans in 2014-15 from
285.2 thousand plenty the season before, according to Oil World. The perspective was raised
from 306.7 thousand plenty last month.
U.S. soybean manufacturing is seen rising to 106.5 thousand plenty from 92.1 thousand plenty,
while household finishing stocks are expected to go up to 12 thousand plenty by end of Aug
2015 from 3.4 thousand plenty the season before.
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7. India's soymeal exports in Aug dropped to 2,778 loads in contrast to 183,965 loads a season
ago.
As per the latest Kharif planting study report launched by Secretary of state for Agri-culture,
the complete planted place as on 5th Sept, as per reports obtained from States, appears at
986.59 lakh hectare as in comparison to 1020.78 lakh hectare at this time last season, which is a
significant improvement due to stable rainfalls in most straps. The oilseeds place has improved
to 173.43 lakh ha in comparison to 188.93 lakh ha of last season. India's soybean plants place
was standing at 109.64 lakh hectares against 121.72 lakh hectares last season.
As per Solution Extractors’ Organization of Indian the complete trade of oilmeals during April-
July 2014 is at 721,577 plenty in comparison to 1,038,819 plenty i.e. down by 31%. In This
summer 2014 trade of oilmeals was standing at 115,094 plenty com-pared to 182,133 plenty in
This summer 2013 i.e. down by 37%. Export of soybean food reduced in last 3 months due to
heavy cost of soybean in local industry lead to complete difference for soybean food in
international industry.
RAPE/MUSTARD SEED
RM Seed as lack of powerful requirement kept pressure on the price. Festive year requirement
for Oil kept assisting the price however. An predicted development of planting area for the new
plants is avoiding any powerful development of rates. Sowing will start in Rajasthan and
Haryana based on the weather. Farm owners are interested in planting of RMseed as they are
allegedly getting greater price
As per first Advance Reports for 2014-15 released by Division of Farming & Collaboration,
total manufacturing of kharif Oilseeds is predicted to decrease to 19.66 thousand plenty, down
2.75 thousand plenty from 2013-14 Kharif year.
As per Solution Extractors’ Associa-tion of Indian (SEA) data bank, the imports of Sexual
assault oil are continuously increasing and have significantly improved by more than 11 times
from 7,943 MT to 103,003 MT. Though oilmeal exports decreased for the third successive
month due to development of soy bean costs, but the rapeseed meal has improved 53 per cent to
408,410 loads from 267,461 loads in last four months.
Global manufacturing of rapeseed and canola will decrease to 68.7 thousand plenty from 69.7
thousand plenty as. The collect in North america, the top export-er, is predicted to decrease 20
percent from the prior year to 14.4 thousand plenty. EU outcome will reach a history 23.54
thousand plenty from 21.25 thousand plenty the year before amongst increasing bounty in
Malaysia, Italy, Belgium and the U.K. Rape-seed costs in EU decreased due to spillover weak
point from soy beans.
Romania’s rape seeds plants this year is the best in the last 34 years. The development achieved
1.1 thousand plenty, almost double in comparison to last year. The previous history was in
2010, when manufacturing destroyed 943,000 plenty. In 2013, the rape seeds manufacturing
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8. was 647,811 plenty. The history manufacturing was due to larger areas harvested with rape
seeds, 423,000 hectares in comparison to 284,000 hectares in 2013, but also due to greater
shows per hectare, 2.6 plenty this year, com-pared to 2.2 plenty in 2013.
CHANA
Chana in the Spot and the Futures trading market at positive way due to Reduced routes in
mandis amidst regular Joyful season demand . With prices at very low stages, traders anticipate
some more restoration in the near phrase even as greater stocks may restrict the uptrend to
some extent.
Leads of an enhanced sowing for Chana in the arriving several weeks due to favorable climate
in the growing states kept the uptrend restricted. Festive season requirement has started rising.
However, greater shares and improved routes of Kharif Impulses in mandis condensed the
costs. Reports of promoting of shares by NAFED in Rajasthan too prevented any powerful
uptrend.
The household requirement has increased in the mandis but the psychological resistance stages
of 3000 shown to be too powerful for the marketplaces to break so far.
Apart from these aspects, repeated efforts by the Government to keep tab on hoarders—mainly
for important Food items are also maintaining the uptrend limited.
As per newest reviews of planting of kharif plants as on 26th Sept, kharif planting place was
standing at 1019.26 lakh hectare. It is revealed that pulses has been planted in 101.05 lakh ha vs
108.13 lakh ha same time last season.
As per 1st Innovative plants estimates for 2014-15 by Government of Indian, Indian is likely to
generate Kharif Foodgrains of 120.27 thousand loads, which is down by 8.97 thousand loads
from the history 129.24 thousand tonnes achieved in Kharif 2013-14. Decline in place under
Tur and Moong has also impacted manufacturing of Kharif Pulses which is approximated at
5.20 million loads as against their production of 6.02 thousand tonnes during Kharif 2013-14.
Tur production estimated at 2.74 thousand tonnes and Urad at 1.15 thousand tonne
Jeera
Higher routes avoided any further restoration in price even as enhanced requirement in mandis
too reinforced the costs. All eyes would be on the planting of the new plants planned to begin
after Diwali. An predicted choose up in planting place could avoid too powerful restoration for
the product.
Down pours seen few weeks back in Gujarat and Rajasthan have im-proved wetness material of
the ground and this can have a valuable effect on the planting of new plants starting Oct.
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9. With planting of new plants to begin in Oct, rains would be valuable for the plants planting as
that increas-es the wetness material. So weath-er in Gujarat and Rajasthan re-mains crucial.
Effect of Money vs Re would be important in method term when exports choose up. But until
that hap-pens some more falls not decided out
High quality routes have assured Jeera rates are getting top quality w.r.t. Worldwide
marketplaces. Low shares in international business and governmental anxiety in Poultry and
Syria have forced business requirement to Indian. Indian will stay the primary export-er for this
product as of now.
Jeera manufacturing in Indian is ex-pected to increase to 6.5-7 thousand purses of 55 kg each in
2014, from 4.5-5 million purses the season before, due to an extended place under farming and
beneficial varying climate circumstances.
As per Spices or herbs Board of Indian statis-tics, Indian released 96,500 tonne of cumin seeds
or Jeera during April-December 2013, up from 50,944 tonne released in similar period, past
season.
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