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New Perspectives on the Future of Learning Oh Wow!  Oh No! CEdMA Fall Conference Boston, MA USA October 25, 2007 Wayne Hodgins Strategic Futurist Autodesk Inc.
[email_address] www.autodesk.com/waynehodgins Strategic Futurist President & Co-Founder Learnativity.org Chair, IEEE Learning Technology Standards Committee Learning Object Metadata 0 Strategic Advisor
Seeing Patterns & Trends:
WARNING:  Time Warp Ahead!!
It’s ALL Yours! ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
www.CreativeCommons.org
Wayne’s Game Show ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Oh WOW!! Future Trends, Patterns, Directions & Disruptions headed your way….
A new perspective is worth 80 IQ points - Alan Kay Prepare to get much smarter!
New Perspectives: How many IQ points would you like? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Disruptive  Innovation! ,[object Object],[object Object]
Perfecting the Irrelevant?!! ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
How to Avoid Perfecting the Irrelevant: ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
A new perspective is worth 80 IQ points - Alan Kay Prepare to get much smarter!
The Snowflake  Effect Unique is What We Seek!
The Snowflake Effect:  UNIQUE is what we seek! ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Snowflake Effect:  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Snowflake Effect: The ideal is getting to  “just right *”… ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Snowflake Effect ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Premature Arrival of the Future The future is already here.  It is just not evenly distributed! - William Gibson The art of the possible in practice today!
Pandora and the Music Genome Project
last.fm
 
Mass personalization:  What’s New? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Applying the Snowflake Effect ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
New Perspectives: How many IQ points would you like? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
3mC 2  = C-ing the Future Content x Competencies x Context X Mass (Collaboration x Contribution x Customization)
C -ing the Future: C3 C ontent,  C ompetencies C ontext LEARNING & PERFORMANCE CONTENT CONTEXT COMPETENCE
C -ing the Future: MC3 M ass C ontribution  M ass C ustomization M ass C ollaboration    MASHUPS CONTRIBTION COLLABORATION CUSTOMIZATION
Universal Object Model? Principle Fact Process Overview Procedure Text Audio Summary Concept ENABLING Objective E nabling L earning O bject T erminal L earning  O bject Animation Simulation illustration TERMINAL Objective Common Content Application Specific Profiles Repurposed with Permission: W.Hodgins ©1992 Learnativity “ Raw” Data & Media Elements Information Blocks CONTENT ASSETS 0 SkillObject
Universal Object Model? Principle Fact Process Overview Procedure Text Audio Summary Concept Principle Process Concept Procedure Fact Overview Summary Objective E nabling L earning O bject T erminal L earning  O bject Collections ( Courses , Stories,) Animation Simulation illustration Objective Theme Enabling Objective Terminal Objective Common Content Application Specific Profiles Repurposed with Permission: W.Hodgins ©1992 Learnativity “ Raw” Data & Media Elements Information Blocks CONTENT ASSETS 0 SkillObject CONTEXT ReUSABILITY
“ Individualized” Career Development The Navy “5 Vector Model” Universal Quals Apprentice Journeyman Master Recruit EM Quals First line Leader Foundational Leader Primary Leader Advanced Leader Command Leader Executive Leader Platform Career Options EM Gas Turbine 5VM (DDG-51) Engineering  Quals PROFESSIONAL DEVELOPMENT PERSONAL DEVELOPMENT LEADERSHIP CERTS | QUALS PERFORMANCE Industry Certs Personal Dev SO Personal Dev SO Personal Dev SO Lifelong Learning Lifelong Learning Lifelong Learning Master S/O Journeyman S/O Apprentice S/O E-1 E-2 E-3 E-4 E-5 E-6 E-7 E-8 E-9 Recruit S/O EM2 Sciulli Universal Quals Engineering  Quals EM Quals Universal Quals Engineering  Quals EM Quals Industry Certs Industry Certs Industry Certs Apprentice Positions Journeyman Positions Master Positions Selected Electricians All Electricians
Where to Look Next? To the RIGHT!           
The RIGHT BRAIN Economy “ The Right Brain will rule the future” - Daniel Pink, A Whole New Mind
The RIGHT BRAINED ECONOMY Designing from the Right Side of the Brain: ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Ambidextrous Mind ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Whole New Mind:  Right brain economy ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object]
Long Tail ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Scarcity Abundance With thanks to Chris Anderson see his blog  www.longtail.com
Anatomy of the Long Tail Courtesy Wired magazine
Courtesy Wired magazine
Long Tail Learning: ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Living in a World of Exponential Change Prepare to be humbled! See  this podcast and posting  on  Off Course – On Target   for more details, examples, exercises and explanation
Exponential Growth source: www.kurzweilai.net
Exponential Growth of Human Lifespan: * Centenarians = people over 100 years old *
The NewOld Workforce ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Oh No!! Suggestions on Some  Strategies for Success
So what? Why should YOU care? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Strategic Suggestions: your choice ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Future is a Monstrous & Marvelous  M A S H u P  ! Wayne  Hodgins
Mashups:  Current “techie” definitions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
That’s SOOOooooo yesterday Dad! ,[object Object],[object Object]
Mashups simplified: You already know the model Think Lego blocks!
EVERYTHING becomes a Mashup! ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Mashups  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Power of “Un” ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Metadata Matters ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
OK What do we do  NOW???
Shift Your Thinking ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Design for: ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Fun is a feature not a bug! ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Flapping vs Flying Innovation not replication!
Innovation not replication! ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],How does this apply to YOU?!
Thank You! For Questions & Comments please contact: [email_address] See “Off Course – On Target” for slides, podcasts, blogs and much more: www.autodesk.com/waynehodgins

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New Perspectives on the Future of Learning

  • 1. New Perspectives on the Future of Learning Oh Wow! Oh No! CEdMA Fall Conference Boston, MA USA October 25, 2007 Wayne Hodgins Strategic Futurist Autodesk Inc.
  • 2. [email_address] www.autodesk.com/waynehodgins Strategic Futurist President & Co-Founder Learnativity.org Chair, IEEE Learning Technology Standards Committee Learning Object Metadata 0 Strategic Advisor
  • 4. WARNING: Time Warp Ahead!!
  • 5.
  • 7.
  • 8. Oh WOW!! Future Trends, Patterns, Directions & Disruptions headed your way….
  • 9. A new perspective is worth 80 IQ points - Alan Kay Prepare to get much smarter!
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14. A new perspective is worth 80 IQ points - Alan Kay Prepare to get much smarter!
  • 15. The Snowflake Effect Unique is What We Seek!
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20. Premature Arrival of the Future The future is already here. It is just not evenly distributed! - William Gibson The art of the possible in practice today!
  • 21. Pandora and the Music Genome Project
  • 23.  
  • 24.
  • 25.
  • 26.
  • 27. 3mC 2 = C-ing the Future Content x Competencies x Context X Mass (Collaboration x Contribution x Customization)
  • 28. C -ing the Future: C3 C ontent, C ompetencies C ontext LEARNING & PERFORMANCE CONTENT CONTEXT COMPETENCE
  • 29. C -ing the Future: MC3 M ass C ontribution M ass C ustomization M ass C ollaboration  MASHUPS CONTRIBTION COLLABORATION CUSTOMIZATION
  • 30. Universal Object Model? Principle Fact Process Overview Procedure Text Audio Summary Concept ENABLING Objective E nabling L earning O bject T erminal L earning O bject Animation Simulation illustration TERMINAL Objective Common Content Application Specific Profiles Repurposed with Permission: W.Hodgins Š1992 Learnativity “ Raw” Data & Media Elements Information Blocks CONTENT ASSETS 0 SkillObject
  • 31. Universal Object Model? Principle Fact Process Overview Procedure Text Audio Summary Concept Principle Process Concept Procedure Fact Overview Summary Objective E nabling L earning O bject T erminal L earning O bject Collections ( Courses , Stories,) Animation Simulation illustration Objective Theme Enabling Objective Terminal Objective Common Content Application Specific Profiles Repurposed with Permission: W.Hodgins Š1992 Learnativity “ Raw” Data & Media Elements Information Blocks CONTENT ASSETS 0 SkillObject CONTEXT ReUSABILITY
  • 32. “ Individualized” Career Development The Navy “5 Vector Model” Universal Quals Apprentice Journeyman Master Recruit EM Quals First line Leader Foundational Leader Primary Leader Advanced Leader Command Leader Executive Leader Platform Career Options EM Gas Turbine 5VM (DDG-51) Engineering Quals PROFESSIONAL DEVELOPMENT PERSONAL DEVELOPMENT LEADERSHIP CERTS | QUALS PERFORMANCE Industry Certs Personal Dev SO Personal Dev SO Personal Dev SO Lifelong Learning Lifelong Learning Lifelong Learning Master S/O Journeyman S/O Apprentice S/O E-1 E-2 E-3 E-4 E-5 E-6 E-7 E-8 E-9 Recruit S/O EM2 Sciulli Universal Quals Engineering Quals EM Quals Universal Quals Engineering Quals EM Quals Industry Certs Industry Certs Industry Certs Apprentice Positions Journeyman Positions Master Positions Selected Electricians All Electricians
  • 33. Where to Look Next? To the RIGHT!    
  • 34. The RIGHT BRAIN Economy “ The Right Brain will rule the future” - Daniel Pink, A Whole New Mind
  • 35.
  • 36.
  • 37.
  • 38.
  • 39.
  • 40. Scarcity Abundance With thanks to Chris Anderson see his blog www.longtail.com
  • 41. Anatomy of the Long Tail Courtesy Wired magazine
  • 43.
  • 44. Living in a World of Exponential Change Prepare to be humbled! See this podcast and posting on Off Course – On Target for more details, examples, exercises and explanation
  • 45. Exponential Growth source: www.kurzweilai.net
  • 46. Exponential Growth of Human Lifespan: * Centenarians = people over 100 years old *
  • 47.
  • 48. Oh No!! Suggestions on Some Strategies for Success
  • 49.
  • 50.
  • 51. The Future is a Monstrous & Marvelous M A S H u P ! Wayne Hodgins
  • 52.
  • 53.
  • 54. Mashups simplified: You already know the model Think Lego blocks!
  • 55.
  • 56.
  • 57.
  • 58.
  • 59. OK What do we do NOW???
  • 60.
  • 61.
  • 62.
  • 63. Flapping vs Flying Innovation not replication!
  • 64.
  • 65. Thank You! For Questions & Comments please contact: [email_address] See “Off Course – On Target” for slides, podcasts, blogs and much more: www.autodesk.com/waynehodgins