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PERSPECTIVE
Luxury 2.0: the role of digital channels in a downturn
                                Luxury businesses are feeling the effects of the economic downturn, as growing job
           Alfonso Marone       losses and plummeting consumer confidence translate to cuts in retail spending across
           Partner              the board. The 2009 Luxury CEO agenda looks quite different from 12-18 months ago;
                                the inevitable rethink of their growth strategies will place less emphasis on expanding
                                physical retail networks and launching new product categories, and greater focus
                                on enhancing core business, customer loyalty, and cost management. In this article
           Kim Chua             we explore how online channels and web 2.0 technologies can help luxury brands to
           Manager              engage more deeply with their core customers and tap into new areas of growth, in a
                                cost-effective and low risk fashion.




The changing market context for Luxury brands
Over the past 5 years luxury CEOs have consistently pursued expansion plans based on three key pillars: 1) build
up the retail network to gain direct control of the end customer, 2) extend the brand into accessories and new
product categories, and 3) go international. Only twelve months ago, the mood was buoyant; the luxury sector
was growing at 8-10% per annum and brands could not expand fast enough to meet the surge of demand from
the emerging economies, as well as the demand from aspirational customers for their ‘accessible luxury’ ranges.

Now, strategies written before the crash are being ripped up and redefined. In fact, the peculiar nature of this
recessionary cycle, rooted in the financial services sector, is affecting luxury brands more directly than ever:
alongside a general drop in customer confidence, the 200,000+ City and Wall Street jobs losses, the collapse of
hedge funds, and the implosion of equity wealth all point to a direct impact on the traditional segments and
geographic hubs of growth for luxury brands. New behavioural patterns are emerging, with risk aversion, cost
consciousness, and pragmatism adding to the long term trends of personalisation and interactivity.

Trend analysts predict a return to understatement and simplicity; fewer, higher quality purchases represents the
new karma.

Our analysis and conversations with luxury executives indicate the following priorities:

• Focus on core business and customer engagement / loyalty

• Accelerate expansion to BRIC markets

• Develop the online channels

• Strengthen the cost management culture

• Re-assess the sustainability of the retail expansion plans.




                                                                                                                    1
PERSPECTIVE
Exhibit 1: The new priorities for luxury CEO’s

                                   Macro-trends …                     … resulting growth strategies

                                   • Western economies in             1 • Increase focus on core
                                     turmoil                             business and customer
                                                                         engagement / loyalty
                                   • Relative resilience of “New
                                     World” markets                   2 • Accelerate penetration of BRIC
                                                                         markets
                                   • Evolving behavioural
                                     patterns:                        3 • Develop the Online channels
                                     - cost consciousness and            in support to core business
                                       pragmatism (new trend)
                                     - personalisation                4 • Strengthen cost culture
                                     - interactivity                     (supply chain, inventory mgmt,
                                                                         cost transformation)
                                   • Eco-sustainability
                                                                      5 • Reassess retail expansion
                                                                         plans

                     Source: Value Partners


In a context where direct customer engagement is more important than ever, and where it may be not wise, over
the next 12-18 months, to sign long-term leases to open physical retail presence in untested locations, direct
online channels may prove a valuable tool to offset some of the growth challenges posed by this recessionary
cycle. We illustrate how in the following paragraphs.

Digital channels: the untapped opportunity
To move on from old preconceptions about the attitude of luxury customers towards the internet, it is worth
noting that high-net-worth (HNW) customers are early adopters of online media (fixed and mobile broadband
solutions, including Wifi devices and iPhone): in 2008, 98% of US HNW HH shopped online, and 80% of affluent
and HNW consumers researched purchases daily over the internet. A recent UK survey commissioned by New
Media Age indicates that 35% of Britons intend to spend more money online and less on high street during 2009.
This medium is not only used as a retail channel, but also as a tool to seek entertainment, socialise, engage, and
influence.


Exhibit 2: HNW propensity to spend time and shop online

                                        % of US HH that shop online, by HH income, 2008



                                             < $15k                   54%


                                          $15-$30k                      61%


                                          $30-$50k                       64%


                                          $50-$75k                          67%


                                              > $75k                         72%


                                              HNW                                    98%




                          Source: Forrester Research



While all luxury brands have by now established a web-presence, our research indicates that their approach to
digital channels and social media is often sub-optimal and fails to unleash the full potential.
This is because, all too often, luxury businesses pursue digital initiatives tactically and in a suboptimal fashion.
Common issues we have uncovered are:

• Insufficient senior management attention devoted to online channel development: often this task
  is delegated so far down the organisation that initiatives are isolated, tactical and fragmented; most
  organisations still lack an eBusiness Director to drive the efforts and measure progress (e.g. formal corporate
  KPIs for eChannel performance management are indeed a luxury)


                                                                                                                    2
PERSPECTIVE
• Organisational ‘silos’ causing disconnects between ‘digital initiatives’ and ‘physical initiatives’ – for example
  physical stores not reflecting online campaigns, or physical stores not accepting returns from sales made online;
  under-utilisation of customer data for devising new campaigns

• Lack of clarity around the objectives of the web presence (selling vs branding vs engaging) – reflecting the lack
  of an online strategy, leading to confused, underperforming websites

• Under-allocation of financial resources to online developments

• Within the online budget, sub-optimal spending mix – for example, one company was spending the vast
  majority of its online marketing budget on search-engine-optimisation (SEO) to direct customers to its weak
  and uninspiring website

• A tendency to outsource, rather than build internal capability – for example selling mostly via Net-a-Porter or
  Yoox, rather than proprietary websites, thus limiting learning curve opportunities and future potential of the
  online channel (e.g. share of revenues); this is the equivalent of adopting a pure wholesale model in the physical
  world, where brands like Valentino, Chanel and Gucci would never place their products only through Harrod’s,
  Neiman Marcus, or Harvey Nichols.

In our approach to eLuxury channels, we recommend considering Online as a three-fold “medium”, to enable:

1. Online retailing

2. Branding & communications channel

3. Interactive CRM.


Exhibit 3: Full potential for eLuxury channels

                                                                  • Monetise growth in online shopping among HNWI
                                                                  • Leverage web presence as complementary retail channel
                                               Online retailing   • Extend reach to unserved geographies
                                                                  • Enhance customer reach and margins
                                                                  • Enable customisation and personalisation

                       Role of the
                       luxury 2.0
                       channels                                                              • Tap into Millennials segment
                                                                                             • Pursue brand engagement
                                                                     Brand building
                                                                                               through viral marketing
                                                                                               campaigns
                                                                                             • Develop customers into evangelists
                                               Branding &
                                               interactive CRM
                                                                                             • Use as feedback channel to gain
                                                                     Customer                  deeper customer insight (CRM
                                                                     engagement &              tool)
                                                                     feedback channel        • Provide new levels of customer
                                                                                               service and after-sale
                                                                                             • Enhance loyalty and average spend


                      Source: Value Partners




                                                                                                                                    3
PERSPECTIVE
Online retailing
Global online shopping has been growing strongly (CAGR 04-07: 22%); in the UK, where the high street is suffering
the effects of the downturn more than elsewhere, the online channel is still seeing strong growth (15% yoy growth
vs. a -2% contraction for physical) as online shopping experience grows more sophisticated and shoppers gain
confidence in this tool.


Exhibit 4: Online retail historic growth


   High growth in online retail                                                     Online retail still growing whilst physical contracts
                                                                CAGR      CAGR      UK year on year, like-for-like sales growth, 2008
  Online retail sales by region, bn                             ’04-’07   ’07-’11
                                                                 22%       17%                                                      Online    Physical
      Asia-Pacific                                       500                         22%
      North America                                414   99
                                                                 25%       20%                    16%          16%           16%
      Europe                                352    79
                                                                                                                                             15%
                                     292    66
                            270                          175
                      236             52           145           18%       15%
                            47
            188       40                    122
     148                    99       104
             32
     24               88
             72                                          226
     60                                     164    190
                      108   124      136                         25%       16%
     64      84                                                                            -1%           -1%         -1%          -2%            -2%
    2004   2005      2006   2007     2008E 2009E 2010E 2011E                            June         July          Aug          Sep            Oct




  Source: Jupiter Research, British Retail Consortium

Based on analysis of growth trends, relevant comparables, and proxies from precursor industries (e.g. the digital
entertainment sector), we expect luxury brands that execute well to achieve some 8-12% of total sales from the
Online channel within the next 3-5 years. This figure will make eLuxury by far the most important “store” in the retail
network of those brands. The continued success of luxury e-malls such as Net-a-Porter and Yoox, with their 30-60%
YOY revenue growth, confirms the positive prospects for this channel.


Exhibit 5: The continued success of luxury e-malls

                                                                                                                                         CAGR ’05-’07



                                 m                                                    • Exclusive online channel for various designers
                                                               80          63%        • Average order value of about £500 in 2006
                                                  54                                  • Key strengths:
                                      30                                                - up-to-date and fashion forward editorial content for the
                                                                                          affiliates brands (including previews from fashion
                                                                                          shows)
                                                                                        - Quick deliveries to 71 countries from the warehouses
                                     2005         2006         2007                       in London and New York


                                 m                                                    • One of the leading online sources of designer fashion,
                                                                91
                                                                           31%          Yoox offers items that cannot be found in the store: last
                                                   67                                   season items, samples and exclusive collections
                                      53                                              • Achieved strong results since its launch in 2000:
                                                                                        - 3 million visitors per month
                                                                                        - 1 million transactions in 2007
                                                                                      • Beyond traditional support services (customer care, free
                                                                                        of charge return policy), online social shopping
                                                                                        initiatives are to be launched: a community to share
                                     2005         2006         2007                     opinions and the chance to shop e-stores with friends




   Source: Value Partners analysis, websites




                                                                                                                                                         4
PERSPECTIVE
Despite the strongly encouraging feedback from luxury CEOs that have fully endorsed this channel (e.g. most
recently, Oscar de la Renta), our analysis shows that many brands are still lacking the required confidence. For
many e-stores, only US and UK (or Japan) transactions are enabled, the catalogue is not fully represented, and the
customer management policies (e.g. returns) and overall shopping experience are unfriendly and not in line with a
true luxury positioning. Therefore, those luxury brands need to re-assess their approach to online retailing, taking
ownership and control of this emergent sales channel. For unleashing full potential, luxury online stores need to
be dynamic and inviting, a virtual reflection of the luxury experience, and must work in synergy with the physical
stores. Additionally, relationships with e-malls would need to be carefully reconsidered (also in the contractual
revenue sharing terms). The right online retail approach has the potential to drive growth and recapture margin,
improve customer service, and extend reach to otherwise underserved geographies (e.g. BRICs).

Branding and Interactive CRM
Digital marketing and CRM represent a significant opportunity for luxury brands to connect with their customers
and remain relevant to new emerging demographics. For instance, Millennials and Young Professionals are two
important segments that consume the largest portion of their ‘entertainment diet’ online. In particular, social
networking (e.g. Facebook, Asmallworld, Bebo) is driving the increase in time spent online, and is now the sixth
most popular leisure activity in the UK, with social networkers spending an average of 7 hours a week on these
sites. Some luxury brands such as Cartier, Prada, and Agent Provocateur have begun to experiment in this space;
creative use of the digital channel can be a highly cost-effective way of connecting with existing and new customers,
creating a new cadre of loyal ‘brand evangelists’.


Exhibit 6: Examples of brands using social networking and viral marketing to deepen customer engagement

      Agent Provocateur: viral video                  Cartier’s MySpace page                     Prada’s Facebook group




      • New lingerie range launch with viral          • Launched in June ’08 for its Love        • Prada’s Facebook group enables
        video e-mail - “The Four Dreams of              collection                                 people to find out more about products
        Miss X” starring Kate Moss                    • Includes information and videos on the     and activities and discuss the brand
      • Extraordinary response rates with click         collection, as well as exclusive music     and its products
        through over 50% and social news                tracks and interviews with celebrities
        sites driving traffic to the site               associated with the brand




                                          •   Cost-effective way of creating a marketing buzz
                                          •   Ability to measure the success of the campaign
                                          •   Effective method of reaching the Millennials
                                          •   Greater customer insights and engagement




The first priority for luxury brands in this fast moving area is to define clear corporate objectives for social media
to deliver on (e.g. Listening, Training, Energising, Supporting, Embracing – according to the Forrester Interactive
Media framework), before committing digital advertising and web development resources. Too many digital
marketing initiatives are tactical and experimental and result in wasted moneys. On the converse, the prize for a
well articulated and planned marketing initiative across physical and digital media can result not only in deeper
customer engagement, but also in significant cost savings on sales & marketing budgets. An enlightening case
study comes from outside the luxury sector, and is the “Nike Plus” campaign developed by the sportswear leader
Nike. This initiative targeted runners, offering them a combination of physical product (a distance logging gadget)
and digital service (on Nike’s website) which enables logging and benchmarking their running performance against
themselves, over time, and against other Nike Plus runners; it resulted in an online community for runners. Through
this initiative, Nike not only gained in depth customer data to enhance its product development and marketing
effectiveness, but it also saved 57% of its marketing budget for the target segment.


                                                                                                                                            5
PERSPECTIVE
Exhibit 7: Case study: Nike Plus integrating offline and online initiatives: 57% cost saving



                                                                                             • Results of “Nike+” initiative:
                                                                                              - 57% saving on segment
                                                                                                advertising budget
                                                                                              - 450,000 kits sold in the
                                                                                                first 3 months
                                                                                              - 30,000 logins over a 24-
                                                                                                hour period


                                                                                             • Key take-away:
                                                                                              - Customer segmentation
                                                                                              - Personal targeting

             •Runners can purchase a Nike Plus device (ipod connectable), which               - Use of social media to
             tracks runner’s performance through a wireless chip in the shoe                    enable a “conversation”
                                                                                                about the brand
             •Information can be uploaded on the Nike website to track each run,
             illustrating pace and distance and comparing it to the runner’s historical
             performance and other runners




            Source: Value Partners analysis, company website


More extreme opportunities related to the interactive and peer-to-peer nature of digital channels include the
possibility to enable cost effective forms of product-personalisation (e.g. finishing, packaging), and even involve
customers in the product development cycle. While these initiatives may still be a taboo for designer-led brands,
the new consumer trends point to an increasingly tougher environment in the years ahead for standardised luxury
products.


Exhibit 8: Virtuous cycle of communication enabling deeper customer insight and engagement


                                       Branding & marketing
                                            messages
            Brand
                                                                                                   • Increasing potential for high
                                                forums     viral                                     impact, creative online
                                     blog                                                            campaigns:
                                                         campaigns
                             search                                                                  - online fashion shows
                           optimisation                               display                        - viral campaigns
                                                                    advertising
                                                                                                   • Customer insight and
                                                                                                     engagement
                                                                                                     - monitoring of forums, blogs
                                                                                                     - communicating and
                               website &                              blogs                            engaging through
                                search                                                                 newsletter, personalisation
                               analytics      buzz           ugc
                                            monitoring                                             • Optimisation of media
                                                                                                     budgets: cost effectiveness
                                                                                                     of online channel
                                      Customer insights &
                                                                                  Customer
                                           feedback


        Source: Value Partners




                                                                                                                                     6
PERSPECTIVE
Setting the vision for full-potential
The optimal eLuxury channel is integrated in a wired business system to drive sales, enhance brand
equity & loyalty, and optimise supply chain & core processes across physical and digital customer
touch points.


Exhibit 9: Integration of digital channels into business system


       Organisation / Core processes                    Supply chain                               Front end
                           Sales
                             &                                                                      Distributors
                           Sales
                          Marketing                                                                 Importers
                                                               Collection
                                                               Production
               Design                 Product team
                                                                                                    Franchisees


                        Merchandising

                                                               Supply chain                         Direct clients    Client


           3 • A strong feedback channel to optimise
             supply chain & core processes:
             - presenting high measurability                                                        DOS
                                                                                                                     2 • A powerful & cost
             - offering customer data and behavioural
               insight                                                                                                 effective tool for
             - providing direct input to CRM,                                                                          customer
               merchandising and design processes                       1 • A high growth retail                       relationship
                                                                                                    Online             marketing and
                                                                            channel enabling
                                                                                                                       brand
                 Marketing                                                  personalisation and
                                                                                                                       development
                                                                            enhanced customer
                    CRM
                                                                            proposition




       Source: Value Partners


In moving towards the gold-standard, luxury brands should be ready to reassess their approach to online channels,
by touching important aspects of the general management agenda:

• Corporate goals for digital channels to achieve; timing and priorities

• Organisational model and capabilities; balance of in-house vs outsourced

• Governance model and performance management systems (e.g. reporting lines, KPI’s)

• Technology platforms and trade-offs between standard and bespoke solutions

• Level of integration between physical and online channels to pursue along the supply chain

• Role of external outsourcing partners and business model (wholesaler vs outsourcer)

• Financial investment requirements and product development roadmap phasing.

While the investment for executing a full-fledge digital strategy is in the majority of cases a scale-factor smaller
than pursuing aggressive store network expansion and traditional marketing campaigns (e.g. through expensive
catwalks, sponsorships & events, and premium print-media), Boards and CEOs of luxury businesses should be aware
that without their full endorsement and commitment to ask broadminded questions, any effort will be incremental,
if not wasted resources. On the converse, experience from other industries that have faced the challenge earlier,
shows that the prize for going through a holistic approach to luxury 2.0 is that of setting the business on a path of
continued sustained-growth and long term protection of its brand equity.




                                                                                                                                             7
PERSPECTIVE
About Value Partners

Value Partners consumer & luxury    Management Consulting and           For more information on the issues
goods practice specializes in       Value Team IT Consulting &          raised in this note please contact
assisting leading brands on new     Solutions.                          alfonso.marone@valuepartners.
markets entry, JV and partnership                                       com, kim.chua@valuepartners.com
negotiations, retail network        With 16 offices across Europe,      or one of our offices below. Find
planning, web 2.0 and digital       Asia, South America and             all the contacts details on www.
media development, supply chain     MENA, Value Partners expertise      valuepartners.com
optimization and outsourcing        spans corporate strategy and
management, leveraging a            financial business planning, cost   Milan
unique combination of luxury        transformation & organizational     Rome
goods, digital media, and IT &      development, commercial             London
technology know how.                planning, technology decisions,     Munich
                                    and change management.              Helsinki
Founded in 1993, Value Partners     Its 3,000 professionals,            Istanbul
is a global management              from 25 nations, combine            Dubai
consulting firm that works with     methodological approach and         SĂŁo Paulo
multinational corporations and      analytical frameworks with          Rio de Janeiro
high-potential entrepreneurial      hands-on attitude and practical     Buenos Aires
businesses to identify and pursue   industry experience developed       Mumbai
value enhancement initiatives       in executive capacity within        Shanghai
across innovation, international    their sectors of focus: media &     Beijing
expansion, and operational          telecoms, luxury goods, financial   Hong Kong
effectiveness. It comprises two     services, energy, manufacturing     Sydney
sister companies: Value Partners    and hi-tech.                        Singapore




                                                                                                             8

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Luxury 2.0: the role of digital channels in a downturn_Value Partners

  • 1. PERSPECTIVE Luxury 2.0: the role of digital channels in a downturn Luxury businesses are feeling the effects of the economic downturn, as growing job Alfonso Marone losses and plummeting consumer confidence translate to cuts in retail spending across Partner the board. The 2009 Luxury CEO agenda looks quite different from 12-18 months ago; the inevitable rethink of their growth strategies will place less emphasis on expanding physical retail networks and launching new product categories, and greater focus on enhancing core business, customer loyalty, and cost management. In this article Kim Chua we explore how online channels and web 2.0 technologies can help luxury brands to Manager engage more deeply with their core customers and tap into new areas of growth, in a cost-effective and low risk fashion. The changing market context for Luxury brands Over the past 5 years luxury CEOs have consistently pursued expansion plans based on three key pillars: 1) build up the retail network to gain direct control of the end customer, 2) extend the brand into accessories and new product categories, and 3) go international. Only twelve months ago, the mood was buoyant; the luxury sector was growing at 8-10% per annum and brands could not expand fast enough to meet the surge of demand from the emerging economies, as well as the demand from aspirational customers for their ‘accessible luxury’ ranges. Now, strategies written before the crash are being ripped up and redefined. In fact, the peculiar nature of this recessionary cycle, rooted in the financial services sector, is affecting luxury brands more directly than ever: alongside a general drop in customer confidence, the 200,000+ City and Wall Street jobs losses, the collapse of hedge funds, and the implosion of equity wealth all point to a direct impact on the traditional segments and geographic hubs of growth for luxury brands. New behavioural patterns are emerging, with risk aversion, cost consciousness, and pragmatism adding to the long term trends of personalisation and interactivity. Trend analysts predict a return to understatement and simplicity; fewer, higher quality purchases represents the new karma. Our analysis and conversations with luxury executives indicate the following priorities: • Focus on core business and customer engagement / loyalty • Accelerate expansion to BRIC markets • Develop the online channels • Strengthen the cost management culture • Re-assess the sustainability of the retail expansion plans. 1
  • 2. PERSPECTIVE Exhibit 1: The new priorities for luxury CEO’s Macro-trends … … resulting growth strategies • Western economies in 1 • Increase focus on core turmoil business and customer engagement / loyalty • Relative resilience of “New World” markets 2 • Accelerate penetration of BRIC markets • Evolving behavioural patterns: 3 • Develop the Online channels - cost consciousness and in support to core business pragmatism (new trend) - personalisation 4 • Strengthen cost culture - interactivity (supply chain, inventory mgmt, cost transformation) • Eco-sustainability 5 • Reassess retail expansion plans Source: Value Partners In a context where direct customer engagement is more important than ever, and where it may be not wise, over the next 12-18 months, to sign long-term leases to open physical retail presence in untested locations, direct online channels may prove a valuable tool to offset some of the growth challenges posed by this recessionary cycle. We illustrate how in the following paragraphs. Digital channels: the untapped opportunity To move on from old preconceptions about the attitude of luxury customers towards the internet, it is worth noting that high-net-worth (HNW) customers are early adopters of online media (fixed and mobile broadband solutions, including Wifi devices and iPhone): in 2008, 98% of US HNW HH shopped online, and 80% of affluent and HNW consumers researched purchases daily over the internet. A recent UK survey commissioned by New Media Age indicates that 35% of Britons intend to spend more money online and less on high street during 2009. This medium is not only used as a retail channel, but also as a tool to seek entertainment, socialise, engage, and influence. Exhibit 2: HNW propensity to spend time and shop online % of US HH that shop online, by HH income, 2008 < $15k 54% $15-$30k 61% $30-$50k 64% $50-$75k 67% > $75k 72% HNW 98% Source: Forrester Research While all luxury brands have by now established a web-presence, our research indicates that their approach to digital channels and social media is often sub-optimal and fails to unleash the full potential. This is because, all too often, luxury businesses pursue digital initiatives tactically and in a suboptimal fashion. Common issues we have uncovered are: • Insufficient senior management attention devoted to online channel development: often this task is delegated so far down the organisation that initiatives are isolated, tactical and fragmented; most organisations still lack an eBusiness Director to drive the efforts and measure progress (e.g. formal corporate KPIs for eChannel performance management are indeed a luxury) 2
  • 3. PERSPECTIVE • Organisational ‘silos’ causing disconnects between ‘digital initiatives’ and ‘physical initiatives’ – for example physical stores not reflecting online campaigns, or physical stores not accepting returns from sales made online; under-utilisation of customer data for devising new campaigns • Lack of clarity around the objectives of the web presence (selling vs branding vs engaging) – reflecting the lack of an online strategy, leading to confused, underperforming websites • Under-allocation of financial resources to online developments • Within the online budget, sub-optimal spending mix – for example, one company was spending the vast majority of its online marketing budget on search-engine-optimisation (SEO) to direct customers to its weak and uninspiring website • A tendency to outsource, rather than build internal capability – for example selling mostly via Net-a-Porter or Yoox, rather than proprietary websites, thus limiting learning curve opportunities and future potential of the online channel (e.g. share of revenues); this is the equivalent of adopting a pure wholesale model in the physical world, where brands like Valentino, Chanel and Gucci would never place their products only through Harrod’s, Neiman Marcus, or Harvey Nichols. In our approach to eLuxury channels, we recommend considering Online as a three-fold “medium”, to enable: 1. Online retailing 2. Branding & communications channel 3. Interactive CRM. Exhibit 3: Full potential for eLuxury channels • Monetise growth in online shopping among HNWI • Leverage web presence as complementary retail channel Online retailing • Extend reach to unserved geographies • Enhance customer reach and margins • Enable customisation and personalisation Role of the luxury 2.0 channels • Tap into Millennials segment • Pursue brand engagement Brand building through viral marketing campaigns • Develop customers into evangelists Branding & interactive CRM • Use as feedback channel to gain Customer deeper customer insight (CRM engagement & tool) feedback channel • Provide new levels of customer service and after-sale • Enhance loyalty and average spend Source: Value Partners 3
  • 4. PERSPECTIVE Online retailing Global online shopping has been growing strongly (CAGR 04-07: 22%); in the UK, where the high street is suffering the effects of the downturn more than elsewhere, the online channel is still seeing strong growth (15% yoy growth vs. a -2% contraction for physical) as online shopping experience grows more sophisticated and shoppers gain confidence in this tool. Exhibit 4: Online retail historic growth High growth in online retail Online retail still growing whilst physical contracts CAGR CAGR UK year on year, like-for-like sales growth, 2008 Online retail sales by region, bn ’04-’07 ’07-’11 22% 17% Online Physical Asia-Pacific 500 22% North America 414 99 25% 20% 16% 16% 16% Europe 352 79 15% 292 66 270 175 236 52 145 18% 15% 47 188 40 122 148 99 104 32 24 88 72 226 60 164 190 108 124 136 25% 16% 64 84 -1% -1% -1% -2% -2% 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008E 2009E 2010E 2011E June July Aug Sep Oct Source: Jupiter Research, British Retail Consortium Based on analysis of growth trends, relevant comparables, and proxies from precursor industries (e.g. the digital entertainment sector), we expect luxury brands that execute well to achieve some 8-12% of total sales from the Online channel within the next 3-5 years. This figure will make eLuxury by far the most important “store” in the retail network of those brands. The continued success of luxury e-malls such as Net-a-Porter and Yoox, with their 30-60% YOY revenue growth, confirms the positive prospects for this channel. Exhibit 5: The continued success of luxury e-malls CAGR ’05-’07 m • Exclusive online channel for various designers 80 63% • Average order value of about ÂŁ500 in 2006 54 • Key strengths: 30 - up-to-date and fashion forward editorial content for the affiliates brands (including previews from fashion shows) - Quick deliveries to 71 countries from the warehouses 2005 2006 2007 in London and New York m • One of the leading online sources of designer fashion, 91 31% Yoox offers items that cannot be found in the store: last 67 season items, samples and exclusive collections 53 • Achieved strong results since its launch in 2000: - 3 million visitors per month - 1 million transactions in 2007 • Beyond traditional support services (customer care, free of charge return policy), online social shopping initiatives are to be launched: a community to share 2005 2006 2007 opinions and the chance to shop e-stores with friends Source: Value Partners analysis, websites 4
  • 5. PERSPECTIVE Despite the strongly encouraging feedback from luxury CEOs that have fully endorsed this channel (e.g. most recently, Oscar de la Renta), our analysis shows that many brands are still lacking the required confidence. For many e-stores, only US and UK (or Japan) transactions are enabled, the catalogue is not fully represented, and the customer management policies (e.g. returns) and overall shopping experience are unfriendly and not in line with a true luxury positioning. Therefore, those luxury brands need to re-assess their approach to online retailing, taking ownership and control of this emergent sales channel. For unleashing full potential, luxury online stores need to be dynamic and inviting, a virtual reflection of the luxury experience, and must work in synergy with the physical stores. Additionally, relationships with e-malls would need to be carefully reconsidered (also in the contractual revenue sharing terms). The right online retail approach has the potential to drive growth and recapture margin, improve customer service, and extend reach to otherwise underserved geographies (e.g. BRICs). Branding and Interactive CRM Digital marketing and CRM represent a significant opportunity for luxury brands to connect with their customers and remain relevant to new emerging demographics. For instance, Millennials and Young Professionals are two important segments that consume the largest portion of their ‘entertainment diet’ online. In particular, social networking (e.g. Facebook, Asmallworld, Bebo) is driving the increase in time spent online, and is now the sixth most popular leisure activity in the UK, with social networkers spending an average of 7 hours a week on these sites. Some luxury brands such as Cartier, Prada, and Agent Provocateur have begun to experiment in this space; creative use of the digital channel can be a highly cost-effective way of connecting with existing and new customers, creating a new cadre of loyal ‘brand evangelists’. Exhibit 6: Examples of brands using social networking and viral marketing to deepen customer engagement Agent Provocateur: viral video Cartier’s MySpace page Prada’s Facebook group • New lingerie range launch with viral • Launched in June ’08 for its Love • Prada’s Facebook group enables video e-mail - “The Four Dreams of collection people to find out more about products Miss X” starring Kate Moss • Includes information and videos on the and activities and discuss the brand • Extraordinary response rates with click collection, as well as exclusive music and its products through over 50% and social news tracks and interviews with celebrities sites driving traffic to the site associated with the brand • Cost-effective way of creating a marketing buzz • Ability to measure the success of the campaign • Effective method of reaching the Millennials • Greater customer insights and engagement The first priority for luxury brands in this fast moving area is to define clear corporate objectives for social media to deliver on (e.g. Listening, Training, Energising, Supporting, Embracing – according to the Forrester Interactive Media framework), before committing digital advertising and web development resources. Too many digital marketing initiatives are tactical and experimental and result in wasted moneys. On the converse, the prize for a well articulated and planned marketing initiative across physical and digital media can result not only in deeper customer engagement, but also in significant cost savings on sales & marketing budgets. An enlightening case study comes from outside the luxury sector, and is the “Nike Plus” campaign developed by the sportswear leader Nike. This initiative targeted runners, offering them a combination of physical product (a distance logging gadget) and digital service (on Nike’s website) which enables logging and benchmarking their running performance against themselves, over time, and against other Nike Plus runners; it resulted in an online community for runners. Through this initiative, Nike not only gained in depth customer data to enhance its product development and marketing effectiveness, but it also saved 57% of its marketing budget for the target segment. 5
  • 6. PERSPECTIVE Exhibit 7: Case study: Nike Plus integrating offline and online initiatives: 57% cost saving • Results of “Nike+” initiative: - 57% saving on segment advertising budget - 450,000 kits sold in the first 3 months - 30,000 logins over a 24- hour period • Key take-away: - Customer segmentation - Personal targeting •Runners can purchase a Nike Plus device (ipod connectable), which - Use of social media to tracks runner’s performance through a wireless chip in the shoe enable a “conversation” about the brand •Information can be uploaded on the Nike website to track each run, illustrating pace and distance and comparing it to the runner’s historical performance and other runners Source: Value Partners analysis, company website More extreme opportunities related to the interactive and peer-to-peer nature of digital channels include the possibility to enable cost effective forms of product-personalisation (e.g. finishing, packaging), and even involve customers in the product development cycle. While these initiatives may still be a taboo for designer-led brands, the new consumer trends point to an increasingly tougher environment in the years ahead for standardised luxury products. Exhibit 8: Virtuous cycle of communication enabling deeper customer insight and engagement Branding & marketing messages Brand • Increasing potential for high forums viral impact, creative online blog campaigns: campaigns search - online fashion shows optimisation display - viral campaigns advertising • Customer insight and engagement - monitoring of forums, blogs - communicating and website & blogs engaging through search newsletter, personalisation analytics buzz ugc monitoring • Optimisation of media budgets: cost effectiveness of online channel Customer insights & Customer feedback Source: Value Partners 6
  • 7. PERSPECTIVE Setting the vision for full-potential The optimal eLuxury channel is integrated in a wired business system to drive sales, enhance brand equity & loyalty, and optimise supply chain & core processes across physical and digital customer touch points. Exhibit 9: Integration of digital channels into business system Organisation / Core processes Supply chain Front end Sales & Distributors Sales Marketing Importers Collection Production Design Product team Franchisees Merchandising Supply chain Direct clients Client 3 • A strong feedback channel to optimise supply chain & core processes: - presenting high measurability DOS 2 • A powerful & cost - offering customer data and behavioural insight effective tool for - providing direct input to CRM, customer merchandising and design processes 1 • A high growth retail relationship Online marketing and channel enabling brand Marketing personalisation and development enhanced customer CRM proposition Source: Value Partners In moving towards the gold-standard, luxury brands should be ready to reassess their approach to online channels, by touching important aspects of the general management agenda: • Corporate goals for digital channels to achieve; timing and priorities • Organisational model and capabilities; balance of in-house vs outsourced • Governance model and performance management systems (e.g. reporting lines, KPI’s) • Technology platforms and trade-offs between standard and bespoke solutions • Level of integration between physical and online channels to pursue along the supply chain • Role of external outsourcing partners and business model (wholesaler vs outsourcer) • Financial investment requirements and product development roadmap phasing. While the investment for executing a full-fledge digital strategy is in the majority of cases a scale-factor smaller than pursuing aggressive store network expansion and traditional marketing campaigns (e.g. through expensive catwalks, sponsorships & events, and premium print-media), Boards and CEOs of luxury businesses should be aware that without their full endorsement and commitment to ask broadminded questions, any effort will be incremental, if not wasted resources. On the converse, experience from other industries that have faced the challenge earlier, shows that the prize for going through a holistic approach to luxury 2.0 is that of setting the business on a path of continued sustained-growth and long term protection of its brand equity. 7
  • 8. PERSPECTIVE About Value Partners Value Partners consumer & luxury Management Consulting and For more information on the issues goods practice specializes in Value Team IT Consulting & raised in this note please contact assisting leading brands on new Solutions. alfonso.marone@valuepartners. markets entry, JV and partnership com, kim.chua@valuepartners.com negotiations, retail network With 16 offices across Europe, or one of our offices below. Find planning, web 2.0 and digital Asia, South America and all the contacts details on www. media development, supply chain MENA, Value Partners expertise valuepartners.com optimization and outsourcing spans corporate strategy and management, leveraging a financial business planning, cost Milan unique combination of luxury transformation & organizational Rome goods, digital media, and IT & development, commercial London technology know how. planning, technology decisions, Munich and change management. Helsinki Founded in 1993, Value Partners Its 3,000 professionals, Istanbul is a global management from 25 nations, combine Dubai consulting firm that works with methodological approach and SĂŁo Paulo multinational corporations and analytical frameworks with Rio de Janeiro high-potential entrepreneurial hands-on attitude and practical Buenos Aires businesses to identify and pursue industry experience developed Mumbai value enhancement initiatives in executive capacity within Shanghai across innovation, international their sectors of focus: media & Beijing expansion, and operational telecoms, luxury goods, financial Hong Kong effectiveness. It comprises two services, energy, manufacturing Sydney sister companies: Value Partners and hi-tech. Singapore 8