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PERSPECTIVE
Five deadly pricing sins to avoid in a competitive mobile
market
In response to increasing competition, mobile operators tended to cut service prices. But now, operators are more
careful in targeting their promotions not only to reduce price but also to drive usage, and potentially subscriber tenure.
Nonetheless well-intentioned promotions have not had the desired results. In this article we set out the reasons and the
pitfalls to avoid.




The mobile industry is becoming increasingly competitive. There is a constant battle to acquire, grow and retain
subscribers. The competitive intensity is evidenced by a surge in price promotions, often with one operator
launching a campaign, which in turn is quickly followed by competitors responding with their own ‘counter’
promotion. In the past, this has usually resulted in wave after wave of cutting service prices, but now operators
are more careful in targeting their promotions not only to reduce price but also to drive usage, and potentially
subscriber tenure.

However, in this maelstrom of frequent discounts, even well-intentioned promotions can have undesired effects –
at best, they may not increase Minutes of Usage (MoU), customer acquisition or Average Revenue Per User (ARPU);
at worst, they could harm the operator’s brand while considerably impacting its Average Revenue Per Minute
(ARPM) and profitability.

What are these?

Our experience shows there are five deadly sins to avoid in pricing mobile services in competitive markets. These
are:

 1. Thinking that use of simple and cheap tariffs alone will lead to success;

 2. Resorting to further price cuts to drive customer acquisition, even though the operator’s tariff plans are
    already the cheapest in the market;

 3. Targeting popular single services with very aggressive price cuts to switch competitors’ subscribers;

 4. In search of competitive differentiation, offering cost-blind, flat-rate tariffs; i.e. not accounting for variations
    in cost to serve at different times of the day;

 5. Developing acquisition-focused pricing for SIM starter packs without considering SIM disposability;

Indeed, price reductions, however innovative, may help in the short-term but do not fully address the problem nor
are sustainable in the long-term.




                                                                                                                       1
PERSPECTIVE
1. Thinking that use of simple and cheap tariffs alone will lead to success
From Virgin Mobile in the US to more recent examples in Asia, new mobile operators believe they can build their
business by attracting customers through simple and very low tariffs. This strategy is successful in attracting the
price-sensitive segment of the market – either ‘new-to-mobile’ or existing subscribers, at least in the short term.
However, retaining these subscribers and turning them into profitable consumers has proven more elusive. We
have seen in the highly-competitive Indonesian mobile market that having the lowest tariffs in the market over a
period of time has not resulted in the expected number of customers. Market research has shown that customers
do wish to have affordable tariffs and that some operators have successfully managed to create the perception of
affordability without having the lowest tariffs for a significant period of time. Simple tariff structures do not have
to be the cheapest, at least not at every time of the day and for every single service offered. A deep understanding
of the market and the different key selling points for various segments can help operators build ‘fencing’
mechanisms, allowing them to attract key segments while capturing value; for example, by setting attractive
tariffs for say the two most popular services per segment, and less competitive pricing for other services.

2. Resorting to further price cuts to drive customer acquisition, even though the
operator’s tariff plans are already the cheapest in the market
In highly competitive markets, mobile operators often revert to dropping prices as an acquisition tool. They
hope to sway the price-sensitive segments of the markets towards switching to their attractive pricing plans.
When this does not work, failing to realize that pricing alone may not be a successful core value proposition
to attract new customers, even price-sensitive ones, operators persist with further drop in their prices. At best,
subscriber acquisitions will increase but often marginally, but this approach is likely to significantly damage
operators’ profitability. When caught in such an unsustainable situation, operators need to step back and address
the acquisition challenge through other levers of growth from their marketing mix, such as identifying the
product offerings with voices, sms, internet access, etc. for selected customer segments and the right marketing
message.

3. Targeting popular single services with very aggressive price cuts to switch
competitors’ subscribers
Some operators decide to introduce a hugely attractive price promotion on one of their services, or even give
them for free altogether, hoping to switch their competitors’ price sensitive subscribers via a single service. As
such, over the past few years, we have often seen mobile operators in Asian markets giving free on-net SMS
to their subscribers with the hope of cross selling other services. More often than not, the results have been
disappointing: they have managed to drive acquisition and to build a relatively stable base; however, often, these
price-sensitive subscribers have long understood how to best take advantage of these attractive prices strategies,
at the cost of the very operators that initiated them. As a result, operators will get limited ‘share of wallets’ from
their newly-acquired subscribers, as their subscribers carry multiple SIM cards and do not hesitate to switch from
one to the other as best suit their needs, taking advantage of the cheapest tariffs at any given time by any given
operator for a specific service

In many Asian countries, it is not uncommon to see subscribers use one operator’s SIM when they want to text
their friends on the same network and they do not mind the inconvenience of switching SIMs when they need
to reach people on a different network. This process has recently spread further with the increased popularity of
handsets that can accommodate multiple SIMs – including CDMA and GSM SIMs – doing away with the need to
carry multiple handsets – which is easier today due to low-cost handsets – or to manually swap the SIM. Realizing
this opportunity, some mobile stores in Indonesia have even gone further and now offer a service that input two
mobile accounts – from two different providers – into one unique SIM card. Needless to say, the ARPUs for each
SIM remain extremely low. In pricing their services, new entrants need to be wary of this phenomenon and at
the very outset devise strategies to make their SIM become the primary card, and potentially the only card used.
One possible avenue lies in operators offering rewards for receiving calls, thus ensuring that new subscribers
actually give their new mobile number to their friends, and, in the case of off-net calls, capturing call termination
revenues.


                                                                                                                    2
PERSPECTIVE
4. In search of competitive differentiation, offering cost-blind, flat-rate tariffs; i.e. not
accounting for variations in cost to serve at different times of the day
Subscriber behavior the world over dictates that every operator is confronted with huge variations in voice and
SMS usage at various times of the day, with peak hours usage sometime surging at more than 30 times that of
off-peak usage. To ensure high-quality of service and a consistent customer experience, operators have to take
these usage spikes into consideration and size their radio networks, back haul and core networks accordingly. Even
with ‘settling’ for minor network capacity inconveniences, this translates into higher capex required per minute
of use during peak hours, and under-utilized assets during off-peak hours. Consequently, most operators offer
preferential tariffs during off-peak hours, and increase their pricing during peak-hours, sometime hoping to alter
subscriber behaviors and to better balance their network loads.


Average peak-hour traffic can be more than 30x higher than that of off-peak hour traffic


      Voice
      120000
      Traffic
                                        Off-peak                                    Peak

       100000



        80000



        60000
                       30x


        40000



        20000


                                                                                                         Hour of
            0
                                                                                                         the day
                1               6                     12                     18                     24




However, often new entrants offer a simple flat price throughout the day in the hope to gain customers. Although
this pricing structure is simple enough for customers to understand, it fails to take into accounts the reality of the
telecom economics – i.e. subscribers should pay a premium for using the network during time of capacity scarcity.
This results in poor management of the operators’ assets. Furthermore, as the competitors maintain a peak / off-
peak price discrimination, the flat price fails to capture potential incremental revenue. This phenomenon usually
occurs as the competitors’ marketing messages focus on communicating the (attractive) off-peak pricing, and
avoiding mention of peak-time prices.

Interestingly, the recent introduction of dynamic pricing – real-time adjustment of price based on network
load – by some operators who have positioned it as ‘price savings’ has been met with success. This innovative
implementation of peak/off-peak price discrimination further demonstrates subscribers are used to being charged
higher tariffs during peak hours than during off - peak periods.




                                                                                                                   3
PERSPECTIVE
5. Developing acquisition-focused pricing for SIM starter packs without considering
SIM disposability
In a similar fashion, in the hope of boosting subscriber acquisition in what are now crowded markets and to break
the affordability barrier, operators are introducing starter packs at price points lower than ever. In fact, these prices
are so attractive that price-sensitive subscribers have realized that it was more beneficial to buy a new SIM card than
to reload their existing ones, even if they stick to the same operator! Such aggressive pricing tactics have created
a new phenomenon: the calling card effect, i.e. buying a brand new SIM just to avail of an aggressive starter pack
promotion, and which the user will never reload. This is estimated to be costing millions of dollars worth of SIM
cards for operators across emerging Asia, an asset from which they will never recover their investment, especially
accounting for the incentives to channels and other costs included in the Subscriber Acquisition Cost (SAC). Indeed,
as the total activation cost can be 40 times the cost of the ‘physical’ SIM itself.


Conclusion
Apart from very few exceptions, most mobile markets, especially in Asia, are already crowded, both in terms of
subscribers (high penetrations) and in number of players. Defining a viable approach is very challenging, but there
is way to succeed. For instance, operators should not fall into the trap of using price as the only lever to acquire
and grow their subscriber base. Instead, through careful market segmentation based on a deep understanding of
customer needs and affordability levels, they should devise offerings – inclusive of tariffs plans – that are distinctive
and focused on capturing pockets of the market which will be value creative. Use of innovative sales channels,
simple and effective communications to subscribers should reinforce these differentiated service offerings and
help operators build sustainable businesses.




About Value Partners
                                                                                    For more information on the issues
Value Partners assists 13 of              Value Team IT Consulting &                raised in this note please contact
the top 20 telecoms operators             Solutions.                                virat.patel@valuepartners.com,
worldwide in Europe, Asia, Middle                                                   olivier.letant@valuepartners.com,
East and Latin America, as well           With 15 offices across Europe,            junkai.chong@valuepartners.com,
as number of smaller and start            Asia, South America and                   andrew.huang@valuepartners.com
up operations in our markets.             MENA, Value Partners expertise            or one of our offices below.
Over the last 15 years we have            spans corporate strategy and              Find all the contacts details on www.
delivered real benefits for our           financial business planning, cost         valuepartners.com
clients building on our deep              transformation & organizational
industry insights into the key            development, commercial                   Milan
issues for the sector.                    planning, technology decisions,           Rome
                                          and change management.                    London
Founded in 1993, Value Partners           Its 3,000 professionals,                  Munich
is a global management                    from 25 nations, combine                  Helsinki
consulting firm that works with           methodological approach and               Istanbul
multinational corporations and            analytical frameworks with                Dubai
high-potential entrepreneurial            hands-on attitude and practical           São Paulo
businesses to identify and pursue         industry experience developed             Rio de Janeiro
value enhancement initiatives             in executive capacity within              Buenos Aires
across innovation, international          their sectors of focus: media &           Mumbai
expansion, and operational                telecoms, luxury goods, financial         Shanghai
effectiveness. It comprises two           services, energy, manufacturing           Beijing
sister companies: Value Partners          and hi-tech.                              Hong Kong
Management Consulting and                                                           Singapore




                                                                                                                       4

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Five deadly pricing sins to avoid in a competitive mobile market_Value Partners

  • 1. PERSPECTIVE Five deadly pricing sins to avoid in a competitive mobile market In response to increasing competition, mobile operators tended to cut service prices. But now, operators are more careful in targeting their promotions not only to reduce price but also to drive usage, and potentially subscriber tenure. Nonetheless well-intentioned promotions have not had the desired results. In this article we set out the reasons and the pitfalls to avoid. The mobile industry is becoming increasingly competitive. There is a constant battle to acquire, grow and retain subscribers. The competitive intensity is evidenced by a surge in price promotions, often with one operator launching a campaign, which in turn is quickly followed by competitors responding with their own ‘counter’ promotion. In the past, this has usually resulted in wave after wave of cutting service prices, but now operators are more careful in targeting their promotions not only to reduce price but also to drive usage, and potentially subscriber tenure. However, in this maelstrom of frequent discounts, even well-intentioned promotions can have undesired effects – at best, they may not increase Minutes of Usage (MoU), customer acquisition or Average Revenue Per User (ARPU); at worst, they could harm the operator’s brand while considerably impacting its Average Revenue Per Minute (ARPM) and profitability. What are these? Our experience shows there are five deadly sins to avoid in pricing mobile services in competitive markets. These are: 1. Thinking that use of simple and cheap tariffs alone will lead to success; 2. Resorting to further price cuts to drive customer acquisition, even though the operator’s tariff plans are already the cheapest in the market; 3. Targeting popular single services with very aggressive price cuts to switch competitors’ subscribers; 4. In search of competitive differentiation, offering cost-blind, flat-rate tariffs; i.e. not accounting for variations in cost to serve at different times of the day; 5. Developing acquisition-focused pricing for SIM starter packs without considering SIM disposability; Indeed, price reductions, however innovative, may help in the short-term but do not fully address the problem nor are sustainable in the long-term. 1
  • 2. PERSPECTIVE 1. Thinking that use of simple and cheap tariffs alone will lead to success From Virgin Mobile in the US to more recent examples in Asia, new mobile operators believe they can build their business by attracting customers through simple and very low tariffs. This strategy is successful in attracting the price-sensitive segment of the market – either ‘new-to-mobile’ or existing subscribers, at least in the short term. However, retaining these subscribers and turning them into profitable consumers has proven more elusive. We have seen in the highly-competitive Indonesian mobile market that having the lowest tariffs in the market over a period of time has not resulted in the expected number of customers. Market research has shown that customers do wish to have affordable tariffs and that some operators have successfully managed to create the perception of affordability without having the lowest tariffs for a significant period of time. Simple tariff structures do not have to be the cheapest, at least not at every time of the day and for every single service offered. A deep understanding of the market and the different key selling points for various segments can help operators build ‘fencing’ mechanisms, allowing them to attract key segments while capturing value; for example, by setting attractive tariffs for say the two most popular services per segment, and less competitive pricing for other services. 2. Resorting to further price cuts to drive customer acquisition, even though the operator’s tariff plans are already the cheapest in the market In highly competitive markets, mobile operators often revert to dropping prices as an acquisition tool. They hope to sway the price-sensitive segments of the markets towards switching to their attractive pricing plans. When this does not work, failing to realize that pricing alone may not be a successful core value proposition to attract new customers, even price-sensitive ones, operators persist with further drop in their prices. At best, subscriber acquisitions will increase but often marginally, but this approach is likely to significantly damage operators’ profitability. When caught in such an unsustainable situation, operators need to step back and address the acquisition challenge through other levers of growth from their marketing mix, such as identifying the product offerings with voices, sms, internet access, etc. for selected customer segments and the right marketing message. 3. Targeting popular single services with very aggressive price cuts to switch competitors’ subscribers Some operators decide to introduce a hugely attractive price promotion on one of their services, or even give them for free altogether, hoping to switch their competitors’ price sensitive subscribers via a single service. As such, over the past few years, we have often seen mobile operators in Asian markets giving free on-net SMS to their subscribers with the hope of cross selling other services. More often than not, the results have been disappointing: they have managed to drive acquisition and to build a relatively stable base; however, often, these price-sensitive subscribers have long understood how to best take advantage of these attractive prices strategies, at the cost of the very operators that initiated them. As a result, operators will get limited ‘share of wallets’ from their newly-acquired subscribers, as their subscribers carry multiple SIM cards and do not hesitate to switch from one to the other as best suit their needs, taking advantage of the cheapest tariffs at any given time by any given operator for a specific service In many Asian countries, it is not uncommon to see subscribers use one operator’s SIM when they want to text their friends on the same network and they do not mind the inconvenience of switching SIMs when they need to reach people on a different network. This process has recently spread further with the increased popularity of handsets that can accommodate multiple SIMs – including CDMA and GSM SIMs – doing away with the need to carry multiple handsets – which is easier today due to low-cost handsets – or to manually swap the SIM. Realizing this opportunity, some mobile stores in Indonesia have even gone further and now offer a service that input two mobile accounts – from two different providers – into one unique SIM card. Needless to say, the ARPUs for each SIM remain extremely low. In pricing their services, new entrants need to be wary of this phenomenon and at the very outset devise strategies to make their SIM become the primary card, and potentially the only card used. One possible avenue lies in operators offering rewards for receiving calls, thus ensuring that new subscribers actually give their new mobile number to their friends, and, in the case of off-net calls, capturing call termination revenues. 2
  • 3. PERSPECTIVE 4. In search of competitive differentiation, offering cost-blind, flat-rate tariffs; i.e. not accounting for variations in cost to serve at different times of the day Subscriber behavior the world over dictates that every operator is confronted with huge variations in voice and SMS usage at various times of the day, with peak hours usage sometime surging at more than 30 times that of off-peak usage. To ensure high-quality of service and a consistent customer experience, operators have to take these usage spikes into consideration and size their radio networks, back haul and core networks accordingly. Even with ‘settling’ for minor network capacity inconveniences, this translates into higher capex required per minute of use during peak hours, and under-utilized assets during off-peak hours. Consequently, most operators offer preferential tariffs during off-peak hours, and increase their pricing during peak-hours, sometime hoping to alter subscriber behaviors and to better balance their network loads. Average peak-hour traffic can be more than 30x higher than that of off-peak hour traffic Voice 120000 Traffic Off-peak Peak 100000 80000 60000 30x 40000 20000 Hour of 0 the day 1 6 12 18 24 However, often new entrants offer a simple flat price throughout the day in the hope to gain customers. Although this pricing structure is simple enough for customers to understand, it fails to take into accounts the reality of the telecom economics – i.e. subscribers should pay a premium for using the network during time of capacity scarcity. This results in poor management of the operators’ assets. Furthermore, as the competitors maintain a peak / off- peak price discrimination, the flat price fails to capture potential incremental revenue. This phenomenon usually occurs as the competitors’ marketing messages focus on communicating the (attractive) off-peak pricing, and avoiding mention of peak-time prices. Interestingly, the recent introduction of dynamic pricing – real-time adjustment of price based on network load – by some operators who have positioned it as ‘price savings’ has been met with success. This innovative implementation of peak/off-peak price discrimination further demonstrates subscribers are used to being charged higher tariffs during peak hours than during off - peak periods. 3
  • 4. PERSPECTIVE 5. Developing acquisition-focused pricing for SIM starter packs without considering SIM disposability In a similar fashion, in the hope of boosting subscriber acquisition in what are now crowded markets and to break the affordability barrier, operators are introducing starter packs at price points lower than ever. In fact, these prices are so attractive that price-sensitive subscribers have realized that it was more beneficial to buy a new SIM card than to reload their existing ones, even if they stick to the same operator! Such aggressive pricing tactics have created a new phenomenon: the calling card effect, i.e. buying a brand new SIM just to avail of an aggressive starter pack promotion, and which the user will never reload. This is estimated to be costing millions of dollars worth of SIM cards for operators across emerging Asia, an asset from which they will never recover their investment, especially accounting for the incentives to channels and other costs included in the Subscriber Acquisition Cost (SAC). Indeed, as the total activation cost can be 40 times the cost of the ‘physical’ SIM itself. Conclusion Apart from very few exceptions, most mobile markets, especially in Asia, are already crowded, both in terms of subscribers (high penetrations) and in number of players. Defining a viable approach is very challenging, but there is way to succeed. For instance, operators should not fall into the trap of using price as the only lever to acquire and grow their subscriber base. Instead, through careful market segmentation based on a deep understanding of customer needs and affordability levels, they should devise offerings – inclusive of tariffs plans – that are distinctive and focused on capturing pockets of the market which will be value creative. Use of innovative sales channels, simple and effective communications to subscribers should reinforce these differentiated service offerings and help operators build sustainable businesses. About Value Partners For more information on the issues Value Partners assists 13 of Value Team IT Consulting & raised in this note please contact the top 20 telecoms operators Solutions. virat.patel@valuepartners.com, worldwide in Europe, Asia, Middle olivier.letant@valuepartners.com, East and Latin America, as well With 15 offices across Europe, junkai.chong@valuepartners.com, as number of smaller and start Asia, South America and andrew.huang@valuepartners.com up operations in our markets. MENA, Value Partners expertise or one of our offices below. Over the last 15 years we have spans corporate strategy and Find all the contacts details on www. delivered real benefits for our financial business planning, cost valuepartners.com clients building on our deep transformation & organizational industry insights into the key development, commercial Milan issues for the sector. planning, technology decisions, Rome and change management. London Founded in 1993, Value Partners Its 3,000 professionals, Munich is a global management from 25 nations, combine Helsinki consulting firm that works with methodological approach and Istanbul multinational corporations and analytical frameworks with Dubai high-potential entrepreneurial hands-on attitude and practical São Paulo businesses to identify and pursue industry experience developed Rio de Janeiro value enhancement initiatives in executive capacity within Buenos Aires across innovation, international their sectors of focus: media & Mumbai expansion, and operational telecoms, luxury goods, financial Shanghai effectiveness. It comprises two services, energy, manufacturing Beijing sister companies: Value Partners and hi-tech. Hong Kong Management Consulting and Singapore 4