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UNICEF
Office of Research




Research priorities to ensure better
equity for children
Gordon Alexander
Director, UNICEF Office of Research, Florence

Conference on Measurement and Policy Approaches
to equity for children, Rabat, 22-23 May 2012




 unite for
 children
Outline of today’s presentation


      • why equity is important for children in this changing world

      • look briefly at 4 complementary approaches to measuring
        equity for children

      • why we need further research that is grounded in country
        realities and can inform policy




UNICEF                                                                2
Office of Research
Clarifying concepts


      ‘Inequity’ - associated with ‘fairness’ . A working consensus as
      ‘avoidable inequality’ . The degree of inequality that arises from
      ‘socially modifiable causes’.

      ‘Inequality’- a lack of equality, whether in opportunity, income, status or
      other items we choose to value. About disparities. Can be measured.




UNICEF                                                                              3
Office of Research
Child Mortality – the fundamental right to survival
      Trends over time
                                       Domenican Republic                                                                             Egypt
                          200                                                                                     200

                                         Wealthiest        Average        Poorest                                                     Wealthiest          Average          Poorest
                          180                                                                                     180

                          160                                                                                     160

                          140                                                                                     140
      Under 5 Mortality




                                                                                              Under 5 Mortality
                          120                                                                                     120

                          100                                                                                     100

                           80                                                                                      80

                           60                                                                                      60

                           40                                                                                      40

                           20                                                                                      20

                            0                                                                                       0
                                1986    1991          1996         1999         2002   2007                             1988   1992    1995           2000          2003       2005   2008
                                                         Survey Year                                                                               Survey Year



                                                                                                                                              Source: DHS


UNICEF                                                                                                                                                                                       4
Office of Research
Children are particularly dependent on essential
  services
  Coverage of interventions for maternal & child health by wealth quintile




                                                        Source: Barros et al. 2012




UNICEF                                                                               5
Office of Research
Revisiting the life-course approach
      ‘Trajectories’ and ‘Transitions’
                                                                         Pregnancy &
                                                                             birth
                           Old age                                                                  Infancy

                                                      Birth registration
                                                                                                   1 year
                                                                    Parenting skills
                                     Intergenerational
                                                                    programs
                                     allocation policies

                              Family planning                              Nutrition & health
                              programs                                     packages                            Childhood
                                            Anti discrimination
                                            legal frameworks               Daycare programs
                                                     Budget reform                                          5 years
                              Cash transfers        Child labour laws
                                                                            Girls school
                                                                            enrollment subsidies
               Adulthood                            Urban safety
                                  Income            interventions          Teacher training
                                  generation
                                                                           programs
                                  initiatives
                                                  Political and social
                                                  movements                                                    School age
                                                Vocation training schemes



                                                                                        10 years
                              25 years

                                                 Adolescence
                                                   &Youth



UNICEF                                                                                                                      6
Office of Research
Towards a richer set of indicators
       Building from the past to          … the future?
       $1/day monetary poverty measures   Non-monetary measures that are
                                          multidimensional
       Absolute measures                  Absolute and Relative
       Female participation               Female agency
       Educational enrollment             Quality education and retention
       Children and households measured   A life course approach
       U5 Mortality rate                  Child wellbeing




UNICEF                                                                      7
Office of Research
Two Views of Child Poverty

           Iceland             4.7                                                     Iceland     0.9
                                5.3                                                   Sweden       1.3
           Cyprus                6.1                                                   Norway       1.9
                                 6.1
          Norway                 6.1                                                   Finland      2.5
                                  6.3                                                Denmark        2.6
         Denmark                   6.5                                            Netherlands       2.7
                                    7.3
           Austria                  7.3                                           Luxembourg          4.4
                                    7.4                                                Ireland        4.9
       Switzerland                    8.1                                               United…        5.5
                                       8.4
         Germany                       8.5                                              Cyprus          7.0
                                        8.8                                              Spain           8.1
            Malta                       8.9                                           Slovenia           8.3
                                           10.2
         Hungary                           10.3                                         Austria          8.7
                                            10.9                                         Czech…          8.8
          Slovakia                          11.2                                     Germany             8.8
                                             11.7
           Estonia                            11.9                                        Malta          8.9
                                              12.1                                    Belgium             9.1
      Luxembourg                               12.3                                     France             10.1
                                                13.3
           Poland                                  14.5                                Estonia              12.4
                                                   14.7                                   Italy              13.3
            Japan                                   14.9                                Greece                  17.2
                                                     15.4
             Italy                                    15.9                            Slovakia                   19.2
                                                      16.0                           Lithuania                    19.8
            Spain                                       17.1                            Poland                     20.9
                                                         17.8
            Latvia                                         18.8                       Portugal                            27.4
                                                                  23.1                   Latvia                              31.8
         Romania                                                      25.5            Hungary                                31.9
                                                                                      Bulgaria                                       56.6
                     0     5          10        15       20       25         30
                                                                                     Romania                                                  72.6

                               child poverty rate                                             0              20            40         60        80
                                                                                                               child deprivation
              (% of children living in households with equivalent                                 (% of children lacking two or more items)
                 income lower than 50% of national median)




UNICEF                                                                                                                                         8
Office of Research
Making the link to Policy

       • cannot be too many indicators
       • analytical frame has to be robust
       • have to be simple (simple enough so that they are understood by
         even finance ministers!)
       • ‘Something to catch hold of … by the policy and political community’

       ‘the level achieved, on any individual indicator, by the children of the
       poorest 20%’.




UNICEF                                                                            9
Office of Research
For today and tomorrow’s discussion
      • What do we need to understand better in terms of ‘pathways’ and ‘drivers’ of
        inequality?

      • Can we set out a consistent model of monitoring child wellbeing across
        countries- a sufficiently rich set of indicators to capture the situation of
        children but not to get overwhelmed by complexity?

      • For hard hitting policy change, we need to agree on a small set of telling
        indicators

      • There are no trade-offs in reducing inequality for children




UNICEF                                                                                 10
Office of Research
UNICEF               11
Office of Research
Determinants analysis addressing core issues
  affecting child wellbeing
                                                                                 Distal                                                  Proximate

                     Structural Determinants                                     Macro                   Micro           Individual      Shocks
                                                                                 environment             environment
                     Economic status
                     How to scale up pro-poor projects to national                       Poverty          Urban/Rural
 - Empirical         policies?                                                                             migration
                                                                                                                         Catastrophic        Drought
 analysis                                                                                                                   Health
                     Human Rights                                                     Income                             Expenditures
                     How to empower rights holders?                                 Distribution
 - Rooted in
 evidence            Governance
                     How can we strengthen governance                                    Human Rights
 - Reflective &      mechanisms in a decentralizing environment?                          Institutions
                                                                                                                                             Conflict
 contextualised
                     Gender inequality
                     What are the linkages between gender equity                         Corruption                       Control over
                     programs and strategies focused on new                                                                 fertility
                     norms and standards for children?
                                                                                                         Social norms and culture
                     Examples of interventions                                   •Poverty                •Employment     •Cash           •Humanitarian
                     How do we prioritize across effective                       alleviation             guarantee       transfers       assistance
                                                                                 strategies              schemes         •Birth          programs
                     interventions?                                              •Budget reform          •Education      registration
                                                                                                         policies to     •Family
                                                                                                         support girls   planning
                                                                                                                         programs
                     Examples of drivers, questions and interventions are illustrative
UNICEF                                                                                                                                            12
Office of Research

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Research priorities to ensure better equity for children

  • 1. UNICEF Office of Research Research priorities to ensure better equity for children Gordon Alexander Director, UNICEF Office of Research, Florence Conference on Measurement and Policy Approaches to equity for children, Rabat, 22-23 May 2012 unite for children
  • 2. Outline of today’s presentation • why equity is important for children in this changing world • look briefly at 4 complementary approaches to measuring equity for children • why we need further research that is grounded in country realities and can inform policy UNICEF 2 Office of Research
  • 3. Clarifying concepts ‘Inequity’ - associated with ‘fairness’ . A working consensus as ‘avoidable inequality’ . The degree of inequality that arises from ‘socially modifiable causes’. ‘Inequality’- a lack of equality, whether in opportunity, income, status or other items we choose to value. About disparities. Can be measured. UNICEF 3 Office of Research
  • 4. Child Mortality – the fundamental right to survival Trends over time Domenican Republic Egypt 200 200 Wealthiest Average Poorest Wealthiest Average Poorest 180 180 160 160 140 140 Under 5 Mortality Under 5 Mortality 120 120 100 100 80 80 60 60 40 40 20 20 0 0 1986 1991 1996 1999 2002 2007 1988 1992 1995 2000 2003 2005 2008 Survey Year Survey Year Source: DHS UNICEF 4 Office of Research
  • 5. Children are particularly dependent on essential services Coverage of interventions for maternal & child health by wealth quintile Source: Barros et al. 2012 UNICEF 5 Office of Research
  • 6. Revisiting the life-course approach ‘Trajectories’ and ‘Transitions’ Pregnancy & birth Old age Infancy Birth registration 1 year Parenting skills Intergenerational programs allocation policies Family planning Nutrition & health programs packages Childhood Anti discrimination legal frameworks Daycare programs Budget reform 5 years Cash transfers Child labour laws Girls school enrollment subsidies Adulthood Urban safety Income interventions Teacher training generation programs initiatives Political and social movements School age Vocation training schemes 10 years 25 years Adolescence &Youth UNICEF 6 Office of Research
  • 7. Towards a richer set of indicators Building from the past to … the future? $1/day monetary poverty measures Non-monetary measures that are multidimensional Absolute measures Absolute and Relative Female participation Female agency Educational enrollment Quality education and retention Children and households measured A life course approach U5 Mortality rate Child wellbeing UNICEF 7 Office of Research
  • 8. Two Views of Child Poverty Iceland 4.7 Iceland 0.9 5.3 Sweden 1.3 Cyprus 6.1 Norway 1.9 6.1 Norway 6.1 Finland 2.5 6.3 Denmark 2.6 Denmark 6.5 Netherlands 2.7 7.3 Austria 7.3 Luxembourg 4.4 7.4 Ireland 4.9 Switzerland 8.1 United… 5.5 8.4 Germany 8.5 Cyprus 7.0 8.8 Spain 8.1 Malta 8.9 Slovenia 8.3 10.2 Hungary 10.3 Austria 8.7 10.9 Czech… 8.8 Slovakia 11.2 Germany 8.8 11.7 Estonia 11.9 Malta 8.9 12.1 Belgium 9.1 Luxembourg 12.3 France 10.1 13.3 Poland 14.5 Estonia 12.4 14.7 Italy 13.3 Japan 14.9 Greece 17.2 15.4 Italy 15.9 Slovakia 19.2 16.0 Lithuania 19.8 Spain 17.1 Poland 20.9 17.8 Latvia 18.8 Portugal 27.4 23.1 Latvia 31.8 Romania 25.5 Hungary 31.9 Bulgaria 56.6 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Romania 72.6 child poverty rate 0 20 40 60 80 child deprivation (% of children living in households with equivalent (% of children lacking two or more items) income lower than 50% of national median) UNICEF 8 Office of Research
  • 9. Making the link to Policy • cannot be too many indicators • analytical frame has to be robust • have to be simple (simple enough so that they are understood by even finance ministers!) • ‘Something to catch hold of … by the policy and political community’ ‘the level achieved, on any individual indicator, by the children of the poorest 20%’. UNICEF 9 Office of Research
  • 10. For today and tomorrow’s discussion • What do we need to understand better in terms of ‘pathways’ and ‘drivers’ of inequality? • Can we set out a consistent model of monitoring child wellbeing across countries- a sufficiently rich set of indicators to capture the situation of children but not to get overwhelmed by complexity? • For hard hitting policy change, we need to agree on a small set of telling indicators • There are no trade-offs in reducing inequality for children UNICEF 10 Office of Research
  • 11. UNICEF 11 Office of Research
  • 12. Determinants analysis addressing core issues affecting child wellbeing Distal Proximate Structural Determinants Macro Micro Individual Shocks environment environment Economic status How to scale up pro-poor projects to national Poverty Urban/Rural - Empirical policies? migration Catastrophic Drought analysis Health Human Rights Income Expenditures How to empower rights holders? Distribution - Rooted in evidence Governance How can we strengthen governance Human Rights - Reflective & mechanisms in a decentralizing environment? Institutions Conflict contextualised Gender inequality What are the linkages between gender equity Corruption Control over programs and strategies focused on new fertility norms and standards for children? Social norms and culture Examples of interventions •Poverty •Employment •Cash •Humanitarian How do we prioritize across effective alleviation guarantee transfers assistance strategies schemes •Birth programs interventions? •Budget reform •Education registration policies to •Family support girls planning programs Examples of drivers, questions and interventions are illustrative UNICEF 12 Office of Research

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