Utah's Higher Education System: On Track to Reach 2020 Goal

Utah System of Higher Education
Context:
Higher Education in Utah
Available online: http://higheredutah.org/news/presentations/
David L. Buhler
Commissioner of Higher Education
November 14, 2014

Contents
• 66 by 2020 Slide 3
• High School Pipeline Slide 6
• College Readiness Slide 10
• USHE Students Slide 13
• College Completion Slide 20
• Cost & Efficiency Slide 24
• Affordability Slide 30
• Use of Technology Slide 34
• Benefits of Higher Education Slide 40

66% by 2020

On Track
Degrees and Certificates awarded towards the 66% by 2020 Goal
2020 Goal:
336,950
2010-11:
29,981
2013-14
Actual: 125,552
Goal: 124,800
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000

Achieving the 2020 Goal
• The overall impact of 66by2020:
– $14.4 billion added to the economy over 30 years in
wages (annual rate of $400 million)
– $1.4 billion in additional tax revenue over 30 years
for the state of Utah.

THE HIGH SCHOOL PIPELINE

40,840
51,461
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
50,000
55,000
High School Senior
K-12 Population by Graduation Year
Utah State Office of Education, USHE, Office of Legislative Research and General Counsel
Projected +26% increase

A More Diverse Nation and State
Minority Share of the Population in Utah and the U.S.
Census Bureau, Perlich (2002), BEBR
1.9%
20.0%
11.4%
37.0%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
1960 2012
Utah U.S.

Projected
Utah Public High School Graduates
Actual (2007-2012) and Projected (2013-2022)
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Hispanic (35% College Participation Rate)
Caucasian (50% College Participation Rate)

COLLEGE READINESS

ACT (http://www.act.org/newsroom/data/2014/states/pdf/Utah.pdf)
ACT Test 2010-2014
Percent of H.S. Graduates in Utah Meeting ACT College Readiness Benchmarks**

College Readiness - Math
https://datagateway.schools.utah.gov/SAGE
http://www.act.org/newsroom/data/2014/benchmarks.html
USHE
K-12 students proficient in math (via SAGE, 2013-14)
39%
Students who met the ACT Math Benchmark for college
readiness (2013-14) 39%
USHE Students who successfully complete Math 1030 or
higher in 1st year (2008-12 average) 43%
2008 Utah High School graduates who were “math ready”
(enrolled in college & completed math w/out remediation) 18%

USHE STUDENTS

USHE Students
Of Utah high school graduates who enroll in
college, attend a USHE institution
Students in Fall 2014 (headcount)
8 out of 10
167,317
New freshmen in Fall 201421,152
Utah high school students enroll in college
within 3 years of graduation
6 out of 10
Four out of five college students work an
average of 19 hrs./week (U.S).
80%
USHE
CITI/Seventeen 2013 College Finance Survey (http://www.citigroup.com/citi/news/2013/130807a.htm)

126,379
177,665
208,448
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
Historical Projected
• Since 2000, enrollments have increased the equivalent of the current
student bodies at USU and WSU combined.
• 2014-2021, enrollment growth will exceed the current student body at UU.
USHE Enrollments

Outpacing the U.S.
Projected (2010-2021)
+15% +23%
National data: National Center for Education Statistics – Projections of Education Statistics to 2021 (http://nces.ed.gov/pubs2013/2013008.pdf)
Utah: USHE
Historical (1996-2010)
+46% +52%

College Participation Rates by Ethnicity
2007 Utah High School graduates
USOE/USHE
52.5% 50.6%
42.8%
50.3%
31.6%
35.3%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
55%
60%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Caucasian Black Hispanic

College Participation Rates of Utah H.S. Graduates
by Gender
USOE/USHE
50.40% 50.10%
49.60% 49.90%
40%
50%
60%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Female
Male

College Participation Rates of Utah H.S. Graduates
by Income (enroll within 3 years after high school graduation)
USOE/USHE
65% 63% 64% 66%
58%
44% 42%
46%
49%
45%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Above Low-Income Low-Income
• Low-income = Free/Reduced lunch eligible.
• 37% of Utah public H.S. graduates were eligible for free/reduced lunch in 2012.

COLLEGE COMPLETION

Completions (4 year degrees)
63% (6 yr) 39% (6 yr)
51% (8 yr)
National data: National Student Clearinghouse Research Center (http://nscresearchcenter.org/signaturereport4/)
http://nscresearchcenter.org/signaturereport6-statesupplement/
USHE
32,491 degrees and certificates awarded in 2013–14

College Graduation Rate by Ethnicity (6-year)
2007 H.S. graduates
USOE/USHE
24.3% 24.5%
40.1%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
Hispanic Black Caucasian

College Graduation Rate by Gender
2007 HS graduates
USOE/USHE
1.3%
53.5%
3.1%
35.8%
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
1st yr. 2nd yr. 3rd yr. 4th yr. 5th yr. 6th yr. 7th yr.
Female Male

COST EFFICIENCY

Share of State Budget
27% 28%
11%12%
17%
9%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
K-12 Higher Ed Medicaid Transportation

Utah State Tax Funding to Higher Ed
$691,631,000
$694,331,000
$400,000,000
$500,000,000
$600,000,000
$700,000,000
$800,000,000
$900,000,000
Current Dollars Constant Dollars (2013)

Source: NCHEMS Information Center
Utah (2nd)
Second in Number of Degrees per $100K Spent
Credentials & Degrees Awarded per $100,000 of Education & Related Expenditures

Tax Funds vs. Tuition per FTE Student
$0
$1,000
$2,000
$3,000
$4,000
$5,000
$6,000
$7,000
FY01
FY02
FY03
FY04
FY05
FY06
FY07
FY08
FY09
FY10
FY11
FY12
FY13
FY14
Tax Funds Per FTE
Tuition Per FTE
• Nationally, tuition rates have increased by 80%.
• FY Actuals

FY2008
Tax Funds
63%
Tuition
37%
FY2013
Tax Funds
48%
Tuition
52%
Utah Average Tuition & State Funding Support
Funding per Student FTE
FY2015*
Tax Funds
51%
Tuition
49%
*Budgeted

AFFORDABILITY

Tuition & Fees
3rd lowest in-state tuition and fees for 4-year public institutions (2014-15)
Utah (3rd)
College Board (http://trends.collegeboard.org/sites/default/files/college-pricing-2013-full-report.pdf)

Student Debt – Utah vs. U.S.
Source: Project on Student Debt
52% of Utah college students borrow for college.
3rd lowest student debt as percentage of cost of living.
Average Student
Loan Debt $29,400 $21,520

Source: NCHEMS Information Center
Pell Grants Awards - Utah
-
50,000
100,000
150,000
$0
$100,000,000
$200,000,000
$300,000,000
$400,000,000
$500,000,000
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
RecipientsTotalVolume
*54% of Pell Grant Awards
are at USHE Institutions

USE OF TECHNOLOGY

21,878
45,178
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
50,000
• 27% of all USHE students enroll in at least one online class in Fall 2014
(up from 20% in 2012)
Headcount of USHE Students Enrolled in
Online Courses

Headcount of USHE Students Enrolled in
Online Courses – by institution
-
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
10,000
UU
USU
WSU
SUU
Snow
DSU
UVU
SLCC

Certificates
18
AAS
8
Associate
10
Bachelors
20
Masters
19
PhD
3Licensure
2
Minor
2
81 Certificates and Degrees Available Entirely
Online

Hybrid/Blended Headcount
(different than online)
424
9,263
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
2011 2012 2013 2014

But…
• More than 85% of students who enroll in online courses take a
majority of their courses on campus.
• Less than 3% of full-time students are enrolled totally online.
• Most “100%” online students are part-time and >25 years old.
Despite availability of online courses/degrees,
a major majority of students prefer using
online courses to augment a traditional on-
campus schedule.

BENEFITS OF HIGHER EDUCATION

The ROI
Difference in median annual earnings of college and high school graduates
ages 25 to 32 in U.S. (in 2012 dollars)
Source: Pew Research Center, February 2014. “The Rising Cost of Not Going to College”
(http://www.pewsocialtrends.org/2014/02/11/the-rising-cost-of-not-going-to-college/)
$7,499
$9,690
$14,245
$15,780
$17,500
1965 1979 1986 1995 2013
A college graduate will earn $830,000 more over a lifetime than someone
with only a high school diploma.

*Unemployment and Poverty rates for Graduate or Professional Degree are USHE estimates.
Source: USHE, US Census (American Communities Survey), Department of Workforce Services, 2013.
$22,290
$27,868
$31,843
$44,668
$61,774
4.2% 4.3%
2.4% 2.2%
1.8%
24%
12% 8%
5%
2%
$0
$10,000
$20,000
$30,000
$40,000
$50,000
$60,000
$70,000
Less Than High
School
High School Some College or
Associate Degree
Bachelor's Degree Graduate or
Professional
Degree*
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
Median Wages Unemployment Poverty
The ROI
Utahns’ Wage Earnings & Unemployment by Educational Attainment (2013)

Source: Building Utah’s Wealth through Higher Education, USHE 2014
61
124
97
75
132
95
82
141
102
113
183
132
Employed Unemployed or Not in the
Labor Force
All
Minutes/Day
Employment Status
Less than a High School Diploma High School Diploma
Some College or Associate Degree Bachelor's Degree and Higher
Amount of Time (mins/day) Mothers Spend with Children under age 18
by Employment Status & Education Level, 2003 – 2012
The ROI
Increased Attention to Children

Source: Building Utah’s Wealth through Higher Education, USHE 2014
9%
17%
29%
42%
Less than a High School
Diploma
High School Diploma Some College or
Associate Degree
Bachelor's Degree and
Higher
Volunteer Rates by Educational Attainment, Age 25 & Over
The ROI
Increased Volunteerism

Conclusions
• Continued enrollment growth
• College readiness an issue
• More diverse but persistent achievement gap
• Completion needs continued focus
• State support crucial to maintaining
affordability
• Increasing use of technology
• Economic & social benefits

Opening Graphic

Utah's Higher Education System: On Track to Reach 2020 Goal

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Utah's Higher Education System: On Track to Reach 2020 Goal