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The use of foresight to increase climate resilience in the light of Juncker’s “5 Futures for Europe”

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Markus Leitner, Environment Agency Austria

Webinar: Exploring the use of foresight methods in climate resilience

30 May, 2018

Our webinar showcased the potential of foresight methods in increasing climate resilience across Europe, in the light of Juncker’s 5 Futures for Europe.

Presentations

Introduction and PLACARD foresight activities – Rob Swart, Wageningen Environmental Research

The 5 futures of Europe and the future of climate action: Reflections and scenarios for the EU27 – Jonathan Gaventa, Director, E3G Brussels Office

Potential future climate in terms of climatic hazards and impacts expected for Europe – Ian Holman, Cranfield University

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The use of foresight to increase climate resilience in the light of Juncker’s “5 Futures for Europe”

  1. 1. EXPLORING FORESIGHT METHODS IN CLIMATE RESILIENCE THE USE OF FORESIGHT TO INCREASE CLIMATE RESILIENCE IN THE LIGHT OF JUNCKER’S “5 FUTURES FOR EUROPE” WEBINAR – 30 MAY 2018, 10:30-12:00 CET FORESIGHT WEBINAR
  2. 2. | WEBINAR STRUCTURE 2 Part 1 l Introduction to PLACARD l Webinar purpose l Keynotes (3x) Part 2 l Discussion - 3 guiding questions: l Which political futures for the EU can be imagined and which are the main actors relevant for DRR and CCA? l What are the climate challenges for a resilient Europe? l Taken these uncertainties, what are the enablers to achieve a climate-resilient Europe? l Follow-up work
  3. 3. | PLATFORM FOR CLIMATE ADAPTATION AND RISK REDUCTION Key goal Establish a coordination and knowledge exchange platform for multi- stakeholder dialogue and consultation between CCA and DRR research, policy and practice communities across scales www.placard-network.eu
  4. 4. | WEBINAR PURPOSE 4 l Showcase the potential of foresight methods and the “5 futures of Europe” in terms of climate action, potential climatic hazards and impacts; l Discuss this potential in the context of 3 European policy processes Illustration by Bertram de Rooij
  5. 5. | KEYNOTE 1 5 Introduction and PLACARD foresight activities (Rob Swart, Wageningen Environmental Research)
  6. 6. | KEYNOTE 2 6 The 5 futures of Europe and the future of climate action: Reflections and scenarios for the EU27 (Jonathan Gaventa, Director, E3G Brussels Office)
  7. 7. |7 Illustration by Bertram de Rooij Futures for the EU and main CCA and DRR actors to be considered?
  8. 8. | KEYNOTE 3 8 Potential future climate in terms of climatic hazards and impacts expected for Europe (Ian Holman, Cranfield University)
  9. 9. |9 Illustration by Bertram de Rooij Climate Challenges for a resilient Europe?
  10. 10. |10 Illustration by Bertram de Rooij Enablers to getting towards a climate resilient Europe?
  11. 11. | DISCUSSION 11 What might these 2 sets of “futures” mean for the policy and research processes identified by PLACARD: Revision of the EU Adaptation Strategy in 2019 Development & implementation of the EU Civil Protection Mechanism Development of the FP9 focusing on knowledge gaps and needs Can foresight methods support and enhance these processes?
  12. 12. | FOLLOW-UP 12 Ø Second Foresight Workshop in autumn 2018 (Brussels) Ø Foresight session at ECCA 2019 (Lisbon) Ø Second foresight report to be launched in late 2019 Ø Additional suggestions??
  13. 13. | European Climate Change Adaptation conference Conference themes: • Data, methods and approaches in climate change adaptation & disaster risk reduction • Co-production of knowledge and solutions • Communication and decision support • Institutions, governance, citizens & social justice • Global challenges, climate change adaptation & disaster risk reduction • Climate risk management & resilience 28–31 May 2019 | Centro Cultural de Belèm, Lisbon
  14. 14. | CONTACTS DI Markus Leitner +43 1 31304/3536 markus.leitner@umweltbundesamt.at Environment Agency Austria, Spittelauer Lände 5, 1090 Wien www.umweltbundesamt.at 14

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