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High resolution demographic projections for infrastructure planning

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Nik Lomax and Andrew Smith, University of Leeds

From household to global: simulating national infrastructure to inform decision-making

18 April 2018

Institution of Civil Engineers, London

ITRC-MISTRAL’s unique approach is already changing the way that governments and businesses approach infrastructure investment. This event demonstrated examples from the around the world to show how these changes can transform decision-making.

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High resolution demographic projections for infrastructure planning

  1. 1. High resolution demographic projections for infrastructure planning Nik Lomax and Andrew Smith
  2. 2. Demographic scenarios for future infrastructure demand Demographic projections Demand modelling
  3. 3. Demographic projections are essential Essential for planning the delivery of services and the allocation of resources to sub-national areas 2014 sub-national population projections by ONS projections of diversity to 2061 from NewEthpop Or the assessment of population change for measuring demographic diversity and social equality
  4. 4. Demographic projections at fine spatial scale Projections are needed at high resolution for the MISTRAL project Crown copyright © 2017 Ordinance Survey 2014 sub-national population projections by ONS But Spatial resolution is usually limited to larger administrative areas
  5. 5. Microsimulation framework
  6. 6. Household change Exeter Newcastle
  7. 7. Population change Exeter Newcastle

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