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INDEX



1. WHAT IS IT?

2. WHAT’S THE POINT?

3. HOW TO PROGRESS?

4. QUESTIONS?




                       2
TS Stable Risk – What is it?

Changes in the risk an investor can expect from your strategy
(Can you convince an investor that you’ll manage his risk as promised?)



   1     The single most important element of the TS Challenge



   2     The core skill required to manage investors’ money




   3     The RISK part of your RISK / RETURN proposition to investors




                                                                          3
INDEX



1. WHAT IS IT?

2. WHAT’S THE POINT?

3. HOW TO PROGRESS?

4. QUESTIONS?




                       4
Gráfico de martingala
                        antes de castaña
The sky is the limit?




                                                5
Gráfico de
                              martingalatrascastaña
Where did it all go wrong??




                                                      6
Introducing… the martingale

An attractive illusion…
But keep your money AWAY from it!


                                    •   An age old trick
                                        •    Heads = Win, Tail = Lose
                                        •    Head -> bet, tail -> double the bets
                                        •    Guaranteed to win WITH ENDLESS
                                             FUNDS (not in this world !!)
                                    •   Looks promising!!
                                        •    Attractive returns
                                        •    Low initial risk
                                        •    Seemingly constant (but actually
                                             random) risk profile
                                    •   But it’s TOXIC to investors
                                        •    When losses hit…
                                        •    Capital suddenly implodes
                                        •    With NO prior warning


                                                                                    7
An appeal from Independent Traders’ nation

Martingales that burn investors…
Steal YOUR credibility as a trader


                                     •    Martingales undermine our collective
                                     aspiration to manage investor capital


                                     •   An investor deceived by ILLUSION
                                          •    Will NEVER trust a trader again
                                          •    Will speak out against ALL traders


                                     •   What CAN you do?
                                          •    NEVER replicate a martingale
                                          •    If in doubt, demand your signal
                                               provider for his TS Score
                                          •    Expose this fraud for what it is,
                                               wherever you come across one




                                                                                    8
INDEX



1. WHAT IS IT?

2. WHAT’S THE POINT?

3. HOW TO SPOT A MARTINGALE?

4. QUESTIONS?




                               9
How to spot a martingale?

Martingales come in many different flavours
But all share one or several of the following



   1     Many trades on the same or correlated assets open simultaneously



   2     Impressively smooth path upwards




   3     Look for past losses: if risk was increased following losses, STAY AWAY!!!




                                                                                  10
INDEX



1. WHAT IS IT?

2. WHAT’S THE POINT?

3. GROWING YOUR TS PERIODS?

4. QUESTIONS?




                              11
Where to go from here?
•   http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Martingale_(betting_system)

•   You may want to check what a TS position is, as well as TS STABLE RISK element

•   This article is a stub - Feel like you can improve it? – GREAT!
         •     Feel free to post your questions to the TS wiki – we’ll incorporate them by
               improving its content or on our FAQ
         •     Have suggestions? juan.colon@tradeslide.com can’t wait to hear them
         •     We’d love to credit you for improvements

•   Contributing to the Q&A sections will boost your mentor score if others like what you post
    (even questions do!) – helping out will reflect on your community standing




                                                                                                 12
02 ts lc

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02 ts lc

  • 2. INDEX 1. WHAT IS IT? 2. WHAT’S THE POINT? 3. HOW TO PROGRESS? 4. QUESTIONS? 2
  • 3. TS Stable Risk – What is it? Changes in the risk an investor can expect from your strategy (Can you convince an investor that you’ll manage his risk as promised?) 1 The single most important element of the TS Challenge 2 The core skill required to manage investors’ money 3 The RISK part of your RISK / RETURN proposition to investors 3
  • 4. INDEX 1. WHAT IS IT? 2. WHAT’S THE POINT? 3. HOW TO PROGRESS? 4. QUESTIONS? 4
  • 5. Gráfico de martingala antes de castaña The sky is the limit? 5
  • 6. Gráfico de martingalatrascastaña Where did it all go wrong?? 6
  • 7. Introducing… the martingale An attractive illusion… But keep your money AWAY from it! • An age old trick • Heads = Win, Tail = Lose • Head -> bet, tail -> double the bets • Guaranteed to win WITH ENDLESS FUNDS (not in this world !!) • Looks promising!! • Attractive returns • Low initial risk • Seemingly constant (but actually random) risk profile • But it’s TOXIC to investors • When losses hit… • Capital suddenly implodes • With NO prior warning 7
  • 8. An appeal from Independent Traders’ nation Martingales that burn investors… Steal YOUR credibility as a trader • Martingales undermine our collective aspiration to manage investor capital • An investor deceived by ILLUSION • Will NEVER trust a trader again • Will speak out against ALL traders • What CAN you do? • NEVER replicate a martingale • If in doubt, demand your signal provider for his TS Score • Expose this fraud for what it is, wherever you come across one 8
  • 9. INDEX 1. WHAT IS IT? 2. WHAT’S THE POINT? 3. HOW TO SPOT A MARTINGALE? 4. QUESTIONS? 9
  • 10. How to spot a martingale? Martingales come in many different flavours But all share one or several of the following 1 Many trades on the same or correlated assets open simultaneously 2 Impressively smooth path upwards 3 Look for past losses: if risk was increased following losses, STAY AWAY!!! 10
  • 11. INDEX 1. WHAT IS IT? 2. WHAT’S THE POINT? 3. GROWING YOUR TS PERIODS? 4. QUESTIONS? 11
  • 12. Where to go from here? • http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Martingale_(betting_system) • You may want to check what a TS position is, as well as TS STABLE RISK element • This article is a stub - Feel like you can improve it? – GREAT! • Feel free to post your questions to the TS wiki – we’ll incorporate them by improving its content or on our FAQ • Have suggestions? juan.colon@tradeslide.com can’t wait to hear them • We’d love to credit you for improvements • Contributing to the Q&A sections will boost your mentor score if others like what you post (even questions do!) – helping out will reflect on your community standing 12