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true-luxury-global-consumer-insight-2021.pdf
1.
True-Luxury Global Consumer Insights 8
T H E D I T I O N J U N E 2 0 2 1
2.
1 Copyright © 2021 by Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved. Introduction Market overview Consumer insights 1 2 3 Contents
3.
2 Copyright © 2021 by Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved. True-Luxury Consumers (out
of ~435M total consumers) generating 39% (+8pp vs '19) of global luxury market Sixth Ed. 2019 €39K+ Average spend2 12,000+ 2,000 in China 2,000 in US 1. Begun monitoring UAE /KSA markets (300 respondents) 2. Includes personal and experiential luxury, excluding cars, yachts, smartphones and smartwatches Powered by Research Partner for all 8 editions of the BCG Altagamma True-Luxury Global Consumer Insights +1 Arabs market1 (UAE & KSA) Seventh Ed. 2020 Eigth Ed. 2021 €33K Average spend The 8TH True-Luxury Global Consumer Insight: who is talking to you today ~19M In line with market loss of 2020 due to COVID 10 Markets
4.
3 Copyright © 2021 by Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved. BCG partners Altagamma partners Note: List of
brands not exhaustive We bring ALTAGAMMA PARTNERS and members of BCG luxury ecosystem to the table to generate the best consumers insights True-luxury Consumer Insight 2021
5.
4 Copyright © 2021 by Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved. Americas Europe Asia BCG
expert network ready to discuss in every large market the outcomes of True-Luxury Global Consumer Insight 2021 Stefano Todescan Sarah Willersdorf Tiffany Yeh Diederik Vismans Christina Synnergren Jeremy Sporn Drake Watten Javier Seara Luca Solca Suchi Sastri Jeffrey Shaddix Emil Stamp Joan Sol Matthias Schuler Lars Sorensen Kunal Bhatia Joppe Bijlsma Filippo Bianchi Irene Boni Parul Bajaj Colin Currie Crystal Hao Jinseok Jang Brad Baker Christine Barton Guillaume Charlin Sebastian Boger Rene Abate Stephane Cairole Pierre Dupreelle Andres Garro Olof Darpo Jessica Distler Yeonhee Kim Vincent Lui Rachit Mathur Jun Naito Thierry Chassaing Abhishek Dalmia Volker Haemmerle Nicolas De Bellefonds Elisa Crotti Patrick Ducasse Robbin Mitchell Steve Mitchelmore Pierre Mercier Stefan Rasch Miki Tsusaka Jeffrey Walters Angela Wang Veronique Yang Ganga Kannan Bharat Khandelwal Dan Sack Nicola Pianon Kirstin Mennella Stefan Rohrhofer Chris Goodchild John Haugh Dominic Klemmer Francesco Leone Rohit Ramesh Michael Schniering Mani Singhal Joseph Sun Erin George Nicholas Goad Andreas Malby Asli Kurbay Joël Hazan Andreas Liedtke
6.
5 Copyright © 2021 by Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved. Personal & Experiential
Luxury full recovery expected between 2021 and 2022 • True-Luxury smart-working helped the top of the consumer pyramid grow its spend significantly, even in the midst of the pandemic Millennial & Gen-Z optimistic future view, making 60+% of market by 2025 Rebound effect: repatriation of Personal Luxury to stay, experiences to fuel travelling US & China Luxury Growth Engines • US renaissance has begun, with US consumers recovering the quickest • Chinese spending repatriation confirmed even post-COVID LG & Accessories and P&C showing high resilience to COVID-19 crisis Brand's values showing a clear polarization between Western and Eastern styles • Chinese consumers increasingly preferring Extrovert attributes Brand purpose & responsibility non- negotiable anymore (esp. sustainability, diversity & inclusion / social awareness) In the quest for engagement relevance in a noisy environment, virtualization is a promising and growing reality (e.g. gaming & Non-Fungible Tokens) Channel-agnostic customer journeys • Offline from self-standing channel to touchpoint Clienteling 2.0: consumers demanding personalized "touch", • Crucial for brands in the on-going quest for relevance Social and live commerce (i.e. livestreaming) boosted • Livestreams highly relevant for US and Chinese luxury consumers and proving to be a high "conversion" tool (about 70% on average) New business models continue to accelerate (second-hand commerce & rental) "New Era" of luxury industry key trends What Where / how Who
7.
6 Copyright © 2021 by Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved. Introduction Market overview Consumer insights 1 2 3 Contents
8.
7 Copyright © 2021 by Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved. Evol. vs 2019 CAGR '14-'19 YOY '19-'20 Global
Luxury Market (Personal & Experiential), €B Note: Numbers rounded. Personal includes leather goods & accessories, apparel, footwear, watches, jewelry (branded and unbranded) and perfumes & cosmetics; Experiential includes furniture, food and wine, fine dining & hotel and exclusive vacations Source: BCG Fashion & Luxury Market Model; BCG Analysis '19-'21 -20% -15% '19-'22 -3% +3% -5% +0% +5% +10% '19-'23 +5% +10% +8% +12% [820- 870] 62% 36% … 38% 64% 36% 2019 47% 53% 2020 40% 60% 2021 37% 63% 2022 2014 37% 63% 2023 Luxury Experiential 36% [960- 1020] 64% 64% 2025 Luxury Personal 755 966 581 [1030- 1080] [1080- 1130] [1090- 1220] 2024 +2% +4% +2% +4% CAGR '19-'25 Post COVID-19: full recovery expected between 2021 and 2022 -50% -22% +6% +4%
9.
8 Copyright © 2021 by Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved. 1. Gen Z
grouping starts with those who are 18 years old in 2019 as lower limit Note: Numbers rounded. Personal includes leather accessories, apparel, watches, jewellery, perfumes and cosmetics. Gen Z, 1993-2001; Millennial, 1978-1992; Gen X, 1963-1977; Baby Boomers, 1946-1962; Silvers, <1945. Effects of COVID considered in projection for 2026 Source: BCG Luxury Market Model, Altagamma, 2019 UN World Population Prospects 45-50% Baby Boomers and Silvers 5-10% 38% 35% 23% 4% 2019 10-15% 30-35% 2025 projection Gen. X Millennials Gen. Z1 349 390-440 New Gen influential on overall market through trendsetting, digital engagement New Gen share of spend growth largely driven by increased average spend per person Luxury personal goods market (€B) 60+% of total market believe recovery will be fast, compared to ~20% for older generations 53% Millennials & Gen Z key engines for growth
10.
9 Copyright © 2021 by Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved. Note: Numbers rounded.
Personal includes leather goods & accessories, apparel, watches and jewelry (branded and unbranded) and perfumes and cosmetics; Experiential includes furniture, food and wine, fine dining & hotel and exclusive vacations Source: BCG & Altagamma Market Model; BCG Analysis True-Luxury smart-working helped the top of the consumer pyramid grow its spend significantly, even in the midst of the pandemic 50 k€ 20 k€ 10 k€ 5 k€ 2 k€ Beyond money 0.4 24 0.4 28 0.6 40-45 Top absolute 1.5 36 1.5 42 2.2 55-60 Absolute 5.4 111 5.4 75 6.1 135-160 Entry absolute 11.8 123 11.8 81 12.4 145-170 Total true-luxury 19.1 294 19.1 226 21.3 375-435 Cluster 2019 2025 Top aspirational 22.4 68 20.0 37 24.1 80-95 In 2020 12% 39% Of total luxury market made by the 2 wealthiest clusters (Beyond Money & Top absolute); +6pp vs. 2019 thanks to a 17% growth in size, showing a total resiliency to crisis Of total luxury market made by the 19M True Luxury Consumers (+8pp vs. 19) Other aspirational 393 603 320 318 420 635-690 Pop. (M) Size (B€) Total Luxury Consumers Pop. (M) Size (B€) Pop. (M) Size (B€) Between 2020 and 2025… ~30% Of total luxury market growth driven by True Luxury consumers 2020 ~430 ~16% '20-25 CAGR growth of "Other Aspirational" cluster driven by the rise of Chinese middle class approaching luxury spending ~970 ~360 ~580 ~465 ~1090/1220 ~1.5pp Of '20-'25 growth delta vs market by "Aspirational" consumers, that after great suffering in 2020, will outpace in this period the growth of the overall pyramid for the first time
11.
10 Copyright © 2021 by Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved. With COVID-19 most
likely under control, do you expect to spend more, less, or about the same on luxury experiences in the next 12 months compared to before? 12% 18% 13% 17% 39% 13% 24% 10% 12% 42% About the same Country of residence Abroad A lot less (-50% or more) A bit less (-20%) A lot more (+50% or more) A bit more (+20%) Source: BCG-Altagamma True-Luxury Global Consumer Insight Survey Mar/Apr 21 (12K respondents in 12 countries), Expert interviews, BCG estimates 9% 16% 15% 20% 40% 35% 24% 20% 11% 9% About the same Country of residence A lot more (+50% or more) Abroad A lot less (-50% or more) A bit less (-20%) A bit more (+20%) +2.5% Average delta spending -4.7% +2.4% +14.1% REBOUND EFFECT In the next 12 months, repatriation of Personal Luxury will stay, while experiences will fuel travelling With COVID-19 most likely under control, do you expect to spend more, less, or about the same on luxury products in the next 12 months compared to before?
12.
11 Copyright © 2021 by Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved. Introduction Market overview Consumer insights 1 2 3 Contents
13.
12 Copyright © 2021 by Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved. U.S. & China growth
engines
14.
13 Copyright © 2021 by Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved. Americans, bullish both
on domestic and abroad spend, are poised to regain their relevance… Europe US -7.1% China 7.7% 1.4% 6.0% -5.6% -0.3% Country of Residence Abroad Note: Europe includes Italy, France, Germany and UK. Source: BCG-Altagamma True-Luxury Global Consumer Insight Survey Mar/Apr 21 (12K respondents in 12 countries), Expert interviews, BCG estimates Expected delta in luxury spending, average % Do you expect to spend more, less, or about the same on luxury products in the next 12 months? U.S. & CHINA GROWTH ENGINES US consumers forecasted to resume growth at higher pace vs. pre- pandemic estimates, resulting in increased share of +2-3pp vs pre- covid forecasts, landing at 19-21% in 2025 Chinese consumers are expected to accelerate with respect to pre-crisis estimates, with increase in share of +3-4pp vs pre- covid, limited by US consumers’ rebound, landing at 43-45% in 2025
15.
14 Copyright © 2021 by Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved. …Chinese instead, expected
to increase their spend, but only domestically: China repatriation trend to stay 43% 44% 86% 57% 56% 14% 2016 2019 100% 2020 Share of purchase abroad Share of purchase in China 13% 56% 21% 10% All of it More than half Less than half None Source: BCG-Altagamma True-Luxury Global Consumer Insight Survey Mar/Apr 21 (12K respondents in 12 countries), Expert interviews, BCG estimates From half to all of it 69% Before COVID-19 hit, 56% of the yearly luxury purchases of Chinese consumers were done abroad… In the 12 months after the crisis has ended, how much of your yearly luxury spend you used to do abroad do you expect to convert to your country of residence? Even if pandemic situation is more relaxed compared to last year, some consumption habits could have changed for the medium term also U.S. & CHINA GROWTH ENGINES -4p.p. vs last year 73%
16.
15 Copyright © 2021 by Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved. Virtualization
17.
16 Copyright © 2021 by Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved. VIRTUALIZATION Quest for engagement
relevance in a noisy environment: Virtualization a promising and growing reality Global video game industry to increase to $178B in 2020, surpassing film industry 4 of every 5 U.S. consumers have played a video game in the past 6 months About 1/3 of gamers are aged 21-35 Selling skins, team/individual sponsorships Capsule collections, limited edition products & partnerships Virtual product "labs" World's first global luxury blockchain launched; more to come Luxury brands poised to jump in on NFT market, following success in art world New revenue streams New product & technology New inspiration channels
18.
17 Copyright © 2021 by Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved. 53% 51% 31% 28% 47% 49% 69% 72% China US RoW Europe Yes No 39% 61% Average 9% 33% 55% 2% Yes, and
I bought in-game items Yes, but I didn’t buy in-game items No, but I would consider playing No, and I would not be interested 1% 86% 13% No, but I would be interested Yes, then bought corresponding physical version No, and I would not be interested Note: Europe includes Italy, France, Germany and UK; RoW includes Japan, South Korea, UAE, KSA, Russia and Brazil Source: BCG-Altagamma True-Luxury Global Consumer Insight Survey Mar/Apr 21 (12K respondents in 12 countries), Expert interviews, BCG estimates Relevant for Chinese and US consumers Effective both as alternative stream of income and marketing tool to feed traditional products sales 1 out of 2 true luxury consumers, among the 39% aware, has bought luxury in- game items and, out of them, 86% purchased the corresponding physical version VIRTUALIZATION Are you aware of luxury brands that lately have been interacting with their customers using virtual online games? [Of those aware] Have you ever been part of a virtual online game that involved a luxury brand and/or bought in-game items? [Of those who bought in-game items] Afterwards, did you also buy the corresponding physical version of the item?
19.
18 Copyright © 2021 by Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved. Channel-agnostic customer journeys & personalized clienteling
2.0
20.
19 Copyright © 2021 by Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved. The path ahead
for Offline: from self-standing channel to touchpoint Luxury market1 ~39% ~25% ~15% ~50% ~55% ~60% ~11% ~14% ~11% ~6% Brand.com 2019 ~5% Offline ~9% 100% 2023e Post-COVID 2023e Pre-COVID Multi-brand platforms Omni-channel incl. ROPO2 100% 100% Channel mix (%) +5pp vs. Pre-COVID estimate 1. Personal luxury market only (excluding experiential luxury), including true luxury, affordable luxury, and premium segments.; 2. Research Online Purchase Offline Source: Future of Distribution consumer survey, Post-COVID Luxury scenarios (BCG Lighthouse), expert interviews, BCG analyses and estimates Luxury market 2019 Multi-brand platforms Luxury market 2023e ~+60 Omni- channel ~380/400 ~+35 ~11% Pure Offline ~+25 ~14% ~60% ~15% ~50% Brand.com Offline ~5% Multi-brand platforms Omni-channel incl. ROPO2 ~6% ~39% ~350 Brand. com (~80) +~10-15%; i.e. +30/50 B€ Luxury market1 growth by channel, 2019-2023e (B€) Channel mix and contribution to market growth (%, B€)
21.
20 Copyright © 2021 by Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved. 16% 13% 16% 37% 34% 40% 39% 38%
48% 42% 34% 9% 13% 11% Europe Somewhat important 5% Not important US China RoW 4% Important Not negotiable 10% 39% Average 38% 13% Fast delivery services Consistent brand image Reward across all channels Exchange anywhere Int. delivery services anywhere Same assortment in all channels Same promotions on all channels All channels recognizability 44% 42% 37% 36% 36% 35% 35% 35% Note: Europe includes Italy, France, Germany and UK; RoW includes Japan, South Korea, UAE, KSA, Russia and Brazil Source: BCG-Altagamma True-Luxury Global Consumer Insight Survey Mar/Apr 21 (12K respondents in 12 countries), Expert interviews, BCG estimates % of respondents mentioning feature (only respondents selecting "Important" or "Not negotiable") ~90% Clients become channel agnostic, expecting consistency… Brands increasingly communicate and sell using different channels. How much important is it for you that a brand is multi-channel? What would you expect when interacting with your preferred luxury brand through multiple channels? ~50%
22.
21 Copyright © 2021 by Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved. Greatest demand exists
for personalization services … Responses (%) Responses within personalization (%) 72 58 56 43 16 12 Exclusive access to store / products and promos2 Personalization Special product services3 Exclusive access to events and contents1 Engagement on news, novelties and products manufacturing Delivery services anywhere Targeted recommendations Personalised Treatment In-store Recognised as same customer across channels Personal shopper 39% 12% 26% 23% Personalized in-store treatments are most popular with Baby Boomers ~45% of those surveyed ranking it in their top 3 perf. services … through both digital and physical avenues Physical and in-person Digital and omnichannel Decreased vs last year Increased vs last year 1. Special glamorous events (parties, fashion shows), access to special brand content, invitation to runways, backstage photos, VIP events and other external events; 2. Special promotions (e.g. pre-sales, loyalty program, birthday gift) and exclusive shopping areas or hours in store; 3. Ability to have products refurbished by brands; 4. Not available due to change in cluster methodology Source: BCG-Altagamma True-Luxury Global Consumer Insight Survey Mar/Apr 21 (12K respondents in 12 countries), Expert interviews, BCG estimates n.a.4 n.a.4 …and demanding personalized "touch": crucial for brands in the on-going quest for relevance What are the elements that you appreciate the most when the brand interacts with you / takes care of you?
23.
22 Copyright © 2021 by Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved. Social and live commerce
(i.e. livestreaming) boosted
24.
23 Copyright © 2021 by Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved. 73% 55% 37% 30% 27% 45% 63% 70% Europe No RoW China US Yes Virtual livestream are
very popular in China and to a lesser extent in U.S., with Europe lagging behind … … however, on average they prove to have high potential in terms of conversion, with 70% of respondents that have already purchased during or after them and no groups below the 60% threshold 46% 54% Average 22% 14% 30% 26% 34% 27% 20% 30% 36% 53% 43% 40% Europe 8% 5% US No, would not consider 7% China Row 5% Yes, during Yes, immediately after No, would consider 43% 27% Average 24% 6% Note: Europe includes Italy, France, Germany and UK; RoW includes Japan, South Korea, UAE, KSA, Russia and Brazil Source: BCG-Altagamma True-Luxury Global Consumer Insight Survey Mar/Apr 21 (12K respondents in 12 countries), Expert interviews, BCG estimates Livestreams highly relevant for US and Chinese luxury consumers and proving to be a high "conversion" tool (about 70% on average) Are you aware of online shopping platforms or physical stores that lately have started offering livestream sessions for shopping? [Of those aware] Have you ever bought luxury goods during or immediately after a livestream session with a brand, an online shopping platform or a physical store?
25.
24 Copyright © 2021 by Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved. Altagamma & BCG
Team for the 8th edition of the study Stefania Lazzaroni Nicola Pianon Javier Seara Filippo Bianchi Sarah Willersdorf Filippo Prini Guia Ricci General Manager Altagamma Managing Director & Senior Partner Project Leader Principal Managing Director & Senior Partner Managing Director & Partner Managing Director & Partner
26.
25 Copyright © 2021 by Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved. Thank you!