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Global Talent Market Quarterly
                     FOURTH QUARTER   l   2012
Global Talent Market Quarterly




CONTENTS




 3	      Global Economic Situation
 	       	 • Briefing	           
 	       	 • Outlook


 6	      Global Labor Market Update
 	       	 • Americas	           
 	       	 • EMEA	               
 	       	 • APAC
 	       	 • Global Labor Market Spotlight
 	       	 • Legislative Update


 12	     U.S. Labor Market Overview	
 	       	 • Current Employment Conditions	        
 	       	 • Supply and Demand	            
 	       	 • Labor Market Spotlight


 16	     Workforce Solutions Industry Insight
 	       	 • Contingent Workforce Management Evolution
 	       	 • From Capability to Profitability
 	       	 • The Autonomous and Empowered Workforce
 	       	 • Kelly Knowledge
Global Economic Situation
                FOURTH QUARTER   l   2012
Global Talent Market Quarterly


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  BACK TO
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  TABLE OF CONTENTS



        GLOBAL	
  ECONOMIC	
  BRIEFING	
  
        	
  
        The	
  global	
  economy	
  is	
  stuck	
  in	
  low	
  gear	
  in	
  2012,	
  with	
  many	
  European	
  countries	
  either	
  mired	
  in	
  recession	
  or	
  struggling	
  to	
  grow,	
  the	
  U.S.	
  
        facing	
  a	
  	
  poten>al	
  “fiscal	
  cliff”	
  of	
  tax	
  and	
  revenue	
  measures,	
  and	
  growth	
  in	
  emerging	
  economies	
  on	
  a	
  decelera>ng	
  trend.	
  	
  	
  	
  


        AMERICAS	
                                                                                                                 EMEA	
                                                                      APAC	
  
        Sluggish	
  economic	
  growth	
  con>nues	
  across	
                                                                     Despite	
  some	
  progress,	
  the	
  Eurozone	
  crisis	
                 Economic	
  growth	
  in	
  export-­‐driven	
  Asian	
  
        the	
  Americas	
  region,	
  driven	
  by	
  concerns	
  over	
                                                           remains	
  a	
  cri>cal	
  ongoing	
  issue,	
  with	
  several	
           markets	
  con>nues	
  to	
  cool,	
  as	
  domes>c	
  
        U.S.	
  policies	
  and	
  the	
  ongoing	
  European	
  crisis.	
                                                         European	
  countries	
  firmly	
  in	
  recession	
  and	
  dim	
           demand	
  struggles	
  to	
  compensate	
  for	
  the	
  
                                                                                                                                   growth	
  prospects	
  across	
  the	
  region.	
                           effects	
  of	
  uncertainty	
  in	
  Europe	
  and	
  the	
  U.S.	
  
        Canada	
  
        Canada’s	
  GDP	
  growth	
  rate	
  is	
  around	
  2%—slow	
                                                             Eurozone	
                                                                  Japan	
  
        but	
  rela:vely	
  healthy	
  compared	
  to	
  other	
                                                                   The	
  Eurozone	
  recession	
  is	
  expected	
  to	
  have	
              Japan’s	
  economy	
  has	
  been	
  losing	
  momentum	
  
        advanced	
  economies.	
  Business	
  and	
  consumer	
                                                                    deepened	
  in	
  Q3	
  2012,	
  with	
  improvement	
  not	
               aWer	
  a	
  strong	
  start	
  in	
  2012,	
  weighed	
  down	
  by	
  
        spending	
  are	
  helping	
  to	
  counterbalance	
  lower	
                                                              expected	
  un:l	
  2014.	
  The	
  region	
  has	
  not	
  seen	
          lower	
  export	
  and	
  domes:c	
  demand.	
  Growth	
  is	
  
        government	
  expenditures	
  and	
  slower	
  exports.	
  	
                                                              posi:ve	
  economic	
  growth	
  since	
  Q3	
  2011.	
                     not	
  expected	
  to	
  return	
  to	
  normal	
  (2%+)	
  levels	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                               un:l	
  2014.	
  
        U.S.	
                                                                                                                     U.K.	
  
        U.S.	
  GDP	
  growth	
  dipped	
  to	
  1.3%	
  in	
  Q2	
  2012,	
                                                       AWer	
  three	
  quarters	
  of	
  contrac:on,	
  the	
  U.K.	
             China	
  
        but	
  increased	
  to	
  an	
  es:mated	
  2.0%	
  in	
  Q3	
  on	
                                                       economy	
  returned	
  to	
  growth	
  in	
  Q3	
  2012,	
  with	
  a	
     China’s	
  GDP	
  growth	
  reached	
  a	
  three-­‐year	
  low	
  
        stronger	
  government	
  and	
  consumer	
  spending.	
                                                                   liW	
  coming	
  from	
  the	
  Olympics	
  games,	
  rela:vely	
           of	
  7.4%	
  in	
  Q3	
  2012.	
  Rising	
  wages	
  should	
  help	
  
        Similar	
  modest	
  growth	
  is	
  forecast	
  for	
  the	
  rest	
                                                      strong	
  employment,	
  and	
  low	
  infla:on.           	
                raise	
  domes:c	
  demand	
  and	
  begin	
  to	
  prop	
  up	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                               growth	
  in	
  early	
  2013.	
  
        of	
  2012,	
  as	
  the	
  country	
  faces	
  risks	
  from	
  the	
  
        impending	
  fiscal	
  cliff	
  and	
  the	
  Eurozone	
  crisis.	
                                                          Central	
  and	
  Eastern	
  Europe	
  
                                                                                                                                   Economic	
  growth	
  in	
  Central	
  and	
  Eastern	
  Europe	
           India	
  
        La>n	
  America	
                                                                                                          con:nues	
  to	
  be	
  subdued	
  as	
  a	
  result	
  of	
  the	
         Government	
  reforms	
  designed	
  to	
  encourage	
  
        The	
  region	
  is	
  seeing	
  cooler	
  economic	
  growth	
  in	
                                                      area’s	
  dependence	
  on	
  the	
  Eurozone.	
  	
                        foreign	
  investment	
  and	
  domes:c	
  growth	
  
        2012,	
  as	
  the	
  global	
  slowdown	
  has	
  lowered	
                                                                                                                                           should	
  help	
  soWen	
  the	
  risk	
  of	
  infla:on	
  and	
  help	
  
                                                                                                                                   Middle	
  East	
  and	
  North	
  Africa	
                                  spur	
  economic	
  growth	
  in	
  India.	
  
        commodity	
  prices,	
  demand	
  for	
  exports,	
  and	
  
        foreign	
  investment.	
  Economic	
  ac:vity	
  is	
                                                                      Strong	
  growth	
  is	
  s:ll	
  predicted	
  for	
  oil	
  expor:ng	
  
                                                                                                                                   countries	
  in	
  the	
  region.	
  However,	
  significant	
               Australia	
  
        forecast	
  to	
  accelerate	
  in	
  2013,	
  due	
  to	
  s:mulus	
                                                                                                                                  Healthy	
  economic	
  growth	
  driven	
  by	
  strength	
  in	
  
                                                                                                                                   risks	
  remain	
  for	
  many	
  	
  MENA	
  economies,	
  
        measures	
  in	
  many	
  countries	
  including	
  Brazil,	
                                                                                                                                          the	
  mining	
  sector	
  is	
  expected	
  to	
  cool	
  in	
  the	
  last	
  
                                                                                                                                   including	
  ongoing	
  poli:cal	
  transi:ons,	
  social	
  
        which	
  has	
  seen	
  a	
  dras:c	
  dip	
  in	
  growth.	
  	
                                                                                                                                      part	
  of	
  2012	
  and	
  into	
  2013,	
  as	
  Australia	
  feels	
  
                                                                                                                                   unrest,	
  and	
  weaker	
  external	
  demand.	
  	
  
        	
                                                                                                                         	
                                                                          the	
  effects	
  of	
  slowdowns	
  in	
  Asia	
  and	
  Europe.	
  
        	
                                                                                                                                                                                                     	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                               	
  
4	
            Sources:	
  IHS	
  Global	
  Insight	
  reports	
  (October	
  2012);	
  US	
  BEA,	
  09.28.12;	
  Wall	
  Street	
  Journal,	
  09.29.12,	
  10.02.12,	
  10.18.12	
  
Global Talent Market Quarterly


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                                                                                                                                                                   TABLE OF CONTENTS



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j"
Global Labor Market Update
                 FOURTH QUARTER   l   2012
Global Talent Market Quarterly


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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          TABLE OF CONTENTS
        GLOBAL	
  LABOR	
  MARKET	
  UPDATE:	
  AMERICAS	
  
        	
  
        The	
  cooler	
  economic	
  climate	
  in	
  the	
  U.S.	
  and	
  overseas	
  has	
  kept	
  employment	
  growth	
  somewhat	
  subdued	
  in	
  the	
  Americas	
  region	
  in	
  2012,	
  
        but	
  signs	
  of	
  more	
  robust	
  growth	
  have	
  begun	
  to	
  emerge,	
  par>cularly	
  outside	
  the	
  United	
  States.	
  Labor	
  market	
  growth	
  is	
  expected	
  to	
  
        con>nue	
  to	
  accelerate	
  across	
  the	
  region,	
  with	
  stronger	
  job	
  crea>on	
  and	
  lower	
  unemployment	
  forecast	
  for	
  2013.                                                       	
  

        UNITED	
  STATES	
                                                                 BRAZIL	
                                                            CANADA	
                                             MEXICO	
  
        Moderate	
  job	
  crea:on	
  con:nues	
                                           The	
  unemployment	
  rate	
  :cked	
                              The	
  labor	
  market	
  con:nues	
  to	
           Mexico’s	
  unemployment	
  rate	
  fell	
  
        in	
  the	
  U.S.,	
  but	
  employers	
  are	
                                    up	
  to	
  5.4%	
  in	
  September	
  as	
  more	
                 show	
  decent	
  growth.	
  Several	
               to	
  4.7%	
  in	
  September,	
  its	
  lowest	
  
        s:ll	
  hesitant	
  to	
  ramp	
  up	
  hiring	
                                   workers	
  entered	
  an	
  already	
  :ght	
                       posi:ve	
  signs—including	
                         point	
  in	
  nearly	
  four	
  years.	
  
        plans	
  in	
  the	
  face	
  of	
  domes:c	
  and	
                               labor	
  market.	
  Despite	
  the	
  small	
                       increases	
  in	
  full-­‐:me	
  jobs,	
  more	
     Proposed	
  labor	
  market	
  and	
  
        global	
  uncertain:es.	
  Resolu:on	
                                             rise,	
  the	
  unemployment	
  rate	
  is	
  at	
                  people	
  returning	
  to	
  the	
  labor	
          economic	
  reforms	
  expected	
  to	
  
        of	
  poli:cal	
  and	
  fiscal	
  concerns	
  is	
                                 a	
  historic	
  low	
  and	
  is	
  forecast	
  to	
               market,	
  and	
  rising	
  wages—point	
            take	
  effect	
  aWer	
  the	
  change	
  in	
  
        expected	
  to	
  usher	
  in	
  slightly	
                                        con:nue	
  to	
  drop	
  as	
  the	
  economy	
                     toward	
  further	
  improvements	
                  government	
  in	
  December	
  are	
  
        stronger	
  job	
  growth	
  in	
  2013.	
                                         picks	
  up	
  speed.	
                                             headed	
  into	
  2013.	
                            liWing	
  the	
  country’s	
  outlook.	
  
                                                                                           	
  
        	
  




                                                                                                                    Average	
  Annual	
  Unemployment	
  Rate	
  
                                                       10%	
  
                                                          8%	
  
                                                                           8.2%	
   8.0%	
  
                                                                                             7.7%	
                                               7.3%	
   7.0%	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      2012	
  (p)	
  
                                                          6%	
                                                                                                      6.7%	
  
                                                                                                                     5.7%	
   5.6%	
   5.3%	
                                                                         2013	
  (p)	
  
                                                          4%	
                                                                                                                  4.8%	
   4.6%	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                  4.3%	
              2014	
  (p)	
  
                                                          2%	
  
                                                          0%	
  
                                                                                       U.S.	
                                  Brazil	
                 Canada	
                      Mexico	
  


        Sources:	
  IHS	
  Global	
  Insight	
  reports	
  (October	
  2012);	
  Reuters,	
  10.25.12;	
  TD	
  Economics,	
  10.05.12	
  
7	
  
Global Talent Market Quarterly


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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          TABLE OF CONTENTS

        GLOBAL	
  LABOR	
  MARKET	
  UPDATE:	
  EMEA	
  
        	
  
        The	
  ongoing	
  fiscal	
  crisis	
  in	
  Europe	
  con>nues	
  to	
  weigh	
  on	
  businesses’	
  demand	
  for	
  workers,	
  leading	
  to	
  slow	
  employment	
  growth	
  and	
  rising	
  
        joblessness	
  across	
  much	
  of	
  the	
  region,	
  and	
  the	
  Eurozone	
  unemployment	
  rate	
  at	
  a	
  record	
  high.	
  Labor	
  market	
  condi>ons	
  in	
  some	
  markets,	
  
        including	
  Germany,	
  the	
  U.K.,	
  and	
  Russia,	
  remain	
  rela>vely	
  resilient	
  despite	
  the	
  broader	
  economic	
  troubles.                                                                    	
  

        GERMANY	
                                                                            FRANCE	
                                                               UNITED	
  KINGDOM	
                                             RUSSIA	
  
        The	
  German	
  labor	
  market	
                                                   Unemployment	
  in	
  France	
                                         Labor	
  market	
  performance	
  has	
                         Demand	
  for	
  workers	
  in	
  Russia	
  
        con:nues	
  to	
  hold	
  up	
  beler	
  than	
                                      con:nues	
  to	
  rise	
  to	
  levels	
  not	
                        been	
  surprisingly	
  healthy	
  in	
  2012,	
                remains	
  rela:vely	
  healthy	
  and	
  
        its	
  European	
  peers,	
  but	
  the	
                                            seen	
  in	
  over	
  a	
  decade.	
  The	
  labor	
                   despite	
  a	
  lackluster	
  economy.	
  The	
                 unemployment	
  con:nues	
  to	
  fall;	
  
        ongoing	
  fiscal	
  crisis	
  is	
  expected	
  to	
                                 market	
  is	
  forecast	
  to	
  con:nue	
  to	
                      outlook	
  for	
  further	
  progress	
  is	
                   the	
  posi:ve	
  trend	
  is	
  expected	
  to	
  
        put	
  increasing	
  pressure	
  on	
  labor	
                                       deteriorate	
  through	
  2013	
  as	
  the	
                          uncertain,	
  however,	
  as	
  effects	
                        con:nue	
  as	
  the	
  country’s	
  
        demand	
  and	
  limit	
  employment	
                                               business	
  climate	
  and	
  broader	
                                from	
  the	
  Eurozone	
  crisis	
  may	
  limit	
             economic	
  outlook	
  is	
  solid.	
  	
  
        growth	
  through	
  2013.	
                                                         economic	
  condi:ons	
  remain	
  poor.	
                             U.K.	
  firms’	
  hiring	
  in	
  2013.	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    ITALY	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    With	
  the	
  economy	
  stuck	
  in	
  a	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    recession,	
  double-­‐digit	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    unemployment	
  rates	
  are	
  forecast	
  
                                                                                               Average	
  Annual	
  Unemployment	
  Rate	
                                                                                          to	
  con:nue	
  to	
  worsen	
  through	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    2014.	
  

                      12%	
  
                      10%	
                                                                                                                                                                             11.3%	
  11.5%	
  
                                                                                     10.2%	
  10.6%	
  10.3%	
                                                                              10.5%	
  
                         8%	
                                                                                                                                                                                                         2012	
  (p)	
  
                                                                                                                                  8.1%	
   8.4%	
   8.5%	
  
                         6%	
                                                                                                                                                                                                         2013	
  (p)	
  
                                          6.8%	
   6.8%	
   6.7%	
  
                                                                                                                                                               5.7%	
   5.4%	
                                                        2014	
  (p)	
  
                         4%	
                                                                                                                                                    5.2%	
  

                         2%	
  
                         0%	
  
                                                 Germany	
                                     France	
                                    U.K.	
                     Russia	
                          Italy	
  




         Sources:	
  IHS	
  Global	
  Insight	
  reports	
  (October	
  2012);	
  Wall	
  Street	
  Journal	
  Europe,	
  10.18.12	
  

8	
  
Global Talent Market Quarterly


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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         TABLE OF CONTENTS
             GLOBAL	
  LABOR	
  MARKET	
  UPDATE:	
  APAC	
  
             	
  
             Labor	
  markets	
  across	
  the	
  APAC	
  region	
  are	
  showing	
  some	
  nega>ve	
  effects	
  from	
  both	
  the	
  economic	
  slowdown	
  in	
  China	
  and	
  India,	
  and	
  
             declining	
  export	
  demand	
  from	
  the	
  U.S.	
  and	
  Europe.	
  The	
  employment	
  environment	
  in	
  APAC	
  is	
  expected	
  to	
  be	
  stable	
  in	
  2013,	
  with	
  
             unemployment	
  rates	
  across	
  much	
  of	
  the	
  region	
  remaining	
  among	
  the	
  lowest	
  in	
  the	
  world.                                                                                              	
  

             JAPAN	
                                                                                CHINA	
                                                                                  INDIA	
                                                                                   AUSTRALIA	
  
             A	
  slowdown	
  in	
  economic	
  growth	
  is	
                                      Despite	
  a	
  cooldown	
  in	
  China’s	
                                              High	
  unemployment	
  and	
  low	
                                                      The	
  employment	
  situa:on	
  in	
  
             triggering	
  a	
  similar	
  dip	
  in	
  labor	
                                     economy,	
  demand	
  for	
  workers	
                                                   educa:onal	
  alainment	
  among	
                                                        Australia	
  is	
  favorable,	
  with	
  a	
  
             market	
  performance.	
  Recent	
                                                     remains	
  high	
  and	
  wages	
  con:nue	
                                             young	
  people	
  in	
  India	
  are	
                                                   generally	
  posi:ve	
  outlook	
  for	
  
             improvements	
  in	
  unemployment	
                                                   to	
  grow.	
  The	
  service	
  sector,	
                                               growing	
  concerns.	
  Governments	
                                                     2013.	
  The	
  unemployment	
  rate	
  is	
  
             have	
  come	
  from	
  workers	
  leaving	
                                           rather	
  than	
  manufacturing,	
                                                       in	
  several	
  Indian	
  states	
  have	
                                               forecast	
  to	
  edge	
  up	
  slightly,	
  
             the	
  labor	
  force,	
  and	
  employment	
                                          appears	
  to	
  be	
  driving	
  the	
  current	
                                       announced	
  ini:a:ves	
  to	
  boost	
                                                   however,	
  as	
  more	
  workers	
  return	
  
             demand	
  has	
  been	
  flat.	
  	
  	
                                                growth	
  in	
  employment	
  demand.	
                                                  youth	
  training	
  and	
  employment.	
                                                 to	
  the	
  labor	
  market.	
  




                                                                                                                                        Average	
  Annual	
  Unemployment	
  Rate	
  
                                                                              10%	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                               9.2%	
   9.1%	
   9.1%	
  
                                                                                 8%	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          2012	
  (p)	
  
                                                                                 6%	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          2013	
  (p)	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              5.2%	
   5.3%	
   4.9%	
  
                                                                                 4%	
              4.7%	
   5.0%	
   4.9%	
                                                                                                                                                                               2014	
  (p)	
  
                                                                                                                                                 4.2%	
   4.1%	
   4.0%	
  

                                                                                 2%	
  

                                                                                 0%	
  
                                                                                                              Japan	
                                       China	
                                        India	
                                   Australia	
  

        Sources:	
  IHS	
  Global	
  Insight	
  reports	
  (October	
  2012);	
  ;The	
  Mainichi	
  Japan,	
  09.28.12;	
  Wall	
  Street	
  Journal,	
  10.22.12;	
  United	
  News	
  of	
  India,	
  10.25.12;	
  Mail	
  Today,	
  10.20.12;	
  The	
  Pioneer,	
  10.18.12;	
  Times	
  of	
  India,	
  10.17.12;	
  
        Asia	
  Pacific	
  Labour	
  Market	
  Update,	
  ILO,	
  10.12	
  

9	
  
9
Global Talent Market Quarterly


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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               TABLE OF CONTENTS



         GLOBAL	
  LABOR	
  MARKET	
  SPOTLIGHT:	
  SOCIAL	
  MEDIA	
  
         	
   media	
  con>nues	
  to	
  shape	
  the	
  way	
  organiza>ons	
  worldwide	
  are	
  recrui>ng	
  and	
  sourcing	
  talent.	
  But	
  talent	
  management	
  professionals	
  
         Social	
  
         are	
  finding	
  that	
  a	
  one-­‐size-­‐fits-­‐all	
  approach	
  may	
  not	
  be	
  best,	
  as	
  social	
  networking	
  amtudes	
  and	
  prac>ces	
  vary	
  across	
  countries.	
  

         	
  
         AN	
  OVERWHELMING	
  MAJORITY	
  OF	
  RECRUITERS	
  USE	
  SOCIAL	
  MEDIA	
                                                                                     Social	
  Media	
  is	
  Growing	
  as	
  a	
  Recruitment	
  Tool	
  
         A	
  global	
  survey	
  of	
  HR	
  professionals	
  reported	
  that	
  92%	
  are	
  currently	
  
         using	
  social	
  networks	
  or	
  social	
  media	
  to	
  support	
  their	
  recruitment	
                                                                                %	
  of	
  recruiters	
  that	
  use	
  social	
  networks	
  
         efforts,	
  up	
  from	
  82%	
  in	
  2010.	
  Nearly	
  three	
  quarters	
  of	
  recruiters	
  say	
  that	
                                                                %	
  of	
  recruiters	
  that	
  have	
  successfully	
  hired	
  via	
  social	
  networks	
  
         they	
  have	
  successfully	
  hired	
  a	
  candidate	
  via	
  social	
  media.	
                                                      110%	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     92%	
  
         DIFFERENCES	
  IN	
  ENGAGEMENT	
  IN	
  SOCIAL	
  NETWORKING	
  	
                                                                                                                                                          89%	
  
         Global	
  companies	
  need	
  to	
  understand	
  the	
  differences	
  in	
  social	
  media	
                                              90%	
                            82%	
  
         usage	
  as	
  they	
  formulate	
  their	
  recrui:ng	
  and	
  sourcing	
  strategies.	
  While	
                                                                                                                                                                         73%	
  
         many	
  in	
  North	
  America	
  and	
  Western	
  Europe	
  have	
  a	
  presence	
  on	
  social	
  
                                                                                                                                                      70%	
                                                                           63%	
  
         networks,	
  research	
  shows	
  that	
  users	
  in	
  emerging	
  markets	
  are	
  more	
                                                                                 58%	
  
         ac:ve	
  and	
  engaged	
  on	
  social	
  sites.	
  Emerging	
  markets	
  are	
  also	
  predicted	
  
         to	
  see	
  the	
  fastest	
  growth	
  in	
  social	
  network	
  usage	
  in	
  the	
  coming	
  years.	
  
                                                                                                                                                      50%	
  
         SITE	
  SELECTION	
  VARIES	
                                                                                                                                                 2010	
                                         2011	
                                         2012	
  
         LinkedIn	
  is	
  the	
  most	
  popular	
  social	
  network	
  used	
  in	
  recrui:ng,	
  with	
  
         Facebook	
  and	
  Twiler	
  growing	
  in	
  popularity.	
  In	
  a	
  global	
  organiza:on,	
  
         however,	
  other	
  sites	
  may	
  be	
  equally	
  important.	
  Facebook,	
  for	
  example,	
                                                                 Candidates’	
  Views	
  of	
  Social	
  Media	
  Differ	
  by	
  Region	
  	
  
         shows	
  a	
  much	
  lower	
  penetra:on	
  rate	
  in	
  Asia	
  Pacific	
  compared	
  to	
  other	
  
         global	
  regions.	
  Companies	
  looking	
  to	
  recruit	
  in	
  China	
  are	
  increasingly	
                                                                                Overall	
               Americas	
                  EMEA	
               APAC	
  
         turning	
  to	
  	
  sites	
  like	
  Renren	
  (a	
  Facebook-­‐like	
  site),	
  Sina	
  Weibo	
  (similar	
  to	
                         50%	
  
         Twiler),	
  or	
  Tianji	
  (a	
  Chinese-­‐language	
  professional	
  networking	
  site	
                                                 40%	
                                                           47%	
  
         similar	
  to	
  LinkedIn).	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       39%	
  
                                                                                                                                                      30%	
  
         JOB	
  SEEKERS’	
  USAGE	
  OF	
  SOCIAL	
  MEDIA	
                                                                                                                    30%	
                                                                  29%	
   29%	
  
                                                                                                                                                      20%	
                                  26%	
   24%	
  
         Candidates’	
  percep:on	
  and	
  usage	
  of	
  social	
  media	
  also	
  varies	
  by	
  region.	
                                                                                                                                                                 23%	
  
         Workers	
  in	
  APAC	
  countries	
  	
  are	
  much	
  more	
  likely	
  to	
  use	
  social	
  media	
  in	
                              10%	
  
         their	
  job	
  searches	
  and	
  also	
  place	
  much	
  more	
  importance	
  on	
  their	
                                                 0%	
  
         employers’	
  usage	
  of	
  social	
  networks,	
  according	
  to	
  the	
  2012	
  Kelly	
  Global	
                                                     More	
  inclined	
  to	
  search	
  for	
  jobs	
   Important	
  that	
  employer	
  has	
  
         Workforce	
  Index	
  research.	
                                                                                                                                     via	
  social	
  media	
                     social	
  media	
  presence	
  

                                                                                                  Sources:	
  Jobvite	
  2012	
  Social	
  Recrui:ng	
  Survey	
  Results;	
  2012	
  Kelly	
  Global	
  Workforce	
  Index	
  ;	
  Wall	
  Street	
  Journal,	
  01.04.12	
  and	
  08.01.12;	
  eMarketer,	
  08.16.12	
  
10	
                                                                                                                                                                KGWI	
  regional	
  difference	
  may	
  be	
  alributed	
  in	
  part	
  to	
  the	
  genera:onal	
  composi:on	
  of	
  the	
  survey	
  samples.	
  
Global Talent Market Quarterly


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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    TABLE OF CONTENTS



         GLOBAL	
  LEGISLATIVE	
  UPDATE	
  
         	
  
         Recent	
  global	
  legisla>ve	
  ac>vity	
  reflects	
  the	
  growing	
  prevalence	
  of	
  more	
  flexible	
  and	
  fluid	
  labor	
  models—par>cularly	
  in	
  emerging	
  
         markets	
  such	
  as	
  China,	
  India,	
  and	
  Mexico,	
  as	
  they	
  con>nue	
  to	
  build	
  new	
  regulatory	
  frameworks	
  that	
  address	
  modern	
  working	
  paqerns.	
  



                                                                               U.K.	
  
                                                                               A	
  controversial	
  proposal	
  by	
  Britain’s	
                                               NETHERLANDS	
  
                                                                               ruling	
  party	
  would	
  allow	
  small	
                                                      Temporary	
  workers	
  will	
  have	
  their	
  
                                                                               companies	
  to	
  offer	
  their	
  employees	
                                                   en:tlement	
  to	
  sick	
  pay	
  reduced	
  to	
  three	
  
                                                                               shares	
  in	
  the	
  firm	
  in	
  return	
  for	
                                               months	
  under	
  a	
  new	
  	
  law.	
  Permanent	
  
                    BRAZIL	
                                                   lower	
  protec:ons	
  from	
                                                                     employees	
  will	
  s:ll	
  have	
  the	
  right	
  to	
  two	
  
                    The	
  Brazilian	
  government	
  is	
                     employment	
  laws.	
                                                                             years’	
  sick	
  pay.	
  
                    exploring	
  ways	
  to	
  alract	
  
                    more	
  skilled	
  immigrants	
  in	
  
                    an	
  effort	
  to	
  spur	
  economic	
                                                                                                                                                     CHINA	
  
                    growth.	
                                                                        ITALY	
  	
                                                                                                Proposed	
  changes	
  to	
  China’s	
  staffing	
  law	
  would	
  
                                                                                                     New	
  legisla:on	
  allows	
  companies	
  to	
  use	
                                                    restrict	
  the	
  use	
  of	
  temporary	
  employees.	
  
                                                                                                     temporary	
  labor	
  without	
  needing	
  a	
                                                            Temporary	
  workers	
  would	
  only	
  be	
  allowed:	
  if	
  
                                                                                                     specific	
  reason	
  to	
  do	
  so.	
  The	
  law,	
  which	
                                             their	
  employment	
  is	
  less	
  than	
  six	
  months;	
  if	
  they	
  
                 MEXICO	
  
                                                                                                     came	
  into	
  effect	
  in	
  July,	
  also	
  outlines	
  :me	
                                          are	
  replacing	
  employees	
  on	
  leave;	
  or	
  if	
  they	
  are	
  
                 Reforms	
  that	
  seek	
  to	
  make	
  the	
  labor	
  
                                                                                                     constraints	
  for	
  temporary	
  contracts.	
                                                            used	
  to	
  meet	
  high	
  demand.	
  
                 market	
  more	
  flexible	
  have	
  been	
  
                 approved.	
  The	
  reforms	
  will	
  introduce	
  
                 hourly	
  (rather	
  than	
  daily)	
  
                 remunera:on,	
  make	
  it	
  easier	
  and	
                                       INDIA	
                                                                          AUSTRALIA	
  
                 cheaper	
  for	
  firms	
  to	
  hire	
  and	
  fire,	
                               The	
  government	
  is	
                                                        Several	
  changes	
  to	
  laws	
  governing	
  
                 create	
  new	
  types	
  of	
  temporary	
                                         considering	
  an	
  amendment	
                                                 Australia's	
  workplace	
  rela:ons	
  will	
  be	
  made	
  
                 employment	
  contracts,	
  and	
  regulate	
                                       to	
  the	
  contract	
  labor	
  act	
                                          aWer	
  a	
  review	
  of	
  the	
  Fair	
  Work	
  Act.	
  Changes	
  
                 outsourcing	
  prac:ces.	
                                                          that	
  would	
  ensure	
  equal	
                                               include	
  extending	
  the	
  :me	
  limit	
  for	
  lodging	
  
                                                                                                     pay	
  for	
  temporary	
  workers.	
                                            unfair	
  dismissal	
  complaints	
  and	
  limi:ng	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                      some	
  union	
  bargaining	
  provisions.	
  




                                                       Sources:	
  Wall	
  Street	
  Journal,	
  09.29.12;	
  SIA	
  Daily	
  News,	
  09.09.12,	
  09.14.12,10.03.12;	
  SIA	
  Western	
  Europe	
  Legs	
  &	
  Regs,	
  August	
  2012;	
  LiveMint,	
  10.10.12;Fraser	
  Coast	
  Chronicle	
  10.15.12	
  

11	
  
U.S. Labor Market Overview
                 FOURTH QUARTER   l   2012
Global Talent Market Quarterly


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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           TABLE OF CONTENTS

         U.S.	
  EMPLOYMENT	
  CONDITIONS	
  
         	
  
                JOBS	
  GROW	
  AT	
  A	
  MODERATE	
  PACE	
                                  U.S.	
  MONTHLY	
  EMPLOYMENT	
  CHANGE	
  AND	
  UNEMPLOYMENT	
  RATE	
  
                The	
  U.S.	
  labor	
  market	
  showed	
  some	
  signs	
  of	
  
                renewed	
  strength	
  in	
  the	
  third	
  quarter,	
                                                    300	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              12.0	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Unemployment	
  rate	
  (%)	
  
                                                                                                Employment	
  (000s)	
  
                showing	
  modest	
  employment	
  gains	
  as	
  the	
                                                    250	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              10.0	
  
                economy	
  gradually	
  moves	
  towards	
  more	
                                                         200	
  
                consistent	
  and	
  solid	
  growth.	
  Job	
  crea:on	
  has	
                                           150	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              8.0	
  
                averaged	
  173,000	
  per	
  month	
  thus	
  far	
  in	
  the	
                                          100	
  
                second	
  half	
  of	
  2012,	
  more	
  than	
  2.5	
  :mes	
  the	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         6.0	
  
                                                                                                                             50	
  
                pace	
  in	
  Q2	
  but	
  s:ll	
  below	
  the	
  rate	
  expected	
  
                                                                                                                               0	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            4.0	
  
                at	
  this	
  point	
  in	
  a	
  recovery	
  cycle.	
  

                                                                                                                                       Oct-­‐10	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Jun-­‐11	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Jul-­‐11	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Aug-­‐11	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Jun-­‐12	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Jul-­‐12	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Aug-­‐12	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                    Jan-­‐11	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Oct-­‐11	
  



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Jan-­‐12	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Oct-­‐12	
  
                                                                                                                                                      Nov-­‐10	
  
                                                                                                                                                                     Dec-­‐10	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                May-­‐11	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Nov-­‐11	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Dec-­‐11	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    May-­‐12	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                   Feb-­‐11	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Sep-­‐11	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Feb-­‐12	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Sep-­‐12	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Apr-­‐11	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Apr-­‐12	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Mar-­‐11	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Mar-­‐12	
  
                UNEMPLOYMENT	
  IS	
  TRENDING	
  DOWN	
  
                The	
  unemployment	
  rate	
  con:nues	
  to	
                                                                                                                                          Total	
  non-­‐farm	
  employment	
  growth	
                                                                                                                                                Unemployment	
  rate	
  
                improve,	
  and	
  has	
  fallen	
  below	
  8%—the	
  
                lowest	
  rate	
  seen	
  since	
  January	
  2009,	
  but	
  s:ll	
  
                a	
  long	
  way	
  away	
  from	
  the	
  pre-­‐recession	
  lows	
                 EMPLOYMENT	
  OVERVIEW	
  
                of	
  4.5%	
  to	
  5%.	
  	
  Some	
  economists	
  have	
  
                argued	
  that	
  the	
  recession	
  has	
  raised	
  the	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     OCT	
                                           SEPT	
                                              AUG	
                                             JUL	
                                           JUN	
  
                natural	
  rate	
  of	
  unemployment	
  –	
  that	
  is,	
  the	
  
                amount	
  of	
  joblessness	
  that	
  is	
  likely	
  to	
  exist	
                         Total	
  non-­‐farm	
  employment	
  growth	
                                                                                                                                                     171K	
                                            148K	
                                              192K	
                                         181K	
                                              45K	
  
                even	
  in	
  a	
  healthy	
  economy	
  –	
  from	
  around	
  
                5%,	
  to	
  6%	
  or	
  above.	
  But	
  even	
  reaching	
  those	
                        Private	
  sector	
  employment	
  growth	
                                                                                                                                                       184K	
                                            128K	
                                              134K	
                                         163K	
                                              63K	
  
                higher	
  levels	
  of	
  natural	
  unemployment	
  will	
  
                require	
  job	
  crea:on	
  to	
  pick	
  up	
  from	
  its	
                               Unemployment	
  rate	
                                                                                                                                                                             7.9%	
                                           7.8%	
                                              8.1%	
                                         8.3%	
                                           8.2%	
  
                current	
  pace.	
  
                	
  
                  UNCERTAINTIES	
  CONTINUE	
  TO	
  CONSTRAIN	
  HIRING	
  
                  Unresolved	
  poli:cal	
  and	
  economic	
  issues	
  including	
  the	
  ongoing	
  crisis	
  in	
  Europe,	
  the	
  slowdown	
  in	
  China	
  and	
  other	
  emerging	
  markets,	
  the	
  U.S.	
  
                  presiden:al	
  elec:on,	
  and	
  the	
  “fiscal	
  cliff”	
  of	
  tax	
  and	
  spending	
  measures	
  that	
  are	
  scheduled	
  to	
  take	
  effect	
  in	
  2013	
  con:nue	
  to	
  weigh	
  on	
  employers’	
  hiring	
  
                  ac:vity.	
  	
  Resolu:on,	
  or	
  at	
  least	
  progress,	
  on	
  these	
  and	
  other	
  key	
  issues	
  will	
  be	
  cri:cal	
  in	
  sustaining	
  	
  posi:ve	
  U.S.	
  labor	
  market	
  momentum	
  into	
  2013.	
  	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Sources:	
  Bureau	
  of	
  Labor	
  Sta:s:cs;	
  Bloomberg,	
  08.20.12	
  
13	
  
Global Talent Market Quarterly


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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              TABLE OF CONTENTS

         U.S.	
  LABOR	
  MARKET	
  -­‐	
  SUPPLY	
  AND	
  DEMAND	
  	
  



            JOB	
  DEMAND	
  STALLS	
  BUT	
  SUPPLY/DEMAND	
  GAP	
                                                                                                             U.S.	
  MARKET	
  -­‐	
  MONTHLY	
  LABOR	
  DEMAND	
  VS.	
  LABOR	
  SUPPLY	
  
            REMAINS	
  RELATIVELY	
  NARROW	
  
            U.S.	
  labor	
  demand	
  hit	
  a	
  soW	
  patch	
  to	
  start	
  the	
  second	
                                                                         16,000	
                                                                                                             10,000	
  
            half	
  of	
  2012,	
  as	
  online	
  vacancies	
  decreased	
  in	
  July,	
  
            August,	
  and	
  October.	
  S:ll,	
  labor	
  demand	
  has	
  been	
  on	
  a	
                                                                            14,000	
                                                                                                             9,000	
  
            weakly	
  posi:ve	
  trend	
  overall	
  in	
  2012,	
  with	
  an	
  average	
  
            rise	
  of	
  around	
  41,000	
  vacancies	
  a	
  month	
  through	
  the	
                                                                                                                                                                                                      8,000	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              No.	
  of	
  	
  Online	
  Job	
  Ads	
  	
  
            first	
  ten	
  months.	
                                                                                                                                      12,000	
  



                                                                                                                                        No.	
  of	
  Unemployed	
  	
  
            There	
  are	
  now	
  around	
  2.5	
  unemployed	
  workers	
  for	
                                                                                                                                                                                                             7,000	
  



                                                                                                                                                (in	
  000's)	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         (in	
  000's)	
  
            every	
  online	
  job	
  opening,	
  half	
  the	
  5.0	
  supply/demand	
                                                                                   10,000	
  
            ra:o	
  level	
  seen	
  at	
  the	
  official	
  end	
  of	
  the	
  recession	
  in	
                                                                                                                                                                                              6,000	
  
            June	
  2009.	
  At	
  that	
  :me,	
  there	
  were	
  11.8	
  million	
  more	
  
            unemployed	
  workers	
  than	
  job	
  vacancies;	
  that	
  figure	
  is	
                                                                                    8,000	
  
            now	
  down	
  to	
  7.5	
  million.	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             5,000	
  

            A	
  cri:cal	
  issue	
  in	
  further	
  bridging	
  the	
  gap	
  between	
                                                                                  6,000	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               4,000	
  
            supply	
  and	
  demand	
  is	
  the	
  skills	
  mismatch	
  of	
  available	
  
            talent.	
  The	
  number	
  of	
  U.S.	
  job	
  vacancies	
  is	
  split	
  roughly	
  
                                                                                                                                                                           4,000	
                                                                                                             3,000	
  
            50/50	
  between	
  professional	
  and	
  non-­‐professional	
  
            occupa:ons.	
  However,	
  there	
  aren’t	
  enough	
  professional	
  
            workers	
  to	
  meet	
  the	
  demand:	
  only	
  around	
  20%	
  of	
  the	
                                                                                2,000	
                                                                                                             2,000	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                       Mar	
  09	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                        Jun	
  09	
  



                                                                                                                                                                                       Mar	
  10	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                        Jun	
  10	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                        Jun	
  11	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                       Mar	
  11	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                       Mar	
  12	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                        Jun	
  12	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                       Sept	
  11	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                       Sept	
  12	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                        Dec	
  08	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                        Dec	
  09	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                        Dec	
  10	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                        Dec	
  11	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                        Sep	
  08	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                        Sep	
  09	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                        Sep	
  10	
  
            unemployed	
  are	
  categorized	
  as	
  professional	
  workers,	
  
            while	
  80%	
  of	
  unemployed	
  workers	
  have	
  held	
  non-­‐
            professional	
  occupa:ons.	
                                                                                                                                                      #	
  of	
  unemployed	
  workers	
                           #	
  of	
  online	
  ads	
  
            	
  
            	
  
            	
  
            “The	
  average	
  labor	
  demand	
  for	
  the	
  last	
  five	
  months	
  (since	
  May	
  2012)	
  is	
  neither	
  up	
  nor	
  down	
  but	
  basically	
  
            	
  	
  
            flat.”	
  	
  
            	
                                                                                                           —	
  	
  June	
  Shelp,	
  Vice	
  President,	
  The	
  Conference	
  Board,	
  October	
  31,	
  2012	
  
            	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Sources:	
  Conference	
  Board	
  Help	
  Wanted	
  OnLine,	
  Bureau	
  of	
  Labor	
  Sta:s:cs	
  
14	
        	
     Using	
  the	
  Federal	
  government's	
  Standard	
  Occupa:onal	
  Classifica:on	
  (SOC)	
  system	
  codes,	
  the	
  Professional	
  category	
  is	
  represented	
  by	
  SOC	
  codes	
  11	
  through	
  29.	
  Non-­‐professional	
  occupa:ons	
  are	
  SOC	
  codes	
  31	
  through	
  53.	
  
Global Talent Market Quarterly


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 BACK TO
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 TABLE OF CONTENTS



      U.S.	
  LABOR	
  MARKET	
  SPOTLIGHT:	
  POST-­‐RECESSION	
  HOT	
  SPOTS	
  	
  
      	
  
             RECOVERY	
  CONCENTRATED	
  IN	
  THE	
  SERVICE	
  SECTOR	
  
                                                                                                                                                                             %	
  of	
  Jobs	
  Lost	
  During	
  the	
  Recession	
  that	
  Have	
  Returned	
  	
  	
  
             The	
  U.S.	
  economy	
  has	
  finally	
  recovered	
  more	
  than	
  half	
  of	
  the	
  8.8	
  
             million	
  jobs	
  it	
  shed	
  during	
  the	
  recession	
  in	
  2008-­‐2009.	
  But	
  through	
  
             September	
  2012,	
  only	
  12%	
  of	
  the	
  jobs	
  lost	
  in	
  manufacturing	
  and	
                                                                                                                                                                                     12%	
  
             construc:on	
  have	
  come	
  back,	
  while	
  90%	
  of	
  the	
  jobs	
  lost	
  in	
  service	
                                                                         53%	
                                               90%	
  
             industries	
  have	
  returned.	
  	
  	
  
        Technological	
  changes	
  and	
  greater	
  access	
  to	
  a	
  global	
  labor	
  market	
  	
  
        have	
  contributed	
  to	
  the	
  service	
  sector’s	
  rising	
  dominance	
  over	
  
        manufacturing	
  in	
  the	
  U.S.,	
  both	
  during	
  the	
  recovery	
  and	
  on	
  a	
  
        longer-­‐term	
  basis.	
  Over	
  the	
  past	
  40	
  years,	
  the	
  service	
  sector	
  has	
                                                                   Overall	
                                      Service	
  Occupa>ons	
   Produc>on	
  Occupa>ons	
  
        grown	
  from	
  less	
  than	
  two-­‐thirds	
  of	
  U.S.	
  employment	
  to	
  84%.	
  
        	
                                                                                                                                                                                                            Employment	
  	
  by	
  sector	
  Jan.	
  2008-­‐Dec.	
  2009	
  vs.	
  Jan.	
  2010-­‐Sept.	
  2012	
  
        ACCOUNTING,	
  HEALTHCARE,	
  IT	
  AMONG	
  FASTEST	
  GAINERS	
  
        Broader	
  business,	
  economic,	
  and	
  demographic	
  trends	
  have	
  helped	
  
        some	
  service	
  sectors	
  get	
  back	
  on	
  track	
  quickly	
  aWer	
  the	
  recession.	
                                                                                             Growth	
  of	
  Service	
  Occupa>ons,	
  1972-­‐2012	
  
        Accoun:ng	
  firms,	
  for	
  example,	
  have	
  gained	
  back	
  80%	
  of	
  the	
  jobs	
  
        they	
  lost	
  in	
  the	
  recession,	
  boosted	
  by	
  growth	
  in	
  start-­‐up	
                                                                                                              Produc:on	
  Occupa:ons	
                            Service	
  Occupa:ons	
  
        businesses,	
  new	
  financial	
  rules,	
  and	
  company	
  expansions.	
  
        Employment	
  in	
  educa:on,	
  health	
  services,	
  and	
  computer-­‐related	
                                                                        100%	
  
        fields	
  remained	
  rela:vely	
  strong	
  during	
  the	
  recession,	
  and	
  these	
                                                                                              63%	
                           69%	
                   75%	
                     79%	
                        84%	
  
        sectors	
  have	
  con:nued	
  to	
  add	
  jobs	
  in	
  the	
  past	
  few	
  years.	
  
                                                                                                                                                                     50%	
  
        	
  
        NEWEST	
  AREA	
  OF	
  GROWTH:	
  MID-­‐SKILL	
  JOBS	
  
                                                                                                                                                                         0%	
  
        More	
  recently,	
  healthy	
  employment	
  gains	
  have	
  been	
  seen	
  among	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                              1972	
                          1982	
                1992	
                       2002	
                       2012	
  
        community	
  college	
  graduates.	
  Employment	
  for	
  those	
  with	
  
        associate’s	
  degrees	
  or	
  some	
  college	
  has	
  increased	
  by	
  over	
  1	
  million	
  
        since	
  January	
  2012;	
  in	
  the	
  past	
  six	
  months,	
  job	
  gains	
  by	
  community	
  
        college	
  grads	
  have	
  outpaced	
  bachelor’s	
  degree	
  holders.	
  The	
  trend	
                                                                  Jobs	
  Added	
  by	
  Educa>on	
  Level	
                                           Past	
  6	
  Months	
                  Past	
  9	
  Months	
  
        suggests	
  a	
  brighter	
  outlook	
  for	
  some	
  mid-­‐skill	
  occupa:ons—skilled	
                                                                              41%	
  
                                                                                                                                                                    Bachelor’s	
  degrees	
  or	
  higher	
                                                       314,000	
                        1.30	
  million	
  
        produc:on	
  workers,	
  hea:ng	
  and	
  air	
  condi:oning	
  repair	
  people,	
  or	
  
        X-­‐ray	
  technicians,	
  for	
  example—that	
  require	
  hands-­‐on	
  or	
                                                                             Associate’s	
  degree	
  or	
  some	
  college	
                                              578,000	
                        1.02	
  million	
  
        voca:onal	
  training.	
  
        	
                                                                                                                                                          High	
  school	
  graduate	
  or	
  lower	
                                                 -­‐230,000	
                           -­‐377,000	
  
        	
  
        	
  
15	
   Source:	
  U.S.	
  Bureau	
  of	
  Labor	
  Sta:s:cs;	
  Employment	
  Surges	
  for	
  Community	
  College	
  Grads,	
  USA	
  Today,	
  10.17.12;	
  Service	
  Sector	
  Leads	
  in	
  Job	
  Gains,	
  USA	
  Today,	
  07.16.12	
  
Workforce Solutions
   Industry Insight
         FOURTH QUARTER   l   2012
Global Talent Market Quarterly


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         CONTINGENT	
  WORKFORCE	
  MANAGEMENT	
  EVOLUTION	
  
         	
  
         As	
  con>ngent	
  labor	
  programs	
  con>nue	
  to	
  grow	
  and	
  become	
  more	
  complex,	
  organiza>ons	
  have	
  an	
  increasing	
  need	
  to	
  improve	
  visibility	
  into	
  
         and	
  efficiently	
  manage	
  all	
  facets	
  of	
  their	
  temporary	
  and	
  contract	
  workforce.	
  Recent	
  research	
  by	
  Aberdeen	
  shows	
  more	
  companies	
  are	
  
         considering	
  the	
  benefits	
  of	
  a	
  more	
  cohesive	
  and	
  comprehensive	
  con>ngent	
  workforce	
  management	
  strategy.                                                                              	
  


         A	
  SINGLE	
  STRATEGY	
  FOR	
  A	
  MULTIFACETED	
  WORKFORCE	
  
         According	
  to	
  Aberdeen,	
  more	
  than	
  one	
  out	
  of	
  every	
  four	
  workers	
  in	
  the	
                                           Top	
  Con>ngent	
  Workforce	
  Management	
  (CWM)	
  Priori>es	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              23%	
  
         average	
  organiza:on	
  is	
  considered	
  con:ngent,	
  up	
  12%	
  over	
  the	
  past	
  year.	
                            60%	
  
         The	
  modern	
  con:ngent	
  workforce	
  includes	
  not	
  just	
  temporary	
  workers,	
  but	
                                                                                                         21%	
  
                                                                                                                                            50%	
                   56%	
  
         a	
  variety	
  of	
  just-­‐in-­‐:me	
  employees,	
  including	
  independent	
  contractors,	
  
                                                                                                                                            40%	
                                                                     21%	
  
         consultants,	
  and	
  statement	
  of	
  work	
  (SOW)	
  projects	
  and	
  services.	
  	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                     41%	
                              41%	
                           38%	
  
                                                                                                                                            30%	
                                                   16%	
  
         As	
  the	
  workplace	
  con:nues	
  to	
  become	
  more	
  complex,	
  companies	
  are	
  
         placing	
  a	
  priority	
  on	
  gaining	
  visibility	
  into	
  the	
  various	
  types	
  of	
  con:ngent	
                    20%	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                        13%	
  
         labor,	
  as	
  well	
  as	
  driving	
  efficiencies	
  and	
  improving	
  cost	
  control.	
  Gaining	
                           10%	
  
         insight	
  into	
  the	
  en:re	
  talent	
  spectrum	
  –	
  both	
  con:ngent	
  and	
  permanent	
  
                                                                                                                                              0%	
  
         employees	
  –	
  is	
  also	
  growing	
  in	
  importance.	
                                                                                   Improve	
  visibility	
   Drive	
  efficiencies	
   Improve	
  overall	
   Improve	
  total	
  talent	
  
         However,	
  while	
  many	
  organiza:ons	
  recognize	
  the	
  importance	
  of	
  a	
  cohesive	
                                              into	
  all	
  facets	
  of	
   across	
  all	
  aspects	
  of	
   cost	
  control	
  of	
   management	
  
         con:ngent	
  workforce	
  strategy,	
  less	
  than	
  a	
  quarter	
  of	
  them	
  are	
  currently	
                                                    CWM	
                            CWM	
                    con:ngent	
  labor	
  
         managing	
  all	
  of	
  their	
  con:ngent	
  workers	
  under	
  a	
  centralized	
  program.	
  
         Nearly	
  two-­‐thirds	
  of	
  companies	
  say	
  they	
  plan	
  to	
  move	
  towards	
  a	
  single	
  
         con:ngent	
  workforce	
  management	
  program	
  over	
  the	
  next	
  two	
  years.	
                                                                Current	
  and	
  Planned	
  Structure	
  of	
  CW	
  Management	
  
                                                                                                                                                  Structure	
                                                                                        Current	
  	
            Planned	
  
                                 Current	
  Use	
  of	
  Con>ngent	
  Workers	
  
                                                                                                                                                  All	
  aspects	
  managed	
  under	
  the	
  same	
  program	
                                         23%	
                    64%	
  
                                                 Average	
                                                                                        Strong	
  management	
  of	
  temporary	
  labor,	
  but	
  
                                              Organiza:on’s	
                                                                                                                                                                                            27%	
                    22%	
  
                                                                                           Up	
                                                   disparate	
  management	
  of	
  SOW-­‐based	
  projects	
  
                                               Con:ngent	
  
                                                                                          12%	
  
                                               Workforce,	
  	
                                                                                   Disparate	
  management	
  of	
  all	
  CW	
  aspects	
                                                27%	
                     8%	
  
                                                                                          from	
  
                                                  26%	
  
                                                                                          2011	
                                                  Managed	
  on	
  an	
  as-­‐needed	
  basis	
                                                          23%	
                     6%	
  


                                                                                            Source:	
  Con:ngent	
  Workforce	
  Management,	
  The	
  Next	
  Genera:on	
  Guidebook	
  to	
  Managing	
  the	
  Modern	
  Con:ngent	
  Workforce	
  Umbrella,	
  Aberdeen,	
  2012	
  	
  
17	
  
Q4 2012 Global Talent Market Quarterly
Q4 2012 Global Talent Market Quarterly
Q4 2012 Global Talent Market Quarterly
Q4 2012 Global Talent Market Quarterly

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Q4 2012 Global Talent Market Quarterly

  • 1. Global Talent Market Quarterly FOURTH QUARTER l 2012
  • 2. Global Talent Market Quarterly CONTENTS 3 Global Economic Situation • Briefing • Outlook 6 Global Labor Market Update • Americas • EMEA • APAC • Global Labor Market Spotlight • Legislative Update 12 U.S. Labor Market Overview • Current Employment Conditions • Supply and Demand • Labor Market Spotlight 16 Workforce Solutions Industry Insight • Contingent Workforce Management Evolution • From Capability to Profitability • The Autonomous and Empowered Workforce • Kelly Knowledge
  • 3. Global Economic Situation FOURTH QUARTER l 2012
  • 4. Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS GLOBAL  ECONOMIC  BRIEFING     The  global  economy  is  stuck  in  low  gear  in  2012,  with  many  European  countries  either  mired  in  recession  or  struggling  to  grow,  the  U.S.   facing  a    poten>al  “fiscal  cliff”  of  tax  and  revenue  measures,  and  growth  in  emerging  economies  on  a  decelera>ng  trend.         AMERICAS   EMEA   APAC   Sluggish  economic  growth  con>nues  across   Despite  some  progress,  the  Eurozone  crisis   Economic  growth  in  export-­‐driven  Asian   the  Americas  region,  driven  by  concerns  over   remains  a  cri>cal  ongoing  issue,  with  several   markets  con>nues  to  cool,  as  domes>c   U.S.  policies  and  the  ongoing  European  crisis.   European  countries  firmly  in  recession  and  dim   demand  struggles  to  compensate  for  the   growth  prospects  across  the  region.   effects  of  uncertainty  in  Europe  and  the  U.S.   Canada   Canada’s  GDP  growth  rate  is  around  2%—slow   Eurozone   Japan   but  rela:vely  healthy  compared  to  other   The  Eurozone  recession  is  expected  to  have   Japan’s  economy  has  been  losing  momentum   advanced  economies.  Business  and  consumer   deepened  in  Q3  2012,  with  improvement  not   aWer  a  strong  start  in  2012,  weighed  down  by   spending  are  helping  to  counterbalance  lower   expected  un:l  2014.  The  region  has  not  seen   lower  export  and  domes:c  demand.  Growth  is   government  expenditures  and  slower  exports.     posi:ve  economic  growth  since  Q3  2011.   not  expected  to  return  to  normal  (2%+)  levels   un:l  2014.   U.S.   U.K.   U.S.  GDP  growth  dipped  to  1.3%  in  Q2  2012,   AWer  three  quarters  of  contrac:on,  the  U.K.   China   but  increased  to  an  es:mated  2.0%  in  Q3  on   economy  returned  to  growth  in  Q3  2012,  with  a   China’s  GDP  growth  reached  a  three-­‐year  low   stronger  government  and  consumer  spending.   liW  coming  from  the  Olympics  games,  rela:vely   of  7.4%  in  Q3  2012.  Rising  wages  should  help   Similar  modest  growth  is  forecast  for  the  rest   strong  employment,  and  low  infla:on.   raise  domes:c  demand  and  begin  to  prop  up   growth  in  early  2013.   of  2012,  as  the  country  faces  risks  from  the   impending  fiscal  cliff  and  the  Eurozone  crisis.   Central  and  Eastern  Europe   Economic  growth  in  Central  and  Eastern  Europe   India   La>n  America   con:nues  to  be  subdued  as  a  result  of  the   Government  reforms  designed  to  encourage   The  region  is  seeing  cooler  economic  growth  in   area’s  dependence  on  the  Eurozone.     foreign  investment  and  domes:c  growth   2012,  as  the  global  slowdown  has  lowered   should  help  soWen  the  risk  of  infla:on  and  help   Middle  East  and  North  Africa   spur  economic  growth  in  India.   commodity  prices,  demand  for  exports,  and   foreign  investment.  Economic  ac:vity  is   Strong  growth  is  s:ll  predicted  for  oil  expor:ng   countries  in  the  region.  However,  significant   Australia   forecast  to  accelerate  in  2013,  due  to  s:mulus   Healthy  economic  growth  driven  by  strength  in   risks  remain  for  many    MENA  economies,   measures  in  many  countries  including  Brazil,   the  mining  sector  is  expected  to  cool  in  the  last   including  ongoing  poli:cal  transi:ons,  social   which  has  seen  a  dras:c  dip  in  growth.     part  of  2012  and  into  2013,  as  Australia  feels   unrest,  and  weaker  external  demand.         the  effects  of  slowdowns  in  Asia  and  Europe.         4   Sources:  IHS  Global  Insight  reports  (October  2012);  US  BEA,  09.28.12;  Wall  Street  Journal,  09.29.12,  10.02.12,  10.18.12  
  • 5. Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS */"0"BM/'"#%@""Z' " "9O5;9O'DUD8<L'KA5:'<PD'*=A5Y59D'8A;L;L'79F'TL874'E54;8N';LL=DL';9'<PD'#G1G'7AD'DWED8<DF'<5'859>9=D'<5'ID;OP'59'O45674'D8595:;8'OA5I<P' <PA5=OP':=8P'5K',-.2G')FH798DF'D8595:;DL'I;44'K78D'<PD'OAD7<DL<'L<A=OO4DL';9'78P;DH;9O'L=6L<79>74':5:D9<=:';9'<PD'LP5A<'<DA:R'IP;4D' D:DAO;9O':7ACD<L'7AD'DWED8<DF'<5'LDD'OAD7<DA'788D4DA7>59G' $D74'3X['3A5I<P'$7<DL'^_'/P79OD`' $D74'3X['3A5I<P'$7<DL'^_'/P79OD`'1D4D8<'B7ACD<L'' c)?4%="2@"LR!L^7`"8&1H59" /5=9<ANa' ,-.,'^E`' ,-.2'^E`' ,-.b'^E`' $DO;59' /P;97'' )B*$M/)1' M9F;7'' QA7Y;4' !BiM" JBbM" VBbM" /797F7' LBRM" LBRM" LBjM" $=LL;7'' #G1G' LB!M" !BhM" LBgM" )=L<A74;7'' *B*)' !A798D' RBRM" aRBLM" RBjM" ]7E79'' 3DA:79N' RBgM" RBiM" !BJM" #G1G'' /012)0"/A-"/&1H59" M<74N' aLBJM" a!B!M" RBRM" ^LR!L"7`e"LBiM" $=LL;7' JBiM" JBjM" VBRM" /797F7'' #GZG' aRBLM" RBgM" !BjM" QA7Y;4'' *=A5Y59D' aRBjM" aRBVM" RBbM" )[)/' 3DA:79N'' )=L<A74;7' JBVM" LB!M" JBJM" LR!L"^7`"" !A798D'' /P;97' bBVM" bBiM" hBVM" LR!J"^7`"" M9F;7' jB!M" jBhM" bBJM" #GZG'' LR!V"^7`" ]7E79' LBJM" !B!M" LBiM" M<74N' )[)/' VBhM" VBiM" jBbM" J"$@X' LBiM" LBbM" JBiM" 2_' ,_' ._' -_' ._' ,_' 2_' b_' c_' ?_' d_' e_' f_' .-_' 61>&(%e"d[6"/012)0"d?*'895"&%71&5*"^Y(512%&LR!L`" j"
  • 6. Global Labor Market Update FOURTH QUARTER l 2012
  • 7. Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS GLOBAL  LABOR  MARKET  UPDATE:  AMERICAS     The  cooler  economic  climate  in  the  U.S.  and  overseas  has  kept  employment  growth  somewhat  subdued  in  the  Americas  region  in  2012,   but  signs  of  more  robust  growth  have  begun  to  emerge,  par>cularly  outside  the  United  States.  Labor  market  growth  is  expected  to   con>nue  to  accelerate  across  the  region,  with  stronger  job  crea>on  and  lower  unemployment  forecast  for  2013.   UNITED  STATES   BRAZIL   CANADA   MEXICO   Moderate  job  crea:on  con:nues   The  unemployment  rate  :cked   The  labor  market  con:nues  to   Mexico’s  unemployment  rate  fell   in  the  U.S.,  but  employers  are   up  to  5.4%  in  September  as  more   show  decent  growth.  Several   to  4.7%  in  September,  its  lowest   s:ll  hesitant  to  ramp  up  hiring   workers  entered  an  already  :ght   posi:ve  signs—including   point  in  nearly  four  years.   plans  in  the  face  of  domes:c  and   labor  market.  Despite  the  small   increases  in  full-­‐:me  jobs,  more   Proposed  labor  market  and   global  uncertain:es.  Resolu:on   rise,  the  unemployment  rate  is  at   people  returning  to  the  labor   economic  reforms  expected  to   of  poli:cal  and  fiscal  concerns  is   a  historic  low  and  is  forecast  to   market,  and  rising  wages—point   take  effect  aWer  the  change  in   expected  to  usher  in  slightly   con:nue  to  drop  as  the  economy   toward  further  improvements   government  in  December  are   stronger  job  growth  in  2013.   picks  up  speed.   headed  into  2013.   liWing  the  country’s  outlook.       Average  Annual  Unemployment  Rate   10%   8%   8.2%   8.0%   7.7%   7.3%   7.0%   2012  (p)   6%   6.7%   5.7%   5.6%   5.3%   2013  (p)   4%   4.8%   4.6%   4.3%   2014  (p)   2%   0%   U.S.   Brazil   Canada   Mexico   Sources:  IHS  Global  Insight  reports  (October  2012);  Reuters,  10.25.12;  TD  Economics,  10.05.12   7  
  • 8. Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS GLOBAL  LABOR  MARKET  UPDATE:  EMEA     The  ongoing  fiscal  crisis  in  Europe  con>nues  to  weigh  on  businesses’  demand  for  workers,  leading  to  slow  employment  growth  and  rising   joblessness  across  much  of  the  region,  and  the  Eurozone  unemployment  rate  at  a  record  high.  Labor  market  condi>ons  in  some  markets,   including  Germany,  the  U.K.,  and  Russia,  remain  rela>vely  resilient  despite  the  broader  economic  troubles.   GERMANY   FRANCE   UNITED  KINGDOM   RUSSIA   The  German  labor  market   Unemployment  in  France   Labor  market  performance  has   Demand  for  workers  in  Russia   con:nues  to  hold  up  beler  than   con:nues  to  rise  to  levels  not   been  surprisingly  healthy  in  2012,   remains  rela:vely  healthy  and   its  European  peers,  but  the   seen  in  over  a  decade.  The  labor   despite  a  lackluster  economy.  The   unemployment  con:nues  to  fall;   ongoing  fiscal  crisis  is  expected  to   market  is  forecast  to  con:nue  to   outlook  for  further  progress  is   the  posi:ve  trend  is  expected  to   put  increasing  pressure  on  labor   deteriorate  through  2013  as  the   uncertain,  however,  as  effects   con:nue  as  the  country’s   demand  and  limit  employment   business  climate  and  broader   from  the  Eurozone  crisis  may  limit   economic  outlook  is  solid.     growth  through  2013.   economic  condi:ons  remain  poor.   U.K.  firms’  hiring  in  2013.   ITALY   With  the  economy  stuck  in  a   recession,  double-­‐digit   unemployment  rates  are  forecast   Average  Annual  Unemployment  Rate   to  con:nue  to  worsen  through   2014.   12%   10%   11.3%  11.5%   10.2%  10.6%  10.3%   10.5%   8%   2012  (p)   8.1%   8.4%   8.5%   6%   2013  (p)   6.8%   6.8%   6.7%   5.7%   5.4%   2014  (p)   4%   5.2%   2%   0%   Germany   France   U.K.   Russia   Italy   Sources:  IHS  Global  Insight  reports  (October  2012);  Wall  Street  Journal  Europe,  10.18.12   8  
  • 9. Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS GLOBAL  LABOR  MARKET  UPDATE:  APAC     Labor  markets  across  the  APAC  region  are  showing  some  nega>ve  effects  from  both  the  economic  slowdown  in  China  and  India,  and   declining  export  demand  from  the  U.S.  and  Europe.  The  employment  environment  in  APAC  is  expected  to  be  stable  in  2013,  with   unemployment  rates  across  much  of  the  region  remaining  among  the  lowest  in  the  world.   JAPAN   CHINA   INDIA   AUSTRALIA   A  slowdown  in  economic  growth  is   Despite  a  cooldown  in  China’s   High  unemployment  and  low   The  employment  situa:on  in   triggering  a  similar  dip  in  labor   economy,  demand  for  workers   educa:onal  alainment  among   Australia  is  favorable,  with  a   market  performance.  Recent   remains  high  and  wages  con:nue   young  people  in  India  are   generally  posi:ve  outlook  for   improvements  in  unemployment   to  grow.  The  service  sector,   growing  concerns.  Governments   2013.  The  unemployment  rate  is   have  come  from  workers  leaving   rather  than  manufacturing,   in  several  Indian  states  have   forecast  to  edge  up  slightly,   the  labor  force,  and  employment   appears  to  be  driving  the  current   announced  ini:a:ves  to  boost   however,  as  more  workers  return   demand  has  been  flat.       growth  in  employment  demand.   youth  training  and  employment.   to  the  labor  market.   Average  Annual  Unemployment  Rate   10%   9.2%   9.1%   9.1%   8%   2012  (p)   6%   2013  (p)   5.2%   5.3%   4.9%   4%   4.7%   5.0%   4.9%   2014  (p)   4.2%   4.1%   4.0%   2%   0%   Japan   China   India   Australia   Sources:  IHS  Global  Insight  reports  (October  2012);  ;The  Mainichi  Japan,  09.28.12;  Wall  Street  Journal,  10.22.12;  United  News  of  India,  10.25.12;  Mail  Today,  10.20.12;  The  Pioneer,  10.18.12;  Times  of  India,  10.17.12;   Asia  Pacific  Labour  Market  Update,  ILO,  10.12   9   9
  • 10. Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS GLOBAL  LABOR  MARKET  SPOTLIGHT:  SOCIAL  MEDIA     media  con>nues  to  shape  the  way  organiza>ons  worldwide  are  recrui>ng  and  sourcing  talent.  But  talent  management  professionals   Social   are  finding  that  a  one-­‐size-­‐fits-­‐all  approach  may  not  be  best,  as  social  networking  amtudes  and  prac>ces  vary  across  countries.     AN  OVERWHELMING  MAJORITY  OF  RECRUITERS  USE  SOCIAL  MEDIA   Social  Media  is  Growing  as  a  Recruitment  Tool   A  global  survey  of  HR  professionals  reported  that  92%  are  currently   using  social  networks  or  social  media  to  support  their  recruitment   %  of  recruiters  that  use  social  networks   efforts,  up  from  82%  in  2010.  Nearly  three  quarters  of  recruiters  say  that   %  of  recruiters  that  have  successfully  hired  via  social  networks   they  have  successfully  hired  a  candidate  via  social  media.   110%   92%   DIFFERENCES  IN  ENGAGEMENT  IN  SOCIAL  NETWORKING     89%   Global  companies  need  to  understand  the  differences  in  social  media   90%   82%   usage  as  they  formulate  their  recrui:ng  and  sourcing  strategies.  While   73%   many  in  North  America  and  Western  Europe  have  a  presence  on  social   70%   63%   networks,  research  shows  that  users  in  emerging  markets  are  more   58%   ac:ve  and  engaged  on  social  sites.  Emerging  markets  are  also  predicted   to  see  the  fastest  growth  in  social  network  usage  in  the  coming  years.   50%   SITE  SELECTION  VARIES   2010   2011   2012   LinkedIn  is  the  most  popular  social  network  used  in  recrui:ng,  with   Facebook  and  Twiler  growing  in  popularity.  In  a  global  organiza:on,   however,  other  sites  may  be  equally  important.  Facebook,  for  example,   Candidates’  Views  of  Social  Media  Differ  by  Region     shows  a  much  lower  penetra:on  rate  in  Asia  Pacific  compared  to  other   global  regions.  Companies  looking  to  recruit  in  China  are  increasingly   Overall   Americas   EMEA   APAC   turning  to    sites  like  Renren  (a  Facebook-­‐like  site),  Sina  Weibo  (similar  to   50%   Twiler),  or  Tianji  (a  Chinese-­‐language  professional  networking  site   40%   47%   similar  to  LinkedIn).   39%   30%   JOB  SEEKERS’  USAGE  OF  SOCIAL  MEDIA   30%   29%   29%   20%   26%   24%   Candidates’  percep:on  and  usage  of  social  media  also  varies  by  region.   23%   Workers  in  APAC  countries    are  much  more  likely  to  use  social  media  in   10%   their  job  searches  and  also  place  much  more  importance  on  their   0%   employers’  usage  of  social  networks,  according  to  the  2012  Kelly  Global   More  inclined  to  search  for  jobs   Important  that  employer  has   Workforce  Index  research.   via  social  media   social  media  presence   Sources:  Jobvite  2012  Social  Recrui:ng  Survey  Results;  2012  Kelly  Global  Workforce  Index  ;  Wall  Street  Journal,  01.04.12  and  08.01.12;  eMarketer,  08.16.12   10   KGWI  regional  difference  may  be  alributed  in  part  to  the  genera:onal  composi:on  of  the  survey  samples.  
  • 11. Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS GLOBAL  LEGISLATIVE  UPDATE     Recent  global  legisla>ve  ac>vity  reflects  the  growing  prevalence  of  more  flexible  and  fluid  labor  models—par>cularly  in  emerging   markets  such  as  China,  India,  and  Mexico,  as  they  con>nue  to  build  new  regulatory  frameworks  that  address  modern  working  paqerns.   U.K.   A  controversial  proposal  by  Britain’s   NETHERLANDS   ruling  party  would  allow  small   Temporary  workers  will  have  their   companies  to  offer  their  employees   en:tlement  to  sick  pay  reduced  to  three   shares  in  the  firm  in  return  for   months  under  a  new    law.  Permanent   BRAZIL   lower  protec:ons  from   employees  will  s:ll  have  the  right  to  two   The  Brazilian  government  is   employment  laws.   years’  sick  pay.   exploring  ways  to  alract   more  skilled  immigrants  in   an  effort  to  spur  economic   CHINA   growth.   ITALY     Proposed  changes  to  China’s  staffing  law  would   New  legisla:on  allows  companies  to  use   restrict  the  use  of  temporary  employees.   temporary  labor  without  needing  a   Temporary  workers  would  only  be  allowed:  if   specific  reason  to  do  so.  The  law,  which   their  employment  is  less  than  six  months;  if  they   MEXICO   came  into  effect  in  July,  also  outlines  :me   are  replacing  employees  on  leave;  or  if  they  are   Reforms  that  seek  to  make  the  labor   constraints  for  temporary  contracts.   used  to  meet  high  demand.   market  more  flexible  have  been   approved.  The  reforms  will  introduce   hourly  (rather  than  daily)   remunera:on,  make  it  easier  and   INDIA   AUSTRALIA   cheaper  for  firms  to  hire  and  fire,   The  government  is   Several  changes  to  laws  governing   create  new  types  of  temporary   considering  an  amendment   Australia's  workplace  rela:ons  will  be  made   employment  contracts,  and  regulate   to  the  contract  labor  act   aWer  a  review  of  the  Fair  Work  Act.  Changes   outsourcing  prac:ces.   that  would  ensure  equal   include  extending  the  :me  limit  for  lodging   pay  for  temporary  workers.   unfair  dismissal  complaints  and  limi:ng   some  union  bargaining  provisions.   Sources:  Wall  Street  Journal,  09.29.12;  SIA  Daily  News,  09.09.12,  09.14.12,10.03.12;  SIA  Western  Europe  Legs  &  Regs,  August  2012;  LiveMint,  10.10.12;Fraser  Coast  Chronicle  10.15.12   11  
  • 12. U.S. Labor Market Overview FOURTH QUARTER l 2012
  • 13. Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS U.S.  EMPLOYMENT  CONDITIONS     JOBS  GROW  AT  A  MODERATE  PACE   U.S.  MONTHLY  EMPLOYMENT  CHANGE  AND  UNEMPLOYMENT  RATE   The  U.S.  labor  market  showed  some  signs  of   renewed  strength  in  the  third  quarter,   300   12.0   Unemployment  rate  (%)   Employment  (000s)   showing  modest  employment  gains  as  the   250   10.0   economy  gradually  moves  towards  more   200   consistent  and  solid  growth.  Job  crea:on  has   150   8.0   averaged  173,000  per  month  thus  far  in  the   100   second  half  of  2012,  more  than  2.5  :mes  the   6.0   50   pace  in  Q2  but  s:ll  below  the  rate  expected   0   4.0   at  this  point  in  a  recovery  cycle.   Oct-­‐10   Jun-­‐11   Jul-­‐11   Aug-­‐11   Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12   Aug-­‐12   Jan-­‐11   Oct-­‐11   Jan-­‐12   Oct-­‐12   Nov-­‐10   Dec-­‐10   May-­‐11   Nov-­‐11   Dec-­‐11   May-­‐12   Feb-­‐11   Sep-­‐11   Feb-­‐12   Sep-­‐12   Apr-­‐11   Apr-­‐12   Mar-­‐11   Mar-­‐12   UNEMPLOYMENT  IS  TRENDING  DOWN   The  unemployment  rate  con:nues  to   Total  non-­‐farm  employment  growth   Unemployment  rate   improve,  and  has  fallen  below  8%—the   lowest  rate  seen  since  January  2009,  but  s:ll   a  long  way  away  from  the  pre-­‐recession  lows   EMPLOYMENT  OVERVIEW   of  4.5%  to  5%.    Some  economists  have   argued  that  the  recession  has  raised  the   OCT   SEPT   AUG   JUL   JUN   natural  rate  of  unemployment  –  that  is,  the   amount  of  joblessness  that  is  likely  to  exist   Total  non-­‐farm  employment  growth   171K   148K   192K   181K   45K   even  in  a  healthy  economy  –  from  around   5%,  to  6%  or  above.  But  even  reaching  those   Private  sector  employment  growth   184K   128K   134K   163K   63K   higher  levels  of  natural  unemployment  will   require  job  crea:on  to  pick  up  from  its   Unemployment  rate   7.9%   7.8%   8.1%   8.3%   8.2%   current  pace.     UNCERTAINTIES  CONTINUE  TO  CONSTRAIN  HIRING   Unresolved  poli:cal  and  economic  issues  including  the  ongoing  crisis  in  Europe,  the  slowdown  in  China  and  other  emerging  markets,  the  U.S.   presiden:al  elec:on,  and  the  “fiscal  cliff”  of  tax  and  spending  measures  that  are  scheduled  to  take  effect  in  2013  con:nue  to  weigh  on  employers’  hiring   ac:vity.    Resolu:on,  or  at  least  progress,  on  these  and  other  key  issues  will  be  cri:cal  in  sustaining    posi:ve  U.S.  labor  market  momentum  into  2013.     Sources:  Bureau  of  Labor  Sta:s:cs;  Bloomberg,  08.20.12   13  
  • 14. Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS U.S.  LABOR  MARKET  -­‐  SUPPLY  AND  DEMAND     JOB  DEMAND  STALLS  BUT  SUPPLY/DEMAND  GAP   U.S.  MARKET  -­‐  MONTHLY  LABOR  DEMAND  VS.  LABOR  SUPPLY   REMAINS  RELATIVELY  NARROW   U.S.  labor  demand  hit  a  soW  patch  to  start  the  second   16,000   10,000   half  of  2012,  as  online  vacancies  decreased  in  July,   August,  and  October.  S:ll,  labor  demand  has  been  on  a   14,000   9,000   weakly  posi:ve  trend  overall  in  2012,  with  an  average   rise  of  around  41,000  vacancies  a  month  through  the   8,000   No.  of    Online  Job  Ads     first  ten  months.   12,000   No.  of  Unemployed     There  are  now  around  2.5  unemployed  workers  for   7,000   (in  000's)   (in  000's)   every  online  job  opening,  half  the  5.0  supply/demand   10,000   ra:o  level  seen  at  the  official  end  of  the  recession  in   6,000   June  2009.  At  that  :me,  there  were  11.8  million  more   unemployed  workers  than  job  vacancies;  that  figure  is   8,000   now  down  to  7.5  million.   5,000   A  cri:cal  issue  in  further  bridging  the  gap  between   6,000   4,000   supply  and  demand  is  the  skills  mismatch  of  available   talent.  The  number  of  U.S.  job  vacancies  is  split  roughly   4,000   3,000   50/50  between  professional  and  non-­‐professional   occupa:ons.  However,  there  aren’t  enough  professional   workers  to  meet  the  demand:  only  around  20%  of  the   2,000   2,000   Mar  09   Jun  09   Mar  10   Jun  10   Jun  11   Mar  11   Mar  12   Jun  12   Sept  11   Sept  12   Dec  08   Dec  09   Dec  10   Dec  11   Sep  08   Sep  09   Sep  10   unemployed  are  categorized  as  professional  workers,   while  80%  of  unemployed  workers  have  held  non-­‐ professional  occupa:ons.   #  of  unemployed  workers   #  of  online  ads         “The  average  labor  demand  for  the  last  five  months  (since  May  2012)  is  neither  up  nor  down  but  basically       flat.”       —    June  Shelp,  Vice  President,  The  Conference  Board,  October  31,  2012     Sources:  Conference  Board  Help  Wanted  OnLine,  Bureau  of  Labor  Sta:s:cs   14     Using  the  Federal  government's  Standard  Occupa:onal  Classifica:on  (SOC)  system  codes,  the  Professional  category  is  represented  by  SOC  codes  11  through  29.  Non-­‐professional  occupa:ons  are  SOC  codes  31  through  53.  
  • 15. Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS U.S.  LABOR  MARKET  SPOTLIGHT:  POST-­‐RECESSION  HOT  SPOTS       RECOVERY  CONCENTRATED  IN  THE  SERVICE  SECTOR   %  of  Jobs  Lost  During  the  Recession  that  Have  Returned       The  U.S.  economy  has  finally  recovered  more  than  half  of  the  8.8   million  jobs  it  shed  during  the  recession  in  2008-­‐2009.  But  through   September  2012,  only  12%  of  the  jobs  lost  in  manufacturing  and   12%   construc:on  have  come  back,  while  90%  of  the  jobs  lost  in  service   53%   90%   industries  have  returned.       Technological  changes  and  greater  access  to  a  global  labor  market     have  contributed  to  the  service  sector’s  rising  dominance  over   manufacturing  in  the  U.S.,  both  during  the  recovery  and  on  a   longer-­‐term  basis.  Over  the  past  40  years,  the  service  sector  has   Overall   Service  Occupa>ons   Produc>on  Occupa>ons   grown  from  less  than  two-­‐thirds  of  U.S.  employment  to  84%.     Employment    by  sector  Jan.  2008-­‐Dec.  2009  vs.  Jan.  2010-­‐Sept.  2012   ACCOUNTING,  HEALTHCARE,  IT  AMONG  FASTEST  GAINERS   Broader  business,  economic,  and  demographic  trends  have  helped   some  service  sectors  get  back  on  track  quickly  aWer  the  recession.   Growth  of  Service  Occupa>ons,  1972-­‐2012   Accoun:ng  firms,  for  example,  have  gained  back  80%  of  the  jobs   they  lost  in  the  recession,  boosted  by  growth  in  start-­‐up   Produc:on  Occupa:ons   Service  Occupa:ons   businesses,  new  financial  rules,  and  company  expansions.   Employment  in  educa:on,  health  services,  and  computer-­‐related   100%   fields  remained  rela:vely  strong  during  the  recession,  and  these   63%   69%   75%   79%   84%   sectors  have  con:nued  to  add  jobs  in  the  past  few  years.   50%     NEWEST  AREA  OF  GROWTH:  MID-­‐SKILL  JOBS   0%   More  recently,  healthy  employment  gains  have  been  seen  among   1972   1982   1992   2002   2012   community  college  graduates.  Employment  for  those  with   associate’s  degrees  or  some  college  has  increased  by  over  1  million   since  January  2012;  in  the  past  six  months,  job  gains  by  community   college  grads  have  outpaced  bachelor’s  degree  holders.  The  trend   Jobs  Added  by  Educa>on  Level   Past  6  Months   Past  9  Months   suggests  a  brighter  outlook  for  some  mid-­‐skill  occupa:ons—skilled   41%   Bachelor’s  degrees  or  higher   314,000   1.30  million   produc:on  workers,  hea:ng  and  air  condi:oning  repair  people,  or   X-­‐ray  technicians,  for  example—that  require  hands-­‐on  or   Associate’s  degree  or  some  college   578,000   1.02  million   voca:onal  training.     High  school  graduate  or  lower   -­‐230,000   -­‐377,000       15   Source:  U.S.  Bureau  of  Labor  Sta:s:cs;  Employment  Surges  for  Community  College  Grads,  USA  Today,  10.17.12;  Service  Sector  Leads  in  Job  Gains,  USA  Today,  07.16.12  
  • 16. Workforce Solutions Industry Insight FOURTH QUARTER l 2012
  • 17. Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS CONTINGENT  WORKFORCE  MANAGEMENT  EVOLUTION     As  con>ngent  labor  programs  con>nue  to  grow  and  become  more  complex,  organiza>ons  have  an  increasing  need  to  improve  visibility  into   and  efficiently  manage  all  facets  of  their  temporary  and  contract  workforce.  Recent  research  by  Aberdeen  shows  more  companies  are   considering  the  benefits  of  a  more  cohesive  and  comprehensive  con>ngent  workforce  management  strategy.   A  SINGLE  STRATEGY  FOR  A  MULTIFACETED  WORKFORCE   According  to  Aberdeen,  more  than  one  out  of  every  four  workers  in  the   Top  Con>ngent  Workforce  Management  (CWM)  Priori>es   23%   average  organiza:on  is  considered  con:ngent,  up  12%  over  the  past  year.   60%   The  modern  con:ngent  workforce  includes  not  just  temporary  workers,  but   21%   50%   56%   a  variety  of  just-­‐in-­‐:me  employees,  including  independent  contractors,   40%   21%   consultants,  and  statement  of  work  (SOW)  projects  and  services.     41%   41%   38%   30%   16%   As  the  workplace  con:nues  to  become  more  complex,  companies  are   placing  a  priority  on  gaining  visibility  into  the  various  types  of  con:ngent   20%   13%   labor,  as  well  as  driving  efficiencies  and  improving  cost  control.  Gaining   10%   insight  into  the  en:re  talent  spectrum  –  both  con:ngent  and  permanent   0%   employees  –  is  also  growing  in  importance.   Improve  visibility   Drive  efficiencies   Improve  overall   Improve  total  talent   However,  while  many  organiza:ons  recognize  the  importance  of  a  cohesive   into  all  facets  of   across  all  aspects  of   cost  control  of   management   con:ngent  workforce  strategy,  less  than  a  quarter  of  them  are  currently   CWM   CWM   con:ngent  labor   managing  all  of  their  con:ngent  workers  under  a  centralized  program.   Nearly  two-­‐thirds  of  companies  say  they  plan  to  move  towards  a  single   con:ngent  workforce  management  program  over  the  next  two  years.   Current  and  Planned  Structure  of  CW  Management   Structure   Current     Planned   Current  Use  of  Con>ngent  Workers   All  aspects  managed  under  the  same  program   23%   64%   Average   Strong  management  of  temporary  labor,  but   Organiza:on’s   27%   22%   Up   disparate  management  of  SOW-­‐based  projects   Con:ngent   12%   Workforce,     Disparate  management  of  all  CW  aspects   27%   8%   from   26%   2011   Managed  on  an  as-­‐needed  basis   23%   6%   Source:  Con:ngent  Workforce  Management,  The  Next  Genera:on  Guidebook  to  Managing  the  Modern  Con:ngent  Workforce  Umbrella,  Aberdeen,  2012     17