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State of Venture Capital
& Angel Markets 2015
STARTUP
CAPITAL VENTURES
What’s Going On In The US VC Cycle?
	
  	
  
	
  Page	
  2	
  
VCs
Invest In
Startups
Startups
Exit Via
M&A or
IPO
VCs
return
capital to
LPs
LPs
Invest In
VCs
Silicon Valley Honolulu
Strongest Venture Investing, Exit
& Angel Market In A Decade
•  Strong LP investment VC asset class
•  VCs investing more actively than in the
past 15 years (although at just 40%
of .com era)
•  Strong exit market producing good returns
•  Strongest angel market in 15 years
•  Challenge: angel investing concentrated in
different sectors than venture
Silicon Valley Honolulu
	
  	
  
	
  Page	
  3	
  
Agenda
LP Investments In VC
VC Investing Activity
Angel, Accelerator & Crowdfunding
Exit Activity
Conclusions
Silicon Valley Honolulu
	
  	
  
	
  Page	
  4	
  
VC Fundraising Market Is Healthy
	
  
	
  Page	
  5	
  
.com boom
& bust
Silicon Valley Honolulu
Source: Thomson Reuters / PwC / NVCA
Number Of Funds Raised Increased Again
Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 6
Source: Thomson Reuters / PwC / NVCA
New Funds Raised Exceeded 30%
For First Time In Years
Source: Thomson Reuters / NVCA
Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 7
• VC Returns Continue to Outperform
• Public MarketsVenture Returns Continue To Exceed
Public Market Returns
Source: NVCA, Cambridge Associates
Silicon Valley Honolulu
	
  	
  
	
  Page	
  8	
  
Agenda
Silicon Valley Honolulu
	
  	
  
	
  Page	
  9	
  
LP Investments In VC
VC Investing Activity
Angel, Accelerator & Crowdfunding
Exit Activity
Conclusions
$49B Of Venture Capital Invested In 2014
Is Highest Since 2000
Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 10
Source: Thomson Reuters / PwC / NVCA
2015 = Q1 annualized
For comparison: Apple 2015Q1 revenue $74.6B
US Corporate VC Also at a Decade High
Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 11
Source: PWC Moneytree Report
Number of US VC Deals Remains
Essentially Flat For 15 Years
Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 12
Source: Thomson Reuters / PwC / NVCA
2015 = Q1 annualized
Silicon Valley Dominates US VC With CA
Making Up Almost 60% of Total $
Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 13
Source: Thomson Reuters / PwC / NVCA
LA / Orange County
Software Is Eating The $ While Industrial &
Energy Is Bouncing Back
Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 14
Source: Thomson Reuters / PwC / NVCA
Software Represents Nearly 50%
Of Deals With Biotech #2 and Down To ~10%
Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 15
Source: Thomson Reuters / PwC / NVCA
Seed Stage Rounds Continued To Decline
As Series A & B Rounds Increase
Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 16
Source: Thomson Reuters / PwC / NVCA
Seed And Expansion Stage
Deal Sizes Close To .com highs*
Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 17
Source: Thomson Reuters / PwC / NVCA
* Driven by two billion $ deals and
several multi-hundred $ deals
79% Of Round Valuations Were Up While
Just 6% Were Down-Rounds
Silicon Valley Honolulu
Source: Fenwick
Page 18
Software & Internet / Media Had Greatest % Of
Up-Rounds With Life Science Continuing To Lag
Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 19
Source: Fenwick Q4 2014 * Cleantech & Other were statistically
insignificant with two deals each
Round To Round Price Increases At
Post .com Record Levels
Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 20
Source: Fenwick
Bullish VC Sentiment As Measured By Low
Senior Liquidation Preferences
Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 21
Source: Fenwick
Venture Investment Environment Is At
Highest Levels Since .com Era
However the comparison is unfair
•  Still just 40% of .com highs
•  Most funded companies have revenue and
strong growth
•  Investing sectors are more tech. heavy (e.g.
software, cloud) vs. internet and media
•  Business models are more sophisticated AND
more capital-efficient
•  Cheap cloud services (e.g. AWS) reduce capital
needed
Silicon Valley Honolulu
	
  	
  
	
  Page	
  22	
  
Agenda
Silicon Valley Honolulu
	
  	
  
	
  Page	
  23	
  
LP Investments In VC
VC Investing Activity
Angel, Accelerator & Crowdfunding
Exit Activity
Conclusions
Technology Angel Funding Strong But
Disconnected From Venture
Angel funding at highest levels in years
•  $1.65B invested in 870 deals
Deal size and valuations very strong
But disconnected from venture capital
•  Investing in different sectors than VC
•  Most active angel syndicates are outside major
VC markets
Silicon Valley Honolulu
	
  	
  
	
  Page	
  24	
  
Crowdfunding Industry Still Dominated By
Project & Lending Sectors
Project funding (e.g. Kickstarter: $1.4B funded to
date) and lending (e.g. Lending Club) dominate
Angel.co is largest equity funder at $100M in 2014
SEC has still not finalized unaccredited investor
equity crowdfunding regulations
•  Adverse selection remains an unresolved issue
•  e.g. crowdfunders mostly get the deals rejected by
angels, accelerators & VCs
Silicon Valley Honolulu
	
  	
  
	
  Page	
  25	
  
Average Tech. Angel Round Size
At All Time High
Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 26
Source: ARI Halo Report
Tech. Angel Deal Size
Up Across All Sectors
Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 27
Source: ARI Halo Report
Tech. Angel Valuations At All Time High
Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 28
Source: ARI Halo Report
Tech. Angel Deals Approximately
Proportional To Population
(Different Than CA-Centric VC)
Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 29
Source: ARI Halo Report
Angel Investing Continues To Be Centered On
Consumer & Mobile Internet
Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 30
Source: ARI Halo Report
Big Takeaway: Angels Invest (Much) More
In Consumer & Less In Software Than VCs
Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 31
Source: Thompson-Reuters NVCA, ARI Halo Report
Why Are Tech. Angels Investing So
Differently Than Venture?
Many possibilities or combinations
•  Investing in concepts they understand
•  Investing proportional to applicant pool
•  Consumer internet has lower tech. barriers
•  Angels unaware of VC funding patterns
•  Newsmaking consumer IPOs (TWTR)
create observational bias vs. broad exit
market (7X more M&A than IPO, etc.)
•  ?
Silicon Valley Honolulu
	
  	
  
	
  Page	
  32	
  
Agenda
LP Investments In VC
VC Investing Activity
Angel, Accelerator & Crowdfunding
Exit Activity
Conclusions
Silicon Valley Honolulu
	
  	
  
	
  Page	
  33	
  
Page 34
Venture M&A and IPO Markets Continue
Healthy Levels Of Activity
Silicon Valley Honolulu
Source: Thomson Reuters / PwC / NVCA
2015 = Q1 annualized
VC-backed IPO and M&A Valuations
Remain Strong
Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 35
Facebook, Groupon,
Twitter, Zynga
Source: Thomson Reuters / PwC / NVCA
FB acquisition of
WhatsApp for
$19.5BN
Agenda
LP Investments In VC
VC Investing Activity
Angel, Accelerator & Crowdfunding
Exit Activity
Conclusions
Silicon Valley Honolulu
	
  	
  
	
  Page	
  36	
  
VCs Invested
$49B In
Portfolio
~$100B In
Venture Exits
(IPO + M&A)
LPs
Invested
$30B In VCs
VCs (Still) Investing More In Startups Than
LPs Are Investing Back Into VC
Page	
  37	
  
Sources: NVCA, Thomson Reuters, Cambridge
Silicon Valley Honolulu
Better Angel & VC Investing Synchronicity
Could Improve Startup & Angel Yields
Startups and angels are dependent upon
subsequent venture funding
Angel investing patterns do not appear to
influence VC investing patterns
–  Angel investing sectors has stayed
consistent for 5 years whereas VC
investing evolves with market
VCs are focused on investing in active exit
markets
Silicon Valley Honolulu
	
  	
  
	
  Page	
  38	
  
Page 39
Author: Tim Dick
General Partner, Startup Capital Ventures
–  Boards: PlayFab, SilverTail (acquired by EMC), TuneIn, Adama
Materials, TagArray (acquired MXIM)
Investor / Founder / CEO:
Match.Com (Angel, acquired by IAC), WorldPages.com
(Founder, CEO, IPO NYSE:WPZ acquired by BT),
TRUSTe.org / Privacy Assured (Internet privacy standard),
Accept.com (advisor, acquired by Amazon), Grassroots Enterprise
(Founding President, acquired by Edelman), Hawaii Superferry
(founding CEO), Dali Wireless (turnaround CEO)
Boston Consulting Group – cofounded West Coast technology practice
Beckman Instruments: invented first “instrument on a chip” & first ICU
usable speech synthesizer for intubated patients
MBA, Stanford University, BSEE, University of California
www.startupcv.com
STARTUP
CAPITAL VENTURES

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Venture Capital & Angel Markets 2015

  • 1. State of Venture Capital & Angel Markets 2015 STARTUP CAPITAL VENTURES
  • 2. What’s Going On In The US VC Cycle?      Page  2   VCs Invest In Startups Startups Exit Via M&A or IPO VCs return capital to LPs LPs Invest In VCs Silicon Valley Honolulu
  • 3. Strongest Venture Investing, Exit & Angel Market In A Decade •  Strong LP investment VC asset class •  VCs investing more actively than in the past 15 years (although at just 40% of .com era) •  Strong exit market producing good returns •  Strongest angel market in 15 years •  Challenge: angel investing concentrated in different sectors than venture Silicon Valley Honolulu      Page  3  
  • 4. Agenda LP Investments In VC VC Investing Activity Angel, Accelerator & Crowdfunding Exit Activity Conclusions Silicon Valley Honolulu      Page  4  
  • 5. VC Fundraising Market Is Healthy    Page  5   .com boom & bust Silicon Valley Honolulu Source: Thomson Reuters / PwC / NVCA
  • 6. Number Of Funds Raised Increased Again Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 6 Source: Thomson Reuters / PwC / NVCA
  • 7. New Funds Raised Exceeded 30% For First Time In Years Source: Thomson Reuters / NVCA Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 7
  • 8. • VC Returns Continue to Outperform • Public MarketsVenture Returns Continue To Exceed Public Market Returns Source: NVCA, Cambridge Associates Silicon Valley Honolulu      Page  8  
  • 9. Agenda Silicon Valley Honolulu      Page  9   LP Investments In VC VC Investing Activity Angel, Accelerator & Crowdfunding Exit Activity Conclusions
  • 10. $49B Of Venture Capital Invested In 2014 Is Highest Since 2000 Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 10 Source: Thomson Reuters / PwC / NVCA 2015 = Q1 annualized For comparison: Apple 2015Q1 revenue $74.6B
  • 11. US Corporate VC Also at a Decade High Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 11 Source: PWC Moneytree Report
  • 12. Number of US VC Deals Remains Essentially Flat For 15 Years Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 12 Source: Thomson Reuters / PwC / NVCA 2015 = Q1 annualized
  • 13. Silicon Valley Dominates US VC With CA Making Up Almost 60% of Total $ Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 13 Source: Thomson Reuters / PwC / NVCA LA / Orange County
  • 14. Software Is Eating The $ While Industrial & Energy Is Bouncing Back Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 14 Source: Thomson Reuters / PwC / NVCA
  • 15. Software Represents Nearly 50% Of Deals With Biotech #2 and Down To ~10% Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 15 Source: Thomson Reuters / PwC / NVCA
  • 16. Seed Stage Rounds Continued To Decline As Series A & B Rounds Increase Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 16 Source: Thomson Reuters / PwC / NVCA
  • 17. Seed And Expansion Stage Deal Sizes Close To .com highs* Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 17 Source: Thomson Reuters / PwC / NVCA * Driven by two billion $ deals and several multi-hundred $ deals
  • 18. 79% Of Round Valuations Were Up While Just 6% Were Down-Rounds Silicon Valley Honolulu Source: Fenwick Page 18
  • 19. Software & Internet / Media Had Greatest % Of Up-Rounds With Life Science Continuing To Lag Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 19 Source: Fenwick Q4 2014 * Cleantech & Other were statistically insignificant with two deals each
  • 20. Round To Round Price Increases At Post .com Record Levels Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 20 Source: Fenwick
  • 21. Bullish VC Sentiment As Measured By Low Senior Liquidation Preferences Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 21 Source: Fenwick
  • 22. Venture Investment Environment Is At Highest Levels Since .com Era However the comparison is unfair •  Still just 40% of .com highs •  Most funded companies have revenue and strong growth •  Investing sectors are more tech. heavy (e.g. software, cloud) vs. internet and media •  Business models are more sophisticated AND more capital-efficient •  Cheap cloud services (e.g. AWS) reduce capital needed Silicon Valley Honolulu      Page  22  
  • 23. Agenda Silicon Valley Honolulu      Page  23   LP Investments In VC VC Investing Activity Angel, Accelerator & Crowdfunding Exit Activity Conclusions
  • 24. Technology Angel Funding Strong But Disconnected From Venture Angel funding at highest levels in years •  $1.65B invested in 870 deals Deal size and valuations very strong But disconnected from venture capital •  Investing in different sectors than VC •  Most active angel syndicates are outside major VC markets Silicon Valley Honolulu      Page  24  
  • 25. Crowdfunding Industry Still Dominated By Project & Lending Sectors Project funding (e.g. Kickstarter: $1.4B funded to date) and lending (e.g. Lending Club) dominate Angel.co is largest equity funder at $100M in 2014 SEC has still not finalized unaccredited investor equity crowdfunding regulations •  Adverse selection remains an unresolved issue •  e.g. crowdfunders mostly get the deals rejected by angels, accelerators & VCs Silicon Valley Honolulu      Page  25  
  • 26. Average Tech. Angel Round Size At All Time High Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 26 Source: ARI Halo Report
  • 27. Tech. Angel Deal Size Up Across All Sectors Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 27 Source: ARI Halo Report
  • 28. Tech. Angel Valuations At All Time High Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 28 Source: ARI Halo Report
  • 29. Tech. Angel Deals Approximately Proportional To Population (Different Than CA-Centric VC) Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 29 Source: ARI Halo Report
  • 30. Angel Investing Continues To Be Centered On Consumer & Mobile Internet Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 30 Source: ARI Halo Report
  • 31. Big Takeaway: Angels Invest (Much) More In Consumer & Less In Software Than VCs Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 31 Source: Thompson-Reuters NVCA, ARI Halo Report
  • 32. Why Are Tech. Angels Investing So Differently Than Venture? Many possibilities or combinations •  Investing in concepts they understand •  Investing proportional to applicant pool •  Consumer internet has lower tech. barriers •  Angels unaware of VC funding patterns •  Newsmaking consumer IPOs (TWTR) create observational bias vs. broad exit market (7X more M&A than IPO, etc.) •  ? Silicon Valley Honolulu      Page  32  
  • 33. Agenda LP Investments In VC VC Investing Activity Angel, Accelerator & Crowdfunding Exit Activity Conclusions Silicon Valley Honolulu      Page  33  
  • 34. Page 34 Venture M&A and IPO Markets Continue Healthy Levels Of Activity Silicon Valley Honolulu Source: Thomson Reuters / PwC / NVCA 2015 = Q1 annualized
  • 35. VC-backed IPO and M&A Valuations Remain Strong Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 35 Facebook, Groupon, Twitter, Zynga Source: Thomson Reuters / PwC / NVCA FB acquisition of WhatsApp for $19.5BN
  • 36. Agenda LP Investments In VC VC Investing Activity Angel, Accelerator & Crowdfunding Exit Activity Conclusions Silicon Valley Honolulu      Page  36  
  • 37. VCs Invested $49B In Portfolio ~$100B In Venture Exits (IPO + M&A) LPs Invested $30B In VCs VCs (Still) Investing More In Startups Than LPs Are Investing Back Into VC Page  37   Sources: NVCA, Thomson Reuters, Cambridge Silicon Valley Honolulu
  • 38. Better Angel & VC Investing Synchronicity Could Improve Startup & Angel Yields Startups and angels are dependent upon subsequent venture funding Angel investing patterns do not appear to influence VC investing patterns –  Angel investing sectors has stayed consistent for 5 years whereas VC investing evolves with market VCs are focused on investing in active exit markets Silicon Valley Honolulu      Page  38  
  • 39. Page 39 Author: Tim Dick General Partner, Startup Capital Ventures –  Boards: PlayFab, SilverTail (acquired by EMC), TuneIn, Adama Materials, TagArray (acquired MXIM) Investor / Founder / CEO: Match.Com (Angel, acquired by IAC), WorldPages.com (Founder, CEO, IPO NYSE:WPZ acquired by BT), TRUSTe.org / Privacy Assured (Internet privacy standard), Accept.com (advisor, acquired by Amazon), Grassroots Enterprise (Founding President, acquired by Edelman), Hawaii Superferry (founding CEO), Dali Wireless (turnaround CEO) Boston Consulting Group – cofounded West Coast technology practice Beckman Instruments: invented first “instrument on a chip” & first ICU usable speech synthesizer for intubated patients MBA, Stanford University, BSEE, University of California