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3 Stocks to Watch Next Week: Cisco, Salesforce, and Wal-Mart

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All three companies are set to report earnings next week.

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3 Stocks to Watch Next Week: Cisco, Salesforce, and Wal-Mart

  1. 1. May 16-20 3 Stocks to Watch Next Week Cisco Systems, Salesforce.com, and Wal-Mart 1
  2. 2. 1) Cisco Systems • The networking hardware company is set to report its fiscal third-quarter results after the market close on Wednesday. • A slump in switching and data center sales during the second quarter due in part to macroeconomic uncertainty could potentially spill into the third quarter. 2 Logo
  3. 3. 1) Cisco Systems Last Quarter • Revenue was flat year over year, but up 2% excluding divestitures. • Non-GAAP EPS jumped 8% year over year to $0.57, driven by a decline in operating costs. • Security sales rose 11% year over year, while data center sales slumped 3%. This Quarter • Cisco expects 1%-4% year-over-year revenue growth, excluding divestitures. • Non-GAAP EPS between $0.54 and $0.56, compared to $0.54 in the prior-year period. • Cisco’s third quarter includes an extra week this year. 3Source: Cisco, Seeking Alpha, and Yahoo Finance
  4. 4. 1) Cisco Systems • Cisco stock has been volatile over the past year, down about 8%. • The company is growing, but macroeconomic uncertainty is causing its enterprise customers to delay purchasing decisions. • The stock remains cheap, trading at less than 9 times fiscal 2015 free cash flow after backing out the company’s net cash. 4
  5. 5. 2) Salesforce.com • The cloud software company is set to report its first-quarter results after the market close on Wednesday. • Shares of Salesforce surged after its second- quarter report thanks to strong revenue and non- GAAP earnings guidance. 5 Logo
  6. 6. 2) Salesforce.com Last Quarter • Revenue rose 25% year over year to $1.81 billion. Revenue increased 27% adjusted for currency. • Non-GAAP EPS of $0.19, up from $0.14 during the prior-year period. GAAP loss of $0.04 per share. • Deferred revenue rose 29% year over year. This Quarter • Salesforce expects revenue between $1.885 billion and $1.895 billion, up 25% year over year. • Non-GAAP EPS expected between $0.23 and $0.24. GAAP EPS expected between $0.00 and $0.01. • Deferred revenue growth of 24% to 25%. 6Source: Salesforce, Seeking Alpha, and Yahoo Finance
  7. 7. 2) Salesforce.com • Salesforce stock is up slightly over the past year following a major recovery since February. • The company continues to grow rapidly despite its size. Revenue is expected to surpass $8 billion in fiscal 2017. • GAAP profitability is still minimal, with stock- based compensation a major factor. 7
  8. 8. 3) Wal-Mart Stores • The retail behemoth is set to report its first-quarter results before the market opens on Thursday. • Heavy investments in higher wages, employee training, and e-commerce will continue to weigh on the company’s profits. • Comparable sales growth in the U.S. has been positive in recent quarters. 8 Logo
  9. 9. 3) Wal-Mart Stores Last Quarter • Revenue declined 1.4% year over year to $129.7 billion. Adjusted for currency, sales rose 2.2%. • Non-GAAP EPS was $1.49, down from $1.61 in the prior-year period. • U.S. comparable sales rose 0.6%, positive for the sixth quarter in a row. This Quarter • Analysts expect revenue to decline by 1.4% year over year. • Wal-Mart expects EPS of $0.80 to $0.95, down from $1.03 in the prior- year period. • U.S. comparable sales expected to grow by about 0.5% year over year. 9Source: Wal-Mart, Seeking Alpha, and Yahoo Finance
  10. 10. 3) Wal-Mart Stores • Wal-Mart stock is down about 16% over the past year. • Full-year earnings are expected to be reduced by $0.30 per share due to investments in wages and training. • The company expects to return to earnings growth in fiscal 2018, but investors are concerned that higher costs won’t translate into higher sales. 10
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