Daily Forex Technical Analysis Report - FEBRUARY 01, 2021
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01 February, 2021
Daily Analysis Report
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
Asian Bulle n: Aussie rises on the back of higher than expected key economic indicators, Asian stock markets in green, gold
up
KeyHeadlines:
· AustraliaAIGmanufacturingindexstandsat55.3vs52.1previousrelease.
· AustraliaMIinfla ongaugestandsat0.2pctvs0.5pctpreviousrelease.
· JapanfinalmanufacturingPMIstandsat49.8vs49.7previousrelease(expected49.8).
· ChinaCaixinmanufacturingPMIstandsat51.5vs53.0previousrelease(expected52.6).
· SouthKoreatradebalancestandsat3.96Bvs6.77Bpreviousrelease.
· PBoCfixesUSD/CNYreferencerateat6.4623(previousfix6.4709,previousclose6.4300).
· ECB's Klaas Knot - Con nuing rise of stock markets worldwide could be the result of growing hopes of economic
recovery,anddoesnotnecessarilymeanthatpricesareoverlyinflated.
· Italy'sRenziwouldlikeex-ECB'sDraghitoheadItalygovernment–Reuters.
· Poli calchaosinMyanmar,militaryseizespower,detainselectedleaderon“elec onfraud”.
· JapanlikelytoextendCOVID–19stateofemergency–Sources.
· India proposes law to ban cryptocurrencies, likely to create official digital currency issued by the RBI.
Economic Data Ahead:
· (0700 GMT/1230 IST) German retail sales, previous 1.9, expected -2.0.
· (0730 GMT/1300 IST) Swiss retail sales, previous 1.7, expected 1.5.
· (0815 GMT/1345 IST) Spain manufacturing PMI, previous 51.0, expected 50.2.
· (0830 GMT/1400 IST) Swiss manufacturing PMI, previous 58.0, expected 56.5.
· (0845 GMT/1415 IST) Italy manufacturing PMI, previous 52.8, expected 52.5.
· (0850 GMT/1420 IST) France manufacturing PMI, previous 51.5, expected 51.5.
· (0855 GMT/1425 IST) German manufacturing PMI, previous 57.0, expected 57.0.
· (0900 GMT/1430 IST) Euro manufacturing PMI, previous 54.7, expected 54.7.
· (0930 GMT/1500 IST) U.K. manufacturing PMI, previous 52.9, expected 52.9.
· (1430 GMT/2000 IST) Canada manufacturing PMI, previous 57.9.
· (1500 GMT/2030 IST) U.S. ISM manufacturing PMI, previous 60.7, expected 60.0.
Economic Events Ahead:
· No key events scheduled for the day.
AUD / USD
BUY SELL
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JANUARY,
2
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21
Technical Summary
Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
H1
RSI (Period=26) Bwlow RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
0.7676
R2 S2
0.7712
R3 S3
0.7776
R4
Commentary
S4
0.7854
Buy Above 0.76707
0.76964
0.76416
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 0.76182
0.75907
0.76552
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
-
Time Frame: H1
The Aussie starts a new week on a positive note ahead of RBA’s interest rate decision due
tomorrow. The pair made intraday high at $0.7654 and low at $0.7605 mark. Here both RSI and
MA confirm the uptrend for the time being. A sustained close below $0.7602 will check key
supports. Alternatively current upside trend will take the parity back above $0.78 mark.
0.7602
0.7590
0.7520
0.7500
BUY SELL
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JANUARY,
2
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21
Technical Summary
Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H1
RSI (Period=26)
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.2128
R2 S2
1.2160
R3 S3
1.2232
R4
Commentary
S4
1.2265
Buy Above 1.21488
1.21739
1.21214
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.21147
1.20909
1.21372
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
-
Time Frame: H1
The euro trades flat ahead of manufacturing PMI results from the euro area and stabilizes above
$1.21 mark. On H1 chart, both RSI and EMA confirm the bullish trend for the time being. The key
range for the parity will be $1.2140 and $1.2074 mark. A successful close of either side on a day
chart will provide outlook in short run.
EUR /USD
1.2074
1.2040
1.2001
1.1922
Above RSI LEVEL 50
BUY SELL
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JANUARY,
2
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Technical Summary
Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H1
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.3740
R2 S2
1.3762
R3 S3
1.3802
R4
Commentary
S4
1.3844
Buy Above 1.37639
1.37996
1.37212
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.37061
1.36758
1.37373
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
-
Time Frame: H1
The pound rises gradually against U.S. dollar and confirms the bullish trend in long run. Both RSI
and EMA support the uptrend. The key boundaries for the parity will be $1.3740 and $1.3675
mark. A sustained close of either side will get further directions to the parity. U.K.’s interest rate
decision is also due to release on Feb 04. It will provide further direction to the parity.
GBP / USD
1.3640
1.3622
1.3600
1.3552
BUY SELL
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JANUARY,
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Technical Summary
Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75A) Below MA
H1
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.2882
R2 S2
1.2902
R3 S3
1.2940
R4
Commentary
S4
1.3009
Buy Above 1.28225
1.28706
1.27723
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.27330
1.26907
1.27715
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
-
Time Frame: H1
The Canadian dollar recovers previous losses against U.S. dollar and slips back below 1.28 mark.
The RSI and EMA suggest the bearish trend in short run. The key event from Canada will be job
results due on Feb 05 to get the further movement.
USD /CAD
1.2780
1.2735
1.2690
1.2630
BUY SELL
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JANUARY,
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Technical Summary
Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H1
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
104.90
R2 S2
105.40
R3 S3
105.94
R4
Commentary
S4
106.50
Buy Above 104.822
105.081
104.552
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 104.484
104.283
104.707
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
-
Time Frame: H1
The Japanese yen erases previous loss against U.S. dollar and trades marginally higher on
Monday. The pair successfully surpasses key resistance at 104.50 mark and stabilizes above it. A
daily close below 104.10 will check key supports. The EMA confirms the bullish trend after
successful crossover above the trend lines
USD /JPY
104.10
103.57
102.90
102.50
BUY SELL
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JANUARY,
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21
Technical Summary
Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H1
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1867
R2 S2
1872
R3 S3
1884
R4
Commentary
S4
1892
Buy Above 1869.57
1883.20
1856.20
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1848.65
1838.05
1860.70
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
-
Time Frame: H1
Gold strengthens on Monday and touches $1,867 mark. The RSI confirms the uptrend on a day
basis but EMA still signals the down trend in short run. Key boundaries for the parity will be
$1,870 and $1,852 mark. A consistent break of either side will provide further directions to the
parity. Important to note here that, Friday’s close and today’s low are same at $1,847 mark. Thus,
a consistent close will only check bearish trend.
XAU [GOLD]
USD
/
1847
1840
1832
1820
Thank
you!
Info@tpglobalfx.com
www.tpglobalfx.com
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