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Daily Analysis-Report-February-26-2021

Daily Analysis-Report-February-26-2021

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Daily Analysis-Report-February-26-2021

  1. 1. +1 7754 366 970 analysis@tpglobalfx.com R E P O R T F R O M : T P G LO B A L F X 26 February, 2021 Daily Analysis Report
  2. 2. +1 7754 366 970 analysis@tpglobalfx.com Asian Bulle n: U.S. dollar strengthens against major peers on strong bond yield prices, Asian stock markets remarkably down, gold hovers around $1,760 mark Key Headlines: • New Zealand trade balance stands at -626M vs 69M previous release (expected -630M). • Japan Tokyo core CPI stands at -0.3 pct vs -0.4 pct previous release (expected -0.4). • Japan prelim industrial produc on stands at 4.2 pct vs -1.0 pct previous release (expected 3.9). • Japan retail sales stands at -2.4 pct vs -0.2 pct previous release (expected -2.6). • Australia private sector credit stands at 0.2 pct vs 0.3 pct previous release (expected 0.3). • Singapore bank lending stands at 683.6B vs 678.7B previous release. • U.S. dollar strengthens against major peers on robust bond yields on the hope for huge fiscal s mulus amid unchanged Fed Monetary Policy. • PBoC Policy Adviser - China’s GDP could grow 8 – 9 pct in 2021 under “usual circumstances”, and by over 15% year-on-year in the first quarter. • South Korea launched its COVID - 19 inocula on campaign today, health workers will be on the priority list to give vaccina on. • Oil prices no ceably lower on expecta ons of more supply will take in place to the market. • Biden disappointed as U.S. Senate excludes his proposal of $15 an hour minimum wage in a $1.9T coronavirus bill. • U.S. President Joe Biden spoke with Saudi Arabia’s King Salman on Thursday, stressing the importance of human rights and vowing to make the rela onship between the two countries stronger and more transparent – Reuters. • Fed's Williams - GDP growth this year could be strongest in decades. • Fed's Williams - Fed will remain commi ed to using our full range of tools to help assure that the recovery will be as robust as possible. • India issues new regulatory rules on Facebook and WhatsApp; decision took place a er Twi er recently ignored Government orders to drop content related to farmers’ protests. • French Prime Minister Jean Castex - Government would impose measures including weekend lockdowns in Paris and 19 other regions from the start of March if signs of the coronavirus accelera ng persist. Economic Data Ahead: • (0700 GMT/1230 IST) German import price, previous 0.6, expected 1.1. • (0745 GMT/1315 IST) France consumer spending, previous 23.0, expected -3.5. • (0745 GMT/1315 IST) France Prelim CPI, previous 0.2, expected -0.3. • (0745 GMT/1315 IST) France Prelim GDP, previous -1.3, expected -1.3. • (0800 GMT/1330 IST) Swiss KOF Economic Barometer, previous 96.5, expected 96.5. • (0800 GMT/1330 IST) Swiss GDP, previous 7.2, expected 0.0. • (0800 GMT/1330 IST) Spain Flash CPI, previous 0.5, expected 0.6. • (1330 GMT/1900 IST) U.S. personal income, previous 0.6, expected 9.4. • (1330 GMT/1900 IST) U.S. personal spending, previous -0.2, expected 2.6. • (1330 GMT/1900 IST) U.S. goods trade balance, previous -82.5B, expected -83.0B. • (1330 GMT/1900 IST) Canada RMPI, previous 3.5, expected 2.9. • (1445 GMT/2015 IST) U.S. Chicago PMI, previous 63.8, expected 61.0. • (1500 GMT/2030 IST) U.S. Revised UoM consumer sen ment, previous 76.2, expected 76.5. • (1500 GMT/2030 IST) U.S. Revised UoM Infla on expecta ons, previous 3.3. Economic Events Ahead: • (1230 GMT/1800 IST) U.K. MPC member Ramsden Speaks. • All Day – G20 Mee ngs. Major FX Pair Trend: USD: The U.S. dollar index that tracks the greenback against a basket of other currencies inched up 0.17% to 90.28 points.
  3. 3. AUD / USD BUY SELL R E P O R T F R O M : T P G LO B A L F X FEBRUARY, 2 021 Technical Summary Trends Down Trend Moving Average (Period=75) Belowe MA H 1 RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50 FIBO Levels PIVOT R1 S1 0.7875 R2 S2 0.7940 R3 S3 0.7967 R4 Commentary S4 0.8056 Buy Above 0.79004 0.79250 0.78740 – Take Profit – Stop Loss Trade Idea Sell Below 0.78233 0.77937 0.78508 – Take Profit – Stop Loss Trade Idea +1 7754 366 970 analysis@tpglobalfx.com - Time Frame: H1 AUD/USD: The Aussie erases previous gain against U.S. dollar and touches $0.7823 mark is Asian hours. In previous session, pair jumped above $0.8000 mark but failed to find support above it. A day chart with triple EMA still suggests bullish trend in long run but on H1 chart, triple EMA confirms bearish trend for the time being. A sustained close above $0.7875 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, current downside movement will check further supports too. 0.7822 0.7799 0.7767 0.7712
  4. 4. BUY SELL R E P O R T F R O M : T P G LO B A L F X Technical Summary H 1 FIBO Levels PIVOT R1 S1 1.2190 R2 S2 1.2242 R3 S3 1.2266 R4 Commentary S4 1.2323 +1 7754 366 970 analysis@tpglobalfx.com - Time Frame: H1 EUR/USD: The euro trades marginally lower on Friday and consolidates around $1.2150 mark. The pair made intraday high at $1.2183 and low at $1.2127 mark. The triple EMA on H1 suggests bearish trend, while a Day chart confirms the bullish trend in long run. The expected range for the parity will be $1.2190 to $1.2084 mark. A sustained close of either side on H1 chart will provide further direction to the parity. EUR / USD 1.2122 1.2084 1.2020 1.1961 FEBRUARY, 2 021 Buy Above 1.21841 1.22070 1.21619 – Take Profit – Stop Loss Trade Idea Sell Below 1.21364 1.21059 1.21749 – Take Profit – Stop Loss Trade Idea Trends Down Trend Moving Average (Period=75) Belowe MA RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
  5. 5. BUY SELL R E P O R T F R O M : T P G LO B A L F X Technical Summary H 1 FIBO Levels PIVOT R1 S1 1.4034 R2 S2 1.4086 R3 S3 1.4120 R4 Commentary S4 1.4168 Buy Above 1.40496 1.40906 1.39911 – Take Profit – Stop Loss Trade Idea Sell Below 1.39462 1.39078 1.39941 – Take Profit – Stop Loss Trade Idea +1 7754 366 970 analysis@tpglobalfx.com - Time Frame: H1 GBP/USD: The sterling weakens sharply on Friday and hovers around $1.3950 mark in Asia hours. The H1 chart with triple EMA confirms the short term trend reversal while a Day chart suggests the bullish trend in long run. The key boundaries for the parity will be $1.39 to $1.4034 mark. A sustained close of either side on H1 chart requires for the further outlook of the parity. USD 1.3900 1.3856 1.3815 1.3750 FEBRUARY, 2 021 GBP/ Trends Down Trend Moving Average (Period=75) Belowe MA RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
  6. 6. BUY SELL R E P O R T F R O M : T P G LO B A L F X Technical Summary Trends Up Trend Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA H 1 RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50 FIBO Levels PIVOT R1 S1 1.2653 R2 S2 1.2684 R3 S3 1.2710 R4 Commentary S4 1.2751 Buy Above 1.26827 1.26644 1.25913 – Take Profit – Stop Loss Trade Idea Sell Below 1.25651 1.25329 1.26002 – Take Profit – Stop Loss Trade Idea +1 7754 366 970 analysis@tpglobalfx.com - Time Frame: H1 USD/CAD: The Canadian dollar falls drastically and breaks key resistance at 1.2610 mark in Asian hours. The pair made intraday high at 1.2649 and low at 1.2587 mark. A day chart still signals a bearish trend for a short run. While triple EMA on H1 suggests up trend for the time being. The expected range of the parity will be 1.2653 to 1.2570 mark. A sustained close of either side on H1 chart requires for the further trend confirmation. USD /CAD 1.2570 1.2522 1.2490 1.2467 FEBRUARY, 2 021
  7. 7. BUY SELL R E P O R T F R O M : T P G LO B A L F X Technical Summary Trends Up Trend Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA H 1 RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50 FIBO Levels PIVOT R1 S1 106.40 R2 S2 106.78 R3 S3 107.22 R4 Commentary S4 107.38 Buy Above 106.304 106.597 105.970 – Take Profit – Stop Loss Trade Idea Sell Below 105.873 105.583 106.188 – Take Profit – Stop Loss Trade Idea +1 7754 366 970 analysis@tpglobalfx.com - Time Frame: H1 USD/JPY: The Japanese yen depreciates in early Asia despite robust industrial production and retail sales data. The day as well as H1 chart with triple EMA suggests bullish trend. A sustained close above 106.40 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a successful break below 105.70 will drag the parity back below 105.00 mark. USD /JPY 105.70 105.22 104.92 104.55 FEBRUARY, 2 021
  8. 8. BUY SELL R E P O R T F R O M : T P G LO B A L F X Technical Summary Trends Down Trend Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA H 1 RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50 FIBO Levels PIVOT R1 S1 1787 R2 S2 1794 R3 S3 1802 R4 Commentary S4 1808 Buy Above 1779.17 1786.03 1769.56 – Take Profit – Stop Loss Trade Idea Sell Below 1762.10 1757.25 1769.80 – Take Profit – Stop Loss Trade Idea +1 7754 366 970 analysis@tpglobalfx.com - Time Frame: H1 XAU/USD (GOLD): Gold weakens extremely and touches $1,765 mark during Asian time. Here a day as well as H1 chart suggests the down trend for the time being. A sustained close below $1,761 on H1 chart requires for the downside rally. Alternatively, reversal from here will take the parity back above $1,800 mark. An immediate resistance is seen at $1,787 mark. A consistent close above $1,787 on a day chart requires for the upside rally. Later today, U.S. has schedule to release many key economic indicators. This may bring high volatility and further direction to the parity. XAU [GOLD] USD / 1761 1754 1747 1740 FEBRUARY, 2 021
  9. 9. Thank you! Info@tpglobalfx.com www.tpglobalfx.com R E P O R T F R O M : T P G L O B A L F X /tpglobalfx /tpglobalfx /tpglobalfx /tpglobalfx that even knowledgeable and well-experienced investors can experience large potential losses as a result of trading in Forex and CFDs. Consequently, investors should be fully aware of all the risks involved when trading Forex and CFDs and accept all the negative consequences associated with such trading. Please always remember that trading in Forex and CFDs might not be suitable for all investors. It is desirable investors who would consider trading, to do so only with money that they can afford to lose. You are also recommended to seek independent financial advice if necessary. The content on this website does not constitute financial or investment advice. Any information herein is of a general nature and does not take into consideration your personal circumstances, investment experience or current financial situation. Apple, the Apple logo, iPod, iPad, iPod touch, and iTunes are trademarks of Apple Inc, registered in the US and other countries. IPhone is a trademark of Apple Inc. App Store is a service mark of Apple Inc. This site is run and operated by – TP Global Services Limited registered by FSA, St. Vincent and the Grenadines with Number 25274 BC 2019 TP Global Services Limited does not offer its services to residents of certain jurisdictions such as USA, and British Columbia. Disclamer: Forex and Contracts for Difference (CFDs) are leveraged products. Trading in these products is highly speculative and involves substantial risk. Please note

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