DAILY ANALYSIS REPORT SEPTEMBER 28 2021

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28 September 2021
Daily Analysis Report

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Asian Bulle n: Aussie remains vola le a er robust retail sales data, Asian stock markets mixed; gold consolidates at $1,750 mark ahead of U.S. Fed Chair Powell’s
tes mony
Key Headlines:
• Australia Retail sales stand at -1.7 pct vs -2.7 pct previous release.
• Fed Chair Powell - The higher prices and hiring difficul es seen as the U.S. economy reopens from the pandemic could prove "more enduring than
an cipated," and the Federal Reserve would move against unchecked infla on if needed.
• The S&P 500 and Nasdaq indexes ended lower on Monday with investors pivo ng to value as tech shares, hurt by rising Treasury yields, weighed on equi es in
the quarter's final week – Reuters.
• Dallas Federal Reserve Bank President Robert Kaplan on Monday said he will leave his job on Oct 8 to eliminate any "distrac on" to the central bank related to
his personal investment ac vi es – Reuters.
• China's most powerful regulators on Friday intensified a crackdown on cryptocurrencies with a blanket ban on all crypto transac ons and mining, hi ng
bitcoin and other major coins and pressuring crypto and blockchain related stocks – Reuters.
• Wall Street ended mixed on Monday as investors began the last week of September and the quarter with a pivot to value as tech shares, hurt by rising
Treasury yields, weighed on the Nasdaq Composite index – Reuters.
• Chilean authori es announced on Monday the end of a state of emergency in force since the start of the coronavirus pandemic, a sign of life returning to
normal following a sharp decrease in cases in the South American na on – Reuters.
• U.S. President Joe Biden rolled up his shirt sleeve and received a COVID-19 vaccine booster inocula on on Monday, hoping to provide a powerful example for
Americans on the need to get the extra shot even as millions go without their first – Reuters.
• South Korea said on Monday it would begin inocula ons next month for children aged 12 to 17 and offer COVID-19 vaccine booster shots to those 75 years
and above as the country starts to transi on to normalcy by the end of October – Reuters.
• The European Union's (EU) drug regulator said on Monday it was evalua ng whether a booster dose of Moderna's COVID-19 vaccine could be given at least six
months a er the second shot of the two-dose course in people over 12 years of age – Reuters.
Economic Data Ahead:
• (0600 GMT/1130 IST) Germany GFK Consumer Climate, previous -1.2, expected -1.6.
• (1230 GMT/1800 IST) U.S. Goods trade balance, previous -86.4B, expected -87.4B.
• (1230 GMT/1800 IST) U.S. Prelim Wholesale Inventories, previous 0.6, expected 0.8.
• (1300 GMT/1830 IST) U.S. HPI, previous 1.6, expected 1.5.
• (1400 GMT/1930 IST) U.S. Richmond Manufacturing Index, previous 9, expected 12.
Economic Events Ahead:
• (1200 GMT/1730 IST) ECB president Lagarde Speaks.
• (1400 GMT/1930 IST) U.S. Fed Chair Powell Tes mony (Source released tes mony text 17 hours earlier than scheduled).
Major FX Pair Trend:
USD: The U.S. dollar index that tracks the greenback against a basket of other currencies inched up 0.10% to 93.48 points.

3. AUD / USD
BUY SELL
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SEPTEMBER,
2021
Technical Summary
Trend Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
0.7290
R2 S2
0.7315
R3 S3
0.7350
R4
Commentary
S4
0.7370
Buy Above 0.7299
0.7324
0.7268
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 0.7260
0.7241
0.7286
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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-
Time Frame: H1
AUD/USD: The Aussie remains volatile after robust retail sales data and hovers around $0.7290
mark. It made intraday high at $0.7289 and low at $0.7265 mark.Aday chart is down and H1 chart with
triple EMA suggests up trend for the time being. A sustained close above $0.7290 on H1 chart
requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below $0.7255 will check further
supports.
0.7255
0.7240
0.7215
0.7180

4. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.1722
R2 S2
1.1755
R3 S3
1.1780
R4
Commentary
S4
1.1806
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-
Time Frame: H1
EUR/USD: The Euro falls gradually against U.S. dollar and slips below $1.1700 mark. ECB President
Lagarde is likely to speak again before the Committee on Economic and Monetary Affairs at 1200
GMT, via satellite. Today pair made intraday high at $1.1697 and low at $1.1685. Today triple EMAon
a day chart and H1 chart suggest bearish trend for the time being. A consistent close above $1.1720
on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a sustained close below $1.1687 on H1 chart
will check further supports.
EUR / USD
1.1680
1.1650
1.1620
1.1600
Buy Above 1.1710
1.1742
1.1680
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.1676
1.1650
1.1701
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
SEPTEMBER,
2021

5. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.3718
R2 S2
1.3750
R3 S3
1.3780
R4
Commentary
S4
1.3815
Buy Above 1.3720
1.3750
1.3687
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.3648
1.3620
1.3676
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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Time Frame: H1
GBP/USD: The sterling trades in stiff boundaries on Tuesday and trading around $1.3700 mark.
Today pair made intraday high at $1.3705 and low at $1.3688 mark.Aday chart is down and H1 chart
with triple EMA suggests slightly bullish trend for the time being. A sustained close above $1.3718 on
H1 chart will check key resistances. Alternatively, a consistent close below $1.3670 will check further
supports.
USD
1.3670
1.3650
1.3620
1.3590
GBP/
Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
SEPTEMBER,
2021

6. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.2636
R2 S2
1.2670
R3 S3
1.2700
R4
Commentary
S4
1.2722
Buy Above 1.2640
1.2677
1.2610
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.2590
1.2567
1.2624
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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Time Frame: H1
USD/CAD: The Canadian dollar rises on Tuesday and trading around 1.2600 mark. The pair made
intraday high at 1.2638 and low at 1.2606 mark. Today a day chart is up and H1 chart with triple EMA
suggests bearish trend for the time being.Asustained close above 1.2636 on H1 chart requires for the
upside rally.Alternatively, a consistent close below 1.2588 on H1 chart will check key supports too.
USD /CAD
1.2588
1.2555
1.2510
1.2490
SEPTEMBER,
2021

7. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trend Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
111.51
R2 S2
111.78
R3 S3
112.02
R4
Commentary
S4
112.34
Buy Above 111.22
111.48
110.86
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 110.78
110.42
111.10
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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Time Frame: H1
USD/JPY: The Japanese yen weakens sharply in early Asia and hits lowest level since July 05. The
pair made intraday high at 111.13 and low at 110.93 mark. The triple EMAon a day chart and H1 chart
suggests bullish trend for the time being. A sustained close above 111.51 on H1 chart requires for the
upside rally.Alternatively, a consistent close below 110.80 on H1 chart will check further key supports
USD /JPY
110.80
110.55
110.37
110.02
SEPTEMBER,
2021

8. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1762
R2 S2
1767
R3 S3
1772
R4
Commentary
S4
1778
Buy Above 1760
1767
1754
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1747
1741
1754
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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-
Time Frame: H1
XAU/USD (GOLD): Gold exhibits range bound movement and consolidates around $1,750 mark.
Today pair made intraday high at $1,754 and low at $1,747 mark. A day chart and H1 chart with triple
EMA suggests bearish trend for the time being. A sustained close above $1,757 on H1 chart requires
for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below $1,748 will check further supports.
Important to note here that today U.S. Fed Chair Powell’s Testimony is scheduled at 1400 GMT.
Source released testimony text 17 hours earlier than scheduled. Once the Text releases, it will create
high volatility to the U.S. dollar against major peers.
XAU [GOLD]
USD
/
1748
1742
1737
1732
SEPTEMBER,
2021

9. Thank
you!
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