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DAILY ANALYSIS REPORT OCTOBER 04 2021
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04 October 2021
Daily Analysis Report
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Asian Bulle n: U.S. dollar trades almost flat against major peers, Asian stock markets in green, gold hovers around $1,760 mark
Key Headlines:
• Australia and China banks will remain close for the day.
• Japan Monetary base stands at 11.7 pct vs 14.9 pct previous release.
• Australia MI infla on gauge stands at 0.3 pct vs 0.0 pct previous release.
• Israel on Sunday piled pressure on its vaccinated ci zens to get a booster shot by making only those who received their third dose of the COVID-19 vaccine
eligible for a "green pass" allowing entry to restaurants, gyms and many other venues – Reuters.
• Australia reported more than 1,900 new infec ons of the Delta coronavirus on Sunday, health data showed, with authori es struggling to quell the outbreak
in the two most populous states and cases spreading to new states – Reuters.
• New Zealand's Delta variant outbreak spread beyond the largest city of Auckland, promp ng Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern on Sunday to put addi onal
regions into a snap lockdown – Reuters.
• Thousands of people demonstrated in the main squares of the Romanian capital on Saturday against new coronavirus restric ons announced by the
government this week to fight a steep rise in infec ons – Reuters.
• China flew more than 30 military planes toward Taiwan on Saturday, the second large display of force in as many days. Taiwan’s Defense Ministry said 39
aircra entered Taiwan’s air defense iden fica on zone in two sor es, one during the day and one at night – Sources.
• Congressional Democrats face the hard work of paring back the White House's sweeping infrastructure and social agenda in the week ahead, but have yet to
agree on a target size for their mul -trillion dollar spending bill – Inves ng.
• U.S. Congressional Democrats have come no closer to agreement on that figure over the weekend – Inves ng.
Economic Data Ahead:
• (0630 GMT/1200 IST) Swiss CPI, previous 0.2, expected 0.2.
• (0630 GMT/1200 IST) Swiss Retail Sales, previous -2.6, expected 0.6.
• (0700 GMT/1230 IST) Spain Unemployment Change, previous -82.6K.
• (0830 GMT/1400 IST) Sen x Investor Confidence, previous 19.6, expected 18.5.
• (1400 GMT/1930 IST) U.S. Factory Orders, previous 0.4, expected 1.1.
Economic Events Ahead:
• All Day – Eurogroup Mee ngs.
• All Day – OPEC JMMC Mee ngs.
Major FX Pair Trend:
USD: The U.S. dollar index that tracks the greenback against a basket of other currencies inched up 0.02% to 94.06 points.
3. AUD / USD
BUY SELL
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OCTOBER,
2021
Technical Summary
Trend Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
0.7280
R2 S2
0.7318
R3 S3
0.7348
R4
Commentary
S4
0.7376
Buy Above 0.7290
0.7315
0.7260
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 0.7241
0.7221
0.7271
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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-
Time Frame: H1
AUD/USD: The Aussie moves in stiff boundaries as Most Australian banks will be closed in
observance of Labor Day. It made intraday high at $0.7282 and low at $0.7251 mark. A day chart is
down and H1 chart with triple EMA suggests up trend for the time being. A sustained close above
$0.7280 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below $0.7250 will
check further supports.
0.7250
0.7215
0.7190
0.7170
4. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.1612
R2 S2
1.1637
R3 S3
1.1665
R4
Commentary
S4
1.1690
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-
Time Frame: H1
EUR/USD: The Euro spiked trades marginally lower on Monday and slips back below $1.1600 mark.
Today pair made intraday high at $1.1613 and low at $1.1590. Today triple EMAon a day chart and H1
chart suggest bearish trend for the time being.Aconsistent close above $1.1612 on H1 chart requires
for the upside rally. Alternatively, a sustained close below $1.1562 on H1 chart will check further
supports.
EUR / USD
1.1562
1.1532
1.1508
1.1480
Buy Above 1.1615
1.1640
1.1580
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.1577
1.1541
1.1605
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
OCTOBER,
2021
5. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.3570
R2 S2
1.3590
R3 S3
1.3628
R4
Commentary
S4
1.3655
Buy Above 1.3558
1.3590
1.3528
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.3522
1.3488
1.3554
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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-
Time Frame: H1
GBP/USD: The sterling starts a new week on a lower note and stabilizes below $1.3550 mark. Today
pair made intraday high at $1.3577 and low at $1.3533 mark. A day chart is down and H1 chart with
triple EMA suggest up trend for the time being. A sustained close above $1.3570 on H1 chart will
check key resistances.Alternatively, a consistent close below $1.3521 will check further supports.
USD
1.3521
1.3490
1.3465
1.3427
GBP/
Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
OCTOBER,
2021
6. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.2648
R2 S2
1.2676
R3 S3
1.2690
R4
Commentary
S4
1.2715
Buy Above 1.2655
1.2685
1.2620
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.2610
1.2577
1.2642
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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-
Time Frame: H1
USD/CAD: The Canadian dollar rises gradually against U.S. dollar and remains well supported below
1.2650 mark. The pair made intraday high at 1.2655 and low at 1.2613 mark. Today a day chart is up
and H1 chart with triple EMA suggests bearish trend for the time being. A sustained close above
1.2648 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below 1.2600 on H1
chart will check key supports too.
USD /CAD
1.2600
1.2580
1.2550
1.2510
OCTOBER,
2021
7. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trend Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
111.25
R2 S2
111.48
R3 S3
111.76
R4
Commentary
S4
111.99
Buy Above 111.25
111.54
110.90
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 110.82
110.57
111.18
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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-
Time Frame: H1
USD/JPY: The Japanese yen trades slightly down on Monday and hovers around 111.00 mark. The
pair made intraday high at 111.05 and low at 110.88 mark. The triple EMAon a day chart is up and H1
chart suggests bearish trend for the time being. A sustained close above 111.25 on H1 chart requires
for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below 110.90 on H1 chart will check further key
supports.
USD /JPY
110.90
110.55
110.40
110.21
OCTOBER,
2021
8. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trend Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1768
R2 S2
1774
R3 S3
1781
R4
Commentary
S4
1787
Buy Above 1765
1771
1758
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1755
1748
1761
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
-
Time Frame: H1
XAU/USD (GOLD): Gold remains volatile on Monday and touches $1,765 mark in opening mark.
Today pair made intraday high at $1,765 and low at $1,757 mark. A day chart is down and H1 chart
with triple EMA suggests up trend for the time being. A sustained close above $1,764 on H1 chart
requires for the upside rally.Alternatively, a consistent close below $1,750 will check further supports.
Later today, U.S. will release Personal income and spending results. U.S. Factory Order data will be in
focus.
XAU [GOLD]
USD
/
1748
1741
1736
1732
OCTOBER,
2021
9. Thank
you!
Info@tpglobalfx.com
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