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DAILY ANALYSIS REPORT APRIL 12 2021
1. Daily Analysis Report
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12 April, 2021
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Asian Bulle n: U.S. dollar trades marginally higher against major peers a er Fed Chair Powell’s comments on U.S. Economic Outlook, Asian stock
markets in red, gold hovers around $1,740 mark
Key Headlines:
• Japan bank lending stands at 6.3 pct vs 6.2 pct previous release.
• Japan PPI stands at 1.0 pct vs -0.6 pct previous release (expected 0.5).
• RBNZ likely to stand pat on Wednesday and will keep the official cash rate unchanged at 0.25 pct – Reuters Poll.
• U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell - The U.S. economy is at an “inflec on point” with expecta ons that growth and hiring will pick up
speed in the months ahead, but also risks if a hasty reopening leads to a con nued increase in coronavirus cases.
• U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell - The base case forecast is for “very strong” job growth in the months ahead, and that it is “in the
range of possibility” for the U.S. to see “quick progress to maximum employment.”
• A survey of U.K.’s Chief Finance Officers - Confidence among big businesses in Britain about their profits in the year ahead has hit a record
high, helped by the country’s coronavirus vaccina ons and hopes for less Brexit disrup on.
• Bank of Greece Governor Yannis Stournaras - Greece’s economy is seen growing by 4.8% in 2022 a er an es mated 4.2% recovery this year.
• Italian Industry Minister Giancarlo Giorge - Talks between Italy and the European Commission over the revamp of Alitalia will enter a key
phase next week.
Economic Data Ahead:
• (0900 GMT/1430 IST) Euro Retail Sales, Previous -5.9, expected 1.3.
• (1800 GMT/2330 IST) U.S. Federal Budget Balance, previous -310.9B, expected -675.5B.
Economic Events Ahead:
• (1300 GMT/1830 IST) U.K. MPC Member Tenreyro speaks.
• (1430 GMT/2000 IST) Canada BoC Business Outlook survey.
Major FX Pair Trend:
USD: The U.S. dollar index that tracks the greenback against a basket of other currencies inched up 0.13% to 92.28 points.
3. AUD /USD
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Time Frame: H1
INDICATORS H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 0.7640 S1 0.7590
Buy Above 0.7640
0.7672
0.7590
0.7580
0.7555
0.7620
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Sell Below
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
R2 0.7672 S2 0.7540
R3 0.7690 S3 0.7522
R4 0.7740 S4 0.7488
Conclusion
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Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
RIS (Period=26) Below RIS LEVEL 50
APRIL,
Commentary
AUD/USD: The Aussie trades marginally lower on Monday and consolidates around
$0.7600 mark. The pair made intraday high at $0.7628 and low at $0.7594 mark. Today
triple EMA with a day chart and H1 chart confirms slightly down trend for the time being.
A sustained close above $0.7640 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively,
a consistent close below $0.7590 will check further supports.
4. EUR / USD
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Time Frame: H1
INDICATORS H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
RIS (Period=26) Below RIS LEVEL 50
R1 1.1922 S1 1.1876
Buy Above 1.1922
1.1950
1.1890
1.1875
1.1840
1.1910
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Sell Below
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
R2 1.1940 S2 1.1840
R3 1.1962 S3 1.1828
R4 1.2004 S4 1.1790
Conclusion
Commentary
EUR/USD: The euro falls gradually against U.S. dollar and slips back below $1.1900
mark. The pair made intraday high at $1.1904 and low at $1.1884. Today triple EMA on
a day chart suggest bearish trend while H1 chart signal slightly up trend for the time
being. A consistent close above $1.1922 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally.
Alternatively, a sustained close below $1.1876 on H1 will check further supports.
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APRIL,
5. GBP /USD
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Time Frame: H1
INDICATORS H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
RIS (Period=26) Below RIS LEVEL 50
R1 1.3710 S1 1.3665
Buy Above 1.3715
1.3740
1.3680
1.3660
1.3640
1.3710
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Sell Below
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
R2 1.3750 S2 1.3648
R3 1.3789 S3 1.3622
R4 1.3840 S4 1.3585
Conclusion
Commentary
GBP/USD: The pound depreciates noticeably on Monday and touches $1.3668 mark in
Asian hours. It is the lowest level since Feb 05, 2021. The pair made intraday high at
$1.3713 and low at $1.3668 mark. A day chart and H1 chart with triple EMA confirm
bearish trend for the time being. A sustained close above $1.3710 on H1 chart requires
for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below $1.3665 will check key
supports too.
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APRIL,
6. USD /CAD
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Time Frame: H1
INDICATORS H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
RIS (Period=26) Above RIS LEVEL 50
R1 1.2580 S1 1.2520
Buy Above 1.2580
1.2610
1.2550
1.2520
1.2500
1.2550
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Sell Below
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
R2 1.2610 S2 1.2500
R3 1.2640 S3 1.2468
R4 1.2690 S4 1.2450
Conclusion
Commentary
USD/CAD: The Canadian dollar starts a new week on a lower note ahead of BOC’s
business outlook survey and hovers around 1.2550 mark in Asian hours. A day chart and
H1 Chart confirm bearish trend for the time being. A sustained close above 1.2580 on
H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below 1.2520 will
check key supports too.
Trends Up Trend
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APRIL,
7. USD /JPY
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Time Frame: H1
INDICATORS H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
RIS (Period=26) Below RIS LEVEL 50
R1 109.76 S1 109.24
Buy Above 109.76
110.00
109.40
109.20
109.00
109.52
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Sell Below
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
R2 109.90 S2 109.00
R3 110.22 S3 108.62
R4 110.70 S4 108.40
Conclusion
Commentary
USD/JPY: The Japanese yen strengthens in early Asia on robust PPI results. The pair
made intraday high at 109.77 and low at 109.47 mark. The triple EMA on a day chart
and H1 chart confirm up trend for the time being. Important to note here that, H1 chart
likely to give successful crossover for the bearish trend confirmation. A sustained close
above 109.90 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close
below 109.24 on H1 will check key supports.
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8. XAU /USD
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Time Frame: H1
INDICATORS H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
RIS (Period=26) Below RIS LEVEL 50
R1 1748 S1 1732
Buy Above 1743
1748
1732
1735
1728
1742
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Sell Below
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
R2 1754 S2 1728
R3 1762 S3 1722
R4 1767 S4 1715
Conclusion
Commentary
XAU/USD (GOLD): The gold weakens on Monday and stabilizes below $1,740 mark.
Pair made intraday high at $1,744 and low $1,735 mark. A day chart and H1 chart with
triple EMA confirm bearish trend for the time being. A sustained close above $1,742 on
H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below $1,732 will
check further supports. Today’s U.S. session is almost empty, and thus gold likely to be
volatile during U.S. session. Just be attentive.
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9. Thank
you!
Info@tpglobalfx.com
www.tpglobalfx.com
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