Driving Productivity Growth: The Importance of Firm-Specific Knowledge Assets

Driving Productivity Growth:
The Importance of Firm-Specific Knowledge Assets
Rebecca Riley
National Instituteof Economic and Social Research & LLAKES
OECD GlobalForum on Productivity
UK Workshop, HMTreasury,London
14 October 2016
Disclaimer:
This work contains statistical data which is Crown Copyright; it has been made available by the Office for National Statistics (ONS)
through the Secure Data Service (SDS) and has been used by permission. Neither the ONS nor the SDS bear any responsibility for the
analysis or interpretation of the data reported here. This work uses research datasets which may not exactly reproduce National
Statistics aggregates.
The financial support of the Economic and Social Research Council (ESRC) is gratefully acknowledged. The work was part of the
programme of the Centre for Learning and Life Chances in Knowledge Economies and Societies (LLAKES), an ESRC-funded Research
Centre – grant reference ES/J019135/1.
Growth in the knowledge economy
• Sustained increases in the demand and supply of skilled labour
– Technology
• New technology - skill complementarity (Goldin & Katz, 1998)
• Displacement of routine tasks (Manning & Goos, 2003; Autor, Levy, Murnane, 2003)
– Globalisation
• Tradewith labour intensive markets (Autor, Dorn, Hanson, 2013)
– Rapid expansionof higher education
• Skills matter for productivity
– Labourquality directly influences productivity
– As well as via spillovers/knowledgediffusion
• And the output of skilled labour has “investment” properties
– Intangiblesseen as the “missing input” in the knowledge economy
• Stems fromthe ICT-growth literature(O’Mahony & van Ark, 2003)
• Growing recognition of the importance of management and organisation (Black and Lynch,
2001; Basu et al, 2003; Bloomet al, 2007 )
• R&D literature
How much do intangibles matter?
• Macro studies have looked at intangibles in the national accounting
framework (Corrado et al, 2005; Giorgio Marrano et al, 2009; Haskel
et al, 2011)
– Economic competencies, Innovative property, Computerized information
– Treated as intermediates
– Need to be capitalised
• Magnitudes
– Evidence for the US: Corrado et al (2009) estimate around $800 billion are missing from
US GDP
– Evidence for Europe: Taking a relatively broad definition, estimates range from 7-12 per
cent of GDP over the 1990s and early 2000s (Roth and Thum, 2010)
– Evidence for the UK:
• Giorgio Marrano et al (2009) find GVA in market sectors is understated to the tune of around 6
per cent in 1970, increasing to 13 per cent by 2004.
• Haskel et al (2011) find investments in intangibles to be as important as tangibles in the 1990s
and MORE importantfrom2000 onwards.
• Dal Borgo et al (2013) analysing input-outtables suggestorganisationalinvestmentaccounts
for morethan half of UK intangible investment(mostly management & training).
More to learn from looking at firms’
use of intangibles
• Develop new data on firms’ knowledge assets
– Based on similar methods to those used in the recent macroeconomic
literatureon intangibles
– Providing a bottom-up approachto evaluatingpotentialmagnitudes and
patterns in intangibleinvestmentand capital
– Facilitatingnew analysis
• Study the role of knowledge assets in driving growth
– Within the unifying framework of the macroeconomic intangiblesliterature
– But at a more disaggregate level
– Within regression analysisframeworks
Measuring firms’ investments in intangibles
• Evaluate firms’ expenditures on intangibles:
– Using information on firms’ purchases of intangibles
– And costs of workers undertaking “intangible” tasks
– Evaluate investment share
• using common assumptions in the literature
– Capitalise investment flow (PIM)
• using depreciation rates in the literature
• Data sources:
– Annual Respondents Database
– Annual Survey of Hours and Earnings
Occupations involved in the
production of knowledge assets
• Digitised Information
– ICT professionals& managers
• Intellectual Property
– Natural& SocialScience professionals & managers
– Architects, Engineering professionals, Business research professionals
– Highly skilled artistic workers, designers
• Organisational Capital (Economic Competencies)
– HRM: human resources managers and directors, vocational
and industrialtrainers
– BRAND: sales, marketing, advertising & public relationsmanagers
– MANAGEMENT: chief executive and senior officials, production&
operationsdepartment managers
For related , but broader, occupational classifications of occupations involved in the production of intangibles see FP7 INNODRIVE and
Riley and Robinson (2011) Skills and Economic Performance: The Impact of Intangible Assets on UK Productivity Growth, UK Commission
for Employment and Skills.
Key assumptions
Intangibles Data description Source Investment Depreciation
share rate
Digitised information
Own account Labour costs of IToccupations ASHE/ARD 0.50 0.33
Purchased Investment in Software ARD 1.00 0.33
Intellectual property (OA) Labour costs of R&D occupations ASHE/ARD 1.00 0.20
Organisational
Brand
Own account Labour costs of sales occupations ASHE/ARD 0.40 0.55
Purchased Purchases of Advertising Services ARD 0.60 0.55
Management (OA) Labour costs of manager occupations ASHE/ARD 0.20 0.40
HRM (OA) Labour costs of HR occupations ASHE/ARD 0.20 0.40
Depreciation rates and investment shares based on assumptions in Corrado, Hulten & Sichel (2005, 2006), Giorgio
Marrano, Haskel & Wallis (2009), Görzig,Piekkola& Riley (2011), Corrado, Haskel, Jona-Lasinio & Iommi (2012).
Occupations, qualifications &
experience
Potential
Experience % with Highest Educational Qualification
IntangibleOccupations (years) Higher
Degree Education GCE, A-level Other
Digitised information 19 62% 10% 15% 13%
Intellectual property 21 63% 14% 13% 10%
Organisational
Brand 22 53% 10% 17% 20%
Management 26 35% 12% 22% 31%
Other Occupations 24 26% 10% 24% 40%
Source: Labour Force Survey,Apr-Jun 2012; Authors' calculations
Note: Potential experience=Age-Age leftcontinuous full-time education.
Broad sectors
• High tech manufacturing
– chemicals, computers, electrical machinery & communicationsequipment,
non-electricalmachinery, precision instruments, motor vehicles & other
transport equipment
• Low (medium) tech manufacturing
– petroleum refinery, rubber & plastic products, non-metalmineral products,
non-ferrous metals, fabricatedmetals, manufacturingnec, recycling
• Knowledge intensive services
– Post & telecommunications;computers & related activities;R&D; water & air
transport; renting of machinery & equipment;other business activities;
recreational,cultural& sporting activities
• Other services
– wholesale & retailtrade, hotels& restaurants, landtransport, supporting
transport activities,sewage & refuse, activities of membership organisations,
other services
Based on Eurostatdefinitions
Intangible investment by sector
(share of GVA, average 2000-2012)
0
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.1
0.12
0.14
0.16
MF High Tech MF Other SERV Knowledge
Intensive
SERV Other
Tangible
Intangible
Source: ARD and ASHE; NIESR LLAKES research – preliminary results
Intangible investment by sector
(change in share of GVA between 2001-2005 and 2006-2010)
-0.03
-0.025
-0.02
-0.015
-0.01
-0.005
0
0.005
0.01
MF High Tech MF Other SERV Knowledge
Intensive
SERV Other
Tangible
Intangible
Source: ARD and ASHE; NIESR LLAKES research – preliminary results
Intangible investment by sector and type
(share of GVA, average 2000-2012)
Source: ARD and ASHE; NIESR LLAKES research – preliminary results
Note: No account of purchased intellectual property or management here or elsewhere in this presentation.
Manufacturing Services
High Tech Other KnowledgeIntensive Other
Digitised Information 0.015 0.008 0.037 0.012
Intellectual Property (OA) 0.065 0.027 0.046 0.010
Brand 0.035 0.038 0.043 0.045
Management (OA) 0.016 0.016 0.017 0.020
All Intangibles 0.130 0.089 0.142 0.088
Production function coefficients
(very large firms)
Manufacturing Services
High-tech Other Knowledge intensive Other
Employment 0.625 *** 0.431 *** 0.637 *** 0.795 ***
Physical capital 0.056 0.248 ** 0.022 0.146 ***
Digitised information 0.076 *** -0.032 0.071 ** 0.03
Intellectual property 0.044 * 0.027 -0.025 0.005
Brand -0.018 0.129 ** 0.006 0.061 *
Management 0.073 *** 0.019 0.041 ** -0.025
HRM 0.015 0.048 ** 0.002 0.002
Observations 394 435 1078 2007
Source:Annual Respondents Database and Annual Surveyof Hours andEarnings;Machinery&Equipment capital stocks made available byRichardHarris; NIESR LLAKES
research – preliminaryresults.
Notes:Large firm sample; 1998-2012;manufacturing & business services excl. finance; tangibles include machinery& equipment;firms witha minimumof 4 observations;
GMM systemestimation;DPV is log GVA.
Firms, intangible assets and productivity
• Clear role for intangibleassets in explainingfirms’ productivityperformance
• Potentiallyat least as importantas physicalcapitalin determining growth
– particularlyin knowledge intensivesectors
• Organisationalcapitalis importantin all sectors
– possiblymore importantin low-skill sectors,depending on asset type
– difficult to disentangle individual components
– and matters fordecisions to invest in innovation
• Digitised information more important in the skill-intensive/high-techsectors
– IT/Skill complementarity
• Intellectualproperty (own account) mainlyimportant in high-tech manufacturing
• Heterogeneity in links to productivity(across sectors/types of firm)
• Complexlinkages
1 von 14

Más contenido relacionado

Was ist angesagt?(20)

Christina TimiliotisChristina Timiliotis
Christina Timiliotis
Structuralpolicyanalysis1.3K views
Inclusive innovation Ecosystems in the digital economyInclusive innovation Ecosystems in the digital economy
Inclusive innovation Ecosystems in the digital economy
enterpriseresearchcentre3.1K views
The Human Side of Productivity Setting the SceneThe Human Side of Productivity Setting the Scene
The Human Side of Productivity Setting the Scene
Structuralpolicyanalysis866 views
From Innovation to ProductivityFrom Innovation to Productivity
From Innovation to Productivity
Structuralpolicyanalysis1K views
Integrated Data for Policy: A view from New ZealandIntegrated Data for Policy: A view from New Zealand
Integrated Data for Policy: A view from New Zealand
Structuralpolicyanalysis799 views
State of Small Business Britain conference 2019State of Small Business Britain conference 2019
State of Small Business Britain conference 2019
enterpriseresearchcentre2K views
Productivity Dynamics over the Medium TermProductivity Dynamics over the Medium Term
Productivity Dynamics over the Medium Term
Structuralpolicyanalysis1.1K views
Productivity and structural reformsProductivity and structural reforms
Productivity and structural reforms
Structuralpolicyanalysis500 views
Alex ChernoffAlex Chernoff
Alex Chernoff
Structuralpolicyanalysis1.3K views

Destacado(20)

Transforming education through dataTransforming education through data
Transforming education through data
Structuralpolicyanalysis395 views
Opening remarks, Catherine MannOpening remarks, Catherine Mann
Opening remarks, Catherine Mann
Structuralpolicyanalysis2.4K views
OικοκώδικαςOικοκώδικας
Oικοκώδικας
TINA MANTIKOU455 views
ForestForest
Forest
TINA MANTIKOU395 views
Fys group picture analysisFys group picture analysis
Fys group picture analysis
strymoosa252 views
Ielts Classes @ InstagyanIelts Classes @ Instagyan
Ielts Classes @ Instagyan
Instagyan Education288 views

Similar a Driving Productivity Growth: The Importance of Firm-Specific Knowledge Assets(20)

Israel IT market 2014 V2Israel IT market 2014 V2
Israel IT market 2014 V2
Dr. Jimmy Schwarzkopf3.9K views
STKI IT market in Israel v2 (downloadable)STKI IT market in Israel v2 (downloadable)
STKI IT market in Israel v2 (downloadable)
Dr. Jimmy Schwarzkopf3K views
STKI Israeli IT Market 2013STKI Israeli IT Market 2013
STKI Israeli IT Market 2013
Dr. Jimmy Schwarzkopf4.4K views
2015 innovation strategy ppt2015 innovation strategy ppt
2015 innovation strategy ppt
innovationoecd29.2K views
STKI Israeli IT  market study 2016 V2STKI Israeli IT  market study 2016 V2
STKI Israeli IT market study 2016 V2
Dr. Jimmy Schwarzkopf6.8K views
Michael Page Technology Road Ahead PresentationMichael Page Technology Road Ahead Presentation
Michael Page Technology Road Ahead Presentation
Michael Page Australia553 views
Session 4 a daniel kerSession 4 a daniel ker
Session 4 a daniel ker
IARIW 2014186 views
Public Sector Productivity ChallengesPublic Sector Productivity Challenges
Public Sector Productivity Challenges
Structuralpolicyanalysis1.7K views

Más de Structuralpolicyanalysis(20)

Wrap-up and way forwardWrap-up and way forward
Wrap-up and way forward
Structuralpolicyanalysis907 views
Closing remarksClosing remarks
Closing remarks
Structuralpolicyanalysis876 views
Changing Patterns of Market Power and ContestabilityChanging Patterns of Market Power and Contestability
Changing Patterns of Market Power and Contestability
Structuralpolicyanalysis897 views
Rent sharing across Production networkRent sharing across Production network
Rent sharing across Production network
Structuralpolicyanalysis851 views
Chiara CriscuoloChiara Criscuolo
Chiara Criscuolo
Structuralpolicyanalysis438 views
Misato SatoMisato Sato
Misato Sato
Structuralpolicyanalysis248 views

Último

DDKT-Munich.pdfDDKT-Munich.pdf
DDKT-Munich.pdfGRAPE
6 views49 Folien
score 10000.pdfscore 10000.pdf
score 10000.pdfsadimd007
6 views1 Folie
DDKT-SAET.pdfDDKT-SAET.pdf
DDKT-SAET.pdfGRAPE
26 views23 Folien
Slides.pdfSlides.pdf
Slides.pdfGRAPE
12 views160 Folien

Último(20)

DDKT-Munich.pdfDDKT-Munich.pdf
DDKT-Munich.pdf
GRAPE6 views
score 10000.pdfscore 10000.pdf
score 10000.pdf
sadimd0076 views
Lion One Presentation MIF November 2023Lion One Presentation MIF November 2023
Lion One Presentation MIF November 2023
Adnet Communications556 views
DDKT-SAET.pdfDDKT-SAET.pdf
DDKT-SAET.pdf
GRAPE26 views
Slides.pdfSlides.pdf
Slides.pdf
GRAPE12 views
Stock Market Brief Deck 1121.pdfStock Market Brief Deck 1121.pdf
Stock Market Brief Deck 1121.pdf
Michael Silva67 views
Motivation TheoryMotivation Theory
Motivation Theory
lamluanvan.net Viết thuê luận văn5 views
MEMU Nov 2023 En.pdfMEMU Nov 2023 En.pdf
MEMU Nov 2023 En.pdf
Інститут економічних досліджень та політичних консультацій56 views
DDKT-SummerWorkshop.pdfDDKT-SummerWorkshop.pdf
DDKT-SummerWorkshop.pdf
GRAPE14 views
Economic Capsule - November 2023Economic Capsule - November 2023
Economic Capsule - November 2023
Commercial Bank of Ceylon PLC19 views
DDKT-Southern.pdfDDKT-Southern.pdf
DDKT-Southern.pdf
GRAPE14 views
Stock Market Brief Deck 1124.pdfStock Market Brief Deck 1124.pdf
Stock Market Brief Deck 1124.pdf
Michael Silva54 views
MATRIX.pptxMATRIX.pptx
MATRIX.pptx
baijup414 views
Market Efficiency.pptxMarket Efficiency.pptx
Market Efficiency.pptx
Ravindra Nath Shukla20 views

Driving Productivity Growth: The Importance of Firm-Specific Knowledge Assets

  • 1. Driving Productivity Growth: The Importance of Firm-Specific Knowledge Assets Rebecca Riley National Instituteof Economic and Social Research & LLAKES OECD GlobalForum on Productivity UK Workshop, HMTreasury,London 14 October 2016 Disclaimer: This work contains statistical data which is Crown Copyright; it has been made available by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) through the Secure Data Service (SDS) and has been used by permission. Neither the ONS nor the SDS bear any responsibility for the analysis or interpretation of the data reported here. This work uses research datasets which may not exactly reproduce National Statistics aggregates. The financial support of the Economic and Social Research Council (ESRC) is gratefully acknowledged. The work was part of the programme of the Centre for Learning and Life Chances in Knowledge Economies and Societies (LLAKES), an ESRC-funded Research Centre – grant reference ES/J019135/1.
  • 2. Growth in the knowledge economy • Sustained increases in the demand and supply of skilled labour – Technology • New technology - skill complementarity (Goldin & Katz, 1998) • Displacement of routine tasks (Manning & Goos, 2003; Autor, Levy, Murnane, 2003) – Globalisation • Tradewith labour intensive markets (Autor, Dorn, Hanson, 2013) – Rapid expansionof higher education • Skills matter for productivity – Labourquality directly influences productivity – As well as via spillovers/knowledgediffusion • And the output of skilled labour has “investment” properties – Intangiblesseen as the “missing input” in the knowledge economy • Stems fromthe ICT-growth literature(O’Mahony & van Ark, 2003) • Growing recognition of the importance of management and organisation (Black and Lynch, 2001; Basu et al, 2003; Bloomet al, 2007 ) • R&D literature
  • 3. How much do intangibles matter? • Macro studies have looked at intangibles in the national accounting framework (Corrado et al, 2005; Giorgio Marrano et al, 2009; Haskel et al, 2011) – Economic competencies, Innovative property, Computerized information – Treated as intermediates – Need to be capitalised • Magnitudes – Evidence for the US: Corrado et al (2009) estimate around $800 billion are missing from US GDP – Evidence for Europe: Taking a relatively broad definition, estimates range from 7-12 per cent of GDP over the 1990s and early 2000s (Roth and Thum, 2010) – Evidence for the UK: • Giorgio Marrano et al (2009) find GVA in market sectors is understated to the tune of around 6 per cent in 1970, increasing to 13 per cent by 2004. • Haskel et al (2011) find investments in intangibles to be as important as tangibles in the 1990s and MORE importantfrom2000 onwards. • Dal Borgo et al (2013) analysing input-outtables suggestorganisationalinvestmentaccounts for morethan half of UK intangible investment(mostly management & training).
  • 4. More to learn from looking at firms’ use of intangibles • Develop new data on firms’ knowledge assets – Based on similar methods to those used in the recent macroeconomic literatureon intangibles – Providing a bottom-up approachto evaluatingpotentialmagnitudes and patterns in intangibleinvestmentand capital – Facilitatingnew analysis • Study the role of knowledge assets in driving growth – Within the unifying framework of the macroeconomic intangiblesliterature – But at a more disaggregate level – Within regression analysisframeworks
  • 5. Measuring firms’ investments in intangibles • Evaluate firms’ expenditures on intangibles: – Using information on firms’ purchases of intangibles – And costs of workers undertaking “intangible” tasks – Evaluate investment share • using common assumptions in the literature – Capitalise investment flow (PIM) • using depreciation rates in the literature • Data sources: – Annual Respondents Database – Annual Survey of Hours and Earnings
  • 6. Occupations involved in the production of knowledge assets • Digitised Information – ICT professionals& managers • Intellectual Property – Natural& SocialScience professionals & managers – Architects, Engineering professionals, Business research professionals – Highly skilled artistic workers, designers • Organisational Capital (Economic Competencies) – HRM: human resources managers and directors, vocational and industrialtrainers – BRAND: sales, marketing, advertising & public relationsmanagers – MANAGEMENT: chief executive and senior officials, production& operationsdepartment managers For related , but broader, occupational classifications of occupations involved in the production of intangibles see FP7 INNODRIVE and Riley and Robinson (2011) Skills and Economic Performance: The Impact of Intangible Assets on UK Productivity Growth, UK Commission for Employment and Skills.
  • 7. Key assumptions Intangibles Data description Source Investment Depreciation share rate Digitised information Own account Labour costs of IToccupations ASHE/ARD 0.50 0.33 Purchased Investment in Software ARD 1.00 0.33 Intellectual property (OA) Labour costs of R&D occupations ASHE/ARD 1.00 0.20 Organisational Brand Own account Labour costs of sales occupations ASHE/ARD 0.40 0.55 Purchased Purchases of Advertising Services ARD 0.60 0.55 Management (OA) Labour costs of manager occupations ASHE/ARD 0.20 0.40 HRM (OA) Labour costs of HR occupations ASHE/ARD 0.20 0.40 Depreciation rates and investment shares based on assumptions in Corrado, Hulten & Sichel (2005, 2006), Giorgio Marrano, Haskel & Wallis (2009), Görzig,Piekkola& Riley (2011), Corrado, Haskel, Jona-Lasinio & Iommi (2012).
  • 8. Occupations, qualifications & experience Potential Experience % with Highest Educational Qualification IntangibleOccupations (years) Higher Degree Education GCE, A-level Other Digitised information 19 62% 10% 15% 13% Intellectual property 21 63% 14% 13% 10% Organisational Brand 22 53% 10% 17% 20% Management 26 35% 12% 22% 31% Other Occupations 24 26% 10% 24% 40% Source: Labour Force Survey,Apr-Jun 2012; Authors' calculations Note: Potential experience=Age-Age leftcontinuous full-time education.
  • 9. Broad sectors • High tech manufacturing – chemicals, computers, electrical machinery & communicationsequipment, non-electricalmachinery, precision instruments, motor vehicles & other transport equipment • Low (medium) tech manufacturing – petroleum refinery, rubber & plastic products, non-metalmineral products, non-ferrous metals, fabricatedmetals, manufacturingnec, recycling • Knowledge intensive services – Post & telecommunications;computers & related activities;R&D; water & air transport; renting of machinery & equipment;other business activities; recreational,cultural& sporting activities • Other services – wholesale & retailtrade, hotels& restaurants, landtransport, supporting transport activities,sewage & refuse, activities of membership organisations, other services Based on Eurostatdefinitions
  • 10. Intangible investment by sector (share of GVA, average 2000-2012) 0 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.1 0.12 0.14 0.16 MF High Tech MF Other SERV Knowledge Intensive SERV Other Tangible Intangible Source: ARD and ASHE; NIESR LLAKES research – preliminary results
  • 11. Intangible investment by sector (change in share of GVA between 2001-2005 and 2006-2010) -0.03 -0.025 -0.02 -0.015 -0.01 -0.005 0 0.005 0.01 MF High Tech MF Other SERV Knowledge Intensive SERV Other Tangible Intangible Source: ARD and ASHE; NIESR LLAKES research – preliminary results
  • 12. Intangible investment by sector and type (share of GVA, average 2000-2012) Source: ARD and ASHE; NIESR LLAKES research – preliminary results Note: No account of purchased intellectual property or management here or elsewhere in this presentation. Manufacturing Services High Tech Other KnowledgeIntensive Other Digitised Information 0.015 0.008 0.037 0.012 Intellectual Property (OA) 0.065 0.027 0.046 0.010 Brand 0.035 0.038 0.043 0.045 Management (OA) 0.016 0.016 0.017 0.020 All Intangibles 0.130 0.089 0.142 0.088
  • 13. Production function coefficients (very large firms) Manufacturing Services High-tech Other Knowledge intensive Other Employment 0.625 *** 0.431 *** 0.637 *** 0.795 *** Physical capital 0.056 0.248 ** 0.022 0.146 *** Digitised information 0.076 *** -0.032 0.071 ** 0.03 Intellectual property 0.044 * 0.027 -0.025 0.005 Brand -0.018 0.129 ** 0.006 0.061 * Management 0.073 *** 0.019 0.041 ** -0.025 HRM 0.015 0.048 ** 0.002 0.002 Observations 394 435 1078 2007 Source:Annual Respondents Database and Annual Surveyof Hours andEarnings;Machinery&Equipment capital stocks made available byRichardHarris; NIESR LLAKES research – preliminaryresults. Notes:Large firm sample; 1998-2012;manufacturing & business services excl. finance; tangibles include machinery& equipment;firms witha minimumof 4 observations; GMM systemestimation;DPV is log GVA.
  • 14. Firms, intangible assets and productivity • Clear role for intangibleassets in explainingfirms’ productivityperformance • Potentiallyat least as importantas physicalcapitalin determining growth – particularlyin knowledge intensivesectors • Organisationalcapitalis importantin all sectors – possiblymore importantin low-skill sectors,depending on asset type – difficult to disentangle individual components – and matters fordecisions to invest in innovation • Digitised information more important in the skill-intensive/high-techsectors – IT/Skill complementarity • Intellectualproperty (own account) mainlyimportant in high-tech manufacturing • Heterogeneity in links to productivity(across sectors/types of firm) • Complexlinkages