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Enrollment Management Trends Report | 2012
A snapshot of the 2011 ACT-tested high school graduates
ACT is an independent, not-for-profit organization that provides
   assessment, research, information, and program management services
       in the broad areas of education and workforce development. Each
   year, we serve millions of people in high schools, colleges, professional
      associations, businesses, and government agencies, nationally and
   internationally. Though designed to meet a wide array of needs, all ACT
       programs and services have one guiding purpose—helping people
                          achieve education and workplace success.




                                A copy of this report can be found at

                                  www.act.org/emtrends




© 2012 by ACT, Inc. All rights reserved. The ACT® is a registered trademark of ACT, Inc., in the U.S.A. and other countries.
The ACT National Curriculum Survey® is a registered trademark of ACT, Inc., in the U.S.A.
The SAT® exam is a registered trademark of the College Board.                                                                  18256
Enrollment Management Trends Report
ACT created the Enrollment Management Trends Report                             graduates once they get to college or to work and how they
to provide enrollment managers and other college                                can maximize success—based on their preparation from
administrators with information about students’ patterns                        kindergarten through high school. This unique information is
during the college choice process of the 2011 high school                       an invaluable resource as ACT works closely with states,
graduates who took the ACT® test.                                               school districts, and postsecondary institutions to transform
More than 1.6 million students—roughly half of the                              them into a better-aligned P–16 education system.
graduating class of 2011—took the ACT during high school.
                                                                                Sources of Information
Of these students, a little more than 70% enrolled in college
the following fall. This report covers such topics as the                       Unless otherwise noted, all information in this report comes
students’ migration patterns, the time in which they first took                 from the ACT-tested high school graduating class of 2011.
the ACT, their participation in ACT’s Educational Opportunity                   Information in this report—such as the students’
Service (EOS), and their score-sending behavior.                                background characteristics, time of testing, ACT scores,
                                                                                college preferences, participation in EOS, and college
Our Unique Added Value                                                          choices—is collected when students register for and take
ACT has been measuring the academic achievement of                              the ACT. Enrollment information for the ACT-tested
11th- and 12th-grade students since 1959, their career                          graduating class comes from the National Student
aspirations since 1969, and their academic preparation in                       Clearinghouse (NSC) and is supplemented by enrollment
high school since 1985. Since 1996, and every three to five                     information from ACT’s Class Profile Service.1
years thereafter, ACT surveys thousands of high school and
college educators to pinpoint the knowledge and skills                          ACT believes that the information provided in this report will
needed for first-year college coursework.                                       give institutions insight into their current enrollment
                                                                                management practices and offer effective strategies for
ACT is the only organization with decades of empirical
                                                                                improvement.
information showing exactly what happens to high school



Percent of High School Graduating Class Taking the ACT,                                          •	 Between 2002 and 2011, the number of
                                                                                                    high school graduates who took the ACT
2002–2011
                                                                                                    increased by 45%, from 1,116,082 to
               100!                                                                                 1,623,112.
                                                                                                 •	 As a share of all high school graduates,
                80!                                                                                 students who took the ACT increased by
                                                                                                    10 percentage points, from 39% in 2002 to
                                                                                                    49% in 2011.
                60!
    Percent!




                                                                        45!   47!   49!          •	 The upward trend in ACT participation is
                                                         42!      43!
                       39!   40!   40!   40!     40!                                                due in part to (1) a number of new states
                40!
                                                                                                    (KY, MI, TN, and WY) administering the
                                                                                                    ACT to all 11th graders, and (2)
                20!                                                                                 participation increases in large states such
                                                                                                    as California, Florida, New York, and
                                                                                                    Texas. As ACT participation rates have
                 0!
                      2002! 2003! 2004! 2005! 2006! 2007! 2008! 2009! 2010! 2011!                   increased, the pool of ACT-tested students
                                               Graduating Year!                                     has become more representative of the
                                                                                                    nation’s high school graduates.
Graph reads: 49% of the high school graduating class of 2011 took the ACT.


1
 More than 3,300 colleges participate in the NSC, and these institutions enroll more than 96% of all undergraduates in the United States. Given this broad
coverage, we make the assumption in this report that students not identified by the NSC or by ACT did not enroll in college; however, it is possible that
some of these students attended a postsecondary institution that does not currently participate in the NSC or in ACT’s Class Profile Service.



                                                                                                          Enrollment Management Trends Report 3
College Readiness Benchmark Attainment
 The ACT College Readiness Benchmarks are the minimum                     College Course             ACT Subject Test* ACT Benchmark
 English, reading, mathematics, and science scores                        English Composition        English                              18
 required for students to have a 50% chance of obtaining                  Social Sciences            Reading                              21
 a B or higher or about a 75% chance of obtaining a C or                  College Algebra            Mathematics                          22
 higher in the corresponding credit-bearing college course.               Biology                    Science                              24
                                                                         * ACT Subject Test scores range from 1 to 36.


More than 1.6 million students of the       Percent of ACT-Tested High School Graduates by Number of
high school graduating class of 2011
                                            ACT College Readiness Benchmarks Attained, 2011
took the ACT during high school.
•	 Seventy-two percent of these                                                                                  245,604
   students met at least 1 of the 4                                                               Met 1
   College Readiness Benchmarks.                              458,399                           Benchmark!
                                                                                                   15%!
                                                                                Met No
•	 There are far too many students—                                           Benchmarks!                                278,528
   28%—who met none of the College                                               28%!                    Met 2
   Readiness Benchmarks. ACT                                                                          Benchmarks!
                                                                                                         17%!
   research shows that these students
   are less likely to enroll in college,                                         Met All 4           Met 3
   persist over time, and complete a                                            Benchmarks!       Benchmarks!
   degree program within 6 years.                             397,712              25%!              15%!
                                                                                                                   242,869



                                            Graph reads: In 2011, 25% (or 397,712) of ACT-tested high school graduates met
                                            all 4 College Readiness Benchmarks.



Of the ACT-tested high school               College Type Attended by Number of College
graduating class of 2011, 53% enrolled
                                            Readiness Benchmarks Attained, 2011
in a 4-year college, 18% enrolled in a
2-year college, and 29% did not enroll                 100!
in college.                                                                                                                         80!
•	 A student’s likelihood of enrolling in               80!
                                                                                                                  69!
   a 4-year college increased with the
                                                                                                   56!
   number of College Readiness                          60!
                                            Percent!




                                                                  50!
   Benchmarks attained.                                                            45!

•	 A student’s likelihood of either                     40!                        31!
                                                                  26!
   enrolling in a 2-year college or not                                                            25!
                                                                                                                  18!
   enrolling in college decreased as                    20!                        24!
                                                                                                                                    14!
                                                                  23!
                                                                                                   20!
   the number of College Readiness
                                                                                                                  13!                 6!
   Benchmarks attained increased.                        0!
•	 Of those high school graduates                                Zero!            One!            Two!          Three!             Four!
                                                                           Number of College Readiness Benchmarks Attained!
   who met either 0 or 1 Benchmark,
   more than 300,000 did not enroll in                                            4-Year!      2-Year!       Not Enrolled!
   college.
                                            Graph reads: 80% of the ACT-tested high school graduating class of 2011 who met all 4 College
                                            Readiness Benchmarks enrolled at a 4-year college.
                                            Note: Percentages may not sum to 100% due to rounding.


4 Enrollment Management Trends Report
Participation
Although both ACT and SAT® scores are accepted at                              5 categories based on their ratio of ACT- and SAT-tested
virtually all postsecondary institutions that require an                       high school graduates. The table below lists for each of
admissions test, there remain state and regional differences                   these state categories the ratio of ACT- and SAT-tested
in the share of high school graduates who take each test.                      students that defines the category, the number of states in
•	 In 26 states, at least 60% of the high school graduating                    the category, and the number of ACT-tested students
   class of 2011 took the ACT. In 12 of these states, at least                 across those states. The table also provides for each state
   80% of their graduates took the ACT.                                        category the average ACT Composite score and the
                                                                               percentage of students whose family income is greater than
•	 Comparatively, in 18 states and in DC, at least 60% of all
                                                                               $60,000.
   2011 high school graduates took the SAT. In 4 of these
   states, at least 80% of their graduates took the SAT.                       As you will see throughout this report, ACT-tested students
                                                                               from “ACT+” and “ACT” states often exhibit the student
ACT research shows that ACT-tested students differ both in
                                                                               testing and enrollment behaviors of the typical college-
terms of their background characteristics and their college
                                                                               bound population in those states. ACT-tested students from
selection behaviors depending on the ACT and SAT
                                                                               “SAT” and “SAT+” states, however, frequently exhibit
participation rates in the state. To illustrate some of these
                                                                               different testing and enrollment behaviors.
differences in this report, we have classified states into


 State                                                                                ACT-Tested         Family Income         Average
 Category              Criteria                                    States              Students             > $60K          ACT Composite
 ACT+                  ACT to SAT ratio of 4+ to 1                    21                848,854               39%                20.7
 ACT                   ACT to SAT ratio of 1.5+ to 1                   4                121,176               46%                21.7
 ACT/SAT               ACT to SAT ratio of roughly 1 to 1              5                176,544               33%                19.8
 SAT                   SAT to ACT ratio of 1.5+ to 1                  15                424,134               49%                21.9
 SAT+                  SAT to ACT ratio of 4+ to 1                     6                 52,404               65%                22.8




Classification of States by ACT and SAT Participation, 2011                                            •	 At 32 to 1, North Dakota had the
                                                                                                          largest ratio of ACT-tested to
                                                                                                          SAT-tested high school graduates.
                                                                                                          Maine had the largest ratio of
                                                                                                          SAT-tested to ACT-tested
                                                                                                          graduates, at 9 to 1.
                                                                                                       •	 In 2011, 100% of the high school
                                                                                                          graduates in 6 states (CO, IL, KY,
                                                                                                          MI, TN, and WY) took the ACT.
                                                                                                          Maine had the largest share of
                                                                                                          students from the graduating class
                                                                                                          of 2011 who took the SAT, at 86%.




                          ACT+     ACT    ACT/SAT     SAT     SAT+


Map reads: For the high school graduating class of 2011, Michigan is categorized as an “ACT+” state.
Note: State categories were determined by calculating a ratio of ACT-tested and SAT-tested students
in each state. Washington, DC, not shown, is categorized as an “SAT” state.


                                                                                                       Enrollment Management Trends Report 5
Student Migration and Academic Achievement
Seventy-one percent of the                 Percent of ACT-Tested College Students Enrolled Out of State
ACT-tested high school graduating
                                           by ACT Composite Score, 2011
class of 2011 enrolled in college.
Of these students, 21% attended                       100!
college out of state.
An enrolled student’s likelihood of                    80!
attending college out of state
increased with his or her ACT
                                                       60!                                                                 51!
Composite score.
•	 Students with a score of 24 or          Percent!
                                                                                                              36!
                                                       40!
   higher were more likely than
                                                                                                 26!
   average to attend college out of
                                                                                    18!
   state, whereas students with a                      20!    12!      13!                                    National = 21%!
   score of 23 or lower were less likely
   than average to enroll out of state.                 0!
•	 Just over one-half of all students                        1–15!   16–19!       20–23!       24–27!       28–32!       33–36!
                                                                              ACT Composite Score Range!
   with a score between 33 and 36
   enrolled out of state, compared with    Graph reads: 51% of ACT-tested college students with an ACT Composite score between
   only 12% of students with a score       33 and 36 enrolled out of state.
   of 15 or lower.




An enrolled student’s likelihood of        Percent of ACT-Tested College Students Enrolled Out of State
attending college out of state varied by
                                           by State Category, 2011
the ACT and SAT participation rates in
the state.                                            100!
•	 Compared to the migration patterns
   of students from “ACT” and “ACT+”                   80!
   states, ACT-tested students from
   “SAT” and “SAT+” states had a
                                                       60!
   higher likelihood of attending
                                           Percent!




                                                                                                              51!
   college out of state.
                                                       40!
•	 In “SAT+” states, a little more than
                                                                                                 26!
   one-half of all ACT-tested students                                                                                     21!
                                                              18!
   enrolled out of state. This is more                 20!             16!          15!
   than twice the out-of-state
   enrollment rate for students from                    0!
   “ACT+” states.                                            ACT+!    ACT!      ACT/SAT!        SAT!        SAT+!       National!
                                                                                    State Category!

                                           Graph reads: 18% of ACT-tested college students from “ACT+” states enrolled out of state.




6 Enrollment Management Trends Report
Median Distance to College by ACT Composite Score, 2011                                               Of those ACT-tested high school
                                                                                                      graduates who enrolled in college, the
                                                                                                      median distance between home and
                       200!                                                                           college was 51 miles.
                                                                                            172!
                                                                                                      The distance between a student’s
                       160!                                                                           home and college increased
                                                                                                      exponentially with ACT Composite
Distance (in Miles)!




                                                                              112!                    score.
                       120!
                                                                                                      •	 For students with a score of 15 or
                                                                 78!                                     lower, the median distance to
                        80!
                                                                                                         college was less than 20 miles.
                                                    45!
                                                                                                      •	 For students with a score between
                        40!            27!                                  National = 51 miles!
                               18!                                                                       33 and 36, the median distance to
                                                                                                         college was just over 170 miles.
                         0!
                              1–15!   16–19!       20–23!      24–27!        28–32!        33–36!
                                               ACT Composite Score Range!

Graph reads: Among ACT-tested college students with an ACT Composite score between
33 and 36, the median distance between home and college was 172 miles.




Median Distance to College by State Category, 2011                                                    The distance between an ACT-tested
                                                                                                      student’s home and college also
                                                                                                      differed considerably by the ACT and
                       100!                                                                           SAT participation rates in the state.
                                                                               87!                    •	 A typical ACT-tested student from
                        80!                                      77!                                     an “SAT” or “SAT+” state traveled
                                                                                                         farther to attend college than a
Distance (in Miles)!




                                                                                                         student from an “ACT” or “ACT+”
                        60!
                                                                                             51!         state.
                                       44!
                               41!                                                                    •	 The median distance to college
                        40!                         33!                                                  for ACT-tested students from
                                                                                                         “SAT+” states was 87 miles. This
                        20!                                                                              is more than twice the median
                                                                                                         distance to college traveled by
                         0!                                                                              students from “ACT+” states.
                              ACT+!   ACT!       ACT/SAT!       SAT!         SAT+!        National!
                                                     State Category!

Graph reads: Among ACT-tested college students from “SAT” states, the median distance
between home and college was 77 miles.




                                                                                                      Enrollment Management Trends Report 7
Student Migration and Academic Achievement
As noted previously, student mobility       Percent of ACT-Tested College Students Enrolled Out of State
increases with ACT Composite score
                                            (ACT Composite Score 1–23), 2011
and it differs by the ACT and SAT
participation rates in the state. The
maps on this page illustrate the
variability across states in the share of
their ACT-tested college students who
enrolled out of state.
The first map focuses on the migration
patterns of enrolled students who had
an ACT Composite score of 23 or
lower. Students within this score range
were less likely than average to attend
college out of state.
•	 Twenty-one states, most of which
   are located in the southern and
   Midwestern parts of the country,                               < 15%    15%–19%     20%–29%      30%–49%      50%+
   had fewer than 15% of students in        Map reads: In California, less than 15% of ACT-tested college students with an ACT Composite
   this score range enroll out of state;    score between 1 and 23 enrolled out of state.
   DC and 7 states located mostly in        Note: Washington, DC, not shown, is categorized as “50%+.”
   the northeastern part of the country
   had 50% or more of these students
   attending college out of state.

The second map focuses on the               Percent of ACT-Tested College Students Enrolled Out of State
migration patterns of enrolled students
                                            (ACT Composite Score 24–36), 2011
who had an ACT Composite score of
24 or higher. Students within this score
range were more likely than average to
enroll out of state.
•	 Only 2 states, Arkansas and Utah,
   had fewer than 15 percent of
   students in this score range
   attending college out of state; DC
   and 12 states located mostly in the
   northeastern part of the country
   had 50% or more of these students
   enrolling out of state.



                                                                  < 15%    15%–19%      20%–29%     30%–49%      50%+

                                            Map reads: In Maine, 50% or more ACT-tested college students with an ACT Composite score
                                            between 24 and 36 enrolled out of state.
                                            Note: Washington, DC, not shown, is categorized as “50%+.”




8 Enrollment Management Trends Report
The graph below shows the intersection of college student                                                                                                  Positive numbers represent a net gain in the average
migration and academic achievement for ACT-tested                                                                                                          achievement level of ACT-tested students enrolled in that
students in each state and DC. Student migration is                                                                                                        state, whereas negative numbers represent a net loss. For
measured by college enrollment patterns, and academic                                                                                                      example, the average ACT Composite score for students
achievement is measured by ACT Composite score.                                                                                                            who migrated into Tennessee to attend college was about
Along the horizontal axis is the college migration ratio for                                                                                               1 point higher than the average score for students who
each state. Ratios that are greater than 1 to 1 represent a                                                                                                migrated out of Tennessee. In contrast, the average ACT
net gain of ACT-tested students for the state, whereas ratios                                                                                              Composite score for students who migrated into Idaho was
that are less than 1 to 1 represent a net loss of ACT-tested                                                                                               about 2 points lower than the average score for students
students for the state. For example, West Virginia gained                                                                                                  who migrated out of the state.
about 3 ACT-tested college enrollees from other states for                                                                                                 In looking at the intersection of college student migration
each of its ACT-tested high school graduates that attended                                                                                                 and academic achievement, states fall into 1 of 4 categories
college out of state. California, on the other hand, lost about                                                                                            based on their ACT-tested population: states that have
2 of its ACT-tested high school graduates to colleges in                                                                                                   (1) enrollment gain and brain gain, (2) enrollment gain but
other states for each ACT-tested college enrollee who came                                                                                                 brain drain, (3) enrollment loss but brain gain, and
into California.                                                                                                                                           (4) enrollment loss and brain drain.
Along the vertical axis is the difference in the average ACT
Composite score between students coming into the state to
attend college and those leaving the state to attend college.




State Migration Patterns and Academic Achievement, 2011*                                                                                                                                •	 Thirty-one states and DC had
                                          2.5!
                                                                                                                                                                                           migration ratios that were greater
                                                                                                                                MA!
                                                                                                                                                                                  UT!      than 1 to 1; 19 states had migration
                                            2!
                                                                      Enrollment Loss                                                      Enrollment Gain                                 ratios that were less than 1 to 1.
                                                                        Brain Gain                   MI!                                      Brain Gain
Difference in Mean ACT Composite Score!




                                          1.5!                           (9 states)            GA!                                         (15 states + DC)                 SC!         •	 Roughly half of all states had an
                                                                                                                              ME!                                     IN!
                                            1!                                                   TN!
                                                                                                                               LA!             VT!                                         average ACT Composite score for
                                                                                                                                                       DE!
                                                                                           MD!                    MO!
                                                                                                                                                     PA!
                                                                                                                                                                                           in-migrating students that was
                                                                                CA!
                                          0.5!                                           FL!
                                                                                                           NY!            MT!                                                              higher than the average score for
                                                                                                                           VA!
                                            0!
                                                  IL!
                                                                                TX!                         WA!
                                                                                                                WI!
                                                                                                                                                      AR!            ND!                   out-migrating students.
                                                                                 MN!                          NE!                         OK!           AL!
                                                                                   CT!
                                                                                          CO!
                                          -0.5!
                                                   HI!                                                 OH!                                                    MS!                       * States Not Shown
                                                                                                                                         NC!
                                            -1!                                                                   NH!          SD!
                                                                                                                                   AZ!                          IA!                               Migration     Difference in
                                                                                                                              OR!
                                          -1.5!                                                                                 WY!
                                                                                                                                                                                         State     Ratio         Mean ACT
                                                                      Enrollment Loss                                                      Enrollment Gain
                                                                        Brain Drain                                              KY!         Brain Drain                                 AK         1 : 7.1          –2.8
                                            -2!                         (10 states)                                     ID!                  (16 states)            WV!
                                                                NV!                                                                                                                      DC       4.2 : 1            +5.0
                                          -2.5!
                                                         1:3!                   1:2!                             1:1!                      2:1!                           3:1!           KS       1.2 : 1            –3.4
                                                                                       Ratio of In-Migration to Out-Migration!                                                           NJ         1 : 12.5         –2.4
Graph reads: West Virginia gained about 3 ACT-tested college enrollees from other states for each                                                                                        NM         1 : 1.5          –3.5
of its ACT-tested high school graduates who enrolled out of state. The average ACT Composite
score for students who migrated into West Virginia to attend college was about 2 points lower than                                                                                       RI       4.4 : 1            –0.8
the average score for students who migrated out of West Virginia.




                                                                                                                                                                                        Enrollment Management Trends Report 9
Time of First Testing
Seventy percent of the ACT-tested           College Type Attended by Time of First Testing, 2011
graduating class of 2011 first tested in
11th grade, whereas 30% first tested
in 12th grade. Relative to their peers                 100!
who test earlier, students who first test
in 12th grade have been largely                         80!
overlooked by the recruitment efforts
of colleges and scholarship agencies.                   60!      56!



                                            Percent!
In this section of the report, we                                                                             47!
highlight a few of the characteristics of               40!                                                                     32!
these test takers.                                                                   28!
                                                                                                                       21!
Although there are some differences in                  20!                17!
the postsecondary destinations of the
ACT-tested graduating class of 2011                      0!
by the time of first testing, the overall                               Grade 11!                                   Grade 12!
pattern is similar.                                                                    Time of First Testing!

•	 Of those students who first tested                                            4-Year!     2-Year!   Not Enrolled!
   in 12th grade, 68% went on to
                                            Graph reads: 47% of the ACT-tested high school graduating class of 2011 who first tested in
   college; among those who first           12th grade enrolled at a 4-year college.
   tested in 11th grade, 72% went on        Note: ACT tests taken before 11th grade were not included. Percentages may not sum to 100%
   to college.                              due to rounding.

•	 Compared to a student who first
   tested in 11th grade, a student who
   first tested in 12th grade had a
   lower likelihood of enrolling in a       Time of First Testing Among ACT-Tested High School
   4-year college and a higher              Graduates by Family Income Level, 2011
   likelihood of enrolling in a 2-year
   college.                                            100!


                                                        80!                                                  74!                      75!
                                                                                       70!
                                                                65!

                                                        60!
                                            Percent!




The grade level in which students first
took the ACT differed by family income                  40!     35!
                                                                                       30!
level.                                                                                                       26!                      25!

•	 A student’s likelihood of first taking               20!
   the ACT in 12th grade decreased as
   family income level increased.                        0!
•	 Despite this downward trend by                             < $36K!             $36K–$60K!           $60K–$100K!              $100K+!
                                                                                           Family Income Level!
   family income level, roughly a
   quarter of all ACT-tested high                                                      Grade 11!        Grade 12!
   school graduates whose family            Graph reads: 26% of the ACT-tested high school graduating class of 2011 whose family earned
   earned $60,000 or above first            between $60,000 and $100,000 first tested in 12th grade.
   tested in 12th grade.                    Note: Based on 74% of the ACT-tested graduating class of 2011 who reported family income level
                                            when registering for the ACT. ACT tests taken before 11th grade were not included.




10 Enrollment Management Trends Report
Time of First Testing Among ACT-Tested High School                                              The grade level in which a student first
                                                                                                took the ACT differed by his or her
Graduates by ACT Composite Score, 2011
                                                                                                ACT Composite score.
           100!                                                                                 •	 A student’s likelihood of first taking
                                                                                      86!
                                                                        82!                        the ACT in 12th grade decreased as
                                                            76!
            80!                                70!                                                 ACT Composite score increased.
                               64!
                   61!                                                                          •	 Nonetheless, 1 in 5 students with
            60!                                                                                    an ACT Composite score of 24 or
Percent!




                   39!
                                                                                                   higher first tested in 12th grade.
                               36!
            40!                                30!                                              •	 A student’s likelihood of first taking
                                                            24!
                                                                        18!
                                                                                                   the ACT in 11th grade increased as
            20!                                                                       14!          ACT Composite score increased.

             0!
                  1–15!       16–19!          20–23!      24–27!       28–32!       33–36!
                                          ACT Composite Score Range!

                                             Grade 11!     Grade 12!
Graph reads: 18% of the ACT-tested high school graduating class of 2011 with an ACT
Composite score between 28 and 32 first tested in 12th grade.
Note: ACT tests taken before 11th grade were not included.




Time of First Testing Among ACT-Tested High School                                              The grade level in which a student first
                                                                                                took the ACT varied considerably by
Graduates by State Category, 2011
                                                                                                the ACT and SAT participation rates in
           100!                                                                                 the state.
                  83!                                                                           •	 In “ACT+” states, 17% of students
            80!                                                                                    tested for the first time in 12th grade
                                                                                    70!
                              64!                                                                  and 83% tested for the first time in
            60!                               54!                      53!                         11th grade. This large share of
Percent!




                                                          52!
                                                    46!         48!          47!                   students who first tested in 11th
            40!                     36!                                                            grade is due in part to the “ACT+”
                                                                                          30!      category comprising those states
            20!         17!                                                                        (CO, IL, KY, MI, TN, and WY) that
                                                                                                   administered the ACT statewide to
                                                                                                   all public high school 11th graders.
             0!
                  ACT+!       ACT!          ACT/SAT!       SAT!        SAT+!       National!    •	 In contrast, about half of all ACT-
                                                State Category!                                    tested students in “ACT/SAT,” “SAT,”
                                             Grade 11!    Grade 12!                                and “SAT+” states tested for the first
                                                                                                   time in 12th grade.
Graph reads: 47% of the ACT-tested high school graduating class of 2011 from “SAT+” states
first tested in 12th grade.
Note: ACT tests taken before 11th grade were not included.




                                                                                                Enrollment Management Trends Report 11
EOS Participation
Students can opt into the ACT                Percent Opting Into EOS by Time of First Testing and
Educational Opportunity Service (EOS)
                                             ACT Composite Score, 2011
when they register to take the ACT.
EOS provides students with information                  100!     92!       91!           90!         89!
about educational and financial aid                                                                              86!          84!
opportunities by making the names of                                       90!          89!
                                                         80!     84!                                 84!
ACT-tested students available to                                                                                 79!
                                                                                                                              75!
colleges and scholarship agencies that                   60!


                                             Percent!
meet EOS eligibility guidelines. About
88% of the ACT-tested high school
                                                         40!
graduating class of 2011 opted into
EOS during high school.
                                                         20!
A student’s likelihood of opting into
EOS differed by the intersection of the
                                                          0!
time of first testing and the students’                        1–15!     16–19!        20–23!      24–27!       28–32!      33–36!
ACT Composite score.                                                               ACT Composite Score Range!

•	 For students who first tested in                                                   Grade 11!     Grade 12!
   11th grade, a larger share of
                                             Graph reads: 79% of the ACT-tested high school graduating class of 2011 who first tested in
   students with scores in the middle        12th grade and had an ACT Composite score between 28 and 32 opted into EOS.
   ranges of the score scale opted into      Note: ACT tests taken before 11th grade were not included.
   EOS relative to the share of
   students at either the lower or
   upper ranges of the score scale.
•	 For students who first tested in
   12th grade, the share of students         Percent Opting Into EOS by Time of First Testing and
   who opted into EOS declined               State Category, 2011
   steadily as their scores increased.
                                                        100!
                                                                         91! 90!       89! 90!
                                                               88! 89!                             87! 88!                  88! 89!
                                                                                                                83! 83!
An ACT-tested student’s likelihood of                    80!
opting into EOS differed very little by
the ACT and SAT participation rates                      60!
                                             Percent!




in the state.
•	 Compared to the other state                           40!
   categories, a smaller percentage of
   students in “SAT+” states opted into                  20!
   EOS. Opt-in rates for “SAT+” states,
   however, were higher than 80%.
                                                          0!
•	 Within each state category, the EOS                         ACT+!      ACT!       ACT/SAT!       SAT!        SAT+!      National!
   opt-in rate did not differ much by                                                    State Category!

   time of first testing. Across all state                                            Grade 11!    Grade 12!
   categories, a large majority of           Graph reads: 89% of the ACT-tested high school graduating class of 2011 from “ACT+” states who
   students who tested for the first time    first tested in 12th grade opted into EOS.
   in 12th grade were interested in          Note: ACT tests taken before 11th grade were not included.
   more information from colleges and
   scholarship agencies through EOS.



12 Enrollment Management Trends Report
Percent of EOS Students Selected by Time of First Testing and                                                Colleges and scholarship agencies
                                                                                                             that are eligible can use ACT’s EOS
ACT Composite Score, 2011
                                                                                                             to identify and select prospective
                                100
                                                                  97!         98!          98!      99!      students whose backgrounds and
                                                      86!                                                    academic achievement levels align
                                                                                                    93!      with the mix of desired characteristics
                                 80!                                          88!          88!
                                                                  80!                                        of the students in their applicant pool.

                                 60!
                                              57!                                                            Among those students who opted into
Percent!




                                                      57!                                                    EOS, a student’s likelihood of being
                                                                                                             selected by a college or scholarship
                                 40!
                                                                                                             agency differed by both the time of
                                              31!                                                            first testing and the student’s ACT
                                 20!
                                                                                                             Composite score.
                                                                                                             •	 Within all score ranges, a student
                                  0!
                                         1–15!      16–19!       20–23!     24–27!        28–32!   33–36!       who first tested in 12th grade was
                                                             ACT Composite Score Range!                         less likely than a student who first
                                                                Grade 11!    Grade 12!                          tested in 11th grade to be selected
                                                                                                                through EOS.
Graph reads: 88% of the ACT-tested high school graduating class of 2011 who first tested in
12th grade, opted into EOS, and had an ACT Composite score between 24 and 27 were                            •	 For students who first tested in
selected at least once through EOS.
                                                                                                                11th grade, the percentage who
Note: ACT tests taken before 11th grade were not included.
                                                                                                                were selected leveled off beginning
                                                                                                                in the score range of 20 to 23.
                                                                                                             •	 For students who first tested in
                                                                                                                12th grade, the percentage who
Average Number of Times EOS Students Were Selected by                                                           were selected increased similarly
Time of First Testing and ACT Composite Score, 2011                                                             by ACT Composite score.

                                50!
                                                                                                     42!
Average Number of Selections!




                                40!                                                                          The number of times that a student
                                                                                            34!
                                                                                                             was selected by a college or
                                30!                                                                          scholarship agency through EOS also
                                                                              24!                            differed by both the time of first testing
                                                                                                             and the student’s ACT Composite
                                20!
                                                                  14!                                        score.
                                10!
                                                                                                      8!     •	 Within all score ranges, students
                                                      5!                       6!            6!
                                                                   4!                                           who first tested in 12th grade were
                                              1!       1!
                                       0.4!                                                                     selected by fewer colleges and
                                 0!
                                        1–15!       16–19!       20–23!      24–27!       28–32!    33–36!      scholarship agencies than students
                                                             ACT Composite Score Range!                         who first tested in 11th grade.
                                                                Grade 11!    Grade 12!                       •	 The grade-level gap in the average
Graph reads: ACT-tested high school graduates from the class of 2011 who first tested in
                                                                                                                number of colleges and scholarship
12th grade, opted into EOS, and had an ACT Composite score between 33 and 36 were                               agencies that selected students
selected an average of 8 times through EOS.                                                                     widened as the students’ ACT
Note: ACT tests taken before 11th grade were not included.
                                                                                                                Composite score increased.




                                                                                                             Enrollment Management Trends Report 13
Score-Sending Behavior
Students can send their test scores        Number of College Choices at Time of First Testing by
at no cost to up to 4 colleges or
                                           Family Income Level, 2011
scholarship agencies when they
register for the ACT. Many students do                100!
not take advantage of this opportunity
to get their information to the colleges               80!
that they are considering. Of the high                               62!                 61!
school graduating class of 2011, only                  60!
                                                                                                                 57!
                                                                                                                                     51!


                                           Percent!
54% sent their test scores to at least                                                                           43!
1 college at time of first testing.                                  38!                 39!                                         49!
                                                       40!
Score-sending behavior at time of first
testing differed by the family income                  20!
level of the student.
•	 A student’s likelihood of submitting                 0!
   test scores to at least 1 college                               " $36K!           $36K–$60K!          $60K–$100K!               $100K+!
   decreased as family income level                                                       Family Income Level!

   increased.                                                                              At least 1!         None!
•	 Conversely, a student’s likelihood of   Graph reads: 57% of the ACT-tested high school graduating class of 2011 whose family earned
   not submitting any test scores at       between $60,000 and $100,000 sent their ACT scores to at least 1 college at time of first testing.
   the time of ACT registration            Note: Based on 74% of the ACT-tested graduating class of 2011 who reported family income level
                                           when registering for the ACT.
   increased with family income level.




A student’s score-sending behavior         Number of College Choices at Time of First Testing by
at time of first testing differed
                                           State Category, 2011
substantially by the ACT and SAT
participation rates in the state.                     100!
•	 In “ACT” and “ACT+” states, more
   than 50% of graduates sent their                    80!
   ACT scores to at least 1 college.                                                                                         64!
                                                             60!
•	 In contrast, fewer than 50% of                      60!                   55!                                55!                   54!
                                           Percent!




                                                                                          49! 51!
   graduates in “SAT” or “SAT+” states                                             45!                   45!                                46!
                                                                    40!
   sent their ACT scores to at least                   40!                                                             36!

   1 college.
                                                       20!


                                                        0!
                                                             ACT+!            ACT!       ACT/SAT!         SAT!         SAT+!         National!
                                                                                               State Category!

                                                                                          At least 1!    None!
                                           Graph reads: 60% of the ACT-tested high school graduating class of 2011 from “ACT+” states sent
                                           their ACT scores to at least 1 college at time of first testing.




14 Enrollment Management Trends Report
Enrollment by College Preference
Enrollment by College Choice Number and                                                              Students can send their test scores to
                                                                                                     up to 4 colleges or scholarship
ACT Composite Score, 2011
                                                                                                     agencies in preferential order when
           50!                                                             45!
                                                                                                     they register for the ACT. This ranking
                                                            44!
                                                41!                                                  of their college choices provides an
           40!                    36!
                                                                                          38!        early indicator of students’ intentions
                                                                                                     and has been shown by ACT research
                   29!                                                                               to be an important predictor of college
           30!
Percent!




                                                                                                     enrollment.
           20!                    16!           17!         18!            18!
                                                                                          16!
                                                                                                     •	 Regardless of ACT Composite
                   14!                                                                                  score, ACT-tested college enrollees
                                  10!           11!         11!            11!            11!
           10!
                   9!                                                                                   attended their 1st choice college at
                   8!             9!             8!          8!             8!            9!            significantly higher rates than that
                                                                                                        for their 2nd, 3rd, and 4th choice
            0!
                  1–15!         16–19!        20–23!       24–27!      28–32!           33–36!          colleges.
                                          ACT Composite Score Range!                                 •	 The rate at which students enrolled
                          1st Choice!      2nd Choice!      3rd Choice!          4th Choice!            at their 1st choice college increased
                                                                                                        steadily between the ACT score
Graph reads: 45% of ACT-tested college students with an ACT Composite score between 28 and
32 enrolled at their 1st choice college.                                                                ranges of 1 to 15 and 28 to 32, and
Note: Based on ACT-tested college students who sent scores to at least 1 college when registering       then decreased for the score range
for the ACT. For students who tested more than once, the college choice set from the last ACT test      of 33 to 36. The rates at which
was used.
                                                                                                        students enrolled at their 2nd, 3rd,
                                                                                                        and 4th choice colleges varied far
                                                                                                        less by ACT Composite score.


Enrollment at Same College Type as Preference by                                                     When students register for the ACT,
                                                                                                     they can indicate the type of college
ACT Composite Score, 2011
                                                                                                     that they prefer to attend. In general,
           100!                                                            96!                 99!   the students’ college type preference
                                                             90!
                    86!            84!                                                               is a good indicator of the type of
                                                 79!                       78!
            80!                                              74!                          75!        college that they eventually attend.
                                   64!           65!
                                                             73!           64!                       •	 Regardless of whether the college
                                                                                          70!
            60!                    52!
                                                                                                        is public or private, students with a
Percent!




                                                                           63!
                    45!                                      60!                                        4-year college preference are more
                                                 53!
            40!     35!                                                                                 likely to attend this college type as
                                   43!
                                                                                                        their ACT Composite score
                    28!                                                                                 increases.
            20!
                                                                                                     •	 Students with a 2-year college
             0!                                                                                         preference are less likely to attend
                   1–15!         16–19!        20–23!      24–27!         28–32!        33–36!          this college type as their ACT
                                          ACT Composite Score Range!                                    Composite score increases.
                    4-Year Total!         4-Year Public!    4-Year Private!        2-Year Total!
Graph reads: 99% of ACT-tested college students with an ACT Composite score between 33 and
36 who preferred a 4-year college enrolled at a 4-year college.
Note: Based on ACT-tested college students who provided college type preference when
registering for the ACT. Enrollment rates not provided for ACT Composite score ranges where
sample size is less than 50.



                                                                                                     Enrollment Management Trends Report 15
Interest-Major Fit
College majors have different academic cultures. Selecting                         Interest-major fit clearly benefits both students and the
a college major that is rewarding—that provides                                    college they attend: students engaged in good-fit majors are
opportunities to do preferred activities and express one’s                         more likely to stay in college, stay in their major, and finish
values—is an example of interest-major fit. While many                             sooner.
students gravitate toward majors that fit their interests, many                    Interest-major fit is derived from two data elements that are
do not. This has important implications. Evidence is                               collected during ACT registration: (1) the student’s ACT
accumulating that the fit between students’ interests and                          Interest Inventory scores and (2) the student’s intended
their college major is important in understanding and                              major from a list of 294 college majors.
predicting student outcomes. Research at ACT and
                                                                                   The interest-major fit score used here measures the strength
elsewhere suggests that if students’ measured interests are
                                                                                   of the relationship between the student’s profile of ACT
similar to the interests of people in their chosen college
                                                                                   Interest Inventory scores and the profile of interests of
majors, they will be more likely to:
                                                                                   students in a given major. Interest profiles for majors are
•	 remain in their major                                                           based on a national sample of undergraduate students with
•	 persist in college                                                              a declared major and a GPA of at least 2.0. Major was
•	 complete a college degree in a timely manner                                    determined in the third year for students in 4-year colleges,
                                                                                   and in the second year for students in 2-year colleges.




There is a lot of variation by planned        Interest-Major Fit for a Subset of Planned Majors, 2011
major in the share of ACT-tested high
school graduates who selected a
major that is a good fit with their                       100!
personal interests. The chart shows
the level of interest-major fit for a                      80!
subset of college majors selected by                             62!
the graduating class of 2011.                              60!
                                               Percent!




                                                                                      52!
•	 Sixty-two percent of students who                                                                                                                   44!
                                                                                                         41!
                                                           40!                                                             37!
   planned to major in accounting had                                                       28!
                                                                                                               32!               31! 32!         30!
                                                                       26!                                           27!                   26!
   personal interests that were a good                                                            20!
   fit for this major, and only 12% had                    20!               12!
   personal interests that were a poor
   fit for accounting.                                      0!
                                                                 Accounting!            Music!           Pharmacy!          Special        Philosophy!
•	 In contrast, only 26% of students                                                                                       Education!
                                                                                                        Planned Major!
   who planned to major in philosophy
   had personal interests that were a                                                       Good Fit!    Moderate Fit!      Poor Fit!
   good fit for this major, whereas 44%
                                              Graph reads: 62% of the ACT-tested graduating class of 2011 with a planned accounting major and
   had personal interests that were a         an interest-major fit score had good fit between their personal interests and the major environment.
   poor fit for philosophy.                   Note: Not all planned college majors are included in the graph. Based on 66% of the ACT-tested
                                              high school graduating class of 2011 for which the interest-major fit index could be calculated.
                                              For students who tested more than once, planned major from the last ACT test was used.
                                              Interest-major fit ranges from 0–99, with values of 80 and higher indicating good fit, values between
                                              60 and 79 indicating moderate fit, and values less than 60 indicating poor fit.



16 Enrollment Management Trends Report
Interest-Major Fit by ACT Score Range, 2011                                                                               A student’s likelihood of having a good
                                                                                                                          fit between personal interests and
                50!                                                                                           47!         planned major increased with ACT
                                                                                                 45!
                                  42!                                            42!                                      Composite score.
                                                                38!
                40!                             36!                                                                       •	 Slightly less than half of all students
                                                                32!              32!             32!          32!
                                  31!         33!                                                                            with a score between 33 and 36
                30!                                                                                                          selected a major that was well
Percent!




                                                31!
                                                                30!
                                  27!                                            27!                                         aligned with their interests,
                                                                                                 24!
                20!
                                                                                                              21!
                                                                                                                             compared with only 27% of
                                                                                                                             students with a score of 15 or
                10!                                                                                                          lower.
                                                                                                                          •	 Conversely, 42% of students with a
                      0!                                                                                                     score of 15 or lower had a poor
                                 1–15!        16–19!         20–23!            24–27!          28–32!        33–36!
                                                        ACT Composite Score Range!
                                                                                                                             interest-major fit, whereas only 21%
                                                                                                                             of students with a score between
                                                    Good Fit!         Moderate Fit!          Poor Fit!
                                                                                                                             33 and 36 selected a major with
Graph reads: 27% of the ACT-tested high school graduating class of 2011 with an ACT Composite                                poor fit.
score between 24 and 27 and an interest-major fit score had poor fit between their personal
interests and the major environment.
Note: Based on 66% of the ACT-tested high school graduating class of 2011 for which the
interest-major fit index could be calculated. For students who tested more than once, planned
major from the last ACT test was used. Interest-major fit ranges from 0–99, with values of 80 and
higher indicating good fit, values between 60 and 79 indicating moderate fit, and values less than
60 indicating poor fit.




Persistence in Major by ACT Score Range and Interest-Major Fit                                                            Evidence from a sample of ACT-tested
                                                                                                                          college students illustrates the added
                                                                                                                          value of interest-major fit in predicting
                       100!                                                                                               student persistence within their major.
                                                                                                                          •	 Students with a good interest-major
                           80!                                                                                      73!
                                                                                                       68!                   fit persisted in their major at higher
                                                                                       63!
                                                      58!             60!                                           65!      rates than students with moderate
                           60!          55!
                                                                                                       58!                   and poor fit, with the largest
           Percent!




                                        54!                                            56!
                                                      52!             53!
                                                                                                       51!
                                                                                                                    55!      difference at the upper ranges of
                           40!          48!
                                                      45!             45!              47!                                   the ACT Composite score scale.
                                                                                                                          •	 A student with an ACT Composite
                           20!                                                                                               score between 33 and 36 who had
                                                                                                                             a poor fit between personal
                            0!                                                                                               interests and college major had the
                                    1–15!           16–19!        20–23!           24–27!          28–32!       33–36!
                                                             ACT Composite Score Range!
                                                                                                                             same chance of persisting in the
                                                                                                                             major as a student with an ACT
                                                        Good Fit!           Moderate Fit!        Poor Fit!
                                                                                                                             Composite score of 15 or lower
                                                                                                                             with a good interest-major fit.
Graph reads: 58% of ACT-tested college students with an ACT Composite score between 16 and
19 and good fit with their entering college major persisted in the same college major family through
the start of their third year of college.
Note: Based on a sample of 62,494 ACT-tested students who entered college between 2000
and 2006 and remained enrolled in the second (2-year students) or third (4-year students) year of
college. College major family represented by 2-digit CIP code. Interest-major fit ranges from 0–99,
with values of 80 and higher indicating good fit, values between 60 and 79 indicating moderate fit,
and values less than 60 indicating poor fit.


                                                                                                                          Enrollment Management Trends Report 17
Predictors of Success
ACT continues to recommend the use           High School GPA Distribution Among ACT-Tested High School
of multiple criteria when assessing the
                                             Graduates Who Reported Grades, 2011
college readiness of students. Two of
the more commonly used criteria for                     25!
                                                                                                                                                        25!

assessing academic readiness are
highlighted in this section of the report.
                                                        20!
The distribution of high school GPAs
among the ACT-tested graduating                                                                                                              16!
                                                                                                                       15!
                                                        15!                                                                       14!
class of 2011 has a sizable
concentration of students with GPAs          Percent!
at the upper end of the range and                       10!                                                  9!
                                                                                                  8!
relatively few students with GPAs in
the lower end of the range.                                                            5!
                                                         5!     4!          4!
•	 41% have a GPA over 3.5
•	 55% have a GPA over 3.25
                                                         0!
                                                              < 2.00!   2.00–2.24! 2.25–2.49! 2.50–2.74! 2.75–2.99! 3.00–3.24! 3.25–3.49! 3.50–3.74!   3.75+!
•	 30% have a GPA under 3.0
                                                                                               High School GPA Range!
Given the skewed shape of this
distribution, it is difficult to further     Graph reads: 25% of the ACT-tested high school graduating class of 2011 who reported
                                             high school grades earned a GPA of 3.75 or higher.
differentiate the achievement levels of      Note: Based on 86% of the ACT-tested high school graduating class of 2011 who reported high
a large number of students at the            school grades in core subjects.
upper end of the distribution. As such,
ACT recommends that high school
GPA not be the sole measure of
academic achievement in making
admissions, scholarship, and course
                                             ACT Composite Score Distribution Among ACT-Tested
placement decisions.                         High School Graduates Who Reported Grades, 2011
The distribution of ACT Composite                       25!
scores among the graduating class of
                                                                                                  21!
2011 who reported high school GPA
                                                        20!                                                  19!
is more symmetrical, with a                                                           18!
concentration of students in the
middle of the score range and fewer                     15!                                                             14!
                                             Percent!




students with scores in the upper and                                      12!
lower ends of the range.
                                                        10!
                                                                                                                                    8!
Compared to the GPA distribution, it is
easier to differentiate the achievement
                                                         5!                                                                                    4!
levels of students at the upper end of                          3!
the ACT score distribution. While the                                                                                                                     1!
largest number of GPAs is in the range                   0!
                                                              1–12!      13–15!     16–18!     19–21! 22–24! 25–27! 28–30!                  31–33!     34–36!
of 3.75 and higher, the largest number                                                       ACT Composite Score Range!
of ACT scores is in the range of 19
to 21.                                       Graph reads: 14% of the ACT-tested high school graduating class of 2011 who reported high
                                             school grades earned an ACT Composite score between 25 and 27.
                                             Note: Based on 86% of the ACT-tested high school graduating class of 2011 who reported high
                                             school grades in core subjects.




18 Enrollment Management Trends Report
Bachelor’s Degree Completion Within 4 Years by                                                      High school GPA and test scores often
                                                                                                    provide unique information about a
ACT Composite Score and High School GPA
                                                                                                    student’s achievement level that is
               100!
                                                                                                    predictive of his or her academic
                                                                                                    success in college. ACT recommends
                                                                                                    that high school GPA and ACT scores
                80!                                                                          71!
                                                                                                    be used together when measuring the
                                                                                   63!
                                                                                                    academic achievement of students,
                60!                                                   51!                           and that these measures are
    Percent!




                            Overall 4-Year!
                                                                                   44!
                            Completion!                   39!         39!                           combined with other evidence in
                40!         Rate = 35%!
                                                                                                    making decisions about the college
                                           27!                                     37!
                                                            30!                                     readiness of students.
                20!   17!                     20!                     22!                           Among a random sample of
                      11!                                 17!
                       5!                  10!
                                                                                                    ACT-tested students who entered
                 0!                                                                                 4-year colleges in fall 2003, 35%
                       1–15!           16–19!           20–23!      24–27!       28–32!    33–36!
                                                    ACT Composite Score Range!                      earned a bachelor’s degree within
                                                                                                    4 years and 62% earned a bachelor’s
                               HSGPA < 3.00!             HSGPA 3.00–3.49!         HSGPA 3.50+!
                                                                                                    degree within 6 years.
Graph reads: 39% of ACT-tested students at 4-year colleges with an ACT Composite score between      Whether one looks at 4-year or 6-year
20 and 23 and a high school GPA of 3.5 or higher obtained a bachelor’s degree within 4 years.
                                                                                                    rates, degree completion rates
Note: Based on 18,860 ACT-tested students who entered college in fall 2003. Degree completion
rates not provided for ACT Composite score ranges where sample size is less than 50.                increase with both high school GPA
                                                                                                    and ACT Composite score.
                                                                                                    •	 Within each GPA range, there are
                                                                                                       large differences in completion
Bachelor’s Degree Completion Within 6 Years by                                                         rates by ACT Composite score.
ACT Composite Score and High School GPA                                                                For example, for students with a
                                                                                                       high school GPA in the range of 3.5
               100!                                                                                    or higher, 4-year completion rates
                                                                                            90!
                                                                                  84!                  vary from 17% to 71%, depending
                                                                     78!
                80!         Overall 6-Year!                                                            on ACT Composite score.
                            Completion!                  70!
                            Rate = 62%!                                                             •	 Similarly, within any ACT Composite
                                                                                  70!
                60!                  58!                             65!                               score range, there are large
    Percent!




                                                         60!                                           differences in completion rates by
                       40!                                                        54!
                40!
                                        49!                          48!                               high school GPA. For example, for
                                                         44!
                                                                                                       students with an ACT Composite
                       32!              34!
                                                                                                       score between 24 and 27, 6-year
                20!
                       22!                                                                             completion rates vary from 48% to
                                                                                                       78%, depending on high school
                 0!
                      1–15!           16–19!            20–23!     24–27!        28–32!    33–36!      GPA.
                                                    ACT Composite Score Range!

                              HSGPA < 3.00!              HSGPA 3.00–3.49!        HSGPA 3.50+!

Graph reads: 54% of ACT-tested students at 4-year colleges with an ACT Composite score between
28 and 32 and a high school GPA of less than 3.0 obtained a bachelor’s degree within 6 years.
Note: Based on 18,860 ACT-tested students who entered college in fall 2003. Degree completion
rates not provided for ACT Composite score ranges where sample size is less than 50.




                                                                                                    Enrollment Management Trends Report 19
ACT Enrollment Management Trends Report 2012
ACT Enrollment Management Trends Report 2012
ACT Enrollment Management Trends Report 2012
ACT Enrollment Management Trends Report 2012
ACT Enrollment Management Trends Report 2012

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ACT Enrollment Management Trends Report 2012

  • 1. Enrollment Management Trends Report | 2012 A snapshot of the 2011 ACT-tested high school graduates
  • 2. ACT is an independent, not-for-profit organization that provides assessment, research, information, and program management services in the broad areas of education and workforce development. Each year, we serve millions of people in high schools, colleges, professional associations, businesses, and government agencies, nationally and internationally. Though designed to meet a wide array of needs, all ACT programs and services have one guiding purpose—helping people achieve education and workplace success. A copy of this report can be found at www.act.org/emtrends © 2012 by ACT, Inc. All rights reserved. The ACT® is a registered trademark of ACT, Inc., in the U.S.A. and other countries. The ACT National Curriculum Survey® is a registered trademark of ACT, Inc., in the U.S.A. The SAT® exam is a registered trademark of the College Board. 18256
  • 3. Enrollment Management Trends Report ACT created the Enrollment Management Trends Report graduates once they get to college or to work and how they to provide enrollment managers and other college can maximize success—based on their preparation from administrators with information about students’ patterns kindergarten through high school. This unique information is during the college choice process of the 2011 high school an invaluable resource as ACT works closely with states, graduates who took the ACT® test. school districts, and postsecondary institutions to transform More than 1.6 million students—roughly half of the them into a better-aligned P–16 education system. graduating class of 2011—took the ACT during high school. Sources of Information Of these students, a little more than 70% enrolled in college the following fall. This report covers such topics as the Unless otherwise noted, all information in this report comes students’ migration patterns, the time in which they first took from the ACT-tested high school graduating class of 2011. the ACT, their participation in ACT’s Educational Opportunity Information in this report—such as the students’ Service (EOS), and their score-sending behavior. background characteristics, time of testing, ACT scores, college preferences, participation in EOS, and college Our Unique Added Value choices—is collected when students register for and take ACT has been measuring the academic achievement of the ACT. Enrollment information for the ACT-tested 11th- and 12th-grade students since 1959, their career graduating class comes from the National Student aspirations since 1969, and their academic preparation in Clearinghouse (NSC) and is supplemented by enrollment high school since 1985. Since 1996, and every three to five information from ACT’s Class Profile Service.1 years thereafter, ACT surveys thousands of high school and college educators to pinpoint the knowledge and skills ACT believes that the information provided in this report will needed for first-year college coursework. give institutions insight into their current enrollment management practices and offer effective strategies for ACT is the only organization with decades of empirical improvement. information showing exactly what happens to high school Percent of High School Graduating Class Taking the ACT, • Between 2002 and 2011, the number of high school graduates who took the ACT 2002–2011 increased by 45%, from 1,116,082 to 100! 1,623,112. • As a share of all high school graduates, 80! students who took the ACT increased by 10 percentage points, from 39% in 2002 to 49% in 2011. 60! Percent! 45! 47! 49! • The upward trend in ACT participation is 42! 43! 39! 40! 40! 40! 40! due in part to (1) a number of new states 40! (KY, MI, TN, and WY) administering the ACT to all 11th graders, and (2) 20! participation increases in large states such as California, Florida, New York, and Texas. As ACT participation rates have 0! 2002! 2003! 2004! 2005! 2006! 2007! 2008! 2009! 2010! 2011! increased, the pool of ACT-tested students Graduating Year! has become more representative of the nation’s high school graduates. Graph reads: 49% of the high school graduating class of 2011 took the ACT. 1 More than 3,300 colleges participate in the NSC, and these institutions enroll more than 96% of all undergraduates in the United States. Given this broad coverage, we make the assumption in this report that students not identified by the NSC or by ACT did not enroll in college; however, it is possible that some of these students attended a postsecondary institution that does not currently participate in the NSC or in ACT’s Class Profile Service. Enrollment Management Trends Report 3
  • 4. College Readiness Benchmark Attainment The ACT College Readiness Benchmarks are the minimum College Course ACT Subject Test* ACT Benchmark English, reading, mathematics, and science scores English Composition English 18 required for students to have a 50% chance of obtaining Social Sciences Reading 21 a B or higher or about a 75% chance of obtaining a C or College Algebra Mathematics 22 higher in the corresponding credit-bearing college course. Biology Science 24 * ACT Subject Test scores range from 1 to 36. More than 1.6 million students of the Percent of ACT-Tested High School Graduates by Number of high school graduating class of 2011 ACT College Readiness Benchmarks Attained, 2011 took the ACT during high school. • Seventy-two percent of these 245,604 students met at least 1 of the 4 Met 1 College Readiness Benchmarks. 458,399 Benchmark! 15%! Met No • There are far too many students— Benchmarks! 278,528 28%—who met none of the College 28%! Met 2 Readiness Benchmarks. ACT Benchmarks! 17%! research shows that these students are less likely to enroll in college, Met All 4 Met 3 persist over time, and complete a Benchmarks! Benchmarks! degree program within 6 years. 397,712 25%! 15%! 242,869 Graph reads: In 2011, 25% (or 397,712) of ACT-tested high school graduates met all 4 College Readiness Benchmarks. Of the ACT-tested high school College Type Attended by Number of College graduating class of 2011, 53% enrolled Readiness Benchmarks Attained, 2011 in a 4-year college, 18% enrolled in a 2-year college, and 29% did not enroll 100! in college. 80! • A student’s likelihood of enrolling in 80! 69! a 4-year college increased with the 56! number of College Readiness 60! Percent! 50! Benchmarks attained. 45! • A student’s likelihood of either 40! 31! 26! enrolling in a 2-year college or not 25! 18! enrolling in college decreased as 20! 24! 14! 23! 20! the number of College Readiness 13! 6! Benchmarks attained increased. 0! • Of those high school graduates Zero! One! Two! Three! Four! Number of College Readiness Benchmarks Attained! who met either 0 or 1 Benchmark, more than 300,000 did not enroll in 4-Year! 2-Year! Not Enrolled! college. Graph reads: 80% of the ACT-tested high school graduating class of 2011 who met all 4 College Readiness Benchmarks enrolled at a 4-year college. Note: Percentages may not sum to 100% due to rounding. 4 Enrollment Management Trends Report
  • 5. Participation Although both ACT and SAT® scores are accepted at 5 categories based on their ratio of ACT- and SAT-tested virtually all postsecondary institutions that require an high school graduates. The table below lists for each of admissions test, there remain state and regional differences these state categories the ratio of ACT- and SAT-tested in the share of high school graduates who take each test. students that defines the category, the number of states in • In 26 states, at least 60% of the high school graduating the category, and the number of ACT-tested students class of 2011 took the ACT. In 12 of these states, at least across those states. The table also provides for each state 80% of their graduates took the ACT. category the average ACT Composite score and the percentage of students whose family income is greater than • Comparatively, in 18 states and in DC, at least 60% of all $60,000. 2011 high school graduates took the SAT. In 4 of these states, at least 80% of their graduates took the SAT. As you will see throughout this report, ACT-tested students from “ACT+” and “ACT” states often exhibit the student ACT research shows that ACT-tested students differ both in testing and enrollment behaviors of the typical college- terms of their background characteristics and their college bound population in those states. ACT-tested students from selection behaviors depending on the ACT and SAT “SAT” and “SAT+” states, however, frequently exhibit participation rates in the state. To illustrate some of these different testing and enrollment behaviors. differences in this report, we have classified states into State ACT-Tested Family Income Average Category Criteria States Students > $60K ACT Composite ACT+ ACT to SAT ratio of 4+ to 1 21 848,854 39% 20.7 ACT ACT to SAT ratio of 1.5+ to 1  4 121,176 46% 21.7 ACT/SAT ACT to SAT ratio of roughly 1 to 1  5 176,544 33% 19.8 SAT SAT to ACT ratio of 1.5+ to 1 15 424,134 49% 21.9 SAT+ SAT to ACT ratio of 4+ to 1  6  52,404 65% 22.8 Classification of States by ACT and SAT Participation, 2011 • At 32 to 1, North Dakota had the largest ratio of ACT-tested to SAT-tested high school graduates. Maine had the largest ratio of SAT-tested to ACT-tested graduates, at 9 to 1. • In 2011, 100% of the high school graduates in 6 states (CO, IL, KY, MI, TN, and WY) took the ACT. Maine had the largest share of students from the graduating class of 2011 who took the SAT, at 86%. ACT+ ACT ACT/SAT SAT SAT+ Map reads: For the high school graduating class of 2011, Michigan is categorized as an “ACT+” state. Note: State categories were determined by calculating a ratio of ACT-tested and SAT-tested students in each state. Washington, DC, not shown, is categorized as an “SAT” state. Enrollment Management Trends Report 5
  • 6. Student Migration and Academic Achievement Seventy-one percent of the Percent of ACT-Tested College Students Enrolled Out of State ACT-tested high school graduating by ACT Composite Score, 2011 class of 2011 enrolled in college. Of these students, 21% attended 100! college out of state. An enrolled student’s likelihood of 80! attending college out of state increased with his or her ACT 60! 51! Composite score. • Students with a score of 24 or Percent! 36! 40! higher were more likely than 26! average to attend college out of 18! state, whereas students with a 20! 12! 13! National = 21%! score of 23 or lower were less likely than average to enroll out of state. 0! • Just over one-half of all students 1–15! 16–19! 20–23! 24–27! 28–32! 33–36! ACT Composite Score Range! with a score between 33 and 36 enrolled out of state, compared with Graph reads: 51% of ACT-tested college students with an ACT Composite score between only 12% of students with a score 33 and 36 enrolled out of state. of 15 or lower. An enrolled student’s likelihood of Percent of ACT-Tested College Students Enrolled Out of State attending college out of state varied by by State Category, 2011 the ACT and SAT participation rates in the state. 100! • Compared to the migration patterns of students from “ACT” and “ACT+” 80! states, ACT-tested students from “SAT” and “SAT+” states had a 60! higher likelihood of attending Percent! 51! college out of state. 40! • In “SAT+” states, a little more than 26! one-half of all ACT-tested students 21! 18! enrolled out of state. This is more 20! 16! 15! than twice the out-of-state enrollment rate for students from 0! “ACT+” states. ACT+! ACT! ACT/SAT! SAT! SAT+! National! State Category! Graph reads: 18% of ACT-tested college students from “ACT+” states enrolled out of state. 6 Enrollment Management Trends Report
  • 7. Median Distance to College by ACT Composite Score, 2011 Of those ACT-tested high school graduates who enrolled in college, the median distance between home and 200! college was 51 miles. 172! The distance between a student’s 160! home and college increased exponentially with ACT Composite Distance (in Miles)! 112! score. 120! • For students with a score of 15 or 78! lower, the median distance to 80! college was less than 20 miles. 45! • For students with a score between 40! 27! National = 51 miles! 18! 33 and 36, the median distance to college was just over 170 miles. 0! 1–15! 16–19! 20–23! 24–27! 28–32! 33–36! ACT Composite Score Range! Graph reads: Among ACT-tested college students with an ACT Composite score between 33 and 36, the median distance between home and college was 172 miles. Median Distance to College by State Category, 2011 The distance between an ACT-tested student’s home and college also differed considerably by the ACT and 100! SAT participation rates in the state. 87! • A typical ACT-tested student from 80! 77! an “SAT” or “SAT+” state traveled farther to attend college than a Distance (in Miles)! student from an “ACT” or “ACT+” 60! 51! state. 44! 41! • The median distance to college 40! 33! for ACT-tested students from “SAT+” states was 87 miles. This 20! is more than twice the median distance to college traveled by 0! students from “ACT+” states. ACT+! ACT! ACT/SAT! SAT! SAT+! National! State Category! Graph reads: Among ACT-tested college students from “SAT” states, the median distance between home and college was 77 miles. Enrollment Management Trends Report 7
  • 8. Student Migration and Academic Achievement As noted previously, student mobility Percent of ACT-Tested College Students Enrolled Out of State increases with ACT Composite score (ACT Composite Score 1–23), 2011 and it differs by the ACT and SAT participation rates in the state. The maps on this page illustrate the variability across states in the share of their ACT-tested college students who enrolled out of state. The first map focuses on the migration patterns of enrolled students who had an ACT Composite score of 23 or lower. Students within this score range were less likely than average to attend college out of state. • Twenty-one states, most of which are located in the southern and Midwestern parts of the country, < 15% 15%–19% 20%–29% 30%–49% 50%+ had fewer than 15% of students in Map reads: In California, less than 15% of ACT-tested college students with an ACT Composite this score range enroll out of state; score between 1 and 23 enrolled out of state. DC and 7 states located mostly in Note: Washington, DC, not shown, is categorized as “50%+.” the northeastern part of the country had 50% or more of these students attending college out of state. The second map focuses on the Percent of ACT-Tested College Students Enrolled Out of State migration patterns of enrolled students (ACT Composite Score 24–36), 2011 who had an ACT Composite score of 24 or higher. Students within this score range were more likely than average to enroll out of state. • Only 2 states, Arkansas and Utah, had fewer than 15 percent of students in this score range attending college out of state; DC and 12 states located mostly in the northeastern part of the country had 50% or more of these students enrolling out of state. < 15% 15%–19% 20%–29% 30%–49% 50%+ Map reads: In Maine, 50% or more ACT-tested college students with an ACT Composite score between 24 and 36 enrolled out of state. Note: Washington, DC, not shown, is categorized as “50%+.” 8 Enrollment Management Trends Report
  • 9. The graph below shows the intersection of college student Positive numbers represent a net gain in the average migration and academic achievement for ACT-tested achievement level of ACT-tested students enrolled in that students in each state and DC. Student migration is state, whereas negative numbers represent a net loss. For measured by college enrollment patterns, and academic example, the average ACT Composite score for students achievement is measured by ACT Composite score. who migrated into Tennessee to attend college was about Along the horizontal axis is the college migration ratio for 1 point higher than the average score for students who each state. Ratios that are greater than 1 to 1 represent a migrated out of Tennessee. In contrast, the average ACT net gain of ACT-tested students for the state, whereas ratios Composite score for students who migrated into Idaho was that are less than 1 to 1 represent a net loss of ACT-tested about 2 points lower than the average score for students students for the state. For example, West Virginia gained who migrated out of the state. about 3 ACT-tested college enrollees from other states for In looking at the intersection of college student migration each of its ACT-tested high school graduates that attended and academic achievement, states fall into 1 of 4 categories college out of state. California, on the other hand, lost about based on their ACT-tested population: states that have 2 of its ACT-tested high school graduates to colleges in (1) enrollment gain and brain gain, (2) enrollment gain but other states for each ACT-tested college enrollee who came brain drain, (3) enrollment loss but brain gain, and into California. (4) enrollment loss and brain drain. Along the vertical axis is the difference in the average ACT Composite score between students coming into the state to attend college and those leaving the state to attend college. State Migration Patterns and Academic Achievement, 2011* • Thirty-one states and DC had 2.5! migration ratios that were greater MA! UT! than 1 to 1; 19 states had migration 2! Enrollment Loss Enrollment Gain ratios that were less than 1 to 1. Brain Gain MI! Brain Gain Difference in Mean ACT Composite Score! 1.5! (9 states) GA! (15 states + DC) SC! • Roughly half of all states had an ME! IN! 1! TN! LA! VT! average ACT Composite score for DE! MD! MO! PA! in-migrating students that was CA! 0.5! FL! NY! MT! higher than the average score for VA! 0! IL! TX! WA! WI! AR! ND! out-migrating students. MN! NE! OK! AL! CT! CO! -0.5! HI! OH! MS! * States Not Shown NC! -1! NH! SD! AZ! IA! Migration Difference in OR! -1.5! WY! State Ratio Mean ACT Enrollment Loss Enrollment Gain Brain Drain KY! Brain Drain AK 1 : 7.1 –2.8 -2! (10 states) ID! (16 states) WV! NV! DC 4.2 : 1 +5.0 -2.5! 1:3! 1:2! 1:1! 2:1! 3:1! KS 1.2 : 1 –3.4 Ratio of In-Migration to Out-Migration! NJ 1 : 12.5 –2.4 Graph reads: West Virginia gained about 3 ACT-tested college enrollees from other states for each NM 1 : 1.5 –3.5 of its ACT-tested high school graduates who enrolled out of state. The average ACT Composite score for students who migrated into West Virginia to attend college was about 2 points lower than RI 4.4 : 1 –0.8 the average score for students who migrated out of West Virginia. Enrollment Management Trends Report 9
  • 10. Time of First Testing Seventy percent of the ACT-tested College Type Attended by Time of First Testing, 2011 graduating class of 2011 first tested in 11th grade, whereas 30% first tested in 12th grade. Relative to their peers 100! who test earlier, students who first test in 12th grade have been largely 80! overlooked by the recruitment efforts of colleges and scholarship agencies. 60! 56! Percent! In this section of the report, we 47! highlight a few of the characteristics of 40! 32! these test takers. 28! 21! Although there are some differences in 20! 17! the postsecondary destinations of the ACT-tested graduating class of 2011 0! by the time of first testing, the overall Grade 11! Grade 12! pattern is similar. Time of First Testing! • Of those students who first tested 4-Year! 2-Year! Not Enrolled! in 12th grade, 68% went on to Graph reads: 47% of the ACT-tested high school graduating class of 2011 who first tested in college; among those who first 12th grade enrolled at a 4-year college. tested in 11th grade, 72% went on Note: ACT tests taken before 11th grade were not included. Percentages may not sum to 100% to college. due to rounding. • Compared to a student who first tested in 11th grade, a student who first tested in 12th grade had a lower likelihood of enrolling in a Time of First Testing Among ACT-Tested High School 4-year college and a higher Graduates by Family Income Level, 2011 likelihood of enrolling in a 2-year college. 100! 80! 74! 75! 70! 65! 60! Percent! The grade level in which students first took the ACT differed by family income 40! 35! 30! level. 26! 25! • A student’s likelihood of first taking 20! the ACT in 12th grade decreased as family income level increased. 0! • Despite this downward trend by < $36K! $36K–$60K! $60K–$100K! $100K+! Family Income Level! family income level, roughly a quarter of all ACT-tested high Grade 11! Grade 12! school graduates whose family Graph reads: 26% of the ACT-tested high school graduating class of 2011 whose family earned earned $60,000 or above first between $60,000 and $100,000 first tested in 12th grade. tested in 12th grade. Note: Based on 74% of the ACT-tested graduating class of 2011 who reported family income level when registering for the ACT. ACT tests taken before 11th grade were not included. 10 Enrollment Management Trends Report
  • 11. Time of First Testing Among ACT-Tested High School The grade level in which a student first took the ACT differed by his or her Graduates by ACT Composite Score, 2011 ACT Composite score. 100! • A student’s likelihood of first taking 86! 82! the ACT in 12th grade decreased as 76! 80! 70! ACT Composite score increased. 64! 61! • Nonetheless, 1 in 5 students with 60! an ACT Composite score of 24 or Percent! 39! higher first tested in 12th grade. 36! 40! 30! • A student’s likelihood of first taking 24! 18! the ACT in 11th grade increased as 20! 14! ACT Composite score increased. 0! 1–15! 16–19! 20–23! 24–27! 28–32! 33–36! ACT Composite Score Range! Grade 11! Grade 12! Graph reads: 18% of the ACT-tested high school graduating class of 2011 with an ACT Composite score between 28 and 32 first tested in 12th grade. Note: ACT tests taken before 11th grade were not included. Time of First Testing Among ACT-Tested High School The grade level in which a student first took the ACT varied considerably by Graduates by State Category, 2011 the ACT and SAT participation rates in 100! the state. 83! • In “ACT+” states, 17% of students 80! tested for the first time in 12th grade 70! 64! and 83% tested for the first time in 60! 54! 53! 11th grade. This large share of Percent! 52! 46! 48! 47! students who first tested in 11th 40! 36! grade is due in part to the “ACT+” 30! category comprising those states 20! 17! (CO, IL, KY, MI, TN, and WY) that administered the ACT statewide to all public high school 11th graders. 0! ACT+! ACT! ACT/SAT! SAT! SAT+! National! • In contrast, about half of all ACT- State Category! tested students in “ACT/SAT,” “SAT,” Grade 11! Grade 12! and “SAT+” states tested for the first time in 12th grade. Graph reads: 47% of the ACT-tested high school graduating class of 2011 from “SAT+” states first tested in 12th grade. Note: ACT tests taken before 11th grade were not included. Enrollment Management Trends Report 11
  • 12. EOS Participation Students can opt into the ACT Percent Opting Into EOS by Time of First Testing and Educational Opportunity Service (EOS) ACT Composite Score, 2011 when they register to take the ACT. EOS provides students with information 100! 92! 91! 90! 89! about educational and financial aid 86! 84! opportunities by making the names of 90! 89! 80! 84! 84! ACT-tested students available to 79! 75! colleges and scholarship agencies that 60! Percent! meet EOS eligibility guidelines. About 88% of the ACT-tested high school 40! graduating class of 2011 opted into EOS during high school. 20! A student’s likelihood of opting into EOS differed by the intersection of the 0! time of first testing and the students’ 1–15! 16–19! 20–23! 24–27! 28–32! 33–36! ACT Composite score. ACT Composite Score Range! • For students who first tested in Grade 11! Grade 12! 11th grade, a larger share of Graph reads: 79% of the ACT-tested high school graduating class of 2011 who first tested in students with scores in the middle 12th grade and had an ACT Composite score between 28 and 32 opted into EOS. ranges of the score scale opted into Note: ACT tests taken before 11th grade were not included. EOS relative to the share of students at either the lower or upper ranges of the score scale. • For students who first tested in 12th grade, the share of students Percent Opting Into EOS by Time of First Testing and who opted into EOS declined State Category, 2011 steadily as their scores increased. 100! 91! 90! 89! 90! 88! 89! 87! 88! 88! 89! 83! 83! An ACT-tested student’s likelihood of 80! opting into EOS differed very little by the ACT and SAT participation rates 60! Percent! in the state. • Compared to the other state 40! categories, a smaller percentage of students in “SAT+” states opted into 20! EOS. Opt-in rates for “SAT+” states, however, were higher than 80%. 0! • Within each state category, the EOS ACT+! ACT! ACT/SAT! SAT! SAT+! National! opt-in rate did not differ much by State Category! time of first testing. Across all state Grade 11! Grade 12! categories, a large majority of Graph reads: 89% of the ACT-tested high school graduating class of 2011 from “ACT+” states who students who tested for the first time first tested in 12th grade opted into EOS. in 12th grade were interested in Note: ACT tests taken before 11th grade were not included. more information from colleges and scholarship agencies through EOS. 12 Enrollment Management Trends Report
  • 13. Percent of EOS Students Selected by Time of First Testing and Colleges and scholarship agencies that are eligible can use ACT’s EOS ACT Composite Score, 2011 to identify and select prospective 100 97! 98! 98! 99! students whose backgrounds and 86! academic achievement levels align 93! with the mix of desired characteristics 80! 88! 88! 80! of the students in their applicant pool. 60! 57! Among those students who opted into Percent! 57! EOS, a student’s likelihood of being selected by a college or scholarship 40! agency differed by both the time of 31! first testing and the student’s ACT 20! Composite score. • Within all score ranges, a student 0! 1–15! 16–19! 20–23! 24–27! 28–32! 33–36! who first tested in 12th grade was ACT Composite Score Range! less likely than a student who first Grade 11! Grade 12! tested in 11th grade to be selected through EOS. Graph reads: 88% of the ACT-tested high school graduating class of 2011 who first tested in 12th grade, opted into EOS, and had an ACT Composite score between 24 and 27 were • For students who first tested in selected at least once through EOS. 11th grade, the percentage who Note: ACT tests taken before 11th grade were not included. were selected leveled off beginning in the score range of 20 to 23. • For students who first tested in 12th grade, the percentage who Average Number of Times EOS Students Were Selected by were selected increased similarly Time of First Testing and ACT Composite Score, 2011 by ACT Composite score. 50! 42! Average Number of Selections! 40! The number of times that a student 34! was selected by a college or 30! scholarship agency through EOS also 24! differed by both the time of first testing and the student’s ACT Composite 20! 14! score. 10! 8! • Within all score ranges, students 5! 6! 6! 4! who first tested in 12th grade were 1! 1! 0.4! selected by fewer colleges and 0! 1–15! 16–19! 20–23! 24–27! 28–32! 33–36! scholarship agencies than students ACT Composite Score Range! who first tested in 11th grade. Grade 11! Grade 12! • The grade-level gap in the average Graph reads: ACT-tested high school graduates from the class of 2011 who first tested in number of colleges and scholarship 12th grade, opted into EOS, and had an ACT Composite score between 33 and 36 were agencies that selected students selected an average of 8 times through EOS. widened as the students’ ACT Note: ACT tests taken before 11th grade were not included. Composite score increased. Enrollment Management Trends Report 13
  • 14. Score-Sending Behavior Students can send their test scores Number of College Choices at Time of First Testing by at no cost to up to 4 colleges or Family Income Level, 2011 scholarship agencies when they register for the ACT. Many students do 100! not take advantage of this opportunity to get their information to the colleges 80! that they are considering. Of the high 62! 61! school graduating class of 2011, only 60! 57! 51! Percent! 54% sent their test scores to at least 43! 1 college at time of first testing. 38! 39! 49! 40! Score-sending behavior at time of first testing differed by the family income 20! level of the student. • A student’s likelihood of submitting 0! test scores to at least 1 college " $36K! $36K–$60K! $60K–$100K! $100K+! decreased as family income level Family Income Level! increased. At least 1! None! • Conversely, a student’s likelihood of Graph reads: 57% of the ACT-tested high school graduating class of 2011 whose family earned not submitting any test scores at between $60,000 and $100,000 sent their ACT scores to at least 1 college at time of first testing. the time of ACT registration Note: Based on 74% of the ACT-tested graduating class of 2011 who reported family income level when registering for the ACT. increased with family income level. A student’s score-sending behavior Number of College Choices at Time of First Testing by at time of first testing differed State Category, 2011 substantially by the ACT and SAT participation rates in the state. 100! • In “ACT” and “ACT+” states, more than 50% of graduates sent their 80! ACT scores to at least 1 college. 64! 60! • In contrast, fewer than 50% of 60! 55! 55! 54! Percent! 49! 51! graduates in “SAT” or “SAT+” states 45! 45! 46! 40! sent their ACT scores to at least 40! 36! 1 college. 20! 0! ACT+! ACT! ACT/SAT! SAT! SAT+! National! State Category! At least 1! None! Graph reads: 60% of the ACT-tested high school graduating class of 2011 from “ACT+” states sent their ACT scores to at least 1 college at time of first testing. 14 Enrollment Management Trends Report
  • 15. Enrollment by College Preference Enrollment by College Choice Number and Students can send their test scores to up to 4 colleges or scholarship ACT Composite Score, 2011 agencies in preferential order when 50! 45! they register for the ACT. This ranking 44! 41! of their college choices provides an 40! 36! 38! early indicator of students’ intentions and has been shown by ACT research 29! to be an important predictor of college 30! Percent! enrollment. 20! 16! 17! 18! 18! 16! • Regardless of ACT Composite 14! score, ACT-tested college enrollees 10! 11! 11! 11! 11! 10! 9! attended their 1st choice college at 8! 9! 8! 8! 8! 9! significantly higher rates than that for their 2nd, 3rd, and 4th choice 0! 1–15! 16–19! 20–23! 24–27! 28–32! 33–36! colleges. ACT Composite Score Range! • The rate at which students enrolled 1st Choice! 2nd Choice! 3rd Choice! 4th Choice! at their 1st choice college increased steadily between the ACT score Graph reads: 45% of ACT-tested college students with an ACT Composite score between 28 and 32 enrolled at their 1st choice college. ranges of 1 to 15 and 28 to 32, and Note: Based on ACT-tested college students who sent scores to at least 1 college when registering then decreased for the score range for the ACT. For students who tested more than once, the college choice set from the last ACT test of 33 to 36. The rates at which was used. students enrolled at their 2nd, 3rd, and 4th choice colleges varied far less by ACT Composite score. Enrollment at Same College Type as Preference by When students register for the ACT, they can indicate the type of college ACT Composite Score, 2011 that they prefer to attend. In general, 100! 96! 99! the students’ college type preference 90! 86! 84! is a good indicator of the type of 79! 78! 80! 74! 75! college that they eventually attend. 64! 65! 73! 64! • Regardless of whether the college 70! 60! 52! is public or private, students with a Percent! 63! 45! 60! 4-year college preference are more 53! 40! 35! likely to attend this college type as 43! their ACT Composite score 28! increases. 20! • Students with a 2-year college 0! preference are less likely to attend 1–15! 16–19! 20–23! 24–27! 28–32! 33–36! this college type as their ACT ACT Composite Score Range! Composite score increases. 4-Year Total! 4-Year Public! 4-Year Private! 2-Year Total! Graph reads: 99% of ACT-tested college students with an ACT Composite score between 33 and 36 who preferred a 4-year college enrolled at a 4-year college. Note: Based on ACT-tested college students who provided college type preference when registering for the ACT. Enrollment rates not provided for ACT Composite score ranges where sample size is less than 50. Enrollment Management Trends Report 15
  • 16. Interest-Major Fit College majors have different academic cultures. Selecting Interest-major fit clearly benefits both students and the a college major that is rewarding—that provides college they attend: students engaged in good-fit majors are opportunities to do preferred activities and express one’s more likely to stay in college, stay in their major, and finish values—is an example of interest-major fit. While many sooner. students gravitate toward majors that fit their interests, many Interest-major fit is derived from two data elements that are do not. This has important implications. Evidence is collected during ACT registration: (1) the student’s ACT accumulating that the fit between students’ interests and Interest Inventory scores and (2) the student’s intended their college major is important in understanding and major from a list of 294 college majors. predicting student outcomes. Research at ACT and The interest-major fit score used here measures the strength elsewhere suggests that if students’ measured interests are of the relationship between the student’s profile of ACT similar to the interests of people in their chosen college Interest Inventory scores and the profile of interests of majors, they will be more likely to: students in a given major. Interest profiles for majors are • remain in their major based on a national sample of undergraduate students with • persist in college a declared major and a GPA of at least 2.0. Major was • complete a college degree in a timely manner determined in the third year for students in 4-year colleges, and in the second year for students in 2-year colleges. There is a lot of variation by planned Interest-Major Fit for a Subset of Planned Majors, 2011 major in the share of ACT-tested high school graduates who selected a major that is a good fit with their 100! personal interests. The chart shows the level of interest-major fit for a 80! subset of college majors selected by 62! the graduating class of 2011. 60! Percent! 52! • Sixty-two percent of students who 44! 41! 40! 37! planned to major in accounting had 28! 32! 31! 32! 30! 26! 27! 26! personal interests that were a good 20! fit for this major, and only 12% had 20! 12! personal interests that were a poor fit for accounting. 0! Accounting! Music! Pharmacy! Special Philosophy! • In contrast, only 26% of students Education! Planned Major! who planned to major in philosophy had personal interests that were a Good Fit! Moderate Fit! Poor Fit! good fit for this major, whereas 44% Graph reads: 62% of the ACT-tested graduating class of 2011 with a planned accounting major and had personal interests that were a an interest-major fit score had good fit between their personal interests and the major environment. poor fit for philosophy. Note: Not all planned college majors are included in the graph. Based on 66% of the ACT-tested high school graduating class of 2011 for which the interest-major fit index could be calculated. For students who tested more than once, planned major from the last ACT test was used. Interest-major fit ranges from 0–99, with values of 80 and higher indicating good fit, values between 60 and 79 indicating moderate fit, and values less than 60 indicating poor fit. 16 Enrollment Management Trends Report
  • 17. Interest-Major Fit by ACT Score Range, 2011 A student’s likelihood of having a good fit between personal interests and 50! 47! planned major increased with ACT 45! 42! 42! Composite score. 38! 40! 36! • Slightly less than half of all students 32! 32! 32! 32! 31! 33! with a score between 33 and 36 30! selected a major that was well Percent! 31! 30! 27! 27! aligned with their interests, 24! 20! 21! compared with only 27% of students with a score of 15 or 10! lower. • Conversely, 42% of students with a 0! score of 15 or lower had a poor 1–15! 16–19! 20–23! 24–27! 28–32! 33–36! ACT Composite Score Range! interest-major fit, whereas only 21% of students with a score between Good Fit! Moderate Fit! Poor Fit! 33 and 36 selected a major with Graph reads: 27% of the ACT-tested high school graduating class of 2011 with an ACT Composite poor fit. score between 24 and 27 and an interest-major fit score had poor fit between their personal interests and the major environment. Note: Based on 66% of the ACT-tested high school graduating class of 2011 for which the interest-major fit index could be calculated. For students who tested more than once, planned major from the last ACT test was used. Interest-major fit ranges from 0–99, with values of 80 and higher indicating good fit, values between 60 and 79 indicating moderate fit, and values less than 60 indicating poor fit. Persistence in Major by ACT Score Range and Interest-Major Fit Evidence from a sample of ACT-tested college students illustrates the added value of interest-major fit in predicting 100! student persistence within their major. • Students with a good interest-major 80! 73! 68! fit persisted in their major at higher 63! 58! 60! 65! rates than students with moderate 60! 55! 58! and poor fit, with the largest Percent! 54! 56! 52! 53! 51! 55! difference at the upper ranges of 40! 48! 45! 45! 47! the ACT Composite score scale. • A student with an ACT Composite 20! score between 33 and 36 who had a poor fit between personal 0! interests and college major had the 1–15! 16–19! 20–23! 24–27! 28–32! 33–36! ACT Composite Score Range! same chance of persisting in the major as a student with an ACT Good Fit! Moderate Fit! Poor Fit! Composite score of 15 or lower with a good interest-major fit. Graph reads: 58% of ACT-tested college students with an ACT Composite score between 16 and 19 and good fit with their entering college major persisted in the same college major family through the start of their third year of college. Note: Based on a sample of 62,494 ACT-tested students who entered college between 2000 and 2006 and remained enrolled in the second (2-year students) or third (4-year students) year of college. College major family represented by 2-digit CIP code. Interest-major fit ranges from 0–99, with values of 80 and higher indicating good fit, values between 60 and 79 indicating moderate fit, and values less than 60 indicating poor fit. Enrollment Management Trends Report 17
  • 18. Predictors of Success ACT continues to recommend the use High School GPA Distribution Among ACT-Tested High School of multiple criteria when assessing the Graduates Who Reported Grades, 2011 college readiness of students. Two of the more commonly used criteria for 25! 25! assessing academic readiness are highlighted in this section of the report. 20! The distribution of high school GPAs among the ACT-tested graduating 16! 15! 15! 14! class of 2011 has a sizable concentration of students with GPAs Percent! at the upper end of the range and 10! 9! 8! relatively few students with GPAs in the lower end of the range. 5! 5! 4! 4! • 41% have a GPA over 3.5 • 55% have a GPA over 3.25 0! < 2.00! 2.00–2.24! 2.25–2.49! 2.50–2.74! 2.75–2.99! 3.00–3.24! 3.25–3.49! 3.50–3.74! 3.75+! • 30% have a GPA under 3.0 High School GPA Range! Given the skewed shape of this distribution, it is difficult to further Graph reads: 25% of the ACT-tested high school graduating class of 2011 who reported high school grades earned a GPA of 3.75 or higher. differentiate the achievement levels of Note: Based on 86% of the ACT-tested high school graduating class of 2011 who reported high a large number of students at the school grades in core subjects. upper end of the distribution. As such, ACT recommends that high school GPA not be the sole measure of academic achievement in making admissions, scholarship, and course ACT Composite Score Distribution Among ACT-Tested placement decisions. High School Graduates Who Reported Grades, 2011 The distribution of ACT Composite 25! scores among the graduating class of 21! 2011 who reported high school GPA 20! 19! is more symmetrical, with a 18! concentration of students in the middle of the score range and fewer 15! 14! Percent! students with scores in the upper and 12! lower ends of the range. 10! 8! Compared to the GPA distribution, it is easier to differentiate the achievement 5! 4! levels of students at the upper end of 3! the ACT score distribution. While the 1! largest number of GPAs is in the range 0! 1–12! 13–15! 16–18! 19–21! 22–24! 25–27! 28–30! 31–33! 34–36! of 3.75 and higher, the largest number ACT Composite Score Range! of ACT scores is in the range of 19 to 21. Graph reads: 14% of the ACT-tested high school graduating class of 2011 who reported high school grades earned an ACT Composite score between 25 and 27. Note: Based on 86% of the ACT-tested high school graduating class of 2011 who reported high school grades in core subjects. 18 Enrollment Management Trends Report
  • 19. Bachelor’s Degree Completion Within 4 Years by High school GPA and test scores often provide unique information about a ACT Composite Score and High School GPA student’s achievement level that is 100! predictive of his or her academic success in college. ACT recommends that high school GPA and ACT scores 80! 71! be used together when measuring the 63! academic achievement of students, 60! 51! and that these measures are Percent! Overall 4-Year! 44! Completion! 39! 39! combined with other evidence in 40! Rate = 35%! making decisions about the college 27! 37! 30! readiness of students. 20! 17! 20! 22! Among a random sample of 11! 17! 5! 10! ACT-tested students who entered 0! 4-year colleges in fall 2003, 35% 1–15! 16–19! 20–23! 24–27! 28–32! 33–36! ACT Composite Score Range! earned a bachelor’s degree within 4 years and 62% earned a bachelor’s HSGPA < 3.00! HSGPA 3.00–3.49! HSGPA 3.50+! degree within 6 years. Graph reads: 39% of ACT-tested students at 4-year colleges with an ACT Composite score between Whether one looks at 4-year or 6-year 20 and 23 and a high school GPA of 3.5 or higher obtained a bachelor’s degree within 4 years. rates, degree completion rates Note: Based on 18,860 ACT-tested students who entered college in fall 2003. Degree completion rates not provided for ACT Composite score ranges where sample size is less than 50. increase with both high school GPA and ACT Composite score. • Within each GPA range, there are large differences in completion Bachelor’s Degree Completion Within 6 Years by rates by ACT Composite score. ACT Composite Score and High School GPA For example, for students with a high school GPA in the range of 3.5 100! or higher, 4-year completion rates 90! 84! vary from 17% to 71%, depending 78! 80! Overall 6-Year! on ACT Composite score. Completion! 70! Rate = 62%! • Similarly, within any ACT Composite 70! 60! 58! 65! score range, there are large Percent! 60! differences in completion rates by 40! 54! 40! 49! 48! high school GPA. For example, for 44! students with an ACT Composite 32! 34! score between 24 and 27, 6-year 20! 22! completion rates vary from 48% to 78%, depending on high school 0! 1–15! 16–19! 20–23! 24–27! 28–32! 33–36! GPA. ACT Composite Score Range! HSGPA < 3.00! HSGPA 3.00–3.49! HSGPA 3.50+! Graph reads: 54% of ACT-tested students at 4-year colleges with an ACT Composite score between 28 and 32 and a high school GPA of less than 3.0 obtained a bachelor’s degree within 6 years. Note: Based on 18,860 ACT-tested students who entered college in fall 2003. Degree completion rates not provided for ACT Composite score ranges where sample size is less than 50. Enrollment Management Trends Report 19