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SAP Mobile Services




 Mobile Operator Guide 2013
 The Evolution of Mobile Services:
 Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities
SAP Mobile Services




Mobile Operator Guide 2013
The Evolution of Mobile Services:
Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities
Mobile Operator Guide 2013
The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities
Published by Sybase, an SAP Company
Sybase, One Sybase Drive, Dublin, CA 94568-7902, U.S.A.
© 2013 SAP AG or an SAP affiliate company. All rights reserved.
No part of this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or for any purpose without the express permission of SAP AG.
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information and notices.
Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data
SAP Mobile Services
Mobile Operator Guide 2013, The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities
Edited by Peggy Anne Salz
p. cm.
ISBN 978-0-9885886-2-2
1.Mobile technology.
Library of Congress Control Number: # 2012953199
Printed in the United States of America
Except as permitted under the United States Copyright Act of 1976, no part of this publication may be reproduced or distributed in any form or
by any means, or stored in a database or retrieval system, without the prior written permission of the publisher.
Table of Contents

10	     FOREWARD
        By John Sims, President, SAP Mobile Services


13	     PART 1: INTRODUCTION : A WEALTH OF OPPORTUNITIES
14	     Mapping A New World For Mobile Operators
        By John Sims, President, SAP Mobile Services

18	     Driving Growth In The Digital Economy
        By Stephan Gatien, Global Lead, Telecommunications Business Unit, SAP and
        Jens Amail, Senior Vice President and General Manager for Services, SAP


25	     PART 2: STRATEGIES FOR DRIVING REVENUE
26 	    Long Live SMS
        Text messaging continues to grow from strength to strength as new services and
        paradigms around mobile marketing and mobile apps drive volumes and usage.
        By William Dudley, Group Director, Product Management, SAP Mobile Services

33 	    Moving To The SMS Hubbing Model
        Operators are recognising that SMS hubbing is not just about connectivity; it can
        ease the management burden around cross-border messaging traffic.
        By Robert Rose, Senior Director, Global Operator Services, SAP Mobile Services

36 	    Latin America Offers Big SMS Opportunities
        Personal Paraguay and Tigo Colombia discuss local market requirements and weigh
        on the tremendous opportunities and innovation that are driving SMS growth.




Mobile Operator Guide 2013 The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities   3
43 	   Cybersafety: Everyone’s Responsibility
       The Cyber Information Sharing and Protection Act addresses how information
       should be shared between private companies and the government to catch malicious
       actors breaching networks to steal information or sabotage systems.
       By Steve Largent, President & CEO, CTIA-The Wireless Association

48 	   Does The Future Of Mobile Security Lie In The Past?
       Text messages are a powerful vehicle for reaching people — but they are also
       increasingly the starting point for malware attacks.
       By Mary Landesman, Senior Security Researcher, Cloudmark

53 	   Mobile Number Portability: Increasing Competition And Driving Value
       Mobile Number Portability has come a long way since it was implemented in the 1990s,
       but it now confronts mobile operators with a variety of commercial challenges.
       By Mitul Ruparelia, Director of Sales Engineering (EMEA and LATAM), SAP Mobile Services

58 	   Intelligent Hubbing: Easing International SMS Routing Complexity
       A comprehensive checklist and solid advice aimed at helping operators remove
       the complexity around establishing and managing SMS routing.
       By Mark Weait, Vice President Sales, SAP Mobile Services

63 	   Orchestrating Capabilities Delivers High Performance
       Bharti Airtel details the strategy that has allowed it to spread its wings across
       the African continent, lay the groundwork for value-added services and deliver
       high volume at low cost.
       By N. Arjun, Chief of Projects & Transformation, Bharti Airtel


68	    PART 3: IPX: INTERCONNECTING OPERATORS FOR UNLIMITED
       OPPORTUNITIES
69 	   Bundling Services Makes Business Sense
       Korea Telecom discusses the importance of Voice over IPX in its larger strategy to
       future-proof its network, ensure end-to-end quality of service and grow its wholesale
       business. Interview with Incheul Park, Head of Wholesale Team, Global Business Unit,
       Korea Telecom




4
74	     Expanding Voice Connectivity Via IPX: An Operator Perspective
        In the Philippines Globe Telecom is embarking on an ambitious network change to
        deliver customer benefit by making cross regional interconnectivity better and easier.
        By Gil Genio, Head of International and Business Markets, Globe Telecom, Inc.

78 	    The Value Of A True IPX
        Mobile Operators can best leverage the full benefits and economies of scale that
        IPX provides if they look beyond just offering basic services, such as voice and data
        roaming, and focus on delivering the services their customers will demand next.
        By John Candish, Senior Director, IPX Business, SAP Mobile Services and
        William Dudley, Group Director, Product Management, SAP Mobile Services

83 	    Nine Ways To Get More Value Out Of IPX
        IPX offers tremendous value and here are 9 things operators need to do to ensure
        they can reap and maximise the benefits.
        By John Candish, Senior Director, IPX Business SAP Mobile Services

86	     Making The Right Connections
        SingTel recounts the lessons, learnings and results of its recent IPX trial, the first
        step in a private international network connecting all the Group companies.
        Interview with David Ng — Vice President, Regional Technical, of SingTel’s
        International team in the Group Consumer organization

91 	    A Brave New All-IP World
        When it comes to IPX, peering among IPX providers is an essential element because
        it is the enabler of global reachability.
        By Elena Sacco, Chairman of the IWG at the GSMA and Senior Interconnect Manager, TIM

94 	    Boosting Trust, Building Business
        In countries like Africa IPX does more than provide interconnectivity; it also meets the
        needs of local telecommunications authorities for transparency and accountability.
        By Ranjeet Wilkhu, Director, Neucom Solutions

98 	    Voice: The IPX Killer App
        A candid view of the many benefits IPX provides. While many focus on future
        scenarios around LTE roaming, PCCW outlines how IPX can already enhance voice.
        By Richard Midgett, Managing Director – Wireless Business, PCCW




Mobile Operator Guide 2013 The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities   5
104	 PART 4: LTE: UNLEASHING INNOVATION TO DELIVER RESULTS
105	    Enabling 4G LTE For ALL
        MetroPCS discusses its early decision to deploy LTE and how this head start on
        the competition has allowed the U.S. operator to scale its business and satisfy its
        customers with value-driven services.
        By Ed Chao, Senior Vice President, Engineering and Network Operations, MetroPCS

111 	   Fighting Smart To Win Big
        A clever approach harnessing RCS will allow operators to compete with OTT players
        with new services such as group instant messaging or chat, live video sharing and file
        transfer across any device, on any network, with anyone in a mobile address book.
        By Madan Jagernauth, Vice President, Marketing & Strategy, Mavenir Systems

117	    Positioning LTE For Success
        Research and insights brings clarity into the industry discussion about LTE, the
        benefits it delivers and reasons why operators take the lead in educating consumers.
        By Declan Lonergan, Research VP, Yankee Group

124	    Breaking Down Borders: Getting The Most Out Of LTE Roaming
        LTE is reaching a stage of maturity where technology is no longer a barrier to
        deployment, so now it’s up to mobile operators to architect the strategies that
        will leverage the complete range of benefits.
        By James Middleton, Managing Editor, Telecoms.com

127 	   Video Communications: “A Perfect Storm”
        Consumer use of video has entered a new phase of growth, driven by devices,
        services and networks built to support it. But the wave of interest in mobile
        video could overwhelm service providers.
        By Ramsey Masri, Vice President, Sales & Alliances, Aylus Networks

134 	   Enabling Roaming Across LTE Networks
        LTE will enable new services, but it will also put high demands on the data roaming
        backbone and require more bandwidth and resilient network connectivity.
        By Matthew Tonkin, Global Head, IPX Business, SAP Mobile Services




6
138 	   LTE Roaming In Latin America: Conditions For Success
        The deployment of LTE across Latin America brings with it a host of benefits and
        equips operators to address the spectrum limitations facing their networks.
        By Alejandro Martinez, Chairman, Billing & Roaming Working Group (BARG), GSMA LA

142 	   LTE: New Technology Boosts New Business
        A review of the business models, approaches and services, such as mobile video
        calling, that will allow operators to drive even more revenue out of their costly
        LTE investments.
        By Michel Van Veen, Group Manager, Product Management, SAP Mobile Services


147	    PART 5: OTT: OPEN THREAT OR HIDDEN OPPORTUNITY
148 	   OTT Threat: Top Strategies To Fight Smart
        Learn from real-life examples, including KPN and China Mobile, about the real impact of
        OTT services on voice and messaging revenues and how mobile operators turn the tide.
        By Pamela Clark Dickson, Senior Analyst, Mobile Content & Applications Intelligence
        Center, Informa Telecoms & Media

156 	   Evaluating Strategies To Face OTT Providers
        Operators need to be more digital. Does Telefónica Digital, a unit aimed at developing
        new applications and business models for mobile technology show the way?
        By Eusebio Felguera, Corporate Regulatory Manager, Telefónica

161 	   NUVOs: An Alternative To Disruptive OTT
        Not all OTT apps threaten mobile operator revenues. Network Unaffiliated Virtual
        Operators (NUVOs) actually benefit operators and boost their business.
        By Austin Murray, Founder & President, textPlus

166 	   OTT Ecosystem: Paving The Way For Opportunity
        The inevitable arrival of an all-IP world also reinforces the needs for deeper part-
        nerships between operators and OTT players. MediaFriends discusses apps and
        approaches showing the way.
        By Gene Lew, CTO, MediaFriends




Mobile Operator Guide 2013 The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities   7
172	    PART 6: UNLEASHING THE POWER OF MOBILE COMMERCE
173 	   Mobile Money For The Masses
        Qtel has made its mark with its Mobile Money services and an innovative self-serve
        approach that meets the needs of both migrant workers and affluent customers.
        By Richard Morecroft, Assistant Director Mobile Money, Qtel

179	    Driving Mobile Money Usage In Unbanked Regions
        Driving customer adoption and increasing activation rates in mobile money is no
        easy task. The key is proper audience segmentation and a sharp focus on customer
        education.
        By Yasmina McCarty, Senior Manager, GSMA MMU

184 	   Blueprint For A Successful Remittance Service
        A review of the mobile remittance services available today reveals a variety of
        different approaches to tackle the challenges of sign-up, cash-in and cash-out.
        By Diarmuid Mallon, Head of Global Mobile Marketing Programs, Programs &
        Demand Generation, SAP

190 	   Operators: Tap Your Strategic Assets
        Mobile operators might only have scratched the surface when it comes to
        understanding their true potential to accelerate and enhance the mobile
        payments and commerce experience for consumers everywhere.
        By Aditya Kurejkar, Co-Founder and Program Director, Money2020

194 	   Mobile Commerce Opportunities For Operators
        Building and deploying a successful mobile payment service requires operators
        to consider a wide range of variables, from business models to local telecom
        and financial regulations.
        By Matthew Talbot, Senior Vice President, Mobile Commerce, SAP


200	PART 7: LEVERAGING MOBILE TO ACHIEVE LASTING LOYALTY
201	    Perception vs Reality: What’s Your Mobile Strategy?
        The arrival of the empowered consumer turns up pressure on operators and
        enterprises to create and implement a comprehensive mobile strategy that is
        truly end-to-end, multi-channel and, more importantly, customer-centric.
        By Howard Stevens, Senior Vice President, Global Messaging Solutions,
        SAP Mobile Services



8
205 	 The Power Of Push
        Push notifications also open up new opportunities around customer service
        and marketing, allowing mobile operators to deliver simple alerts to the
        customer — and trigger the customer to take action.
        By Coleen Carey, Director of Product Marketing, Urban Airship

211 	   Harmonising Touch Points, Technology, Processes And People
        Celcom details the milestones and motivations that have helped it evolve its view
        of customer experience and sharpen its focus on encouraging lasting loyalty.
        By Suresh Sidhu, Chief Corporate and Operations Officer, Celcom Axiata Berhad

215 	   Ask, Listen And Build Lasting Loyalty
        Talk to your customers, and listen to what they say. A successful mCRM program
        integrates social interaction, customer engagement and customer feedback.
        By Sally Burley, Director, The 3rd Degree

220 	 Why Customer Engagement Campaigns Pay Dividends
        An in-depth look at how mobile changes the rules of engagement, allowing mobile
        operators, brands and businesses to maintain continuous customer touch and drive
        deeper engagement.
        By Gregory Dunn, Vice President, Product Management, SAP Mobile Services

228	    Glossary Of Terms

234	    Index Of Contributor Companies

240	    Acknowledgements




Mobile Operator Guide 2013 The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities   9
FOREWORD



Mapping A New World For
Mobile Operators
By John Sims, President, SAP Mobile Services




IP is changing the game. Advanced               The author in this case was referring to
mobile devices, new technologies,               mobile video communications, where
                                                growth is driven by devices, services and
increased competition and a
                                                networks. But mobile video isn’t the only
shift in subscriber expectations                market segment on the brink of the tipping
towards truly personal and                      point. This Guide shows that other services,
relevant interactions are coming                such as SMS, LTE, mobile commerce and
                                                mobile customer loyalty, are also entering a
together to cause disruption in the
                                                new phase of growth and innovation.
telecom industry - for operators
and all the companies in their                  •	 SMS: While some analyst reports predict
business ecosystems.                               the decline of text messaging, SMS
                                                   continues to be the number one data
However, the same conditions also spell            communications tool and the most
massive opportunities for companies                effective direct marketing channel ever
prepared to take charge of change. As one          created. In almost all emerging markets it
of the 40+ industry authorities who has            remains the ubiquitous data service of
provided insights for this Guide, points out:      choice. In developed markets, the
the rapid pace of change and the interplay         explosion of mobile apps, a development
of supply and demand for services that are         which many thought would mark the
aligned with customers’ requirements are           death of SMS, has actually pushed
combining to generate the mobile industry’s        application-to-person (A2P) traffic
own Perfect Storm.                                 growth to a new level. This spells




10
opportunity for mobile operators and                   enhance mobile money and mobile
  service providers to harness text                      banking services. Now it’s up to mobile
  messaging to supercharge a variety of                  operators to map out comprehensive
  services, ranging from mobile marketing                strategies that cultivate partnerships
  and mobile advertising, to mobile                      with key players, such as banks, and
  commerce and mobile banking.                           adapt to local market conditions, such
                                                         as regulations, demographics, and the
•	 LTE: As mobile network operators move                 emergence of new remittance corridors.
   towards 4G/LTE and an all-IP network,
   many will cooperate to expand their                •	 Mobile loyalty: Because mobile is a
   network footprint and pave the way for                fiercely personal device, it’s an ideal
   compelling new services that will delight             means to reach customers on every step
   customers and drive positive results for              of their daily journey to encourage inter-
   everyone in the ecosystem. The advance                action and deepen engagement. Whether
   of LTE will also challenge operators to               operators and marketers choose to
   develop strategies to cooperate with and              harness text messaging, new forms of
   enable Over-the-Top players in a manner               IP-based messaging, mobile web or
   that benefits the ecosystem and wrings                mobile apps (or all in combination) they
   new revenues out of operator core capa-               can clearly leverage mobile as a channel
   bilities such as location information,                to boost customer loyalty and recruit true
   billing support and network management.               brand advocates. However, just as in real-
                                                         life, building a relationship is about talking
•	 Mobile commerce: From researching                     and listening, and that’s why companies
   products to making purchases, consum-                 must develop mobile loyalty programs
   ers are increasingly reaching for their               that effectively do both.
   mobile devices as an essential shopping
   companion. At the other end of the                 This inaugural edition of the Mobile
   spectrum, and particularly in the under-           Operator Guide features the insights of
   banked regions of the world, consumers             industry thought leaders and innovators to
   are gravitating to services delivered by           identify market trends, best practices and
   mobile operators that have expertly                key lessons learned in deploying mobile
   leveraged their distribution channels,             services. The purpose of this industry
   retail presence and trust to expand and            knowledge resource is to provide readers




Mobile Operator Guide 2013 The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities   11
clear direction and critical information,
equipping them to develop strategies to
drive messaging revenue, deploy cost saving
solutions, generate new revenue streams
from mobile commerce, build loyalty
through customer engagement programs,
plan for LTE roaming through IPX adoption
and maintain competitive advantage in an
IP-based world.


The onward march of next-generation
services into daily life has created a new
world order in the telecoms industry.
Think of this Guide as a starting point to a
roadmap, one that will allow you to plot the
transformational path your business needs
to follow to succeed in this exciting new
digital economy.




12
PART ONE: INTRODUCTION
A WEALTH OF OPPORTUNITIES
PART ONE: INTRODUCTION: A WEALTH OF OPPORTUNITIES



Mapping A New World For
Mobile Operators
By John Sims, President, SAP Mobile Services



What a difference a decade makes.           product offerings were comparatively
You need only go back that far to           straightforward, with “all-you-can-eat”
                                            pricing plans the industry standard. It
find the “early days” of mobile
                                            seems like a long time ago, but it was only
network operators’ journey with             in 2001 that the first inter-operator SMS
mobile data, comparatively speak-           messages were delivered in the U.S., with
ing, a world that hardly compares           SAP Mobile Services launching the first
                                            inter-operator SMS messaging hub in
to today’s landscape. Amid the
                                            concert with AT&T Wireless. More signifi-
far-reaching changes that have              cantly, during those formative years,
taken hold since then, the com-             operators took a walled-garden approach
plexity that now distinguishes              to mobile data, with services delivered
                                            within a closed ecosystem – a far cry from
operator services brings with it
                                            the interoperable, pan-operator network
a rich abundance of opportunities           topology that has evolved since then.
to those who are forward-thinking
and adaptive in their strategies            From that initial “closed system” approach,
                                            rapidly advancing technology and the
and capabilities.
                                            explosive growth of international travel by
A decade or so ago, an operator’s world     globe-trotting executives and power users
revolved almost exclusively around voice.   contributed to the dramatic changes we
In an environment of minimal competition,   have seen take root since then. The eclipse




“  s the cost of spectrum and the pace at which
  A
  new network technologies needed to be deployed
  rose, operators needed to consider cooperative
  arrangements with their fellow operators,
  something that would not have previously
  been on the table.”

14
Table 1: Global mobile data growth today is similar to global internet growth
in the late 1990s

Global internet traffic growth (fixed)                       Global mobile data traffic growth

1997                             178%                        2009                                      140%

1998                             124%                        2010                                      159%

1999                             128%                        2011                                      133%

2000                             195%                        2012 (estimate)                           110%

2001                             133%                        2013 (estimate)                            90%

2002                             103%                        2014 (estimate)                            78%

Figure 1: Based on data from Cisco. Cisco Visual Networking Index Mobile 2012

www.slideshare.net/CiscoSP360/cisco-visual-networking-index-vni-global-mobile-data-traffic-forecast-20112016


of voice by data, accompanied by the advent                   it was clear that mobile network operators
of successively more powerful generations                     could no longer dictate the user interface.
of network technology leading to 4G, an                       As the cost of spectrum and the pace at
all-IP environment, accompanied by today’s                    which new network technologies needed
open infrastructure, means operators must                     to be deployed rose, operators needed to
generate profits by significantly rethinking                  consider cooperative arrangements with
their business models.                                        their fellow operators, something that
                                                              would not have previously been on the table.
Traditionally, mobile network operators have
owned and controlled everything, including                    In addition, in order to accelerate the adv-
physical equipment, radio networks, serv-                     ance of the network effect for new services,
ices infrastructure, devices and user inter-                  operators in some countries have come
faces. But amid their changing economics,                     together in joint ventures or cooperatives to
many have had to rethink this approach.                       lower their costs and seed the market with
With the rise of the smartphone, driven by                    new service technologies – for example, the
the iPhone and Android devices,                               Isis joint venture in the United States or the




Mobile Operator Guide 2013 The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities             15
proposed mobile payments venture among            to fiercely defend their franchises against the
operators in the United Kingdom.                  threat from the Internet-based companies
                                                  or so-called Over-The-Top (OTT) players. As
To a certain degree this kind of thinking         part of their strategy, operators will want to
has been accelerated by operators’ need           not only create a strong domestic footprint;
to compete against Internet-based players,        they will also look to extend this to a global
which have arrived in the mobile space as         level, much as they have done over the past
creative and formidable competitors. It also      decade or so with SMS.
marks a realisation by many mobile network
operators that their future success depends       This is precisely where SAP Mobile Services
more upon the innovative services that they       provides the most critical value. We are
offer subscribers than it does on the under-      delivering the world-class interoperability
lying network technology – a substantial          and reach that comes with our role as an
shift in emphasis.                                independent custodian residing between
                                                  and among operators. It is a role that
So, as mobile network operators move              demands a truly holistic level of visibility –
towards 4G/LTE and an all-IP network,             horizontally, across geographies spanning
many will cooperate to achieve a more rapid       the Americas, Europe, the Middle East,
and ubiquitous network footprint that will        Africa and Asia, and vertically, providing the
allow them to offer compelling new services       technology and connectivity required to
that will capture the imagination of their        ensure that today’s ever-expanding operator
subscribers. In doing so, they will compete       ecosystem continues to flourish. Most
against other mobile network operators,           importantly, SAP Mobile Services possesses
but they will also have to operate in a much      the vision and resources to realise its custo-
faster cycle of innovation that will allow them   dial role in every dimension.




“  he advent of a new world for operators follows
  T
  decades of incremental improvements
  punctuated by breakthrough technologies.”




16
This inaugural edition of the Mobile                  The advent of a new world for operators
Operator Guide 2013, The Evolution of                 follows decades of incremental improv-
Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies,              ements punctuated by break-through
Opportunities provides a rich taste of the            technologies. The result has been a new
bold new world that has materialised and              paradigm for communication. All of us at
continues to take shape. Inside, our expert           SAP Mobile Services are working with
stable of authors delve into the current state        diligence and with our eyes on the future
of play and the most important emerging               to enable all participants in the value chain
issues in operator services, including:               to experience the unprecedented power,
                                                      ease and benefits of this new world of inter-
•	 Operator strategies for driving and                operability, reach and global interaction.
   optimising messaging revenue
•	 Roaming and interconnect issues,
   including the interplay of LTE in an               John Sims is President of SAP Mobile
                                                      Services, the recognised global leader in
   IPX environment
                                                      mobile messaging and interconnect services.
•	 OTT Messaging, voice and video services,           He has more than 20 years experience
   including managing the challenges con-             with companies supplying technology and
   fronting operators in a BYOD (Bring Your           solutions to mobile operators. Sims has
   Own Device) world                                  been recognised with the prestigious Ernst
                                                       Young Entrepreneur of the Year Award in
•	 Mobile commerce and the myriad of
                                                      the communications category. He is also a
   opportunities for operators                        member of the Board of Directors of CTIA
•	 Customer engagement, including a                   and has been a speaker and panellist at
   roadmap for building loyalty by                    numerous industry events.
   empowering customers.




Mobile Operator Guide 2013 The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities   17
PART ONE: INTRODUCTION: A WEALTH OF OPPORTUNITIES




Driving Growth In The
Digital Economy
By Stephan Gatien, Global Lead, Telecommunications Business Unit, SAP
and Jens Amail, Senior Vice President and General Manager for Services, SAP


In July 2012, just before the                  On one hand, the success of smartphones
London 2012 Olympics, no one                   has led to increased data activities, with
                                               subscribers happily clocking time to play
could have imagined that one of
                                               games, watch videos, post on social sites,
the first headlines in the main-               tweet and send text messages. This phe-
stream press would be about the                nomenon has contributed to the decline of
local mobile networks’ bandwidth               revenues from voice services, once the cash
                                               cow of the entire industry without really
problems. But this is precisely
                                               offsetting it to date.
what happened shortly after the
Games opened.                                  On the other hand, costs to provide
                                               adequate network infrastructure to support
After having encouraged athletes and fans      this explosion of data traffic are on the rise.
to tweet freely, Twitter was blamed for        As the 2012 Olympic Games in London
disrupting the coverage of the cycling road    showed, the infrastructure available still
race. Ironically, the sheer volume of mobile   cannot always handle the load and meet
social traffic along the course was so over-   expectations for connectivity and reliability.
whelming that it even interfered with the
GPS and telemetry updates from the race,       Granted, network upgrade investments
which left those covering the games without    represent a heavy financial burden for all
information on positions and timings.          players in the ecosystem. However, these
                                               network investments are essential building
This twist of fate was a perfect metaphor      blocks for future services and business
for the dilemma and challenges faced by        models. In fact, 2013 is widely expected to
communications service providers today.        be a blockbuster year for infrastructure




2013 is widely expected to be a blockbuster year
for infrastructure spending, with a large number of
operators aggressively expanding their LTE networks.


18
London Olympics - UK SMS traffic
(Times are local to London - August 6 - 8)

                                                                                                                                                               +10%
                                                    + 46%                         +18%                                          +8%




                                                                                                                                                                                               August 8
                                                                                                                                                                                               August 7
                                                                                                                                                                                               August 6
1:30
       2:30
              3:30
                     4:30
                            5:30
                                   6:30
                                          7:30
                                                 8:30
                                                        9:30
                                                               10:30
                                                                        11:30
                                                                                 12:30




                                                                                                                                                               21:30


                                                                                                                                                                               23:30
                                                                                                                                                                                        0:30
                                                                                          13:30
                                                                                                  14:30
                                                                                                           15:30
                                                                                                                    16:30
                                                                                                                             17:30
                                                                                                                                      18:30
                                                                                                                                              19:30
                                                                                                                                                       20:30


                                                                                                                                                                       22:30
Figure 1: Based on data from SAP.




London Olympics - UK SMS traffic
(Times are local to London - August 1 - August 5)
                                                                                                                                                         +46% - 18:20:
                                    +36% - 14:20:                                                                                                        Men’s team cycling
                                    UK’s Andy Murray                                                                                                     sprint - UK wins gold
                                    beats Roger Federer
                                    for gold in tennis




                                                                                                                                                                                               August 3
                                                                                                                                                                                               August 4
                                                                                                                                                                                               August 2
                                                                                                                                                                                               August 1
                                                                                                                                                                                               August 5
 1:30
        2:30
               3:30
                      4:30
                             5:30

                                    6:30
                                           7:30
                                                  8:30
                                                         9:30
                                                                10:30
                                                                         11:30
                                                                                  12:30




                                                                                                                                                                       22:30
                                                                                           13:30
                                                                                                   14:30
                                                                                                            15:30
                                                                                                                     16:30
                                                                                                                              17:30

                                                                                                                                       18:30
                                                                                                                                               19:30
                                                                                                                                                       20:30
                                                                                                                                                               21:30


                                                                                                                                                                                23:30

                                                                                                                                                                                        0:30




Figure 2: Based on data from SAP.




Mobile Operator Guide 2013 The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities                                                                                             19
London Olympics - UK SMS traffic
(Times are local to London - July 27 - July 31)

                                                        +36%: 21:10:
                                                        USA wins gold
                                                        in Men’s 4 x 200m
                                                        freestyle relay (swimming)




                                                                                                                                                                                      July 27
                                                                                                                                                                                      July 28
                                                                                                                                                                                      July 29
                                                                                                                                                                                      July 30
                                                                                                                                                                                      July 31
1:30
       2:30
              3:30

                     4:30
                            5:30
                                   6:30
                                          7:30
                                                 8:30
                                                        9:30
                                                               10:30
                                                                       11:30
                                                                               12:30
                                                                                       13:30
                                                                                               14:30
                                                                                                       15:30
                                                                                                               16:30
                                                                                                                       17:30
                                                                                                                               18:30
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                                                                                                                                               20:30
                                                                                                                                                       21:30
                                                                                                                                                               22:30
                                                                                                                                                                       23:30
                                                                                                                                                                               0:30
Figure 3: Based on data from SAP.




spending, with a large number of operators                                                     Voice and Skype — allow messaging and
aggressively expanding their LTE networks.                                                     VoIP calls between users. While these
                                                                                               free services may have a strong appeal
                                                                                               to customers, they have a decidedly
Tough competition                                                                              negative impact on operators’ bottom line.


But network upgrades aren’t the only item                                                      Analysts estimate OTT messaging revenues
on the business agenda. Operators also                                                         as much as $13.9b, or 9% of message
have to develop strategies and capabilities                                                    revenue, in 2011. This decline has led some
to compete against new rivals.                                                                 to wonder whether most incumbent provid-
                                                                                               ers are not facing their “Kodak moment”. By
Increased penetration of smartphones has                                                       way of background, Kodak filed for bank-
opened the door to powerful and disruptive                                                     ruptcy protection in 2012 after recognizing
actors offering OTT services. These services                                                   its products were obsolete and the competi-
— which include Apple’s Facetime, Google                                                       tion was insurmountable. Similarly, mobile




20
UK Olympics - Opening Ceremonies
(UK SMS traffic - 27 July 2012 17:00 - 28 July 2012 03:00)
                                                                                                                 22:30 -22:40: +137%
                                                                                                                 Team Great Britain
                                                                                                                 enters the stadium
                                                                                                                 during Parade of Nations
                        21:10 +32%
                        Ceremony begins                                                                          23:50 +56% official
                                                                                                                 opening of games
                                                                                                                 Queen’s speech
                        21:40 +40% Rowan
                                                                                                                 00:20 +25% IOC
                        Atkinson “Plays” during
                                                                                                                 President speaks
                        Chariots of Fire
                                                                                                                                                         Opening
                        Pre-ceremony -                                                                                                                   Ceremony
                        up to 56% of normal                                                                                                              Traffic
                                                                                                                                                         Normal
                                                                                                                                                         Traffic
17:30

        18:00

                18:30

                        19:00

                                19:30

                                        20:00

                                                20:30

                                                        21:00

                                                                21:30

                                                                        22:00

                                                                                22:30

                                                                                        23:00

                                                                                                23:30

                                                                                                        0:00

                                                                                                               0:30

                                                                                                                      1:00

                                                                                                                             1:30

                                                                                                                                    2:00

                                                                                                                                           2:30

                                                                                                                                                  3:00
21:40: +40% The Queen parachutes in 22:30-22:40 +137% Parade of Nations begins
23:50 +56% Team GB enters the stadium.

Figure 4: Based on data from SAP.




players are now struggling to compete                                                   position of strength and drive profitable
against more agile and innovative newcomer                                              growth in this new era.
companies, as well as OTT providers.
                                                                                        First and foremost, operators — because they
                                                                                        are network operators — control the backbone
Operator assets                                                                         of the Digital Economy: connectivity.


However, it would be a huge mistake to                                                  But owning the network is not enough. To
count operators out of the Digital Economy                                              avoid being relegated to the role of a “dumb
race too soon. Operators own critical assets                                            pipe,” operators must also be able to capitalise
they can leverage to build competitive                                                  on their successful track record of service
advantage, establish themselves in a                                                    delivery, including five 9s service availability.




Mobile Operator Guide 2013 The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities                                                           21
Porter                 Telco 2.0             Nature of               Characteristics
strategy               strategy              smartness

Cost leadership        Happy Pipe            Smart network           Cost efficiency - minimal network,
                                                                     IT and commerical costs. Simple
                                                                     utility offering.

Differentiation        Full-service          Smart services          Technical and commerical flexibility:
                       Telco 2.0                                     improve customer experience by
                                                                     integrating network capabilities with
                                                                     on and third-party services and
                                                                     charging either end user or service
                                                                     provider (or both).
Figure 5: Based on data from STL Partners. www.stlpartners.com/telco2_index.php




Operators also have proven security and data                the conduit between these ‘upstream’
integrity capabilities that will increasingly               partners and their traditional ‘downstream’
appeal to business customers as adoption of                 customer base, thus increasing their reach,
cloud- based models take off.                               presence and value-add.


What’s more, operators also have a long                     Finally, CSPs have insights into a vast
-standing relationship with their customer                  quantity of data about their customers,
base. This puts them in a unique position to                such as service usage patterns, location
act as digital service brokers between this                 -based activities, roaming history and
large audience and a multitude of partners                  on-device behaviour on a daily basis. This
that want to reach this audience with                       impressive store of customer information
content, software or new services to offer                  represents a largely untapped monetisation
via the mobile channel.                                     opportunity for operators in an increasingly
                                                            data-centred economy.
Pursuing this model — often referred to as
the Teleco 2.0 model (1) — would allow Com-                 So, how do CSPs move forward to imple-
munications Service Providers (CSPs) to be                  ment the right strategies and — ultimately


FOOTNOTES

1.	 As originally defined by STL Partners



22
2013 is widely expected to be a blockbuster year
for infrastructure spending, with a large number of
operators aggressively expanding their LTE networks.


— succeed in the digital era? We believe                 created new digital divisions to seize new
they will need to focus on some key areas                opportunities including mobile commerce
to drive profitable growth in the new                    and machine-to-machine communications
Digital Economy.                                         (M2M) in order to generate incremental
                                                         revenue beyond their traditional services.
•	 CSPs should fully leverage their scale,               Telefónica’s direct to bill initiative is a strik-
   superior reliability and service delivery             ing example of how an operator can lever-
   capabilities, to invest in new business               age its billing relationship with its mobile
   models in areas such as Cloud and Mob-                customers to increase sales of digital goods
   ility. Operators such as China Telecom or             and services, while learning to partner —
   Telstra in Australia have already adopted             not compete — with OTT players.
   this strategy with success. They offer
   on-demand business solutions to a                  The monetisation of subscriber data, in
   variety of business customer segments,             accordance with privacy laws, is also
   in particular targeting small and medium           emerging as a strong opportunity for CSPs
   size businesses. Other mobile operators,           to grow their revenues. By leveraging the
   such as Rogers Communications in                   vast amounts of customer data they own —
   Canada, are launching business-oriented            in real-time and at scale — CSPs can gain
   mobile app stores. This is part of a larger        advantage in two important ways. They can
   effort to become a one-stop shop for               serve their existing customers more effec-
   business customers, providing everything           tively, and they can also use the customer
   mobility-related, including mobile app             information to take advantage of opportuni-
   hosting and mobile device management.              ties in new markets — such as proximity
•	 Large providers should also think beyond           marketing or mobile advertising — where
   connectivity. Telefónica and SingTel are           customer data is key. To accomplish this
   perfect examples of what operators can             CSPs will need to adopt a highly scalable
   achieve. They have transcended their               foundation suited for the real-time world.
   traditional organisational boundaries, and         An examination of the results achieved by



Mobile Operator Guide 2013 The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities      23
However, it would be a huge mistake to count
operators out of the Digital Economy race
too soon. Operators own critical assets they
can leverage to build competitive advantage,
establish themselves in a position of strength
and drive profitable growth in this new era.


T-Mobile US, for example, confirms that
an in-memory based platform is very well        Jens Amail is Senior Vice President and
                                                General Manager for Services Industries at
suited to provide such a foundation.
                                                SAP as well as the Business Unit for Billing,
                                                Revenue and Innovation Management. Prior
Fortune smiles on the brave. It is time for     to joining SAP in 2008, Jens was with Siemens
CSPs to make bold moves to develop their        Communications for 10+ years in a variety of
growth strategy in the digital era. They have   Senior Executive and General Management
                                                roles both in Europe and the US. Jens has a
the necessary assets to create new growth
                                                broad cross-functional background in the
engines and focus on the abundant oppor-        Communications Industry with Executive
tunities in the Cloud and Mobility markets.     assignments in Sales, Services, Marketing,
Moreover, operators can innovate and invent     Solution Management and Operations.
new data-driven business models and
services (such as proximity marketing).         Stephan Gatien is a Global Lead within the
                                                Telecommunications Business Unit at SAP
If operators can arm themselves with the
                                                focusing on Business Analytics and Database
correct capabilities and business models,        Technology. In that capacity, he is respon-
they can seize these opportunities, create      sible for the analytics and data platform
lucrative new revenue streams and prosper       strategy in the industry, including SAP HANA,
from the Digital Economy.                       oversees the related solution activities and
                                                leads the  analytics and data platform  go-
                                                to-market activities globally Prior to joining
                                                SAP, Stephan was with Telus where he held a
                                                variety of management roles in the wireless
                                                division of this Canadian operator.




24
PART TWO
STRATEGIES FOR DRIVING REVENUE
PART TWO: STRATEGIES FOR DRIVING REVENUE




Long Live sms
By William Dudley, Group Director, Product Management, SAP Mobile Services


Mobile industry watchers have                     (and do) use their mobile phones to send
been predicting the death of the                  and receive text messages.

humble text message for over
                                                  Veteran mobile author and analyst Tomi
a decade, but a raft of recent                    Ahonen estimates people sent a whopping
research confirms that SMS is                     6.1 trillion text messages in 2011, up from
very much alive and kicking.                      1.8 trillion in 2007. Meanwhile Informa
                                                  Telecoms  Media state that total SMS
Marking the 20th anniversary of SMS, U.K.         traffic will reach 8.7 trillion by 2015, up
analyst firm Portio Research points out that      from over 5 trillion messages in 2010. In
SMS has been very successful, generating          its newest forecast analyst firm Portio
approximately $821 billion for operators          Research calculates that total traffic will
worldwide since it was invented in 1992.          reach nearly 10 trillion messages by 2015.


Overall, worldwide mobile messaging was           Clearly, SMS is THE most ubiquitous,
the highest earner in the industry, raking in     non-verbal communications medium in the
$179.2 billion in 2010 alone. Portio Research     history of mankind. Today, SMS can reach
forecasts that this total will increase to more   over 5.4 billion people around the world —
than $280 billion in 2014, and exceed $300        over 77 percent of the world’s population.
billion by 2016. Of this total, SMS alone will
generate $155 billion worldwide in 2014, and      In developing countries SMS plays a special
it promises to continue to play a significant    role, transforming lives and economies at an
role in revenue terms in the coming years,       amazing scale. Innovation in these regions
the report said.                                  also allows companies, organisations and
                                                  governments to harness simple text mes-
                                                  saging and achieve extraordinary results.
Pervasive and personal                            From life-simplifying reminders to life-saving
                                                  medical advice, text message services are
It’s the simplicity, pervasiveness and sheer      changing the nature of commerce, banking,
dominance of text messaging that has made         education, healthcare, news reporting and
it the world’s leading data communication         political participation.
tool. People everywhere on the planet can




26
In developed markets SMS is by far the most           In other countries text messaging continues
effective way for people to communicate with          to dominate. In Canada The Wireless
each other — and connect with companies.              Telecommunications Association reports
Whether chatting with friends, or receiving           the number of personal text messages sent
alerts from banks and favourite brands, text          every year has nearly quadrupled since
is the primary communications tool.                   2008 and hit a whopping 78 billion
                                                      messages in 2011. In the U.K. the Ofcom
                                                      Telecommunications Market Data Update
Continuing tide of text                               Q1 2011 reports the total number of SMS
                                                      and MMS messages sent in Q1 2011 was
Significantly, even the advance of smart-             36.9 billion, up 22.7 percent over Q1 2010.
phones — chock-full of features, functional-
ity and a wide variety of mobile applications
— hasn’t changed consumers’ dependence                The impact of OTT
on text messaging to connect with the world
around them. In fact, a recent consumer               Amid this stellar growth, some analysts
study from Deloitte shows that SMS holds              wonder if the text messaging trend could
the lead. More consumers than ever prefer-            flip from growth to decline. New messaging
ring texting, and the vast majority (90               capabilities bundled with iPhones and
percent) of smartphone users sending at               Android phones, as well as the advance of
least one text message per day.                       OTT messaging services and applications
                                                      are among the root causes for the recent
Another trend that shows no signs of slowing          dip in SMS volumes in mature markets such
is text use among teenagers. In the U.S. this         as Philippines and Taiwan. News that OTT
demographic relies on text more than any              player WhatsApp reported hitting the mile-
other customer segment. Research firm                 stone of ten billion messages a day further
Nielsen, which bases its finding on a variety         suggests operators could be vulnerable to
of data including monthly survey results from         this new competition.
300,000 consumers, reports that texting has
tripled, with teenage girls sending 40 percent        However, Analysts point out the race is far
more text messages than boys. That’s an               from run. It estimates that companies like
average of 3,952 text messages per month.             WhatsApp and BlackBerry will generate 35
It’s a continuing tide of communication               percent of the total messaging traffic in
Nielsen calls a “mobile data tsunami.”                2016, but only 8 percent of the revenues.




Mobile Operator Guide 2013 The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities   27
Average number of messages exchanged per month
By age and gender, Q3, 2011




  604              802


                                3,417



                                        1,914


                                                 928
                                                          709
                                                                  434
                                                                           167     64

  Male           Female         13-17   18-24   25-34    35-44   44-54    55-64    65+


Figure 1: Based on data from Nielsen.




Moreover, SMS will continue to dominate                 Open rules
messaging and revenues, generating 42
percent of the traffic and some 65 percent              People are empowered by SMS to commu-
of total income.                                        nicate with anyone who has a mobile phone.
                                                        However, alternative messaging apps are
Indeed, Informa is not convinced that OTT               limiting, not liberating. Unlike text messag-
apps and services might undermine estab-                ing, these OTT services operate in a vacuum.
lished text messaging habits. It argues that
many factors — including mobile operator                Instead of overarching communities that
pricing strategies, the penetration of mobile           span the planet, they create isolated islands
broadband and customer requirements                     of users who are completely cut off from
to more open communications — will                      friends and family members on the basis
“determine how quickly and to what extent               of the handsets and software they use.
substitution occurs.”




28
A Facebook user and a person using iMessage           interworks with the existing SMS eco-
may be good friends in real-life, but the fact        system. Indeed, many of the operators
they use different services prevents them             featured throughout this first edition of
sending and receiving messages.                       the Mobile Operator Guide are betting
                                                      on RCS to drive an interoperable, back-
This flies in the face of what communica-             ward compatible messaging medium for
tions is all about, and presents opportunities        subscribers and — ultimately — pave
for mobile operators to bridge the gap.               the way for new and innovative services.
There are exciting and lucrative options
to consider. Some mobile operators will
choose to work with OTT players, enabling             No limits
them to achieve the integration of messag-
ing communications. Others will follow the            Technology advances like RCS will allow
lead of operators like Telefónica, which              messaging — including text messaging —
recently launched a free mobile application           to evolve and continue to account for a signi-
that combines free text chat, voice calls,            ficant share of operator revenues. The future
picture and location sharing between users.           for OTT providers, however, is not quite so
                                                      positive. Spoiled by choice and delighted by
Interoperability will also be delivered by            the freedom to communicate with anyone
the GSM Association standard called                   (and not just people that use that the same
Rich Communications Suite (RCS), which                application), consumers will no doubt vote
includes a next-gen, real-time, presence-             with their feet. It’s clear that many of the OTT
enabled messaging component that also                 players will simply fade away.




Unlike text messaging, these OTT services
operate in a vacuum. Instead of overarching
communities that span the planet, they create
isolated islands of users who are completely
cut off from friends and family members on the
basis of the handsets and software they use.



Mobile Operator Guide 2013 The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities   29
It’s the simplicity, pervasiveness and sheer
dominance of text messaging that has made it
the world’s leading data communication tool.



In the meantime, SMS-compatible1 services          Ironically, the rise of mobile apps, initially
from companies including textPlus will             hailed as a new channel to the customer
continue to flourish, offering customers           that could potentially dethrone SMS, has
more features and greater reach. But it’s          actually pushed text messaging growth
not just person-to-person messaging that           to a new level.
will increase. Growth will be also be driven
by a desire from companies, businesses             Brands and marketers, as well as applica-
and brands to connect with their customers         tion developers, are harnessing SMS to
(and potential customers) via SMS.                 extend the life of their apps, keeping their
                                                   users posted on updates, breaking news,
Research underlines the pivotal role of            location-based opportunities, campaign
mobile in campaigns to engage with custom-         perks and other important information.
ers, encourage interaction and boost loyalty.      More importantly, text messaging allows
From consumer facing brands that use text          brands and marketers to re-connect with
messaging to deliver brand messages and            customers who haven’t used their apps
links to downloadable content and perks, to        recently — or even deleted it altogether. The
large retailers that cleverly use text messaging   result is a booming Application-to-Person
to deliver product vouchers and drive cus-         (A2P) market Jupiter Research estimates
tomer loyalty, the central role of SMS is          will be worth $70.1 billion by 2016.
clear. Perhaps the best confirmation comes
from Coca-Cola, that declared that SMS is
the “number one priority” in its comprehen-        Positive outlook
sive strategy to reach a global audience and
increase customer engagement. Analysts             Clearly, the next five years will see operators
termed it a “bombshell announcement”               in many parts of the world leverage their
because other marketers quickly followed           all-IP networks, but even this progress will
suit, launching strategies with mobile             not shut the door to SMS. To the contrary,
messaging at the center.                           LTE networks using IMS infrastructure will
                                                   lay the groundwork for messaging services



Footnote:

1.	 SMS-compatible services include some OTT service providers (also known as NUVOs or
Network Unaffiliated Virtual Operators that inter-work with the SMS ecosystem. This stands in
strong contrast to other OTT providers, such as WhatsApp, that do not offer SMS interoperability.




30
Global revenue from A2P SMS split by eight key regions 2016



 Latin America

 Indian Sub Continent

 Africa  Middle East

 Central  Eastern                                                             North America
 Europe




 Rest of Asia
 Pacific




                                                                              Western Europe
 Far East
  China



Figure 2: Source: Juniper Research. (1)




that will remain interoperable with today’s           1992 between Neil Papworth (of Sema
text messaging. In other words, there will be         Group Telecoms) and Richard Jarvis of
no interruption in service, or even reach.            Vodafone – the message read “Merry Christ-
                                                      mas”. Today, SMS is the most widely used
The humble text message that just cele-               mobile data service, with two-thirds of
brated its 20th anniversary has seen a lot            the world’s population using the channel to
of changes since the first SMS was sent in            connect and communicate. From a business



FOOTNOTE:

1.	 www.juniperresearch.com/reports/Mobile_Messaging_Markets




Mobile Operator Guide 2013 The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities   31
perspective, SMS is expected to remain
a significant source of revenues and traffic
for mobile operators on a global basis
for years to come. The bottom line: the
advance of an all-IP world will transform
SMS, but text messaging will also continue
to be alive and well.



William Dudley has 25 years experience
building and managing telecommunications
network infrastructures. He leads SAP Mobile
Services Messaging Team, which focuses on
solutions including inter-operator SMS and
MMS products (P2P) and mobile messaging
hubs and services (A2P SMS and MMS).
Dudley also provides industry commentary
to both internal and external mobile industry
publications, through analyst and media
interviews, and is active in several industry
groups. http://scn.sap.com/people/william.
dudley/content




32
PART TWO: STRATEGIES FOR DRIVING REVENUE



Moving To The sms
Hubbing Model
By Robert Rose, Senior Director, Global Operator Services, SAP Mobile Services



SMS is ubiquitous, universal and                      services dedicated to message protocol
widely regarded as the truly native                   conversion. Having met the domestic
                                                      challenges of the North American market,
language of mobile. However, this
                                                      international messaging between non-
phenomenon, and the massive                           GSM U.S./Canadian operators and their
development of SMS since the last                     GSM counterparts worldwide soon also
years of the 20th century, has not                    benefitted from the technology and
                                                      connectivity offered by the hub solution.
been without its challenges around
enabling — and guaranteeing —                         In developing countries, scarce human
message delivery.                                     and technical resources within operators
                                                      across these markets has accelerated the
Notably, there have been challenges in North          requirement for hubbing services. In the
America, where differences in technologies            case of Tier 1 and 2 operators, for example,
prevented the launch of off- net messaging            hubbing has tended to be a niche solution.
for a few years. In contrast, almost the rest         In other words, the solution enabled “gap-
of the world was well progressed in its adopt-        filling” in a mobile operator’s footprint,
ion of inter-operator SMS based largely on            thus satisfying subscriber demand for
homogenous GSM standards.                             international SMS P2P connections when
                                                      that operator’s own roaming agreements
The solution to the technology differences            were not sufficient to provide the required
in North America was provided by hubbing              messaging interconnects.




In developing countries, scarce human and technical
resources within operators across these markets has
accelerated the requirement for hubbing services.




Mobile Operator Guide 2013 The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities   33
As a consequence, operators are recognising that a hub
can enable them to outsource the management burden
around some of their cross-border messaging traffic.




Making the mainstream                             operator can actually become a much
                                                  more significant benefit.
The situation began to change when the
GSM Association launched the Open
Connectivity project in 2005. By seeking          Good business sense
to manage and regulate (in a light-touch
manner) the development of peering hubs           Today, economic pressure on most oper-
for person-to-person SMS the GSMA                 ators is now driving even more traffic (and
effectively endorsed the hubbing concept.         more revenue for the networks). Headcount
This, in turn, ensured the adoption of            cuts, affecting even the most-established
hubbing as a mainstream business practice         operators, are reducing their ability to
for the global operator community.                manage their interworking activity effectively.


Since 2005 the major hub providers have           As a consequence, operators are recogn-
seen a steady growth in demand for their          ising that a hub can enable them to out-
services. This has resulted in the develop-       source the management burden around
ment of an abundant revenue stream based          some of their cross-border messaging
on the termination charges on inbound             traffic. This approach also reduces the
traffic delivered by hubs. The ability to drive   managerial overhead around areas such as
new revenues from additional SMS traffic          the negotiation and maintenance of bilateral
— possible because hub prov-iders have            agreements with destination operators and,
extesive global reach and the ability to          when traffic is flowing, the upkeep of various
provide two-way access to operators               number ranges within the SMSC.
previously unreachable — has been an
added attraction over and above the               Routing all traffic for a particular country to
greater reach achieved.                           a hub mitigates number range management
                                                  tasks and delivers business benefit. As
Since term fees are paid on a strictly per-       operators come to embrace the idea of
message basis, this revenue source clearly        delegating responsibility for some cross-
increases in proportion to the organic as         border SMS traffic, they also discover that
well as incremental growth in traffic. As a       the more routes they outsource to the hub
result, what might first appear to be a minor     provider, the more they can increase their
contributor to the Roaming Department             revenue “take” from their inbound traffic.
PL account belonging to a mobile                 In the end, what started out as a simple




34
exercise to offload a handful of “awkward”            Real-world examples of this problem
destinations soon becomes a full-scale                are currently being addressed. Efforts to
outsourcing venture.                                  resolve this effectively will naturally require
                                                      flexibility on behalf of both operators and
                                                      hub providers.
Growing revenues
                                                      In summary, in just over ten years subscrib-
The financial ecosystem surrounding                   ers’ need for global two-way communication
cross-border P2P SMS is a complex matrix              via SMS has become the fundamental driver
of MO charges and MT payments. For hub                of mobile network data revenues. While
providers, managing this is well worth the            domestic interworking is mainly addressed
effort as long as they can continue to make           through bilateral relationships, cross-border
a margin on the connectivity services they            traffic is increasingly being routed through
provide. In view of this dynamic, traffic             the established, peered hubs. Though this
through hubs will continue to grow. Impor-            trend is a consequence of the expedient and
tantly, the opportunities for operators to            effective solution that a hub connection can
cultivate a worthwhile revenue stream will            provide, the opportunity to develop a new
also grow in parallel.                                and worthwhile revenue stream is now —
                                                      more than ever — an incentive for operators
However, it’s worth noting that outsourcing           to subscribe to the hubbing model.
can impact the revenues operators poten-
tially gain from their bulk messaging (or
“enterprise messaging”) business. This is             A 20-year veteran of the information systems
                                                      business (both fixed and mobile), Robert Rose
because outsourcing all messaging traffic
                                                      began working in the mobile industry as a con-
means outsourcing bulk messaging as well.             sultant to British Telecom’s mobile operations
                                                      subsidiary Cellnet. Since 2004 Robert has
By way of background, this traffic would              guided SAP Mobile Services’s international
have been reliant on the prior, direct                development in P2P messaging services.
connect, bilateral routes. Obviously, in
cases where these are replaced by a hub’s
connections for P2P business, the non-P2P
traffic needs to secure its own routing and,
potentially, its own commercial agreements.




Mobile Operator Guide 2013 The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities   35
PART TWO: STRATEGIES FOR DRIVING REVENUE



Latin America Offers Big
sms Opportunites

From the rural regions, where farmers             SMS leads the pack
and small businesses use mobile to
                                                  Interestingly, this revolution also brings a
manage their workday, to exciting city
                                                  boost to text messaging services. But it’s
centres where youth — in particular—              not just about operator services allowing
rely on mobile to connect with friends            people with ordinary feature phones to
and family 24/7, Latin America is                 communicate. Analysts note that text
                                                  messaging continues to provide a solid
more connected than ever before.
                                                  foundation for a wide range of services,
In fact, making or receiving a call or text       from banking to basic education, to
message in Latin America has never been           widening access to health information.
easier. A new report titled Maximising            Against this backdrop, it is clear markets
Mobile, the third in a series on Information      like Latin America — not the more devel-
and Communications for Development                oped markets of Europe and North
published by the World Bank, reveals that         America — will lead messaging growth
nearly 98 percent of the region’s population      and innovation.
have mobile cell signal and 84 percent of
households use a mobile service.                  Feature phones are the focus because Latin
                                                  America’s smartphone market is still in its
On average 81 percent of subscriptions in         infancy. Research firm Pyramid Research
Latin America are prepaid. Understandably,        reports that the smartphone segment in
many in the region use mobile phones to           Latin America will grow to 48 million in 2014.
make voice calls, averaging 141 minutes of        This is a marked increase, but doesn’t
talk-time a month. In most markets the vast       negate the fact that Latin America continues
majority of users (97 percent in Argentina, for   to lag behind the rest of the world in smart-
example) regularly use SMS to communicate.        phone adoption.


Clearly, the level of growth in mobile usage      But this gap also offers mobile operators
will continue, expanding into ever more           a tremendous opportunity to wring more
rural areas across Latin America. It marks        value out of text messaging. Ironically, it is
what the report calls “the beginning of the       also the low penetration of smartphones
mobile revolution.”                               that has kept over-the-top (OTT) players




36
Maximising mobile for development

Growth of global mobile subscriptions                                   World’s population with mobile cell signal

                      2000                                                               Over 6 billion
    71%        29% 0.7 billion                                               2003
                                                                             61%         mobile subscriptions
                   subscriptions                                                         worldwide
                                                   2010
    23%          77%                               5.9 billion
                                                                             2010        75% of the World
                                                   subscriptions                         now has access to
                                                                             90%
    High-income countries             Developing countries                               a mobile phone


Rise of non-voice mobile usage
% National population
                                                             96
    89
                        82                 49
                                                                                    72               72
                              61                                                         58
                                                                                                          48
                                                                   38
          31    29                               26
                                   18                                     22                                    19
                                                        10                                    15
     KENYA                   MEXICO             INDIA         INDONESIA          EGYPT          UKRAINE
                                                                               (ARAB REP)
    Send text message		                    Take pictures or video with mobile	        Use mobile internet

Pace of mobile phones spread globally
(billions)
     The number of mobile subscriptions will soon take over the world’s population
                                                                                                      Fixed-line
8                                                                                                     subscriptions
     2002 There are over 1 billion mobile subscriptions, passing fixed-line users                     Global
                                                                                                      population
6
     1978 First commerical cellular mobile services established

4
     1961 85 years later, fixed-line subscriptions
     reach 100 million
2
     1876 Alexander Graham Bell holds the first                                                       Mobile
     two-way telephone conversation                                                                   subscriptions
0
     1875            1900          1925               1950         1975              2000     2011 2015
Figure 1: Based on data from Infodev. www.infodev.org/en/Document.1178.pdf

Mobile Operator Guide 2013 The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities               37
at bay. This, in turn, has slowed the advance    Personal Paraguay, a leading mobile
of messaging apps that enable smartphone         operator in Paraguay and part of Personal
users to send unlimited free messages to         Telecom group, has extended its
their friends. These OTT messaging apps          international SMS coverage to reap
such as WhatsApp, Viber and Apple’s              significant business benefits. “SMS is an
iMessage are cannibalising SMS revenue           important part of how our customers
and changing the way mobile users comm-          communicate,” notes Miguel Ruiz, Personal
unicate with their peers.                        Paraguay Roaming Manager. “Our cust-
                                                 omers want to be in touch with friends,
This is not the case in Latin America,           family and colleagues whether they are in
according to ABI Research, developed             the same neighborhood, or living in a
markets have experienced a marked                different country.”
decrease in SMS sent because of the rise
of OTT alternatives, but the drop in regions     More importantly, customers expect their
such as Latin America and Africa is not          text message communications to be
as significant.                                  dependable and robust. “To achieve these
                                                 SMS connections is a huge task that
                                                 requires negotiations with operators and
International SMS requirements                   technical tests to ensure SMS quality and
                                                 reliability,” Ruiz explains. To streamline the
Clearly, feature phones have several             process and deliver customers the service
more years to thrive in Latin America. This      they expect, Personal Paraguay has teamed
provides operators a window of opportunity       up with SAP Mobile Services. “The hub SMS
to generate strong revenues from their           service helps us to have complete coverage
domestic and international SMS offerings.        with all operators in North America, the U.S.,
The international SMS business, for example,     Canada and Mexico, as well as operators
provides operators with the potential to drive   across LATAM, Europe, Asia and Africa.”
significant volume and earn hefty margins.  
Opening new international routes, securing       SMS hubbing also allows Personal Paraguay
two-way service for their customers and          the capabilities to cater to the portion of its
marketing attractive bundle packages are         customer base that are Paraguay citizens
also part of a strategy that would certainly     living and working in neighboring Argentina.
help improve the bottom line.                    “About 1.5 million Paraguayan people have




38
Against this backdrop, it is clear markets like Latin
America — not the more developed markets of
Europe and North America — will lead messaging
growth and innovation.


emigrated to Argentina, and they want to              To take advantage of this robust growth
be in contact with friends and family in an           in text messaging mobile operators are
affordable way,” Ruiz says. The answer is             also migrating to more flexible pricing
International SMS, a popular service that             to encourage use and to appeal to new
also represents an important differentiator.          customer segments. A prime example is
In a nutshell, the service allows customers           Tigo Colombia, a mobile operator that is
to send an SMS to a Telecom Personal                  developing a new approach to enable users
Argentina customer and be charged the                 to do what they want most: communicate
same rate as a local SMS. “There are a lot            with family and friends in other countries
of opportunities to be gained by offering             at affordable prices, observes Juan Felipe
customers services that pair a simple way             Velasquez, Latam International Roaming
of communication with reasonable tariffs.”            Coordinator at Tigo Colombia.


                                                      At a deeper level, Tigo Colombia’s business
Attractive pricing                                    model is based on partnership to ensure
                                                      access to key capabilities and technologies.
SMS is expected to continue accounting                According to Velasquez, the decision to
for a major proportion of value-added                 cooperate with SAP Mobile Services is
services revenue as services like banking,            driven by the internal requirement to keep
mobile money and M2M gain traction.                   pace with innovation. “Many times we fail
Another driver is social media, the pastime           to seize opportunities because technology
and passion of nearly 100 percent of the              changes so fast and we sometimes
Latin American population using mobile                neglect segments that do not have access
or Internet, according to comScore. While             to new technologies.”
social media isn’t a new phenomenon, the
growth is phenomenal.




Mobile Operator Guide 2013 The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities   39
Exciting opportunities ahead                      Velasquez is also bullish about the outlook
                                                  for value-added services that harness SMS
What are the highest areas of opportunity         in new ways. Chief among these is M2M. As
on the operator agenda?                           he puts it: “I think that the next step in our
                                                  industry is machine-to-machine, where we
Personal Paraguay’s Ruiz is squarely              can connect all the machines with machines
focused on extracting more value out of           — and with the people managing them —
offering a wide variety of packages with          around the world with simple SMS.”
truly personal communications at the core.
                                                  Whether it’s person-to-person or machine-
“Our slogan is ‘Cada Persona es un mundo          to-machine, it’s clear that messaging is king.
— Each person is a world.’ This means
delivering each customer the services and         A promising and fast-growing service that
bundles that are in tune with their lives. They   should not be ignored is A2P, or Application-
are at the center.” Looking ahead, Personal       To-Person messaging. In this scenario, soft-
Paraguay is also planning to deploy LTE/4G        ware applications and organisations, such
“with IPX to support new services” that           as enterprises and governments, establish
satisfy customer requirements for quality,        a one or two-way communication channel
coverage and convenience.                         with people using SMS.


Tigo’s Velasquez says he is also looking          The revenue potential is significant. Accord-
to a future where continued cooperation           ing to a study published by Portio Research
between the stakeholders — operators,             Ltd, a research firm based in the U.K., for
suppliers and users — creates a win-win           the period 2011-2016 worldwide A2P SMS
for everyone. Additionally, it is important       revenue is expected to outpace Person-
to add these services onto an IPX, where          To-Person (P2P) SMS revenue and grow at
connectivity meets users’ needs for quality       a CAGR of 13.1 percent.
and desire to communicate on their terms.




Looking ahead, Personal Paraguay is also
planning to deploy LTE/4G “with IPX to
support new services” that satisfy customer
requirements for quality, coverage and convenience.

40
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Mobile Operator Guide 2013 The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities
Mobile Operator Guide 2013 The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities
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Mobile Operator Guide 2013 The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities
Mobile Operator Guide 2013 The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities
Mobile Operator Guide 2013 The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities
Mobile Operator Guide 2013 The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities
Mobile Operator Guide 2013 The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities
Mobile Operator Guide 2013 The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities
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Mobile Operator Guide 2013 The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities
Mobile Operator Guide 2013 The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities
Mobile Operator Guide 2013 The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities
Mobile Operator Guide 2013 The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities
Mobile Operator Guide 2013 The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities
Mobile Operator Guide 2013 The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities
Mobile Operator Guide 2013 The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities
Mobile Operator Guide 2013 The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities
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Mobile Operator Guide 2013 The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities
Mobile Operator Guide 2013 The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities
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Mobile Operator Guide 2013 The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities
Mobile Operator Guide 2013 The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities
Mobile Operator Guide 2013 The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities
Mobile Operator Guide 2013 The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities
Mobile Operator Guide 2013 The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities
Mobile Operator Guide 2013 The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities
Mobile Operator Guide 2013 The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities
Mobile Operator Guide 2013 The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities
Mobile Operator Guide 2013 The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities

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Mobile Operator Guide 2013 The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities

  • 1. SAP Mobile Services Mobile Operator Guide 2013 The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities
  • 2.
  • 3. SAP Mobile Services Mobile Operator Guide 2013 The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities
  • 4. Mobile Operator Guide 2013 The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities Published by Sybase, an SAP Company Sybase, One Sybase Drive, Dublin, CA 94568-7902, U.S.A. © 2013 SAP AG or an SAP affiliate company. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or for any purpose without the express permission of SAP AG. The information contained herein may be changed without prior notice. Some software products marketed by SAP AG and its distributors contain proprietary software components of other software vendors. National product specifications may vary. These materials are provided by SAP AG and its affiliated companies ("SAP Group") for informational purposes only, without representation or warranty of any kind, and SAP Group shall not be liable for errors or omissions with respect to the materials. The only warranties for SAP Group products and services are those that are set forth in the express warranty statements accompanying such products and services, if any. Nothing herein should be construed as constituting an additional warranty. SAP and other SAP products and services mentioned herein as well as their respective logos are trademarks or registered trademarks of SAP AG in Germany and other countries. Please see http://www.sap.com/corporate-en/legal/copyright/index.epx#trademark for additional trademark information and notices. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data SAP Mobile Services Mobile Operator Guide 2013, The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities Edited by Peggy Anne Salz p. cm. ISBN 978-0-9885886-2-2 1.Mobile technology. Library of Congress Control Number: # 2012953199 Printed in the United States of America Except as permitted under the United States Copyright Act of 1976, no part of this publication may be reproduced or distributed in any form or by any means, or stored in a database or retrieval system, without the prior written permission of the publisher.
  • 5. Table of Contents 10 FOREWARD By John Sims, President, SAP Mobile Services 13 PART 1: INTRODUCTION : A WEALTH OF OPPORTUNITIES 14 Mapping A New World For Mobile Operators By John Sims, President, SAP Mobile Services 18 Driving Growth In The Digital Economy By Stephan Gatien, Global Lead, Telecommunications Business Unit, SAP and Jens Amail, Senior Vice President and General Manager for Services, SAP 25 PART 2: STRATEGIES FOR DRIVING REVENUE 26 Long Live SMS Text messaging continues to grow from strength to strength as new services and paradigms around mobile marketing and mobile apps drive volumes and usage. By William Dudley, Group Director, Product Management, SAP Mobile Services 33 Moving To The SMS Hubbing Model Operators are recognising that SMS hubbing is not just about connectivity; it can ease the management burden around cross-border messaging traffic. By Robert Rose, Senior Director, Global Operator Services, SAP Mobile Services 36 Latin America Offers Big SMS Opportunities Personal Paraguay and Tigo Colombia discuss local market requirements and weigh on the tremendous opportunities and innovation that are driving SMS growth. Mobile Operator Guide 2013 The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities 3
  • 6. 43 Cybersafety: Everyone’s Responsibility The Cyber Information Sharing and Protection Act addresses how information should be shared between private companies and the government to catch malicious actors breaching networks to steal information or sabotage systems. By Steve Largent, President & CEO, CTIA-The Wireless Association 48 Does The Future Of Mobile Security Lie In The Past? Text messages are a powerful vehicle for reaching people — but they are also increasingly the starting point for malware attacks. By Mary Landesman, Senior Security Researcher, Cloudmark 53 Mobile Number Portability: Increasing Competition And Driving Value Mobile Number Portability has come a long way since it was implemented in the 1990s, but it now confronts mobile operators with a variety of commercial challenges. By Mitul Ruparelia, Director of Sales Engineering (EMEA and LATAM), SAP Mobile Services 58 Intelligent Hubbing: Easing International SMS Routing Complexity A comprehensive checklist and solid advice aimed at helping operators remove the complexity around establishing and managing SMS routing. By Mark Weait, Vice President Sales, SAP Mobile Services 63 Orchestrating Capabilities Delivers High Performance Bharti Airtel details the strategy that has allowed it to spread its wings across the African continent, lay the groundwork for value-added services and deliver high volume at low cost. By N. Arjun, Chief of Projects & Transformation, Bharti Airtel 68 PART 3: IPX: INTERCONNECTING OPERATORS FOR UNLIMITED OPPORTUNITIES 69 Bundling Services Makes Business Sense Korea Telecom discusses the importance of Voice over IPX in its larger strategy to future-proof its network, ensure end-to-end quality of service and grow its wholesale business. Interview with Incheul Park, Head of Wholesale Team, Global Business Unit, Korea Telecom 4
  • 7. 74 Expanding Voice Connectivity Via IPX: An Operator Perspective In the Philippines Globe Telecom is embarking on an ambitious network change to deliver customer benefit by making cross regional interconnectivity better and easier. By Gil Genio, Head of International and Business Markets, Globe Telecom, Inc. 78 The Value Of A True IPX Mobile Operators can best leverage the full benefits and economies of scale that IPX provides if they look beyond just offering basic services, such as voice and data roaming, and focus on delivering the services their customers will demand next. By John Candish, Senior Director, IPX Business, SAP Mobile Services and William Dudley, Group Director, Product Management, SAP Mobile Services 83 Nine Ways To Get More Value Out Of IPX IPX offers tremendous value and here are 9 things operators need to do to ensure they can reap and maximise the benefits. By John Candish, Senior Director, IPX Business SAP Mobile Services 86 Making The Right Connections SingTel recounts the lessons, learnings and results of its recent IPX trial, the first step in a private international network connecting all the Group companies. Interview with David Ng — Vice President, Regional Technical, of SingTel’s International team in the Group Consumer organization 91 A Brave New All-IP World When it comes to IPX, peering among IPX providers is an essential element because it is the enabler of global reachability. By Elena Sacco, Chairman of the IWG at the GSMA and Senior Interconnect Manager, TIM 94 Boosting Trust, Building Business In countries like Africa IPX does more than provide interconnectivity; it also meets the needs of local telecommunications authorities for transparency and accountability. By Ranjeet Wilkhu, Director, Neucom Solutions 98 Voice: The IPX Killer App A candid view of the many benefits IPX provides. While many focus on future scenarios around LTE roaming, PCCW outlines how IPX can already enhance voice. By Richard Midgett, Managing Director – Wireless Business, PCCW Mobile Operator Guide 2013 The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities 5
  • 8. 104 PART 4: LTE: UNLEASHING INNOVATION TO DELIVER RESULTS 105 Enabling 4G LTE For ALL MetroPCS discusses its early decision to deploy LTE and how this head start on the competition has allowed the U.S. operator to scale its business and satisfy its customers with value-driven services. By Ed Chao, Senior Vice President, Engineering and Network Operations, MetroPCS 111 Fighting Smart To Win Big A clever approach harnessing RCS will allow operators to compete with OTT players with new services such as group instant messaging or chat, live video sharing and file transfer across any device, on any network, with anyone in a mobile address book. By Madan Jagernauth, Vice President, Marketing & Strategy, Mavenir Systems 117 Positioning LTE For Success Research and insights brings clarity into the industry discussion about LTE, the benefits it delivers and reasons why operators take the lead in educating consumers. By Declan Lonergan, Research VP, Yankee Group 124 Breaking Down Borders: Getting The Most Out Of LTE Roaming LTE is reaching a stage of maturity where technology is no longer a barrier to deployment, so now it’s up to mobile operators to architect the strategies that will leverage the complete range of benefits. By James Middleton, Managing Editor, Telecoms.com 127 Video Communications: “A Perfect Storm” Consumer use of video has entered a new phase of growth, driven by devices, services and networks built to support it. But the wave of interest in mobile video could overwhelm service providers. By Ramsey Masri, Vice President, Sales & Alliances, Aylus Networks 134 Enabling Roaming Across LTE Networks LTE will enable new services, but it will also put high demands on the data roaming backbone and require more bandwidth and resilient network connectivity. By Matthew Tonkin, Global Head, IPX Business, SAP Mobile Services 6
  • 9. 138 LTE Roaming In Latin America: Conditions For Success The deployment of LTE across Latin America brings with it a host of benefits and equips operators to address the spectrum limitations facing their networks. By Alejandro Martinez, Chairman, Billing & Roaming Working Group (BARG), GSMA LA 142 LTE: New Technology Boosts New Business A review of the business models, approaches and services, such as mobile video calling, that will allow operators to drive even more revenue out of their costly LTE investments. By Michel Van Veen, Group Manager, Product Management, SAP Mobile Services 147 PART 5: OTT: OPEN THREAT OR HIDDEN OPPORTUNITY 148 OTT Threat: Top Strategies To Fight Smart Learn from real-life examples, including KPN and China Mobile, about the real impact of OTT services on voice and messaging revenues and how mobile operators turn the tide. By Pamela Clark Dickson, Senior Analyst, Mobile Content & Applications Intelligence Center, Informa Telecoms & Media 156 Evaluating Strategies To Face OTT Providers Operators need to be more digital. Does Telefónica Digital, a unit aimed at developing new applications and business models for mobile technology show the way? By Eusebio Felguera, Corporate Regulatory Manager, Telefónica 161 NUVOs: An Alternative To Disruptive OTT Not all OTT apps threaten mobile operator revenues. Network Unaffiliated Virtual Operators (NUVOs) actually benefit operators and boost their business. By Austin Murray, Founder & President, textPlus 166 OTT Ecosystem: Paving The Way For Opportunity The inevitable arrival of an all-IP world also reinforces the needs for deeper part- nerships between operators and OTT players. MediaFriends discusses apps and approaches showing the way. By Gene Lew, CTO, MediaFriends Mobile Operator Guide 2013 The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities 7
  • 10. 172 PART 6: UNLEASHING THE POWER OF MOBILE COMMERCE 173 Mobile Money For The Masses Qtel has made its mark with its Mobile Money services and an innovative self-serve approach that meets the needs of both migrant workers and affluent customers. By Richard Morecroft, Assistant Director Mobile Money, Qtel 179 Driving Mobile Money Usage In Unbanked Regions Driving customer adoption and increasing activation rates in mobile money is no easy task. The key is proper audience segmentation and a sharp focus on customer education. By Yasmina McCarty, Senior Manager, GSMA MMU 184 Blueprint For A Successful Remittance Service A review of the mobile remittance services available today reveals a variety of different approaches to tackle the challenges of sign-up, cash-in and cash-out. By Diarmuid Mallon, Head of Global Mobile Marketing Programs, Programs & Demand Generation, SAP 190 Operators: Tap Your Strategic Assets Mobile operators might only have scratched the surface when it comes to understanding their true potential to accelerate and enhance the mobile payments and commerce experience for consumers everywhere. By Aditya Kurejkar, Co-Founder and Program Director, Money2020 194 Mobile Commerce Opportunities For Operators Building and deploying a successful mobile payment service requires operators to consider a wide range of variables, from business models to local telecom and financial regulations. By Matthew Talbot, Senior Vice President, Mobile Commerce, SAP 200 PART 7: LEVERAGING MOBILE TO ACHIEVE LASTING LOYALTY 201 Perception vs Reality: What’s Your Mobile Strategy? The arrival of the empowered consumer turns up pressure on operators and enterprises to create and implement a comprehensive mobile strategy that is truly end-to-end, multi-channel and, more importantly, customer-centric. By Howard Stevens, Senior Vice President, Global Messaging Solutions, SAP Mobile Services 8
  • 11. 205 The Power Of Push Push notifications also open up new opportunities around customer service and marketing, allowing mobile operators to deliver simple alerts to the customer — and trigger the customer to take action. By Coleen Carey, Director of Product Marketing, Urban Airship 211 Harmonising Touch Points, Technology, Processes And People Celcom details the milestones and motivations that have helped it evolve its view of customer experience and sharpen its focus on encouraging lasting loyalty. By Suresh Sidhu, Chief Corporate and Operations Officer, Celcom Axiata Berhad 215 Ask, Listen And Build Lasting Loyalty Talk to your customers, and listen to what they say. A successful mCRM program integrates social interaction, customer engagement and customer feedback. By Sally Burley, Director, The 3rd Degree 220 Why Customer Engagement Campaigns Pay Dividends An in-depth look at how mobile changes the rules of engagement, allowing mobile operators, brands and businesses to maintain continuous customer touch and drive deeper engagement. By Gregory Dunn, Vice President, Product Management, SAP Mobile Services 228 Glossary Of Terms 234 Index Of Contributor Companies 240 Acknowledgements Mobile Operator Guide 2013 The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities 9
  • 12. FOREWORD Mapping A New World For Mobile Operators By John Sims, President, SAP Mobile Services IP is changing the game. Advanced The author in this case was referring to mobile devices, new technologies, mobile video communications, where growth is driven by devices, services and increased competition and a networks. But mobile video isn’t the only shift in subscriber expectations market segment on the brink of the tipping towards truly personal and point. This Guide shows that other services, relevant interactions are coming such as SMS, LTE, mobile commerce and mobile customer loyalty, are also entering a together to cause disruption in the new phase of growth and innovation. telecom industry - for operators and all the companies in their • SMS: While some analyst reports predict business ecosystems. the decline of text messaging, SMS continues to be the number one data However, the same conditions also spell communications tool and the most massive opportunities for companies effective direct marketing channel ever prepared to take charge of change. As one created. In almost all emerging markets it of the 40+ industry authorities who has remains the ubiquitous data service of provided insights for this Guide, points out: choice. In developed markets, the the rapid pace of change and the interplay explosion of mobile apps, a development of supply and demand for services that are which many thought would mark the aligned with customers’ requirements are death of SMS, has actually pushed combining to generate the mobile industry’s application-to-person (A2P) traffic own Perfect Storm. growth to a new level. This spells 10
  • 13. opportunity for mobile operators and enhance mobile money and mobile service providers to harness text banking services. Now it’s up to mobile messaging to supercharge a variety of operators to map out comprehensive services, ranging from mobile marketing strategies that cultivate partnerships and mobile advertising, to mobile with key players, such as banks, and commerce and mobile banking. adapt to local market conditions, such as regulations, demographics, and the • LTE: As mobile network operators move emergence of new remittance corridors. towards 4G/LTE and an all-IP network, many will cooperate to expand their • Mobile loyalty: Because mobile is a network footprint and pave the way for fiercely personal device, it’s an ideal compelling new services that will delight means to reach customers on every step customers and drive positive results for of their daily journey to encourage inter- everyone in the ecosystem. The advance action and deepen engagement. Whether of LTE will also challenge operators to operators and marketers choose to develop strategies to cooperate with and harness text messaging, new forms of enable Over-the-Top players in a manner IP-based messaging, mobile web or that benefits the ecosystem and wrings mobile apps (or all in combination) they new revenues out of operator core capa- can clearly leverage mobile as a channel bilities such as location information, to boost customer loyalty and recruit true billing support and network management. brand advocates. However, just as in real- life, building a relationship is about talking • Mobile commerce: From researching and listening, and that’s why companies products to making purchases, consum- must develop mobile loyalty programs ers are increasingly reaching for their that effectively do both. mobile devices as an essential shopping companion. At the other end of the This inaugural edition of the Mobile spectrum, and particularly in the under- Operator Guide features the insights of banked regions of the world, consumers industry thought leaders and innovators to are gravitating to services delivered by identify market trends, best practices and mobile operators that have expertly key lessons learned in deploying mobile leveraged their distribution channels, services. The purpose of this industry retail presence and trust to expand and knowledge resource is to provide readers Mobile Operator Guide 2013 The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities 11
  • 14. clear direction and critical information, equipping them to develop strategies to drive messaging revenue, deploy cost saving solutions, generate new revenue streams from mobile commerce, build loyalty through customer engagement programs, plan for LTE roaming through IPX adoption and maintain competitive advantage in an IP-based world. The onward march of next-generation services into daily life has created a new world order in the telecoms industry. Think of this Guide as a starting point to a roadmap, one that will allow you to plot the transformational path your business needs to follow to succeed in this exciting new digital economy. 12
  • 15. PART ONE: INTRODUCTION A WEALTH OF OPPORTUNITIES
  • 16. PART ONE: INTRODUCTION: A WEALTH OF OPPORTUNITIES Mapping A New World For Mobile Operators By John Sims, President, SAP Mobile Services What a difference a decade makes. product offerings were comparatively You need only go back that far to straightforward, with “all-you-can-eat” pricing plans the industry standard. It find the “early days” of mobile seems like a long time ago, but it was only network operators’ journey with in 2001 that the first inter-operator SMS mobile data, comparatively speak- messages were delivered in the U.S., with ing, a world that hardly compares SAP Mobile Services launching the first inter-operator SMS messaging hub in to today’s landscape. Amid the concert with AT&T Wireless. More signifi- far-reaching changes that have cantly, during those formative years, taken hold since then, the com- operators took a walled-garden approach plexity that now distinguishes to mobile data, with services delivered within a closed ecosystem – a far cry from operator services brings with it the interoperable, pan-operator network a rich abundance of opportunities topology that has evolved since then. to those who are forward-thinking and adaptive in their strategies From that initial “closed system” approach, rapidly advancing technology and the and capabilities. explosive growth of international travel by A decade or so ago, an operator’s world globe-trotting executives and power users revolved almost exclusively around voice. contributed to the dramatic changes we In an environment of minimal competition, have seen take root since then. The eclipse “ s the cost of spectrum and the pace at which A new network technologies needed to be deployed rose, operators needed to consider cooperative arrangements with their fellow operators, something that would not have previously been on the table.” 14
  • 17. Table 1: Global mobile data growth today is similar to global internet growth in the late 1990s Global internet traffic growth (fixed) Global mobile data traffic growth 1997 178% 2009 140% 1998 124% 2010 159% 1999 128% 2011 133% 2000 195% 2012 (estimate) 110% 2001 133% 2013 (estimate) 90% 2002 103% 2014 (estimate) 78% Figure 1: Based on data from Cisco. Cisco Visual Networking Index Mobile 2012 www.slideshare.net/CiscoSP360/cisco-visual-networking-index-vni-global-mobile-data-traffic-forecast-20112016 of voice by data, accompanied by the advent it was clear that mobile network operators of successively more powerful generations could no longer dictate the user interface. of network technology leading to 4G, an As the cost of spectrum and the pace at all-IP environment, accompanied by today’s which new network technologies needed open infrastructure, means operators must to be deployed rose, operators needed to generate profits by significantly rethinking consider cooperative arrangements with their business models. their fellow operators, something that would not have previously been on the table. Traditionally, mobile network operators have owned and controlled everything, including In addition, in order to accelerate the adv- physical equipment, radio networks, serv- ance of the network effect for new services, ices infrastructure, devices and user inter- operators in some countries have come faces. But amid their changing economics, together in joint ventures or cooperatives to many have had to rethink this approach. lower their costs and seed the market with With the rise of the smartphone, driven by new service technologies – for example, the the iPhone and Android devices, Isis joint venture in the United States or the Mobile Operator Guide 2013 The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities 15
  • 18. proposed mobile payments venture among to fiercely defend their franchises against the operators in the United Kingdom. threat from the Internet-based companies or so-called Over-The-Top (OTT) players. As To a certain degree this kind of thinking part of their strategy, operators will want to has been accelerated by operators’ need not only create a strong domestic footprint; to compete against Internet-based players, they will also look to extend this to a global which have arrived in the mobile space as level, much as they have done over the past creative and formidable competitors. It also decade or so with SMS. marks a realisation by many mobile network operators that their future success depends This is precisely where SAP Mobile Services more upon the innovative services that they provides the most critical value. We are offer subscribers than it does on the under- delivering the world-class interoperability lying network technology – a substantial and reach that comes with our role as an shift in emphasis. independent custodian residing between and among operators. It is a role that So, as mobile network operators move demands a truly holistic level of visibility – towards 4G/LTE and an all-IP network, horizontally, across geographies spanning many will cooperate to achieve a more rapid the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, and ubiquitous network footprint that will Africa and Asia, and vertically, providing the allow them to offer compelling new services technology and connectivity required to that will capture the imagination of their ensure that today’s ever-expanding operator subscribers. In doing so, they will compete ecosystem continues to flourish. Most against other mobile network operators, importantly, SAP Mobile Services possesses but they will also have to operate in a much the vision and resources to realise its custo- faster cycle of innovation that will allow them dial role in every dimension. “ he advent of a new world for operators follows T decades of incremental improvements punctuated by breakthrough technologies.” 16
  • 19. This inaugural edition of the Mobile The advent of a new world for operators Operator Guide 2013, The Evolution of follows decades of incremental improv- Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, ements punctuated by break-through Opportunities provides a rich taste of the technologies. The result has been a new bold new world that has materialised and paradigm for communication. All of us at continues to take shape. Inside, our expert SAP Mobile Services are working with stable of authors delve into the current state diligence and with our eyes on the future of play and the most important emerging to enable all participants in the value chain issues in operator services, including: to experience the unprecedented power, ease and benefits of this new world of inter- • Operator strategies for driving and operability, reach and global interaction. optimising messaging revenue • Roaming and interconnect issues, including the interplay of LTE in an John Sims is President of SAP Mobile Services, the recognised global leader in IPX environment mobile messaging and interconnect services. • OTT Messaging, voice and video services, He has more than 20 years experience including managing the challenges con- with companies supplying technology and fronting operators in a BYOD (Bring Your solutions to mobile operators. Sims has Own Device) world been recognised with the prestigious Ernst Young Entrepreneur of the Year Award in • Mobile commerce and the myriad of the communications category. He is also a opportunities for operators member of the Board of Directors of CTIA • Customer engagement, including a and has been a speaker and panellist at roadmap for building loyalty by numerous industry events. empowering customers. Mobile Operator Guide 2013 The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities 17
  • 20. PART ONE: INTRODUCTION: A WEALTH OF OPPORTUNITIES Driving Growth In The Digital Economy By Stephan Gatien, Global Lead, Telecommunications Business Unit, SAP and Jens Amail, Senior Vice President and General Manager for Services, SAP In July 2012, just before the On one hand, the success of smartphones London 2012 Olympics, no one has led to increased data activities, with subscribers happily clocking time to play could have imagined that one of games, watch videos, post on social sites, the first headlines in the main- tweet and send text messages. This phe- stream press would be about the nomenon has contributed to the decline of local mobile networks’ bandwidth revenues from voice services, once the cash cow of the entire industry without really problems. But this is precisely offsetting it to date. what happened shortly after the Games opened. On the other hand, costs to provide adequate network infrastructure to support After having encouraged athletes and fans this explosion of data traffic are on the rise. to tweet freely, Twitter was blamed for As the 2012 Olympic Games in London disrupting the coverage of the cycling road showed, the infrastructure available still race. Ironically, the sheer volume of mobile cannot always handle the load and meet social traffic along the course was so over- expectations for connectivity and reliability. whelming that it even interfered with the GPS and telemetry updates from the race, Granted, network upgrade investments which left those covering the games without represent a heavy financial burden for all information on positions and timings. players in the ecosystem. However, these network investments are essential building This twist of fate was a perfect metaphor blocks for future services and business for the dilemma and challenges faced by models. In fact, 2013 is widely expected to communications service providers today. be a blockbuster year for infrastructure 2013 is widely expected to be a blockbuster year for infrastructure spending, with a large number of operators aggressively expanding their LTE networks. 18
  • 21. London Olympics - UK SMS traffic (Times are local to London - August 6 - 8) +10% + 46% +18% +8% August 8 August 7 August 6 1:30 2:30 3:30 4:30 5:30 6:30 7:30 8:30 9:30 10:30 11:30 12:30 21:30 23:30 0:30 13:30 14:30 15:30 16:30 17:30 18:30 19:30 20:30 22:30 Figure 1: Based on data from SAP. London Olympics - UK SMS traffic (Times are local to London - August 1 - August 5) +46% - 18:20: +36% - 14:20: Men’s team cycling UK’s Andy Murray sprint - UK wins gold beats Roger Federer for gold in tennis August 3 August 4 August 2 August 1 August 5 1:30 2:30 3:30 4:30 5:30 6:30 7:30 8:30 9:30 10:30 11:30 12:30 22:30 13:30 14:30 15:30 16:30 17:30 18:30 19:30 20:30 21:30 23:30 0:30 Figure 2: Based on data from SAP. Mobile Operator Guide 2013 The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities 19
  • 22. London Olympics - UK SMS traffic (Times are local to London - July 27 - July 31) +36%: 21:10: USA wins gold in Men’s 4 x 200m freestyle relay (swimming) July 27 July 28 July 29 July 30 July 31 1:30 2:30 3:30 4:30 5:30 6:30 7:30 8:30 9:30 10:30 11:30 12:30 13:30 14:30 15:30 16:30 17:30 18:30 19:30 20:30 21:30 22:30 23:30 0:30 Figure 3: Based on data from SAP. spending, with a large number of operators Voice and Skype — allow messaging and aggressively expanding their LTE networks. VoIP calls between users. While these free services may have a strong appeal to customers, they have a decidedly Tough competition negative impact on operators’ bottom line. But network upgrades aren’t the only item Analysts estimate OTT messaging revenues on the business agenda. Operators also as much as $13.9b, or 9% of message have to develop strategies and capabilities revenue, in 2011. This decline has led some to compete against new rivals. to wonder whether most incumbent provid- ers are not facing their “Kodak moment”. By Increased penetration of smartphones has way of background, Kodak filed for bank- opened the door to powerful and disruptive ruptcy protection in 2012 after recognizing actors offering OTT services. These services its products were obsolete and the competi- — which include Apple’s Facetime, Google tion was insurmountable. Similarly, mobile 20
  • 23. UK Olympics - Opening Ceremonies (UK SMS traffic - 27 July 2012 17:00 - 28 July 2012 03:00) 22:30 -22:40: +137% Team Great Britain enters the stadium during Parade of Nations 21:10 +32% Ceremony begins 23:50 +56% official opening of games Queen’s speech 21:40 +40% Rowan 00:20 +25% IOC Atkinson “Plays” during President speaks Chariots of Fire Opening Pre-ceremony - Ceremony up to 56% of normal Traffic Normal Traffic 17:30 18:00 18:30 19:00 19:30 20:00 20:30 21:00 21:30 22:00 22:30 23:00 23:30 0:00 0:30 1:00 1:30 2:00 2:30 3:00 21:40: +40% The Queen parachutes in 22:30-22:40 +137% Parade of Nations begins 23:50 +56% Team GB enters the stadium. Figure 4: Based on data from SAP. players are now struggling to compete position of strength and drive profitable against more agile and innovative newcomer growth in this new era. companies, as well as OTT providers. First and foremost, operators — because they are network operators — control the backbone Operator assets of the Digital Economy: connectivity. However, it would be a huge mistake to But owning the network is not enough. To count operators out of the Digital Economy avoid being relegated to the role of a “dumb race too soon. Operators own critical assets pipe,” operators must also be able to capitalise they can leverage to build competitive on their successful track record of service advantage, establish themselves in a delivery, including five 9s service availability. Mobile Operator Guide 2013 The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities 21
  • 24. Porter Telco 2.0 Nature of Characteristics strategy strategy smartness Cost leadership Happy Pipe Smart network Cost efficiency - minimal network, IT and commerical costs. Simple utility offering. Differentiation Full-service Smart services Technical and commerical flexibility: Telco 2.0 improve customer experience by integrating network capabilities with on and third-party services and charging either end user or service provider (or both). Figure 5: Based on data from STL Partners. www.stlpartners.com/telco2_index.php Operators also have proven security and data the conduit between these ‘upstream’ integrity capabilities that will increasingly partners and their traditional ‘downstream’ appeal to business customers as adoption of customer base, thus increasing their reach, cloud- based models take off. presence and value-add. What’s more, operators also have a long Finally, CSPs have insights into a vast -standing relationship with their customer quantity of data about their customers, base. This puts them in a unique position to such as service usage patterns, location act as digital service brokers between this -based activities, roaming history and large audience and a multitude of partners on-device behaviour on a daily basis. This that want to reach this audience with impressive store of customer information content, software or new services to offer represents a largely untapped monetisation via the mobile channel. opportunity for operators in an increasingly data-centred economy. Pursuing this model — often referred to as the Teleco 2.0 model (1) — would allow Com- So, how do CSPs move forward to imple- munications Service Providers (CSPs) to be ment the right strategies and — ultimately FOOTNOTES 1. As originally defined by STL Partners 22
  • 25. 2013 is widely expected to be a blockbuster year for infrastructure spending, with a large number of operators aggressively expanding their LTE networks. — succeed in the digital era? We believe created new digital divisions to seize new they will need to focus on some key areas opportunities including mobile commerce to drive profitable growth in the new and machine-to-machine communications Digital Economy. (M2M) in order to generate incremental revenue beyond their traditional services. • CSPs should fully leverage their scale, Telefónica’s direct to bill initiative is a strik- superior reliability and service delivery ing example of how an operator can lever- capabilities, to invest in new business age its billing relationship with its mobile models in areas such as Cloud and Mob- customers to increase sales of digital goods ility. Operators such as China Telecom or and services, while learning to partner — Telstra in Australia have already adopted not compete — with OTT players. this strategy with success. They offer on-demand business solutions to a The monetisation of subscriber data, in variety of business customer segments, accordance with privacy laws, is also in particular targeting small and medium emerging as a strong opportunity for CSPs size businesses. Other mobile operators, to grow their revenues. By leveraging the such as Rogers Communications in vast amounts of customer data they own — Canada, are launching business-oriented in real-time and at scale — CSPs can gain mobile app stores. This is part of a larger advantage in two important ways. They can effort to become a one-stop shop for serve their existing customers more effec- business customers, providing everything tively, and they can also use the customer mobility-related, including mobile app information to take advantage of opportuni- hosting and mobile device management. ties in new markets — such as proximity • Large providers should also think beyond marketing or mobile advertising — where connectivity. Telefónica and SingTel are customer data is key. To accomplish this perfect examples of what operators can CSPs will need to adopt a highly scalable achieve. They have transcended their foundation suited for the real-time world. traditional organisational boundaries, and An examination of the results achieved by Mobile Operator Guide 2013 The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities 23
  • 26. However, it would be a huge mistake to count operators out of the Digital Economy race too soon. Operators own critical assets they can leverage to build competitive advantage, establish themselves in a position of strength and drive profitable growth in this new era. T-Mobile US, for example, confirms that an in-memory based platform is very well Jens Amail is Senior Vice President and General Manager for Services Industries at suited to provide such a foundation. SAP as well as the Business Unit for Billing, Revenue and Innovation Management. Prior Fortune smiles on the brave. It is time for to joining SAP in 2008, Jens was with Siemens CSPs to make bold moves to develop their Communications for 10+ years in a variety of growth strategy in the digital era. They have Senior Executive and General Management roles both in Europe and the US. Jens has a the necessary assets to create new growth broad cross-functional background in the engines and focus on the abundant oppor- Communications Industry with Executive tunities in the Cloud and Mobility markets. assignments in Sales, Services, Marketing, Moreover, operators can innovate and invent Solution Management and Operations. new data-driven business models and services (such as proximity marketing). Stephan Gatien is a Global Lead within the Telecommunications Business Unit at SAP If operators can arm themselves with the focusing on Business Analytics and Database correct capabilities and business models, Technology. In that capacity, he is respon- they can seize these opportunities, create sible for the analytics and data platform lucrative new revenue streams and prosper strategy in the industry, including SAP HANA, from the Digital Economy. oversees the related solution activities and leads the  analytics and data platform  go- to-market activities globally Prior to joining SAP, Stephan was with Telus where he held a variety of management roles in the wireless division of this Canadian operator. 24
  • 27. PART TWO STRATEGIES FOR DRIVING REVENUE
  • 28. PART TWO: STRATEGIES FOR DRIVING REVENUE Long Live sms By William Dudley, Group Director, Product Management, SAP Mobile Services Mobile industry watchers have (and do) use their mobile phones to send been predicting the death of the and receive text messages. humble text message for over Veteran mobile author and analyst Tomi a decade, but a raft of recent Ahonen estimates people sent a whopping research confirms that SMS is 6.1 trillion text messages in 2011, up from very much alive and kicking. 1.8 trillion in 2007. Meanwhile Informa Telecoms Media state that total SMS Marking the 20th anniversary of SMS, U.K. traffic will reach 8.7 trillion by 2015, up analyst firm Portio Research points out that from over 5 trillion messages in 2010. In SMS has been very successful, generating its newest forecast analyst firm Portio approximately $821 billion for operators Research calculates that total traffic will worldwide since it was invented in 1992. reach nearly 10 trillion messages by 2015. Overall, worldwide mobile messaging was Clearly, SMS is THE most ubiquitous, the highest earner in the industry, raking in non-verbal communications medium in the $179.2 billion in 2010 alone. Portio Research history of mankind. Today, SMS can reach forecasts that this total will increase to more over 5.4 billion people around the world — than $280 billion in 2014, and exceed $300 over 77 percent of the world’s population. billion by 2016. Of this total, SMS alone will generate $155 billion worldwide in 2014, and In developing countries SMS plays a special it promises to continue to play a significant role, transforming lives and economies at an role in revenue terms in the coming years, amazing scale. Innovation in these regions the report said. also allows companies, organisations and governments to harness simple text mes- saging and achieve extraordinary results. Pervasive and personal From life-simplifying reminders to life-saving medical advice, text message services are It’s the simplicity, pervasiveness and sheer changing the nature of commerce, banking, dominance of text messaging that has made education, healthcare, news reporting and it the world’s leading data communication political participation. tool. People everywhere on the planet can 26
  • 29. In developed markets SMS is by far the most In other countries text messaging continues effective way for people to communicate with to dominate. In Canada The Wireless each other — and connect with companies. Telecommunications Association reports Whether chatting with friends, or receiving the number of personal text messages sent alerts from banks and favourite brands, text every year has nearly quadrupled since is the primary communications tool. 2008 and hit a whopping 78 billion messages in 2011. In the U.K. the Ofcom Telecommunications Market Data Update Continuing tide of text Q1 2011 reports the total number of SMS and MMS messages sent in Q1 2011 was Significantly, even the advance of smart- 36.9 billion, up 22.7 percent over Q1 2010. phones — chock-full of features, functional- ity and a wide variety of mobile applications — hasn’t changed consumers’ dependence The impact of OTT on text messaging to connect with the world around them. In fact, a recent consumer Amid this stellar growth, some analysts study from Deloitte shows that SMS holds wonder if the text messaging trend could the lead. More consumers than ever prefer- flip from growth to decline. New messaging ring texting, and the vast majority (90 capabilities bundled with iPhones and percent) of smartphone users sending at Android phones, as well as the advance of least one text message per day. OTT messaging services and applications are among the root causes for the recent Another trend that shows no signs of slowing dip in SMS volumes in mature markets such is text use among teenagers. In the U.S. this as Philippines and Taiwan. News that OTT demographic relies on text more than any player WhatsApp reported hitting the mile- other customer segment. Research firm stone of ten billion messages a day further Nielsen, which bases its finding on a variety suggests operators could be vulnerable to of data including monthly survey results from this new competition. 300,000 consumers, reports that texting has tripled, with teenage girls sending 40 percent However, Analysts point out the race is far more text messages than boys. That’s an from run. It estimates that companies like average of 3,952 text messages per month. WhatsApp and BlackBerry will generate 35 It’s a continuing tide of communication percent of the total messaging traffic in Nielsen calls a “mobile data tsunami.” 2016, but only 8 percent of the revenues. Mobile Operator Guide 2013 The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities 27
  • 30. Average number of messages exchanged per month By age and gender, Q3, 2011 604 802 3,417 1,914 928 709 434 167 64 Male Female 13-17 18-24 25-34 35-44 44-54 55-64 65+ Figure 1: Based on data from Nielsen. Moreover, SMS will continue to dominate Open rules messaging and revenues, generating 42 percent of the traffic and some 65 percent People are empowered by SMS to commu- of total income. nicate with anyone who has a mobile phone. However, alternative messaging apps are Indeed, Informa is not convinced that OTT limiting, not liberating. Unlike text messag- apps and services might undermine estab- ing, these OTT services operate in a vacuum. lished text messaging habits. It argues that many factors — including mobile operator Instead of overarching communities that pricing strategies, the penetration of mobile span the planet, they create isolated islands broadband and customer requirements of users who are completely cut off from to more open communications — will friends and family members on the basis “determine how quickly and to what extent of the handsets and software they use. substitution occurs.” 28
  • 31. A Facebook user and a person using iMessage interworks with the existing SMS eco- may be good friends in real-life, but the fact system. Indeed, many of the operators they use different services prevents them featured throughout this first edition of sending and receiving messages. the Mobile Operator Guide are betting on RCS to drive an interoperable, back- This flies in the face of what communica- ward compatible messaging medium for tions is all about, and presents opportunities subscribers and — ultimately — pave for mobile operators to bridge the gap. the way for new and innovative services. There are exciting and lucrative options to consider. Some mobile operators will choose to work with OTT players, enabling No limits them to achieve the integration of messag- ing communications. Others will follow the Technology advances like RCS will allow lead of operators like Telefónica, which messaging — including text messaging — recently launched a free mobile application to evolve and continue to account for a signi- that combines free text chat, voice calls, ficant share of operator revenues. The future picture and location sharing between users. for OTT providers, however, is not quite so positive. Spoiled by choice and delighted by Interoperability will also be delivered by the freedom to communicate with anyone the GSM Association standard called (and not just people that use that the same Rich Communications Suite (RCS), which application), consumers will no doubt vote includes a next-gen, real-time, presence- with their feet. It’s clear that many of the OTT enabled messaging component that also players will simply fade away. Unlike text messaging, these OTT services operate in a vacuum. Instead of overarching communities that span the planet, they create isolated islands of users who are completely cut off from friends and family members on the basis of the handsets and software they use. Mobile Operator Guide 2013 The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities 29
  • 32. It’s the simplicity, pervasiveness and sheer dominance of text messaging that has made it the world’s leading data communication tool. In the meantime, SMS-compatible1 services Ironically, the rise of mobile apps, initially from companies including textPlus will hailed as a new channel to the customer continue to flourish, offering customers that could potentially dethrone SMS, has more features and greater reach. But it’s actually pushed text messaging growth not just person-to-person messaging that to a new level. will increase. Growth will be also be driven by a desire from companies, businesses Brands and marketers, as well as applica- and brands to connect with their customers tion developers, are harnessing SMS to (and potential customers) via SMS. extend the life of their apps, keeping their users posted on updates, breaking news, Research underlines the pivotal role of location-based opportunities, campaign mobile in campaigns to engage with custom- perks and other important information. ers, encourage interaction and boost loyalty. More importantly, text messaging allows From consumer facing brands that use text brands and marketers to re-connect with messaging to deliver brand messages and customers who haven’t used their apps links to downloadable content and perks, to recently — or even deleted it altogether. The large retailers that cleverly use text messaging result is a booming Application-to-Person to deliver product vouchers and drive cus- (A2P) market Jupiter Research estimates tomer loyalty, the central role of SMS is will be worth $70.1 billion by 2016. clear. Perhaps the best confirmation comes from Coca-Cola, that declared that SMS is the “number one priority” in its comprehen- Positive outlook sive strategy to reach a global audience and increase customer engagement. Analysts Clearly, the next five years will see operators termed it a “bombshell announcement” in many parts of the world leverage their because other marketers quickly followed all-IP networks, but even this progress will suit, launching strategies with mobile not shut the door to SMS. To the contrary, messaging at the center. LTE networks using IMS infrastructure will lay the groundwork for messaging services Footnote: 1. SMS-compatible services include some OTT service providers (also known as NUVOs or Network Unaffiliated Virtual Operators that inter-work with the SMS ecosystem. This stands in strong contrast to other OTT providers, such as WhatsApp, that do not offer SMS interoperability. 30
  • 33. Global revenue from A2P SMS split by eight key regions 2016 Latin America Indian Sub Continent Africa Middle East Central Eastern North America Europe Rest of Asia Pacific Western Europe Far East China Figure 2: Source: Juniper Research. (1) that will remain interoperable with today’s 1992 between Neil Papworth (of Sema text messaging. In other words, there will be Group Telecoms) and Richard Jarvis of no interruption in service, or even reach. Vodafone – the message read “Merry Christ- mas”. Today, SMS is the most widely used The humble text message that just cele- mobile data service, with two-thirds of brated its 20th anniversary has seen a lot the world’s population using the channel to of changes since the first SMS was sent in connect and communicate. From a business FOOTNOTE: 1. www.juniperresearch.com/reports/Mobile_Messaging_Markets Mobile Operator Guide 2013 The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities 31
  • 34. perspective, SMS is expected to remain a significant source of revenues and traffic for mobile operators on a global basis for years to come. The bottom line: the advance of an all-IP world will transform SMS, but text messaging will also continue to be alive and well. William Dudley has 25 years experience building and managing telecommunications network infrastructures. He leads SAP Mobile Services Messaging Team, which focuses on solutions including inter-operator SMS and MMS products (P2P) and mobile messaging hubs and services (A2P SMS and MMS). Dudley also provides industry commentary to both internal and external mobile industry publications, through analyst and media interviews, and is active in several industry groups. http://scn.sap.com/people/william. dudley/content 32
  • 35. PART TWO: STRATEGIES FOR DRIVING REVENUE Moving To The sms Hubbing Model By Robert Rose, Senior Director, Global Operator Services, SAP Mobile Services SMS is ubiquitous, universal and services dedicated to message protocol widely regarded as the truly native conversion. Having met the domestic challenges of the North American market, language of mobile. However, this international messaging between non- phenomenon, and the massive GSM U.S./Canadian operators and their development of SMS since the last GSM counterparts worldwide soon also years of the 20th century, has not benefitted from the technology and connectivity offered by the hub solution. been without its challenges around enabling — and guaranteeing — In developing countries, scarce human message delivery. and technical resources within operators across these markets has accelerated the Notably, there have been challenges in North requirement for hubbing services. In the America, where differences in technologies case of Tier 1 and 2 operators, for example, prevented the launch of off- net messaging hubbing has tended to be a niche solution. for a few years. In contrast, almost the rest In other words, the solution enabled “gap- of the world was well progressed in its adopt- filling” in a mobile operator’s footprint, ion of inter-operator SMS based largely on thus satisfying subscriber demand for homogenous GSM standards. international SMS P2P connections when that operator’s own roaming agreements The solution to the technology differences were not sufficient to provide the required in North America was provided by hubbing messaging interconnects. In developing countries, scarce human and technical resources within operators across these markets has accelerated the requirement for hubbing services. Mobile Operator Guide 2013 The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities 33
  • 36. As a consequence, operators are recognising that a hub can enable them to outsource the management burden around some of their cross-border messaging traffic. Making the mainstream operator can actually become a much more significant benefit. The situation began to change when the GSM Association launched the Open Connectivity project in 2005. By seeking Good business sense to manage and regulate (in a light-touch manner) the development of peering hubs Today, economic pressure on most oper- for person-to-person SMS the GSMA ators is now driving even more traffic (and effectively endorsed the hubbing concept. more revenue for the networks). Headcount This, in turn, ensured the adoption of cuts, affecting even the most-established hubbing as a mainstream business practice operators, are reducing their ability to for the global operator community. manage their interworking activity effectively. Since 2005 the major hub providers have As a consequence, operators are recogn- seen a steady growth in demand for their ising that a hub can enable them to out- services. This has resulted in the develop- source the management burden around ment of an abundant revenue stream based some of their cross-border messaging on the termination charges on inbound traffic. This approach also reduces the traffic delivered by hubs. The ability to drive managerial overhead around areas such as new revenues from additional SMS traffic the negotiation and maintenance of bilateral — possible because hub prov-iders have agreements with destination operators and, extesive global reach and the ability to when traffic is flowing, the upkeep of various provide two-way access to operators number ranges within the SMSC. previously unreachable — has been an added attraction over and above the Routing all traffic for a particular country to greater reach achieved. a hub mitigates number range management tasks and delivers business benefit. As Since term fees are paid on a strictly per- operators come to embrace the idea of message basis, this revenue source clearly delegating responsibility for some cross- increases in proportion to the organic as border SMS traffic, they also discover that well as incremental growth in traffic. As a the more routes they outsource to the hub result, what might first appear to be a minor provider, the more they can increase their contributor to the Roaming Department revenue “take” from their inbound traffic. PL account belonging to a mobile In the end, what started out as a simple 34
  • 37. exercise to offload a handful of “awkward” Real-world examples of this problem destinations soon becomes a full-scale are currently being addressed. Efforts to outsourcing venture. resolve this effectively will naturally require flexibility on behalf of both operators and hub providers. Growing revenues In summary, in just over ten years subscrib- The financial ecosystem surrounding ers’ need for global two-way communication cross-border P2P SMS is a complex matrix via SMS has become the fundamental driver of MO charges and MT payments. For hub of mobile network data revenues. While providers, managing this is well worth the domestic interworking is mainly addressed effort as long as they can continue to make through bilateral relationships, cross-border a margin on the connectivity services they traffic is increasingly being routed through provide. In view of this dynamic, traffic the established, peered hubs. Though this through hubs will continue to grow. Impor- trend is a consequence of the expedient and tantly, the opportunities for operators to effective solution that a hub connection can cultivate a worthwhile revenue stream will provide, the opportunity to develop a new also grow in parallel. and worthwhile revenue stream is now — more than ever — an incentive for operators However, it’s worth noting that outsourcing to subscribe to the hubbing model. can impact the revenues operators poten- tially gain from their bulk messaging (or “enterprise messaging”) business. This is A 20-year veteran of the information systems business (both fixed and mobile), Robert Rose because outsourcing all messaging traffic began working in the mobile industry as a con- means outsourcing bulk messaging as well. sultant to British Telecom’s mobile operations subsidiary Cellnet. Since 2004 Robert has By way of background, this traffic would guided SAP Mobile Services’s international have been reliant on the prior, direct development in P2P messaging services. connect, bilateral routes. Obviously, in cases where these are replaced by a hub’s connections for P2P business, the non-P2P traffic needs to secure its own routing and, potentially, its own commercial agreements. Mobile Operator Guide 2013 The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities 35
  • 38. PART TWO: STRATEGIES FOR DRIVING REVENUE Latin America Offers Big sms Opportunites From the rural regions, where farmers SMS leads the pack and small businesses use mobile to Interestingly, this revolution also brings a manage their workday, to exciting city boost to text messaging services. But it’s centres where youth — in particular— not just about operator services allowing rely on mobile to connect with friends people with ordinary feature phones to and family 24/7, Latin America is communicate. Analysts note that text messaging continues to provide a solid more connected than ever before. foundation for a wide range of services, In fact, making or receiving a call or text from banking to basic education, to message in Latin America has never been widening access to health information. easier. A new report titled Maximising Against this backdrop, it is clear markets Mobile, the third in a series on Information like Latin America — not the more devel- and Communications for Development oped markets of Europe and North published by the World Bank, reveals that America — will lead messaging growth nearly 98 percent of the region’s population and innovation. have mobile cell signal and 84 percent of households use a mobile service. Feature phones are the focus because Latin America’s smartphone market is still in its On average 81 percent of subscriptions in infancy. Research firm Pyramid Research Latin America are prepaid. Understandably, reports that the smartphone segment in many in the region use mobile phones to Latin America will grow to 48 million in 2014. make voice calls, averaging 141 minutes of This is a marked increase, but doesn’t talk-time a month. In most markets the vast negate the fact that Latin America continues majority of users (97 percent in Argentina, for to lag behind the rest of the world in smart- example) regularly use SMS to communicate. phone adoption. Clearly, the level of growth in mobile usage But this gap also offers mobile operators will continue, expanding into ever more a tremendous opportunity to wring more rural areas across Latin America. It marks value out of text messaging. Ironically, it is what the report calls “the beginning of the also the low penetration of smartphones mobile revolution.” that has kept over-the-top (OTT) players 36
  • 39. Maximising mobile for development Growth of global mobile subscriptions World’s population with mobile cell signal 2000 Over 6 billion 71% 29% 0.7 billion 2003 61% mobile subscriptions subscriptions worldwide 2010 23% 77% 5.9 billion 2010 75% of the World subscriptions now has access to 90% High-income countries Developing countries a mobile phone Rise of non-voice mobile usage % National population 96 89 82 49 72 72 61 58 48 38 31 29 26 18 22 19 10 15 KENYA MEXICO INDIA INDONESIA EGYPT UKRAINE (ARAB REP) Send text message Take pictures or video with mobile Use mobile internet Pace of mobile phones spread globally (billions) The number of mobile subscriptions will soon take over the world’s population Fixed-line 8 subscriptions 2002 There are over 1 billion mobile subscriptions, passing fixed-line users Global population 6 1978 First commerical cellular mobile services established 4 1961 85 years later, fixed-line subscriptions reach 100 million 2 1876 Alexander Graham Bell holds the first Mobile two-way telephone conversation subscriptions 0 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 2000 2011 2015 Figure 1: Based on data from Infodev. www.infodev.org/en/Document.1178.pdf Mobile Operator Guide 2013 The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities 37
  • 40. at bay. This, in turn, has slowed the advance Personal Paraguay, a leading mobile of messaging apps that enable smartphone operator in Paraguay and part of Personal users to send unlimited free messages to Telecom group, has extended its their friends. These OTT messaging apps international SMS coverage to reap such as WhatsApp, Viber and Apple’s significant business benefits. “SMS is an iMessage are cannibalising SMS revenue important part of how our customers and changing the way mobile users comm- communicate,” notes Miguel Ruiz, Personal unicate with their peers. Paraguay Roaming Manager. “Our cust- omers want to be in touch with friends, This is not the case in Latin America, family and colleagues whether they are in according to ABI Research, developed the same neighborhood, or living in a markets have experienced a marked different country.” decrease in SMS sent because of the rise of OTT alternatives, but the drop in regions More importantly, customers expect their such as Latin America and Africa is not text message communications to be as significant. dependable and robust. “To achieve these SMS connections is a huge task that requires negotiations with operators and International SMS requirements technical tests to ensure SMS quality and reliability,” Ruiz explains. To streamline the Clearly, feature phones have several process and deliver customers the service more years to thrive in Latin America. This they expect, Personal Paraguay has teamed provides operators a window of opportunity up with SAP Mobile Services. “The hub SMS to generate strong revenues from their service helps us to have complete coverage domestic and international SMS offerings. with all operators in North America, the U.S., The international SMS business, for example, Canada and Mexico, as well as operators provides operators with the potential to drive across LATAM, Europe, Asia and Africa.” significant volume and earn hefty margins. Opening new international routes, securing SMS hubbing also allows Personal Paraguay two-way service for their customers and the capabilities to cater to the portion of its marketing attractive bundle packages are customer base that are Paraguay citizens also part of a strategy that would certainly living and working in neighboring Argentina. help improve the bottom line. “About 1.5 million Paraguayan people have 38
  • 41. Against this backdrop, it is clear markets like Latin America — not the more developed markets of Europe and North America — will lead messaging growth and innovation. emigrated to Argentina, and they want to To take advantage of this robust growth be in contact with friends and family in an in text messaging mobile operators are affordable way,” Ruiz says. The answer is also migrating to more flexible pricing International SMS, a popular service that to encourage use and to appeal to new also represents an important differentiator. customer segments. A prime example is In a nutshell, the service allows customers Tigo Colombia, a mobile operator that is to send an SMS to a Telecom Personal developing a new approach to enable users Argentina customer and be charged the to do what they want most: communicate same rate as a local SMS. “There are a lot with family and friends in other countries of opportunities to be gained by offering at affordable prices, observes Juan Felipe customers services that pair a simple way Velasquez, Latam International Roaming of communication with reasonable tariffs.” Coordinator at Tigo Colombia. At a deeper level, Tigo Colombia’s business Attractive pricing model is based on partnership to ensure access to key capabilities and technologies. SMS is expected to continue accounting According to Velasquez, the decision to for a major proportion of value-added cooperate with SAP Mobile Services is services revenue as services like banking, driven by the internal requirement to keep mobile money and M2M gain traction. pace with innovation. “Many times we fail Another driver is social media, the pastime to seize opportunities because technology and passion of nearly 100 percent of the changes so fast and we sometimes Latin American population using mobile neglect segments that do not have access or Internet, according to comScore. While to new technologies.” social media isn’t a new phenomenon, the growth is phenomenal. Mobile Operator Guide 2013 The Evolution of Mobile Services: Challenges, Strategies, Opportunities 39
  • 42. Exciting opportunities ahead Velasquez is also bullish about the outlook for value-added services that harness SMS What are the highest areas of opportunity in new ways. Chief among these is M2M. As on the operator agenda? he puts it: “I think that the next step in our industry is machine-to-machine, where we Personal Paraguay’s Ruiz is squarely can connect all the machines with machines focused on extracting more value out of — and with the people managing them — offering a wide variety of packages with around the world with simple SMS.” truly personal communications at the core. Whether it’s person-to-person or machine- “Our slogan is ‘Cada Persona es un mundo to-machine, it’s clear that messaging is king. — Each person is a world.’ This means delivering each customer the services and A promising and fast-growing service that bundles that are in tune with their lives. They should not be ignored is A2P, or Application- are at the center.” Looking ahead, Personal To-Person messaging. In this scenario, soft- Paraguay is also planning to deploy LTE/4G ware applications and organisations, such “with IPX to support new services” that as enterprises and governments, establish satisfy customer requirements for quality, a one or two-way communication channel coverage and convenience. with people using SMS. Tigo’s Velasquez says he is also looking The revenue potential is significant. Accord- to a future where continued cooperation ing to a study published by Portio Research between the stakeholders — operators, Ltd, a research firm based in the U.K., for suppliers and users — creates a win-win the period 2011-2016 worldwide A2P SMS for everyone. Additionally, it is important revenue is expected to outpace Person- to add these services onto an IPX, where To-Person (P2P) SMS revenue and grow at connectivity meets users’ needs for quality a CAGR of 13.1 percent. and desire to communicate on their terms. Looking ahead, Personal Paraguay is also planning to deploy LTE/4G “with IPX to support new services” that satisfy customer requirements for quality, coverage and convenience. 40