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The Reformation and Millennials: 
What Does This Mean? 
{ 
Sarah Arnold 
29 October 2014
Brief History of the 
Reformation
Who?
What?
When?
Where?
How?
To expose the teachings of the Catholic Church on… 
 The selling of indulgences 
 Purgatory 
 Particular judgment 
 Th...
Johannes Tietzel
Indulgence
St. Peter’s Basilica, Rome
Pope Leo X
Archbishop of Mainz
When a coin…
Johannes Tietzel
 Luther wanted an academic debate 
 The translation of the 95 Theses into German set 
off a firestorm 
 The impact was ...
 Immense increase in literacy 
 Drastic change in church services 
 Expanded educational opportunities for all 
(includ...
Cultural
Cultural
 Europe became politically fragmented along 
religious lines 
 Rejection of religious “authorities” by monarchs 
 Many ...
 Rise of individualism—economic, political, and 
social 
 Encouragement of intellectualism and the 
renaissance 
 Stren...
The Role of Church in Politics
Three Estates
Left-hand Kingdom Right-hand Kingdom 
Kingdom of Man (State) Kingdom of God (Church) 
Law Gospel 
Sword: Internal and Exte...
Millennials
Millennials in the Church
Millennials in the Church
Millennials in the Church
Millennials in the Church
 Most millennials (51%) believe in economic 
freedom, limited taxes and government, and 
entrepreneurialism 
 Most mille...
Millennials in Politics
Battle for Millennials
Messaging in Politics
 Don’t talk down 
 Don’t “know-it-all” 
 Don’t pander 
 Don’t be inconsistent 
 Don’t be a hypocrite 
 Remember: Mil...
 Do be honest 
 Do be upfront 
 Do be concise 
 Do appeal to both sides of the brain 
 Do stand your ground 
 Do rea...
 Do not start out by talking about religion – social 
issues are moral issues first, not necessarily faith 
issues. 
 As...
 Access to information is much more readily 
available to millennials than any other generation 
before. 
 Be ready and ...
What Does This Mean?
New (Political) Reformation
“People of your sort are 
hirelings, dumb dogs unable 
to bark, who see the wolf 
coming and flee or, rather, 
join up wit...
“You moderate enforcer and 
eulogizer of moderation. You are 
one of those bloody and deceitful 
people who affect modesty...
“Your words are so foolishly 
and ignorantly composed 
that I cannot believe you 
understood them.” 
{ Rev. Dr. Martin Lut...
“If you who are assembled in a council are 
so frivolous and irresponsible as to waste 
time and money on unnecessary ques...
Questions??
Election Predictions
 48 points of data in 15 categories per district 
 15 categories condensed into one number: District 
Rating 
 7 point ...
 Polling 
 Money raised 
 Total registered voters 
 Active registered voters 
 Past district performance 
 Unique ci...
 101 total seats up in 2014 
 1 – 2 
 2 – 34 
 3 – 12 
 4 – 13 (2 no call / 5 leans R / 6 leans D) 
 5 – 6 
 6 – 35...
Fun with Numbers 
 97% 
 96% 
 83% 
 38% 
 77% 
 57% 
Accuracy of this model in predicting results in 2012 
Republic...
 All Statewide (Gov, US Senate, AG, SoS, 
Treasurer) – 3D/2R 
 Congressional District 6 – no call 
 State Senate Distri...
 Statewide: 3D/2R (one loss) 
 Congressional: 3D/3R/1TU (no change/one loss) 
 CU Regents: 5R/4D (no change) 
 State B...
 Supreme Court 
 Justice Boatright: RETAIN 
 Justice Marquez: NOT RETAIN 
 Appeals Court 
 Judge Fox: NOT RETAIN 
 J...
 Amendment 67: no recommendation 
 Amendment 68: NO 
 Proposition 104: YES 
 Proposition 105: NO 
Ballot Initiative 
R...
Questions??
Sarah Arnold 
 Phone: (719) 640-6534 
 Email: politicsinthetrenches@gmail.com 
 Web: www.politicalpessimist.com 
 Face...
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Reformation and Millennials: What Does This Mean?

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Reformation and Millennials: What Does This Mean?

  1. 1. The Reformation and Millennials: What Does This Mean? { Sarah Arnold 29 October 2014
  2. 2. Brief History of the Reformation
  3. 3. Who?
  4. 4. What?
  5. 5. When?
  6. 6. Where?
  7. 7. How?
  8. 8. To expose the teachings of the Catholic Church on…  The selling of indulgences  Purgatory  Particular judgment  The authority of the Pope Why?
  9. 9. Johannes Tietzel
  10. 10. Indulgence
  11. 11. St. Peter’s Basilica, Rome
  12. 12. Pope Leo X
  13. 13. Archbishop of Mainz
  14. 14. When a coin…
  15. 15. Johannes Tietzel
  16. 16.  Luther wanted an academic debate  The translation of the 95 Theses into German set off a firestorm  The impact was much broader than just theological Why does this matter?
  17. 17.  Immense increase in literacy  Drastic change in church services  Expanded educational opportunities for all (including women and children)  Opening Scripture to laymen  Emphasis on marriage and the family Cultural
  18. 18. Cultural
  19. 19. Cultural
  20. 20.  Europe became politically fragmented along religious lines  Rejection of religious “authorities” by monarchs  Many citizens challenging the idea of “divine right” of monarchs  Secularization of politics (separation of church and state)  Weakening of the Holy Roman Empire and rise of the nation-states  A lot of wars  Rise of Capitalism Economic and Political
  21. 21.  Rise of individualism—economic, political, and social  Encouragement of intellectualism and the renaissance  Strengthened middle class  Poor classes began to demand reforms for themselves  Rise of a more democratic vs. feudal form of government across Europe Social
  22. 22. The Role of Church in Politics
  23. 23. Three Estates
  24. 24. Left-hand Kingdom Right-hand Kingdom Kingdom of Man (State) Kingdom of God (Church) Law Gospel Sword: Internal and External Word, no sword Power Grace Exists for Order and Justice Exists for Mercy External Righteousness Internal Righteousness Realm of Morals Realm of Faith Ruled by Reason Ruled by Scripture Two Kingdoms Theology
  25. 25. Millennials
  26. 26. Millennials in the Church
  27. 27. Millennials in the Church
  28. 28. Millennials in the Church
  29. 29. Millennials in the Church
  30. 30.  Most millennials (51%) believe in economic freedom, limited taxes and government, and entrepreneurialism  Most millennials (62%) believe in “social justice” and consider themselves “liberal” on social issues  In other words… most millennials could be considered libertarian… in fact, 53% said they would vote for a fiscally conservative, socially liberal candidate  Millennials weight social issues as a higher priority than fiscal issues – that’s where our battle lies Millennials in Politics
  31. 31. Millennials in Politics
  32. 32. Battle for Millennials
  33. 33. Messaging in Politics
  34. 34.  Don’t talk down  Don’t “know-it-all”  Don’t pander  Don’t be inconsistent  Don’t be a hypocrite  Remember: Millennials are the first generation to grow up with microtargeted advertisement from a very young age – they know how to spot BS when they hear it Messaging to Millennials
  35. 35.  Do be honest  Do be upfront  Do be concise  Do appeal to both sides of the brain  Do stand your ground  Do realize you aren’t going to change someone’s opinion on the first contact or overnight  Do build credibility by building a relationship Messaging to Millennials
  36. 36.  Do not start out by talking about religion – social issues are moral issues first, not necessarily faith issues.  Ask questions first – and listen. You’ll surprise them. Millennials want to be heard and understood.  Understand that millennials’ education has been drastically more liberal than previous generations.  Understand that millennials are accustomed to instant gratification. How to Talk Social Issues
  37. 37.  Access to information is much more readily available to millennials than any other generation before.  Be ready and willing to agree to disagree, and not argue minutia. Go in with the understanding that you will not come out with 100% agreement.  Follow up. Planting seeds now can reap significant fruits in 1, 5, or even 10 years.  This is the narcissistic generation. Convincing them that they are wrong is a long-term project. How to Talk Social Issues
  38. 38. What Does This Mean?
  39. 39. New (Political) Reformation
  40. 40. “People of your sort are hirelings, dumb dogs unable to bark, who see the wolf coming and flee or, rather, join up with the wolf.” { Rev. Dr. Martin Luther Against Latomus
  41. 41. “You moderate enforcer and eulogizer of moderation. You are one of those bloody and deceitful people who affect modesty in words and appearance, but who meanwhile breathe out threats and blood.” { Rev. Dr. Martin Luther Against Latomus
  42. 42. “Your words are so foolishly and ignorantly composed that I cannot believe you understood them.” { Rev. Dr. Martin Luther Explanations of the 95 Theses
  43. 43. “If you who are assembled in a council are so frivolous and irresponsible as to waste time and money on unnecessary questions, when it is the business of the council to deal only with the important and necessary matters, we should not only refuse to obey you, but consider you insane or criminals.” { Rev. Dr. Martin Luther Defense and Explanation of All the Articles
  44. 44. Questions??
  45. 45. Election Predictions
  46. 46.  48 points of data in 15 categories per district  15 categories condensed into one number: District Rating  7 point scale:  1 = Democratic Party Pick-up  2 = Strong Democratic Party Performance  3 = Leans Democratic Party  4 = Toss-up  5 = Leans Republican Party  6 = Strong Republican Party Performance  7 = Republican Party Pick-up Methodology
  47. 47.  Polling  Money raised  Total registered voters  Active registered voters  Past district performance  Unique circumstances in 2014 Methodology
  48. 48.  101 total seats up in 2014  1 – 2  2 – 34  3 – 12  4 – 13 (2 no call / 5 leans R / 6 leans D)  5 – 6  6 – 35  7 – 0 Overall Numbers
  49. 49. Fun with Numbers  97%  96%  83%  38%  77%  57% Accuracy of this model in predicting results in 2012 Republican candidates (4) Democratic candidates (17) 3rd Party candidates (63) 3rd Party in competitive seats (10) 3rd Party in non-statewide/congressional competitive seats (4)
  50. 50.  All Statewide (Gov, US Senate, AG, SoS, Treasurer) – 3D/2R  Congressional District 6 – no call  State Senate Districts 5, 16, 19, 20, 24 – 1 no call/1R/3D  State House Districts 47, 59 – 2R Toss-up Seats
  51. 51.  Statewide: 3D/2R (one loss)  Congressional: 3D/3R/1TU (no change/one loss)  CU Regents: 5R/4D (no change)  State Board of Education: 4R/3D (no change)  State Senate: 18D/16R/1TU (no change/one loss)  State House: 36D/29R (gain of one) Overall Results Predictions
  52. 52.  Supreme Court  Justice Boatright: RETAIN  Justice Marquez: NOT RETAIN  Appeals Court  Judge Fox: NOT RETAIN  Judge Loeb: NOT RETAIN Judicial Recommendations
  53. 53.  Amendment 67: no recommendation  Amendment 68: NO  Proposition 104: YES  Proposition 105: NO Ballot Initiative Recommendations
  54. 54. Questions??
  55. 55. Sarah Arnold  Phone: (719) 640-6534  Email: politicsinthetrenches@gmail.com  Web: www.politicalpessimist.com  Facebook: Sarah Marie Arnold  Twitter: @smarnold89 Contact Me!

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