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Overcoming the
Top 5 Misconceptions about
Predictive Analytics
Sai Devulapalli
Head of Data Analytics Practice
Emerging Technology Division
@sdevulap
saidevulapalli
1. We need to start small and iterate, so we
start with a limited feature set
• Limited set of most pressing business problems
• Representative sample of data points
• Business actions applied to a limited set of instances
B R O A D
E
E
P
2. We are predicting outcomes reliably, so
we are done
• Analysis is easy, action is hard
• Start small and iterate quickly
3. We are successfully taking actions on our
predictions, so we are done
• Assumptions are key
• Reality changes
• Models need TLC
4. Let’s minimize our assumptions and let powerful
analytics algorithms do the heavy lifting
• Assumptions capture domain knowledge
• Life cycle management vs. model complexity
5. Data does not lie, so
we need to act on what the data tells us
• Poor quality / incomplete inputs
• Off-key assumptions and models
• Interpretation bias
Overcoming the
Top 5 Misconceptions about
Predictive Analytics

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Top 5 Misconceptions about Predictive Analytics

  • 2. Overcoming the Top 5 Misconceptions about Predictive Analytics Sai Devulapalli Head of Data Analytics Practice Emerging Technology Division @sdevulap saidevulapalli
  • 3. 1. We need to start small and iterate, so we start with a limited feature set • Limited set of most pressing business problems • Representative sample of data points • Business actions applied to a limited set of instances B R O A D E E P
  • 4. 2. We are predicting outcomes reliably, so we are done • Analysis is easy, action is hard • Start small and iterate quickly
  • 5. 3. We are successfully taking actions on our predictions, so we are done • Assumptions are key • Reality changes • Models need TLC
  • 6. 4. Let’s minimize our assumptions and let powerful analytics algorithms do the heavy lifting • Assumptions capture domain knowledge • Life cycle management vs. model complexity
  • 7. 5. Data does not lie, so we need to act on what the data tells us • Poor quality / incomplete inputs • Off-key assumptions and models • Interpretation bias
  • 8. Overcoming the Top 5 Misconceptions about Predictive Analytics