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Dan Dostie, NRCS
Mike Kucera, NRCS
Jerry Hatfield, ARS
Climate Hubs
Natural Resources Conservation Service
Agriculture Research Service
U.S. Forest Service
July 30th, 2017
SymposiumTopics:
1. OverviewofAdaptationResources
2. Methods,Analysis,Results
3. ContributionstoScience& Society
4. RealWorldExample
Overview of Adaptation Resources
Visit www.climatehubs.oce.usda.gov and look for “Adaptation Assistance”
Climate Change
Response
Framework For
On the Farm
4
Adaptation Resources for Agriculture:
Responding to Climate Variability and Change in the
Midwest and Northeast
U.S. Department of Agriculture, Washington, DC, Technical Bulletin 1944, October 2016
Focus: Midwest & Northeast
Different Approaches for
Different Types of Agriculture
About Adaptation Resources for
Agriculture:
• For educators, conservationists,
advisors, farm owners, operators
• Farm or Area wide scale, NOT
state or national policy scale
• Broad ecological site and
planning considerations, NOT
specifications
• NOT financial, legal, market,
human resource considerations
About Adaptation Resources for
Agriculture:
Contents:
1. Regional Climate Change Effects
2. Adaptation Concepts
3. Regional Adaptation Responses
4. Adaptation Workbook
5. Real World Examples
6. Glossary
7. Literature cited
8. Methods used
9. Worksheets
A Successfully Tested Framework
USDA Climate Hubs Midwest, Northeast & Northern Forests
Adaptation Workbook

Strategies & Approaches

Menu of adaptation actions
• Structured but flexible
process to integrate
climate considerations
into management
• Workbook approach
Why it’s important:
Connects the Dots
Management Goals
& Objectives
Climate Change
Impacts
Intent of Adaptation
(Option)
Make Idea Specific
(Strategy, Approach)
Action to Implement
(Tactic)
Challenges &
Opportunities
Why it’s important:
Helps connect the dots
from broad concepts
to specific actions for
implementation.
Prepare for, Cope with, Recover From
Extremes
Two Major Pathways
OPTION
Tiered Menu of Responses 2/8/30/124
Adaptation Workbook
Worksheets To Connect the Dots
Four Workbook Examples
Helping farmersadaptextremeweathervariableclimateshort
Workbook Testing for Agriculture
• 03/03/2016, USDA Climate Hub Workshop, Madison, WI
• 07/24/2016, Soil & Water Conservation Society, Louisville, KY
• 09/23/2016, Small Farms Conference, Virginia Beach, VA
• 02/02/2017 Pennsylvania Association For Sustainable Agriculture, PA
It’s Online!
USDA Climate Hubs Midwest, Northeast & Northern Forests
Currently versions
are available for
forest ecosystems,
agriculture and
urban forests.
Integrates climate
change information
from NCA and
other resources.
20
21
There are other frameworks
Other Adaptation Resources:
• Different perspectives
• Animal Ag, Wildlife, Estuaries,
& International Development
Smallholders
• A variety of land owners with
diverse goals
• Summarizing information and
help accessing decision tools
Creating Conservati0n Connections
and Pathways to Sustainability
23
Fertility
Management
Natural
System
Dynamics
Wildlife
Habitat &
Recreation
Past
Management
History
Pests &
Invasives
CropYield &
Revenue
Goals
Environmental
Outcomes
Soil
Health
And more!!
A
Changing
Climate?
Business
Requirements
Regulations and
Neighbor Relations
Will it be a wet year? Will we have a dry
spring, a hot summer, a stormyfall?
Parry et al. 2007, SCBD 2009, Groves et al. 2010
Consider “Win-Win-Win” opportunities
Producer Driven Outcomes for
Production, Profits, & Stewardship
Considerations and Effects
Vulnerable Ecosystem Services
Changing Atmospheric
Conditions
Dostie, 2016
Use Climate Services
to Make Considerations Relevant
Helping farmersadaptextremeweathervariableclimateshort
Consider Planning Horizons
Current management may be fine
Same actions–
climate change
just makes them
that much more
important
Small “tweaks” that
improve effectiveness
New & different
actions to consider,
even some that may
seem wild & crazy
*individual results will vary
Consider Site Conditions
Are Adaptation and Mitigation Connected?
Consider mitigation opportunities?
Adaptingtoday withoutmitigatingimpacts on
tomorrowmay increasethe futurecostof adaptation
Key Principles of Adaptation
Set priorities for the most vulnerable
Consider the co-benefits of planned actions
Be flexible and creative
Take precautionary actions
Monitor & adaptively manage resources
Keys to sustaining farms, ranches, and forests
under extreme, variable and uncertain weather
and climate conditions
Sustainability?
The ability to provide for core societal needs into the indefinite future without
unwanted negative effects (NRC, 2010). To be sustainable, a farming system
needs to be able to continue to meet goals in the face of stresses and
fluctuating conditions; to adapt and evolve.
Resiliency?
The capacity of a system to absorb disturbance and reorganize while
undergoing change so as to still retain essentially the same function, structure,
identity, and feedbacks (Walker et al. 2002).
When it can no longer persist, time to transform
34
Adapting to extreme weather
& variable climate
All adjustments in natural or human systems in response to actual
or expected climatic stimuli or their effects, which reduces
vulnerability, moderates harm, or exploits beneficial opportunities.
Strategies Create Pathways
Forestry
1. Sustain fundamental ecological functions.
2. Reduce the impact of existing biological
stressors.
3. Protect forests from severe fire and wind
disturbance.
4. Maintain or create refugia.
5. Maintain and enhance species and
structural diversity.
6. Increase ecosystem redundancy across
the landscape.
7. Promote landscape connectivity.
8. Enhance genetic diversity.
9. Facilitate community adjustments
through species transitions.
10.Plan for and respond to disturbance.
Agriculture
1. Sustain fundamental functions of soil
and water.
2. Reduce existing stressors of crops and
livestock.
3. Reduce risks from warmer and drier
conditions.
4. Reduce the risk and long-term impacts
of extreme weather.
5. Manage farms and fields as part of a
larger landscape.
6. Alter management to accommodate
expected future conditions.
7. Alter agricultural systems or lands to
new climate conditions.
8. Alter infrastructure to match new and
expected conditions.
Summary: Connections &
Pathways
Each decision is unique and will vary based upon:
• Place: Location & Site Conditions
• Purpose: Goals & Objectives
• People: Values, Culture, & Resources
• Level of Uncertainty: Learn as you go!
There isn’t a single path
Cornell’s Water Deficit Calculator
38
http://climatesmartfarming.org/tools/
39
NRCS Climate Connections Tool
(Beta)
Step by Step Instruction Video
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5QFjga1pwso&feature=youtu.be
Tool Shed
• Repository for tools
relevant to climate
adaptation and
mitigation
• Public-facing,
searchable database
• Inventory, gap analysis
• serch.us/tools
Source.
Workshop Summary
• Use the Adaptation Workbook as a framework
• Use decision support tools to adaptively
manage practices
• Current management may be fine, may need
small tweaks or large transformations
• Engage trusted advisors to develop win-win-
win solutions!
43
Questions?
Maria Janowiak mjanowiak02@fs.fed.us for Online Workbooks
Dan Dostie daniel.dostie@pa.usda.gov NRCS role in Climate Adaptation

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Helping farmersadaptextremeweathervariableclimateshort

  • 1. Dan Dostie, NRCS Mike Kucera, NRCS Jerry Hatfield, ARS Climate Hubs Natural Resources Conservation Service Agriculture Research Service U.S. Forest Service July 30th, 2017
  • 2. SymposiumTopics: 1. OverviewofAdaptationResources 2. Methods,Analysis,Results 3. ContributionstoScience& Society 4. RealWorldExample
  • 3. Overview of Adaptation Resources Visit www.climatehubs.oce.usda.gov and look for “Adaptation Assistance” Climate Change Response Framework For On the Farm
  • 4. 4 Adaptation Resources for Agriculture: Responding to Climate Variability and Change in the Midwest and Northeast U.S. Department of Agriculture, Washington, DC, Technical Bulletin 1944, October 2016
  • 5. Focus: Midwest & Northeast
  • 6. Different Approaches for Different Types of Agriculture
  • 7. About Adaptation Resources for Agriculture: • For educators, conservationists, advisors, farm owners, operators • Farm or Area wide scale, NOT state or national policy scale • Broad ecological site and planning considerations, NOT specifications • NOT financial, legal, market, human resource considerations
  • 8. About Adaptation Resources for Agriculture: Contents: 1. Regional Climate Change Effects 2. Adaptation Concepts 3. Regional Adaptation Responses 4. Adaptation Workbook 5. Real World Examples 6. Glossary 7. Literature cited 8. Methods used 9. Worksheets
  • 9. A Successfully Tested Framework USDA Climate Hubs Midwest, Northeast & Northern Forests Adaptation Workbook  Strategies & Approaches  Menu of adaptation actions • Structured but flexible process to integrate climate considerations into management • Workbook approach
  • 10. Why it’s important: Connects the Dots Management Goals & Objectives Climate Change Impacts Intent of Adaptation (Option) Make Idea Specific (Strategy, Approach) Action to Implement (Tactic) Challenges & Opportunities Why it’s important: Helps connect the dots from broad concepts to specific actions for implementation.
  • 11. Prepare for, Cope with, Recover From Extremes
  • 13. Tiered Menu of Responses 2/8/30/124
  • 18. Workbook Testing for Agriculture • 03/03/2016, USDA Climate Hub Workshop, Madison, WI • 07/24/2016, Soil & Water Conservation Society, Louisville, KY • 09/23/2016, Small Farms Conference, Virginia Beach, VA • 02/02/2017 Pennsylvania Association For Sustainable Agriculture, PA
  • 19. It’s Online! USDA Climate Hubs Midwest, Northeast & Northern Forests Currently versions are available for forest ecosystems, agriculture and urban forests. Integrates climate change information from NCA and other resources.
  • 20. 20
  • 21. 21 There are other frameworks
  • 22. Other Adaptation Resources: • Different perspectives • Animal Ag, Wildlife, Estuaries, & International Development Smallholders • A variety of land owners with diverse goals • Summarizing information and help accessing decision tools
  • 23. Creating Conservati0n Connections and Pathways to Sustainability 23
  • 24. Fertility Management Natural System Dynamics Wildlife Habitat & Recreation Past Management History Pests & Invasives CropYield & Revenue Goals Environmental Outcomes Soil Health And more!! A Changing Climate? Business Requirements Regulations and Neighbor Relations Will it be a wet year? Will we have a dry spring, a hot summer, a stormyfall?
  • 25. Parry et al. 2007, SCBD 2009, Groves et al. 2010 Consider “Win-Win-Win” opportunities
  • 26. Producer Driven Outcomes for Production, Profits, & Stewardship Considerations and Effects Vulnerable Ecosystem Services Changing Atmospheric Conditions Dostie, 2016
  • 27. Use Climate Services to Make Considerations Relevant
  • 30. Current management may be fine Same actions– climate change just makes them that much more important Small “tweaks” that improve effectiveness New & different actions to consider, even some that may seem wild & crazy *individual results will vary
  • 32. Are Adaptation and Mitigation Connected? Consider mitigation opportunities? Adaptingtoday withoutmitigatingimpacts on tomorrowmay increasethe futurecostof adaptation
  • 33. Key Principles of Adaptation Set priorities for the most vulnerable Consider the co-benefits of planned actions Be flexible and creative Take precautionary actions Monitor & adaptively manage resources Keys to sustaining farms, ranches, and forests under extreme, variable and uncertain weather and climate conditions
  • 34. Sustainability? The ability to provide for core societal needs into the indefinite future without unwanted negative effects (NRC, 2010). To be sustainable, a farming system needs to be able to continue to meet goals in the face of stresses and fluctuating conditions; to adapt and evolve. Resiliency? The capacity of a system to absorb disturbance and reorganize while undergoing change so as to still retain essentially the same function, structure, identity, and feedbacks (Walker et al. 2002). When it can no longer persist, time to transform 34
  • 35. Adapting to extreme weather & variable climate All adjustments in natural or human systems in response to actual or expected climatic stimuli or their effects, which reduces vulnerability, moderates harm, or exploits beneficial opportunities.
  • 36. Strategies Create Pathways Forestry 1. Sustain fundamental ecological functions. 2. Reduce the impact of existing biological stressors. 3. Protect forests from severe fire and wind disturbance. 4. Maintain or create refugia. 5. Maintain and enhance species and structural diversity. 6. Increase ecosystem redundancy across the landscape. 7. Promote landscape connectivity. 8. Enhance genetic diversity. 9. Facilitate community adjustments through species transitions. 10.Plan for and respond to disturbance. Agriculture 1. Sustain fundamental functions of soil and water. 2. Reduce existing stressors of crops and livestock. 3. Reduce risks from warmer and drier conditions. 4. Reduce the risk and long-term impacts of extreme weather. 5. Manage farms and fields as part of a larger landscape. 6. Alter management to accommodate expected future conditions. 7. Alter agricultural systems or lands to new climate conditions. 8. Alter infrastructure to match new and expected conditions.
  • 37. Summary: Connections & Pathways Each decision is unique and will vary based upon: • Place: Location & Site Conditions • Purpose: Goals & Objectives • People: Values, Culture, & Resources • Level of Uncertainty: Learn as you go! There isn’t a single path
  • 38. Cornell’s Water Deficit Calculator 38 http://climatesmartfarming.org/tools/
  • 39. 39
  • 40. NRCS Climate Connections Tool (Beta) Step by Step Instruction Video https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5QFjga1pwso&feature=youtu.be
  • 41. Tool Shed • Repository for tools relevant to climate adaptation and mitigation • Public-facing, searchable database • Inventory, gap analysis • serch.us/tools Source.
  • 42. Workshop Summary • Use the Adaptation Workbook as a framework • Use decision support tools to adaptively manage practices • Current management may be fine, may need small tweaks or large transformations • Engage trusted advisors to develop win-win- win solutions!
  • 43. 43 Questions? Maria Janowiak mjanowiak02@fs.fed.us for Online Workbooks Dan Dostie daniel.dostie@pa.usda.gov NRCS role in Climate Adaptation