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Silicon Valley Bank Cleantech Practice




Energy Storage Overview
February 2013
Table of Contents

 I.     Introduction                                                   IV. Energy Storage for Transport
                                                                         III. Energy Storage for Transport
        I.     Energy Storage Outlook: SVB Observations           3        l. l. Electric Transport
                                                                                  Electric Transport                                          22
                                                                                                                                               23

        II.    Energy Storage Outlook: SVB Observations (Cont.)   4        lI.lI. Electric Transport: Trends and Drivers
                                                                                   Electric Transport: Trends and Drivers                     23
                                                                                                                                               24

        III.   Cleantech Ecosystem                                5        lII. Electric Transport: Electrochemistry and Adoption Metrics
                                                                              lII. Electric Transport: Electrochemistry and Adoption Metrics 24
                                                                                                                                              25
               VC Investments and Government Funding in Energy             lV. Battery Management System (BMS): Overview
                                                                             lV. Battery Management System (BMS): Overview                    25
                                                                                                                                               26
        IV.                                                       6
               Storage
               Top VC Investments in Energy Storage and                            Electric Transport: Landscape (Automakers and Battery
                                                                                    Electric Transport: Landscape (Automakers and Battery
        V.                                                        7        V.
                                                                            V.                                                                26
                                                                                                                                               27
               Transportation                                                      Suppliers)
                                                                                    Suppliers)

 II.    Energy Storage: Analysis and Trends                            V. Large-Scale Energy Storage
                                                                       IV. Large-Scale Energy Storage

        I.     Energy Storage Overview                            9        I. I. Large-Scale Energy Storage: Overview
                                                                                  Large-Scale Energy Storage: Overview                        28
                                                                                                                                               29

        II.    Defining the Energy Storage Landscape              10       lI.lI. Large-Scale Energy Storage: Overview (Cont.)
                                                                                   Large-Scale Energy Storage: Overview (Cont.)               29
                                                                                                                                               30

        III.   Energy Storage: Common Trade-offsand Key Metrics
                                      Tradeoffs and Key Metrics   11       Ill. Large-Scale Energy Storage
                                                                              Ill. Large-Scale Energy Storage                                 30
                                                                                                                                               31
                                                                               Large-Scale Energy Storage: Key Technologies and
                                                                                Large-Scale Energy Storage: Key Technologies and
        IV. Battery Basics                                        12       IV.
                                                                             IV.                                                              31
                                                                                                                                               32
                                                                               Landscape
                                                                                Landscape
        V.     Battery Basics: Key Technologies                   13           Large-Scale Energy Storage: Key Technologies and
                                                                                Large-Scale Energy Storage: Key Technologies and
                                                                           V.
                                                                            V.                                                                32
                                                                                                                                               33
                                                                               Landscape (Cont.)
                                                                                Landscape (Cont.)
        VI. Lithium-ion Trends                                    14   VI. Appendix
                                                                         V. Appendix
        Vll. Emerging Technologies Beyond Lithium-ion             15       I. I. Select Players inin Energy Storage
                                                                                  Select Players Energy Storage                               34
                                                                                                                                               35

        Vlll. Ultracapacitors / Supercapacitors                   16       lI.lI. Select Players inin Energy Storage (Cont.)
                                                                                   Select Players Energy Storage (Cont.)                      35
                                                                                                                                               36

 III.   Energy Storage for Consumer Devices                                Ill. Select Players inin Energy Storage
                                                                              Ill. Select Players Energy Storage (Cont.)                      36
                                                                                                                                               37

                                                                           IV. Select Players inin Energy Storage
                                                                             IV. Select Players Energy Storage (Cont.)                        37
                                                                                                                                               38
        I.     Consumer Devices                                   18
                                                                           V. Cells Types and Battery Terminology
                                                                            V. Cells Types and Battery Terminology                            38
                                                                                                                                               39
        II.    Energy Storage for Consumer Devices: Value Chain   19
               Energy Storage for Consumer Devices: Value Chain            VI. Large-Scale Energy Storage: Technical Benefits
                                                                            VI. Large-Scale Energy Storage: Technical Benefits                39
                                                                                                                                               40
        III.   (Cont.)
                                                                  20

        IV. Consumer Devices: The Future                          21



                                                                                                                        Energy Storage Overview 2
Energy Storage Outlook: SVB Observations

OBSERVATIONS

• Incumbent Dominance
   — The large established battery manufacturers continue to dominate, making breakouts for new entrants challenging. Incumbents bring
      financial stability, manufacturing scalability and reliability which win favor over the technical advantages of new battery players. Batteries
      are often integrated into the end user product, and established OEMs are often reluctant to purchase from startups due to supply and
      quality concerns.

• Long on Promise, Short on Results
   — Advanced energy storage is still in its early stages. Even companies that have been around for years are only in early commercialization.
     This is both good and bad: the sector has a lot of potential but it will be awhile until we see any breakout companies. Some new breakout
     technologies,such as supercapacitors/ultracapacitors show promise, but they all seem far on the horizon in terms of leapfrog technical
     advances and market adoption is ever further out.

• New Entrants Few and Far Between
   — Startup activity is muted due to the lack of strong exits and the long time to market for existing energy storage companies.

• Contract Manufacturing and Service Models Attract Investor Interest
   — Achieving attractive economics in battery manufacturing requires significant scale and massive investment in plant assets. Following the
     broader cleantech trend, investors favor capital efficient models. Typically, these models are faster to commercialization, although
     gaining access to contract manufacturing resources may be challenging.

• Sales Cycles Long
   — Some energy storage markets, such as the grid-storage sector, are characterized by long sales cycles to utilities. Safety concerns linger,
     too, as consumer-oriented companies contemplate new battery technologies.




                                                                  TABLE OF CONTENTS                                           Energy Storage Overview 3
Energy Storage Outlook: SVB Observations (Cont’d.)

OBSERVATIONS

• Current Regulations Inhibit Adoption
   — Current regulatory bodies, such as FERC and the PUCs in the U.S., are still operating under legacy policies that were not written for, and
     consequently inhibit, new storage technologies for grid scale and distributed energy storage. These regulations are slowly changing and,
     as those regulations are updated and ISOs and utilities implement them, market adoption of the new technologies could accelerate.

• Lithium-ion Will Continue to Dominate
   — Relative to new technologies, it appears that lithium-ion will continue to dominate in terms of ubiquity of application. Relative to newer
      technologies, lithium ion has superior price and performance metrics. Advances in chemistry and manufacturing processes continue to
      provide improvements in efficacy, indicating likely continued dominance absent significant breakthroughs in other technologies.

• Transportation Market Slow to Develop
   — EVs growth may be strong on a percentage basis but the absolute penetration is still modest. Drivers of broader adoption include cost
     reductions, range improvements, and development of an adequate charging infrastructure.

• Large-Scale Energy Storage Solutions Not Yet Cost Competitive
   — Large scale energy storage has yet to win over customers on a cost basis relative to incumbent diesel generators and lead acid batteries
     in commercial and industrial applications, and to pump hydro and natural gas peakers in grid scale applications.

• Exits Elusive
   — Most energy storage startups are simply too early to attract strong M&A activity and are even further away from having enough revenue
      traction to be IPO candidates.




                                                                 TABLE OF CONTENTS                                         Energy Storage Overview 4
Cleantech Ecosystem

                                                                      Materials and Manufacturing
                                                                            Materials & Manufacturing




                                                                                                                     Recycling &
                                Energy                                    Energy                   Energy                               Agriculture, Air &
                                                  Energy Storage                                                       Waste
                               Generation                                Efficiency            Infrastructure                                Water
                                                                                                                     Management

                         •   Solar / Thermal     • Consumer Devices • Building materials  • Smart Grid             • Waste to energy    • Agriculture
                         •   Wind                • Electric Transport • Lighting            Hardware               • Waste              • Air
                         •   Hydro               • Large-scale        • Demand response   • Smart meters            repurposing         • Water
                         •   Alternative fuels     Storage              systems           • Transmission
                         •   Fuel Cells                               • Energy Management

                         • Improved and          • Improved power     • Reduced               • Reduction in       • Economic in        • Organic
                           economical              reliability         operating costs         wastage              nature - well-run    pesticides /
  Application Benefits




                           source of energy      • Intermittency      • Lower                 • Reduce outage       recycling            fertilizers
                         • Less pressure           Management          maintenance             frequency /          programs cost       • Water purification
                           on non-               • Increased           costs                   duration             less to operate     • Water
                           renewable               cycles/longer      • Extended              • Reduce              than waste           remediation
                           resources (oil          storage             equipment lives         distribution loss    collection and      • Purification
                           and gas)              • Efficiency                                                       landfilling         • Management
                         • Energy security
                         • Grid/ Off Grid



                                                                                       Residential
  End User




                                                                                       Commercial

                                                                          Industrial

                                                                         Utilities, Government and Others




                                                                                TABLE OF CONTENTS                                          Energy Storage Overview 5
VC Investments and Government Funding in Energy Storage
                                      Overview                                                                   Global VC Investment in Energy Storage1
                                                                                                (US$ millions)                                                               # of deals
 VC Investments:

 •   In 2011, VC investments in global energy storage was US$618 million, a 40%                    $300.0                                                                         30.0

     increase over the US$443 million investment in FY2010.
                                                                                                   $250.0                                                                         25.0
 •   For 3Q 2012, VC investments in Energy Storage was 7% of total VC funding in
     clean technology.                                                                             $200.0                                                                         20.0

           –   Energy Storage VC funding was down to US$80.3 million in 3Q 2012,
                                                                                                   $150.0                                                                         15.0
               as compared to US$84.9 million in 2Q 2012.

 Government participation – new programs:                                                          $100.0                                                                         10.0

 •   In August 2012, Advanced Research Projects Agency-Energy (ARPA-E)
                                                                                                     $50.0                                                                        5.0
     announced funding for 19 new projects in two new program areas. The new
     programs, Advanced Management and Protection of Energy Storage Devices                            $0.0                                                                       0.0
     (AMPED) and Small Business Innovation Research (SBIR), will focus on battery
     management and storage to advance electric vehicle technologies, help improve
     the efficiency and reliability of the electrical grid and provide important energy                                    Total Investment per Quarter         # of Deals
     security benefits.
                                                                                                Global Cleantech Cumulative Investments 1Q2010 to 3Q 20122
           –   12 research projects are received $30 million in funding under the
               AMPED program, aiming to develop advanced sensing and control                         US$22.4 billion pumped into clean tech globally since 1Q 2010, of which
               technologies that might improve the safety, performance and longevity                                US$5.3 billion invested in Energy Storage*
               for grid-scale and vehicle batteries. Unlike other Energy Department                                                                            Energy
               efforts to push the frontiers of battery chemistry, AMPED is focused on                           Solar, 18.4%                                 Storage*,
                                                                                                                                                               23.6%
               maximizing the potential of existing battery chemistries.

           –   Under the SBIR program, a total of $13 million will fund seven projects
               for enterprising small businesses pursuing cutting-edge energy storage
               developments for stationary power and electric vehicles.                                          Others,
                                                                                                                 25.8%                                         Energy
 •   The 19 new ARPA-E projects span 14 states and will receive a total of $43 million                                                                        Efficiency,
                                                                                                                                                                14.1%
     in funding.

                                                                                                                                 Recycling &        Biofuels & Bio
Source: 1,2Cleantech Group.                                                                                                                           materials,
                                                                                                                                 Waste, 5.5%
Note: * For cumulative investments, Energy Storage includes Transport.                                                                                  12.5%



                                                                                   TABLE OF CONTENTS                                                       Energy Storage Overview 6
Top VC Investments in Energy Storage and Transportation
                                                                      Select Deals Over Last Five Years

                                                                                                                                  Recent Round to Date         Total VC Amount
Company                                      Key Sector                          Key Venture Capital Firm            VC Rounds
                                                                                                                                         (US$M)                 Raised (US$M)

 Better Place                           Electric Transport                       Vantage Point, Israel Corp.             3         Dec 2011 $201.01M               $750.0M

 A123Systems Inc.              Consumer Devices/ Electric Transport         Alliance, GE, FA Tech Ventures               6         May 2008 $102.07M               $732.2M

 Coda Automotive                        Electric Transport             Aeris Capital, Harbinger Capital, New World       5             Feb 2012 $21.50M            $275.5M

 Lilliputian Systems                    Consumer Devices                     KPCB, Atlas, Rockport, Rusano               8             Sep 2012 $40.0M             $154.2M

 Protean Electric                       Electric Transport                          Oak, GSR Ventures                    2             Jun 2012 $84.0M              $84.0M

 ChargePoint Inc.                       Consumer Devices                         KPCB, Braemar, Voyager                  4             Apr 2012 $51.01M             $83.7M

 Deeya Energy                           Consumer Devices                            DFJ, NEA, Element                    5             Sep 2012 $10.0M              $78.0M

 Xtreme Power Inc.                     Large Scale Storage                         Bessemer, DOW, Sail                   5             May 2012 $10.0M              $75.5M

 LightSail Energy Inc.                 Large Scale Storage                           Khosla, Triplepoint                 2             Aug 2012 $37.0M              $52.9M

 QuantumScape Corp.                    Large Scale Storage                             Khosla, KPCB                      2             Aug 2012 $22.7M              $50.0M


                                                                           Key Investors Since 2001
                                                                                          First Investment in Energy Storage /
                         Venture Capital Firm                            # Deals                                                                 Amount (US$mM 1
                                                                                                     Transportation

                     DFJ (Draper Fisher Jurvetson)                          26                             2001                                      $223.2M
                KPCB (Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers)                     22                             2005                                     $1,414.3M
                    New Enterprise Associates (NEA)                         17                             2007                                     $1,026.0M
                       Braemar Energy Ventures                              13                             2003                                      $379.7M
                           Khosla Ventures                                  13                             2006                                      $212.5M
                     VantagePoint Capital Partners                          12                             2006                                     $1,000.0M
                          Technology Partners                               12                             2003                                      $136.6M


Source: Silicon Valley Bank
1Amount represents cumulative investments (through a consortium of investors) and not the particular VC’s contribution in a deal(s).



                                                                                  TABLE OF CONTENTS                                                      Energy Storage Overview 7
Energy Storage: Analysis and Trends
Energy Storage Overview


Overview                                                                                            Global Installed Battery Energy Storage Capacity (2010)1
•   Electric energy storage systems are technologies that allow energy to be
                                                                                                                               FY2010 Capacity: 452MW
    stored and used at a later time when and where it is needed.
                                                                                                                                  Lithium-ion Redox-flow
•   Storage enables energy to be moved across time, similar to transmission and                                        Nickel-
                                                                                                                                       4%        1%
                                                                                                                      Cadmium
    distribution where energy moves across distances to end users.                                                       6%

•   Small scale energy storage is currently dominated by batteries. Batteries are
                                                                                                                     Lead-acid
    devices that convert stored chemical energy into useful electrical energy, and                                      8%
    is one of the oldest and widely used forms of energy storage.

•   Non-battery storage type includes flywheels, compressed air energy and                                                                                           Sodium-
    pumped hydro.                                                                                                                                                     Sulfur
                                                                                                                                                                       81%
•   The global battery market for 2011 by type was distributed amongst Non-
    rechargeable (37%), Transport (30%), Industrial (17%) and Portable (16%).




The Segments
•   Consumer electronics: The most mature market segment is consumer electronics, which needs lower power requirement and is used in portable devices such as
    computers, mobile phones, and GPS devices. These devices have been in the market for over 20 years.

•   Electric transport: Electric transport involves batteries for fully electric vehicles (EV‘s), plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEV‘s) and other mass electric transit (trains).
    EVs run on electric motors and require charging of their electric batteries, while PHEVs (like traditional hybrids) contain both an internal combustion engine and an
    electric motor.

•   Large-scale storage: Large-scale storage is used by utilities and other power industry participants for several purposes. This segment has, by far, the most demanding
    technical requirements in terms of power, energy, and sheer scale. Large scale storage is generally used by power plants, transmission lines and energy units (useful for
    integrating intermittent energy sources like solar, wind ,etc).


Source: 1EAC, California Energy Storage Alliance & Electric Power Research Institute.



                                                                                    TABLE OF CONTENTS                                                           Energy Storage Overview 9
Defining the Energy Storage Landscape


Energy Storage Market Segmentation

                                        Mobile                                                   Stationary


                     Consumer Devices                     Electric Transport             Large-Scale Storage


           Mobile Phones,                        Batteries for plug-in
                                                                                  Storage for utilities
           Smartphones                           electric vehicles


                                                 Batteries for hybrid             Used to shift energy
           Laptops
                                                 vehicles                         produced


                                                 Batteries for other electric     Useful for integrating
           Power tools
                                                 vehicles (buses, trains etc)     intermittent energy sources


                                                                                  Provide grid stability and
           Video gaming machines
                                                                                  range of other benefits


           Mobile games


                      Low                        Energy Requirements (kW or MW)                                  High


                      High                         Technology & Market Maturity                                  Low




Source: Cleantech Group.



                                                        TABLE OF CONTENTS                                 Energy Storage Overview 10
Energy Storage: Common Tradeoffs and Key Metrics

                                                                       Common Tradeoffs with Energy Storage

• Energy capacity vs. Power capability: More energy in a battery means the addition of more active materials to engage in a electrochemical reaction. However, this additional
    active material creates more resistance to electricity flow in the battery and reduces its power capability.
•    Capital Expenditures (Capex) vs. Operating Expenditures (Opex): Some technologies are more expensive initially but require less ongoing cash outlays to maintain the ability to
    store the same amount of energy .
• Cost vs. Performance: In all energy storage systems, there are costly high performance versions and less costly low performance versions.

• Core Energy Storage Device vs. Energy Storage System/Pack: There is a good deal of value to be added at the system level, and a good energy storage device (battery,
    flywheel etc) becomes useless if it is a part of a bad system (power converters / cooling / safety / reliability).



    Key Metrics

                   Metric                                Units                                                                           Description

               Energy Capacity                         MWh, kWh                 Maximum amount of energy stored in a device when fully charged

                                                                                Rate at which energy is transferred (charged or discharged). In electrical battery systems, there is a balance between
                    Power                               MW, kW
                                                                                power and energy; increasing the power of a system will reduce its energy

                                                                                Amount of energy or power per unit of volume. Most relevant for mobile applications where physical space is often a more
                Power Density                Wh/L for energy, W/L for power
                                                                                important limitation

               Discharge Time                   Seconds / Minutes / Hours       Time required to discharge a device


                Cost per kWh                         Currency / kWh             Measure cost per unit of energy capacity and power


                                                     Months / Years             Time before a battery becomes unusable whether it is in active
                 Calendar life
                                                                                use or inactive. Almost all devices degrade over time regardless of their cycling regime

                                                                                Represents the number of cycles that a battery can provide. If the battery degrades before its calendar life, it is often
                  Cycle life                            # number
                                                                                because it has reached the end of its cycle life

             Round-trip efficiency                     Percentage               Percentage of energy stored that is lost in one cycle




                                                                                        TABLE OF CONTENTS                                                                   Energy Storage Overview 11
Battery Basics
                                                                                          Battery Timeline

                                                                                             1970s: Introduction of
                                   1859: Lead-acid                                          sealed valve regulated           1989: Nickel metal-                                             2010s: Thin film
  250BC – 224                      battery invented           1899: Nickel-cadium          lead acid battery (VRLA)            hydride (NiMH)               Mid1990s: Lithium-ion              batteries for
       AD:                       (the first secondary          (NiCd) battery (first            Nickel hydrogen              batteries are used in          polymer battery (higher          applications from
    ‗Baghdad                       or rechargeable               alkaline battery)          batteries introduced for          mobile phones and               energy density than             smart cards to
    Batteries‘                          battery)                     invented               aerospace applications           portable electronics           standard Li-ion battery)         medical implants




                    1800s:                    1880s: First dry cell             1903: Nickel-iron             1981: Sony launches               1990s: NiMH                      2000s: Arrival of
                 Invention of                 battery (zinc-carbon              battery invented;                first commercial,               overtaken by                   Lithium-ion as the
                  Voltaic pile                battery) invented by                promoted by                 rechargeable, stable,               lithium and                  predominant battery
                                                 Carl Gassner                  Thomas Edison for                lithium-ion battery            then lithium-ion                 for transportation
                                              Electric torch enters            use in electric cars
                                                   the market




                                                                                       Battery Classification

                                   Primary Batteries                                                                                        Secondary Batteries

Primary batteries are non-rechargeable. In terms of volume, they account for c.90%                         The chemical reaction in a secondary battery can be reversed, which means that the
  of all batteries in the world – mainly small, disposable batteries for consumers                          battery can be recharged. Rechargeable battery types, although accounting for only
                                                                                                          c.10% of all batteries by volume, represent more than 60% of the global battery market
                                                                                                                                                     in terms of value


                                 Zinc-carbon primary batteries                                                                                           Lead-acid
                      Non-rechargeable manganese zinc alkaline                                                                                 Nickel-Cadmium (NiCd)
                                   Non-rechargeable lithium                                                                                 Nickel Metal-Hydride (NiMH)
    Specialty non-rechargeable (including zinc-air, silver oxide and magnesium)                                                                      Lithium batteries
                                                                                                                                                      Flow batteries
                                                                                                                                                      Sodium Sulfur


Source: Broker Research and websites.


                                                                                            TABLE OF CONTENTS                                                                 Energy Storage Overview 12
Battery Basics: Key Technologies


                                 Lithium based                               Lead Acid                         Sodium Sulfur (NaS)                          Flow Batteries




                      •    Rechargeable battery in which       •    Oldest type of rechargeable        •    Molten-metal battery                •    Rechargeable fuel cell in which
                          lithium ions move from the               battery. Has a very low energy-         constructed from sodium (Na)             electrolyte containing one or
                          negative electrode to the positive       to-weight ratio and a low energy-       and sulfur (S). NaS has a high           more dissolved electroactive
                          electrode during discharge, and          to-volume ratio. Capable of             energy density, high efficiency of       species flows through an
                          back when charging. Li-ion               supplying high surge currents           charge/discharge and long cycle          electrochemical cell that
  Technology /            batteries use lithium compound                                                   life, and is made from                   reversibly converts chemical
 Characteristics          as the electrode material,           •    Suitable for use in motor              inexpensive materials                    energy directly to electricity
                          compared to the metallic lithium         vehicles to provide the high
                          used in the non-rechargeable             current required by automobile      •   Used primarily for large-scale       •   Primarily used in load balancing,
                          lithium battery                          starter motors                          non-mobile applications such as          electric vehicles, UPS, power
                                                                                                           grid energy storage                      conversion and storage
                      •   Commonly used in consumer
                          devices
                      •    Consumer electronics and            •   Power to energy ratios for these    •    These batteries are more            •   Flow batteries have the
                          electric transport users have            batteries can be configured to          ―power-centric‖, with a lower            advantage of flexibility and
                          adopted lithium due to favorable         match users‘ specific needs. Till       energy density, than lithium-ion         scalability since they can be
    Market                energy density, plus minimal             date, there has been limited                                                     configured to different
  Application             operational and maintenance              commercialization at a grid-scale                                                specifications of power and
 Characteristics          (O&M) needs                                                                                                               energy capacity

                                                                                                                                                • They tend to have a long cycle life




Source: Silicon Valley Bank


                                                                                TABLE OF CONTENTS                                                      Energy Storage Overview 13
Lithium-ion Trends

   U.S. and European players enter the fray   • Companies based out of U.S. and Europe are emerging as strong players in the emerging automotive LiB battery
         in automotive battery market           segment, along with the Chinese, who are now becoming more active.




                                              • Chinese domestic market is setting the tone for growth in the midsize and large LiBs market and growth in
               China’s growth                   smartphones, thus offsetting the decline in feature phones.




      Asian dominance to be broken for        • U.S. and European automakers are looking at local companies (in their home countries) to source the key
              automotive LiBs?                  components so that they do not have to rely on imports from Asia in the future.



                                              • In small LiBs, Japanese usually produce cylindrical cells domestically because production is easily automated.
                                                Prismatic batteries (used in mobile phones) are manufactured overseas as production is more labor-intensive
       Japan losing steam in small LiBs       • But with domestic production margins slim, companies like Panasonic and Sony are increasingly shifting production
                                                overseas to cut costs.

                                              • Korean and Chinese manufacturers are now emerging as a threat to the long-dominated battery materials suppliers
    New battleground for battery materials      from Japan.
                   makers                     • Deep pocket chemical conglomerates from U.S. and Europe (BASF, DuPont, 3M etc) and Korea (Samsung, LG etc)
                                                promise to change the level playing field.



                                              • Chemical companies are not the only players to enter the market. Companies including steelmaker POSCO (through
    Influx of non-chemical makers in Korea      subsidiary POSCO Chemtech) and GS Group (GS Caltex), have recently entered the materials business.




    • In recent years, for small LiB‘s, low-cost battery manufacturers from China have entered the market, and the Korean makers‘ share has been rising,
      while low-cost makers in China have also begun to emerge in a trend that has been particularly pronounced for small LiB materials. U.S. and European
      chemical makers have entered this market and it is turning highly competitive.

    • Technological capacities are narrowing and production is decentralized (spreading to the U.S. and Europe, instead of being concentrated in Asia),
      making it more challenging for Japanese firms to maintain their competitiveness.




                                                                   TABLE OF CONTENTS                                                      Energy Storage Overview 14
Emerging Technologies Beyond Lithium-ion


Lithium-ion will dominate the                             Significant issues but breakthrough not foreseeable in next 10-15 years
consumer and automotive markets for
a long time into the future due to their           Battery System                           Advantages                         Disadvantages

high efficiency, long cycle and                     Li-metal / Sulfur                         Low cost                   Low cycle life, safety issues
calendar life, high energy density and
manageable safety.                                    Li-metal/Air                            Low cost               Low cycle life, low efficiency, safety
                                                                                                                                     issues

                                           Li-Ion / Flow Battery (Cambridge      Separation of energy storage from      Pumping of liquids containing
                                                         Crude)                          energy conversion                dispersed nano particles

Further increase in energy density is
possible with lithium metal systems.           Li / Metal polymer (60 C)                     No liquids              Heating required, low power output,
                                                                                                                                safety issues
But intrinsic problems with
reversibility, cyclability and safety of   Li-metal / Multi electron chemistry          High energy density          Low cycle life, low efficiency, safety
lithium metal needs to be overcome to                                                                                                issues
make the systems more viable.                   Sodium / Sulfur (Na/S)                Good cycle life, low cost                Works at 300 C


                                               Sodium / Nickel Chloride           Good cycle life, reasonable cost             Works at 350 C


                                                 Redox flow batteries                         Low cost               Low power output, pumping of liquids


                                             Sodium and Magnesium-ion                         Low cost                Low reversibility, low power output
                                                     batteries

                                           Supercapacitors / Ultracapacitors         High power & fast discharge             Low energy capacity




                                                                 TABLE OF CONTENTS                                            Energy Storage Overview 15
Ultracapacitors / Supercapacitors


Overview
                                                                                                Ultracapacitors vs. Batteries
•    Ultracapacitors are energy storage devices that can charge and discharge
                                                                                                •   Despite the current generation of supercapacitors having larger than normal
     rapidly (in milliseconds) and generate short bursts of power while having                      capacitors, their storage capacity is very limited compared to a battery (~5%).
     extremely limited (less than a few seconds) energy storage capacity.
                                                                                                •   On the performance front, an ultracapacitor can release energy much faster
•    Supercapacitors represent a step change from capacitors, improving upon the
                                                                                                    and with much more power than a battery, which relies on a slow chemical
     traditional capacitor in ways including:
                                                                                                    reaction. The charge/discharge cycle of supercapacitors is measured in
          – Increasing the amount of charge that the plates can store. This is                      seconds vs. hours for batteries.
             achieved through coating the plates with a porous material (e.g.,
             activated carbon) which gives them a much higher surface area to                   •   Ultracapacitors have low cost per cycle and good reversibility compared to
             store charge                                                                           batteries.

          – A thin physical separator is introduced in place of a conventional
                                                                                                •   Compared to a battery, there is no danger of overcharging in an ultracapacitor.
             separator, eliminating the need for a bulky dielectric. This greatly
             reduces the separation and the actual physical size of the capacitor               •   In an ultracapacitor, the self discharge rate is very high compared to a battery.

•    Supercapacitors have remained a niche market. The key disadvantages are
                                                                                                •   Unlike batteries, ultracapacitors have low maximum voltage, hence series
     energy density and cost.
                                                                                                    connections are needed to obtain higher voltages.
•    The size of the current global market for ultracapacitors is estimated at
     approximately US$300 million and growing ~20%–30% annually                                 •   Ultracapacitors are more environment friendly due to non-usage of electrolytes
                                                                                                    and less toxic materials.
•    Ultracapacitors / supercapacitors are predominantly used in heavy and public
     transport and motor racing.                                                                •   Effective storage and recovery of energy requires complex electronic control
                                                                                                    and switching equipment, with consequent energy loss. the voltage across any
     Key players1                                                                                   capacitor drops significantly as it discharges.


    Maxwell                 APowerCap                                   PrimeEarth              •   Capacitors have a long life, with little degradation over hundreds of thousands
                                                   NESSCAP
    Technologies            Technologies                                EV Energy                   of charge cycles. This is because they have a high number of charge-
                                                                        Co., Ltd                    discharge cycles (millions or more compared to 200 to 1,000 for most
                                                                                                    commercially available rechargeable batteries).
Source: 1Company data.



                                                                                    TABLE OF CONTENTS                                                    Energy Storage Overview 16
Energy Storage for Consumer Devices
Consumer Devices
                                    Overview                                                                Small (consumer-use) LiB volume share (2011)

• According to Global Industry Analysts (GIA), the global market for consumer                                                    Others
  batteries is forecast to reach US$55.4 billion by the year 2017                                                       Maxell    8%
                                                                                                                         3%
• The secondary/rechargeable batteries segment would see lithium-ion (LiB)
                                                                                                                     ATL
  rechargeable batteries display the maximum growth opportunities, driven by                                         4%
  the widespread popularity of consumer electronic devices, including                                  Tianjin Lishen                                              Panasonic
  smartphones and tablet PC‘s. However, laptop demand, the main driver until                                 4%                                                   (inc. Sanyo)
                                                                                                             BAK                                                      24%
  now, is likely to decline as a result of market erosion from tablets and a
                                                                                                              4%
  downturn in battery capacity per unit
                                                                                                             BYD
• The strong demand for electronic devices would also support the demand for
                                                                                                              5%
  Nickel-Metal Hydride (NiMH) batteries to a certain extent (commonly available
  as AAA and AA, used as small rechargeable batteries)
• The small LiB market (predominantly the consumer electronics batteries) is                                    Sony
                                                                                                                 8%
  expected to continue to grow at an annual rate of about 10% by capacity                                                                                   Samsung
  volume                                                                                                                                                      23%
                                                                                                                           LG Chem.
• In terms of technology, a shift in the shape of batteries used in laptops is being
                                                                                                                             16%
  witnessed [from cylindrical types (the ―18650‖) to polymer types]

                                                                                Key Challenges

                                                              • Massive capital buildup is required to set up manufacturing units and this can be achieved only by bigger firms
      Manufacturing reliability at a global scale             • Manufacturers also need to be adaptive to changing technology and be able to produce and deliver the desired
                                                              goods within a set timeframe


                                                              • Batteries, especially ones which include mercury, are hazardous for the environment. The U.S. government
                                                              enacted the Mercury-Containing and Rechargeable Battery Management Act in 1996. The purpose of the law was
                 Hazardous Materials                          to formalize, with legal requirements, the phase-out of the use of mercury in batteries, provide for the efficient and
                                                              cost-effective collection and recycling or proper disposal of certain used battery types. This has considerably
                                                              reduced the effects on the environment, although not completely eliminated


                                                             • Currently, the battery industries in the U.S., Europe, and Japan are working to develop improved recycling
                                                             technologies. Technical feasibility of recycling alkaline and zinc carbon batteries in existing metal smelting furnaces
                       Recycling
                                                             and kilns have been demonstrated by European and U.S. battery industries. Environmentally beneficial and cost-
                                                             effective recycling technologies are not universally available despite considerable progress




                                                                               TABLE OF CONTENTS                                                        Energy Storage Overview 18
Energy Storage for Consumer Devices: Value Chain

                                                                                                                 Separator /
 Lithium-ion          Lithium Mining     Anode materials       Cathode materials        Electrolyte                                      Battery cells
                                                                                                                 membrane

                                               Upstream (Mining and processing)     Downstream (Manufacturing & storage)

                         •Chemtall      • Shanshantech        • ShanShanTech        • Samsung             • Asahikasei*              •   Boston Power
                         •FMC           • Mitsubishi          • NICHIA              • Cheil Industries    • Sumitomo                 •   Eamex
                         •SQM             Chemical*           • Mitsubishi          • Stella Chemifa*       Chemical*                •   Enovix
                                        • TianJiao              Chemical*           • Tian Jiao           • Polypore                 •   Johnson
                                        • Hitachi Chemical*   • TianJiao                                    International,               Controls*
                                        • Amprus              • TODA America                                Inc*
                                                                                                                                     •   Valence*
                                        • Pulead              • Stella Chemifa*                           • Celgard
                                                                                                                                     •   Electrovaya*
                                                              • 3M*                                                                  •   Hitachi*
                                                              • Umicore*                                                             •   Nec*
                                                              • Tanaka Chemical                                                      •   Toshiba*
                                                                Corporation                                                          •   Sanyo*
                                                              • Phostech Lithium                                                     •   LG Chem*
                                                              • Pulead                                                               •   Leyden Energy
                                                                                                                                     •   Gsyu USA*

 Production         • Local              • Global                                   • Regional                                       • Local

                    • Material purity    • Specific Energy (kWh/kg)                 • Production efficiency (m2/sec)                 • Volume (n/hrs)
Cost Drivers
                      (ton/m3)


                    • Mining capacity    • Materials                                • Manufacturing technology                       • Technology in
Other Drivers       • Sulphatization     • Process                                                                                     assembly
                                                                                                                                     • Labor and
                                                                                                                                       components


 * Public Company


                                                                TABLE OF CONTENTS                                         Energy Storage Overview 19
Energy Storage for Consumer Devices: Value Chain (cont’d)

                                                                                                             Separator /
Lithium-ion     Lithium Mining        Anode materials       Cathode materials         Electrolyte                                  Battery cells
                                                                                                             membrane

                                           Upstream (Mining and processing)         Downstream (Manufacturing & storage)


              • Oligopoly         •    Dominated by Japanese players, entry of Korean and Chinese manufacturers                 • In-house
                                  •    Partially specialized precursors sources                                                   manufacture by
                                  •    Certain cathode materials still manufactured by cell manufacturer                          OEM‘s
                                  •    Joint Venture (JV) strategy to enter the market                                          • Limited suppliers
  Present                         •    Independent Asian Li-battery manufacturers
                                  •    Research spin-offs




              • Select new        •    New players from specialty sectors                                                       • Limited
                players           •    More integration of precursor manufacturer                                                 outsourcing,
              • Recycling         •    Consolidation and downstream integration                                                   mainly led by in-
                companies         •    Minimal upstream integration                                                               house assembly
              • Business models                                                                                                 • Cell
The future…     integrating                                                                                                       manufacturers to
                recycling                                                                                                         take on the role of
                                                                                                                                  larger system
                                                                                                                                  delivery (including
                                                                                                                                  electronics)




                                                             TABLE OF CONTENTS                                       Energy Storage Overview 20
Energy Storage for Transport
Electric Transport
                                     Overview                                                                                 Electric Transport Market

•   Electric transport applications have four main battery types of interest:                      •   Traditionally the industry is broken down into three main categories:

          –   Nickel-based aqueous: Nickel-cadmium and nickel-metal hydride are                              –   Hybrid Electric Vehicles (HEVs): Vehicle that uses both an internal
              the two main nickel-based aqueous (liquid electrolyte) battery types.                              combustion engine (using conventional gasoline, diesel, or biodiesel) in
              Cost and toxicity of cadmium are the main concerns for nickel-cadmium                              tandem with either an electric motor powered by a rechargeable battery
              batteries (EU has imposed bans in most cases)
                                                                                                             –   Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles (PHEVs): Refers to an all-electric
          –   Lithium-ion: The most popular and commonly used battery type for                                   range which can be plugged into an electric outlet to charge their
              portable consumer electronics, displaying favorable characteristics like                           primary battery
              durability, high specific energy, correspondingly light weight, and
                                                                                                             –   Electric Vehicles (EVs): Purest form of electrified vehicle in that it
              reasonably fast-charge/discharge capability
                                                                                                                 relies solely on an electrical motor as its source of propulsion
          –   Lithium metal and Metal-air: Currently under development with a
                                                                                                   •   According to Jeffries, rapid growth is expected from 2012-2014 in PHEVs and
              promise of up to a tenfold increase in energy. Full fledged deployment
                                                                                                       EVs, and they are expected to grow at 30%+ annually from 2014-2020, while the
              in transportation sector has not been made as it is in the R&D stage,
                                                                                                       HEVs expected to increase market share from 2.5% in 2011 to 3.0% in 2020.
              though these technologies have demonstrated basic performance and
              energy density potential in niche applications                                       •   By 2020, over 1 million vehicles sold per year will be an alternative vehicle, or
                                                                                                       6.1% of U.S. market and ~500k+ vehicles will be PHEV/EV, or 3.1% of U.S.
•   The EV battery market is expected to grow to US$8.4 billion by 2015 and nearly
                                                                                                       market by 2020.
    US$33 billion by 2020, from just US$1.5 billion in 2011.

                                                                                    Key Challenges

                                                               •    A primary barrier to deployment is their cost and availability. After the discontinuation of commercially produced
                                                                   electric passenger vehicles in the early 1990s, and before the introduction of the Nissan Leaf and Chevrolet Volt
                   Higher upfront cost                             in late 2010, there were no mass produced electric passenger vehicles available in the U.S.
                                                               •   The costs of the current generation of EVs and PHEVs are high, with fossil fuels cheaper as of now


                                                               •    Lack of existing infrastructure for vehicle fueling and charging, combined with limited range of pure electric
                 Range / Infrastructure                            vehicles presents a barrier to large-scale adoption, especially for those who do not have access to secure
                                                                   charging at home. Even with the fastest level three charging, a full charge would still take 30-45 minutes


                                                               •   Consumers may tend towards the ―tried and true‖ rather than take a risk on new technology, new products, and
                                                                   even entirely new companies while making such a heavy investment
              Technology and service risk
                                                               •   EVs are likely to require service from OEMs that have the specific expertise, parts, and tools. New EVs currently
                                                                   do not have lengthy track records in terms of maintenance issues, battery life, motor wear etc




                                                                                  TABLE OF CONTENTS                                                        Energy Storage Overview 22
Electric Transport: Trends and Drivers
Federal, state, and                                                     •   Toyota vehicles still make up the vast majority of HEVs, and most of these
local governments have an array             HEV’s plying on Ni-MH           models use Ni-MH batteries produced by PEVE (Primearth EV Energy).
of policy incentives for the                batteries dominate the          Relying on deep experience and know-how, PEVE has an annual in-house
                                                   EV market                production capacity of c.1mn units. Toyota thus has a cost advantage over
purchase of EVs and greener                                                 other automobile manufacturers which are relying on external procurement.
vehicles, and also for the
development of the energy
storage and alternative vehicle                                         •   Ongoing shift in demand to LiBs is expected to accelerate going forward,




                                  Trends
                                             LiB transition (from Ni-       evident from large automakers. Ford has already completely switched over
technologies. One of the most                                               from Ni-MH to LiB in all its models, and Honda is expected to boost its
                                                MH) expected to
crucial incentives is a                        continue in HEVs             procurement volume following establishment of its joint venture with GS Yuasa
federal tax credit of $7,500,                                               (Blue Energy).
designed to phase out once a
manufacturer has sold                                                   •   With automakers other than Toyota gradually shifting to LiBs for HEVs and all
200,000 qualifying vehicles.                 LiB to dominate as             automakers adopting LiBs for their PHEVs and EVs from the beginning, LiBs
                                            mainstream of current           are expected to be the mainstream battery type atleast in the foreseeable
                                             battery technology             future.
                                                                        •   Development of next-generation battery technology is underway (to resolve
                                                                            various issues associated with LiBs including boosting operating range).

                                                                        •   Established in 1975 in response to the oil crisis, the standard is defined as the
                                              Policy drivers: The           sales-weighted harmonic mean in miles per gallon (MPG) of a manufacturer‘s
                                            Corporate Average Fuel          fleet of passenger vehicles or light trucks weighing 8,500lbs or less.
                                               Economy (CAFE)           •   In July 2011 President Obama announced a new 54.5mpg CAFE standard by
                                                   standard                 2025.



                                                                        •   The fundamental EV economic equation is higher upfront costs in the form of a
                                  Drivers




                                                                            battery in exchange for lower fuel costs. As the price of gasoline rises and the
                                               Economic drivers             cost of batteries decrease, the lower operating cost of EVs will more quickly
                                                                            pay off the additional upfront cost.




                                                                        •   Primary motivation for buyers has been more environmental (opposition to oil)
                                                                            than economic.
                                            Environmental drivers:
                                            Consumer preferences




                                                             TABLE OF CONTENTS                                                   Energy Storage Overview 23
Electric Transport: Electrochemistry and Adoption Metrics


Governments around the world and           Present designs
the global automakers are starting to
take meaningful action to help reduce                   Battery System                            Potential                              Advantages

the world off its addiction to oil while    Lead acid                                                  2.0 V                High power, low cost
at the same time mitigating the
                                            Nickel / Metal Hydride                                     1.2 V                Long life, durability
environmental impact of ever
increasing vehicles on the road. A key      Lithium-ion                                                3.6 V                High energy, design flexibility
part of this movement is the                                                                           2.4 V
introduction of more battery-powered        Lithium-polymer                                            3.6 V                High energy, planar design
vehicles from the ground-breaking                                                                      2.4 V

Toyota Prius hybrid (HEV) to the plug-
in Chevrolet Volt (PHEV) to the all-       Automotive adoption metrics
electric Nissan Leaf (EV).                 Hierarchy of Needs:
                                           • Performance / work
Future designs in automotive                            – Performance, life and robustness
                                           • Fitness & safety
batteries include high power, high
                                                        – Package without compromising crash performance and expected interiors
energy lithium-ion and high energy         • Cost effective
metallic lithium.                                       – Life of vehicle performance
                                                        – Cost of fuel influence
                                                        – Cost of carbon influence
                                                        – Value based on power and/or energy density
                                                        – Value based on degree of uniformity
                                           • Mass effective (Wh/kg and W/kg)




                                                                     TABLE OF CONTENTS                                                Energy Storage Overview 24
Compelling Market Opportunity
•   A BMS is an electronic system that manages a rechargeable battery by monitoring
                                                                                                                                      Key Players1
    its state, calculating and reporting data, protecting the battery, and balancing &
    controlling its environment                                                                          Ash Woods Energy                         APC by Schneider Electronic
•   The key function of BMS is safety and reliability, making it an important value-add in
                                                                                                 Supplier of BMS and Battery Pack integration       Offers smart-charging and remote battery
    the battery equation. Companies who can design and manufacturer cells, packs and                               for EVs                            management for stationary batteries
    overall systems are better able to differentiate themselves by adding more value
    than component manufacturing
                                                                                                                                            CODA
                                                                                                                            Provides BMS, through its acquisition of
•   For an Electric Vehicle, BMS accounts for c.11% of manufacturing costs                                                  EnergyCS – a leading developer of BMS

•   BMS topologies fall in 3 categories: Centralized (a single controller is connected to                  Mission Motors                                          NOVO
    the battery cells through a multitude of wires ), Distributed (a BMS board is installed        Offers electric racing motorcycles, energy           Develops and markets electronic
    at each cell, with single communication cable between battery and controller) and             storage systems, electric drive systems and      management systems for lithium ion batteries
                                                                                                              software intelligence
    Modular (a few controllers, each handing a certain number of cells)
                                                                                     Key Functions

                                  • BMS monitors the state of the battery through items such as Voltage, Temperature, State-Of-Charge (SOC), State-Of-Health (SOH), Coolant
     Monitor and control
                                  Flow & Current


    Demand management &           • In an EV, the BMS will also control the recharging of the battery by redirecting the recovered energy (i.e.- from regenerative braking) back into
       energy recovery            the battery packs (a pack is typically composed of a few cells)


     Computation and log          • BMS also calculates and computed values for maximum charge / discharge current as a charge / discharge current limit (CCL / DCL), energy
       book function              delivered since last charge or charge cycle and total energy delivered since first use and total operating time since first use

                                  • Reports data to an external device, using communication links including direct wiring, wireless communication, DC-bus (serial communication
       Communication              over power-line) and CAN-bus (controller area network - a vehicle bus standard designed to allow microcontrollers and devices to communicate
                                  with each other within a vehicle without a host computer)

     Cell protection and          • BMS protects its battery by preventing it from operating outside its safe operating areas like over-current, over-voltage (during charging), under-
       charge control             voltage (during discharging), over-temperature, under-temperature and over-pressure


       Cell balancing &           • BMS ensures that all the cells that compose the battery are kept at the same SOC, through balancing. Balancing is usually accomplished
         optimization             through modular charging, shuffling energy, wasting energy and reducing the charging current


Source: 1Company sources.



                                                                                   TABLE OF CONTENTS                                                           Energy Storage Overview 25
Electric Transport: Landscape (Automakers and Battery Suppliers)


  Key Manufacturers                                         Key Customers




       Nissan + NEC
          = AESC




Source: Company data, list not exhaustive.                                       Nickel-metal hydride batteries



                                             TABLE OF CONTENTS              Energy Storage Overview 26
Large-Scale Energy Storage
Large-Scale Energy Storage: Overview

                                      Overview                                                                                     Opportunities
•   Large-scale energy storage (also called grid-scale energy storage) refers to the           •   Substantial growth in renewables is driving the need for grid-storage with existing
    methods used to store electricity on a large scale within an electrical power grid.            mandates set to deliver tremendous growth in renewable energy worldwide
•   As of March 2012, pumped-storage hydroelectricity (PSH) was the largest-                   •   Enable a better utilized grid
    capacity form of large-scale energy storage available. PSH accounted for more              •   Defer significant T&D investment: If storage were able to offset or defer some small
    than 98% of bulk storage capacity globally and its energy efficiency varies in                 part of this T&D investment, the scale of the opportunity is tremendously large
    practice between 70% to 75%.
                                                                                               •   Storage has global potential of over US$100 billion: Several geographies outside of
•   GTM Research and Azure International‘s forecast, states that pumped hydro                      U.S., especially Asia is expected to drive the storage market and is mainly fueled
    storage capacity will double or triple by 2016 to reach 40-60 GW. Other storage                by:
    technologies are expected to rise to over 700 MW of installed capacity by 2016.
                                                                                                         – Faster economic growth
•   The addressable market is over US$90 billion globally, growing at over 12%
                                                                                                         – Growth in electricity demand
    annually over the next four years to become a US$150 billion market by 2015.
                                                                                                         – Greater use of renewable energy
                                                                                                         – Need for Transmission & Distribution (T&D) investments

                                                                                  Key Challenges


                                                                • Developing a safe and effective storage device at such a low price point is tremendously difficult. No vendor has
                         Technical
                                                                yet built a substantial grid storage business (around the $300/kWh price point)


                                                                • There are a host of government funding programs around the world for storage projects, but cost recovery from the
                                                                rate-payer is an obstacle
                         Regulatory
                                                                • Decrease in cost of storage or rate-payer funding of storage investments will drive mass adoption, mainly through
                                                                a sustained regulatory system

                                                                • Lack of product standardization and established sales process is an obstacle to scale
                    Marketing and sales                         • Slow and resource intensive sales cycle of the utility market hits the vendors hard. This is compounded by the
                                                                industry‘s lack of clarity about quantifying energy storage‘s value

                                                                • Competition between various electrochemical solutions (i.e., batteries), thermal and mechanical approaches
                 Non-storage alternatives                       • There is still no clarity on whether grid-storage is a viable alternative to other, non-storage technologies that
                                                                address the same problems. For instance, gas-fired peaker plants can help with shifting load and meeting peak
                                                                demand. These plants are relatively easy to build, simple and cheap to operate (assuming low natural gas prices)




                                                                                  TABLE OF CONTENTS                                                       Energy Storage Overview 28
Large-Scale Energy Storage (cont’d)
                             Large-Scale Energy Storage Global Market                                      Installed Capacity of Grid Energy Storage by Geography (2011)1

         • Japan (23 GW) and Western Europe (13 GW) lead the deployment of pumped                                                               4%
                hydropower.                                                                                                                           4%
         • In 2012, China‘s electric grid is expected to become the largest in the world in
                terms of both installed generation capacity and electricity produced. China also
                possesses the world‘s largest installed wind power base and the world‘s largest                       42%                                     15%

                declared investment in renewable energy.
                          – China currently has just 4% of the worldwide energy storage.
                          – With strong government support and steadily improving technology,
                            China‘s energy storage market is expected to grow to a US$500
                            million per year market by 2016.
         • The fastest-growing energy storage market is the use of flywheels and lithium-                                                              35%
                ion batteries in frequency regulation applications. This ―fast storage‖ application
                has been shown to be more cost-effective than conventional fossil fuel plant
                                                                                                                            U.S.   Japan     Europe   China     Others
                generation, also allowing for less greenhouse gas emissions.


              • Large-Scale Addressable Energy Storage Market Size2
              $160.0
              $140.0
              $120.0
              $100.0
US$ billion




                                                                                                                                                                    123.3
               $80.0                                                                                                                 105.4
                                                                                                        91.6
               $60.0                    75.0                            81.8

               $40.0
               $20.0
                                        18.8                            19.9                            21.3                         23.2                           26.0
                $0.0



                                                                                        U.S.          Rest of World




Source:                1,2Cleantech   Group.


                                                                                               TABLE OF CONTENTS                                           Energy Storage Overview 29
Large-Scale Energy Storage
                U.S. Large-Scale Energy Storage Overview                                              Installed Capacity of Global Grid Energy Storage (2011)1

 • Energy storage in the U.S. electric power grid totals just over 23 GW, with 96%
    provided by existing pumped hydro systems.
                                                                                                                                                     21%              21%
 • U.S. energy storage technology investments are expected to grow at an annual
    average rate of between 20% - 30% over the next five years. Public and private
    sector investments, mainstream adoption of EVs, and the pace of smart grid                                                                                                7%
    deployment will all play a role in the development of the U.S. energy storage                                             2%
                                                                                                     98%                                   4%
    market.
 • Through the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act (ARRA), the U.S.                                                                                                      47%
    Department of Energy (DOE) launched its significant energy storage program in
    2009
                                                                                                             Pumped Hydro             Thermal                     Flywheels & Others
              – ARRA funded US$185 million to support energy storage projects with                                                    Batteries                   Compressed Air
                                                                                                             Others
                a total value of US$772 million.                                                                                      Molten Salt
              – 537 MW of new storage systems to be added to the grid with these
                projects.

       Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) Ruling                                               Installed Capacity of U.S. Grid Energy Storage (2011)2

  • FERC ruled that wholesale power market operators are required to pay more for
    faster response energy storage than they currently do for slower response
    systems (like gas turbines).
  • Batteries, as well as other technologies like flywheels, are classified as ‗faster‘
                                                                                                                                            80%
    response and will therefore ultimately benefit from the pay-for-performance
                                                                                                                             4%
    decision.
                                                                                                    96%                                                                9%
  • The FERC ruling has spurred increased utility interest in batteries for frequency                                                                                4%
    regulation and comes at a favorable time, as depressed natural gas prices have                                                                                  2%
    made the economics more challenging as of late.                                                                                                        1%   1% 2%
  • Depending on how the program is implemented, pay-for-performance could
    provide a 25-100% premium for faster response time which would make them                                 Pumped Hydro
                                                                                                             Others          Compressed Air                Lithium Ion
    much more valuable to grid operators..                                                                                   Flywheels                     Ni-Cad Batteries
                                                                                                                             NaS Batteries                 Others
                                                                                                                             Ice Storage (Thermal)
Source: 1,2Energy Storage Activities in the United States Electricity Grid, Electricity Advisory Committee report 2011.
Note: Ice Storage - Thermal energy storage using ice, which makes use of the large heat of fusion of water.


                                                                                   TABLE OF CONTENTS                                              Energy Storage Overview 30
Energy Storage Overview- February 2013
Energy Storage Overview- February 2013
Energy Storage Overview- February 2013
Energy Storage Overview- February 2013
Energy Storage Overview- February 2013
Energy Storage Overview- February 2013
Energy Storage Overview- February 2013
Energy Storage Overview- February 2013
Energy Storage Overview- February 2013
Energy Storage Overview- February 2013
Energy Storage Overview- February 2013

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Energy Storage Overview- February 2013

  • 1. Silicon Valley Bank Cleantech Practice Energy Storage Overview February 2013
  • 2. Table of Contents I. Introduction IV. Energy Storage for Transport III. Energy Storage for Transport I. Energy Storage Outlook: SVB Observations 3 l. l. Electric Transport Electric Transport 22 23 II. Energy Storage Outlook: SVB Observations (Cont.) 4 lI.lI. Electric Transport: Trends and Drivers Electric Transport: Trends and Drivers 23 24 III. Cleantech Ecosystem 5 lII. Electric Transport: Electrochemistry and Adoption Metrics lII. Electric Transport: Electrochemistry and Adoption Metrics 24 25 VC Investments and Government Funding in Energy lV. Battery Management System (BMS): Overview lV. Battery Management System (BMS): Overview 25 26 IV. 6 Storage Top VC Investments in Energy Storage and Electric Transport: Landscape (Automakers and Battery Electric Transport: Landscape (Automakers and Battery V. 7 V. V. 26 27 Transportation Suppliers) Suppliers) II. Energy Storage: Analysis and Trends V. Large-Scale Energy Storage IV. Large-Scale Energy Storage I. Energy Storage Overview 9 I. I. Large-Scale Energy Storage: Overview Large-Scale Energy Storage: Overview 28 29 II. Defining the Energy Storage Landscape 10 lI.lI. Large-Scale Energy Storage: Overview (Cont.) Large-Scale Energy Storage: Overview (Cont.) 29 30 III. Energy Storage: Common Trade-offsand Key Metrics Tradeoffs and Key Metrics 11 Ill. Large-Scale Energy Storage Ill. Large-Scale Energy Storage 30 31 Large-Scale Energy Storage: Key Technologies and Large-Scale Energy Storage: Key Technologies and IV. Battery Basics 12 IV. IV. 31 32 Landscape Landscape V. Battery Basics: Key Technologies 13 Large-Scale Energy Storage: Key Technologies and Large-Scale Energy Storage: Key Technologies and V. V. 32 33 Landscape (Cont.) Landscape (Cont.) VI. Lithium-ion Trends 14 VI. Appendix V. Appendix Vll. Emerging Technologies Beyond Lithium-ion 15 I. I. Select Players inin Energy Storage Select Players Energy Storage 34 35 Vlll. Ultracapacitors / Supercapacitors 16 lI.lI. Select Players inin Energy Storage (Cont.) Select Players Energy Storage (Cont.) 35 36 III. Energy Storage for Consumer Devices Ill. Select Players inin Energy Storage Ill. Select Players Energy Storage (Cont.) 36 37 IV. Select Players inin Energy Storage IV. Select Players Energy Storage (Cont.) 37 38 I. Consumer Devices 18 V. Cells Types and Battery Terminology V. Cells Types and Battery Terminology 38 39 II. Energy Storage for Consumer Devices: Value Chain 19 Energy Storage for Consumer Devices: Value Chain VI. Large-Scale Energy Storage: Technical Benefits VI. Large-Scale Energy Storage: Technical Benefits 39 40 III. (Cont.) 20 IV. Consumer Devices: The Future 21 Energy Storage Overview 2
  • 3. Energy Storage Outlook: SVB Observations OBSERVATIONS • Incumbent Dominance — The large established battery manufacturers continue to dominate, making breakouts for new entrants challenging. Incumbents bring financial stability, manufacturing scalability and reliability which win favor over the technical advantages of new battery players. Batteries are often integrated into the end user product, and established OEMs are often reluctant to purchase from startups due to supply and quality concerns. • Long on Promise, Short on Results — Advanced energy storage is still in its early stages. Even companies that have been around for years are only in early commercialization. This is both good and bad: the sector has a lot of potential but it will be awhile until we see any breakout companies. Some new breakout technologies,such as supercapacitors/ultracapacitors show promise, but they all seem far on the horizon in terms of leapfrog technical advances and market adoption is ever further out. • New Entrants Few and Far Between — Startup activity is muted due to the lack of strong exits and the long time to market for existing energy storage companies. • Contract Manufacturing and Service Models Attract Investor Interest — Achieving attractive economics in battery manufacturing requires significant scale and massive investment in plant assets. Following the broader cleantech trend, investors favor capital efficient models. Typically, these models are faster to commercialization, although gaining access to contract manufacturing resources may be challenging. • Sales Cycles Long — Some energy storage markets, such as the grid-storage sector, are characterized by long sales cycles to utilities. Safety concerns linger, too, as consumer-oriented companies contemplate new battery technologies. TABLE OF CONTENTS Energy Storage Overview 3
  • 4. Energy Storage Outlook: SVB Observations (Cont’d.) OBSERVATIONS • Current Regulations Inhibit Adoption — Current regulatory bodies, such as FERC and the PUCs in the U.S., are still operating under legacy policies that were not written for, and consequently inhibit, new storage technologies for grid scale and distributed energy storage. These regulations are slowly changing and, as those regulations are updated and ISOs and utilities implement them, market adoption of the new technologies could accelerate. • Lithium-ion Will Continue to Dominate — Relative to new technologies, it appears that lithium-ion will continue to dominate in terms of ubiquity of application. Relative to newer technologies, lithium ion has superior price and performance metrics. Advances in chemistry and manufacturing processes continue to provide improvements in efficacy, indicating likely continued dominance absent significant breakthroughs in other technologies. • Transportation Market Slow to Develop — EVs growth may be strong on a percentage basis but the absolute penetration is still modest. Drivers of broader adoption include cost reductions, range improvements, and development of an adequate charging infrastructure. • Large-Scale Energy Storage Solutions Not Yet Cost Competitive — Large scale energy storage has yet to win over customers on a cost basis relative to incumbent diesel generators and lead acid batteries in commercial and industrial applications, and to pump hydro and natural gas peakers in grid scale applications. • Exits Elusive — Most energy storage startups are simply too early to attract strong M&A activity and are even further away from having enough revenue traction to be IPO candidates. TABLE OF CONTENTS Energy Storage Overview 4
  • 5. Cleantech Ecosystem Materials and Manufacturing Materials & Manufacturing Recycling & Energy Energy Energy Agriculture, Air & Energy Storage Waste Generation Efficiency Infrastructure Water Management • Solar / Thermal • Consumer Devices • Building materials • Smart Grid • Waste to energy • Agriculture • Wind • Electric Transport • Lighting Hardware • Waste • Air • Hydro • Large-scale • Demand response • Smart meters repurposing • Water • Alternative fuels Storage systems • Transmission • Fuel Cells • Energy Management • Improved and • Improved power • Reduced • Reduction in • Economic in • Organic economical reliability operating costs wastage nature - well-run pesticides / Application Benefits source of energy • Intermittency • Lower • Reduce outage recycling fertilizers • Less pressure Management maintenance frequency / programs cost • Water purification on non- • Increased costs duration less to operate • Water renewable cycles/longer • Extended • Reduce than waste remediation resources (oil storage equipment lives distribution loss collection and • Purification and gas) • Efficiency landfilling • Management • Energy security • Grid/ Off Grid Residential End User Commercial Industrial Utilities, Government and Others TABLE OF CONTENTS Energy Storage Overview 5
  • 6. VC Investments and Government Funding in Energy Storage Overview Global VC Investment in Energy Storage1 (US$ millions) # of deals VC Investments: • In 2011, VC investments in global energy storage was US$618 million, a 40% $300.0 30.0 increase over the US$443 million investment in FY2010. $250.0 25.0 • For 3Q 2012, VC investments in Energy Storage was 7% of total VC funding in clean technology. $200.0 20.0 – Energy Storage VC funding was down to US$80.3 million in 3Q 2012, $150.0 15.0 as compared to US$84.9 million in 2Q 2012. Government participation – new programs: $100.0 10.0 • In August 2012, Advanced Research Projects Agency-Energy (ARPA-E) $50.0 5.0 announced funding for 19 new projects in two new program areas. The new programs, Advanced Management and Protection of Energy Storage Devices $0.0 0.0 (AMPED) and Small Business Innovation Research (SBIR), will focus on battery management and storage to advance electric vehicle technologies, help improve the efficiency and reliability of the electrical grid and provide important energy Total Investment per Quarter # of Deals security benefits. Global Cleantech Cumulative Investments 1Q2010 to 3Q 20122 – 12 research projects are received $30 million in funding under the AMPED program, aiming to develop advanced sensing and control US$22.4 billion pumped into clean tech globally since 1Q 2010, of which technologies that might improve the safety, performance and longevity US$5.3 billion invested in Energy Storage* for grid-scale and vehicle batteries. Unlike other Energy Department Energy efforts to push the frontiers of battery chemistry, AMPED is focused on Solar, 18.4% Storage*, 23.6% maximizing the potential of existing battery chemistries. – Under the SBIR program, a total of $13 million will fund seven projects for enterprising small businesses pursuing cutting-edge energy storage developments for stationary power and electric vehicles. Others, 25.8% Energy • The 19 new ARPA-E projects span 14 states and will receive a total of $43 million Efficiency, 14.1% in funding. Recycling & Biofuels & Bio Source: 1,2Cleantech Group. materials, Waste, 5.5% Note: * For cumulative investments, Energy Storage includes Transport. 12.5% TABLE OF CONTENTS Energy Storage Overview 6
  • 7. Top VC Investments in Energy Storage and Transportation Select Deals Over Last Five Years Recent Round to Date Total VC Amount Company Key Sector Key Venture Capital Firm VC Rounds (US$M) Raised (US$M) Better Place Electric Transport Vantage Point, Israel Corp. 3 Dec 2011 $201.01M $750.0M A123Systems Inc. Consumer Devices/ Electric Transport Alliance, GE, FA Tech Ventures 6 May 2008 $102.07M $732.2M Coda Automotive Electric Transport Aeris Capital, Harbinger Capital, New World 5 Feb 2012 $21.50M $275.5M Lilliputian Systems Consumer Devices KPCB, Atlas, Rockport, Rusano 8 Sep 2012 $40.0M $154.2M Protean Electric Electric Transport Oak, GSR Ventures 2 Jun 2012 $84.0M $84.0M ChargePoint Inc. Consumer Devices KPCB, Braemar, Voyager 4 Apr 2012 $51.01M $83.7M Deeya Energy Consumer Devices DFJ, NEA, Element 5 Sep 2012 $10.0M $78.0M Xtreme Power Inc. Large Scale Storage Bessemer, DOW, Sail 5 May 2012 $10.0M $75.5M LightSail Energy Inc. Large Scale Storage Khosla, Triplepoint 2 Aug 2012 $37.0M $52.9M QuantumScape Corp. Large Scale Storage Khosla, KPCB 2 Aug 2012 $22.7M $50.0M Key Investors Since 2001 First Investment in Energy Storage / Venture Capital Firm # Deals Amount (US$mM 1 Transportation DFJ (Draper Fisher Jurvetson) 26 2001 $223.2M KPCB (Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers) 22 2005 $1,414.3M New Enterprise Associates (NEA) 17 2007 $1,026.0M Braemar Energy Ventures 13 2003 $379.7M Khosla Ventures 13 2006 $212.5M VantagePoint Capital Partners 12 2006 $1,000.0M Technology Partners 12 2003 $136.6M Source: Silicon Valley Bank 1Amount represents cumulative investments (through a consortium of investors) and not the particular VC’s contribution in a deal(s). TABLE OF CONTENTS Energy Storage Overview 7
  • 9. Energy Storage Overview Overview Global Installed Battery Energy Storage Capacity (2010)1 • Electric energy storage systems are technologies that allow energy to be FY2010 Capacity: 452MW stored and used at a later time when and where it is needed. Lithium-ion Redox-flow • Storage enables energy to be moved across time, similar to transmission and Nickel- 4% 1% Cadmium distribution where energy moves across distances to end users. 6% • Small scale energy storage is currently dominated by batteries. Batteries are Lead-acid devices that convert stored chemical energy into useful electrical energy, and 8% is one of the oldest and widely used forms of energy storage. • Non-battery storage type includes flywheels, compressed air energy and Sodium- pumped hydro. Sulfur 81% • The global battery market for 2011 by type was distributed amongst Non- rechargeable (37%), Transport (30%), Industrial (17%) and Portable (16%). The Segments • Consumer electronics: The most mature market segment is consumer electronics, which needs lower power requirement and is used in portable devices such as computers, mobile phones, and GPS devices. These devices have been in the market for over 20 years. • Electric transport: Electric transport involves batteries for fully electric vehicles (EV‘s), plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEV‘s) and other mass electric transit (trains). EVs run on electric motors and require charging of their electric batteries, while PHEVs (like traditional hybrids) contain both an internal combustion engine and an electric motor. • Large-scale storage: Large-scale storage is used by utilities and other power industry participants for several purposes. This segment has, by far, the most demanding technical requirements in terms of power, energy, and sheer scale. Large scale storage is generally used by power plants, transmission lines and energy units (useful for integrating intermittent energy sources like solar, wind ,etc). Source: 1EAC, California Energy Storage Alliance & Electric Power Research Institute. TABLE OF CONTENTS Energy Storage Overview 9
  • 10. Defining the Energy Storage Landscape Energy Storage Market Segmentation Mobile Stationary Consumer Devices Electric Transport Large-Scale Storage Mobile Phones, Batteries for plug-in Storage for utilities Smartphones electric vehicles Batteries for hybrid Used to shift energy Laptops vehicles produced Batteries for other electric Useful for integrating Power tools vehicles (buses, trains etc) intermittent energy sources Provide grid stability and Video gaming machines range of other benefits Mobile games Low Energy Requirements (kW or MW) High High Technology & Market Maturity Low Source: Cleantech Group. TABLE OF CONTENTS Energy Storage Overview 10
  • 11. Energy Storage: Common Tradeoffs and Key Metrics Common Tradeoffs with Energy Storage • Energy capacity vs. Power capability: More energy in a battery means the addition of more active materials to engage in a electrochemical reaction. However, this additional active material creates more resistance to electricity flow in the battery and reduces its power capability. • Capital Expenditures (Capex) vs. Operating Expenditures (Opex): Some technologies are more expensive initially but require less ongoing cash outlays to maintain the ability to store the same amount of energy . • Cost vs. Performance: In all energy storage systems, there are costly high performance versions and less costly low performance versions. • Core Energy Storage Device vs. Energy Storage System/Pack: There is a good deal of value to be added at the system level, and a good energy storage device (battery, flywheel etc) becomes useless if it is a part of a bad system (power converters / cooling / safety / reliability). Key Metrics Metric Units Description Energy Capacity MWh, kWh Maximum amount of energy stored in a device when fully charged Rate at which energy is transferred (charged or discharged). In electrical battery systems, there is a balance between Power MW, kW power and energy; increasing the power of a system will reduce its energy Amount of energy or power per unit of volume. Most relevant for mobile applications where physical space is often a more Power Density Wh/L for energy, W/L for power important limitation Discharge Time Seconds / Minutes / Hours Time required to discharge a device Cost per kWh Currency / kWh Measure cost per unit of energy capacity and power Months / Years Time before a battery becomes unusable whether it is in active Calendar life use or inactive. Almost all devices degrade over time regardless of their cycling regime Represents the number of cycles that a battery can provide. If the battery degrades before its calendar life, it is often Cycle life # number because it has reached the end of its cycle life Round-trip efficiency Percentage Percentage of energy stored that is lost in one cycle TABLE OF CONTENTS Energy Storage Overview 11
  • 12. Battery Basics Battery Timeline 1970s: Introduction of 1859: Lead-acid sealed valve regulated 1989: Nickel metal- 2010s: Thin film 250BC – 224 battery invented 1899: Nickel-cadium lead acid battery (VRLA) hydride (NiMH) Mid1990s: Lithium-ion batteries for AD: (the first secondary (NiCd) battery (first Nickel hydrogen batteries are used in polymer battery (higher applications from ‗Baghdad or rechargeable alkaline battery) batteries introduced for mobile phones and energy density than smart cards to Batteries‘ battery) invented aerospace applications portable electronics standard Li-ion battery) medical implants 1800s: 1880s: First dry cell 1903: Nickel-iron 1981: Sony launches 1990s: NiMH 2000s: Arrival of Invention of battery (zinc-carbon battery invented; first commercial, overtaken by Lithium-ion as the Voltaic pile battery) invented by promoted by rechargeable, stable, lithium and predominant battery Carl Gassner Thomas Edison for lithium-ion battery then lithium-ion for transportation Electric torch enters use in electric cars the market Battery Classification Primary Batteries Secondary Batteries Primary batteries are non-rechargeable. In terms of volume, they account for c.90% The chemical reaction in a secondary battery can be reversed, which means that the of all batteries in the world – mainly small, disposable batteries for consumers battery can be recharged. Rechargeable battery types, although accounting for only c.10% of all batteries by volume, represent more than 60% of the global battery market in terms of value Zinc-carbon primary batteries Lead-acid Non-rechargeable manganese zinc alkaline Nickel-Cadmium (NiCd) Non-rechargeable lithium Nickel Metal-Hydride (NiMH) Specialty non-rechargeable (including zinc-air, silver oxide and magnesium) Lithium batteries Flow batteries Sodium Sulfur Source: Broker Research and websites. TABLE OF CONTENTS Energy Storage Overview 12
  • 13. Battery Basics: Key Technologies Lithium based Lead Acid Sodium Sulfur (NaS) Flow Batteries • Rechargeable battery in which • Oldest type of rechargeable • Molten-metal battery • Rechargeable fuel cell in which lithium ions move from the battery. Has a very low energy- constructed from sodium (Na) electrolyte containing one or negative electrode to the positive to-weight ratio and a low energy- and sulfur (S). NaS has a high more dissolved electroactive electrode during discharge, and to-volume ratio. Capable of energy density, high efficiency of species flows through an back when charging. Li-ion supplying high surge currents charge/discharge and long cycle electrochemical cell that Technology / batteries use lithium compound life, and is made from reversibly converts chemical Characteristics as the electrode material, • Suitable for use in motor inexpensive materials energy directly to electricity compared to the metallic lithium vehicles to provide the high used in the non-rechargeable current required by automobile • Used primarily for large-scale • Primarily used in load balancing, lithium battery starter motors non-mobile applications such as electric vehicles, UPS, power grid energy storage conversion and storage • Commonly used in consumer devices • Consumer electronics and • Power to energy ratios for these • These batteries are more • Flow batteries have the electric transport users have batteries can be configured to ―power-centric‖, with a lower advantage of flexibility and adopted lithium due to favorable match users‘ specific needs. Till energy density, than lithium-ion scalability since they can be Market energy density, plus minimal date, there has been limited configured to different Application operational and maintenance commercialization at a grid-scale specifications of power and Characteristics (O&M) needs energy capacity • They tend to have a long cycle life Source: Silicon Valley Bank TABLE OF CONTENTS Energy Storage Overview 13
  • 14. Lithium-ion Trends U.S. and European players enter the fray • Companies based out of U.S. and Europe are emerging as strong players in the emerging automotive LiB battery in automotive battery market segment, along with the Chinese, who are now becoming more active. • Chinese domestic market is setting the tone for growth in the midsize and large LiBs market and growth in China’s growth smartphones, thus offsetting the decline in feature phones. Asian dominance to be broken for • U.S. and European automakers are looking at local companies (in their home countries) to source the key automotive LiBs? components so that they do not have to rely on imports from Asia in the future. • In small LiBs, Japanese usually produce cylindrical cells domestically because production is easily automated. Prismatic batteries (used in mobile phones) are manufactured overseas as production is more labor-intensive Japan losing steam in small LiBs • But with domestic production margins slim, companies like Panasonic and Sony are increasingly shifting production overseas to cut costs. • Korean and Chinese manufacturers are now emerging as a threat to the long-dominated battery materials suppliers New battleground for battery materials from Japan. makers • Deep pocket chemical conglomerates from U.S. and Europe (BASF, DuPont, 3M etc) and Korea (Samsung, LG etc) promise to change the level playing field. • Chemical companies are not the only players to enter the market. Companies including steelmaker POSCO (through Influx of non-chemical makers in Korea subsidiary POSCO Chemtech) and GS Group (GS Caltex), have recently entered the materials business. • In recent years, for small LiB‘s, low-cost battery manufacturers from China have entered the market, and the Korean makers‘ share has been rising, while low-cost makers in China have also begun to emerge in a trend that has been particularly pronounced for small LiB materials. U.S. and European chemical makers have entered this market and it is turning highly competitive. • Technological capacities are narrowing and production is decentralized (spreading to the U.S. and Europe, instead of being concentrated in Asia), making it more challenging for Japanese firms to maintain their competitiveness. TABLE OF CONTENTS Energy Storage Overview 14
  • 15. Emerging Technologies Beyond Lithium-ion Lithium-ion will dominate the Significant issues but breakthrough not foreseeable in next 10-15 years consumer and automotive markets for a long time into the future due to their Battery System Advantages Disadvantages high efficiency, long cycle and Li-metal / Sulfur Low cost Low cycle life, safety issues calendar life, high energy density and manageable safety. Li-metal/Air Low cost Low cycle life, low efficiency, safety issues Li-Ion / Flow Battery (Cambridge Separation of energy storage from Pumping of liquids containing Crude) energy conversion dispersed nano particles Further increase in energy density is possible with lithium metal systems. Li / Metal polymer (60 C) No liquids Heating required, low power output, safety issues But intrinsic problems with reversibility, cyclability and safety of Li-metal / Multi electron chemistry High energy density Low cycle life, low efficiency, safety lithium metal needs to be overcome to issues make the systems more viable. Sodium / Sulfur (Na/S) Good cycle life, low cost Works at 300 C Sodium / Nickel Chloride Good cycle life, reasonable cost Works at 350 C Redox flow batteries Low cost Low power output, pumping of liquids Sodium and Magnesium-ion Low cost Low reversibility, low power output batteries Supercapacitors / Ultracapacitors High power & fast discharge Low energy capacity TABLE OF CONTENTS Energy Storage Overview 15
  • 16. Ultracapacitors / Supercapacitors Overview Ultracapacitors vs. Batteries • Ultracapacitors are energy storage devices that can charge and discharge • Despite the current generation of supercapacitors having larger than normal rapidly (in milliseconds) and generate short bursts of power while having capacitors, their storage capacity is very limited compared to a battery (~5%). extremely limited (less than a few seconds) energy storage capacity. • On the performance front, an ultracapacitor can release energy much faster • Supercapacitors represent a step change from capacitors, improving upon the and with much more power than a battery, which relies on a slow chemical traditional capacitor in ways including: reaction. The charge/discharge cycle of supercapacitors is measured in – Increasing the amount of charge that the plates can store. This is seconds vs. hours for batteries. achieved through coating the plates with a porous material (e.g., activated carbon) which gives them a much higher surface area to • Ultracapacitors have low cost per cycle and good reversibility compared to store charge batteries. – A thin physical separator is introduced in place of a conventional • Compared to a battery, there is no danger of overcharging in an ultracapacitor. separator, eliminating the need for a bulky dielectric. This greatly reduces the separation and the actual physical size of the capacitor • In an ultracapacitor, the self discharge rate is very high compared to a battery. • Supercapacitors have remained a niche market. The key disadvantages are • Unlike batteries, ultracapacitors have low maximum voltage, hence series energy density and cost. connections are needed to obtain higher voltages. • The size of the current global market for ultracapacitors is estimated at approximately US$300 million and growing ~20%–30% annually • Ultracapacitors are more environment friendly due to non-usage of electrolytes and less toxic materials. • Ultracapacitors / supercapacitors are predominantly used in heavy and public transport and motor racing. • Effective storage and recovery of energy requires complex electronic control and switching equipment, with consequent energy loss. the voltage across any Key players1 capacitor drops significantly as it discharges. Maxwell APowerCap PrimeEarth • Capacitors have a long life, with little degradation over hundreds of thousands NESSCAP Technologies Technologies EV Energy of charge cycles. This is because they have a high number of charge- Co., Ltd discharge cycles (millions or more compared to 200 to 1,000 for most commercially available rechargeable batteries). Source: 1Company data. TABLE OF CONTENTS Energy Storage Overview 16
  • 17. Energy Storage for Consumer Devices
  • 18. Consumer Devices Overview Small (consumer-use) LiB volume share (2011) • According to Global Industry Analysts (GIA), the global market for consumer Others batteries is forecast to reach US$55.4 billion by the year 2017 Maxell 8% 3% • The secondary/rechargeable batteries segment would see lithium-ion (LiB) ATL rechargeable batteries display the maximum growth opportunities, driven by 4% the widespread popularity of consumer electronic devices, including Tianjin Lishen Panasonic smartphones and tablet PC‘s. However, laptop demand, the main driver until 4% (inc. Sanyo) BAK 24% now, is likely to decline as a result of market erosion from tablets and a 4% downturn in battery capacity per unit BYD • The strong demand for electronic devices would also support the demand for 5% Nickel-Metal Hydride (NiMH) batteries to a certain extent (commonly available as AAA and AA, used as small rechargeable batteries) • The small LiB market (predominantly the consumer electronics batteries) is Sony 8% expected to continue to grow at an annual rate of about 10% by capacity Samsung volume 23% LG Chem. • In terms of technology, a shift in the shape of batteries used in laptops is being 16% witnessed [from cylindrical types (the ―18650‖) to polymer types] Key Challenges • Massive capital buildup is required to set up manufacturing units and this can be achieved only by bigger firms Manufacturing reliability at a global scale • Manufacturers also need to be adaptive to changing technology and be able to produce and deliver the desired goods within a set timeframe • Batteries, especially ones which include mercury, are hazardous for the environment. The U.S. government enacted the Mercury-Containing and Rechargeable Battery Management Act in 1996. The purpose of the law was Hazardous Materials to formalize, with legal requirements, the phase-out of the use of mercury in batteries, provide for the efficient and cost-effective collection and recycling or proper disposal of certain used battery types. This has considerably reduced the effects on the environment, although not completely eliminated • Currently, the battery industries in the U.S., Europe, and Japan are working to develop improved recycling technologies. Technical feasibility of recycling alkaline and zinc carbon batteries in existing metal smelting furnaces Recycling and kilns have been demonstrated by European and U.S. battery industries. Environmentally beneficial and cost- effective recycling technologies are not universally available despite considerable progress TABLE OF CONTENTS Energy Storage Overview 18
  • 19. Energy Storage for Consumer Devices: Value Chain Separator / Lithium-ion Lithium Mining Anode materials Cathode materials Electrolyte Battery cells membrane Upstream (Mining and processing) Downstream (Manufacturing & storage) •Chemtall • Shanshantech • ShanShanTech • Samsung • Asahikasei* • Boston Power •FMC • Mitsubishi • NICHIA • Cheil Industries • Sumitomo • Eamex •SQM Chemical* • Mitsubishi • Stella Chemifa* Chemical* • Enovix • TianJiao Chemical* • Tian Jiao • Polypore • Johnson • Hitachi Chemical* • TianJiao International, Controls* • Amprus • TODA America Inc* • Valence* • Pulead • Stella Chemifa* • Celgard • Electrovaya* • 3M* • Hitachi* • Umicore* • Nec* • Tanaka Chemical • Toshiba* Corporation • Sanyo* • Phostech Lithium • LG Chem* • Pulead • Leyden Energy • Gsyu USA* Production • Local • Global • Regional • Local • Material purity • Specific Energy (kWh/kg) • Production efficiency (m2/sec) • Volume (n/hrs) Cost Drivers (ton/m3) • Mining capacity • Materials • Manufacturing technology • Technology in Other Drivers • Sulphatization • Process assembly • Labor and components * Public Company TABLE OF CONTENTS Energy Storage Overview 19
  • 20. Energy Storage for Consumer Devices: Value Chain (cont’d) Separator / Lithium-ion Lithium Mining Anode materials Cathode materials Electrolyte Battery cells membrane Upstream (Mining and processing) Downstream (Manufacturing & storage) • Oligopoly • Dominated by Japanese players, entry of Korean and Chinese manufacturers • In-house • Partially specialized precursors sources manufacture by • Certain cathode materials still manufactured by cell manufacturer OEM‘s • Joint Venture (JV) strategy to enter the market • Limited suppliers Present • Independent Asian Li-battery manufacturers • Research spin-offs • Select new • New players from specialty sectors • Limited players • More integration of precursor manufacturer outsourcing, • Recycling • Consolidation and downstream integration mainly led by in- companies • Minimal upstream integration house assembly • Business models • Cell The future… integrating manufacturers to recycling take on the role of larger system delivery (including electronics) TABLE OF CONTENTS Energy Storage Overview 20
  • 21. Energy Storage for Transport
  • 22. Electric Transport Overview Electric Transport Market • Electric transport applications have four main battery types of interest: • Traditionally the industry is broken down into three main categories: – Nickel-based aqueous: Nickel-cadmium and nickel-metal hydride are – Hybrid Electric Vehicles (HEVs): Vehicle that uses both an internal the two main nickel-based aqueous (liquid electrolyte) battery types. combustion engine (using conventional gasoline, diesel, or biodiesel) in Cost and toxicity of cadmium are the main concerns for nickel-cadmium tandem with either an electric motor powered by a rechargeable battery batteries (EU has imposed bans in most cases) – Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles (PHEVs): Refers to an all-electric – Lithium-ion: The most popular and commonly used battery type for range which can be plugged into an electric outlet to charge their portable consumer electronics, displaying favorable characteristics like primary battery durability, high specific energy, correspondingly light weight, and – Electric Vehicles (EVs): Purest form of electrified vehicle in that it reasonably fast-charge/discharge capability relies solely on an electrical motor as its source of propulsion – Lithium metal and Metal-air: Currently under development with a • According to Jeffries, rapid growth is expected from 2012-2014 in PHEVs and promise of up to a tenfold increase in energy. Full fledged deployment EVs, and they are expected to grow at 30%+ annually from 2014-2020, while the in transportation sector has not been made as it is in the R&D stage, HEVs expected to increase market share from 2.5% in 2011 to 3.0% in 2020. though these technologies have demonstrated basic performance and energy density potential in niche applications • By 2020, over 1 million vehicles sold per year will be an alternative vehicle, or 6.1% of U.S. market and ~500k+ vehicles will be PHEV/EV, or 3.1% of U.S. • The EV battery market is expected to grow to US$8.4 billion by 2015 and nearly market by 2020. US$33 billion by 2020, from just US$1.5 billion in 2011. Key Challenges • A primary barrier to deployment is their cost and availability. After the discontinuation of commercially produced electric passenger vehicles in the early 1990s, and before the introduction of the Nissan Leaf and Chevrolet Volt Higher upfront cost in late 2010, there were no mass produced electric passenger vehicles available in the U.S. • The costs of the current generation of EVs and PHEVs are high, with fossil fuels cheaper as of now • Lack of existing infrastructure for vehicle fueling and charging, combined with limited range of pure electric Range / Infrastructure vehicles presents a barrier to large-scale adoption, especially for those who do not have access to secure charging at home. Even with the fastest level three charging, a full charge would still take 30-45 minutes • Consumers may tend towards the ―tried and true‖ rather than take a risk on new technology, new products, and even entirely new companies while making such a heavy investment Technology and service risk • EVs are likely to require service from OEMs that have the specific expertise, parts, and tools. New EVs currently do not have lengthy track records in terms of maintenance issues, battery life, motor wear etc TABLE OF CONTENTS Energy Storage Overview 22
  • 23. Electric Transport: Trends and Drivers Federal, state, and • Toyota vehicles still make up the vast majority of HEVs, and most of these local governments have an array HEV’s plying on Ni-MH models use Ni-MH batteries produced by PEVE (Primearth EV Energy). of policy incentives for the batteries dominate the Relying on deep experience and know-how, PEVE has an annual in-house EV market production capacity of c.1mn units. Toyota thus has a cost advantage over purchase of EVs and greener other automobile manufacturers which are relying on external procurement. vehicles, and also for the development of the energy storage and alternative vehicle • Ongoing shift in demand to LiBs is expected to accelerate going forward, Trends LiB transition (from Ni- evident from large automakers. Ford has already completely switched over technologies. One of the most from Ni-MH to LiB in all its models, and Honda is expected to boost its MH) expected to crucial incentives is a continue in HEVs procurement volume following establishment of its joint venture with GS Yuasa federal tax credit of $7,500, (Blue Energy). designed to phase out once a manufacturer has sold • With automakers other than Toyota gradually shifting to LiBs for HEVs and all 200,000 qualifying vehicles. LiB to dominate as automakers adopting LiBs for their PHEVs and EVs from the beginning, LiBs mainstream of current are expected to be the mainstream battery type atleast in the foreseeable battery technology future. • Development of next-generation battery technology is underway (to resolve various issues associated with LiBs including boosting operating range). • Established in 1975 in response to the oil crisis, the standard is defined as the Policy drivers: The sales-weighted harmonic mean in miles per gallon (MPG) of a manufacturer‘s Corporate Average Fuel fleet of passenger vehicles or light trucks weighing 8,500lbs or less. Economy (CAFE) • In July 2011 President Obama announced a new 54.5mpg CAFE standard by standard 2025. • The fundamental EV economic equation is higher upfront costs in the form of a Drivers battery in exchange for lower fuel costs. As the price of gasoline rises and the Economic drivers cost of batteries decrease, the lower operating cost of EVs will more quickly pay off the additional upfront cost. • Primary motivation for buyers has been more environmental (opposition to oil) than economic. Environmental drivers: Consumer preferences TABLE OF CONTENTS Energy Storage Overview 23
  • 24. Electric Transport: Electrochemistry and Adoption Metrics Governments around the world and Present designs the global automakers are starting to take meaningful action to help reduce Battery System Potential Advantages the world off its addiction to oil while Lead acid 2.0 V High power, low cost at the same time mitigating the Nickel / Metal Hydride 1.2 V Long life, durability environmental impact of ever increasing vehicles on the road. A key Lithium-ion 3.6 V High energy, design flexibility part of this movement is the 2.4 V introduction of more battery-powered Lithium-polymer 3.6 V High energy, planar design vehicles from the ground-breaking 2.4 V Toyota Prius hybrid (HEV) to the plug- in Chevrolet Volt (PHEV) to the all- Automotive adoption metrics electric Nissan Leaf (EV). Hierarchy of Needs: • Performance / work Future designs in automotive – Performance, life and robustness • Fitness & safety batteries include high power, high – Package without compromising crash performance and expected interiors energy lithium-ion and high energy • Cost effective metallic lithium. – Life of vehicle performance – Cost of fuel influence – Cost of carbon influence – Value based on power and/or energy density – Value based on degree of uniformity • Mass effective (Wh/kg and W/kg) TABLE OF CONTENTS Energy Storage Overview 24
  • 25. Compelling Market Opportunity • A BMS is an electronic system that manages a rechargeable battery by monitoring Key Players1 its state, calculating and reporting data, protecting the battery, and balancing & controlling its environment Ash Woods Energy APC by Schneider Electronic • The key function of BMS is safety and reliability, making it an important value-add in Supplier of BMS and Battery Pack integration Offers smart-charging and remote battery the battery equation. Companies who can design and manufacturer cells, packs and for EVs management for stationary batteries overall systems are better able to differentiate themselves by adding more value than component manufacturing CODA Provides BMS, through its acquisition of • For an Electric Vehicle, BMS accounts for c.11% of manufacturing costs EnergyCS – a leading developer of BMS • BMS topologies fall in 3 categories: Centralized (a single controller is connected to Mission Motors NOVO the battery cells through a multitude of wires ), Distributed (a BMS board is installed Offers electric racing motorcycles, energy Develops and markets electronic at each cell, with single communication cable between battery and controller) and storage systems, electric drive systems and management systems for lithium ion batteries software intelligence Modular (a few controllers, each handing a certain number of cells) Key Functions • BMS monitors the state of the battery through items such as Voltage, Temperature, State-Of-Charge (SOC), State-Of-Health (SOH), Coolant Monitor and control Flow & Current Demand management & • In an EV, the BMS will also control the recharging of the battery by redirecting the recovered energy (i.e.- from regenerative braking) back into energy recovery the battery packs (a pack is typically composed of a few cells) Computation and log • BMS also calculates and computed values for maximum charge / discharge current as a charge / discharge current limit (CCL / DCL), energy book function delivered since last charge or charge cycle and total energy delivered since first use and total operating time since first use • Reports data to an external device, using communication links including direct wiring, wireless communication, DC-bus (serial communication Communication over power-line) and CAN-bus (controller area network - a vehicle bus standard designed to allow microcontrollers and devices to communicate with each other within a vehicle without a host computer) Cell protection and • BMS protects its battery by preventing it from operating outside its safe operating areas like over-current, over-voltage (during charging), under- charge control voltage (during discharging), over-temperature, under-temperature and over-pressure Cell balancing & • BMS ensures that all the cells that compose the battery are kept at the same SOC, through balancing. Balancing is usually accomplished optimization through modular charging, shuffling energy, wasting energy and reducing the charging current Source: 1Company sources. TABLE OF CONTENTS Energy Storage Overview 25
  • 26. Electric Transport: Landscape (Automakers and Battery Suppliers) Key Manufacturers Key Customers Nissan + NEC = AESC Source: Company data, list not exhaustive. Nickel-metal hydride batteries TABLE OF CONTENTS Energy Storage Overview 26
  • 28. Large-Scale Energy Storage: Overview Overview Opportunities • Large-scale energy storage (also called grid-scale energy storage) refers to the • Substantial growth in renewables is driving the need for grid-storage with existing methods used to store electricity on a large scale within an electrical power grid. mandates set to deliver tremendous growth in renewable energy worldwide • As of March 2012, pumped-storage hydroelectricity (PSH) was the largest- • Enable a better utilized grid capacity form of large-scale energy storage available. PSH accounted for more • Defer significant T&D investment: If storage were able to offset or defer some small than 98% of bulk storage capacity globally and its energy efficiency varies in part of this T&D investment, the scale of the opportunity is tremendously large practice between 70% to 75%. • Storage has global potential of over US$100 billion: Several geographies outside of • GTM Research and Azure International‘s forecast, states that pumped hydro U.S., especially Asia is expected to drive the storage market and is mainly fueled storage capacity will double or triple by 2016 to reach 40-60 GW. Other storage by: technologies are expected to rise to over 700 MW of installed capacity by 2016. – Faster economic growth • The addressable market is over US$90 billion globally, growing at over 12% – Growth in electricity demand annually over the next four years to become a US$150 billion market by 2015. – Greater use of renewable energy – Need for Transmission & Distribution (T&D) investments Key Challenges • Developing a safe and effective storage device at such a low price point is tremendously difficult. No vendor has Technical yet built a substantial grid storage business (around the $300/kWh price point) • There are a host of government funding programs around the world for storage projects, but cost recovery from the rate-payer is an obstacle Regulatory • Decrease in cost of storage or rate-payer funding of storage investments will drive mass adoption, mainly through a sustained regulatory system • Lack of product standardization and established sales process is an obstacle to scale Marketing and sales • Slow and resource intensive sales cycle of the utility market hits the vendors hard. This is compounded by the industry‘s lack of clarity about quantifying energy storage‘s value • Competition between various electrochemical solutions (i.e., batteries), thermal and mechanical approaches Non-storage alternatives • There is still no clarity on whether grid-storage is a viable alternative to other, non-storage technologies that address the same problems. For instance, gas-fired peaker plants can help with shifting load and meeting peak demand. These plants are relatively easy to build, simple and cheap to operate (assuming low natural gas prices) TABLE OF CONTENTS Energy Storage Overview 28
  • 29. Large-Scale Energy Storage (cont’d) Large-Scale Energy Storage Global Market Installed Capacity of Grid Energy Storage by Geography (2011)1 • Japan (23 GW) and Western Europe (13 GW) lead the deployment of pumped 4% hydropower. 4% • In 2012, China‘s electric grid is expected to become the largest in the world in terms of both installed generation capacity and electricity produced. China also possesses the world‘s largest installed wind power base and the world‘s largest 42% 15% declared investment in renewable energy. – China currently has just 4% of the worldwide energy storage. – With strong government support and steadily improving technology, China‘s energy storage market is expected to grow to a US$500 million per year market by 2016. • The fastest-growing energy storage market is the use of flywheels and lithium- 35% ion batteries in frequency regulation applications. This ―fast storage‖ application has been shown to be more cost-effective than conventional fossil fuel plant U.S. Japan Europe China Others generation, also allowing for less greenhouse gas emissions. • Large-Scale Addressable Energy Storage Market Size2 $160.0 $140.0 $120.0 $100.0 US$ billion 123.3 $80.0 105.4 91.6 $60.0 75.0 81.8 $40.0 $20.0 18.8 19.9 21.3 23.2 26.0 $0.0 U.S. Rest of World Source: 1,2Cleantech Group. TABLE OF CONTENTS Energy Storage Overview 29
  • 30. Large-Scale Energy Storage U.S. Large-Scale Energy Storage Overview Installed Capacity of Global Grid Energy Storage (2011)1 • Energy storage in the U.S. electric power grid totals just over 23 GW, with 96% provided by existing pumped hydro systems. 21% 21% • U.S. energy storage technology investments are expected to grow at an annual average rate of between 20% - 30% over the next five years. Public and private sector investments, mainstream adoption of EVs, and the pace of smart grid 7% deployment will all play a role in the development of the U.S. energy storage 2% 98% 4% market. • Through the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act (ARRA), the U.S. 47% Department of Energy (DOE) launched its significant energy storage program in 2009 Pumped Hydro Thermal Flywheels & Others – ARRA funded US$185 million to support energy storage projects with Batteries Compressed Air Others a total value of US$772 million. Molten Salt – 537 MW of new storage systems to be added to the grid with these projects. Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) Ruling Installed Capacity of U.S. Grid Energy Storage (2011)2 • FERC ruled that wholesale power market operators are required to pay more for faster response energy storage than they currently do for slower response systems (like gas turbines). • Batteries, as well as other technologies like flywheels, are classified as ‗faster‘ 80% response and will therefore ultimately benefit from the pay-for-performance 4% decision. 96% 9% • The FERC ruling has spurred increased utility interest in batteries for frequency 4% regulation and comes at a favorable time, as depressed natural gas prices have 2% made the economics more challenging as of late. 1% 1% 2% • Depending on how the program is implemented, pay-for-performance could provide a 25-100% premium for faster response time which would make them Pumped Hydro Others Compressed Air Lithium Ion much more valuable to grid operators.. Flywheels Ni-Cad Batteries NaS Batteries Others Ice Storage (Thermal) Source: 1,2Energy Storage Activities in the United States Electricity Grid, Electricity Advisory Committee report 2011. Note: Ice Storage - Thermal energy storage using ice, which makes use of the large heat of fusion of water. TABLE OF CONTENTS Energy Storage Overview 30