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Savings Barometer




                                                     QII 2010




             Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
SEB Savings Barometer
Second Quarter 2010

 Total household savings = bank deposits, life insurance,
  mutual funds, bonds, government savings plans, premium
  pensions and - when noted - directly held equities and
  housing.
 Sources: Statistics Sweden, Bank of Sweden, Swedish
  National Board of Student Aid (CSN), Swedish Insurance
  Federation, Swedish Mutual Fund Association, Svensk
  Fondstatistik/MoneyMate, NASDAQ OM Stockholm
  Exchange, NGM/NDX, SHB, Nordea Life, SEB Trygg Life,
  Swedish Pensions Agency, maklarstatistik.se, interim and
  annual reports of companies.
 Compiled by Carl Holm, SEB Trygg Life




                      Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
Development Second Quarter 2010
•New savings were 46bn kronor. Savings in bank deposits were
34bn an insurance savings were 14bn.

•On the Stockholm Stock Exchange (NASDAQ OM) the AGFX
index decreased by 3.7 per cent.

•Housing prices increased by 3.3 per cent.

•Households increased borrowing by 2.2 per cent during the
second quarter. For twelve months the increase was 8.4 per
cent.

•SEB had a 12.6 per cent market share and Swedbank 14.7 per
cent. Alecta had 9.8 per cent, Skandia 9.5 and Nordea 8.9.




                       Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
Development Second Quarter 2010

SEK bn
Value, beginning of quarter                         9,601
Savings                                               +46
Value, shareholdings directly held    -27
Value, housing                       +135
Value, other assets                    -85
Value, end of quarter               9,670
Loans                              -2,614
Net assets                          7,056



                  Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
Swedish Household Savings
                                                                       Total household savings have
SEK m                                                                  increased by 50.9% since year-
                                                                       end 2004, from SEK 6,410 bn to
                                                                       SEK 9,670 bn.
4 500 000
4 000 000
3 500 000
3 000 000
                                                                                       Bank deposits
2 500 000
                                                                                       Trad insurance
2 000 000                                                                              Unit-linked insurance
1 500 000                                                                              Mutual funds
                                                                                       Bonds
1 000 000
                                                                                       Premium Pensions
 500 000                                                                               Shareholdings
        0                                                                              Housing
            04-IV   05-IV    06-IV       07-IV        08-IV         09-IV




                            Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
Total Household Savings Market
Market Shares June 30 2010 (March 31 2010)



                     Others                       SEB
                  12.1 (12.5)%                12.6 (12.4)%
    Government
     3.4 (3.4)
                                                          Swedbank
                                                         14.7 (14.7)%
  Alecta
9.8 (9.7) %

   Folksam
  5.0 (4.9)%                                              Skandia
                                                         9.5 (9.5)%
    LF
4.7 (4.7)%                                                   Nordea
                                   Handelsbanken
        AMF                                                 8.9 (8.8)%
                       SPP           8.4 (8.1)%
     7.7 (7.7)%     3.4 (3.3)%




                                 Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
Household Savings
Market Shares June 30 2010




Share, per cent         Bank Trad.     U-L               Mutual Bonds Prem         Total
                     deposits insur. insur.               funds        Pens
SEB                      11.6   10.4 26.1                   14.7   8.5   1.9       12.6
Alecta                          25.8                                                9.8
Skandia                   2.8   17.3 19.1                     0.0            1.1    9.5
LF                        3.5    6.8    9.0                   0.9            2.9    4.7
Folksam                         10.8    7.6                                         5.0
AMF                             17.0    3.6                  0.8             8.9    7.7
Handelsbanken            18.8    1.3    8.8                 11.1     19.5    2.3    8.4
Storebrand/SPP                   5.7    6.3                                  6.4    3.4
Nordea                   16.6    1.2    2.0                 22.2     10.3    3.8    8.9
Swedbank                 24.1    0.8 14.1                   31.7     13.1   18.8   14.7
Government                                                           36.3   26.5    3.4
Others                   22.5           3.0       3.3       18.5     12.3   27.3   12.1




                             Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
”Security Savings”
  December 31 1999                                              June 30 2010




                                Bank deposits
                                Trad insurance
                                U-L insurance
                                Premium Pensions
                                Mutual funds
                                Bonds
                                Shares




            41.3%                                       49.4%


                     Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
Total Household Savings

100%



80%



60%                                                                      Housing
                                                                         Shareholdings
                                                                         Premium Pensions
40%
                                                                         Bonds
                                                                         Mutual funds
20%                                                                      U-L insurance
                                                                         Trad insurance
                                                                         Bank deposits
 0%
       04-IV   05-IV   06-IV        07-IV         08-IV          09-IV




                               Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
Total Household Savings
 Market Shares (excluding shareholdings and housing)
 June 30 2010 (December 31 2004)


100%


80%
                                                                       Others 12.1% (9.3)
                                                                       Government 3.1% (3.3)
                                                                       Folksam 5.0% (4.3)
60%                                                                    Alecta 9.8% (11.2)
                                                                       AMF 7.7% (7.7)
                                                                       LF 4.7% (4.9)
                                                                       Storebrand 3.4% (-)
40%                                                                    Handelsbanken 8.4% (11.2)
                                                                       Nordea 8.9% (9.2)
                                                                       Skandia 9.5% (11.5)
                                                                       Swedbank 14.7% (14.0)
20%                                                                    SEB 12.6% (13.3)



 0%
       04-IV   05-IV   06-IV        07-IV        08-IV        09-IV




                               Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
Bank Deposits, Market Shares
  June 30 2010 (December 31 2004)



100%
                                                                       Other banks 22.5% (20.6)

80%
                                                                       Swedbank 24.1% (25.3)

                                                                       Nordea 16.6% (18.9)
60%
                                                                       Handelsbanken 18.8% (15.7)

40%                                                                    LF 3.5% (2.9)

                                                                       Skandia 2.8% (3.9)
20%
                                                                       SEB 11.6% (12.6)

 0%
       04-IV   05-IV   06-IV   07-IV      08-IV       09-IV




                               Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
Traditional Insurance, Market Shares
June 30 2010 (December 31 2004)



 100%
                                                                         Others incl Swedbank 3.8% (1.5)
                                                                         AMF 17.0% (16.3)
  80%
                                                                         Nordea 1.2% (1.3)
                                                                         Alecta 25.8% (25.6)

  60%                                                                    Storebrand 5.7% (-)
                                                                         Handelsbanken 1.3% (7.7)
                                                                         Folksam 10.8 (7.0)
  40%
                                                                         LF 6.8% (7.1)
                                                                         Skandia 17.3% (20.3)
  20%                                                                    SEB 10.4% (13.0)



    0%
         04-IV   05-IV   06-IV     07-IV       08-IV      09-IV



                                 Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
Unit-linked Insurance, Market Shares
  June 30 2010 (December 31 2004)




100%
                                                                       Others 3.3% (2.1)
                                                                       AMF 3.6% (2.6)
80%
                                                                       Swedbank 14.1% (17.2)
                                                                       Storebrand 6.3% (-)
60%
                                                                       Handelsbanken 8.8% (13.7)
                                                                       Nordea 2.0% (2.9)
40%
                                                                       Folksam 7.6% (5.5)
                                                                       LF 9.0% (9.3)
20%                                                                    Skandia 19.2% (22.3)
                                                                       SEB 26.1% (24.4)
 0%
       04-IV   05-IV   06-IV   07-IV       08-IV       09-IV




                               Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
Mutual Funds, Market Shares
June 30 2010 (December 31 2004)




 100%
                                                                        Övriga 19.3% (16.6)

  80%                                                                   Swedbank 31.7% (31.5)


  60%                                                                   Nordea 22.2% (20.8)


                                                                        Handelsbanken 11.1% (12.6)
  40%
                                                                        Folksam - (2.3)

  20%                                                                   LF 0,9% (1.8)


   0%                                                                   SEB 14,7% (14.1)

        04-IV   05-IV   06-IV      07-IV      08-IV     09-IV




                                Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
Premium Pensions, Market Shares
June 30 2010 (December 31 2004)




 100%
                                                                        Others 27.3% (17.5)
  90%
                                                                        Staten 26,5% (33.1)
  80%
                                                                        Swedbank 18.8% (12.9)
  70%
                                                                        Nordea 3.8% (2.5)
  60%
                                                                        Storebrand 6.4% (-)
  50%                                                                   Handelsbanken 2.3% (11.3)
  40%                                                                   AMF 8,9% (8.4)
  30%                                                                   Folksam - (6.1)
  20%                                                                   LF 2.9% (4.2)
  10%                                                                   Skandia 1.1% (1.9)
   0%                                                                   SEB 1.9% (2.2)
        04-IV   05-IV   06-IV      07-IV     08-IV      09-IV




                                Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
Bonds, Market Shares
June 30 2010 (December 31 2004)

                                                                          The change in bonds issued by
                                                                        SEB QI 2007 is mainly caused by the
                                                                         technique used for measurement
                                                                           and is significantly overstating
                                                                                    real changes
 100%

                                                                         Others 12.3% (12.6)
  80%
                                                                         Gov't 36.3% (52.8)

  60%                                                                    Swedbank 13.1% (10.4)


  40%                                                                    Nordea 10.3% (5.9)

                                                                         Handelsbanken 19.5% (14.8)
  20%
                                                                         SEB 8.5% (3.3)

   0%
        04-IV   05-IV   06-IV      07-IV      08-IV     09-IV




                                Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
Savings - Distributed by Company
SEK m       04-IV      05-II       05-IV          06-II        06-IV        07-II   07-IV   08-II        08-IV       09-II   09-IV   10-II
800 000

700 000

600 000

500 000

400 000

300 000

200 000

100 000

        0
                                                                            en
                               k




                                                               ea
               B




                                                                                                                     ta




                                                                                                                                P
                                            dia




                                                                                                     F
                                                                                       LF
                              n




                                                                                                    AM




                                                                                                                             SP
            SE




                                                                                                                   ec
                           ba




                                                                             nk
                                                            rd
                                         an




                                                                                                                 Al
                                                          No




                                                                           ba
                        ed




                                      Sk




                                                                       els
                     Sw




                                                                      nd
                                                                    Ha




                                                          Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
Savings - Distributed by Assets
     04-IV    05-II   05-IV    06-II   06-IV      07-II   07-IV   08-II   08-IV   09-II   09-IV   10-II

  SEK m
  2000000

  1800000

  1600000

  1400000

  1200000

  1000000

   800000

   600000

   400000

   200000

          0
                Bank             Trad          Unit-linked Mutual funds     Bonds         Premium
               deposits       insurance            ins                                    Pensions

                                          Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
New Savings                                         Excluding Premium Pensions

 SEK m                                       Quarterly figures
70 000

60 000

50 000

40 000

30 000

20 000

10 000

     0
          05-I 05-II 05- 05- 06-I 06-II 06- 06- 07-I 07-II 07- 07- 08-I 08-II 08- 08- 09-I 09-II 09- 09- 10-I 10-II
-10 000
                      III IV             III IV             III IV             III IV             III IV
-20 000

-30 000

-40 000




                                           Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
New Savings                                                          Excluding Premium Pensions

SEK m
                                                  12 month figures
200 000

180 000

160 000

140 000

120 000

100 000

 80 000

 60 000

 40 000

 20 000

        0
            05-I 05-II 05-III 05- 06-I 06-II 06-III 06- 07-I 07-II 07-III 07- 08-I 08-II 08-III 08- 09-I 09-II 09-III 09- 10-I 10-II
                               IV                    IV                    IV                    IV                    IV




                                                Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
New Savings
                                        Second Quarter 2010

             Premium Pensions


                           Bonds


                     Mutual funds


                    U-L insurance


                Trad insurance


                    Bank deposits


-15 000   -10 000     -5 000        0    5 000   10 000   15 000   20 000    25 000   30 000   35 000   40 000
                                                                                                         SEK m




                                          Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
New Savings
                              Second Quarter 2010

         SPP

       Alecta
         AMF
    Swedbank

      Nordea
Handelsbanken

     Folksam
          LF
      Skandia

         SEB

                0   2 000   4 000     6 000      8 000      10 000     12 000   14 000   16 000
                                                                                          SEK m




                               Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
Change of Total Savings
                                      Second Quarter 2010


           Premium Pensions

                         Bonds

                   Mutual funds

                  U-L insurance

              Trad insurance

                  Bank deposits

                  Shareholdings

                       Housing

-60 000 -40 000    -20 000        0   20 000   40 000   60 000   80 000 100 000 120 000 140 000 160 000
                                                                                                 SEK m




                                         Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
Change of Total Savings
                                 Second Quarter 2010
                                                             Others
                                                              Gov't
                                                             Alecta
                                                               SPP

                                                               SHB
                                                               AMF

                                                       Swedbank
                                                         Nordea
                                                                LF

                                                         Skandia
                                                               SEB

-30 000   -25 000   -20 000   -15 000   -10 000     -5 000            0     5 000   10 000   15 000
                                                                                              SEK m




                                    Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
New Savings and Change of Savings Stock
 SEK m
 300 000
                                                                   New Savings
                                                                   Change of Savings Stock
 200 000




 100 000




       0
            05-I   05-II   05-III 05-IV   06-I   06-II   06-III   06-IV   07-I   07-II   07-III 07-IV   08-I   08-II   08-III   08-IV   09-I   09-II   09-III 09-IV   10-I   10-II




 -100 000




 -200 000




 -300 000




                                                                  Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
Houshold Assets

                                                    Fixed-income                    Equities               Housing
SEK bn
4 500

4 000

3 500

3 000

2 500

2 000

1 500

1 000

  500

     0
      -IV     -II     -IV     -II     -IV     -II     -IV     -II     -IV     -II     -IV     -II     IV     -II     -IV     -II     -IV     -II     -IV     -II     -IV     -II
    99      00      00      01      01      02      02      03      03      04      04      05      05     06      06      07      07      08      08      09      09      10



                                                            Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
”Balance sheet” of Households

    SEK m                              Assets        Liabilities

    12 000 000




    10 000 000




     8 000 000




     6 000 000




     4 000 000




     2 000 000




             0
               -IV      -II      -IV           -II              -IV      -II      -IV      -II
            99       01       02            04               05       07       08       10




                              Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
Share Prices in Stockholm

                                AGFX, 1995-12-30=100 (linked to SIX GX)

450

400

350

300

250

200

150

100

50

 0
   00     01     02     03         04        05        06         07        08     09     10
 20     20     20     20         20        20        20         20        20     20     20



                             Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
New houshold loans QIII
compared with corresponding
quarter previous year
QII 2010                      + 57 bn

QII 2009                      + 60 bn

QII 2008                      + 68 bn

QII 2007                      + 62 bn

QII 2006                      + 55 bn

QII 2005                      + 53 bn

           Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
Household loans
(Change in per cent compared to previous year)

  June 30 2010                      +            8.4%

  March 31 2010                     +            8.8%

  December 31 2009                  +            8.5%

  September 30 2009                 +            7.7%

  June 30 2009                      +            7.3%




                  Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
Household Assets and Liabilities
June 30 2010



     Housing/Mortgage loans     Equities/Bank loans          Fixed-income/Consumer credits

  12 000

  10 000

    8 000

    6 000

    4 000

    2 000

         0
                   Assets               Liabilities
                                                                      SEK bn



                              Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
Household Assets and Liabilities
        June 30 2010



                   Housing/Mortgage loans         Equities/Bank loans          Fixed-income/Consumer credits

             12 000

             10 000

              8 000

              6 000

              4 000

              2 000

                     0
                             Ass   Liab     Ass      Liab      Ass      Liab        Ass   Liab    Ass     Liab
First Quarter of Indicated   '97   '97      '00      '00       '03      '03         '06   '06     '10     '10
Year, SEK bn., for 2010
Second Quarter


                                            Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
Loans
 SEK m                                                                     SEK 200bn reclassified
                                                                           from mortgage to bank
1 800 000                                                                     loans in QIV 2007

1 600 000
1 400 000
1 200 000
1 000 000
 800 000                                                                        Mortgage loans
 600 000                                                                        Bank loans
                                                                                Consumer credits
 400 000
                                                                                Gov't student loans
 200 000
         0
             04-IV   05-IV   06-IV       07-IV        08-IV        09-IV




                                Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
Households’ liability/asset ratio

    Per cent                                                                Liability/asset ratio

     35



     30



     25



     20



     15



     10



       5



       0
         -IV      -II      -IV      -II    -IV      -II      -IV      -II    -IV      -II    -IV      -II    -IV      -II    -IV      -II      -IV      -II    -IV      -II      -IV      -II
      99       00       00       01     01       02       02       03     03       04     04       05     05       06     06       07       07       08     08       09       09       10




                                                                   Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
SEK m
                        Savings - Distributed by Company
 01-I   01-III   02-I   02-III    03-I   03-III   04-I   04-III   05-I   05-III     06-I   06-III   07-I        07-III   08-I     08-III   09-I   09-III   10-I

800 000


700 000
                                                                                                                         Slide not updated

600 000


500 000


400 000


300 000


200 000


100 000


        0
                 SEB             Swedbank         Skandia         Nordea          Handelsbanken            LF               AMF              Alecta




                                                         Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
Savings - Distributed by Assets
      01-I      01-III   02-I     02-III   03-I   03-III   04-I   04-III   05-I     05-III   06-I   06-III     07-I   07-III   08-I
      08-III    09-I     09-III   10-I


 SEK m
2000000

1800000                                                                                                      Slide not updated

1600000

1400000

1200000
1000000
800000

600000

400000

200000
     0
               Bank deposits        Trad insurance         U-L insurance          Mutual funds          Premium                 Bonds
                                                                                                        Pensions




                                              Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010

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SEB's Savings Barometer graphs Q2 2010

  • 1. Savings Barometer QII 2010 Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
  • 2. SEB Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010  Total household savings = bank deposits, life insurance, mutual funds, bonds, government savings plans, premium pensions and - when noted - directly held equities and housing.  Sources: Statistics Sweden, Bank of Sweden, Swedish National Board of Student Aid (CSN), Swedish Insurance Federation, Swedish Mutual Fund Association, Svensk Fondstatistik/MoneyMate, NASDAQ OM Stockholm Exchange, NGM/NDX, SHB, Nordea Life, SEB Trygg Life, Swedish Pensions Agency, maklarstatistik.se, interim and annual reports of companies.  Compiled by Carl Holm, SEB Trygg Life Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
  • 3. Development Second Quarter 2010 •New savings were 46bn kronor. Savings in bank deposits were 34bn an insurance savings were 14bn. •On the Stockholm Stock Exchange (NASDAQ OM) the AGFX index decreased by 3.7 per cent. •Housing prices increased by 3.3 per cent. •Households increased borrowing by 2.2 per cent during the second quarter. For twelve months the increase was 8.4 per cent. •SEB had a 12.6 per cent market share and Swedbank 14.7 per cent. Alecta had 9.8 per cent, Skandia 9.5 and Nordea 8.9. Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
  • 4. Development Second Quarter 2010 SEK bn Value, beginning of quarter 9,601 Savings +46 Value, shareholdings directly held -27 Value, housing +135 Value, other assets -85 Value, end of quarter 9,670 Loans -2,614 Net assets 7,056 Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
  • 5. Swedish Household Savings Total household savings have SEK m increased by 50.9% since year- end 2004, from SEK 6,410 bn to SEK 9,670 bn. 4 500 000 4 000 000 3 500 000 3 000 000 Bank deposits 2 500 000 Trad insurance 2 000 000 Unit-linked insurance 1 500 000 Mutual funds Bonds 1 000 000 Premium Pensions 500 000 Shareholdings 0 Housing 04-IV 05-IV 06-IV 07-IV 08-IV 09-IV Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
  • 6. Total Household Savings Market Market Shares June 30 2010 (March 31 2010) Others SEB 12.1 (12.5)% 12.6 (12.4)% Government 3.4 (3.4) Swedbank 14.7 (14.7)% Alecta 9.8 (9.7) % Folksam 5.0 (4.9)% Skandia 9.5 (9.5)% LF 4.7 (4.7)% Nordea Handelsbanken AMF 8.9 (8.8)% SPP 8.4 (8.1)% 7.7 (7.7)% 3.4 (3.3)% Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
  • 7. Household Savings Market Shares June 30 2010 Share, per cent Bank Trad. U-L Mutual Bonds Prem Total deposits insur. insur. funds Pens SEB 11.6 10.4 26.1 14.7 8.5 1.9 12.6 Alecta 25.8 9.8 Skandia 2.8 17.3 19.1 0.0 1.1 9.5 LF 3.5 6.8 9.0 0.9 2.9 4.7 Folksam 10.8 7.6 5.0 AMF 17.0 3.6 0.8 8.9 7.7 Handelsbanken 18.8 1.3 8.8 11.1 19.5 2.3 8.4 Storebrand/SPP 5.7 6.3 6.4 3.4 Nordea 16.6 1.2 2.0 22.2 10.3 3.8 8.9 Swedbank 24.1 0.8 14.1 31.7 13.1 18.8 14.7 Government 36.3 26.5 3.4 Others 22.5 3.0 3.3 18.5 12.3 27.3 12.1 Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
  • 8. ”Security Savings” December 31 1999 June 30 2010 Bank deposits Trad insurance U-L insurance Premium Pensions Mutual funds Bonds Shares 41.3% 49.4% Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
  • 9. Total Household Savings 100% 80% 60% Housing Shareholdings Premium Pensions 40% Bonds Mutual funds 20% U-L insurance Trad insurance Bank deposits 0% 04-IV 05-IV 06-IV 07-IV 08-IV 09-IV Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
  • 10. Total Household Savings Market Shares (excluding shareholdings and housing) June 30 2010 (December 31 2004) 100% 80% Others 12.1% (9.3) Government 3.1% (3.3) Folksam 5.0% (4.3) 60% Alecta 9.8% (11.2) AMF 7.7% (7.7) LF 4.7% (4.9) Storebrand 3.4% (-) 40% Handelsbanken 8.4% (11.2) Nordea 8.9% (9.2) Skandia 9.5% (11.5) Swedbank 14.7% (14.0) 20% SEB 12.6% (13.3) 0% 04-IV 05-IV 06-IV 07-IV 08-IV 09-IV Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
  • 11. Bank Deposits, Market Shares June 30 2010 (December 31 2004) 100% Other banks 22.5% (20.6) 80% Swedbank 24.1% (25.3) Nordea 16.6% (18.9) 60% Handelsbanken 18.8% (15.7) 40% LF 3.5% (2.9) Skandia 2.8% (3.9) 20% SEB 11.6% (12.6) 0% 04-IV 05-IV 06-IV 07-IV 08-IV 09-IV Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
  • 12. Traditional Insurance, Market Shares June 30 2010 (December 31 2004) 100% Others incl Swedbank 3.8% (1.5) AMF 17.0% (16.3) 80% Nordea 1.2% (1.3) Alecta 25.8% (25.6) 60% Storebrand 5.7% (-) Handelsbanken 1.3% (7.7) Folksam 10.8 (7.0) 40% LF 6.8% (7.1) Skandia 17.3% (20.3) 20% SEB 10.4% (13.0) 0% 04-IV 05-IV 06-IV 07-IV 08-IV 09-IV Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
  • 13. Unit-linked Insurance, Market Shares June 30 2010 (December 31 2004) 100% Others 3.3% (2.1) AMF 3.6% (2.6) 80% Swedbank 14.1% (17.2) Storebrand 6.3% (-) 60% Handelsbanken 8.8% (13.7) Nordea 2.0% (2.9) 40% Folksam 7.6% (5.5) LF 9.0% (9.3) 20% Skandia 19.2% (22.3) SEB 26.1% (24.4) 0% 04-IV 05-IV 06-IV 07-IV 08-IV 09-IV Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
  • 14. Mutual Funds, Market Shares June 30 2010 (December 31 2004) 100% Övriga 19.3% (16.6) 80% Swedbank 31.7% (31.5) 60% Nordea 22.2% (20.8) Handelsbanken 11.1% (12.6) 40% Folksam - (2.3) 20% LF 0,9% (1.8) 0% SEB 14,7% (14.1) 04-IV 05-IV 06-IV 07-IV 08-IV 09-IV Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
  • 15. Premium Pensions, Market Shares June 30 2010 (December 31 2004) 100% Others 27.3% (17.5) 90% Staten 26,5% (33.1) 80% Swedbank 18.8% (12.9) 70% Nordea 3.8% (2.5) 60% Storebrand 6.4% (-) 50% Handelsbanken 2.3% (11.3) 40% AMF 8,9% (8.4) 30% Folksam - (6.1) 20% LF 2.9% (4.2) 10% Skandia 1.1% (1.9) 0% SEB 1.9% (2.2) 04-IV 05-IV 06-IV 07-IV 08-IV 09-IV Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
  • 16. Bonds, Market Shares June 30 2010 (December 31 2004) The change in bonds issued by SEB QI 2007 is mainly caused by the technique used for measurement and is significantly overstating real changes 100% Others 12.3% (12.6) 80% Gov't 36.3% (52.8) 60% Swedbank 13.1% (10.4) 40% Nordea 10.3% (5.9) Handelsbanken 19.5% (14.8) 20% SEB 8.5% (3.3) 0% 04-IV 05-IV 06-IV 07-IV 08-IV 09-IV Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
  • 17. Savings - Distributed by Company SEK m 04-IV 05-II 05-IV 06-II 06-IV 07-II 07-IV 08-II 08-IV 09-II 09-IV 10-II 800 000 700 000 600 000 500 000 400 000 300 000 200 000 100 000 0 en k ea B ta P dia F LF n AM SP SE ec ba nk rd an Al No ba ed Sk els Sw nd Ha Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
  • 18. Savings - Distributed by Assets 04-IV 05-II 05-IV 06-II 06-IV 07-II 07-IV 08-II 08-IV 09-II 09-IV 10-II SEK m 2000000 1800000 1600000 1400000 1200000 1000000 800000 600000 400000 200000 0 Bank Trad Unit-linked Mutual funds Bonds Premium deposits insurance ins Pensions Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
  • 19. New Savings Excluding Premium Pensions SEK m Quarterly figures 70 000 60 000 50 000 40 000 30 000 20 000 10 000 0 05-I 05-II 05- 05- 06-I 06-II 06- 06- 07-I 07-II 07- 07- 08-I 08-II 08- 08- 09-I 09-II 09- 09- 10-I 10-II -10 000 III IV III IV III IV III IV III IV -20 000 -30 000 -40 000 Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
  • 20. New Savings Excluding Premium Pensions SEK m 12 month figures 200 000 180 000 160 000 140 000 120 000 100 000 80 000 60 000 40 000 20 000 0 05-I 05-II 05-III 05- 06-I 06-II 06-III 06- 07-I 07-II 07-III 07- 08-I 08-II 08-III 08- 09-I 09-II 09-III 09- 10-I 10-II IV IV IV IV IV Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
  • 21. New Savings Second Quarter 2010 Premium Pensions Bonds Mutual funds U-L insurance Trad insurance Bank deposits -15 000 -10 000 -5 000 0 5 000 10 000 15 000 20 000 25 000 30 000 35 000 40 000 SEK m Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
  • 22. New Savings Second Quarter 2010 SPP Alecta AMF Swedbank Nordea Handelsbanken Folksam LF Skandia SEB 0 2 000 4 000 6 000 8 000 10 000 12 000 14 000 16 000 SEK m Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
  • 23. Change of Total Savings Second Quarter 2010 Premium Pensions Bonds Mutual funds U-L insurance Trad insurance Bank deposits Shareholdings Housing -60 000 -40 000 -20 000 0 20 000 40 000 60 000 80 000 100 000 120 000 140 000 160 000 SEK m Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
  • 24. Change of Total Savings Second Quarter 2010 Others Gov't Alecta SPP SHB AMF Swedbank Nordea LF Skandia SEB -30 000 -25 000 -20 000 -15 000 -10 000 -5 000 0 5 000 10 000 15 000 SEK m Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
  • 25. New Savings and Change of Savings Stock SEK m 300 000 New Savings Change of Savings Stock 200 000 100 000 0 05-I 05-II 05-III 05-IV 06-I 06-II 06-III 06-IV 07-I 07-II 07-III 07-IV 08-I 08-II 08-III 08-IV 09-I 09-II 09-III 09-IV 10-I 10-II -100 000 -200 000 -300 000 Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
  • 26. Houshold Assets Fixed-income Equities Housing SEK bn 4 500 4 000 3 500 3 000 2 500 2 000 1 500 1 000 500 0 -IV -II -IV -II -IV -II -IV -II -IV -II -IV -II IV -II -IV -II -IV -II -IV -II -IV -II 99 00 00 01 01 02 02 03 03 04 04 05 05 06 06 07 07 08 08 09 09 10 Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
  • 27. ”Balance sheet” of Households SEK m Assets Liabilities 12 000 000 10 000 000 8 000 000 6 000 000 4 000 000 2 000 000 0 -IV -II -IV -II -IV -II -IV -II 99 01 02 04 05 07 08 10 Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
  • 28. Share Prices in Stockholm AGFX, 1995-12-30=100 (linked to SIX GX) 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
  • 29. New houshold loans QIII compared with corresponding quarter previous year QII 2010 + 57 bn QII 2009 + 60 bn QII 2008 + 68 bn QII 2007 + 62 bn QII 2006 + 55 bn QII 2005 + 53 bn Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
  • 30. Household loans (Change in per cent compared to previous year) June 30 2010 + 8.4% March 31 2010 + 8.8% December 31 2009 + 8.5% September 30 2009 + 7.7% June 30 2009 + 7.3% Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
  • 31. Household Assets and Liabilities June 30 2010 Housing/Mortgage loans Equities/Bank loans Fixed-income/Consumer credits 12 000 10 000 8 000 6 000 4 000 2 000 0 Assets Liabilities SEK bn Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
  • 32. Household Assets and Liabilities June 30 2010 Housing/Mortgage loans Equities/Bank loans Fixed-income/Consumer credits 12 000 10 000 8 000 6 000 4 000 2 000 0 Ass Liab Ass Liab Ass Liab Ass Liab Ass Liab First Quarter of Indicated '97 '97 '00 '00 '03 '03 '06 '06 '10 '10 Year, SEK bn., for 2010 Second Quarter Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
  • 33. Loans SEK m SEK 200bn reclassified from mortgage to bank 1 800 000 loans in QIV 2007 1 600 000 1 400 000 1 200 000 1 000 000 800 000 Mortgage loans 600 000 Bank loans Consumer credits 400 000 Gov't student loans 200 000 0 04-IV 05-IV 06-IV 07-IV 08-IV 09-IV Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
  • 34. Households’ liability/asset ratio Per cent Liability/asset ratio 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 -IV -II -IV -II -IV -II -IV -II -IV -II -IV -II -IV -II -IV -II -IV -II -IV -II -IV -II 99 00 00 01 01 02 02 03 03 04 04 05 05 06 06 07 07 08 08 09 09 10 Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
  • 35. SEK m Savings - Distributed by Company 01-I 01-III 02-I 02-III 03-I 03-III 04-I 04-III 05-I 05-III 06-I 06-III 07-I 07-III 08-I 08-III 09-I 09-III 10-I 800 000 700 000 Slide not updated 600 000 500 000 400 000 300 000 200 000 100 000 0 SEB Swedbank Skandia Nordea Handelsbanken LF AMF Alecta Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010
  • 36. Savings - Distributed by Assets 01-I 01-III 02-I 02-III 03-I 03-III 04-I 04-III 05-I 05-III 06-I 06-III 07-I 07-III 08-I 08-III 09-I 09-III 10-I SEK m 2000000 1800000 Slide not updated 1600000 1400000 1200000 1000000 800000 600000 400000 200000 0 Bank deposits Trad insurance U-L insurance Mutual funds Premium Bonds Pensions Savings Barometer Second Quarter 2010