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AGGREGATE
 DEMAND:
INTRODUCTION AND
  DETERMINANTS

   MODULE 17
AGGREGATE DEMAND

• The aggregate demand curve shows the
  relationship between the aggregate price
  level and the quantity of aggregate
  output           demanded              by
  households,        businesses,       the
  government, and the rest of the world.




                                              2
AGGREGATE DEMAND

• The horizontal axis shows the total
  quantity of domestic goods and services
  demanded, measured in real dollars.
• Real GDP is used to measure aggregate
  output and either term can be used.




                                            3
AGGREGATE DEMAND

• The vertical axis shows the aggregate
  price level, measured by the GDP
  deflator.
• The AD (aggregate demand) curve
  shows how much aggregate output
  would be demanded at any given price
  level.



                                          4
AGGREGATE DEMAND




                   5
AGGREGATE DEMAND
• The aggregate demand curve is downward
  sloping, indicating a negative relationship
  between the aggregate price level and the
  quantity of aggregate output demanded.
• A higher aggregate price level reduces the
  quantity of aggregate output demanded; a
  lower aggregate price level increases the
  quantity of aggregate output demanded.



                                                6
AGGREGATE DEMAND

1. It shows an inverse relationship
   between price level and domestic
   output.
2. The explanation of the inverse
   relationship is not the same as for
   demand for a single product, which
   centered on substitution and income
   effects.


                                         7
AGGREGATE DEMAND

a. Substitution effect doesn’t apply in the
   aggregate case, since there is no
   substitute for “everything.”
b. Income effect also doesn’t apply in the
   aggregate case, since income now
   varies with aggregate output.




                                              8
AGGREGATE DEMAND

• The Law of Demand does not explain
  why the AD curve is downward sloping.
• When we consider movements up or
  down the AD curve, we are considering
  a simultaneous change in the prices of
  all final goods and services.




                                           9
WHY IS AGGREGATE DEMAND
      DOWNSLOPING?
There are two main reasons why a rise in the
aggregate price level leads to a fall in the
quantity of all domestically produced final
goods and services demanded:
1. The Wealth Effect: The change in consumer
   spending caused by the altered purchasing
   power of consumer’s assets.




                                               10
WHY IS AGGREGATE DEMAND
      DOWNSLOPING?
• An increase is the aggregate price level, other
  things equal, reduces the purchasing power of
  many assets, leading to a fall in spending on
  final goods and services, because a rise in the
  aggregate price level reduces the purchasing
  power of everyone.
• Correspondingly, a fall in the aggregate price
  level increases the purchasing power of
  consumer’s assets and leads to more consumer
  demand.

                                                    11
WHY IS AGGREGATE DEMAND
      DOWNSLOPING?

• So the wealth effect of a change in the
  aggregate price level causes consumer
  spending to fall when the aggregate price level
  rises and to rise when the aggregate price
  level falls.
• This leads to a downward sloping aggregate
  demand curve.




                                                    12
WHY IS AGGREGATE DEMAND
      DOWNSLOPING?
2. The Interest Rate Effect: People and firms
   hold money because it reduces the cost and
   inconvenience of making transactions.
• When       the     aggregate     price    level
  increases, other things equal, this reduces the
  purchasing power of the money holdings, so
  people need to hold more money to be able to
  purchase the same basket of goods and
  services as before.



                                                    13
WHY IS AGGREGATE DEMAND
      DOWNSLOPING?
• So, the public tries to increase their holding of
  money by borrowing or by selling assets such
  as bonds.
• This reduces the amount of funds available for
  lending to other borrowers and drives the
  interest rates up.
• A rise in the interest rate reduces investment
  spending because it makes the cost of
  borrowing higher and reduces consumer
  spending because households will now save
  more of their disposable income.
                                                      14
WHY IS AGGREGATE DEMAND
      DOWNSLOPING?
• So a rise in the aggregate price level depresses
  investment spending, I, and consumer
  spending, C, through its effect on the
  purchasing power of money holdings, through
  the effect of the interest rate effect of a
  change in the aggregate price level.
• This leads to a downward sloping aggregate
  demand curve.



                                                     15
WHY IS AGGREGATE DEMAND
      DOWNSLOPING?
3. Foreign purchases effect: When price level
   falls, other things being equal, U.S. prices
   will fall relative to foreign prices, which will
   tend to increase spending on U.S. exports
   and also decrease import spending in favor
   of U.S. products that compete with imports.




                                                      16
DETERMINANTS OF
      AGGREGATE DEMAND
• A movement along the aggregate demand
  curve is a change in the quantity of goods and
  services demanded at any given price level.
• When aggregate demand changes, this is
  shown as a shift in the aggregate demand
  curve.




                                                   17
DETERMINANTS OF
      AGGREGATE DEMAND

• An increase in aggregate demand, means a
  shift of the aggregate demand curve to the
  right.
• This rightward shift occurs when the quantity
  of aggregate output demanded increases at
  any aggregate price level.




                                                  18
DETERMINANTS OF
      AGGREGATE DEMAND

• A decrease in aggregate demand means a shift
  of the aggregate demand curve to the left.
• This leftward shift occurs when the quantity
  of aggregate output demanded decreases at
  any aggregate price level.




                                                 19
DETERMINANTS OF
      AGGREGATE DEMAND
• The most important factors that can shift the
  aggregate demand curve are:
1. Changes in expectations
2. Changes in wealth
3. Size of the existing stock of physical capital
4. Fiscal policy
5. Monetary policy
• All five factors set the multiplier process in
  motion.

                                                    20
DETERMINANTS OF
       AGGREGATE DEMAND
Initial rise or fall in real GDP


   Change disposable income

       Additional changes in consumer
       spending

          Further changes in real GDP


              …and so on…

                                        21
FACTORS THAT SHIFT THE
      AGGREGATE DEMAND CURVE

    Changes in         • If consumers and firms become more optimistic, AD increases
   Expectations        • If consumers and firms become more pessimistic, AD decreases.




                       • If the real value of household assets rises, AD increases
Changes in Wealth      • If the real value of household assets falls, AD decreases



Size of the Existing   • If the existing stock of physical capital is relatively small, AD
                         increases
 Stock of Physical     • If the existing stock of physical capital is relatively large, AD
      Capital            decreases



                       • If government increases spending or cuts taxes, AD increases
   Fiscal Policy       • If government reduces spending or raises taxes, AD decreases




                       • If the central bank increases the quantity of money, AD increases
 Monetary Policy       • If the central bank reduces the quantity of money, AD decreases



                                                                                             22
FISCAL POLICY
• Fiscal Policy is the use of government
  spending or tax policy to stabilize the
  economy.
• Government will respond to recessions by
  increasing government purchases of final
  goods and services or by cutting taxes, or
  both.
• They respond to inflation by reducing their
  spending or by increasing taxes, or both.



                                                23
FISCAL POLICY
• The effect government purchases of final
  goods and services, G, on the aggregate
  demand curve is direct because G is a
  component of aggregate demand.
• The effect of changes in tax rates or
  government transfers on aggregate demand is
  indirect through their effect on disposable
  income. (higher taxes reduce DI and lower
  taxes increase DI)



                                                24
MONETARY POLICY
• Monetary Policy is the central bank’s use of
  changes in the quantity of money or the
  interest rate to stabilize the economy.
• Increasing the amount of money reduces the
  interest rate and boost aggregate demand.
• Decreasing the amount of money increases the
  interest rate and depresses aggregate demand.




                                                  25

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Module 17 aggregate demand

  • 1. AGGREGATE DEMAND: INTRODUCTION AND DETERMINANTS MODULE 17
  • 2. AGGREGATE DEMAND • The aggregate demand curve shows the relationship between the aggregate price level and the quantity of aggregate output demanded by households, businesses, the government, and the rest of the world. 2
  • 3. AGGREGATE DEMAND • The horizontal axis shows the total quantity of domestic goods and services demanded, measured in real dollars. • Real GDP is used to measure aggregate output and either term can be used. 3
  • 4. AGGREGATE DEMAND • The vertical axis shows the aggregate price level, measured by the GDP deflator. • The AD (aggregate demand) curve shows how much aggregate output would be demanded at any given price level. 4
  • 6. AGGREGATE DEMAND • The aggregate demand curve is downward sloping, indicating a negative relationship between the aggregate price level and the quantity of aggregate output demanded. • A higher aggregate price level reduces the quantity of aggregate output demanded; a lower aggregate price level increases the quantity of aggregate output demanded. 6
  • 7. AGGREGATE DEMAND 1. It shows an inverse relationship between price level and domestic output. 2. The explanation of the inverse relationship is not the same as for demand for a single product, which centered on substitution and income effects. 7
  • 8. AGGREGATE DEMAND a. Substitution effect doesn’t apply in the aggregate case, since there is no substitute for “everything.” b. Income effect also doesn’t apply in the aggregate case, since income now varies with aggregate output. 8
  • 9. AGGREGATE DEMAND • The Law of Demand does not explain why the AD curve is downward sloping. • When we consider movements up or down the AD curve, we are considering a simultaneous change in the prices of all final goods and services. 9
  • 10. WHY IS AGGREGATE DEMAND DOWNSLOPING? There are two main reasons why a rise in the aggregate price level leads to a fall in the quantity of all domestically produced final goods and services demanded: 1. The Wealth Effect: The change in consumer spending caused by the altered purchasing power of consumer’s assets. 10
  • 11. WHY IS AGGREGATE DEMAND DOWNSLOPING? • An increase is the aggregate price level, other things equal, reduces the purchasing power of many assets, leading to a fall in spending on final goods and services, because a rise in the aggregate price level reduces the purchasing power of everyone. • Correspondingly, a fall in the aggregate price level increases the purchasing power of consumer’s assets and leads to more consumer demand. 11
  • 12. WHY IS AGGREGATE DEMAND DOWNSLOPING? • So the wealth effect of a change in the aggregate price level causes consumer spending to fall when the aggregate price level rises and to rise when the aggregate price level falls. • This leads to a downward sloping aggregate demand curve. 12
  • 13. WHY IS AGGREGATE DEMAND DOWNSLOPING? 2. The Interest Rate Effect: People and firms hold money because it reduces the cost and inconvenience of making transactions. • When the aggregate price level increases, other things equal, this reduces the purchasing power of the money holdings, so people need to hold more money to be able to purchase the same basket of goods and services as before. 13
  • 14. WHY IS AGGREGATE DEMAND DOWNSLOPING? • So, the public tries to increase their holding of money by borrowing or by selling assets such as bonds. • This reduces the amount of funds available for lending to other borrowers and drives the interest rates up. • A rise in the interest rate reduces investment spending because it makes the cost of borrowing higher and reduces consumer spending because households will now save more of their disposable income. 14
  • 15. WHY IS AGGREGATE DEMAND DOWNSLOPING? • So a rise in the aggregate price level depresses investment spending, I, and consumer spending, C, through its effect on the purchasing power of money holdings, through the effect of the interest rate effect of a change in the aggregate price level. • This leads to a downward sloping aggregate demand curve. 15
  • 16. WHY IS AGGREGATE DEMAND DOWNSLOPING? 3. Foreign purchases effect: When price level falls, other things being equal, U.S. prices will fall relative to foreign prices, which will tend to increase spending on U.S. exports and also decrease import spending in favor of U.S. products that compete with imports. 16
  • 17. DETERMINANTS OF AGGREGATE DEMAND • A movement along the aggregate demand curve is a change in the quantity of goods and services demanded at any given price level. • When aggregate demand changes, this is shown as a shift in the aggregate demand curve. 17
  • 18. DETERMINANTS OF AGGREGATE DEMAND • An increase in aggregate demand, means a shift of the aggregate demand curve to the right. • This rightward shift occurs when the quantity of aggregate output demanded increases at any aggregate price level. 18
  • 19. DETERMINANTS OF AGGREGATE DEMAND • A decrease in aggregate demand means a shift of the aggregate demand curve to the left. • This leftward shift occurs when the quantity of aggregate output demanded decreases at any aggregate price level. 19
  • 20. DETERMINANTS OF AGGREGATE DEMAND • The most important factors that can shift the aggregate demand curve are: 1. Changes in expectations 2. Changes in wealth 3. Size of the existing stock of physical capital 4. Fiscal policy 5. Monetary policy • All five factors set the multiplier process in motion. 20
  • 21. DETERMINANTS OF AGGREGATE DEMAND Initial rise or fall in real GDP Change disposable income Additional changes in consumer spending Further changes in real GDP …and so on… 21
  • 22. FACTORS THAT SHIFT THE AGGREGATE DEMAND CURVE Changes in • If consumers and firms become more optimistic, AD increases Expectations • If consumers and firms become more pessimistic, AD decreases. • If the real value of household assets rises, AD increases Changes in Wealth • If the real value of household assets falls, AD decreases Size of the Existing • If the existing stock of physical capital is relatively small, AD increases Stock of Physical • If the existing stock of physical capital is relatively large, AD Capital decreases • If government increases spending or cuts taxes, AD increases Fiscal Policy • If government reduces spending or raises taxes, AD decreases • If the central bank increases the quantity of money, AD increases Monetary Policy • If the central bank reduces the quantity of money, AD decreases 22
  • 23. FISCAL POLICY • Fiscal Policy is the use of government spending or tax policy to stabilize the economy. • Government will respond to recessions by increasing government purchases of final goods and services or by cutting taxes, or both. • They respond to inflation by reducing their spending or by increasing taxes, or both. 23
  • 24. FISCAL POLICY • The effect government purchases of final goods and services, G, on the aggregate demand curve is direct because G is a component of aggregate demand. • The effect of changes in tax rates or government transfers on aggregate demand is indirect through their effect on disposable income. (higher taxes reduce DI and lower taxes increase DI) 24
  • 25. MONETARY POLICY • Monetary Policy is the central bank’s use of changes in the quantity of money or the interest rate to stabilize the economy. • Increasing the amount of money reduces the interest rate and boost aggregate demand. • Decreasing the amount of money increases the interest rate and depresses aggregate demand. 25