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Bank Performance Analysis 
 
 
 
 
 
Submitted to 
Professor Bruce Xiao 
Commercial Bank & Financial Institutions Management 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
By 
Christine Lopez 
Dylan Normandin 
Rohan Nakrani 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Table of contents
 
 
Introduction……………………………………………………………………………………..………..…2 
History………………………………………………………………………………………….…………...2  
SWOT Analysis…………………………………………………………………………………..………...4 
CAMELS Analysis 
Capital Adequacy…………………………………………………………………….……..……...5 
Asset Quality………………………………………………………………………….…….……...8 
Management Quality…………………………………………………………………..…….……10 
Earnings…………………………………………………………………………….…………….12 
Liquidity…………………………………………………………………………...….…………..14 
Sensitivity to Market…………………………………………………………………………..….16 
Conclusion ……………………………………………………………………………….………….……18 
References………………………………………………………………………………...……………….19 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1 
 
Introduction
 
In order to analyze the banks most effectively, it was important to compare different banks in the same                                   
industry and with similar market capitalizations as Wells Fargo. Because there are stark differences across                             
banks depending on their market size and industry, those variables needed to be the same for a proper                                   
comparison to occur. With market size and industry held constant, it is easier to examine the differences                                 
between banks. By observing financial statements across similar banks, the various ratios and numericals                           
that affect the characteristics observed in the CAMELS rating can be analyzed.  
 
History
 
In 1852, Henry Wells and William Fargo founded Wells Fargo as a financial services company. Their                               
original operations involved buying and selling gold for bank drafts and offering express delivery services                             
to customers across the west. Wells Fargo was initially located in the gold rush port of San Francisco and                                     
provided miners during the Gold Rush with financing they would not have otherwise had access to.                               
Building on their original success as financiers, Wells Fargo expanded operations to include mail delivery                             
across the western states. They used the fastest means possible and exhausted all forms of mail delivery,                                 
including steamship, telegraph, railroad, stagecoach, and pony rides. 
After the transcontinental railroad was completed in 1869, Wells Fargo became the first                         
nationwide express company. They used the term “Ocean to Ocean” and “Over the Seas” to describe their                                 
services across the US and abroad. All the while, Wells Fargo brought in much business by buying and                                   
selling gold on the market.  
By 1918, the US government began to take over the mail services because of World War I. Wells                                   
Fargo saw their operations at the time dwindle to only the original bank in San Francisco. After                                 
overcoming the horrific San Francisco earthquake of 1906, Wells Fargo president I.W. Hellman                         
2 
 
telegraphed a correspondent the following message: “Building destroyed. Vault intact. Credit unaffected.”                       
This was a foreshadowing of Wells Fargo’s relatively impeccable future in the banking industry despite                             
the turmoil the economy went through in the 20th century and afterwards. In the 1910s and 1920s, Wells                                   
Fargo expanded operations to include commercial banking activities to finance the auto and aerospace                           
industry.  
Since the early days of its history, Wells Fargo has been an innovator in the industry. They have                                   
embraced the latest forms of transportation to better service their customers and have also embraced the                               
latest technology to remain competitive in the modern world. ATMs, credit cards, and online banking                             
have shifted the way banking is done and Wells Fargo has been on the forefront of this adaptation since                                     
its early days.  
Wells Fargo has expanded from its roots in San Francisco to become a regional bank in Northern                                 
California. From there, it expanded to service the West, Midwest, and Eastern states. In its history of over                                   
100 years, Wells Fargo has endured, adapted, and conquered while giving customers a secure means of                               
obtaining financial services.  
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
3 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
S.W.O.T. Analysis 
 
 
(a)​     ​Strengths 
∙    Size 
∙    Star/Still Expanding/Growing Market 
∙    FDIC Insured 
∙   Solid Reputation 
∙ Highly recognizable advertising campaign /           
Marketing Recognition 
∙    Business Environment (open counters) 
  
(b)​    ​Weaknesses 
∙     Not International 
∙     Internet Security 
∙     Government Policies/ Fed. Regulation 
∙     Recession 
∙     Economy 
∙     Highly Competitive Market 
∙     Low Brand Loyalty 
  
4 
 
(c)​     ​Opportunities 
∙      International 
∙      Ease of Use for Internet Usage 
∙      Tax Services/Free/Internet 
∙      Branches 
∙       ATM Service 
∙      24 Hour Services 
(d)​    ​Threats 
∙      Highly Competitive Market (Major) 
∙      Low Brand Loyalty in Industry (Major) 
∙      Government Policies (Potential) 
∙      Depression (Potential) 
∙      Economy (Potential) 
∙      Civil Unrest/War (Potential) 
∙      Interest Rates (Minor) 
∙      Inflation (Minor) 
∙ New Competitor Sales Promotions and           
Strategies (Minor) 
CAMELS Analysis 
Capital Adequacy
 
Capital adequacy, as it pertains to the CAMELS rating system, reflects a business’ ability to maintain                               
capital in light of the risks the business undertakes. It also refers to the business’ ability to identify and                                     
manage these risks.  
Tier 1 Common Capital Ratio: Wells Fargo vs Other Banks 
Tier 1 Common Capital Ratio is a measure of a bank's core capital, excluding preferred shares or any                                   
share with a noncontrolling interest in the company. It is a ratio of core capital to risk weighted assets.  
Total Risk­Based Capital Ratio ​is an alternative measure of capital adequacy that is calculated by                             
dividing total risk based capital by total risk­weighted assets minus adjustments to risk­weighted assets. It                             
5 
 
is a comprehensive form of capital adequacy management and works in tandem with Tier 1 Common                               
Capital Ratios and Leverage ratios to give an overall estimate of capital adequacy.  
Tier 1 Leverage Ratio: ​The leverage ratio measures the relationship between a bank’s core capital and                               
total assets. Calculated by dividing Tier 1 capital ratio by a firm’s average total consolidated assets. 
Bank Capital Ratio Projections for “Adverse Situation” 2013­2015: 
Ratio  Q4 2013  Q4 2014  Q4 2015 
Wells Fargo Tier 1       
Common Ratio 
10.1  9.3  8.7 
Wells Fargo Total     
Risk­Based Capital   
Ratio 
14.7  14.4  13.1 
Wells Fargo Tier 1       
Leverage Ratio 
9.2  8.2  7.3 
Goldman Sachs Tier 1       
Common Ratio 
10.2  8.1  7.2 
Goldman Sachs Total     
Risk­Based Capital   
Ratio 
15.5  13.8  9.2 
Goldman Sachs Tier 1       
Leverage Ratio 
5.9  5.2  4.4 
JP Morgan Chase Tier       
1 Common Ratio 
9.3  8.4  8.3 
JP Morgan Chase Total       
Risk­Based Capital   
Ratio 
13.0  11.9  10.5 
JP Morgan Chase Tier       
1 Leverage Ratio 
6.2  5.7  5.4 
Morgan Stanley Tier 1       
Common Ratio 
9.8  8.6  8.5 
Morgan Stanley Total     
Risk­Based Capital   
Ratio 
13.9  13.8  11.0 
6 
 
Morgan Stanley Tier 1       
Leverage Ratio 
5.9  5.5  4.9 
Citigroup Tier 1     
Common Ratio 
10.4  9.3  9.3 
Citigroup Total   
Risk­Based Capital   
Ratio 
14.5  15.1  13.2 
Citigroup Tier 1     
Leverage Ratio 
6.6  7.2  6.6 
 
The Federal Reserve establishes minimum capital ratios for banks in the same asset category according to                               
the Basel agreements. The following are the minimums for banks in the category of “advanced                             
approaches.” All banks above are in this same category and therefore have the same minimum ratio                               
requirements. 
Ratio  Minimum 2013  Minimum 2014  Minimum 2015 
Tier 1 Common Ratio  5%  5%  5% 
Total Risk­Based   
Capital Ratio 
8%  8%  8% 
Tier 1 Leverage Ratio  3 or 4%  4%  4% 
 
From the above tables, you can verify that Wells Fargo meets the minimum requirements for the three                                 
capital adequacy ratios and therefore is in good condition to absorb any unforeseen losses due to changes                                 
in asset values. Compared to its competitors, Wells Fargo ranks closely in terms of the ratios listed above.                                   
None of the competitors come consistently too close to touching the minimum requirements for these                             
ratios and therefore are all projected to be adequately capitalized through 2015.  
One last ratio can be used to determine capital adequacy.  
7 
 
Reserves/Nonperforming Loans: ​The reserves to nonperforming loans ratio is a measure of how                         
adequately the bank can absorb losses from nonperforming loans. A higher ratio indicates a bank with a                                 
greater degree of capital adequacy. 
 
Bank Name  Reserve/NPL Ratio 
Wells Fargo  63 
JP Morgan  117 
Citigroup  168 
 
From above, Wells Fargo ranks lowest among banks seen in this table but still has a high multiple.                                   
Therefore, Wells Fargo is adequately capitalized and well suited to absorb any losses from nonperforming                             
loans. 
SCORE (1­5): 1 
 
 
Asset Quality
 
Asset quality, according to the CAMELS rating system, refers to the credit risk of assets on the portfolio                                   
of the bank as well as any off­balance sheet activities.  
Changes in Asset Quality Since Last Quarter: 
Wells Fargo has made improvements in its asset quality since last quarter. For example, the “net charge                                   
off” numerical gives us an estimate of the dollar amount of loans that will be considered losses and                                   
therefore will have unrecoverable cash flows. This is a good indication of asset quality and the stability of                                   
cash flows coming from operations. In the most recent quarter, the net charge offs amounted to 650                                 
8 
 
million dollars, down 67 million dollars since last quarter. This is a significant improvement in asset                               
quality. 
Furthermore, the net charge off rate was dropped from 0.35 percent to 0.30 percent. Lastly, as a measure                                   
of asset quality, the amount of nonaccrual loans is observed. Nonaccrual loans are loans that aren’t                               
producing the desired cash flows due to financial difficulties by the borrower and therefore are seen as                                 
low quality loans. From last quarter, nonaccrual loans have dropped 1.5 billion dollars, or 11 percent.                               
These positive changes in asset quality signify a beneficial trend in Wells Fargo’s balance sheet.  
Two more ratios are beneficial in the analysis of asset quality for banks: the nonperforming loans to total                                   
loans ratio and net interest income. 
If we compare banks, it is easier to judge the asset quality of Wells Fargo through comparison. 
Nonperforming Loans/Total Loans: ​This ratio indicates the percent of total loans on the balance sheet                             
that are nonperforming. Nonperforming loans are loans that indicate the borrower is not financially stable                             
and cannot pay back the full amount of principal and interest. 
 
 
 
Bank Name  NPLs/Total Loans 
Wells Fargo  2.3 
JP Morgan  1.6 
Citigroup  1.5 
 
As seen above, all banks have a relatively low NPL/Total loan ratio, indicating that they are not making                                   
bad loans that are likely to default on their payments. Furthermore, all banks are well capitalized to                                 
9 
 
recover from any losses that may arise from non performing loans due to the high multiple of                                 
reserves/NPLs.  
Net Interest Income:  
Net interest income is total interest income plus tax benefit from tax­exempt income minus total interest                               
expense. It is a common measure of how much net income is being generated from interest bearing assets.                                   
A high net interest income number is an indication of high asset quality. 
 
Bank Name  Net Interest Income (Latest as of 2015) 
Wells Fargo  2.74 
Bank of America  2.63 
Goldman Sachs  1.05 
From the data above, it is obvious Wells Fargo has a high net interest income relative to some of its                                       
competitors. Although comparison of asset quality does not indicate true asset quality for an individual                             
bank, it is useful to make comparisons nonetheless. For the reasons listed above, Wells Fargo has earned a                                   
high score for asset quality. 
SCORE (1­5): 1  
 
Management Quality
 
Management quality, under the CAMELS rating system, is the ability and willingness of the board of                               
directors and senior management systems to identify, measure, monitor, and control risks. 
Banks must walk a fine line between putting their assets to work and becoming over leveraged. This is                                   
where management's performance is so important. A good manager can mitigate risk and give                           
shareholders a good return on their investment. One of the effective ways to gauge management is to use                                   
10 
 
Return on Assets (ROA), Tangible Book Value and Return on Equity. Graphs below shows the                             
comparison of Wells Fargo with other banks. 
 
11 
 
 
It can be easily observed that Wells Fargo is the leading bank when it comes to providing return to its                                       
shareholders and satisfying customers. One of the reason behind this high ROA, high Tangible Book                             
Value and high ROE is the management structure and management policy of Wells Fargo. Wells Fargo is                                 
a customer­focused bank. It has implemented the C.A.R.E. (Consistent. Approachable. Respectful.                     
Empathetic) model to communicate with customers. The core of Wells Fargo’s management policy is it’s                             
vision­based strategy of “cross­selling”­­the process of offering customers the products and services that                         
they need to help them succeed financially. Recently, Wells Fargo improved its strategy by implementing                             
“ Our Five Strategic Priorities” which includes: 
● Putting customers first 
● Growing revenue 
12 
 
● Reducing expenses 
● Living our vision and values 
● Connecting with communities and stakeholders 
There are separate departments in Wells Fargo dedicated to serve each of the above mentioned strategies                               
and they directly report to the CEO of Wells Fargo. 
SCORE(1­5): 2 
 
Earnings
 
Earnings analysis observes trends and quantity of earnings as well as projections about the future                             
earnings of the company. 
Wells fargo has shown consistent growth in earnings over the last five years according to the OCC report                                   
for the year 2010­2015. There was a 52.9% increase in the retained earnings over last year. Most of these                                     
earnings were due to interest on federal funds sold and resales (63% of total revenue). This was much                                   
higher than the peer group average (0.33% of total revenue).Total assets grew by 25.2% over the last year                                   
(Peer group average 6.64%). Tier one capital grew by 34.85% over the last year (Peer group average                                 
8.06%). Short term investments grew by 34.19% (Peer group average 23.06%). Several reasons can be                             
attributed to Wells Fargo’s high performance. First, there was the 5.32 % increase in the mortgage loans                                 
over the last year. Mortgage loans now account for 27.95% of the total loan portfolio, which makes the                                   
overall loan portfolio less risky and hence stabilized the annual return rate. Second, there was the 9%                                 
increase in bank’s total deposits over the last year, which helped Wells Fargo issue more loans over the                                   
period. The major reason for the increased deposit was the increased customer satisfaction and increased                             
customer trust obtained by Wells Fargo by implementing the C.A.R.E. model. The first graph below                             
shows the trend of annual growth of revenue, net income and earnings per share for Wells Fargo. The                                   
13 
 
second graph shows the comparison between Wells Fargo’s earnings with respect to the peer bank’s                             
earnings.
14 
 
.
 
 
 
From the above two graphs, it is clear that there is an upward trajectory in earnings for Wells Fargo. This                                       
consistent growth has helped Wells Fargo maintain good reputation in the market and develop trust                             
among its customers. 
SCORE(1­5): 1 
 
Liquidity
 
Liquidity analysis observes a measure of the extent to which the organization has cash to meet immediate                                 
and short­term obligations, or assets that can be quickly converted to cash. 
Wells Fargo has increased continuously from 2010­2015 in its total assets and liquidity and financial                             
health. Wells Fargo’s loans increased $40.3 billion, up 5%, even with the planned runoff in our                               
non­strategic/liquidating portfolios. Wells Fargo’s core loan portfolio grew by $60.3 billion, up 8%. Wells                           
Fargo’s balance sheet grew 11% in 2014 to $1.7 trillion. Wells Fargo liquidity situation increased. By                               
15 
 
improving the quality of their assets, the company held more capital. Also, Wells Fargo raised deposits by                                 
8% in 2014 simultaneously dropping their deposit costs. 
Wells Fargo also grew its loans on a year­over­year basis for the 14th consecutive quarter (for the                                 
past 11 quarters year­over­year loan growth has been 3% or greater) despite the planned runoff from its                                 
non­strategic/ liquidating portfolios. Wells Fargo’s non­strategic/liquidating loan portfolios decreased                 
$20.1 billion during the year (now less than 8% of total loans) and its core loan portfolios increased $60.3                                     
billion from the prior year. Its federal funds sold, securities purchased under resale agreements and other                               
short­term investments (collectively referred to as federal funds sold and other short­term investments                         
elsewhere in this report) increased by $44.6 billion, or 21%, during the year on continued strong growth                                 
in interest­earning deposits, and the bank grew its investment securities portfolio by $48.6 billion in 2014.                               
It also issued $24.0 billion of liquidity­related long­term debt as well as additional liquidity­related                           
short­term funding in 2014. Wells Fargo’s liquidity position continued to remain strong with increased                           
regulatory expectations.  
 
16 
 
As shown in the graph above, it can be observed that Wells Fargo’s loan­to­deposit ratio was reduced                                 
from 82% to almost 70% over the span of three years. As a result, liquidity at Wells Fargo increased                                     
gradually. Currently, Wells Fargo’s loan­to­deposit ratio is 65%, which is 5% less than its peer group.  
Out of total assets, 1.19% is non interest cash and due from other banks (peer group:1.30%), 14.61% is                                   
available­for­sale securities (peer group: 15.22%). All these ratios indicate that Wells Fargo’s liquidity                         
management performance is almost average, compared to its peers.  
SCORE(1­5): 2 
 
Sensitivity to Market Risk
 
As a part of the CAMELS rating system, sensitivity to market risk reflects the degree to which changes in                                     
interest rates, foreign exchange rates, and commodity and equity prices affect the earnings or asset value                               
of the bank. 
Wells Fargo has done a significantly better job when it comes to managing its rate or market sensitive                                   
assets. Wells Fargo uses Aggressive Drive Path and Conservative Drive Path based on its forecast on                               
interest rates. The graph and table below shows the bank’s performance in terms of annual returns of the                                   
rate sensitive assets for each of the Drive Paths.  
It can be observed from the graph that the bank provides 7% return on its rate sensitive assets in a                                       
optimistic market for both the drive paths and incurs, on average, a 22.3% loss on its rate sensitive asset                                     
in a highly pessimistic market (worst case scenario).  
 
17 
 
 
 
 
SCORE(1­5): 1 
18 
 
 
Conclusion
 
Wells Fargo was analyzed using CAMELS Analysis. This report takes into account some of the most                               
important aspects of the bank in reference to each of the components of the CAMELS analysis. Through                                 
careful observation, our report indicated a strong rating for each of the CAMELS aspects. In terms of                                 
Capital Adequacy, Asset Quality, Earnings, and Sensitivity to Market Risk, we have given Wells Fargo                             
the highest score of 1. For the two other aspects, Liquidity and Management Quality, Wells Fargo earned                                 
the second highest score of 2. After careful consideration of each of the aspects of the bank and despite                                     
the double ratings of 2, the overall rating given to Wells Fargo is 1. We believe they are a sound bank                                         
under good management and their future as a stable bank is secure.  
 
  
OVERALL SCORE(1­5): 1 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
19 
 
REFERENCES 
● Wells Fargo & Company. (2014). ​Annual Report​ of 2014. Retrieved from 
https://www.wellsfargo.com/about/investor­relations/annual­reports/ 
 
● Wells Fargo & Company. (2013). ​Annual Report​ of 2013. Retrieved from 
https://www.wellsfargo.com/about/investor­relations/annual­reports/ 
 
● Wells Fargo & Company. (2014). Wells Fargo ​Proxy Statements​ 2015. Retrieved from 
https://www.wellsfargo.com/about/investor­relations/annual­reports/ 
 
● Does Wells Fargo Practice Radical Management?​Article on Wells Fargo. 
Retrieved from 
http://www.forbes.com/sites/stevedenning/2012/01/30/does­wells­fargo­pract
ice­radical­management/
● Financial Analysis on Wells Fargo. Retrieved from ​http://www.gurufocus.com/stock/WFC​. 
 
● Wells Fargo & Co. Is the Earth’s Most Valuable Bank​. Article on Wells Fargo. Retrieved from 
http://www.wsj.com/articles/wells­fargo­co­is­the­earths­most­valuable­bank­1437538216​. 
 
● Tier 1 Common Ratio Information. Retrieved from 
http://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/press/bcreg/ccar_20140326.pdf 
 
● Capital Adequacy and Asset Quality Bank Data. Retrieved from ​www.forbes.com​ and 
www.sageworks.com 
 
● Perez, Saul P. "Banking in 2014: Hits and Misses." ​Did Banks Adapt to Capital Requirements in 
2014?​ ​http://marketrealist.com/2015/01/banks­adapt­capital­requirements­2014/ 
 
20 

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CAMELSProject

  • 2.   Table of contents     Introduction……………………………………………………………………………………..………..…2  History………………………………………………………………………………………….…………...2   SWOT Analysis…………………………………………………………………………………..………...4  CAMELS Analysis  Capital Adequacy…………………………………………………………………….……..……...5  Asset Quality………………………………………………………………………….…….……...8  Management Quality…………………………………………………………………..…….……10  Earnings…………………………………………………………………………….…………….12  Liquidity…………………………………………………………………………...….…………..14  Sensitivity to Market…………………………………………………………………………..….16  Conclusion ……………………………………………………………………………….………….……18  References………………………………………………………………………………...……………….19                                    1 
  • 3.   Introduction   In order to analyze the banks most effectively, it was important to compare different banks in the same                                    industry and with similar market capitalizations as Wells Fargo. Because there are stark differences across                              banks depending on their market size and industry, those variables needed to be the same for a proper                                    comparison to occur. With market size and industry held constant, it is easier to examine the differences                                  between banks. By observing financial statements across similar banks, the various ratios and numericals                            that affect the characteristics observed in the CAMELS rating can be analyzed.     History   In 1852, Henry Wells and William Fargo founded Wells Fargo as a financial services company. Their                                original operations involved buying and selling gold for bank drafts and offering express delivery services                              to customers across the west. Wells Fargo was initially located in the gold rush port of San Francisco and                                      provided miners during the Gold Rush with financing they would not have otherwise had access to.                                Building on their original success as financiers, Wells Fargo expanded operations to include mail delivery                              across the western states. They used the fastest means possible and exhausted all forms of mail delivery,                                  including steamship, telegraph, railroad, stagecoach, and pony rides.  After the transcontinental railroad was completed in 1869, Wells Fargo became the first                          nationwide express company. They used the term “Ocean to Ocean” and “Over the Seas” to describe their                                  services across the US and abroad. All the while, Wells Fargo brought in much business by buying and                                    selling gold on the market.   By 1918, the US government began to take over the mail services because of World War I. Wells                                    Fargo saw their operations at the time dwindle to only the original bank in San Francisco. After                                  overcoming the horrific San Francisco earthquake of 1906, Wells Fargo president I.W. Hellman                          2 
  • 4.   telegraphed a correspondent the following message: “Building destroyed. Vault intact. Credit unaffected.”                        This was a foreshadowing of Wells Fargo’s relatively impeccable future in the banking industry despite                              the turmoil the economy went through in the 20th century and afterwards. In the 1910s and 1920s, Wells                                    Fargo expanded operations to include commercial banking activities to finance the auto and aerospace                            industry.   Since the early days of its history, Wells Fargo has been an innovator in the industry. They have                                    embraced the latest forms of transportation to better service their customers and have also embraced the                                latest technology to remain competitive in the modern world. ATMs, credit cards, and online banking                              have shifted the way banking is done and Wells Fargo has been on the forefront of this adaptation since                                      its early days.   Wells Fargo has expanded from its roots in San Francisco to become a regional bank in Northern                                  California. From there, it expanded to service the West, Midwest, and Eastern states. In its history of over                                    100 years, Wells Fargo has endured, adapted, and conquered while giving customers a secure means of                                obtaining financial services.                       3 
  • 5.                             S.W.O.T. Analysis      (a)​     ​Strengths  ∙    Size  ∙    Star/Still Expanding/Growing Market  ∙    FDIC Insured  ∙   Solid Reputation  ∙ Highly recognizable advertising campaign /            Marketing Recognition  ∙    Business Environment (open counters)     (b)​    ​Weaknesses  ∙     Not International  ∙     Internet Security  ∙     Government Policies/ Fed. Regulation  ∙     Recession  ∙     Economy  ∙     Highly Competitive Market  ∙     Low Brand Loyalty     4 
  • 6.   (c)​     ​Opportunities  ∙      International  ∙      Ease of Use for Internet Usage  ∙      Tax Services/Free/Internet  ∙      Branches  ∙       ATM Service  ∙      24 Hour Services  (d)​    ​Threats  ∙      Highly Competitive Market (Major)  ∙      Low Brand Loyalty in Industry (Major)  ∙      Government Policies (Potential)  ∙      Depression (Potential)  ∙      Economy (Potential)  ∙      Civil Unrest/War (Potential)  ∙      Interest Rates (Minor)  ∙      Inflation (Minor)  ∙ New Competitor Sales Promotions and            Strategies (Minor)  CAMELS Analysis  Capital Adequacy   Capital adequacy, as it pertains to the CAMELS rating system, reflects a business’ ability to maintain                                capital in light of the risks the business undertakes. It also refers to the business’ ability to identify and                                      manage these risks.   Tier 1 Common Capital Ratio: Wells Fargo vs Other Banks  Tier 1 Common Capital Ratio is a measure of a bank's core capital, excluding preferred shares or any                                    share with a noncontrolling interest in the company. It is a ratio of core capital to risk weighted assets.   Total Risk­Based Capital Ratio ​is an alternative measure of capital adequacy that is calculated by                              dividing total risk based capital by total risk­weighted assets minus adjustments to risk­weighted assets. It                              5 
  • 7.   is a comprehensive form of capital adequacy management and works in tandem with Tier 1 Common                                Capital Ratios and Leverage ratios to give an overall estimate of capital adequacy.   Tier 1 Leverage Ratio: ​The leverage ratio measures the relationship between a bank’s core capital and                                total assets. Calculated by dividing Tier 1 capital ratio by a firm’s average total consolidated assets.  Bank Capital Ratio Projections for “Adverse Situation” 2013­2015:  Ratio  Q4 2013  Q4 2014  Q4 2015  Wells Fargo Tier 1        Common Ratio  10.1  9.3  8.7  Wells Fargo Total      Risk­Based Capital    Ratio  14.7  14.4  13.1  Wells Fargo Tier 1        Leverage Ratio  9.2  8.2  7.3  Goldman Sachs Tier 1        Common Ratio  10.2  8.1  7.2  Goldman Sachs Total      Risk­Based Capital    Ratio  15.5  13.8  9.2  Goldman Sachs Tier 1        Leverage Ratio  5.9  5.2  4.4  JP Morgan Chase Tier        1 Common Ratio  9.3  8.4  8.3  JP Morgan Chase Total        Risk­Based Capital    Ratio  13.0  11.9  10.5  JP Morgan Chase Tier        1 Leverage Ratio  6.2  5.7  5.4  Morgan Stanley Tier 1        Common Ratio  9.8  8.6  8.5  Morgan Stanley Total      Risk­Based Capital    Ratio  13.9  13.8  11.0  6 
  • 8.   Morgan Stanley Tier 1        Leverage Ratio  5.9  5.5  4.9  Citigroup Tier 1      Common Ratio  10.4  9.3  9.3  Citigroup Total    Risk­Based Capital    Ratio  14.5  15.1  13.2  Citigroup Tier 1      Leverage Ratio  6.6  7.2  6.6    The Federal Reserve establishes minimum capital ratios for banks in the same asset category according to                                the Basel agreements. The following are the minimums for banks in the category of “advanced                              approaches.” All banks above are in this same category and therefore have the same minimum ratio                                requirements.  Ratio  Minimum 2013  Minimum 2014  Minimum 2015  Tier 1 Common Ratio  5%  5%  5%  Total Risk­Based    Capital Ratio  8%  8%  8%  Tier 1 Leverage Ratio  3 or 4%  4%  4%    From the above tables, you can verify that Wells Fargo meets the minimum requirements for the three                                  capital adequacy ratios and therefore is in good condition to absorb any unforeseen losses due to changes                                  in asset values. Compared to its competitors, Wells Fargo ranks closely in terms of the ratios listed above.                                    None of the competitors come consistently too close to touching the minimum requirements for these                              ratios and therefore are all projected to be adequately capitalized through 2015.   One last ratio can be used to determine capital adequacy.   7 
  • 9.   Reserves/Nonperforming Loans: ​The reserves to nonperforming loans ratio is a measure of how                          adequately the bank can absorb losses from nonperforming loans. A higher ratio indicates a bank with a                                  greater degree of capital adequacy.    Bank Name  Reserve/NPL Ratio  Wells Fargo  63  JP Morgan  117  Citigroup  168    From above, Wells Fargo ranks lowest among banks seen in this table but still has a high multiple.                                    Therefore, Wells Fargo is adequately capitalized and well suited to absorb any losses from nonperforming                              loans.  SCORE (1­5): 1      Asset Quality   Asset quality, according to the CAMELS rating system, refers to the credit risk of assets on the portfolio                                    of the bank as well as any off­balance sheet activities.   Changes in Asset Quality Since Last Quarter:  Wells Fargo has made improvements in its asset quality since last quarter. For example, the “net charge                                    off” numerical gives us an estimate of the dollar amount of loans that will be considered losses and                                    therefore will have unrecoverable cash flows. This is a good indication of asset quality and the stability of                                    cash flows coming from operations. In the most recent quarter, the net charge offs amounted to 650                                  8 
  • 10.   million dollars, down 67 million dollars since last quarter. This is a significant improvement in asset                                quality.  Furthermore, the net charge off rate was dropped from 0.35 percent to 0.30 percent. Lastly, as a measure                                    of asset quality, the amount of nonaccrual loans is observed. Nonaccrual loans are loans that aren’t                                producing the desired cash flows due to financial difficulties by the borrower and therefore are seen as                                  low quality loans. From last quarter, nonaccrual loans have dropped 1.5 billion dollars, or 11 percent.                                These positive changes in asset quality signify a beneficial trend in Wells Fargo’s balance sheet.   Two more ratios are beneficial in the analysis of asset quality for banks: the nonperforming loans to total                                    loans ratio and net interest income.  If we compare banks, it is easier to judge the asset quality of Wells Fargo through comparison.  Nonperforming Loans/Total Loans: ​This ratio indicates the percent of total loans on the balance sheet                              that are nonperforming. Nonperforming loans are loans that indicate the borrower is not financially stable                              and cannot pay back the full amount of principal and interest.        Bank Name  NPLs/Total Loans  Wells Fargo  2.3  JP Morgan  1.6  Citigroup  1.5    As seen above, all banks have a relatively low NPL/Total loan ratio, indicating that they are not making                                    bad loans that are likely to default on their payments. Furthermore, all banks are well capitalized to                                  9 
  • 11.   recover from any losses that may arise from non performing loans due to the high multiple of                                  reserves/NPLs.   Net Interest Income:   Net interest income is total interest income plus tax benefit from tax­exempt income minus total interest                                expense. It is a common measure of how much net income is being generated from interest bearing assets.                                    A high net interest income number is an indication of high asset quality.    Bank Name  Net Interest Income (Latest as of 2015)  Wells Fargo  2.74  Bank of America  2.63  Goldman Sachs  1.05  From the data above, it is obvious Wells Fargo has a high net interest income relative to some of its                                        competitors. Although comparison of asset quality does not indicate true asset quality for an individual                              bank, it is useful to make comparisons nonetheless. For the reasons listed above, Wells Fargo has earned a                                    high score for asset quality.  SCORE (1­5): 1     Management Quality   Management quality, under the CAMELS rating system, is the ability and willingness of the board of                                directors and senior management systems to identify, measure, monitor, and control risks.  Banks must walk a fine line between putting their assets to work and becoming over leveraged. This is                                    where management's performance is so important. A good manager can mitigate risk and give                            shareholders a good return on their investment. One of the effective ways to gauge management is to use                                    10 
  • 12.   Return on Assets (ROA), Tangible Book Value and Return on Equity. Graphs below shows the                              comparison of Wells Fargo with other banks.    11 
  • 13.     It can be easily observed that Wells Fargo is the leading bank when it comes to providing return to its                                        shareholders and satisfying customers. One of the reason behind this high ROA, high Tangible Book                              Value and high ROE is the management structure and management policy of Wells Fargo. Wells Fargo is                                  a customer­focused bank. It has implemented the C.A.R.E. (Consistent. Approachable. Respectful.                      Empathetic) model to communicate with customers. The core of Wells Fargo’s management policy is it’s                              vision­based strategy of “cross­selling”­­the process of offering customers the products and services that                          they need to help them succeed financially. Recently, Wells Fargo improved its strategy by implementing                              “ Our Five Strategic Priorities” which includes:  ● Putting customers first  ● Growing revenue  12 
  • 14.   ● Reducing expenses  ● Living our vision and values  ● Connecting with communities and stakeholders  There are separate departments in Wells Fargo dedicated to serve each of the above mentioned strategies                                and they directly report to the CEO of Wells Fargo.  SCORE(1­5): 2    Earnings   Earnings analysis observes trends and quantity of earnings as well as projections about the future                              earnings of the company.  Wells fargo has shown consistent growth in earnings over the last five years according to the OCC report                                    for the year 2010­2015. There was a 52.9% increase in the retained earnings over last year. Most of these                                      earnings were due to interest on federal funds sold and resales (63% of total revenue). This was much                                    higher than the peer group average (0.33% of total revenue).Total assets grew by 25.2% over the last year                                    (Peer group average 6.64%). Tier one capital grew by 34.85% over the last year (Peer group average                                  8.06%). Short term investments grew by 34.19% (Peer group average 23.06%). Several reasons can be                              attributed to Wells Fargo’s high performance. First, there was the 5.32 % increase in the mortgage loans                                  over the last year. Mortgage loans now account for 27.95% of the total loan portfolio, which makes the                                    overall loan portfolio less risky and hence stabilized the annual return rate. Second, there was the 9%                                  increase in bank’s total deposits over the last year, which helped Wells Fargo issue more loans over the                                    period. The major reason for the increased deposit was the increased customer satisfaction and increased                              customer trust obtained by Wells Fargo by implementing the C.A.R.E. model. The first graph below                              shows the trend of annual growth of revenue, net income and earnings per share for Wells Fargo. The                                    13 
  • 15.   second graph shows the comparison between Wells Fargo’s earnings with respect to the peer bank’s                              earnings. 14 
  • 16.   .       From the above two graphs, it is clear that there is an upward trajectory in earnings for Wells Fargo. This                                        consistent growth has helped Wells Fargo maintain good reputation in the market and develop trust                              among its customers.  SCORE(1­5): 1    Liquidity   Liquidity analysis observes a measure of the extent to which the organization has cash to meet immediate                                  and short­term obligations, or assets that can be quickly converted to cash.  Wells Fargo has increased continuously from 2010­2015 in its total assets and liquidity and financial                              health. Wells Fargo’s loans increased $40.3 billion, up 5%, even with the planned runoff in our                                non­strategic/liquidating portfolios. Wells Fargo’s core loan portfolio grew by $60.3 billion, up 8%. Wells                            Fargo’s balance sheet grew 11% in 2014 to $1.7 trillion. Wells Fargo liquidity situation increased. By                                15 
  • 17.   improving the quality of their assets, the company held more capital. Also, Wells Fargo raised deposits by                                  8% in 2014 simultaneously dropping their deposit costs.  Wells Fargo also grew its loans on a year­over­year basis for the 14th consecutive quarter (for the                                  past 11 quarters year­over­year loan growth has been 3% or greater) despite the planned runoff from its                                  non­strategic/ liquidating portfolios. Wells Fargo’s non­strategic/liquidating loan portfolios decreased                  $20.1 billion during the year (now less than 8% of total loans) and its core loan portfolios increased $60.3                                      billion from the prior year. Its federal funds sold, securities purchased under resale agreements and other                                short­term investments (collectively referred to as federal funds sold and other short­term investments                          elsewhere in this report) increased by $44.6 billion, or 21%, during the year on continued strong growth                                  in interest­earning deposits, and the bank grew its investment securities portfolio by $48.6 billion in 2014.                                It also issued $24.0 billion of liquidity­related long­term debt as well as additional liquidity­related                            short­term funding in 2014. Wells Fargo’s liquidity position continued to remain strong with increased                            regulatory expectations.     16 
  • 18.   As shown in the graph above, it can be observed that Wells Fargo’s loan­to­deposit ratio was reduced                                  from 82% to almost 70% over the span of three years. As a result, liquidity at Wells Fargo increased                                      gradually. Currently, Wells Fargo’s loan­to­deposit ratio is 65%, which is 5% less than its peer group.   Out of total assets, 1.19% is non interest cash and due from other banks (peer group:1.30%), 14.61% is                                    available­for­sale securities (peer group: 15.22%). All these ratios indicate that Wells Fargo’s liquidity                          management performance is almost average, compared to its peers.   SCORE(1­5): 2    Sensitivity to Market Risk   As a part of the CAMELS rating system, sensitivity to market risk reflects the degree to which changes in                                      interest rates, foreign exchange rates, and commodity and equity prices affect the earnings or asset value                                of the bank.  Wells Fargo has done a significantly better job when it comes to managing its rate or market sensitive                                    assets. Wells Fargo uses Aggressive Drive Path and Conservative Drive Path based on its forecast on                                interest rates. The graph and table below shows the bank’s performance in terms of annual returns of the                                    rate sensitive assets for each of the Drive Paths.   It can be observed from the graph that the bank provides 7% return on its rate sensitive assets in a                                        optimistic market for both the drive paths and incurs, on average, a 22.3% loss on its rate sensitive asset                                      in a highly pessimistic market (worst case scenario).     17 
  • 20.     Conclusion   Wells Fargo was analyzed using CAMELS Analysis. This report takes into account some of the most                                important aspects of the bank in reference to each of the components of the CAMELS analysis. Through                                  careful observation, our report indicated a strong rating for each of the CAMELS aspects. In terms of                                  Capital Adequacy, Asset Quality, Earnings, and Sensitivity to Market Risk, we have given Wells Fargo                              the highest score of 1. For the two other aspects, Liquidity and Management Quality, Wells Fargo earned                                  the second highest score of 2. After careful consideration of each of the aspects of the bank and despite                                      the double ratings of 2, the overall rating given to Wells Fargo is 1. We believe they are a sound bank                                          under good management and their future as a stable bank is secure.        OVERALL SCORE(1­5): 1                      19 
  • 21.   REFERENCES  ● Wells Fargo & Company. (2014). ​Annual Report​ of 2014. Retrieved from  https://www.wellsfargo.com/about/investor­relations/annual­reports/    ● Wells Fargo & Company. (2013). ​Annual Report​ of 2013. Retrieved from  https://www.wellsfargo.com/about/investor­relations/annual­reports/    ● Wells Fargo & Company. (2014). Wells Fargo ​Proxy Statements​ 2015. Retrieved from  https://www.wellsfargo.com/about/investor­relations/annual­reports/    ● Does Wells Fargo Practice Radical Management?​Article on Wells Fargo.  Retrieved from  http://www.forbes.com/sites/stevedenning/2012/01/30/does­wells­fargo­pract ice­radical­management/ ● Financial Analysis on Wells Fargo. Retrieved from ​http://www.gurufocus.com/stock/WFC​.    ● Wells Fargo & Co. Is the Earth’s Most Valuable Bank​. Article on Wells Fargo. Retrieved from  http://www.wsj.com/articles/wells­fargo­co­is­the­earths­most­valuable­bank­1437538216​.    ● Tier 1 Common Ratio Information. Retrieved from  http://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/press/bcreg/ccar_20140326.pdf    ● Capital Adequacy and Asset Quality Bank Data. Retrieved from ​www.forbes.com​ and  www.sageworks.com    ● Perez, Saul P. "Banking in 2014: Hits and Misses." ​Did Banks Adapt to Capital Requirements in  2014?​ ​http://marketrealist.com/2015/01/banks­adapt­capital­requirements­2014/    20