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Viewpoint
1910 www.thelancet.com Vol 385 May 9, 2015
What is a resilient health system? Lessons from Ebola
Margaret E Kruk, Michael Myers, STornorlahVarpilah, BerniceT Dahn
The fragility of health systems has never been of greater
interest—or importance—than at this moment, in the
aftermath of the worst Ebola virus disease epidemic to
date. The loss of life, massive social disruption, and
collapse of even the most basic health-care services shows
what happens when a crisis hits and health systems are
not prepared.1
This did not happen only in west Africa—
we saw it in Texas too: the struggle to provide a coherent
response and manage public sentiment (which often
manifests as fear) in a way that ensures that disease does
not spread while also allowing day-to-day life to continue.
In other words, we saw an absence of resilience. This
Viewpoint puts forth a proposed framework for resilient
health systems and the characteristics that define them,
informed by insights from other fields that have embraced
resilience as a practice.
Health system resilience can be defined as the capacity
of health actors, institutions, and populations to prepare
for and effectively respond to crises; maintain core
functions when a crisis hits; and, informed by lessons
learned during the crisis, reorganise if conditions
require it. Health systems are resilient if they protect
human life and produce good health outcomes for all
during a crisis and in its aftermath.2
Resilient health
systems can also deliver everyday benefits and positive
health outcomes. This double benefit—improved per-
formance in both bad times and good—is what has been
called “the resilience dividend”.3
Response to a crisis, be it a disease outbreak or other
disruption resulting in a surge of demand for health care
(eg, a natural disaster or a mass casualty event) needs
both a vigorous public health response and a highly
proactive and functioning health-care delivery system.
These two systems must work in concert during a
crisis—and indeed long before crisis strikes. Health-care
systems are complex adaptive systems and resilience is
an emergent property of the health system as a whole
rather than a single dimension. Building resilience is
thus context-dependent and iterative, needing advance
assessments of system capacities and weaknesses,
investments in vulnerable components of the system
before a crisis, reinforcements during the emergency,
and review of performance after a crisis. Resilience is
not a static construct—for example, the rapid pace of
recovery from crisis is a cardinal measure of success.3
The Ebola epidemic has illustrated that several
preconditions for resilience were lacking. The first of
these preconditions is recognition of the global nature
of severe health crises and clarity about the roles of
actors at all levels of the global health system. Although
national governments are fundamentally responsible
for their health systems, they need the capacity to
mobilise the full range of local actors and to rapidly
draw on external resources if necessary. The need for a
global resilience network is both a moral imperative
and a recognition of the fact that pathogens do not
respect borders. Shocks to the health system of one
country can reverberate across regions and the world.
Health system resilience is thus a global public good
and needs a collective response from the global
community. Funding for this response can come from
traditional domestic and donor sources or, as recently
suggested, a new international health systems fund to
which all countries contribute.4
A second precondition is a legal and policy foundation
to guide the response and establish accountability. The
implementation of International Health Regulations,
which call on countries to build core public health
capacities and establish a means of coordinating a
response to health emergencies with regional and global
partners, is a prerequisite for effective emergency
response.5–7
Additionally, legislation that clarifies the
authority of public health agencies and the roles and
responsibilities of private and public health actors is
needed as are policies for involving the private and
voluntary sector in the response and allowing flexibility
in sharing and reallocating resources across the
health system.
Third, there is a need for a strong and committed
health workforce, characterised by health personnel
who show up for work that might be difficult and
dangerous. Establishing such a workforce begins with
training and deployment of a sufficient number of
doctors, nurses, managers, and outreach workers—a
colossal task in a country such as Liberia with a
population of 3·5 million people and fewer than
100 doctors—but also building and banking a stock of
social capital in the health system before crisis strikes.8
Just as strong social capital in communities promotes
individual psychological resilience after mass trauma,
social capital in the health system promotes system-wide
recovery from crisis.9
In the health system context,
social capital has two dimensions: a sense of worth,
community, and responsibility among health actors
(clinicians, managers, engineers, outreach workers)10
and an inclusive and robust community engagement
with the health system.10,11
Health systems that earn the
trust and support of the population and local political
leaders by reliably providing high-quality services before
crisis have a powerful resilience advantage. Strong
management of district level health systems is key to
gaining that trust.
Diverse fields such as ecology, engineering, complex
adaptive systems, psychology, and public health have
produced resilience frameworks.12–15
The Rockefeller
Foundation has developed substantial data about resilient
Lancet 2015; 385: 1910–12
See Comment page 1805
Department of Global Health
and Population, Harvard
T H Chan School of Public
Health, Boston, MA, USA
(M E Kruk MD);The Rockefeller
Foundation, NewYork, NY,
USA (M Myers MA); National
Port Authority, Monrovia,
Liberia (STVarpilah MA); and
Ministry of Health and Social
Welfare, Monrovia, Liberia
(BT Dahn MD)
Correspondence to:
Dr Margaret E Kruk, Department
of Global Health and Population,
HarvardT H Chan School of
Public Health, Boston,
MA 02115, USA
mkruk@hsph.harvard.edu
Viewpoint
www.thelancet.com Vol 385 May 9, 2015 1911
cities and societies that can withstand and adapt to natural
and human-made stressors, such as climate change.3
For
example, the City Resilience Framework identifies
qualities and core functions that define resilient cities.16
Building on these foundations, resilient health systems
might be characterised by the following five elements.
First, resilient health systems are aware. Resilient
health systems have an up-to-date map of human,
physical, and information assets that highlight areas of
strength and vulnerability. These might be functional
areas (eg, information technology, specialty care), health
domains (eg, malaria, maternal health), or particular
contexts or geographic areas (eg, proximity to flood
zones). They are aware of potential health threats and
risks to the population from biological and non-biological
sources. Awareness needs strategic health information
systems and epidemiological surveillance networks that
can report on both the status of the system and
impending health threats in real time, allowing predictive
modelling. Information can come from traditional
(facilities, audits, surveillance, population surveys), and
less traditional sources (social media, health worker call
line, satisfaction surveys). This information should in
turn inform planning, including tabletop exercises to
simulate the logistics of a response to crisis.
Second, they should be diverse. Health systems that
have the capacity to address a broad range of health
challenges rather than a targeted few are more stable and
capable of detecting disturbances when they arise. One
example of a diverse platform is primary care. In a well
functioning primary care clinic a patient presenting with
an unfamiliar constellation of symptoms triggers a
systematic investigation for new pathogens rather than
dismissal because the patient fails to fit into known
algorithms. The same systematic approach applies to
hospital emergency wards, community health workers,
and other first points of contact with the health system.
In times of calm, systems that address diverse health
needs will increase the number and quality of people’s
interactions with the health system, enhancing public
trust and enabling more rapid recognition of a new
health threat, realising the resilience dividend. This
approach is most feasible where universal health
coverage (UHC) is in place, which is why UHC is an
essential resilience measure. Universal health coverage
promotes broad-based provision of health services, and
protects vulnerable families from financial hardship and
helps to ensure health-seeking behaviour during normal
times. This can foster relationships that make individuals
more likely to seek timely care, which in a situation such
as Ebola can be the difference between life and death,
and an opportunity to contain the outbreak.
Third, they are self-regulating, with the ability to contain
and isolate health threats while delivering core health
services and avoiding propagating instability throughout
the system. This has three elements: (1) ability to quickly
identify and isolate a threat and target resources to it,
(2) minimising disruption to provision of essential health
services during crisis, and (3) the availability, in particular
locations, of excess or redundant capacity that can
quickly be brought online. By keeping the non-affected
population healthy, core health-care services will help to
attenuate the effects of the threat on other spheres of life:
productivity, education, and political processes. Robust,
self-regulating health systems need investments in the
so-called slow variables, ones that take a long time to
change but are required to construct a stable platform for
health care delivery (eg, infrastructure, health worker
training) plus an infusion of fast variables (eg, quarantine,
isolation units) to bolster emergency response.13,17,18
This
is resilience by design rather than happenstance.
Fourth, they need to be integrated. Resilient health
systems bring together diverse actors, ideas, and groups
to formulate solutions and initiate action. Sharing of
information, clear communication, and coordination of
multiple actors are hallmarks of integration and are best
achieved by having a designated focal point in the health
system. Public health activities, and in particular com-
munication with the public, must be closely coordinated
with health service delivery. An integrated response will
need pre-existing legislation and cooperative agreements
or compacts that accelerate resource flows and allow
sharing and reassignment of funds, personnel, and
capacities during crises. Because good health is contingent
on inputs from outside the health system and because
health emergencies reverberate throughout societies and
economies, effective response to a health crisis requires
involvement of non-health sectors such as transportation,
media, and education among others. Depending on
context, sectors such as agriculture, mining, and water and
sanitation at both national and regional levels should be
integrated into the response effort to ensure the continued
provision of these crucial determinants of health. The
private sector, non-governmental organisations, local
community leadership, and civil society should also be
engaged because they bring crucial complementary
capabilities and perspectives. In particular, communities
need to be recognised as a central actor in health systems
and not simply a recipient of health care. In another
example of the resilience dividend, consultation with and
feedback from communities during normal times will
bear fruit in more effective risk communication and
community action to reduce risks during emergencies.
Finally, resilience does not imply self-sufficiency and
self-reliance. On the contrary, resilient health systems have
strong external connections to regional and global partners
that allow governments to trigger rapid deployment of a
wider set of resources. This is an example of smart
dependency.
Finally, resilient health systems are adaptive. Adapt-
ability is the ability to transform in ways that improve
function in the face of highly adverse conditions. Any
adaptations should enhance performance in the short
term and, ideally, contribute to building long-term
Viewpoint
1912 www.thelancet.com Vol 385 May 9, 2015
resilience. Too often the humanitarian response to health
emergencies has a short half life, leaving little discernible
benefit for the larger health system post crisis.
Adaptability does not manifest only in crisis: resilient
health systems demonstrate the capacity to adapt in
normal times, such as to changing epidemiological and
demographic needs of people. In the context of natural
disasters or other mass-casualty events, health systems
might need to adapt to respond to health needs of
refugees or internally displaced people. Adapting to
emergent challenges needs strong and flexible leadership,
data, and capacity to use it, and organisational structures
and management systems that allow pivot. At the end of a
crisis, an adaptive health system not only functions
differently, but functions better: for example, extracting
more efficiency and more productivity from human and
capital investments.19
Rigorous evaluation research on
past responses can provide crucial feedback for adapting
the system for future challenges.
During crises, resilient health systems will reduce loss
of life and mitigate adverse health consequences by
providing effective care for emergency and routine health
needs. Resilient health systems can also minimise social
and economic disruption that characterise outbreaks and
other large-scale health threats by engaging people as
partners in containment efforts, reducing fear, and
hastening resumption of normal activity. Making this
planning and investment even more worthwhile,
building a resilient health system should also produce
the “resilience dividend”, apparent not only through
effective functioning under duress and faster recovery,
but also, through better routine health-care provision,
social cohesion, and productivity during periods without
exigent needs.3
This resilient health systems framework, based on
research and experience in health and other fields, will
benefit from further testing and refinement. Case studies
of health systems that have been confronted with threats
can demonstrate whether and how elements of the
framework explain experiences and outcomes in different
settings. We will apply the framework to understanding
Liberia’s experience during the Ebola outbreak and to use
it as a guide for rebuilding the health system in the
coming years.
Contributors
MEK and MM conceived the idea for the paper. MEK led the
development of the conceptual framework, conducted background
research, and wrote the first draft. All authors contributed to revisions of
the draft by providing important intellectual input. All authors approved
the final draft for submission.
Declaration of interests
We declare no competing interests.
Acknowledgments
We thank Judith Rodin, Nancy Kete, Robert Marten, Carolyn Bancroft,
and Charlanne Burke of The Rockefeller Foundation for their insightful
input. We are grateful to Ann Marie Kimball and a group of global
experts in public health, health systems, and preparedness for
comments on early drafts of this framework.
References
1 Kieny MP, Evans DB, Schmets G, Kadandale S. Health-system
resilience: reflections on the Ebola crisis in western Africa.
Bull World Health Organ 2014; 92: 850.
2 Masten AS. Ordinary magic: resilience processes in development.
Am Psychol 2001; 56: 227.
3 Rodin J. The resilience dividend: being strong in a world where
things go wrong. New York: PublicAffairs, 2014.
4 Gostin LO. Ebola: towards an International Health Systems Fund.
Lancet 384: e49–51.
5 WHO. International Health Regulations (2005). Geneva: World
Health Organization, 2008.
6 The Lancet. Ebola: what lessons for the International Health
Regulations? Lancet 2014; 384: 1321.
7 Kimball AM, Heymann D. Ebola, International Health Regulations,
and global safety. Lancet 2014; 384: 2023.
8 WHO. WHO Global Health Observatory Data Repository. 2015.
http://apps.who.int/gho/data/node.main.
A1443?lang=en&showonly=HWF (accessed Jan 29, 2015).
9 Kaniasty K, Norris FH. Longitudinal linkages between perceived
social support and posttraumatic stress symptoms: sequential roles
of social causation and social selection. J Trauma Stress 2008;
21: 274–81.
10 Perkins DD, Hughey J, Speer PW. Community psychology
perspectives on social capital theory and community development
practice. Community Dev 2002; 33: 33–52.
11 Balabanova D, Mills A, Conteh L, et al. Good Health At Low Cost
25 years on: lessons for the future of health systems strengthening.
Lancet 2013; 381: 2118–33.
12 Allenby B, Fink J. Toward inherently secure and resilient societies.
Science 2005; 309: 1034–36.
13 Anderies JM, Ryan P, Walker BH. Loss of resilience, crisis, and
institutional change: lessons from an intensive agricultural system
in southeastern Australia. Ecosystems 2006; 9: 865–78.
14 Holling CS. Resilience and stability of ecological systems.
Annu Rev Ecol Syst 1973; 4: 1–23.
15 Dalziell E, McManus S. Resilience, vulnerability, and adaptive
capacity: implications for system performance. 1st International
Forum for Engineering Decision Making (IFED); Dec 5–8, 2004;
Stoos, Switzerland.
16 The Rockefeller Foundation, Arup. City resilience framework.
New York: The Rockefeller Foundation and Arup, 2014.
17 Anderies JM, Janssen MA, Walker BH. Grazing management,
resilience, and the dynamics of a fire-driven rangeland system.
Ecosystems 2002; 5: 23–44.
18 Carpenter SR, Ludwig D, Brock WA. Management of eutrophication
for lakes subject to potentially irreversible change. Ecol Appl 1999;
9: 751–71.
19 Thomas S, Keegan C, Barry S, Layte R, Jowett M, Normand C.
A framework for assessing health system resilience in an economic
crisis: Ireland as a test case. BMC Health Serv Res 2013; 13: 450.

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What is a resilient health system? Lessons from Ebola | The Lancet

  • 1. Viewpoint 1910 www.thelancet.com Vol 385 May 9, 2015 What is a resilient health system? Lessons from Ebola Margaret E Kruk, Michael Myers, STornorlahVarpilah, BerniceT Dahn The fragility of health systems has never been of greater interest—or importance—than at this moment, in the aftermath of the worst Ebola virus disease epidemic to date. The loss of life, massive social disruption, and collapse of even the most basic health-care services shows what happens when a crisis hits and health systems are not prepared.1 This did not happen only in west Africa— we saw it in Texas too: the struggle to provide a coherent response and manage public sentiment (which often manifests as fear) in a way that ensures that disease does not spread while also allowing day-to-day life to continue. In other words, we saw an absence of resilience. This Viewpoint puts forth a proposed framework for resilient health systems and the characteristics that define them, informed by insights from other fields that have embraced resilience as a practice. Health system resilience can be defined as the capacity of health actors, institutions, and populations to prepare for and effectively respond to crises; maintain core functions when a crisis hits; and, informed by lessons learned during the crisis, reorganise if conditions require it. Health systems are resilient if they protect human life and produce good health outcomes for all during a crisis and in its aftermath.2 Resilient health systems can also deliver everyday benefits and positive health outcomes. This double benefit—improved per- formance in both bad times and good—is what has been called “the resilience dividend”.3 Response to a crisis, be it a disease outbreak or other disruption resulting in a surge of demand for health care (eg, a natural disaster or a mass casualty event) needs both a vigorous public health response and a highly proactive and functioning health-care delivery system. These two systems must work in concert during a crisis—and indeed long before crisis strikes. Health-care systems are complex adaptive systems and resilience is an emergent property of the health system as a whole rather than a single dimension. Building resilience is thus context-dependent and iterative, needing advance assessments of system capacities and weaknesses, investments in vulnerable components of the system before a crisis, reinforcements during the emergency, and review of performance after a crisis. Resilience is not a static construct—for example, the rapid pace of recovery from crisis is a cardinal measure of success.3 The Ebola epidemic has illustrated that several preconditions for resilience were lacking. The first of these preconditions is recognition of the global nature of severe health crises and clarity about the roles of actors at all levels of the global health system. Although national governments are fundamentally responsible for their health systems, they need the capacity to mobilise the full range of local actors and to rapidly draw on external resources if necessary. The need for a global resilience network is both a moral imperative and a recognition of the fact that pathogens do not respect borders. Shocks to the health system of one country can reverberate across regions and the world. Health system resilience is thus a global public good and needs a collective response from the global community. Funding for this response can come from traditional domestic and donor sources or, as recently suggested, a new international health systems fund to which all countries contribute.4 A second precondition is a legal and policy foundation to guide the response and establish accountability. The implementation of International Health Regulations, which call on countries to build core public health capacities and establish a means of coordinating a response to health emergencies with regional and global partners, is a prerequisite for effective emergency response.5–7 Additionally, legislation that clarifies the authority of public health agencies and the roles and responsibilities of private and public health actors is needed as are policies for involving the private and voluntary sector in the response and allowing flexibility in sharing and reallocating resources across the health system. Third, there is a need for a strong and committed health workforce, characterised by health personnel who show up for work that might be difficult and dangerous. Establishing such a workforce begins with training and deployment of a sufficient number of doctors, nurses, managers, and outreach workers—a colossal task in a country such as Liberia with a population of 3·5 million people and fewer than 100 doctors—but also building and banking a stock of social capital in the health system before crisis strikes.8 Just as strong social capital in communities promotes individual psychological resilience after mass trauma, social capital in the health system promotes system-wide recovery from crisis.9 In the health system context, social capital has two dimensions: a sense of worth, community, and responsibility among health actors (clinicians, managers, engineers, outreach workers)10 and an inclusive and robust community engagement with the health system.10,11 Health systems that earn the trust and support of the population and local political leaders by reliably providing high-quality services before crisis have a powerful resilience advantage. Strong management of district level health systems is key to gaining that trust. Diverse fields such as ecology, engineering, complex adaptive systems, psychology, and public health have produced resilience frameworks.12–15 The Rockefeller Foundation has developed substantial data about resilient Lancet 2015; 385: 1910–12 See Comment page 1805 Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T H Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA (M E Kruk MD);The Rockefeller Foundation, NewYork, NY, USA (M Myers MA); National Port Authority, Monrovia, Liberia (STVarpilah MA); and Ministry of Health and Social Welfare, Monrovia, Liberia (BT Dahn MD) Correspondence to: Dr Margaret E Kruk, Department of Global Health and Population, HarvardT H Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA 02115, USA mkruk@hsph.harvard.edu
  • 2. Viewpoint www.thelancet.com Vol 385 May 9, 2015 1911 cities and societies that can withstand and adapt to natural and human-made stressors, such as climate change.3 For example, the City Resilience Framework identifies qualities and core functions that define resilient cities.16 Building on these foundations, resilient health systems might be characterised by the following five elements. First, resilient health systems are aware. Resilient health systems have an up-to-date map of human, physical, and information assets that highlight areas of strength and vulnerability. These might be functional areas (eg, information technology, specialty care), health domains (eg, malaria, maternal health), or particular contexts or geographic areas (eg, proximity to flood zones). They are aware of potential health threats and risks to the population from biological and non-biological sources. Awareness needs strategic health information systems and epidemiological surveillance networks that can report on both the status of the system and impending health threats in real time, allowing predictive modelling. Information can come from traditional (facilities, audits, surveillance, population surveys), and less traditional sources (social media, health worker call line, satisfaction surveys). This information should in turn inform planning, including tabletop exercises to simulate the logistics of a response to crisis. Second, they should be diverse. Health systems that have the capacity to address a broad range of health challenges rather than a targeted few are more stable and capable of detecting disturbances when they arise. One example of a diverse platform is primary care. In a well functioning primary care clinic a patient presenting with an unfamiliar constellation of symptoms triggers a systematic investigation for new pathogens rather than dismissal because the patient fails to fit into known algorithms. The same systematic approach applies to hospital emergency wards, community health workers, and other first points of contact with the health system. In times of calm, systems that address diverse health needs will increase the number and quality of people’s interactions with the health system, enhancing public trust and enabling more rapid recognition of a new health threat, realising the resilience dividend. This approach is most feasible where universal health coverage (UHC) is in place, which is why UHC is an essential resilience measure. Universal health coverage promotes broad-based provision of health services, and protects vulnerable families from financial hardship and helps to ensure health-seeking behaviour during normal times. This can foster relationships that make individuals more likely to seek timely care, which in a situation such as Ebola can be the difference between life and death, and an opportunity to contain the outbreak. Third, they are self-regulating, with the ability to contain and isolate health threats while delivering core health services and avoiding propagating instability throughout the system. This has three elements: (1) ability to quickly identify and isolate a threat and target resources to it, (2) minimising disruption to provision of essential health services during crisis, and (3) the availability, in particular locations, of excess or redundant capacity that can quickly be brought online. By keeping the non-affected population healthy, core health-care services will help to attenuate the effects of the threat on other spheres of life: productivity, education, and political processes. Robust, self-regulating health systems need investments in the so-called slow variables, ones that take a long time to change but are required to construct a stable platform for health care delivery (eg, infrastructure, health worker training) plus an infusion of fast variables (eg, quarantine, isolation units) to bolster emergency response.13,17,18 This is resilience by design rather than happenstance. Fourth, they need to be integrated. Resilient health systems bring together diverse actors, ideas, and groups to formulate solutions and initiate action. Sharing of information, clear communication, and coordination of multiple actors are hallmarks of integration and are best achieved by having a designated focal point in the health system. Public health activities, and in particular com- munication with the public, must be closely coordinated with health service delivery. An integrated response will need pre-existing legislation and cooperative agreements or compacts that accelerate resource flows and allow sharing and reassignment of funds, personnel, and capacities during crises. Because good health is contingent on inputs from outside the health system and because health emergencies reverberate throughout societies and economies, effective response to a health crisis requires involvement of non-health sectors such as transportation, media, and education among others. Depending on context, sectors such as agriculture, mining, and water and sanitation at both national and regional levels should be integrated into the response effort to ensure the continued provision of these crucial determinants of health. The private sector, non-governmental organisations, local community leadership, and civil society should also be engaged because they bring crucial complementary capabilities and perspectives. In particular, communities need to be recognised as a central actor in health systems and not simply a recipient of health care. In another example of the resilience dividend, consultation with and feedback from communities during normal times will bear fruit in more effective risk communication and community action to reduce risks during emergencies. Finally, resilience does not imply self-sufficiency and self-reliance. On the contrary, resilient health systems have strong external connections to regional and global partners that allow governments to trigger rapid deployment of a wider set of resources. This is an example of smart dependency. Finally, resilient health systems are adaptive. Adapt- ability is the ability to transform in ways that improve function in the face of highly adverse conditions. Any adaptations should enhance performance in the short term and, ideally, contribute to building long-term
  • 3. Viewpoint 1912 www.thelancet.com Vol 385 May 9, 2015 resilience. Too often the humanitarian response to health emergencies has a short half life, leaving little discernible benefit for the larger health system post crisis. Adaptability does not manifest only in crisis: resilient health systems demonstrate the capacity to adapt in normal times, such as to changing epidemiological and demographic needs of people. In the context of natural disasters or other mass-casualty events, health systems might need to adapt to respond to health needs of refugees or internally displaced people. Adapting to emergent challenges needs strong and flexible leadership, data, and capacity to use it, and organisational structures and management systems that allow pivot. At the end of a crisis, an adaptive health system not only functions differently, but functions better: for example, extracting more efficiency and more productivity from human and capital investments.19 Rigorous evaluation research on past responses can provide crucial feedback for adapting the system for future challenges. During crises, resilient health systems will reduce loss of life and mitigate adverse health consequences by providing effective care for emergency and routine health needs. Resilient health systems can also minimise social and economic disruption that characterise outbreaks and other large-scale health threats by engaging people as partners in containment efforts, reducing fear, and hastening resumption of normal activity. Making this planning and investment even more worthwhile, building a resilient health system should also produce the “resilience dividend”, apparent not only through effective functioning under duress and faster recovery, but also, through better routine health-care provision, social cohesion, and productivity during periods without exigent needs.3 This resilient health systems framework, based on research and experience in health and other fields, will benefit from further testing and refinement. Case studies of health systems that have been confronted with threats can demonstrate whether and how elements of the framework explain experiences and outcomes in different settings. We will apply the framework to understanding Liberia’s experience during the Ebola outbreak and to use it as a guide for rebuilding the health system in the coming years. Contributors MEK and MM conceived the idea for the paper. MEK led the development of the conceptual framework, conducted background research, and wrote the first draft. All authors contributed to revisions of the draft by providing important intellectual input. All authors approved the final draft for submission. Declaration of interests We declare no competing interests. Acknowledgments We thank Judith Rodin, Nancy Kete, Robert Marten, Carolyn Bancroft, and Charlanne Burke of The Rockefeller Foundation for their insightful input. We are grateful to Ann Marie Kimball and a group of global experts in public health, health systems, and preparedness for comments on early drafts of this framework. References 1 Kieny MP, Evans DB, Schmets G, Kadandale S. Health-system resilience: reflections on the Ebola crisis in western Africa. Bull World Health Organ 2014; 92: 850. 2 Masten AS. Ordinary magic: resilience processes in development. Am Psychol 2001; 56: 227. 3 Rodin J. The resilience dividend: being strong in a world where things go wrong. 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