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approach the future of cities by the singularity of technologies !,[object Object],What's the nextstepsfromnow ?,[object Object]
What's the Singularity ?,[object Object],Overview, definition, SingularitySchools, …,[object Object]
MathematicsSingularity,[object Object],In mathematics, a singularity is in general a point at which a given mathematical object is not defined, or a point of an exceptional set where it fails to be well-behaved in some particular way, such as differentiability,[object Object],When x=0 this function fails to compute. As x approaches zero from either direction, it aproaches either negative or positive infinity,[object Object]
Singularity Concept,[object Object],The Singularity is a common matter of discussion in transhumanist circles. ,[object Object],There is no clear definition, but usually the Singularity is meant as a future time when societal, scientific and economic change is so fast that we cannot even imagine what will happen from our present perspective, ,[object Object],… and when humanity will become posthumanity.,[object Object]
TechnologicalSingularity,[object Object],Technological singularity is a term used with varying meanings related to self-improving artificial intelligence, superintelligence, breakdowns in the predictability of the future, accelerating change of the exponential or superexponential sort, and more generic "big events" in history.,[object Object]
Three Major SingularitySchools,[object Object],Accelerating Change, Event Horizon, Intelligence Explosion,[object Object]
Event Horizon by VenorVinge,[object Object],Lemma !,[object Object],For the last hundred thousand years, humans have been the smartest intelligences on the planet,[object Object],All our social and technological progress was produced by human brains,[object Object],Shortly, technology will advance to the point of improving on human intelligence (brain-computer interfaces, Artificial Intelligence),[object Object],This will create a future that is not to far than most science fiction, a difference-in-kind that goes beyond amazing shiny gadgets,[object Object],But what're the facts  ?,[object Object],To know what a superhuman intelligence would do, you would have to be at least that smart yourself,[object Object],To know where Deep Blue would play in a chess game, you must play at Deep Blue’s level,[object Object],The future after the creation of smarter-than-human intelligence is absolutely unpredictable,[object Object]
Intelligence Explosion by E. Yudkowsky,[object Object],Lemma !,[object Object],Intelligence has always been the source of technology,[object Object],If technology can significantly improve on human intelligence - create minds smarter than the smartest existing humans - then this closes the loop and creates a positive feedback cycle,[object Object],What would humans with brain-computer interfaces do with their augmented intelligence ?,[object Object],One good bet is that they’d design the next generation of brain-computer interfaces,[object Object],Intelligence enhancement is a classic tipping point; the smarter you get, the more intelligence you can apply to making yourself even smarter,[object Object],But what're the facts  ?,[object Object],This positive feedback cycle goes evolve, like a chain of nuclear fissions gone critical - each intelligence improvement triggering an average of >1.000 further improvements of similar magnitude - though not necessarily on a smooth exponential pathway,[object Object],Technological progress drops into the characteristic timescale of transistors (or super-transistors) rather than human neurons,[object Object]
Accelerating Change by Ray Kurzweil,[object Object],Lemma !,[object Object],Our intuitions about change are linear,[object Object],we expect roughly as much change as has occurred in the past over our own lifetimes,[object Object],But technological change feeds on itself, and therefore accelerates,[object Object],Change today is faster than it was 500 years ago, which in turn is faster than it was 5000 years ago,[object Object],Our recent past is not a reliable guide to how much change we should expect in the future,[object Object],But what're the facts  ?,[object Object],Technological change follows smooth curves, typically exponential,[object Object],Therefore we can predict with fair precision when new technologies will arrive, and when they will cross key thresholds, like the creation of Artificial Intelligence,[object Object]
© KurzweilAI.NET,[object Object]
© KurzweilAI.NET,[object Object]
12,[object Object],Information Technologies (of all kinds) double their power every year(price performance, capacity, bandwidth) ,[object Object],12,[object Object]
13,[object Object],A Personal Experience,[object Object],Measure                                    MIT’s IBM 7094       Notebook Circa 2003,[object Object],2003,[object Object],1,000,[object Object],256,000,[object Object],$2,000,[object Object],1967,[object Object],0.25,[object Object],144,[object Object],$11,000,000,[object Object],Year,[object Object],Processor Speed (MIPS),[object Object],Main Memory (K Bytes),[object Object],Approximate Cost (2003 $),[object Object],24 Doublings of Price-Performance in 36 years, doubling time: 18 months not including vastly greater RAM memory, disk storage, instruction set, etc.,[object Object],And today a notebook priceis 250$ for the samecapacities !,[object Object],13,[object Object],© KurzweilAI.NET,[object Object]
14,[object Object],Moore’s Law is one example of many…,[object Object],Moore's Law describes a long-term trend in the history of computing hardware, in which the number of transistors that can be placed inexpensively on an integrated circuit has doubled approximately every two years,[object Object],14,[object Object]
15,[object Object],15,[object Object],© KurzweilAI.NET,[object Object]
What'sreally important with the singularity concept ?,[object Object],For you, your city and yourcitizens ?,[object Object]
Usages !!!,[object Object],Someways of challenges :,[object Object],[object Object]
Education, hobbies and culture
Transportation in cities
Food
Health Care
…,[object Object]
Categories Challenges samples,[object Object],Domestic life,[object Object],Education, hobbies and culture,[object Object],Transportation in cities,[object Object],Healthcare,[object Object]
Domestic life : Intelligent home,[object Object],Which kind of home ?,[object Object],A home with ambient intelligence ..,[object Object],which recognize me, which help me, ..,[object Object],open to the world,[object Object],Home Automation : light, music, temperature, …,[object Object],Redistribution of private renewable energy,[object Object],As like Sarah in Eureka : http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y0Fsq2OOZ7g,[object Object]
Domestic life : one robot in each house ?,[object Object],The advent of robotics in home .. In South of Corea (ex),[object Object],Robots for Security arrive by 2010,[object Object],Robots Surgeons for 2018,[object Object],Each home will have its robot between 2015 and 2020,[object Object],Ethics Editorial define relationship between humans and robots,[object Object]
Domesticlife in the future ?,[object Object],Many questions about the future of our home :,[object Object],A home with ambient intelligence ..  What'llbe the impacts ?,[object Object],Home Automation : light, music, temperature, …  ,[object Object],Redistribution of private renewable energy,[object Object],The advent of robotics in home .. ,[object Object],A home place or a working place ?,[object Object],…,[object Object],Which kind of roles and actions for governments ?,[object Object],Financial support for the deployment of networks for ahomogeneous territorial coverage,[object Object],Supports research and development on and robotics technology for domestic use,[object Object],Incentives for innovation for home automation meets environmental criteria (energy, water, recyclability ...) and affordable price,[object Object]
Education, hobbies and Culture ?,[object Object],Pedagogic Univers,[object Object],Evolution of NetBook, TouchBook,[object Object],Numeric Books,[object Object],Multitouch, virtualization,[object Object],Pedagogic Robot (Virtual or Real),[object Object],Virtual Agents,[object Object],Semantic Web (Web 3.0),[object Object],Ubiquitus usages,[object Object]
Education, hobbies and culture in the future ?,[object Object],Many questions about the future of Education, hobbies and culture :,[object Object],Which kind of investments and when to do ?,[object Object],How to safeguard our children the excesses of the computer? ,[object Object],What cohabitation between robots and human in education, hobbies, culture?,[object Object],What to expect from a Virtual Agent? ... What is a Virtual Agent?,[object Object],…,[object Object],Which kind of roles and actions for governments ?,[object Object],Integration of robotics (robots) in schools ,[object Object],Improve teaching with the Web 3.0 (semantic) ,[object Object],Better coverage of the internet bandwidthin the cities,[object Object],Develop feedback and uses innovative digital arts ,[object Object],Create a public offer,[object Object],…,[object Object]
Transports in cities,[object Object],A new way to move ?,[object Object],Urban density and the fight against climate change will foster innovation,[object Object],Teleworking and teleconferencing,[object Object],For private transport, the vehicle will use more and more divorced from his possession,[object Object],Real-Time Ridesharing,[object Object],Electric or hybrid Car ?  Consume what you use !,[object Object],Car or Computer ?,[object Object],RoboCar ?,[object Object],Darpa,[object Object]
Approach the future of cities by the singularity of technologies !
Transports in cities in the future ?,[object Object],Many questions about the future of the transports :,[object Object],What uses and what costs? ,[object Object],How to raise awareness or educate people? ,[object Object],How to move quickly to electric transport and leave the transport fossil fuels? ,[object Object],What security or what dangers with robocars?,[object Object],…,[object Object],Which kind of roles and actions for governments ?,[object Object],For long distance: fostering integrated planning of a European transport system balanced and homogeneous,[object Object],Creating the conditions for a technological breakthrough in the automotive sector by supporting research ,[object Object],For the intra-urban: urban mobility shift in investing in environmentally friendly transport,[object Object],…,[object Object]
HealthCare,[object Object],A new way for the HealthCare ?,[object Object],Your home medical with the domotic devices,[object Object],Remote Diagnosis with our doctors,[object Object],not treat diseases but to prevent disease,[object Object],redistribute the locations of patients,[object Object],fewer patients to hospital,[object Object],gene expression offers new therapeutic perspectives,[object Object],Connect technology and neurons,[object Object],…,[object Object],Microsoft Future Vision : Healthcare,[object Object]
HealthCare in the future ?,[object Object],Many questions about the future of the HealtCare :,[object Object],What'llbe the impact of the nanotechnologies in the healthcare,[object Object],Can I trust : robot for myhealth ?,[object Object],how to evolve my relationship with my doctor ?,[object Object],Whatwillbe the cost of this future evolution for hospitals ?,[object Object],…,[object Object],Which kind of roles and actions for governments ?,[object Object],Strategy anticipation, prevention and assistance by technologies,[object Object],Detection and treatment of disease stage molecular Early,[object Object],Protection of Human Rights ,[object Object],Coaching Ethics, Communication and Transparency ,[object Object],Financing and analysis of multi-year cost-benefit,[object Object]

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Approach the future of cities by the singularity of technologies !

Editor's Notes

  1. Note : splitter le slide en différentes parties … singularité mathématique, personne et technologie …http://www.aleph.se/Trans/Global/Singularity/http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Technological_singularityhttp://mathworld.wolfram.com/Singularity.htmlhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Singularity_(maths)http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Singularity_theoryhttp://www.google.com/search?hl=en&defl=en&q=define:singularity&ei=E5rlSvmSAtWE_Aal7rm0Cg&sa=X&oi=glossary_definition&ct=title&ved=0CAoQkAE
  2. Note : splitter le slide en différentes parties … singularité mathématique, personne et technologie …http://www.aleph.se/Trans/Global/Singularity/http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Technological_singularityhttp://mathworld.wolfram.com/Singularity.htmlhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Singularity_(maths)http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Singularity_theoryhttp://www.google.com/search?hl=en&defl=en&q=define:singularity&ei=E5rlSvmSAtWE_Aal7rm0Cg&sa=X&oi=glossary_definition&ct=title&ved=0CAoQkAE
  3. Note : splitter le slide en différentes parties … singularité mathématique, personne et technologie …http://www.aleph.se/Trans/Global/Singularity/http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Technological_singularityhttp://mathworld.wolfram.com/Singularity.htmlhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Singularity_(maths)http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Singularity_theoryhttp://www.google.com/search?hl=en&defl=en&q=define:singularity&ei=E5rlSvmSAtWE_Aal7rm0Cg&sa=X&oi=glossary_definition&ct=title&ved=0CAoQkAE
  4. http://www.singinst.org/blog/2007/09/30/three-major-singularity-schools
  5. Renommer ce slide !
  6. Virtual mayor
  7. Actions nécessaires des pouvoirs publics􀂄 Soutien financier au déploiement des réseaux en vue d’unecouverture territoriale homogène􀂄 « L’évaluation normative permanente » accompagnant lesnormes éthiques et le déploiement des technologies􀂄 Des soutiens à la recherche et développement en matière derobotique et de technologies à usage domestique􀂄 Des incitations à l’innovation pour une domotique répondant àdes critères environnementaux (économies d’énergie, d’eau,recyclabilité…) et abordable en prix
  8. Actions nécessaires des pouvoirs publics􀂄 Un robot par école􀂄 Enrichissement des modèles pédagogiques par le Web 3.0􀂄 Ubiquité des accès aux méthodes éducatives􀂄 100 % de couverture large bande dans les centres pédagogiques􀂄 Développement des méthodes du Web sémantique dans les outilsPédagogiquesActions nécessaires des pouvoirs publics􀂄 Favoriser les nouveaux acteurs de croissance etdynamiser l’utilisation du numérique par les grandsétablissements publics􀂄 Développer les retours d’usages innovants et les artsnumériques􀂄 Renforcer la capacité créatrice autour du patrimoineimmatériel, dont la langue􀂄 Constituer l’offre publique
  9. L’action des pouvoirs publics : un facteur de rupturePour l’interurbain : favoriser la planification intégrée d’un système de transports européen équilibré et homogèneCréer les conditions d’une rupture technologique dans le secteur automobile par un soutien à la recherchePour l’intra-urbain : réorienter la mobilité urbaine en investissant dans les transports collectifs écologiques
  10. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V35Kv6-ZNGA
  11. Actions nécessaires des pouvoirs publics􀂄 Stratégie d’anticipation, de prévention et d’assistance parles TIC􀂄 Détection et traitement des maladies au stade moléculaireprécoce (tumeurscancéreuses)􀂄 Protection des droits de la personne􀂄 Encadrement éthique ; communication et transparence􀂄 Financement et analyse pluriannuels des coûts/bénéfices
  12. L’intensification de la globalisationLa raréfaction des ressources énergétiques et alimentaires et la dépendance énergétiqueLe changement climatiqueLa limitation des finances publiquesL’accroissement des services dans le PIB françaisLe vieillissement de la populationLe glissement de certaines activités du secteur non marchand vers le secteur marchandL’essor de la concentration urbaineL’émergence de nouvelles formes de risques et de menaces (cyberterrorisme…)
  13. L’intérêt porté à la santé, au corps, à la beauté, au bien-être et à la formeL’accroissement des aspirations en matière de qualité de vie et de sécuritéDes préoccupations écologiques et éthiquesL’autonomie individuelle et le besoin de personnalisationLe besoin de commodité, facilité et souplesseLa montée des réseaux sociaux et de l’intelligence collectiveLa poursuite de la diffusion d’Internet et l’immédiateté de l’accès aux informationsLa modification du rapport travail/vie privée