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A promising opportunity led by
value-first users
Indian
eGrocery
January 2021
Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users
Page - 2
Indian
eGrocery
About Us
A promising opportunity led by
value-first users
RedSeer is a leader in the Internet and new age advisory.
Over the last 11 years of its operations we have advised
200+ clients across the breadth of Internet and investment
industry in India, Middle East and South East Asia. Our
advisory is differentiated through our high-quality IP of
market insights and research, which is unparalleled in
industry and helps both corporate and funds make right
choices. With more then 200 consultants across 5 offices,
we have emerged as the largest home-grown regional
consulting firm in India.
Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users
Page - 3
Disclaimer
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Limited (“RedSeer”). All rights reserved.
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information contained in this report has been obtained
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Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users
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Preface
Last few years, all of us have seen how technology has
changed millions of lives in this country. Today for a lot of
us, it is all about clicking a button on our smartphone apps,
and enjoying on-door delivery of various products and
services. The use case which initially started from e-Tailing
of books (or booking tickets on IRCTC even earlier),
has now diversified into almost all utility products and
services, with the Indian internet consumer emerging out
as a clear winner. And the suppliers / providers are finding
it merrier too, through direct reach to the end consumers
through internet.
The ~$600 Bn grocery industry in India is undergoing
a similar disruption enabled by eGrocery platforms,
that have done a tremendous job in transforming how
people shop for their groceries. While these platforms
have solved for a number of consumer needs ranging
from improved access to higher convenience, the largest
challenge still faced by an average Indian is around
affordability and eGrocery platforms have the potential to
effectively resolve this aspect.
This provides a highly attractive opportunity for the
eGrocery sector, which we term as the ‘value-first
opportunity’, referring to the segment of households
for whom buying affordable groceries is of the utmost
important and everything else is secondary. The
value-first prospect is appealing because of not just its
large size, but also the associated unit economics that
are very favourable. Moreover, it requires to be served
in a focused fashion, because of the specific needs that
value-first households have. eGrocery platforms that
will be able to win this exciting segment, are likely to be
sustainable in the long run.
Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users
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Table of Content
Indian
eGrocery
A promising
opportunity led by
value-first users
Indian Grocery -
$850 Bn+ market
(2025) up for digital
disruption
eGrocery
addressable
market – a huge
opportunity led
by value-first
households
The key to serve
the value-first
opportunity
through eGrocery
1
2
3
6
22
33
Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users
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1
IndianGrocery-
$850Bn+market
(2025)upfordigital
disruption
Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users
Page - 7
GroceryinIndia-
AnenormousKirana-led
opportunity!
—
basics like non-meat fresh
and staples cover almost
80% of the grocery spend
in India
This is considerably higher than the developed countries
like the US, the UK and China, where grocery spend as a %
of retail, is in the 30-40% range. The nascency of the market
gets further established by looking at the kind of grocery
categories purchased in India vs the developed economies –
basics like non-meat fresh and staples cover almost 80% of
the grocery spend in India, compared to 30-45% coverage in
the US, the UK and China.
Indian consumers are heavily focused on meeting their basic
needs of ‘roti-kapda-makan’ – a Hindi slang meaning, food,
clothing and shelter, of which food is the most essential
component.
This is evident from groceries accounting for a significant
66% of the total retail spend in India, which translated into a
huge $600 Bn+ market in 2019.
Grocery centric retail in India
Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users
Page - 8
As a result of COVID, the grocery market saw ~5% dip in
2020, led by reduction in overall consumption and supply
chain disruptions during the lockdown period. Being an
essential category, grocery was the least affected retail
category due to COVID lockdown.
It is now projected to grow at a healthy 8% CAGR and
become a humungous ~$850 Bn+ opportunity by 2025.
Consumer’s willingness and ability to pay premium for
superior quality products, rise of easy-to-cook foods and
at-home delivery, demand for healthy & nutritional F&B
and consumption of newer food items adopted via global
experiences, are some of the primary drivers of the sector’s
growth in the years to come.
India Grocery Market Size & Growth
USD Bn
Increasing willingness &
ability to pay premium for
superior quality products
Growing market for
easy-to-cook foods
and at-home delivery,
driven by increasing
requirement of convenient
& hassle-free experience
Demand for healthy
and nutritional food &
beverages, led by stronger
focus on healthy lifestyles
& fitness
Rising consumption of
newer items through
global experiences
(e.g. meat, cereals with
breakfast, beverages
with meal etc.)
Growth Drivers
442 603 573 852
2016 2019 2020F 2025F
8%
5%
11%
The grocery market saw led by
the reduction in overall
spending due to COVID
Grocery Spend
Per Capita (USD) 334 446 419 600
As % of GDP 19.1% 19.9% 21.0% 23.0%
As % of retail 67.4% 66.5% 73.4% 65.3%
66.5%
oftheretailspendin
Indiaisfocusedon
groceries.
Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users
Page - 9
Kiranas (unorganized local grocery stores) are the lifeline of
groceries in India, accounting for more than 95% of the total
grocery spend. They ride on their solid ability to provide a
convenient and localized service to consumers (with support
from suppliers and regulators), primarily in Tier 2+ cities that
account for almost 80% of the grocery spend in India. Of 11
Mn total Kiranas in India, 8 Mn+ are present in Tier 2+ cities.
Organized B&M drove the first wave of disruption in the
traditional grocery space, with most presence in metro and
tier 1 cities. However, it has had very limited penetration in
the India grocery market because of multiple operational
such as high operating costs, lack of skilled manpower and
regional / local limitations. As a result, organized B&M
accounted for only 5% of the grocery spend in 2019.
A market led by Kiranas, with limited play for
organized B&M
95%
of grocerymarketin
Indiaisledbylocal
kiranastores
India grocery spend – by retail channel
USD Bn
Unorganized play– global benchmarking
CAGR
(2016-19)
603
442
Unorganized
(Kirana-led)
Organized B&M
Online
96.5%
94.9%
~55%
~25%
~10%
2019
2016
3.4%
0.1%
4.8%
0.3%
Country 2019 Unorganized
Share %
95%
43%
6%
8%
The unorganized (Kirana-led) grocery play in India is significantly higher
than developed markets. While China sits at 43%, the US and the UK
have only 6% and 8% unorganized grocery market.
Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users
Page - 10
12-15%
marginleakageatlocalKirana
level,leadingtohigherprice
fortheendconsumer
Unorganizedmarketsuffering
fromaffordabilityissues
Due to the heavily unorganized space, the grocery supply chain in India is very fragmented, wherein different supply chain
models exist for different types of cities. This becomes further complicated as you move from urban to rural markets,
because of presence of multiple unorganized intermediaries.
As a result of this, significant margin leakage happens at the
level of each intermediary, before grocery products reach
the end consumer. Specifically for local Kiranas that account
for 95% of the market, the margin leakage is as high as
12-15%. This leads to higher costs of products for the Indian
consumers, making affordability a considerable challenge in
the Indian market.
The fragmented grocery supply chain
Grocery supply chain
C&FA
(2-3%)
(2-5%)
Grocery
Consumers
Route 1
Route 2
Route 3
Route 4
Route 5
Route 6
Naonal Modern
Trade Chains
Regional  certain
Naonal MT outlets
GT retailers, typically
er 1+ cies
GT retailers,
typically er 1+
cies
Manufactur-
ing Unit
(In-house or
3rd
Party
owned)
MT
Distribuon
Centre
(2-5%) (2-3%)
MT
Distribuon
Centre
Typically er 2+
cies
Typically er 2+
cies
Super-Stockist
Super-Stockist
Super-Stockist
(7-10%)
Distributor
(7-10%)
Distributor
(7-10%)
Distributor
(2-5%)
(12-15%)
Wholesaler
GT
Retailers
(Kiranas)
(7-10%)
Distributor
(22-25%)
MT
Retailers
Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users
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Conversion Rate – US $1= INR 73.44, UK £1 = INR 99.66
FMCG Cost Benchmarks: India vs Developed Markets
Illustrative SKU prices
Dec ’20
The affordability challenge in India gets established by
running a quick comparison of costs of global FMCG
products, between India and other developed countries.
The results attest the fact that consumers in India pay much
higher for grocery products, than those in the US or the UK,
because of the unorganized and fragmented grocery market.
The problem gets further pronounced in India, because of
the relatively low purchasing power – another reason why
the grocery spend is more focused on the basic categories
like staples and non-meat fresh.
INR 465
INR 466
INR 433
INR 420
INR 518
INR 302
INR 507
US UK India
INR 294
INR 130
INR 525
INR 299
INR 125
INR 514
INR 128
INR 498
Airwick
Freshmac
Automac Air
Freshener
Complete Kit
Hershey's
Spreads Cocoa
623 ml
Bey Crocker
Cake Mix,
Choco Fudge
Rich Chocolate
500gm
Monster
Energy Drink
gy Drink
gy
500ml
Horlicks
Mother's Plus
Vanilla R
Vanilla R
V efill,
500 g
Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users
Page - 12
(x1-x2%) represents the range of margins for the
respective intermediary
Note(s): 1. Variable depending on the platform / business model
eGrocery–ignitingdigital
disruptioninthegroceryspace
Resolving consumer pain points through a simpler
supply chain
Online grocery supply chain
Digital grocery platforms are now disrupting the grocery space in India. Operating on a simplified supply chain and a
tech-enabled retail layer, eGrocery platforms have been able to positively transform the consumer’s grocery shopping
experience. At the same time, they’ve played an instrumental role in expanding the supplier / brand reach across consumers.
Consumer
CFA
Advantages:

Higher ability to provide better prices
to end consumers

Better availability  fill rates

Stronger quality control

Benefits for manufacturers (wider
consumer reach, better margins etc.)
Most metros and er
1+ cies
Manufacturing
Unit ( In-house or
3rd Party owned)
eGrocery
Warehouse/Delivery
Centre
Route 2 : eB2C:
2-3%
6-22%(1)
eGrocery
Warehouse/Delivery
Centre
6-22%(1)
eGrocery
Warehouse/Delivery
Centre
6-22%(1)
Super- Stockist
2-5%
Most metros and
er 1+ cies
Route 3: eB2C:
Tier2+ cies
Route 3: eB2C:
Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users
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High prices / Limited
discounts
Variety of platform discounts,
coupons  cashback offers
Limited assortment
Wide variety of products /
SKUs onboarded on eGrocery
platforms
Poor product quality
Strong quality control, along
with tie ups with trusted FMCG
brands  Pvt. Labels
Inconvenience
Online purchase with at-home
delivery enabled by different
models as per need
Unavailability of desired
products
Better fill rates through simpler
supply chain  logistics
Poor after-purchase
service (complaints, returns
/ exchange etc.)
Standard customer support
complaint resolution  return /
exchange processes
Pain-points resolved by eGrocery platforms
eGrocery platforms are resolving almost all the pain points
that Indian consumers faced with offline channels, including
both – local Kiranas and organized BM. For example,
they are appropriately addressing the affordability issue by
reducing the margin leakage in the grocery supply chain and
passing it on to the consumers. This empowers the eGrocery
platforms to sell products at a lower cost. In addition, they
are solving for the inconvenience and low fill rates associated
with offline shopping, by providing doorstep deliveries and
creating their own wide range of products, brands and SKUs
respectively.
Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users
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Verticals
Online grocery specialists
Super-verticals
Online grocery verticals focused
on a particular category like meat
Horizontals
General online retailers providing
eGrocery services
Hyperlocals
Hyperlocal delivery platforms
providing eGrocery services
Micro-delivery
verticals
Online grocery verticals focused
on early morning delivery
Indian eGrocery Business Models
Multiple platforms are disrupting this emerging space with
innovative business models. While on one hand there are
eGrocery verticals that specialize in the online grocery space
and have created solid service standards in the industry,
on the other hand there are large e-tailing horizontals, who
have launched grocery as one of the categories on their
e-commerce platforms. Similarly, there are online platforms
specializing in early morning grocery delivery, fresh meat
delivery and hyperlocal (connecting consumers to local
grocery stores) delivery.
Disruption by innovative eGrocery models
Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users
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eGroceryonapromisinggrowth
trajectory,withasignificant
headroom
Experiencing healthy growth in the last few years
eGrocery platforms’ strong ability to solve for the critical consumer need gaps through innovative business models, has
enabled the sector to grow at a solid 60% CAGR over the last 3 years and reach $1.9 Bn GMV in 2019.
India eGrocery Market GMV
USD Bn
0.5
0.7
1.2
1.9
2016 2017 2018 2019
~60%
CAGR
In these 3 years, each business model played a unique
role in taking the space forward. For example, while
on one hand, verticals (online grocery specialists)
dominated the space for the most part and expanded
their reach beyond 25-30 cities, on the other hand,
horizontals realized the importance of specialization in
the grocery space and launched their grocery-focused
e-marketplaces. Moreover, fresh meat delivery,
early morning delivery and hyperlocals, also rose to
the occasion to meet the evolved metro consumer
demands.
Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users
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10:12
DELIVERY
BUY NOW
Key market disruptions (2016 – 2019):
Verticals (Grofers, BigBasket) dominated the market and
expanded beyond metros to reach 25-30 cities
E-tailing horizontals (Amazon , Flipkart) entered the space
and launched their specialized grocery marketplaces (AZ
Pantry, FK Supermart)
Online meat ordering emerged as a separate super-vertical
with brands like Licious and Fresh2Home entering the space
with high quality meat offerings
Demand for micro-deliveries (early morning daily essentials)
shot up in metro apartments, with MilkBasket, Supr Daily
and BB Daily seeing increased subscriptions in metros
Hyperlocal marketplace models such as Dunzo and Swiggy
Stores re-emerged and found decent adoption in the market
in metros
Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users
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Large headroom to penetrate further
On benchmarking the eGrocery penetration with the developed countries, it get established that the eGrocery
market in India is at a nascent stage and has an attractive path ahead. Compared to the negligible 0.3%
penetration in India, the US, the UK and China sit at healthy 8%, 4% and 6% penetration respectively.
Despite the healthy growth, eGrocery penetration in the
grocery market in India was very limited in 2019.
India Grocery – Split by Different Channels (2019)
USD Bn
Offline-only
(non-digital Kiranas)
eGrocery Organised BM Total Grocery Market
Penetration of overall
grocery spend
572 603
1.9
29
x%
100%
4.8%
0.3%
94.9%
Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users
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It is well known that the pandemic has shaken the economies
and the human race across the world, including India.
However, it acted as a boon for the e-commerce sector,
led by the e-commerce platforms’ ability to safely provide
the products / services at-home. As a result, eGrocery, an
essential-focused e-commerce, benefited considerably from
the pandemic in India.
During the challenging COVID lockdown period
(April-June’20), Indian consumers organically resorted
to ordering groceries online, led by the safe  hygienic
purchase experience provided by eGrocery platforms
during the difficult times. To effectively support the surge in
demand, multiple new players entered the eGrocery space
during the lockdown (e.g. JioMart launched eGrocery in
May’20) and a few others expanded their services to more
number of cities, including T2+ geographies (e.g. Amazon
Pantry expended to 300+ cities in June). Driven by the same,
the market reached 1.6x of the Jan’20 GMV in June. Post
the lockdown, the Grocery sector was able to sustain the
surge for the remaining year and exited 2020 at almost 2x of
Jan’20 GMV.
eGrocery market trend – 2020
GMV, Jan’20 indexed at 100 points
eGrocery
market
GMV
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jul Sep Nov Dec
Oct
Aug
Jun
100
82
163
209
252
199
$ 0.17 Bn
$ 0.37 Bn
Pre-COVID
(As expected)
COVID Lockdown
(Solid adoption led by provision of
safe  hygienic experience)
Post Lockdown
(Retaining the surge)
Year-end
(Festive sale effects)
The sector sustained the COVID
surge in the year-end and had an
oscillatory performance, because
of variations in horizontal business
due to festive sale
Growth maintained post lockdown,
with most leading platforms seeing
significant growth in business
Consistent growth from Apr to Jun, led
by organic adoption by consumers
during COVID. This was supported
from the supply side by the entry of
multiple new players in the market
(incl.JioMart) and expansion of
coverage to T2+ cities.
Dropped to 80% of Jan GMV
in Apr, because of supply
chain disruptions
Expected drop in Feb
because of shorter month 
stock-ups in Jan sales
COVID-19: The blessing in disguise for eGrocery
Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users
Page - 19
To summarize, the eGrocery sector was performing fairly
well in the pre-COVID era. eGrocery platforms were able
to significantly transform the consumer’s grocery shopping
experience, evident from the high online vs offline NPS.
Moreover, with rising internet penetration and more
consumers transacting online, willingness  awareness
towards online shopping (including grocery) was becoming
positive. This was well supported by the readiness of brands
to partner with eGrocery platforms and the confidence
of leading investors on the eGrocery sectors (~$600 Mn
funding for the sector in 2019).
eGrocery Market – Growth Factors Pre-COVID Growth Factors
High user
satisfaction:
33% NPS of the online grocery
channel vs 26% NPS of the offline
grocery channel
Increasing base of
online transacting
users:
500 Mn+ users expected to
transact online by 2025
Consistent influx of
investments:
~600 Mn sector funding in 2019
i.e. 2x of that in 2015
Brand readiness
to partner with
eGrocery apps:
Ability to widen user reach and
SKU performance tracking
Rising Demand for
Convenience
Increasing urbanisation 
disposable income leading to
need for hassle-free experience.
On an accelerated growth path post COVID
Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users
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eGrocery Market – Growth Factors Post COVID Growth Factors
Expansion to Tier
2+ geographies:
Entry of Tier 2+ focused models
and expansion of existing models
in T2+ geos
Rise of online
hyperlocals:
Increased adoption of hyperlocal
models, owing to its value of
providing faster access
These factors have become more pronounced post COVID,
with a considerable positive shift in the consumer’s mindset
towards online shopping because of safety concerns,
specially in the case of grocery. This is because of a potential
long-term shift towards buying better quality / hygienic
products, wherein eGrocery platforms are trusted more
than the local stores. It has also led to the increase in
basket size and frequency of ordering on eGrocery apps
(in addition to the rise in new user base). Moreover, with
brand tie ups growing stronger, eGrocery expansion in
Tier 2+ geographies and rise of fast delivery hyperlocal
models, eGrocery sector has received a solid boost from the
pandemic and is likely to propel the sector to grow at a swift
pace in the coming years.
Demand for
packaged items:
eGrocery apps are better placed
in terms of hygiene  packaging
vs local shops
Brand tie ups
growing stronger:
Brands are keen to reach the
customer directly through
eGrocery platforms
Shift in consumer
mindset:
Towards home groceries due to
safety concerns (70% higher GMV
in June vs Jan)
Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users
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Driven by the multiplication effect of COVID on the pro-sector factors, the eGrocery market is projected to grow
at a solid 53% CAGR in the next 6 years, which is considerably faster than the offline grocery channels (both
Kirana and organized BM). This will enable the eGrocery market to reach ~$24 Bn GMV in 2025 and penetrate
almost 3% of the ~$850 Bn+ grocery space in India.
India Grocery – Split by Different Channels (2025F)
USD Bn
766
852
24
62
CAGR over 2019
100%
7%
14%
53%
5%
3%
90%
6%
X%
X%
Offline-only
(non-digital Kiranas)
eGrocery Organised BM Total Grocery Market
Penetration of overall
grocery spend
eGrocery is projected to penetrate 3% of the total grocery
opportunity in 2025, at a market size of ~$24 Bn
Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users
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2
eGrocery
addressablemarket
–ahugeopportunity
ledbyvalue-first
households
Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users
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9%
670
209
410
164
300
154
175
110
580
193
350
146
232
130
135
90
Users Households
CAGR (20-25)
4%
15%
9%
12%
8%
16%
8%
29%
18%
17%
12%
CAGR (19-20)
Internet Usage Funnel
Number of Users, Mn
Rapid growth in 2020, led
by internet adoption during COVID
35%
22%
19%
14%
420
233
603
240
720
255
1020
2025
2020
2019
210
Access to Internet
Total population with
access to internet
Active Internet Users
Uses social media, google,
but may not transact online
Online Shoppers
Atleast one transaction on
online retail platforms in a
year
Online Service Transactors
Transacts for services e.g.
banking/recharge, but may
not buy products
Anenormousaddressable
opportunity
The growing online transacting base
Almost 670 Mn people in India had internet access in 2020,
of which, more than 400 Mn people used internet platforms
actively (mostly social media and search engines). 75% of
the active internet users (i.e. 300 Mn users) are estimated
to have transacted online for services as well as products
last year, which translates into 154 Mn online transacting
households in India in 2020. Driven by the growing internet
penetration, this base of online transacting households is
likely to reach 233 Mn by 2025
154Mn
onlinetransacting
householdsinIndiain
2020.
Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users
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The large addressable expanse for eGrocery
Of the
154 Mn
online
transacting
HHs in 2020
23 Mn
are projected to have used
eGrocery platforms at least
once
35 Mn
were aware of eGrocery, but
were unwilling to try eGrocery
due to strong habits of
purchasing groceries offline
41 Mn
were aware of eGrocery
and willing to try eGrocery
9 Mn
were unaware of eGrocery, but
were willing to try eGrocery
when informed about the
benefits of eGrocery platforms
22 Mn
were aware of eGrocery, but
were unwilling to try eGrocery
due to negative perception
24 Mn
were unaware of eGrocery
and were unwilling to try
eGrocery.
A D
B E
C F
Basis the above analysis, 130 Mn online transacting HHs
used eGrocery platforms or were aware of eGrocery
platforms or were willing to try eGrocery platforms in
2020. This adds up to a significant 130 Mn eGrocery
addressable households.
130Mn
eGroceryaddressable
householdsinIndiain
2020.
Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users
Page - 25
eGrocery addressable Wallet (by city tier)
Addressable grocery wallet, USD Bn
Increasing penetration of online
grocery players in Tier 1 
Tier 2+ cities, will enable higher
awareness in deeper areas
Rising internet penetration and
comfort with cashless transactions
will boost the willingness to try
eGrocery services
Positive experience with other
consumer internet services will
steer the habitual shift towards
at-home access of usual products 
services
Marketing efforts and focused
messaging by online grocery
platforms will help in building a
positive perception of eGrocery
platforms
Growth Drivers
45%
39%
55%
61%
2020 2025F
Tier 2+
Metro/Tier 1
2x
growth
130
293
585
210
eGrocery
address-
able HHs:
Considering the annual grocery expenditure of the 130 Mn
eGrocery addressable households, eGrocery Currently
has a $293 Bn addressable wallet (as per 2020 estimates).
Led by the rising internet penetration  comfort with
digital transactions in Tier 2+ geographies and increasing
awareness / willingness towards eGrocery platforms
(enabled by marketing efforts and positive experiences),
eGrocery addressable base is projected to reach 210 Mn
households in 2025, which will correspond to $585 Bn
addressable wallet. More than 60% of this addressable
opportunity is likely to be Tier 2+ focused.
Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users
Page - 26
eGrocery Addressable HHs by Primary Need Gaps (2020)
Mn, % of addressable HHs
35%
21%
8%
19%
8%
7%
2%
Limited discounts High Pricing No returns
/exchange policy
Unavailability of
desired products
Crowded / long
waiting time
Limited options to
choose from
Poor product
quality
eGrocery Addressable
HHs
130
Convenience-first behavior was prominent among
the high-income HH groups (annual HH income
above USD 14k), whereas value-first behavior was
more prevalent across low-mid income groups
(annual HH income less than USD 14k)
Convenience-first Households
(Convenience-oriented need gaps)
Value-first Households
(Value-oriented need gaps)
36%
64%
Q. What are your key pain points with offline grocery purchase? Rate the severity of pain points on a scale of 1-5.
% Respondents (1st ranked pain point), N=2752
Thedominanceofvalue-first
householdsandtheirgrocery
purchasebehavior
Grocery purchase behavior: value-first and
convenience-first
Depending on the primary need gaps (as per the eGrocery
addressable households) associated with offline grocery
purchase, eGrocery addressable households can be
grouped into 2 parts: value-first and convenience-first.
While value-first households cite concerns related to high
pricing, limited discounts or returns / exchange policy
(which increases their unnecessary spend on groceries),
convenience-first households are more concerned about
availability of desired products at one place, crowded /
long waiting time, limited variety / assortment and product
quality.
Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users
Page - 27
eGrocery Addressable Wallet by HH Group (2020)
USD Bn, % of addressable wallet
In India, a much larger quantum of the eGrocery addressable opportunity is led by value-first households. Almost 65% of the
130 Mn eGrocery addressable households are value-first, which cover ~61% of the huge $293 Bn addressable wallet. The
rest of the market is led by convenience-first households.
39%
61%
293
100%
2253 2179 2380
Convenience-first
Households
Value-first
Households
Lower grocery spend per HH for VF
HHs than CF HHs as most VF HHs
belong to low-mid income groups
130 Mn out of 300 Mn HHs in India (~43%)
account for ~50% of the overall grocery spend
(i.e. ~$293 Bn out of ~$580 Bn) in 2020
X% Avg. annual grocery
wallet (USD)
—
Almost 65% of the 130 Mn
eGrocery addressable households
are value-first in India
Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users
Page - 28
eGrocery Household Segment Details
How is a value-first household different from a
convenience-first household?
The two types of households follow unique grocery
purchase behavior and priorities. On an average, a value-first
household has a lower income than the convenience-first
household, and hence can’t afford to prioritize the luxuries
of variety, exotic assortment and faster access. As a result,
a value-first household prioritizes buying the best-priced
products under discount options, cashback offers and sale
events, even if they’re getting a basic variety to choose from
or have a long wait time / inconvenient experience.
Avg. annual
household income
$7,000
1. Value-first Households
$16,000
2. Convenience-first Households
Key grocery
purchase priorities
1.	 Lowest prices
2.	 Discounts
3.	 Cashbacks / Offers
4.	 Sale events
1.	 Wide assortment /
Variety of options
2.	 Availability of
desired products in
one place
3.	 Emergency /
unplanned needs
(Top-ups)
5.	 Good returns /
exchange policy
6.	 Quality / hygiene
4.	 Low waiting time
5.	 Quality / hygiene
6.	 Exotic options
7.	 Customer support
service
Purchase
Behavior
“I buy groceries in bulk and at times defer
my grocery purchase, to get the best-priced
products.”
“Post one stock-up in a month or so, I prefer to
top-up my grocery basket as per the need and
hence purchase from places where I can get my
desired assortment, without much hassle.”
Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users
Page - 29
eGrocery Addressable Wallet by Different Segments (2020)
GMV, USD Bn
Owing to the income differential, the value-first households have stronger presence in the deeper Tier 2+ geographies.
42%
51%
58%
49%
Tier 2+
Metro/T1
52%
47%
35%
32%
7%
12%
2% 5%
1% 1%
3% 3%
Personal
care
Home Care
Beverages
Packaged
Food
Staples
Fresh
43%
27%
42%
57%
15% 16%
Daily
Top-up
Non-daily
Top-up
Stock-up
The addressable market is centered around fresh  staples
in India, given other categories have expensive products, and
hence become unaffordable for the consumers
Value-first Convenience-first
Value-first Convenience-first
Value-first
By Basket Type By Category
By City Tier
180 180 180
113 113 113
Convenience-first
Moreover, the stark difference in priorities of the two
types of households, reflects strongly in the purchase
behavior. The need for the best-priced products, pushes
the value-first households to plan their grocery purchase
and purchase groceries in bulk (as much as possible), unlike
convenience-first households, who have the luxury to
make more unplanned purchases. This is reflected in the
higher share of stock-ups for value-first households than
convenience-first households.
Secondly, the value-first households’ focus on basics is
evident from their grocery category split – while the Indian
market in general is fresh  staples centric, the behavior
is more pronounced in case of value-first households,
who generally find the high-end packaged FB products
a bit unaffordable. On the other hand, convenience-first
households, spend relatively high on the non-basics like
packaged FB.
Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users
Page - 30
eGrocery Household Segment – Key Value-first Profiles
Here’s a deeper look at the key value-first and convenience-first household profiles, that came across in our in-depth
discussions.
Note: 1. The above table Indicates core convenience-first personas, but is not exhaustive; 2. Represents age-group of HH member who makes the purchase decision
% Cohort
Age-group2
Annual HH Income
HH Size
Living setup
Cooking ownership
Pen portrait
50%
25-40
6-8 Lacs
3-5
Married couple with
young kids, with or
without parents
Self
“I am Sarita. I’m a housewife.
I stay in Indore with my
husband who works as a
salesman and two kids, who
study in school. My kids
love the food I cook, which
ensures that they eat fresh
 healthy stuff. Moreover, I
love cooking their favorite
dishes  trying out new
recipes. We buy grocery
from the modern store i.e.
10km away but has the best
offers on grocery. It is also
an enjoyable monthly family
outing. For unplanned needs
or weekly vegetables, we
rely on the nearest Kirana
shop.”
“I am Dinesh. I work in a
bank and stay with my wife
 parents at my home in
Gorakhpur, where I’ve been
staying since my birth. I’ve
a son, who’s currently doing
B.Com. from Jaipur. My
wife teaches in a primary
school and cooks food for
the family as we’re used to
having food at home and it
is affordable as well. We’ve
a monthly budget set aside
for grocery and select our
items accordingly. For the
last 10-15 years, we’ve been
buying grocery from the
nearby Kirana store, who
also delivers at home and
provides good discounts with
monthly credit system.
“I am Ankit. I recently passed
out from college and got my
first job in a tech company
in Hyderabad, wherein I stay
with a flat-mate. We’ve hired
a maid to cook food for us
as outside food is pricy and
doesn’t have the homely
taste. We stock-up grocery
once in 45 days when the
maid informs that we’ve run
out of most of the things.
We buy very basic items
(unless somebody’s parents
are visiting), from a 30-min
away convenience store as it
has really good offers on bulk
purchase.”
35%
35-50
4-8 Lacs
3-5
Married couple with
parents, with or
without grown up kids
Self
15%
21-30
3-6 Lacs
1-3 (bachelors)
Alone / flat-mates
Maid
Housewife-led family Traditional budget
conscious family
Young bachelors
Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users
Page - 31
eGrocery Household Segment – Key Convenience-first Profiles
% Cohort
Age-group2
Annual HH Income
HH Size
Living setup
Cooking ownership
Pen portrait
58%
30-40
12-14 Lacs
3-5
Married couple with
young kids, with or
without parents
Maid + Self
“I am Veena. I work in a bank
and stay with my husband
 kids in Jaipur. When we
didn’t have kids, we used
to generally eat outside,
but now with kids, we
cook-at-home (with help of
maid) to ensure kids have
good quality  healthy food.
We purchase groceries
from our society’s Kirana
shop as it delivers at home
and contains most of the
products we need. However,
for certain items that aren’t
of the right quality here, we
buy them from the nearest
modern grocery store”.
“I am Ajay. I stay in Ratlam
in a joint family with my
parents, uncle’s family and
my wife. We’ve a family
business. The ladies of the
house cook for everyone.
We relish home cooked food,
with every family member
having their favorites.
We have a special meal
occasion almost every week,
through business parties or
gatherings. We order grocery
3-4 times a month from the
nearby Kirana shop that
delivers at home. However,
for certain exotic / rare
products (that aren’t found
here), our servant travels to
the nearest mall to purchase
them.
“I am Sonali. I just got
married and stay with my
husband in Bangalore.
Both of us are working in
startups, where work-life is
hectic. We’ve hired a maid
who cooks for us. Through
at-home meals, my husband
 I get to spend some time
together. Moreover, outside
food is unhealthy  lacks
homely taste. We stock-up
grocery twice a month either
online or from the nearby
mall. We are particular obout
purchasing certain healthy
products every time (e.g.
multigrain flour, refined oil).
22%
35+
14 Lacs+
4-6
Married couple with
parents, with or
without grown up kids
Maid + Self
20%
25-35
9-12 Lacs
2
Married couple
without kids
Maid
Quality seekers Affluent foodies Young busy couple
Note: 1. The above table Indicates core convenience-first personas, but is not exhaustive; 2. Represents age-group of HH member who makes the purchase decision
Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users
Page - 32
Addressable HHs grocery purchase behavior analysis
Price sensitivity, Need for wider assortment, Need for timely access
Size of the bubble indicates need for faster access – more the size, higher the need
Summarizing the difference in the purchase behavior
 priorities of the two types of eGrocery addressable
households – while value-first households prefer to get the
best priced products, with a basic assortment and limited
unplanned / emergency needs, convenience-first households
prefer wider  exotic assortment, have lots of unplanned
/ emergency requirements and are less sensitive towards
pricing.
Young bachelors
Housewife-led
family
Traditional budget
conscious family
Young busy couple
Quality seekers
Affluent foodies
High
Need
for
wider
assortment
High
Low
Low
Price sensitivity
eGrocery use-case: provide wide
assortment of products with faster
delivery options
eGrocery use-case: provide value 
basic product offerings, focused on
planned deliveries
Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users
Page - 33
3
Thekeytoserve
thevalue-first
opportunitythrough
eGrocery
Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users
Page - 34
Q. In case of online grocery delivery platforms, what is your preferred delivery time?
% Respondents
“My grocery purchases are mostly planned
and hence 1-2 days of delivery time is good
enough. I’m not willing to pay higher for a
faster delivery.”
-Value-first consumer, Jaipur
“As long as I get the lower prices online for
household grocery items, I don’t mind the
product getting delivered in 2-3 days”
-Value-first consumer, Pune
“It is very rare that I order something that I
need in a matter of 2 hours or 6 hours. I’m
generally willing to wait from my order to be
delivered.”
-Value-first consumer, Ajmer
“We purchase very basic products online to
have a simple meal with the family. We do not
need to buy any exotic products that require
immediate deliveries.”
-Velue-first consumer, Mumbai
Consumers Speak
17%
19%
15%
30%
19%
Value-first HHs
Within 2 days
Scheduled delivery
zone
Within 12 to 24
hours
Within 6 to 12 hours
Within 2 to 6 hours
Within 2 hours
N=402
Most value-first
users who
preferred faster
deliveries, were
unwilling to pay
for them (as per
consumer IDIs)
~65% value-first respondents prefer online groceries
to be delivery between 6 hours to 2 days
Whatavalue-firsthousehold
expectseGroceryplatforms
Scheduled deliveries
As value-first households tend to plan their grocery purchase in advance, most of them are receptive towards getting the
groceries delivered under scheduled delivery duration. Almost 2/3rd of the value-first households surveyed were open to
getting the products delivered between 6 hours to 2 days.
~65%
value-firstrespondentsprefer
onlinegroceriestobedelivery
between6hoursto2days
Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users
Page - 35
Value-first households – Online purchase behavior by Category (Changes due to COVID)
As per Consumer Surveys
Full-basket Coverage
Pre-COVID, most value-first eGrocery users were reluctant
to order fresh groceries online – they ordered staples,
packaged FB and personal care/ home care products online
and purchased fruits / vegetables, dairy and meat from
offline stores.
However, during the COVID lockdown period, the value-first
households’ demand for ordering fruits / vegetables
online, significantly increased and is likely to sustain in the
post-COVID era. Moreover, despite being a preferred online
category for value-first households pre-COVID, staples
experienced a surge in online demand during COVID and is
likely to see further increase post COVID. Other categories
like packaged FB and fresh meat, are also expected to see a
decent increase in online share post COVID.
Hence, value-first households are now expecting online
platforms to provide complete coverage of their grocery
basket, including previously unpreferred fresh category.
eGrocery Category Pre-COVID
Online
Preference
COVID Period
Increase
Expected Shift
Post COVID
Takeaways
(% Respondents
preferring online channel
for purchase)
(% Respondents citing
increase in purchase
through online channel)
(% Change in online
share in overall grocery
spend – post vs
pre-COVID – cited by
respondents)
Packaged Foods +
RTC / RTE
69% 31% 13% Strong online
preference pre-
COVID and decent
increase expected
post COVID
Beverages
66% 28% 12%
Staples
62% 49% 20%
Strong preference
– both pre and post
COVID
FV
42% 52% 23%
Limited preference
pre-COVID, but
strong increase
expected post COVID
Meat  Fish
34% 25% 17%
Limited preference
pre-COVID and
decent increase
expected post COVID
Degree of online preference
Positive Negative
Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users
Page - 36
Value-first households – Key Purchase Themes (post COVID)
Affordable, but hygienic purchase
Affordability has always been the most important purchase
criteria for value-first households. However, post COVID,
hygiene and quality have become highly important. As per
the recent surveys, more than 40% value-first households
cited that they are willing to spend more for superior
hygiene  quality products, which includes products with
well packaging, trusted  well-known brands, fresh  clean
items and expiry monitoring. At the same time, there is an
increased reluctance towards unpackaged / loose products,
and local / unknown brands.
Trade-up for better hygiene  quality
40% Value-first users
willing to spend more
for superior hygiene 
quality products
1. Well packaged products
2. Trusted  well-known brands
3. Fresh  clean items
4. Expiry monitoring
1. Unpackaged / loose products
2. Local / unknown brands
Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users
Page - 37
eGrocery private labels can aptly serve this unique demand for affordable as well as hygienic / good quality products. Most
leading eGrocery platforms have developed a solid portfolio of private labels available at lower prices and manufactured /
packaged by trusted eGrocery brands.
Value-first households – Key Purchase Themes (post COVID)
Product Hygiene  Quality
(well packaged, fresh  clean products,
trusted brands)
Leading eGrocery Private Label Brands
(Selected Examples)
eGrocery
Private
Label
Products
Pricing / Affordability
(Low priced products,
non-premium brands)
Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users
Page - 38
Theuniteconomicsofserving
value-firsthouseholds
High stickiness
As the most important thing for the value-first households is affordability, they tend to stick to the platform or store that
provides them their desired benefits. D-Mart is a great example – its offerings (e.g. Everyday Low pricing, regional flavor,
limited product / brand range) are tailored according to the value-first requirements and hence it enjoys a solid consumer
retention.
Value-first households – Key Purchase Themes (post COVID)
“Loyalty of a D-Mart’s customer
is very high, since low prices
develop habitual buying patterns
and high trust among the
price-sensitive people. It has been
largely observed that a D-Mart’s
customer purchases bulk groceries
only from D-Mart and nowhere
else, which has been a key driver
of success for the leading retail
hypermarket.”
- Expert, India Retail
SolidCustomer
Retention for
D-Mart
Serving price-sensitive customers
Provides one-stop shop value retail to customers who
consciously compare prices to get the best deals (mostly
belonging to low-middle income group HHs)
Lowest prices offered
Most products have at least 6-7% extra discounts compared
to competitors in Every Day low prices (EDLP)
Regional Goods
Area-specific products catering to unique consumption
habits aimed at competing with Kiranas
High volume Sales
Low price leads to high footfall in the store leading to high
sales volume
Hyperlocal marketplace models
The focus is clear: daily consumption goods + well known
brands + limited options
Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users
Page - 39
—
High user stickiness has been the primary
driver of its revenue growth in the last few
years, wherein D-Mart has grown
much faster than its competitors,
who do not have a value-first offering.
D-Mart Revenue Growth - Benchmarked vs Future Retail
USD Bn
1.7
1.8
2.1
2.8
3.5
2.0
2.1
CY 16 CY 17 CY 18 CY 19
Future Retail D-Mart
7%
27%
X
Future retail had a combined store
area of ~16 Mn Sq. Ft. in CY 19 i.e.
2x of the D-Mart’s combined store
area (~ 8 Mn sq. ft.)
Indicates 3 Yr. CAGR %
Source: Annual Report
Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users
Page - 40
Favorable Unit Economics
Driven by the basic requirements of value-first households and their ability to stick to the affordable platforms, the unit
economics of serving the value-first households online are very promising. Most of the determinants of profitability (bulk
purchase, assortment, private labels, delivery cost, stickiness) are in the favor of value-first households, when compared with
convenience-first households.
eGrocery Household Attribute Comparison Summary
Value-first
Households
Convenience-
first Households
Details
Demand for lower prices / high
discounts
High Moderate Discounts provided by platform reduce
the net income
Bulk purchase behavior High Moderate Bulk purchase leads to high AOV, which
reduces the fulfillment cost per order
value
Assortment need Limited Very wide Limited assortment gives a better ability
to negotiate margins with brands;
Private label opennness High Moderate High gross margins led by own
manufacturing
Fast delivery demand Low High Low cost of fulfillment in case of
scheduled delivery (as orders can be
batched) vs on-demand
Stickiness to one platform Moderate – High Moderate – High Type of provider / platform plays a
huge role in consumer stickiness,
hence uncertain at a HH level. But high
stickiness, reduces marketing spend by
the platform.
Impact on profitability
Positive Negative
Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users
Page - 41
In terms of the overall structure, while an eGrocery platform serving the value-first household could lose out on gross
margins, it could save significantly on supply chain costs, because of very efficient supply chain requirements of delivering
groceries to a value-first household (mostly reliant on scheduled deliveries). As a result, the typical contribution margins
associated with serving a value-first household, tend to be much favorable than that of a convenience-first household.
eGrocery business models – Unit economics comparison
% of Fulfilled GMV
Parameters Value-first
Households
Convenience-
first Households
Details
Commission / Margin (including
additional income)
15% 22% High margins attained from pvt. label
sales  brand tie ups, are passed on to
the value-first HHs to provide cheaper
products – leading to drop in platform
commissions
Cashback (-)2.0% (-)2.0% Both types of HHs are interested in
buying better priced products, instead of
cashback that can be used later
Supply chain cost (-)10% (-)20% Significantly high cost of supply chain to
serve convenient-first HHs, due to on-
demand delivery needs and low AOV
Payment gateway cost (-)1.5% (-)1.5% No difference, depending on HH needs –
could vary by platform
Marketing expense (-)4.0% (-)4.0% No difference from HH perspective –
could significantly vary by platform
Contribution Margins (-)2.5% (-)5.5%
Impact on profitability
Positive Negative
~3%
bettercontributionmargins
forservingvalue-firstHHsvs
convenience-firstHHsonline.
Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users
Page - 42
This gets further confirmed by looking at D-Mart’s
profitability trend. Riding on the favorable unit economics
of serving a value-first household, D-Mart has been able
to further improve upon a healthy +7% EBITDA in the
past few years and achieve 8-9% EBITDA range. Cheaper
procurement, lower store rents and efficient space
utilization has enabled D-Mart to attain such a promising
profitability.
D-Mart Profitability Trend
% of Revenue from operations
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
9.0%
10.0%
FY 15 FY 16 FY 17 FY 18 FY 19
EBITDA % Net Profit (after tax) %
Lower procurement costs through
better vendor relationships (built via
faster payable settlements), enable
the provision of consumer discounts
Self-owned stores helped D-Mart
in reducing rental costs
Store locations in residential areas
to avoid high real estate locations
like malls
Efficient space utilization,
limited billing counters and basic
maintenance interiors drive lower
operational expenses
D-Mart Profitability
Drivers
Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users
Page - 43
Value-first GMV Forecasts
Operating on a huge  profitable opportunity, the value-first eGrocery segment is projected to grow faster than the
eGrocery market and account for ~55% of the eGrocery market in 2025. Value-first segment is estimated to grow at 53%
CAGR, as opposed to convenience-first segment at 44% CAGR.
eGrocery Market Estimates
GMV, USD Bn
1.5
1.8
13
11
48%
3.3
2020F 2025F
24
53%
44%
9
11
Convenience-first
HH Spend
Value-first
HH Spend
~55%
oftheeGrocerymarketin2025will
beledbyvalue-firsthouseholds.
Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users
Page - 44
eGroceryPlatformsservingthe
value-firstneeds
eGrocery Business Models
As observed in the previous sections, the value-first grocery opportunity in India is very attractive, but it requires eGrocery
platforms to serve it via specific tailored offerings.
Value-first Households eGrocery
Requirements
What is important?
What is not-so important?
Potential elements to be covered
in eGrocery platform offerings
1.	 Best-priced products
2.	 Bulk-purchase benefits
3.	 Hygiene  quality
4.	 Availability of key categories
Lowest prices
Bundled / multi-pack purchase
offers
Festive sale
Private labels (packaged)
Availability of limited, but
well-known brands
X-category coverage (including
FV)
Scheduled deliveries (more
than 12 hours TAT)
1.	 Fast deliveries
2.	 Wide assortment
Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users
Page - 45
Key Business Model Developments
Player case studies (Selected Examples)
Profile Strategic Choices
Grofers is the leading value-first eGrocery platform in India. It was probably the
first eGrocery platform to truly realize the potential of the value-first space in India
and tailors its offerings accordingly. Grofers follows a private-label led EDLP (Every
Day Low Pricing) strategy to delivery affordable products at consumer’s doorstep
via scheduled delivery. It offers a targeted assortment, drives retention through
its loyalty program, leverages the local network of stores for delivery and follows a
cluster based growth strategy.
Marketplace express
delivery solving for
convenience
EDLP (Every Day Low Pricing)
strategy, riding on savings-based
value prop
Delivering orders
profitably at consumers
doorstep
Private label led EDLP (Every Day
Low Pricing) strategy, powered
with local entreprenuer led supply
chain network
Founded 2013
Founders Albinder Dhindsa, Saurabh Kumar
CEO Albinder Dhindsa
Headquarters Gurugram, India
Total Funding USD 472 Mn+
Major
Investors
Tiger global, Sequoia Capital,
Softbank Vision Fund, Apoletto
Asia, KTB  ADCG
Value first
Target
households
Convenience-first
Express
Micro
Delivery
model
Scheduled
SKU – 2000+
Assortment
Brands – 280+
2015 2018
2017 2020
Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users
Page - 46
Key strategic elements
Private label focus
Riding on its private label offering
to provide low-priced hygienic
products to its value-first users.
30% of SKUs are private labels.
Cluster based growth
strategy
Grofers follows a cluster based
expansion strategy to go deeper into
Tier 2, 3  4 cities having a population
of ~1mn and above.
From their warehouse in Delhi they
are serving cities like Sonipat, Panipat,
Meerut, Chandigarh, Aligarh, Bhiwadi,
Moradabad.
Loyalty Program
Grofers has a loyalty program called
Grofers Smart Bachat Club which
offers cheaper prices, exclusive offers
 priority support to its enrolled
members, ~70% of the GMV is driven
by the loyal users on the platform
Local Entrepreneur-led
Supply Chain
Local partners enabled micro warehousing
for storage of orders (drop points) that
are picked and delivered by local delivery
partners it to the customers’ doorstep.
95% of the orders are fulfilled by the local
network close to the customers.
Customer centric
shopping experience
To enchance the everyday grocery
shopping experience, Grofers introduced
multiple personalised widgets (to save
more) and games like spin the wheel,
lucky draw (to enjoy and win prizes) for
the consumers
Focused Assortment
Grofers focuses on providing a
targeted assortment, considering
the needs of its target users who
are not interested in choice or
variety of products / brands
Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users
Page - 47
A unique thing that stands out for Grofers is its end to end technology enabled supply chain, largely managed by local
entrepreneurs. From sourcing to warehousing to drop points to delivery, each step is highly organized with the help of
technology. Once the packaged orders leave from the warehouse, everything including drop point management to doorstep
delivery, is executed by local entrepreneurs (e.g. travel agent, mobile recharge shop owners etc.) who reside closer to the end
consumer.
Typical Grofers Delivery Process
Key Highlights:
1.	 Grofers has significantly
organized the unorganized supply
chain with the help of technology
2.	 Once the packaged orders leave
from the warehouse, everything
is run via partnership with local
entrepreneurs (e.g. travel agent,
mobile recharge shop owners
etc.) and not Grofers
3.	 The packed orders go to
micro-warehousing stores
(drop points) managed by local
entrepreneurs who are in
proximity to the end consumers
and deliver to their doorstep
Collective Sourcing
(Brands + Private labels)
Drop Points
managed
by local
entrepreneurs
Doorstep
Delivery
by local
entrepreneurs
Warehousing
Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users
Page - 48
Through a solid value-first model run by Grofers, which includes high private label share, low cost supply chain and a sticky
userbase, Grofers has aptly demonstrated the profitability of serving the value-first opportunity. It improved greatly on unit
economics last year, wherein it garnered higher margins through direct brand tie ups  increased private label sales and
reduced its marketing / cashback spend, owing to organic eGrocery demand last year and high value-first stickiness.
Grofers Case Study – Unit Economics
% of Fulfilled GMV
Parameters Pre-COVID
(Dec’19)
COVID Period
(Jun’20)
Details
Commission / Margin (including
other income)
12% 15% Higher sale of private labels, coupled with
brands tie ups during COVID, led to higher
commissions
Cashback (-)6% (-)1% Significant drop in discounts as online
grocery gained organic preference during
COVID
Supply chain cost (-)9% (-)8% Customer category penetration increased
during COVID, driving higher AOV and
hence lower cost of delivery as % of order
value
Payment gateway cost (-)1% (-)1% No major change
Marketing expense (-)8% (-)1% Significant reduction in marketing spend
as eGrocery adoption was mostly organic
during COVID
Contribution Margins (-)12% 4%
Impact on profitability
Positive Negative
—
Grofers currently operates on +4% positive
CMs, truly harnessing the profitable
value-first opportunity.
Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users
Page - 49
Key Business Model Developments
Profile Strategic Choices
JioMart launched its eGrocery service last year across 200 cities, focusing on the value-first
demand in Tier 2+ markets. It received solid backing by the leading investors from all over the
world, including tech giants Facebook  Google. Aiming to effectively serve the value-first
needs, JioMart delivers products via scheduled delivery model, offers lucrative discounts,
has a good private label range and provides free deliveries without any minimum order value.
It has helped in expanding the eGrocery sector’s reach across 200 cities, harnessing the
untapped demand in Tier 2+ markets with the help of Reliance’s / Jio’s strong brand presence.
Founded April 2020
Chairman Mukesh Ambani
Headquarters Mumbai, India
Total Funding $20 Bn (all Jio Platforms)
Major
Investors
Silverlake, Facebook, Google,
Mubadala, Vista, TPG, General
Atlantic, ADIA
Value-first
Target
households
Convenience-first
Express
Micro
Delivery
model
Scheduled
SKU – 2000+
Assortment
Brands – 280+
Facebook-Jio deal, later
attracted funding from all
investors including Google
eGrocery service
launched across 200
cities in India
Focusing on including
other retail categories like
electronics, fashion etc.
Free deliveries provided,
without any min. order
value
Apr’20 May’20 Jun’20 Jul’20
Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users
Page - 50
Key strategic elements
Hybrid Model
Inventory will be a mix of local
Kirana and Reliance retail (fresh,
smart etc.) stores, to ensure better
fill rates  O2D. Delivery points
(Smart Points) setup to service the
demand better.
Fresh Offering
Implemented via existing Reliance
Fresh offline retail stores.
Private label focus
Reliance private labels are the focus
SKUs for JioMart (enjoy prominent
website space) – to help will better
monetization  margins
Free Delivery
Orders placed on JioMart are free of
any delivery charge  no minimum
order amount limit is applicable.
Tier 2+ Reach
The only eGrocery platform to have
presence across ~200 cities, riding
on huge pool of Jio users in Tier 2+
cities, who have a strong brand trust
for Reliance.
Discounts
High discounts across categories
to attract consumers – providing
‘minimum 5% below MRP’ on
selected products.
Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users
Page - 51
JioMart has the capability to enable fulfillment via Reliance retail stores. It is building extensive Kirana partnerships to help
them procure groceries via its organized eB2B channel and leverages those partnerships to fulfill the eGrocery demand as
well. Currently, the Kirana-led fulfillment accounts for only 5% of JioMart’s eGrocery business and rest is led by Reliance
retail stores. In future, JioMart is looking to increase its Kirana fulfillment share and is also looking to build dark stores in
geographies with limited Reliance retail presence.
JioMart Order Flow for B2C
Online
Customer
Return
End
Customer
Dedicated
Delivery Boy
Same Shop Staff
basis availability
Same Day
Delivery
Next Day
Delivery /
Cancel
Product
Available
Unavailable
B2B Fulfilment via
5% fulfilment1
95% fulfilment1
Kirana
Check
Product
Availability
Smart
Point
Reliance
Smart
3PL
In-House
Reliance Retail
Check
Product
Availability
Two Day
Delivery
Cancel
Products
Reliance
Fresh
Available
Unavailable
A
A
B
Customers has
option to return the
damaged/ wrong
product during the
time of delivery.
Otherwise,
platform offers
refund for low
value items rather
than doing reverse
pickup.
Pin Code based
decision on
fulfilling, first,
Reliance Retail,
and, second, an
associated
Kirana
Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users
Page - 52
We conducted ~4500+ surveys with consumers having different online maturity level and belonging to different city tiers 
income groups. In addition to the quantitative surveys, ~40 in-depth consumer interviews were performed to understand
the in-depth consumer insights.
29%
56%
15%
eGrocery user
eGrocery non-user - online shopper
eGrocery non-user - offline shopper
41%
19%
40% Tier 2+
Tier 1
Metro
Annual Income
City tier
24%
43%
23%
10%
12-16 Lacs
8-12 Lacs
4-8 Lacs
4 Lacs
Total surveys performed (N) = 4500
Methodology
Consumer Research
Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users
Page - 53
Addressable market sizing
Online Service
Users in India
Consumers
transacting for
services online
(e.g. banking/
recharge) but
may not buy
products online
Source: RedSeer IP
eGrocery
addressable
households
From (1)
Online
Service User
to Household
Conversion
Factor
Source: RedSeer IP
Yearly grocery
purchase
frequency per
household
Source: Consumer
surveys
Online
Service Using
Households
(Number of
Households)
Average Order
Value (AOV)
of grocery
purchase per
household
Source: Consumer
surveys
Households
unaware of
eGrocery and
unwilling to
try eGrocery
services
Source: Consumer
surveys
eGrocery
Addressable
Wallet.
(USD Bn)
eGrocery
addressable
households
(Number of
Households)
1. Calculation Methodology – eGrocery addressable households
2. Calculation Methodology - eGrocery addressable Wallet
X
X X
= =
-
=
Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users
Page - 54
Glossary
SN Keywords Definition
1 Grocery Products sold in a grocer’s shop – includes fresh (fruits  vegetables,
dairy products, meat), staples, packaged foods, beverages, home care
and personal care
2 eB2B Grocery Online platforms that facilitate online sourcing of grocery products for
retailers (mostly Kiranas)
3 eB2C Grocery or eGrocery Online platforms that enable online ordering and delivery of groceries to
consumers (does not include BPC  fashion verticals like Nykaa, Purplle,
Myntra)
4 USD US Dollar, 1 USD = INR 70 (unless otherwise specified)
5 Metro Cities Mumbai, Delhi, Bangalore, Chennai, Hyderabad, Kolkata, Pune and
Ahmedabad (8 cities)
6 Tier 1 Cities Non-metro cities with population more than 1 Mn (54 cities)
7 Tier 2+ Cities Non-metro cities with population less than 1 Mn (4400+ cities)
8 Stock-up Purchase of grocery items in bulk amounts, mostly once or twice a
month
9 Non-daily Top-up Purchase of grocery items in limited amounts, mostly once or twice a
week
10 Daily Top-up Purchase of everyday grocery items (milk, bread etc.)
11 Unorganized grocery Local grocery retail shops (Kirana stores)
12 Organized BM grocery Modern grocery retail shops (supermarkets, hypermarkets, convenience
stores)
13 Gross Merchandise Value
(GMV)
Refers to selling price of the orders placed on the eGrocery platforms,
excluding cashbacks
Thank You
Bangalore. Delhi. Mumbai. Dubai. Singapore. New York
© 2021 RedSeer Consulting confidential and proprietary information
facebook.com/redseerconsulting
twitter.com/redseer
linkedin.com/company/redseer-consulting
Solve. New
redseer.com
Disclaimer and confidentiality notice:
This document contains information
that may be confidential and
proprietary. Unless you are the intended
recipient (or authorized to receive this
document for the intended recipient),
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Indian eGrocery Market Opportunity for Value-First Users

  • 1. A promising opportunity led by value-first users Indian eGrocery January 2021
  • 2. Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users Page - 2 Indian eGrocery About Us A promising opportunity led by value-first users RedSeer is a leader in the Internet and new age advisory. Over the last 11 years of its operations we have advised 200+ clients across the breadth of Internet and investment industry in India, Middle East and South East Asia. Our advisory is differentiated through our high-quality IP of market insights and research, which is unparalleled in industry and helps both corporate and funds make right choices. With more then 200 consultants across 5 offices, we have emerged as the largest home-grown regional consulting firm in India.
  • 3. Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users Page - 3 Disclaimer Copyright © RedSeer Management Consulting Private Limited (“RedSeer”). All rights reserved. While we have made every attempt to ensure that the information contained in this report has been obtained from reliable sources, all data and information provided in this report is intended solely for information purposes and general guidance on matters of interest for the personal use of the reader, who shall accept full responsibility for its use. RedSeer does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, readers should be aware that RedSeer may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of the report. All information in this report is provided “as is”, with no guarantee of completeness, accuracy, of the results obtained from the use of this information, and without warranty of any kind, express or implied, including, but not limited to warranties of performance, merchantability and fitness for a particular purpose. Given the changing nature of laws and the inherent hazards of electronic communication, there may be delays, omissions or inaccuracies in the information contained in this report. Accordingly, the information in this report is provided with the understanding that the authors herein are not engaged in rendering legal, accounting, tax, or other professional advice or services. As such, it should not be used as a substitute for consultation with professional advisers. This report cannot be sold for consideration, within or outside India, without the express written permission of RedSeer. In no event shall RedSeer or its partners, employees or agents, be liable to you or anyone else for any decision made or action taken in reliance on the information in this report or for any errors, omissions, or delays in the content of this report or any losses, injuries, or damages including any incidental or any consequential, special or similar loss or damages, arising out of, or in connection with the use of this report.
  • 4. Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users Page - 4 Preface Last few years, all of us have seen how technology has changed millions of lives in this country. Today for a lot of us, it is all about clicking a button on our smartphone apps, and enjoying on-door delivery of various products and services. The use case which initially started from e-Tailing of books (or booking tickets on IRCTC even earlier), has now diversified into almost all utility products and services, with the Indian internet consumer emerging out as a clear winner. And the suppliers / providers are finding it merrier too, through direct reach to the end consumers through internet. The ~$600 Bn grocery industry in India is undergoing a similar disruption enabled by eGrocery platforms, that have done a tremendous job in transforming how people shop for their groceries. While these platforms have solved for a number of consumer needs ranging from improved access to higher convenience, the largest challenge still faced by an average Indian is around affordability and eGrocery platforms have the potential to effectively resolve this aspect. This provides a highly attractive opportunity for the eGrocery sector, which we term as the ‘value-first opportunity’, referring to the segment of households for whom buying affordable groceries is of the utmost important and everything else is secondary. The value-first prospect is appealing because of not just its large size, but also the associated unit economics that are very favourable. Moreover, it requires to be served in a focused fashion, because of the specific needs that value-first households have. eGrocery platforms that will be able to win this exciting segment, are likely to be sustainable in the long run.
  • 5. Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users Page - 5 Table of Content Indian eGrocery A promising opportunity led by value-first users Indian Grocery - $850 Bn+ market (2025) up for digital disruption eGrocery addressable market – a huge opportunity led by value-first households The key to serve the value-first opportunity through eGrocery 1 2 3 6 22 33
  • 6. Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users Page - 6 1 IndianGrocery- $850Bn+market (2025)upfordigital disruption
  • 7. Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users Page - 7 GroceryinIndia- AnenormousKirana-led opportunity! — basics like non-meat fresh and staples cover almost 80% of the grocery spend in India This is considerably higher than the developed countries like the US, the UK and China, where grocery spend as a % of retail, is in the 30-40% range. The nascency of the market gets further established by looking at the kind of grocery categories purchased in India vs the developed economies – basics like non-meat fresh and staples cover almost 80% of the grocery spend in India, compared to 30-45% coverage in the US, the UK and China. Indian consumers are heavily focused on meeting their basic needs of ‘roti-kapda-makan’ – a Hindi slang meaning, food, clothing and shelter, of which food is the most essential component. This is evident from groceries accounting for a significant 66% of the total retail spend in India, which translated into a huge $600 Bn+ market in 2019. Grocery centric retail in India
  • 8. Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users Page - 8 As a result of COVID, the grocery market saw ~5% dip in 2020, led by reduction in overall consumption and supply chain disruptions during the lockdown period. Being an essential category, grocery was the least affected retail category due to COVID lockdown. It is now projected to grow at a healthy 8% CAGR and become a humungous ~$850 Bn+ opportunity by 2025. Consumer’s willingness and ability to pay premium for superior quality products, rise of easy-to-cook foods and at-home delivery, demand for healthy & nutritional F&B and consumption of newer food items adopted via global experiences, are some of the primary drivers of the sector’s growth in the years to come. India Grocery Market Size & Growth USD Bn Increasing willingness & ability to pay premium for superior quality products Growing market for easy-to-cook foods and at-home delivery, driven by increasing requirement of convenient & hassle-free experience Demand for healthy and nutritional food & beverages, led by stronger focus on healthy lifestyles & fitness Rising consumption of newer items through global experiences (e.g. meat, cereals with breakfast, beverages with meal etc.) Growth Drivers 442 603 573 852 2016 2019 2020F 2025F 8% 5% 11% The grocery market saw led by the reduction in overall spending due to COVID Grocery Spend Per Capita (USD) 334 446 419 600 As % of GDP 19.1% 19.9% 21.0% 23.0% As % of retail 67.4% 66.5% 73.4% 65.3% 66.5% oftheretailspendin Indiaisfocusedon groceries.
  • 9. Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users Page - 9 Kiranas (unorganized local grocery stores) are the lifeline of groceries in India, accounting for more than 95% of the total grocery spend. They ride on their solid ability to provide a convenient and localized service to consumers (with support from suppliers and regulators), primarily in Tier 2+ cities that account for almost 80% of the grocery spend in India. Of 11 Mn total Kiranas in India, 8 Mn+ are present in Tier 2+ cities. Organized B&M drove the first wave of disruption in the traditional grocery space, with most presence in metro and tier 1 cities. However, it has had very limited penetration in the India grocery market because of multiple operational such as high operating costs, lack of skilled manpower and regional / local limitations. As a result, organized B&M accounted for only 5% of the grocery spend in 2019. A market led by Kiranas, with limited play for organized B&M 95% of grocerymarketin Indiaisledbylocal kiranastores India grocery spend – by retail channel USD Bn Unorganized play– global benchmarking CAGR (2016-19) 603 442 Unorganized (Kirana-led) Organized B&M Online 96.5% 94.9% ~55% ~25% ~10% 2019 2016 3.4% 0.1% 4.8% 0.3% Country 2019 Unorganized Share % 95% 43% 6% 8% The unorganized (Kirana-led) grocery play in India is significantly higher than developed markets. While China sits at 43%, the US and the UK have only 6% and 8% unorganized grocery market.
  • 10. Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users Page - 10 12-15% marginleakageatlocalKirana level,leadingtohigherprice fortheendconsumer Unorganizedmarketsuffering fromaffordabilityissues Due to the heavily unorganized space, the grocery supply chain in India is very fragmented, wherein different supply chain models exist for different types of cities. This becomes further complicated as you move from urban to rural markets, because of presence of multiple unorganized intermediaries. As a result of this, significant margin leakage happens at the level of each intermediary, before grocery products reach the end consumer. Specifically for local Kiranas that account for 95% of the market, the margin leakage is as high as 12-15%. This leads to higher costs of products for the Indian consumers, making affordability a considerable challenge in the Indian market. The fragmented grocery supply chain Grocery supply chain C&FA (2-3%) (2-5%) Grocery Consumers Route 1 Route 2 Route 3 Route 4 Route 5 Route 6 Naonal Modern Trade Chains Regional certain Naonal MT outlets GT retailers, typically er 1+ cies GT retailers, typically er 1+ cies Manufactur- ing Unit (In-house or 3rd Party owned) MT Distribuon Centre (2-5%) (2-3%) MT Distribuon Centre Typically er 2+ cies Typically er 2+ cies Super-Stockist Super-Stockist Super-Stockist (7-10%) Distributor (7-10%) Distributor (7-10%) Distributor (2-5%) (12-15%) Wholesaler GT Retailers (Kiranas) (7-10%) Distributor (22-25%) MT Retailers
  • 11. Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users Page - 11 Conversion Rate – US $1= INR 73.44, UK £1 = INR 99.66 FMCG Cost Benchmarks: India vs Developed Markets Illustrative SKU prices Dec ’20 The affordability challenge in India gets established by running a quick comparison of costs of global FMCG products, between India and other developed countries. The results attest the fact that consumers in India pay much higher for grocery products, than those in the US or the UK, because of the unorganized and fragmented grocery market. The problem gets further pronounced in India, because of the relatively low purchasing power – another reason why the grocery spend is more focused on the basic categories like staples and non-meat fresh. INR 465 INR 466 INR 433 INR 420 INR 518 INR 302 INR 507 US UK India INR 294 INR 130 INR 525 INR 299 INR 125 INR 514 INR 128 INR 498 Airwick Freshmac Automac Air Freshener Complete Kit Hershey's Spreads Cocoa 623 ml Bey Crocker Cake Mix, Choco Fudge Rich Chocolate 500gm Monster Energy Drink gy Drink gy 500ml Horlicks Mother's Plus Vanilla R Vanilla R V efill, 500 g
  • 12. Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users Page - 12 (x1-x2%) represents the range of margins for the respective intermediary Note(s): 1. Variable depending on the platform / business model eGrocery–ignitingdigital disruptioninthegroceryspace Resolving consumer pain points through a simpler supply chain Online grocery supply chain Digital grocery platforms are now disrupting the grocery space in India. Operating on a simplified supply chain and a tech-enabled retail layer, eGrocery platforms have been able to positively transform the consumer’s grocery shopping experience. At the same time, they’ve played an instrumental role in expanding the supplier / brand reach across consumers. Consumer CFA Advantages: Higher ability to provide better prices to end consumers Better availability fill rates Stronger quality control Benefits for manufacturers (wider consumer reach, better margins etc.) Most metros and er 1+ cies Manufacturing Unit ( In-house or 3rd Party owned) eGrocery Warehouse/Delivery Centre Route 2 : eB2C: 2-3% 6-22%(1) eGrocery Warehouse/Delivery Centre 6-22%(1) eGrocery Warehouse/Delivery Centre 6-22%(1) Super- Stockist 2-5% Most metros and er 1+ cies Route 3: eB2C: Tier2+ cies Route 3: eB2C:
  • 13. Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users Page - 13 High prices / Limited discounts Variety of platform discounts, coupons cashback offers Limited assortment Wide variety of products / SKUs onboarded on eGrocery platforms Poor product quality Strong quality control, along with tie ups with trusted FMCG brands Pvt. Labels Inconvenience Online purchase with at-home delivery enabled by different models as per need Unavailability of desired products Better fill rates through simpler supply chain logistics Poor after-purchase service (complaints, returns / exchange etc.) Standard customer support complaint resolution return / exchange processes Pain-points resolved by eGrocery platforms eGrocery platforms are resolving almost all the pain points that Indian consumers faced with offline channels, including both – local Kiranas and organized BM. For example, they are appropriately addressing the affordability issue by reducing the margin leakage in the grocery supply chain and passing it on to the consumers. This empowers the eGrocery platforms to sell products at a lower cost. In addition, they are solving for the inconvenience and low fill rates associated with offline shopping, by providing doorstep deliveries and creating their own wide range of products, brands and SKUs respectively.
  • 14. Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users Page - 14 Verticals Online grocery specialists Super-verticals Online grocery verticals focused on a particular category like meat Horizontals General online retailers providing eGrocery services Hyperlocals Hyperlocal delivery platforms providing eGrocery services Micro-delivery verticals Online grocery verticals focused on early morning delivery Indian eGrocery Business Models Multiple platforms are disrupting this emerging space with innovative business models. While on one hand there are eGrocery verticals that specialize in the online grocery space and have created solid service standards in the industry, on the other hand there are large e-tailing horizontals, who have launched grocery as one of the categories on their e-commerce platforms. Similarly, there are online platforms specializing in early morning grocery delivery, fresh meat delivery and hyperlocal (connecting consumers to local grocery stores) delivery. Disruption by innovative eGrocery models
  • 15. Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users Page - 15 eGroceryonapromisinggrowth trajectory,withasignificant headroom Experiencing healthy growth in the last few years eGrocery platforms’ strong ability to solve for the critical consumer need gaps through innovative business models, has enabled the sector to grow at a solid 60% CAGR over the last 3 years and reach $1.9 Bn GMV in 2019. India eGrocery Market GMV USD Bn 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.9 2016 2017 2018 2019 ~60% CAGR In these 3 years, each business model played a unique role in taking the space forward. For example, while on one hand, verticals (online grocery specialists) dominated the space for the most part and expanded their reach beyond 25-30 cities, on the other hand, horizontals realized the importance of specialization in the grocery space and launched their grocery-focused e-marketplaces. Moreover, fresh meat delivery, early morning delivery and hyperlocals, also rose to the occasion to meet the evolved metro consumer demands.
  • 16. Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users Page - 16 10:12 DELIVERY BUY NOW Key market disruptions (2016 – 2019): Verticals (Grofers, BigBasket) dominated the market and expanded beyond metros to reach 25-30 cities E-tailing horizontals (Amazon , Flipkart) entered the space and launched their specialized grocery marketplaces (AZ Pantry, FK Supermart) Online meat ordering emerged as a separate super-vertical with brands like Licious and Fresh2Home entering the space with high quality meat offerings Demand for micro-deliveries (early morning daily essentials) shot up in metro apartments, with MilkBasket, Supr Daily and BB Daily seeing increased subscriptions in metros Hyperlocal marketplace models such as Dunzo and Swiggy Stores re-emerged and found decent adoption in the market in metros
  • 17. Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users Page - 17 Large headroom to penetrate further On benchmarking the eGrocery penetration with the developed countries, it get established that the eGrocery market in India is at a nascent stage and has an attractive path ahead. Compared to the negligible 0.3% penetration in India, the US, the UK and China sit at healthy 8%, 4% and 6% penetration respectively. Despite the healthy growth, eGrocery penetration in the grocery market in India was very limited in 2019. India Grocery – Split by Different Channels (2019) USD Bn Offline-only (non-digital Kiranas) eGrocery Organised BM Total Grocery Market Penetration of overall grocery spend 572 603 1.9 29 x% 100% 4.8% 0.3% 94.9%
  • 18. Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users Page - 18 It is well known that the pandemic has shaken the economies and the human race across the world, including India. However, it acted as a boon for the e-commerce sector, led by the e-commerce platforms’ ability to safely provide the products / services at-home. As a result, eGrocery, an essential-focused e-commerce, benefited considerably from the pandemic in India. During the challenging COVID lockdown period (April-June’20), Indian consumers organically resorted to ordering groceries online, led by the safe hygienic purchase experience provided by eGrocery platforms during the difficult times. To effectively support the surge in demand, multiple new players entered the eGrocery space during the lockdown (e.g. JioMart launched eGrocery in May’20) and a few others expanded their services to more number of cities, including T2+ geographies (e.g. Amazon Pantry expended to 300+ cities in June). Driven by the same, the market reached 1.6x of the Jan’20 GMV in June. Post the lockdown, the Grocery sector was able to sustain the surge for the remaining year and exited 2020 at almost 2x of Jan’20 GMV. eGrocery market trend – 2020 GMV, Jan’20 indexed at 100 points eGrocery market GMV Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jul Sep Nov Dec Oct Aug Jun 100 82 163 209 252 199 $ 0.17 Bn $ 0.37 Bn Pre-COVID (As expected) COVID Lockdown (Solid adoption led by provision of safe hygienic experience) Post Lockdown (Retaining the surge) Year-end (Festive sale effects) The sector sustained the COVID surge in the year-end and had an oscillatory performance, because of variations in horizontal business due to festive sale Growth maintained post lockdown, with most leading platforms seeing significant growth in business Consistent growth from Apr to Jun, led by organic adoption by consumers during COVID. This was supported from the supply side by the entry of multiple new players in the market (incl.JioMart) and expansion of coverage to T2+ cities. Dropped to 80% of Jan GMV in Apr, because of supply chain disruptions Expected drop in Feb because of shorter month stock-ups in Jan sales COVID-19: The blessing in disguise for eGrocery
  • 19. Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users Page - 19 To summarize, the eGrocery sector was performing fairly well in the pre-COVID era. eGrocery platforms were able to significantly transform the consumer’s grocery shopping experience, evident from the high online vs offline NPS. Moreover, with rising internet penetration and more consumers transacting online, willingness awareness towards online shopping (including grocery) was becoming positive. This was well supported by the readiness of brands to partner with eGrocery platforms and the confidence of leading investors on the eGrocery sectors (~$600 Mn funding for the sector in 2019). eGrocery Market – Growth Factors Pre-COVID Growth Factors High user satisfaction: 33% NPS of the online grocery channel vs 26% NPS of the offline grocery channel Increasing base of online transacting users: 500 Mn+ users expected to transact online by 2025 Consistent influx of investments: ~600 Mn sector funding in 2019 i.e. 2x of that in 2015 Brand readiness to partner with eGrocery apps: Ability to widen user reach and SKU performance tracking Rising Demand for Convenience Increasing urbanisation disposable income leading to need for hassle-free experience. On an accelerated growth path post COVID
  • 20. Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users Page - 20 eGrocery Market – Growth Factors Post COVID Growth Factors Expansion to Tier 2+ geographies: Entry of Tier 2+ focused models and expansion of existing models in T2+ geos Rise of online hyperlocals: Increased adoption of hyperlocal models, owing to its value of providing faster access These factors have become more pronounced post COVID, with a considerable positive shift in the consumer’s mindset towards online shopping because of safety concerns, specially in the case of grocery. This is because of a potential long-term shift towards buying better quality / hygienic products, wherein eGrocery platforms are trusted more than the local stores. It has also led to the increase in basket size and frequency of ordering on eGrocery apps (in addition to the rise in new user base). Moreover, with brand tie ups growing stronger, eGrocery expansion in Tier 2+ geographies and rise of fast delivery hyperlocal models, eGrocery sector has received a solid boost from the pandemic and is likely to propel the sector to grow at a swift pace in the coming years. Demand for packaged items: eGrocery apps are better placed in terms of hygiene packaging vs local shops Brand tie ups growing stronger: Brands are keen to reach the customer directly through eGrocery platforms Shift in consumer mindset: Towards home groceries due to safety concerns (70% higher GMV in June vs Jan)
  • 21. Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users Page - 21 Driven by the multiplication effect of COVID on the pro-sector factors, the eGrocery market is projected to grow at a solid 53% CAGR in the next 6 years, which is considerably faster than the offline grocery channels (both Kirana and organized BM). This will enable the eGrocery market to reach ~$24 Bn GMV in 2025 and penetrate almost 3% of the ~$850 Bn+ grocery space in India. India Grocery – Split by Different Channels (2025F) USD Bn 766 852 24 62 CAGR over 2019 100% 7% 14% 53% 5% 3% 90% 6% X% X% Offline-only (non-digital Kiranas) eGrocery Organised BM Total Grocery Market Penetration of overall grocery spend eGrocery is projected to penetrate 3% of the total grocery opportunity in 2025, at a market size of ~$24 Bn
  • 22. Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users Page - 22 2 eGrocery addressablemarket –ahugeopportunity ledbyvalue-first households
  • 23. Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users Page - 23 9% 670 209 410 164 300 154 175 110 580 193 350 146 232 130 135 90 Users Households CAGR (20-25) 4% 15% 9% 12% 8% 16% 8% 29% 18% 17% 12% CAGR (19-20) Internet Usage Funnel Number of Users, Mn Rapid growth in 2020, led by internet adoption during COVID 35% 22% 19% 14% 420 233 603 240 720 255 1020 2025 2020 2019 210 Access to Internet Total population with access to internet Active Internet Users Uses social media, google, but may not transact online Online Shoppers Atleast one transaction on online retail platforms in a year Online Service Transactors Transacts for services e.g. banking/recharge, but may not buy products Anenormousaddressable opportunity The growing online transacting base Almost 670 Mn people in India had internet access in 2020, of which, more than 400 Mn people used internet platforms actively (mostly social media and search engines). 75% of the active internet users (i.e. 300 Mn users) are estimated to have transacted online for services as well as products last year, which translates into 154 Mn online transacting households in India in 2020. Driven by the growing internet penetration, this base of online transacting households is likely to reach 233 Mn by 2025 154Mn onlinetransacting householdsinIndiain 2020.
  • 24. Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users Page - 24 The large addressable expanse for eGrocery Of the 154 Mn online transacting HHs in 2020 23 Mn are projected to have used eGrocery platforms at least once 35 Mn were aware of eGrocery, but were unwilling to try eGrocery due to strong habits of purchasing groceries offline 41 Mn were aware of eGrocery and willing to try eGrocery 9 Mn were unaware of eGrocery, but were willing to try eGrocery when informed about the benefits of eGrocery platforms 22 Mn were aware of eGrocery, but were unwilling to try eGrocery due to negative perception 24 Mn were unaware of eGrocery and were unwilling to try eGrocery. A D B E C F Basis the above analysis, 130 Mn online transacting HHs used eGrocery platforms or were aware of eGrocery platforms or were willing to try eGrocery platforms in 2020. This adds up to a significant 130 Mn eGrocery addressable households. 130Mn eGroceryaddressable householdsinIndiain 2020.
  • 25. Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users Page - 25 eGrocery addressable Wallet (by city tier) Addressable grocery wallet, USD Bn Increasing penetration of online grocery players in Tier 1 Tier 2+ cities, will enable higher awareness in deeper areas Rising internet penetration and comfort with cashless transactions will boost the willingness to try eGrocery services Positive experience with other consumer internet services will steer the habitual shift towards at-home access of usual products services Marketing efforts and focused messaging by online grocery platforms will help in building a positive perception of eGrocery platforms Growth Drivers 45% 39% 55% 61% 2020 2025F Tier 2+ Metro/Tier 1 2x growth 130 293 585 210 eGrocery address- able HHs: Considering the annual grocery expenditure of the 130 Mn eGrocery addressable households, eGrocery Currently has a $293 Bn addressable wallet (as per 2020 estimates). Led by the rising internet penetration comfort with digital transactions in Tier 2+ geographies and increasing awareness / willingness towards eGrocery platforms (enabled by marketing efforts and positive experiences), eGrocery addressable base is projected to reach 210 Mn households in 2025, which will correspond to $585 Bn addressable wallet. More than 60% of this addressable opportunity is likely to be Tier 2+ focused.
  • 26. Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users Page - 26 eGrocery Addressable HHs by Primary Need Gaps (2020) Mn, % of addressable HHs 35% 21% 8% 19% 8% 7% 2% Limited discounts High Pricing No returns /exchange policy Unavailability of desired products Crowded / long waiting time Limited options to choose from Poor product quality eGrocery Addressable HHs 130 Convenience-first behavior was prominent among the high-income HH groups (annual HH income above USD 14k), whereas value-first behavior was more prevalent across low-mid income groups (annual HH income less than USD 14k) Convenience-first Households (Convenience-oriented need gaps) Value-first Households (Value-oriented need gaps) 36% 64% Q. What are your key pain points with offline grocery purchase? Rate the severity of pain points on a scale of 1-5. % Respondents (1st ranked pain point), N=2752 Thedominanceofvalue-first householdsandtheirgrocery purchasebehavior Grocery purchase behavior: value-first and convenience-first Depending on the primary need gaps (as per the eGrocery addressable households) associated with offline grocery purchase, eGrocery addressable households can be grouped into 2 parts: value-first and convenience-first. While value-first households cite concerns related to high pricing, limited discounts or returns / exchange policy (which increases their unnecessary spend on groceries), convenience-first households are more concerned about availability of desired products at one place, crowded / long waiting time, limited variety / assortment and product quality.
  • 27. Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users Page - 27 eGrocery Addressable Wallet by HH Group (2020) USD Bn, % of addressable wallet In India, a much larger quantum of the eGrocery addressable opportunity is led by value-first households. Almost 65% of the 130 Mn eGrocery addressable households are value-first, which cover ~61% of the huge $293 Bn addressable wallet. The rest of the market is led by convenience-first households. 39% 61% 293 100% 2253 2179 2380 Convenience-first Households Value-first Households Lower grocery spend per HH for VF HHs than CF HHs as most VF HHs belong to low-mid income groups 130 Mn out of 300 Mn HHs in India (~43%) account for ~50% of the overall grocery spend (i.e. ~$293 Bn out of ~$580 Bn) in 2020 X% Avg. annual grocery wallet (USD) — Almost 65% of the 130 Mn eGrocery addressable households are value-first in India
  • 28. Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users Page - 28 eGrocery Household Segment Details How is a value-first household different from a convenience-first household? The two types of households follow unique grocery purchase behavior and priorities. On an average, a value-first household has a lower income than the convenience-first household, and hence can’t afford to prioritize the luxuries of variety, exotic assortment and faster access. As a result, a value-first household prioritizes buying the best-priced products under discount options, cashback offers and sale events, even if they’re getting a basic variety to choose from or have a long wait time / inconvenient experience. Avg. annual household income $7,000 1. Value-first Households $16,000 2. Convenience-first Households Key grocery purchase priorities 1. Lowest prices 2. Discounts 3. Cashbacks / Offers 4. Sale events 1. Wide assortment / Variety of options 2. Availability of desired products in one place 3. Emergency / unplanned needs (Top-ups) 5. Good returns / exchange policy 6. Quality / hygiene 4. Low waiting time 5. Quality / hygiene 6. Exotic options 7. Customer support service Purchase Behavior “I buy groceries in bulk and at times defer my grocery purchase, to get the best-priced products.” “Post one stock-up in a month or so, I prefer to top-up my grocery basket as per the need and hence purchase from places where I can get my desired assortment, without much hassle.”
  • 29. Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users Page - 29 eGrocery Addressable Wallet by Different Segments (2020) GMV, USD Bn Owing to the income differential, the value-first households have stronger presence in the deeper Tier 2+ geographies. 42% 51% 58% 49% Tier 2+ Metro/T1 52% 47% 35% 32% 7% 12% 2% 5% 1% 1% 3% 3% Personal care Home Care Beverages Packaged Food Staples Fresh 43% 27% 42% 57% 15% 16% Daily Top-up Non-daily Top-up Stock-up The addressable market is centered around fresh staples in India, given other categories have expensive products, and hence become unaffordable for the consumers Value-first Convenience-first Value-first Convenience-first Value-first By Basket Type By Category By City Tier 180 180 180 113 113 113 Convenience-first Moreover, the stark difference in priorities of the two types of households, reflects strongly in the purchase behavior. The need for the best-priced products, pushes the value-first households to plan their grocery purchase and purchase groceries in bulk (as much as possible), unlike convenience-first households, who have the luxury to make more unplanned purchases. This is reflected in the higher share of stock-ups for value-first households than convenience-first households. Secondly, the value-first households’ focus on basics is evident from their grocery category split – while the Indian market in general is fresh staples centric, the behavior is more pronounced in case of value-first households, who generally find the high-end packaged FB products a bit unaffordable. On the other hand, convenience-first households, spend relatively high on the non-basics like packaged FB.
  • 30. Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users Page - 30 eGrocery Household Segment – Key Value-first Profiles Here’s a deeper look at the key value-first and convenience-first household profiles, that came across in our in-depth discussions. Note: 1. The above table Indicates core convenience-first personas, but is not exhaustive; 2. Represents age-group of HH member who makes the purchase decision % Cohort Age-group2 Annual HH Income HH Size Living setup Cooking ownership Pen portrait 50% 25-40 6-8 Lacs 3-5 Married couple with young kids, with or without parents Self “I am Sarita. I’m a housewife. I stay in Indore with my husband who works as a salesman and two kids, who study in school. My kids love the food I cook, which ensures that they eat fresh healthy stuff. Moreover, I love cooking their favorite dishes trying out new recipes. We buy grocery from the modern store i.e. 10km away but has the best offers on grocery. It is also an enjoyable monthly family outing. For unplanned needs or weekly vegetables, we rely on the nearest Kirana shop.” “I am Dinesh. I work in a bank and stay with my wife parents at my home in Gorakhpur, where I’ve been staying since my birth. I’ve a son, who’s currently doing B.Com. from Jaipur. My wife teaches in a primary school and cooks food for the family as we’re used to having food at home and it is affordable as well. We’ve a monthly budget set aside for grocery and select our items accordingly. For the last 10-15 years, we’ve been buying grocery from the nearby Kirana store, who also delivers at home and provides good discounts with monthly credit system. “I am Ankit. I recently passed out from college and got my first job in a tech company in Hyderabad, wherein I stay with a flat-mate. We’ve hired a maid to cook food for us as outside food is pricy and doesn’t have the homely taste. We stock-up grocery once in 45 days when the maid informs that we’ve run out of most of the things. We buy very basic items (unless somebody’s parents are visiting), from a 30-min away convenience store as it has really good offers on bulk purchase.” 35% 35-50 4-8 Lacs 3-5 Married couple with parents, with or without grown up kids Self 15% 21-30 3-6 Lacs 1-3 (bachelors) Alone / flat-mates Maid Housewife-led family Traditional budget conscious family Young bachelors
  • 31. Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users Page - 31 eGrocery Household Segment – Key Convenience-first Profiles % Cohort Age-group2 Annual HH Income HH Size Living setup Cooking ownership Pen portrait 58% 30-40 12-14 Lacs 3-5 Married couple with young kids, with or without parents Maid + Self “I am Veena. I work in a bank and stay with my husband kids in Jaipur. When we didn’t have kids, we used to generally eat outside, but now with kids, we cook-at-home (with help of maid) to ensure kids have good quality healthy food. We purchase groceries from our society’s Kirana shop as it delivers at home and contains most of the products we need. However, for certain items that aren’t of the right quality here, we buy them from the nearest modern grocery store”. “I am Ajay. I stay in Ratlam in a joint family with my parents, uncle’s family and my wife. We’ve a family business. The ladies of the house cook for everyone. We relish home cooked food, with every family member having their favorites. We have a special meal occasion almost every week, through business parties or gatherings. We order grocery 3-4 times a month from the nearby Kirana shop that delivers at home. However, for certain exotic / rare products (that aren’t found here), our servant travels to the nearest mall to purchase them. “I am Sonali. I just got married and stay with my husband in Bangalore. Both of us are working in startups, where work-life is hectic. We’ve hired a maid who cooks for us. Through at-home meals, my husband I get to spend some time together. Moreover, outside food is unhealthy lacks homely taste. We stock-up grocery twice a month either online or from the nearby mall. We are particular obout purchasing certain healthy products every time (e.g. multigrain flour, refined oil). 22% 35+ 14 Lacs+ 4-6 Married couple with parents, with or without grown up kids Maid + Self 20% 25-35 9-12 Lacs 2 Married couple without kids Maid Quality seekers Affluent foodies Young busy couple Note: 1. The above table Indicates core convenience-first personas, but is not exhaustive; 2. Represents age-group of HH member who makes the purchase decision
  • 32. Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users Page - 32 Addressable HHs grocery purchase behavior analysis Price sensitivity, Need for wider assortment, Need for timely access Size of the bubble indicates need for faster access – more the size, higher the need Summarizing the difference in the purchase behavior priorities of the two types of eGrocery addressable households – while value-first households prefer to get the best priced products, with a basic assortment and limited unplanned / emergency needs, convenience-first households prefer wider exotic assortment, have lots of unplanned / emergency requirements and are less sensitive towards pricing. Young bachelors Housewife-led family Traditional budget conscious family Young busy couple Quality seekers Affluent foodies High Need for wider assortment High Low Low Price sensitivity eGrocery use-case: provide wide assortment of products with faster delivery options eGrocery use-case: provide value basic product offerings, focused on planned deliveries
  • 33. Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users Page - 33 3 Thekeytoserve thevalue-first opportunitythrough eGrocery
  • 34. Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users Page - 34 Q. In case of online grocery delivery platforms, what is your preferred delivery time? % Respondents “My grocery purchases are mostly planned and hence 1-2 days of delivery time is good enough. I’m not willing to pay higher for a faster delivery.” -Value-first consumer, Jaipur “As long as I get the lower prices online for household grocery items, I don’t mind the product getting delivered in 2-3 days” -Value-first consumer, Pune “It is very rare that I order something that I need in a matter of 2 hours or 6 hours. I’m generally willing to wait from my order to be delivered.” -Value-first consumer, Ajmer “We purchase very basic products online to have a simple meal with the family. We do not need to buy any exotic products that require immediate deliveries.” -Velue-first consumer, Mumbai Consumers Speak 17% 19% 15% 30% 19% Value-first HHs Within 2 days Scheduled delivery zone Within 12 to 24 hours Within 6 to 12 hours Within 2 to 6 hours Within 2 hours N=402 Most value-first users who preferred faster deliveries, were unwilling to pay for them (as per consumer IDIs) ~65% value-first respondents prefer online groceries to be delivery between 6 hours to 2 days Whatavalue-firsthousehold expectseGroceryplatforms Scheduled deliveries As value-first households tend to plan their grocery purchase in advance, most of them are receptive towards getting the groceries delivered under scheduled delivery duration. Almost 2/3rd of the value-first households surveyed were open to getting the products delivered between 6 hours to 2 days. ~65% value-firstrespondentsprefer onlinegroceriestobedelivery between6hoursto2days
  • 35. Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users Page - 35 Value-first households – Online purchase behavior by Category (Changes due to COVID) As per Consumer Surveys Full-basket Coverage Pre-COVID, most value-first eGrocery users were reluctant to order fresh groceries online – they ordered staples, packaged FB and personal care/ home care products online and purchased fruits / vegetables, dairy and meat from offline stores. However, during the COVID lockdown period, the value-first households’ demand for ordering fruits / vegetables online, significantly increased and is likely to sustain in the post-COVID era. Moreover, despite being a preferred online category for value-first households pre-COVID, staples experienced a surge in online demand during COVID and is likely to see further increase post COVID. Other categories like packaged FB and fresh meat, are also expected to see a decent increase in online share post COVID. Hence, value-first households are now expecting online platforms to provide complete coverage of their grocery basket, including previously unpreferred fresh category. eGrocery Category Pre-COVID Online Preference COVID Period Increase Expected Shift Post COVID Takeaways (% Respondents preferring online channel for purchase) (% Respondents citing increase in purchase through online channel) (% Change in online share in overall grocery spend – post vs pre-COVID – cited by respondents) Packaged Foods + RTC / RTE 69% 31% 13% Strong online preference pre- COVID and decent increase expected post COVID Beverages 66% 28% 12% Staples 62% 49% 20% Strong preference – both pre and post COVID FV 42% 52% 23% Limited preference pre-COVID, but strong increase expected post COVID Meat Fish 34% 25% 17% Limited preference pre-COVID and decent increase expected post COVID Degree of online preference Positive Negative
  • 36. Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users Page - 36 Value-first households – Key Purchase Themes (post COVID) Affordable, but hygienic purchase Affordability has always been the most important purchase criteria for value-first households. However, post COVID, hygiene and quality have become highly important. As per the recent surveys, more than 40% value-first households cited that they are willing to spend more for superior hygiene quality products, which includes products with well packaging, trusted well-known brands, fresh clean items and expiry monitoring. At the same time, there is an increased reluctance towards unpackaged / loose products, and local / unknown brands. Trade-up for better hygiene quality 40% Value-first users willing to spend more for superior hygiene quality products 1. Well packaged products 2. Trusted well-known brands 3. Fresh clean items 4. Expiry monitoring 1. Unpackaged / loose products 2. Local / unknown brands
  • 37. Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users Page - 37 eGrocery private labels can aptly serve this unique demand for affordable as well as hygienic / good quality products. Most leading eGrocery platforms have developed a solid portfolio of private labels available at lower prices and manufactured / packaged by trusted eGrocery brands. Value-first households – Key Purchase Themes (post COVID) Product Hygiene Quality (well packaged, fresh clean products, trusted brands) Leading eGrocery Private Label Brands (Selected Examples) eGrocery Private Label Products Pricing / Affordability (Low priced products, non-premium brands)
  • 38. Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users Page - 38 Theuniteconomicsofserving value-firsthouseholds High stickiness As the most important thing for the value-first households is affordability, they tend to stick to the platform or store that provides them their desired benefits. D-Mart is a great example – its offerings (e.g. Everyday Low pricing, regional flavor, limited product / brand range) are tailored according to the value-first requirements and hence it enjoys a solid consumer retention. Value-first households – Key Purchase Themes (post COVID) “Loyalty of a D-Mart’s customer is very high, since low prices develop habitual buying patterns and high trust among the price-sensitive people. It has been largely observed that a D-Mart’s customer purchases bulk groceries only from D-Mart and nowhere else, which has been a key driver of success for the leading retail hypermarket.” - Expert, India Retail SolidCustomer Retention for D-Mart Serving price-sensitive customers Provides one-stop shop value retail to customers who consciously compare prices to get the best deals (mostly belonging to low-middle income group HHs) Lowest prices offered Most products have at least 6-7% extra discounts compared to competitors in Every Day low prices (EDLP) Regional Goods Area-specific products catering to unique consumption habits aimed at competing with Kiranas High volume Sales Low price leads to high footfall in the store leading to high sales volume Hyperlocal marketplace models The focus is clear: daily consumption goods + well known brands + limited options
  • 39. Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users Page - 39 — High user stickiness has been the primary driver of its revenue growth in the last few years, wherein D-Mart has grown much faster than its competitors, who do not have a value-first offering. D-Mart Revenue Growth - Benchmarked vs Future Retail USD Bn 1.7 1.8 2.1 2.8 3.5 2.0 2.1 CY 16 CY 17 CY 18 CY 19 Future Retail D-Mart 7% 27% X Future retail had a combined store area of ~16 Mn Sq. Ft. in CY 19 i.e. 2x of the D-Mart’s combined store area (~ 8 Mn sq. ft.) Indicates 3 Yr. CAGR % Source: Annual Report
  • 40. Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users Page - 40 Favorable Unit Economics Driven by the basic requirements of value-first households and their ability to stick to the affordable platforms, the unit economics of serving the value-first households online are very promising. Most of the determinants of profitability (bulk purchase, assortment, private labels, delivery cost, stickiness) are in the favor of value-first households, when compared with convenience-first households. eGrocery Household Attribute Comparison Summary Value-first Households Convenience- first Households Details Demand for lower prices / high discounts High Moderate Discounts provided by platform reduce the net income Bulk purchase behavior High Moderate Bulk purchase leads to high AOV, which reduces the fulfillment cost per order value Assortment need Limited Very wide Limited assortment gives a better ability to negotiate margins with brands; Private label opennness High Moderate High gross margins led by own manufacturing Fast delivery demand Low High Low cost of fulfillment in case of scheduled delivery (as orders can be batched) vs on-demand Stickiness to one platform Moderate – High Moderate – High Type of provider / platform plays a huge role in consumer stickiness, hence uncertain at a HH level. But high stickiness, reduces marketing spend by the platform. Impact on profitability Positive Negative
  • 41. Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users Page - 41 In terms of the overall structure, while an eGrocery platform serving the value-first household could lose out on gross margins, it could save significantly on supply chain costs, because of very efficient supply chain requirements of delivering groceries to a value-first household (mostly reliant on scheduled deliveries). As a result, the typical contribution margins associated with serving a value-first household, tend to be much favorable than that of a convenience-first household. eGrocery business models – Unit economics comparison % of Fulfilled GMV Parameters Value-first Households Convenience- first Households Details Commission / Margin (including additional income) 15% 22% High margins attained from pvt. label sales brand tie ups, are passed on to the value-first HHs to provide cheaper products – leading to drop in platform commissions Cashback (-)2.0% (-)2.0% Both types of HHs are interested in buying better priced products, instead of cashback that can be used later Supply chain cost (-)10% (-)20% Significantly high cost of supply chain to serve convenient-first HHs, due to on- demand delivery needs and low AOV Payment gateway cost (-)1.5% (-)1.5% No difference, depending on HH needs – could vary by platform Marketing expense (-)4.0% (-)4.0% No difference from HH perspective – could significantly vary by platform Contribution Margins (-)2.5% (-)5.5% Impact on profitability Positive Negative ~3% bettercontributionmargins forservingvalue-firstHHsvs convenience-firstHHsonline.
  • 42. Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users Page - 42 This gets further confirmed by looking at D-Mart’s profitability trend. Riding on the favorable unit economics of serving a value-first household, D-Mart has been able to further improve upon a healthy +7% EBITDA in the past few years and achieve 8-9% EBITDA range. Cheaper procurement, lower store rents and efficient space utilization has enabled D-Mart to attain such a promising profitability. D-Mart Profitability Trend % of Revenue from operations 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.0% 8.0% 9.0% 10.0% FY 15 FY 16 FY 17 FY 18 FY 19 EBITDA % Net Profit (after tax) % Lower procurement costs through better vendor relationships (built via faster payable settlements), enable the provision of consumer discounts Self-owned stores helped D-Mart in reducing rental costs Store locations in residential areas to avoid high real estate locations like malls Efficient space utilization, limited billing counters and basic maintenance interiors drive lower operational expenses D-Mart Profitability Drivers
  • 43. Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users Page - 43 Value-first GMV Forecasts Operating on a huge profitable opportunity, the value-first eGrocery segment is projected to grow faster than the eGrocery market and account for ~55% of the eGrocery market in 2025. Value-first segment is estimated to grow at 53% CAGR, as opposed to convenience-first segment at 44% CAGR. eGrocery Market Estimates GMV, USD Bn 1.5 1.8 13 11 48% 3.3 2020F 2025F 24 53% 44% 9 11 Convenience-first HH Spend Value-first HH Spend ~55% oftheeGrocerymarketin2025will beledbyvalue-firsthouseholds.
  • 44. Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users Page - 44 eGroceryPlatformsservingthe value-firstneeds eGrocery Business Models As observed in the previous sections, the value-first grocery opportunity in India is very attractive, but it requires eGrocery platforms to serve it via specific tailored offerings. Value-first Households eGrocery Requirements What is important? What is not-so important? Potential elements to be covered in eGrocery platform offerings 1. Best-priced products 2. Bulk-purchase benefits 3. Hygiene quality 4. Availability of key categories Lowest prices Bundled / multi-pack purchase offers Festive sale Private labels (packaged) Availability of limited, but well-known brands X-category coverage (including FV) Scheduled deliveries (more than 12 hours TAT) 1. Fast deliveries 2. Wide assortment
  • 45. Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users Page - 45 Key Business Model Developments Player case studies (Selected Examples) Profile Strategic Choices Grofers is the leading value-first eGrocery platform in India. It was probably the first eGrocery platform to truly realize the potential of the value-first space in India and tailors its offerings accordingly. Grofers follows a private-label led EDLP (Every Day Low Pricing) strategy to delivery affordable products at consumer’s doorstep via scheduled delivery. It offers a targeted assortment, drives retention through its loyalty program, leverages the local network of stores for delivery and follows a cluster based growth strategy. Marketplace express delivery solving for convenience EDLP (Every Day Low Pricing) strategy, riding on savings-based value prop Delivering orders profitably at consumers doorstep Private label led EDLP (Every Day Low Pricing) strategy, powered with local entreprenuer led supply chain network Founded 2013 Founders Albinder Dhindsa, Saurabh Kumar CEO Albinder Dhindsa Headquarters Gurugram, India Total Funding USD 472 Mn+ Major Investors Tiger global, Sequoia Capital, Softbank Vision Fund, Apoletto Asia, KTB ADCG Value first Target households Convenience-first Express Micro Delivery model Scheduled SKU – 2000+ Assortment Brands – 280+ 2015 2018 2017 2020
  • 46. Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users Page - 46 Key strategic elements Private label focus Riding on its private label offering to provide low-priced hygienic products to its value-first users. 30% of SKUs are private labels. Cluster based growth strategy Grofers follows a cluster based expansion strategy to go deeper into Tier 2, 3 4 cities having a population of ~1mn and above. From their warehouse in Delhi they are serving cities like Sonipat, Panipat, Meerut, Chandigarh, Aligarh, Bhiwadi, Moradabad. Loyalty Program Grofers has a loyalty program called Grofers Smart Bachat Club which offers cheaper prices, exclusive offers priority support to its enrolled members, ~70% of the GMV is driven by the loyal users on the platform Local Entrepreneur-led Supply Chain Local partners enabled micro warehousing for storage of orders (drop points) that are picked and delivered by local delivery partners it to the customers’ doorstep. 95% of the orders are fulfilled by the local network close to the customers. Customer centric shopping experience To enchance the everyday grocery shopping experience, Grofers introduced multiple personalised widgets (to save more) and games like spin the wheel, lucky draw (to enjoy and win prizes) for the consumers Focused Assortment Grofers focuses on providing a targeted assortment, considering the needs of its target users who are not interested in choice or variety of products / brands
  • 47. Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users Page - 47 A unique thing that stands out for Grofers is its end to end technology enabled supply chain, largely managed by local entrepreneurs. From sourcing to warehousing to drop points to delivery, each step is highly organized with the help of technology. Once the packaged orders leave from the warehouse, everything including drop point management to doorstep delivery, is executed by local entrepreneurs (e.g. travel agent, mobile recharge shop owners etc.) who reside closer to the end consumer. Typical Grofers Delivery Process Key Highlights: 1. Grofers has significantly organized the unorganized supply chain with the help of technology 2. Once the packaged orders leave from the warehouse, everything is run via partnership with local entrepreneurs (e.g. travel agent, mobile recharge shop owners etc.) and not Grofers 3. The packed orders go to micro-warehousing stores (drop points) managed by local entrepreneurs who are in proximity to the end consumers and deliver to their doorstep Collective Sourcing (Brands + Private labels) Drop Points managed by local entrepreneurs Doorstep Delivery by local entrepreneurs Warehousing
  • 48. Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users Page - 48 Through a solid value-first model run by Grofers, which includes high private label share, low cost supply chain and a sticky userbase, Grofers has aptly demonstrated the profitability of serving the value-first opportunity. It improved greatly on unit economics last year, wherein it garnered higher margins through direct brand tie ups increased private label sales and reduced its marketing / cashback spend, owing to organic eGrocery demand last year and high value-first stickiness. Grofers Case Study – Unit Economics % of Fulfilled GMV Parameters Pre-COVID (Dec’19) COVID Period (Jun’20) Details Commission / Margin (including other income) 12% 15% Higher sale of private labels, coupled with brands tie ups during COVID, led to higher commissions Cashback (-)6% (-)1% Significant drop in discounts as online grocery gained organic preference during COVID Supply chain cost (-)9% (-)8% Customer category penetration increased during COVID, driving higher AOV and hence lower cost of delivery as % of order value Payment gateway cost (-)1% (-)1% No major change Marketing expense (-)8% (-)1% Significant reduction in marketing spend as eGrocery adoption was mostly organic during COVID Contribution Margins (-)12% 4% Impact on profitability Positive Negative — Grofers currently operates on +4% positive CMs, truly harnessing the profitable value-first opportunity.
  • 49. Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users Page - 49 Key Business Model Developments Profile Strategic Choices JioMart launched its eGrocery service last year across 200 cities, focusing on the value-first demand in Tier 2+ markets. It received solid backing by the leading investors from all over the world, including tech giants Facebook Google. Aiming to effectively serve the value-first needs, JioMart delivers products via scheduled delivery model, offers lucrative discounts, has a good private label range and provides free deliveries without any minimum order value. It has helped in expanding the eGrocery sector’s reach across 200 cities, harnessing the untapped demand in Tier 2+ markets with the help of Reliance’s / Jio’s strong brand presence. Founded April 2020 Chairman Mukesh Ambani Headquarters Mumbai, India Total Funding $20 Bn (all Jio Platforms) Major Investors Silverlake, Facebook, Google, Mubadala, Vista, TPG, General Atlantic, ADIA Value-first Target households Convenience-first Express Micro Delivery model Scheduled SKU – 2000+ Assortment Brands – 280+ Facebook-Jio deal, later attracted funding from all investors including Google eGrocery service launched across 200 cities in India Focusing on including other retail categories like electronics, fashion etc. Free deliveries provided, without any min. order value Apr’20 May’20 Jun’20 Jul’20
  • 50. Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users Page - 50 Key strategic elements Hybrid Model Inventory will be a mix of local Kirana and Reliance retail (fresh, smart etc.) stores, to ensure better fill rates O2D. Delivery points (Smart Points) setup to service the demand better. Fresh Offering Implemented via existing Reliance Fresh offline retail stores. Private label focus Reliance private labels are the focus SKUs for JioMart (enjoy prominent website space) – to help will better monetization margins Free Delivery Orders placed on JioMart are free of any delivery charge no minimum order amount limit is applicable. Tier 2+ Reach The only eGrocery platform to have presence across ~200 cities, riding on huge pool of Jio users in Tier 2+ cities, who have a strong brand trust for Reliance. Discounts High discounts across categories to attract consumers – providing ‘minimum 5% below MRP’ on selected products.
  • 51. Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users Page - 51 JioMart has the capability to enable fulfillment via Reliance retail stores. It is building extensive Kirana partnerships to help them procure groceries via its organized eB2B channel and leverages those partnerships to fulfill the eGrocery demand as well. Currently, the Kirana-led fulfillment accounts for only 5% of JioMart’s eGrocery business and rest is led by Reliance retail stores. In future, JioMart is looking to increase its Kirana fulfillment share and is also looking to build dark stores in geographies with limited Reliance retail presence. JioMart Order Flow for B2C Online Customer Return End Customer Dedicated Delivery Boy Same Shop Staff basis availability Same Day Delivery Next Day Delivery / Cancel Product Available Unavailable B2B Fulfilment via 5% fulfilment1 95% fulfilment1 Kirana Check Product Availability Smart Point Reliance Smart 3PL In-House Reliance Retail Check Product Availability Two Day Delivery Cancel Products Reliance Fresh Available Unavailable A A B Customers has option to return the damaged/ wrong product during the time of delivery. Otherwise, platform offers refund for low value items rather than doing reverse pickup. Pin Code based decision on fulfilling, first, Reliance Retail, and, second, an associated Kirana
  • 52. Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users Page - 52 We conducted ~4500+ surveys with consumers having different online maturity level and belonging to different city tiers income groups. In addition to the quantitative surveys, ~40 in-depth consumer interviews were performed to understand the in-depth consumer insights. 29% 56% 15% eGrocery user eGrocery non-user - online shopper eGrocery non-user - offline shopper 41% 19% 40% Tier 2+ Tier 1 Metro Annual Income City tier 24% 43% 23% 10% 12-16 Lacs 8-12 Lacs 4-8 Lacs 4 Lacs Total surveys performed (N) = 4500 Methodology Consumer Research
  • 53. Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users Page - 53 Addressable market sizing Online Service Users in India Consumers transacting for services online (e.g. banking/ recharge) but may not buy products online Source: RedSeer IP eGrocery addressable households From (1) Online Service User to Household Conversion Factor Source: RedSeer IP Yearly grocery purchase frequency per household Source: Consumer surveys Online Service Using Households (Number of Households) Average Order Value (AOV) of grocery purchase per household Source: Consumer surveys Households unaware of eGrocery and unwilling to try eGrocery services Source: Consumer surveys eGrocery Addressable Wallet. (USD Bn) eGrocery addressable households (Number of Households) 1. Calculation Methodology – eGrocery addressable households 2. Calculation Methodology - eGrocery addressable Wallet X X X = = - =
  • 54. Indian eGrocery - A promising opportunity led by value-first users Page - 54 Glossary SN Keywords Definition 1 Grocery Products sold in a grocer’s shop – includes fresh (fruits vegetables, dairy products, meat), staples, packaged foods, beverages, home care and personal care 2 eB2B Grocery Online platforms that facilitate online sourcing of grocery products for retailers (mostly Kiranas) 3 eB2C Grocery or eGrocery Online platforms that enable online ordering and delivery of groceries to consumers (does not include BPC fashion verticals like Nykaa, Purplle, Myntra) 4 USD US Dollar, 1 USD = INR 70 (unless otherwise specified) 5 Metro Cities Mumbai, Delhi, Bangalore, Chennai, Hyderabad, Kolkata, Pune and Ahmedabad (8 cities) 6 Tier 1 Cities Non-metro cities with population more than 1 Mn (54 cities) 7 Tier 2+ Cities Non-metro cities with population less than 1 Mn (4400+ cities) 8 Stock-up Purchase of grocery items in bulk amounts, mostly once or twice a month 9 Non-daily Top-up Purchase of grocery items in limited amounts, mostly once or twice a week 10 Daily Top-up Purchase of everyday grocery items (milk, bread etc.) 11 Unorganized grocery Local grocery retail shops (Kirana stores) 12 Organized BM grocery Modern grocery retail shops (supermarkets, hypermarkets, convenience stores) 13 Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) Refers to selling price of the orders placed on the eGrocery platforms, excluding cashbacks
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