This document provides an overview of the foreclosure market and opportunities for buying foreclosed properties. It discusses the three stages of foreclosure - pre-foreclosure, auction, and bank-owned - and outlines the availability and potential savings at each stage. The document also examines national foreclosure trends, best markets for buying foreclosures, and top banks to work with for REOs and short sales.
9. REASON 1: AVAILABILITY
Nearly 1.5 million U.S. properties in some stage of foreclosure
REO inventory
REO inventory
represents 16-
represents 16-
month supply at
month supply at
current REO sales
current REO sales
pace
pace
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28. PAST THE PEAK NATIONWIDE
March 2010 was absolute peak
March 2010 was absolute peak
with rolling average of 336,909
with rolling average of 336,909
total foreclosure filings
total foreclosure filings
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29. 5+ YEARS ELEVATED FORECLOSURES
• From January 2007 to Aug 2012 nationwide
• More than 9 million foreclosure starts
• These can be NODs, foreclosure lawsuits or scheduled
foreclosure auctions, depending on the state
• Nearly 4.5 million completed foreclosures
• These are REOs, or properties repossessed by the lender
through foreclosure
• More than 1.9 million pre-foreclosure sales
• Typically short sales or sales at foreclosure auction
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34. IMPLICATIONS
• Fewer opportunities to buy bank-owned in the short
term except in some select states
• But increase in foreclosure starts mean more short
sales in the next six to 12 months and more REOs in
next 12 to 18 months
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35. DISPOSING OF DISTRESS: REO SALES
REO sales decreased 31
REO sales decreased 31
percent from aayear ago in the
percent from year ago in the
second quarter of 2012
second quarter of 2012
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37. REO SALE ACTIVITY SUMMARY
• From Q1 2007 to Q2 2012
• More than 2.7 million REO sales nationwide
• Average REO sales price nationwide spiked 10 percent in
Q2 from year ago, but still down 22 percent from peak in
Q2 2008
• Average REO sales price in Q2 2012 was $155,892, 37
percent below average non-foreclosure price
• Accounted for 12 percent of all sales in Q2 2012
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38. DISPOSING OF DISTRESS: SHORT SALES
Pre-foreclosure sales hit 3-yea
Pre-foreclosure sales hit 3-yea
high in first quarter of 2012
high in first quarter of 2012
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40. SHORT SALE ACTIVITY SUMMARY
From Q1 2007 to Q2 2012
•More than 1.9 million pre-foreclosure sales nationwide
•Average pre-foreclosure sales price decreased 1 percent in
second quarter from year ago and was down 28 percent
from peak in Q1 2007
•Average pre-foreclosure sales price of $185,062, 26 percent
below the average price of non-foreclosures
•Pre-foreclosure sales accounted for 11 percent of all sales in
Q2 2012
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41. FORECLOSURE MARKET OUTLOOK
• Foreclosure activity in late 2012 and into 2013 will
continue to increase off artificially low levels of 2011 and
early 2012 – but not in every market.
• Foreclosure activity will not return to the peak of 2010
(depending on market), and foreclosure activity will
resume its downward trend in 2013.
• Biggest increases will come in states with the biggest
backlogs created in 2011: Florida, Maryland,
Massachusetts and eventually even New Jersey and New
York
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42. PRICES AND PRICING SETTING STAGE
• Average price of foreclosures up in some areas, in part
because of artificially limited supply
• Detroit foreclosure sales prices up 18 percent
• Miami foreclosure sales prices up 9 percent
• Phoenix foreclosure sales prices up 18 percent
• Lenders are pricing bank-owned and short sales more
aggressively
• “We’re pricing things to sell.We’re not holding onto anything thinking that
values are going to come back … I don’t think anybody is in that mode.
… It’s almost like you have to price properties to sell or your inventory is
going to explode.” – Executive with mortgage servicer in Wisconsin whose
company services mortgages nationwide.
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43. BUYERS & INVESTORS READY
• “Investors are back, they’re paying cash, they’re excited about
the deals they’re getting and they’re buying multiples” – Kandy
Clayton, broker/owner at Clayton & Associates Real Estate in Sandy, Utah
• “We have a backlog of buyers we are working with that just
can't find the right home based on the homes that continue to
come to market. 2012 will be a nice turnaround year and
once interest rates begin to rise we believe many of these
buyers will come off the fence and make a move before this
market changes.” – Ian Whitelaw, broker/owner at Central Properties Group
in Oakland County, Mich.
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