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WELCOME
GROUP 5
Atikur Rahman
Rafiqul Islam
Rehnuma Hoque
Razibul Islam
So, what are we dealing with?
“ Financial Estimates And Projection”
Why is it necessary in a project?
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3.  Can we earn a satisfactory return on the investment made in the project?
1. Technical appraisal 2. Market and demand appraisal 3. Financial appraisal
Let’s hear a story about a Project
Mr. Geek
Miss. Cute
Geek & Cute Ltd.
One day Mr. Geek was driving his car
At that time he saw that there were Green Coconuts selling on the street
But he couldn’t because that won’t be polite
Then again he saw there was Sugar Cane juice selling on the street
And again he couldn’t because that is unhygienic
Suddenly he got an idea and called his business partner Miss. Cute
And his idea was
To sell these Green Coconut water Sugar Cane Juice Date Juice
Into these forms Green Coconut water Sugar Cane Juice Date Juice
And Miss. Cute happily agreed with Mr. Geek’s plan
So, let’s get started
Estimated Cost of the Project
Estimated Means of Finance
Now, we are going to find out
1. Profitability Estimates 2. Projected Cash Flow 3. Projected Balance Sheet
Profitability Estimates
The company would work for 300 days on a 2 shift basis. The installed capacity on this basis works out to 2880 TPA. The company will start production on April 1, of the year 1. The expected capacity utilization will be 50 percent in the first year, 60 percent in the second year and 70 percent for the third year and beyond.
2880*.50=1440 2880*.60=1728 2880*.70=2016
The average sales realization per kg of the product will be 12, net of excise duty.
1440*12/1000=17.28 1728*12/1000=20.74 2016*12/1000=24.19
The cost of raw materials and consumables will be 65 percent of sales; the cost of power will be 4 percent of sales.
17.28*.65=11.23 17.28*.04=.69
Wages and salaries are expected to be 0.9 million, 1 million and 1.2 million for the first, second, and third operating years. Thereafter, they would rise at the rate of 5 percent per year.
1.2+(1.2*.05)=1.26
Factory overhead expenses will be 50000 for the first year. They will increase at the rate of 6 percent per year subsequently.   Administration expenses will be 100000 per year.   Selling expenses will be 10 percent of sales.
 
 
 
The term loan will be repaid in 16 equal half yearly installments, with the first installment falling due at the end of the second operating year. The interest rate on the outstanding term loan will be 14 percent.  
Term Loan Calculation
6.4/16=0.4 .4 .4 6.4*.14*.50
The bank finance for working capital will cost 18 percent.
The suppliers of raw materials and consumables will provide trade credit for half a month.
Working Capital Calculation
(11.23*1.5)/12 (11.23*.03)/12 (11.23*.5)/12 (17.28*1)/12
3.39*.25
1.4*.5/1.5
 
 
The depreciation for company law purposes are as follows:
The depreciation rates for income tax purposes are as follows, under the written down value method:
Depreciation calculations
 
8.49 0.39*1.15/8.49
0.39*.75/8.49
 
1.83*.0334 7.59*.0809 0.49*.0515
Building: 1) 1.83*.1=0.183, 2) (1.83-0.183)*.1=0.165 Plant and Machinery and Misc. fixed assets: 1) (7.59+.49)*.333=2.693, 2) (8.08-2.693)*.333=1.795
 
 
The preliminary expenses may be written off in 10 equal installments
0.2/10=0.02
The income tax rate applicable is 45 percent. Further 30 percent of Gross Total Income will be allowed as deduction.
Tax Calculations
 
 
 
-1.59-0.12=-1.71
 
0.78*.30=0.234
0.55*0.45=0.25
 
The firm plans to pay dividend from the second year. The dividend rate is proposed to be 12 percent for second year. Thereafter, it would be enhanced by 2 percent every alternate year.  
 
 
Projected Cash Flow Statements
.59+.90+.37 2.48-2.07 2.92-2.48
11.44-.85-.20 6.4-6.4 6.4-6.0 6.0-5.2 3.39-.47 4.06-.56-2.92 4.78-.66-.58
.85 .85+.46 1.31+.81
Projected Balance Sheets
.59+.66 1.25+1.18
 
 
It’s decision time
After analyzing the Profitability Estimates, Projected Cash flow statements and Projected Balance Sheet, Mr. Geek and Miss Cute find the project feasible
And they decided to go for it
Coffee with Dr. Mahfuzul Hoque
Public Opinion
Thank You
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