Anzeige

IFP Team 56 Final Report Bryan Walkey V33 Master

10. Apr 2016
Anzeige

Más contenido relacionado

Similar a IFP Team 56 Final Report Bryan Walkey V33 Master(20)

Anzeige

IFP Team 56 Final Report Bryan Walkey V33 Master

  1. A&L Canada Laboratories Inc. Opportunity in the Precision Agriculture Industry Team 56 Sid Aiyar, Simon Clark, Harpreet Marwah, Rayner Mendes, Kelsey Paskell, Claire Sandilands EIR: Bryan Walkey
  2. Executive Summary • Project objectives: • Go to market strategy that includes Marketing, Internal Decisions, and Operations Strategy • Break even within 18 months of operations • Realize 18% ROI within second year of operations • Recommendations: • Target consultants and farms over 2,000 acres • Use product advocates, a whitepaper, trade shows and print/electronic advertising • Price $24,670 - $28,670 • Hire a division manager 2 Impact • Breakeven in 2016 • 19.2% ROI • 88 total units sold in 2019 • Implicit value of $1.63 million
  3. Within this section: Precision Agriculture Overview Competitive Analysis and Positioning A&L’s Product and Unique Selling Proposition Target Market and Marketing Efforts Pricing and Projections Marketing
  4. Precision Agriculture and its Benefits For the farmer, precision systems provide meaningful benefits that justify the investment. 4 Reduce Time Surveying Crops Minimize Impact of DiseasesReduce Costs of Inputs Improve Yields Research suggests that a farmer could save up to 33% on fertilizer alone.
  5. Competitive Analysis Many competitors fail to focus on benefits to the end consumer, and market their specifications in isolation of each other. Competitor Image Precision Ease of Use Processing Speed Retail Price (basic package) Variety of Options Offered eBee Ag by SenseFly 2 cm per pixel Fixed wing Proprietary autopilot Flight planning 1 hour 617 - 823 acres $25,000 Multiple models Multiple sensors Additional accessories Lancaster Hawkeye by Precision Hawk 1 cm per pixel Fixed wing Autopilot Results analysis ND $25,000 Multiple sensors Multiple cameras Analysis provided free AgDrone by Honeycomb 3.2 - 4.6 cm per pixel Fixed wing Autopilot Flight planning Results analysis 1 hour 750 - 1,000 acres $15,000 Multiple sensors Tablet with built-in software A&L 1.5 cm per pixel Fixed wing Open-sourced autopilot Flight planning 1 hour 900 – 1,200 acres $24,670 Single sensor Single model 5
  6. Competitive Positioning SenseFly and PrecisionHawk present the greatest threat from a financial and human capital perspective. Financial Capabilities Innovation & Expertise Service End-to-End Solution Sensor • Parrot: $96.9 million (cash) • 2013 revenues $6.3 million • 427 internal full-time employees and 75 external contractors • Not disclosed • Import data into eMotion, and provides images, immediate feedback • Poor quality • $10 million in Series B financing • Investors: Intel Capital and CEO of Hulu.com • Significant lead time • Data upload via Cloud; $0.10 per acre for data processing & $0.20 per acre for data storage • Poor quality 6 Competitors’ access to resources presents a threat to A&L. However, their lack of high-quality product and service is an opportunity that A&L can and should capitalize on.
  7. A&L’s Product Offering & USP The UAV provides a unique end-to-end solution that addresses pain points experienced by farmers. A&L’s Product Offering 7 Autopilot Stitching Software Cloud Mapping Image Sensor A&L will only be able to sustain its competitive advantage once they can develop and monetize prescription algorithms NDVI Light Sensor
  8. 8 Potential Target Markets – Consultants Consultants have been early adopters of technological innovation and can be used to increase brand recognition. Total Market Size (1,800) Size of the Actionable Market in FY2015 Actionable (200) Accessible (300) Expected (9)
  9. 9 Potential Target Markets – Large Farms Large farms are the consumer group that receives the greatest direct benefit from the product.
  10. 10 Potential Target Markets – Crop Insurers Crop insurers could see $1.2 million in cost savings on seasonal workers if they were to utilize UAV technology. $1.2 million Savings assuming workers are paid $15/hr, 8 hours/day for 40 days 90,000 Yearly claims 2,250 Temp workers needed 750 Workers with UAVs 1,500 Fewer seasonal workers needed after investment
  11. 11 Market Strategy and Marketing Efforts Direct sales to consultants and large farms presents itself as the optimal short-term strategy. Medium-Term (2018-2019)Short Term (2015-2017) Long-Term (2020 onwards) Consultants Farmers Crop Insurers Distribution through Retailers Whitepapers & Publications Leasing to Consultants Trade Shows Paradigm Precision
  12. Farmers’ Willingness to Pay 12 Pricing Considerations When pricing the UAV, A&L needs to primarily consider the value to the end user. Competitors’ Pricing Market Signalling Production Costs $12,875 $17,167 $21,459 $25,751 $30,042 $34,334 $38,626 $42,918 $0 $5,000 $10,000 $15,000 $20,000 $25,000 $30,000 $35,000 $40,000 $45,000 $50,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 5,000 Acreage Yearly Input Savings Yearly Potential Yield Increase Basic Price ($24,670) Premium Price ($28,670) Product Packages Basic Safety Premium $24,470 $26,920 $28,670
  13. A&L can give customers flexibility and the option to customize their UAV solution by offering different product packages. 13 Pricing Considerations & Projections 22 23 28 31 22 23 28 31 20 23 26 9 44 66 79 88 0 20 40 60 80 100 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Consultants Large Farms Crop Insurers 5-Year Unit Sales Projections
  14. Establishing the UAV Division Within this section: Internal Capabilities & Requirements The Division Manager Positioning within A&L Projected Financial Performance
  15. Current Capabilities Internal Capabilities & Requirements • Research and Analytics • Only 3 full-time employees • Strong relationships with farmers and consultants • Continuous improvement, which has resulted in late to market • Only one R&D employee 15 Requirements • Build manufacturing capabilities: • Leverage existing personnel for sales and marketing • Hire a division manager • Hire one additional full-time employee for production and testing • Seek out additional human capital for research and development from top universities Human Capital Capacity Constraints Core Competencies A&L’s core competencies lie in agricultural research and analytics where they have developed strong relationships.
  16. Phantom StockSalary ResponsibilitiesEducation and Expertise The Division Manager 16 A&L should hire a division manager with strong business acumen, leadership skills, and experience within agriculture. • Minimum 2-year business diploma  Basic accounting  Financial projections and modelling  Marketing  Operations and Logistics • Minimum five years Agriculture experience • Product Development experience • 5% phantom stock, redeemable after 5 years, or increasing by 1% thereafter until 2025 • Suggested salary of $70,000 Growth DirectionLeadership Communication
  17. Positioning within A&L A&Ls UAV division will interact closely with other divisions and will benefit directly from the proprietary algorithms developed by other A&L divisions, once they are fully functional. 17 Farmer A&L Biologicals UAV division Paradigm Precision A&L $24,670 for a UAV and $500 for prescriptions Pays of portion of salaries Pays $150 in royalties Illustrative ScenarioPositioning 30% Royalty to A&L for Algorithms Separate Entity Portion of Paradigm Precision’s Salaries
  18. Projected Financial Performance The division has an implied value of approximately $1.63 million. 18 Key Metrics FY'15 FY'16 FY'17 Unit Sales 9 44 66 Revenue $ 247,500 $ 1,210,000 $ 1,815,000 Variable Cost Per Unit 5,970 5,649 5,366 Fixed Costs 317,615 637,837 658,196 EBITDA (150,844) 191,598 604,674 Free Cash Flows (216,963) (30,600) 298,122 Operating Leverage 0.8x 1.9x 2.8x Annual ROI -15.1% 19.2% 60.5% Cumulative ROI -15.1% 4.1% 64.5% Cash Flow Projections (216,963) (246,562) 50,560 440,069 998,746(30,600) 298,122 389,509 558,677 -400,000 -200,000 0 200,000 400,000 600,000 800,000 1,000,000 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Cumulative Free Cash Flows Free Cash Flow $0 $500 $1,000 $1,500 $2,000 $2,500 $3,000 19% 21% 23% 25% 27% 29% 31% Thousands Discount Rate 2.5x 3.5x 4.5x Exit Multiple Valuation Sensitivity $1.63 million
  19. Operations Strategy Within this section: Refining A&L’s Business Model Make versus Buy A&L Training Program
  20. Refining A&L’s Business Model A&L must choose a value discipline that takes into account its capabilities and culture as well as competitors’ strengths. Operational Excellence Product Leadership A&L’s OpportunityValue Disciplines Explained 20 Customer Intimacy • Understanding of the Problem • Customer Relationships • Complete End-To-End Solution
  21. Make vs. Buy A&L should manufacture until critical mass is reached and then consider outsourcing. 21 Assemble UAVs Manufacturing UAVs Explore Alternatives Once Critical Mass is Reached Source Parts in Bulk Reduce Dependence Re-Focus on Core Competencies Explore Partnerships and Joint Ventures
  22. A&L Training Program 22 A&L should offer training sessions that focus on software use as well as flight operations of the UAV. Overview of Training Program Groups of Customers Classroom Component UAV Operations • At Customer Field • Pre-FlightPost-Flight • SFOC Not Required • Autopilot Set-up • Stitching Integration • Troubleshooting • At Customer Location • In London, ON • Group Rates at Hotel
  23. Implementation
  24. Implementation Plan 24 Marketing Activities FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 FY 2019 Activities Dec'14 Mar'15 Jun'15 Sep'15 Dec'15 Mar'16 Jun'16 Sep'16 Dec'16 Mar'17 Jun'17 Sep'17 Dec'17 Mar'18 Jun'18 Sep'18 Dec'18 Mar'19 Jun'19 General Marketing: Website Development $20,000 Publication Advertisements $7,200/Year Whitepaper from MNP $60,000 Promotional Leasing Agreements Trade Shows: $75,000/Year Western Canadian Crop Production Show Canadian Farm Progress Show Canadian Western Agribition Target Market: Consultants Large Farmers Crop Insurers Marketing Activities Sales Efforts Sales & Marketing Division and Operational Activities FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 FY 2019 Activities Dec'14 Mar'15 Jun'15 Sep'15 Dec'15 Mar'16 Jun'16 Sep'16 Dec'16 Mar'17 Jun'17 Sep'17 Dec'17 Mar'18 Jun'18 Sep'18 Dec'18 Mar'19 Jun'19 Manufacturing Efficiencies Production 80 hrs Target Production Time 60 hrs Target Production Time 50 hrs Target Production Time 40 hrs Develop Sales Channels Hire Division Manager Hire Production and Testing Staff Search for Additional Engineering Staff Production 10 units 45 units 70 units 80 units 90 units Sourcing of Bulk Parts Develop Flight Training Program Run Training Programs Ongoing effort Hard Target
  25. Thank you

Hinweis der Redaktion

  1. Variable-rate applicators are used to apply pesticides, fertilizers, fungicides, and nutrients as needed because different crops have varying input requirements. This reduces wastage and improves the overall health of the crop. • According to the Northeast Agriculture Research Foundation, farmers currently overuse fertilizer and can effectively cut fertilizer costs by up to a third with the use of precision ag systems. For example, a canola farmer with 2,000 acres could save up to $50,000 in fertilizer alone. However, our research suggests that average savings are closer to 15%(1) . • Research at Auburn University suggests that guidance systems can provide a 4.3% average input savings with a payback under two years(2). Farmers can expect savings between $1.50 - $25.00/acre/year. The variability in input savings is a function of the crop, management techniques, field shape, and overall size. • Research on the financial impact of UAVs is not yet available because the technology is new and existing players have failed to focus on these benefits. With UAVs, a farmer can effectively survey their entire field and precisely target the plots that require further attention. This frees farmers to engage in value-added activities. UAVs are a convenient method of surveying the health of the land, and have the ability to identify problem areas effectively. This allows farmers to isolate the problem and address the issue in a timely manner. UAVs also offer a cost-efficient way for insurers to assess a farmer’s claim for crop insurance. • Disease can impact yields in a given year significantly and cause extreme financial distress. A disease in a wheat field, for example, can destroy 50% of the crop(3) . This can be the difference between profitability and bankruptcy. GIS has become critical in determining the health of fields and provides the foundation for fertilizer and fungicide prescriptions that can increase yields. • Field-mapping sensors can create vegetative indexes that allow farmers to pinpoint where soil samples make the most impact. • Yield monitors are specially designed to help farmers identify variability in yields, and can be used to create yield maps for planning purposes. Yield maps act as a data source to develop specific management strategies going forward (e.g. nutrient prescription maps, management zones, variable-rate seeding, etc.). Despite the benefits of yield planning, the multitude of variables such as weather, crop rotation, and equipment, make it difficult to quantify yield improvements.
  2. The UAV space is littered with many competitors that provide UAVs for field surveying; however, many systems do not keep the end user in mind. Competitors’ UAVs capture images but farmers struggle to use these to gain any tangible benefits. • Competing UAV systems boast specifications that are taken in isolation and used as a marketing tool. For example, flying at a higher altitude negatively affects the image quality, but positively affects the maximum acres that can be covered in a single charge. As a result, farmers are coerced to compare on specifications that inaccurately depict the true strengths of the UAVs. • Competitors typically focus on the hardware rather than its practical applications, placing the onus on the end user to extrapolate valuable data from the images. Currently, farmers have to wait to process images by uploading them to a cloud service, or in some situations, mailing a USB for analysis. The time delay is further amplified if the images taken are unusable as a result of cloud cover or wind speeds, which no UAV in the market has the ability to account for. The closest competitors have priced their basic UAV package from $15,000 - $25,000, with added packages that can increase this price to $30,000 - $40,000.
  3. Financial Capabilities, Innovation, and Expertise: Competitors’ access to resources presents a threat to A&L. With strong financial backing, competitors will be able to invest heavily into building a better UAV with more operational efficiency. Additionally, these competitors have external support in the form of venture capital networks. Intel Capital, for example, has been recognized as a premier venture capital firm. A&L’s competitive advantage in the UAV space is likely to be short-lived, unless the analytics service can accompany the sale of the UAV. • Service, End-to-End Solution, and Sensor: Competitors’ lack of timely and high-quality service is an opportunity for A&L. Since the technology is new, it is important that A&L differentiate itself by supporting the customer every step of the way. Additionally, A&L’s UAV has been streamlined to improve user-friendliness through automated pre-flight testing and seamless integration with the stitching software. A&L’s plans to develop an in-house sensor that works with their proprietary algorithms will be key to maintaining a long long-term sustainable competitive advantage
  4. The UAV currently utilizes a Canon camera and third-party sensor that is modified with proprietary firmware to pickup near-infrared waves, allowing them to determine Normalized Difference Vegetative Index (NDVI) with greater accuracy than competitors. A&L is in the process of developing a 6-band multispectral sensor that can provide useful output for the company’s crop-specific algorithms, which will enable A&L to provide specific crop health prescriptions without the need of soil sampling. • A&L has developed proprietary code to supplement the open-source autopilot, improving ease of use and reducing the chance of missing parts of the field during a mission. This increases operational availability of the product, which is the time the UAV is available to perform valueadded tasks. The UAV includes a light sensor that matches each picture with a corresponding colour temperature, allowing it to differentiate between pictures that may have been taken in different light conditions (e.g. morning vs. evening). This sensor also liaises with the auto-pilot to allow the UAV to re-fly areas that were covered by clouds. Both of these factors influence the NDVI output. • The frame is made from foam to reduce impact upon landing, and is reinforced with fibre glass to reduce breakage. • The sensor is able to log information in detail for each picture taken during flight. This allows the stitching software to produce a preview image that is cross-referenced on Google Earth to determine if the image was geo-referenced correctly. If not, the farmer is able to immediately cancel the processing of the image, thereby reducing downtime and allowing them to start a new mission immediately. • A&L provides the stitching software to the farmer as part of the basic package, so they are able to perform the stitching of the image on the field. This saves the farmer significant time since they do not need to upload the files to the web, wait for analysis results, and potentially have to re-run the mission if even a single image was unusable. For many farmers, their fields are miles from home; in the event a mission re-run is necessary, this represents a significant loss of time. The ability to save travel and re-flight time represents intangible value to the farmer
Anzeige