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August 2011    to local, international & lifestyle real estate
              4U.S. DEMOGRAPHIC SHIFTS

              The New American Melting Pot
              Over the past several months, a mountain of data from the latest U.S. Census has been gradually
              released to the public. While many news headlines about the 2010 Census have focused on
              population shifts and political implications—debates over where to redraw lines for voting
              districts—the message to real estate agents is loud and clear: the face of America is changing.

                           Any business that wants to position itself for long-term growth needs to sit up and
                                 take note. Tomorrow’s home buyers will not resemble today’s. Increasingly,
                                      the U.S. is becoming a multicultural nation, with recent waves of
                                         immigration playing a major role in reshaping communities.

                                            In light of these developments, past assumptions regarding the origins of
                                            your business and how to best serve future home buyers and sellers need
                                          to be reevaluated.

                                This issue of Global Perspectives helps global agents embark on that path by
                        providing a detailed snapshot of the latest Census data, including key facts about
              changing demographics and implications to real estate professionals.

              Two groups in particular—Hispanics and Asians—will play a growing role in the future U.S. housing
              market. Inside, you’ll also find fresh insights on understanding these groups’ cultural perspectives
              and advice on how to best serve them. GP
4U.S. DEMOGRAPHIC SHIFTS



     The Changing Face
                of America
     Anyone over the age of 30 has probably noticed that television shows, advertising, and even customers at grocery stores look different
     than they did a decade ago. The early findings of the 2010 U.S. Census tell us why. The population has changed dramatically since 2000.
     The American melting pot has become more diverse than ever before, largely due to immigration from Latin America and Asia.

     What does this mean to real estate agents? If you are planning to stay in this business for another ten years or more, you should prepare
     now to serve a multicultural base of clients, no matter where you reside in the U.S.


                                                 The big picture
                                                 The 2010 U.S. Census found that 308.7 million people reside in the United States, an increase of 27.3 million, or
                                                 9.7 percent, over the count in 2000. Topline findings include:

                                                             • The population has gotten older. The segment of people age 55 through 65 grew by
                                                               50 percent. The median age is now 37.2, up from 35.3 ten years ago.
                                                             • Among those who own homes, average household size is 2.65 people.
                                                             • Average family size is 3.14 people.
                                                             • Owner-occupied homes make up 65 percent of occupied housing; 35 percent are rented.

                                                 The real news is that the ethnic population is growing rapidly, and data for minority groups looks different from the
                                                 population as a whole. Minorities grew to be 36 percent of the U.S. population in 2010, up from 31 percent 10 years
                                                 earlier. The largest minority groups were Hispanics (16 percent), African Americans (12 percent) and Asians (5
                                                 percent). White Non-Hispanics were less than two-thirds of the population. Figure 1


                                                 Asian and Hispanic growth skyrockets
                                                 As the fastest growing ethnic groups in the U.S., Asian and Hispanic populations each increased 43 percent since
                                                 the last census, four times faster than the general population. All minority groups grew in the double-digits, while
             2007        2008        2009
                                                 White Non-Hispanics grew just 1 percent between 2000 and 2010. Figure 2
                                                  2010       2011
Region 1            64          16          12           5          3


                                                                                                                                    In fact, nearly three in four (72 percent
                                                                                                                                    of) new residents added since the last
                                                                                                                                    census were either Hispanic or Asian.
                                                                                                                                    The Hispanic population accounted for
                                                                                                                                    more than half of the nation’s growth
                                                                                         16% Hispanic
                                                                                                                                    (56 percent) between 2000 and 2010,
                                                                                                                                    while Asians drove 16 percent of that
                                                                                                                                    growth. White Non-Hispanics
                                                                                                                                    comprised only 8 percent of new
                                                                                              12% African                           residents. Figure 3
                                                                                              American

                                                                                                                                    Immigration is driving
                                                                                                                                    U.S. growth
                                                                                           5% Asian
                                                                                                                                    The biggest single factor in popula-
                                                                                     3% All Others                                  tion growth is immigration from
     64% White                                                                                                                      Latin America and Asia. Immigrants
                                                                                                                         FIGURE 1




     Non-Hispanic
                                                                                   2010 U.S. Population                             and their children make up the vast
                                                                                                                                    majority of Asians and Hispanics in
                                                                                   Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010
                                                                                                                                    the U.S. today. In 2009, almost two-
                                                                                                                                    thirds (63 percent) of all Asians living
     2 ~ Global Perspectives August 2011
50%                                                               Growth Rates




                                                                                                                                                                                FIGURE 2
                                                                                                                                 Population Changes
in the U.S. were foreign-born, as were 40                      40%                                                               from 2000-2010
percent of Hispanics. Immigration’s impact
is even more dramatic when looking at                          30%
these groups by generation. Over nine in
ten (93 percent of) Asians and two-thirds
(67 percent) of Hispanics in the U.S. are                      20%
first- (foreign-born) or second-generation
residents. Figure 4
                                                               10%

Overall, about 27 percent of immigrants in
the U.S. arrived in or after 2000.                             0%
                                                                            Asian                  Hispanic                     African        All Others        White
Minorities and age                                                                                                             American                       Non-Hispanic

The most striking demographic difference                     Source: Annual Social and Economic (ASEC) Supplement to the
between the minority and majority                            Current Population Survey (CPS), 2010

population is age. Median age for Hispanics
is currently 27.3 years; for Asians, 34 years;
but for White Non-Hispanics, 41.2 years.                             New Residents
                                                 FIGURE 3




                                                                                            2007        2008        2009        2010
                                                                                 Region 1          56          16          8           20


                                                                     Since 2000 = 27.3 million                                               16% Asian
Minority groups tend to be a larger part                             Source: U.S. Census, 2010
of up-and-coming generations. Over 40                                                                                                                          8% White
percent of Generation Xers and Millennials                                                                                                                     Non-Hispanic
(currently ages 25–44 and 5–24,
respectively) are minority. Baby Boomers
(age 45–64) are 73 percent White
Non-Hispanic. Asians and Hispanics                                                                                                                                     20%
comprise the majority of minorities in all                           56% Hispanic                                                                                      All Others
age sets. If you assume that most of the
people buying homes in the next two
decades are now under the age of 44,
then more than one in four will be
Hispanic or Asian.

The rural landscape
Rural counties and states are hotbeds of                                      Asian                                        Hispanic                White Non-Hispanic
minority and immigrant growth. Minority
                                                             100%
populations grew by double-digit rates in
all but three states. In a change from the
last century, the growth rate was often                       75%
highest in rural states. (See map on page 5)

Before 2000, most immigrants were                            50%
drawn to existing communities in six large
gateway states: California, New York,
Texas, Florida, New Jersey and Illinois.                      25%
As of 2009, about half of all immigrants
lived in non-gateway states. Between
2000 and 2010, the foreign-born popula-                       0%
tion increased by more than 50 percent
                                                  FIGURE 4




in nine states, including South Carolina,
Kentucky, Montana, North Carolina and                                 Ethnic Population Breakdowns by Generation
Wisconsin.                                                                     Third+ Generation                     Second-Generation              First-Generation

                                                                      Source: Annual Social and Economic (ASEC) Supplement to the
                                                                      Current Population Survey (CPS), 2010
(continued on page 4)
                                                                                                                                            Global Perspectives August 2011 ~ 3
4U.S. DEMOGRAPHIC SHIFTS
(continued from page 3)

The Changing Face of America
For an example of the boom in rural
Hispanic and Asian populations, consider
new census data for the town of Sun Prairie,
Wisconsin. Since 2000, the number of
Asians has grown by 307 percent and
Hispanics by 136 percent. To look up your
area, go to factfinder2.census.gov and
click “View 2010 Census tables.” Next,
select Table GCT-PL1, titled “Race and
Hispanic or Latino: 2010 - State—Place”
and enter your state.

Since the 2000 Census, the Hispanic
population more than doubled its size in
one in four U.S. counties. About one in ten
counties are now “majority-minority,” that
is, minorities compose 50 percent or more
of the total population. Among states,                                    Percentage Change in Minority Population




                                                                                                                                                    FIGURE 5
Texas, Hawaii, New Mexico and California
have a “majority-minority” population, as
                                                                          by County: 2000-2010
does the District of Columbia.                                            Counties with a minority population of at least 1,000
                                                                          Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Household characteristics
More Asian and Hispanic households are
married and larger in size than White                       Household characteristics of three ethnic groups
Non-Hispanic households. These numbers
                                               FIGURE 6




reflect not only more children in                                                                                                     White
Hispanic households, but also more                            Characteristic                           Asian         Hispanic
                                                                                                                                   Non-Hispanic
multi-generational families in Hispanic and
Asian groups. Figure 6                                        Family household                         76%              78%                65%
                                                              Nonfamily household                      24%              22%                35%
Looking forward
                                                              Average family size                      3.39             3.93               2.97
Projections based upon 2010 data have not
yet been released, but the Census Bureau                      Families w/ 5+ children                  19%              29%                11.5%
recently published population estimates by                    Median income (2009)                $69,500             $40,000             $55,000
race, using interim surveys and lower-than-                   Owner occupied dwelling                  60%              48%                74%
current immigration rates. Findings include:
                                                              Rented dwelling                          40%              52%                26%
   • By 2030, the U.S. population is
                                                            Sources: Pew Hispanic Center, 2009 American Community Survey, Annual Social
     expected to be 366 million, up 18.8                    and Economic (ASEC) Supplement to the Current Population Survey (CPS), 2010
     percent overall.

   • Asians and Hispanics will have
     grown by more than 50 percent and                    3 Key Takeaways for Global Agents


                                               Z
     will account for over 28 percent of
     the population.                                                       1. Most of the population growth in the U.S. since
                                                                              2000 has been in the Hispanic and Asian segments.
   • White Non-Hispanics are expected
     to shrink to about 56 percent of U.S.                                 2. A strong influx of young immigrants has been the
     residents by 2030.
                                                                              driver of growth in these groups.
   • By 2050, the United States is                                         3. Among the next generation of home buyers (those
     predicted to be a “majority-
                                                                              now under age 44), about one in four will be Asian
     minority” nation. GP
                                                                              or Hispanic.
4 ~ Global Perspectives August 2011
THE NEXT WAVE OF BUYERS
        prepare now to meet the needs of multicultural clients
      Multicultural buyers have been important to the health of today’s housing market. Over the next decade, as more Baby
      Boomers put their homes on the market, and population shifts continue across the U.S., the role of multicultural buyers will
      become even more significant. Hispanics and Asians comprise the largest segments of tomorrow’s buyers. Are you ready to
      sell to them now and grow your business with them in the future?

      Most Baby Boomers are White Non-Hispanic and African American. However, a sea change is coming in the next two
      generations. Since the 1990s, the United States has experienced the largest wave of immigration in its history. Today, Asians
      and Hispanics make up about one in four Generation Xers (born 1966 to 1985) and Millennials (born 1986 to 2005). And by
      2050, over one in three U.S. residents is projected to be Hispanic or Asian.


The face of tomorrow’s home buyers                                         First- and second-generation Hispanics and Asians may not
In 2007, minorities and immigrants made up 35 percent and 19               have a credit history they can provide to the lender. Because
percent, respectively, of the first-time buyer market. Factors             of this bias against borrowing, your buyers may have had little
indicate they will be very important to tomorrow’s housing market:         experience dealing with financial institutions—and possess no
                                                                           credit cards.
    Multicultural buyers will continue to seek buying
    opportunities in today’s soft market. “Though most potential           Funds for down payments, or even mortgage payments, may
    first-time buyers are on the fence about buying a home,                come from the buyers’ extended family, and even from abroad.
    multicultural buyers, on average, are less so,” says Oscar             Gonzales notes that sometimes the people making the down
    Gonzales, principal of the Gonzales Group, a firm that provides        payment are the buyers’ extended family.
    analysis of demographic and economic trends for the real
    estate industry.                                                       Major lenders may turn away your immigrant buyers. “Your
                                                                           clients may meet all the financial criteria and have an ample
    Households headed by children of immigrants aged 25-64                 down payment, but be turned away by major lenders simply
    typically have higher incomes than any other native- or                because they don’t have a credit history,” says Gonzales.
    foreign-born household segments in that age group, states
    the Joint Center for Household Studies at Harvard University’s     Breaking barriers
    Kennedy Center. Today and over the next fifty years, these         The agent’s role in clearing these obstacles is to be both an
    will be second-generation Hispanics and Asians.                    educator and a trusted advisor.

    The buying power of Hispanics and Asians is expected to grow           Start with Real Estate 101. If your clients have no experience
    faster than the rest of the population, in the near term. Buying       purchasing real estate in the U.S., walk them through the
    power, defined as total post-tax income, for Hispanics and             entire process. Discuss your role and duties to them as their
    Asians more than doubled the growth rate for the total U.S.            representative in the buying process.
    population between 1990 and 2009, according to the Selig
    Center for Economic Growth at the University of Georgia.               Explain that most U.S. home buyers take out mortgages. Help
                                                                           your clients understand how mortgages work, and discuss the
Financing hurdles                                                          process of obtaining one. Ask them about the source of their
As predominantly first- and second-generation residents, Asians            down payment funds, and explain the documentation they’ll
and Hispanics are often closer to their country of origin’s cultural       need if the money has come from overseas. Also discuss the
roots than are most Americans. Cultural attitudes toward                   impact of credit history on borrowing rates.
borrowing and a lack of experience with financial institutions
have created the biggest barrier to buying a home—knowing how              Go the extra mile to find a lender that will work with them.
to navigate the mortgage process. In serving these markets, you            Regional and community banks as well as credit unions are
should know:                                                               more likely to be open to the needs of borrowers who don’t fit
                                                                           the traditional requirements. Establish a network of contacts
    Debt is seen as shameful in many Latin American and Asian              with lending officers at small financial institutions and educate
    countries. Often these sentiments are carried to the United            them on the value of having multicultural borrowers.
    States. Foreign-born buyers may be very wary of taking on                                                             (continued on page 6)
    a mortgage.                                                                                         Global Perspectives August 2011 ~ 5
4U.S. DEMOGRAPHIC SHIFTS

                                      (continued from page 5)


                                      THE NEXT WAVE OF BUYERS
                                      Language and cultural styles
                                      While hiring multi-lingual agents or assistants is ideal, language should not be a barrier to
                                      dealings with most Asian and Hispanic clients. “For the most part, multicultural buyers’
                                      command of the English language is generally strong,” points out Gonzales. Don’t assume



                            @
                                      that documents have to be translated into your clients’ native tongue. Focus instead on
Interesting                           explaining the meaning and intent of the documents.
facts about
Asian                                 Working with multicultural clients will require a sensitivity to non-Western styles of
                                      communication including gestures, body language, personal space boundaries, and
U.S. residents                        observance of social hierarchy. Anthropologist Edwin Hall’s concept of high and low
                                      context cultures offers a useful framework for understanding differences in cross-cultural
•   52.6 percent over the age of 25   communication.
    had Bachelor’s degrees in 2008.
                                          Low context societies communicate informally, are loose in how business contacts are
• Their median home value in 2007         addressed, and rely heavily on written contracts to legitimize business agreements.
  was $399,000, double the
  national average.                       High context societies have a heightened degree of formality in business practices,
                                          hierarchical social relationships, and require extra communication time to establish
• Their buying power in the               trust between parties doing business.
  U.S. economy is expected to rise
  36.9 percent from 2009 to 2014.     The U.S. is a low context culture. Most countries in Asia and Central and South America
                                      are high context cultures. Being sensitive to contextual differences may be critical to
                                      gaining the trust of your multicultural clients.

                                      Including the entire (extended) family


                            @
                                      Asian and Hispanics tend to be closer to their cultural roots, and because of that, the
Interesting                           extended family is more important to them than in many other segments of American
facts about                           society. “Two of the biggest mistakes you can make are ignoring children and elders who
Hispanic                              accompany a couple buying a house,” says Gonzales. “You must understand that everyone
                                      in the family is a customer and has a say in the decision.” What should a real estate
U.S. residents                        agent do?

• Their median home value in 2007         Acknowledge all young family members and be friendly to them. Introduce yourself
  was $215,500, compared to               and ask their names. Answer their questions and listen to their comments. Ignoring or
  $192,800 for Non-Hispanics.             being unfriendly to a multicultural buyer’s child may dissolve their trust in you.

• Their buying power in the U.S.          Show deference and attention to elders. Introduce yourself to all older members of the
  economy is expected to increase         family and listen carefully to what they have to say. Answer any questions they have,
  36 percent from 2009 to 2014,           and address all of their concerns. In Hispanic and Asian families, elders are often key
  compared to 20.9 percent for            decision makers not only because they are deemed wise, but because they may be
  White Non-Hispanics.                    making a substantial financial contribution to the purchase. They may also plan on
                                          living with the family.

                                      Technology considerations
                                      Many Non-Western immigrants are more tech-savvy than Americans, especially younger
                                      generations. Agents should be ready to accommodate any client’s communication
                                      preferences.

                                          Learn to text. Several Asian countries have had high-speed Internet access for the
                                          last decade, and their nationals have all but given up landlines. Mexican taxi drivers
                                          adopted texting years ahead of their American counterparts. Given that many young
                                          immigrants, like many young Americans, have used wireless technology for most of
                                          their lives, it makes sense that text is now their preferred mode of communication.
6 ~ Global Perspectives August 2011
Your website should include elements that address multicul-                Asians and Hispanics may want homes to accommodate
    tural buyers’ community interests. These interests can trump               multiple generations, with contained living quarters for
    the actual curb appeal of their future home. Many brokerages               grandparents or in-laws. “Hispanic extended families often
    focus on listings, contact information and credentials.                    look for homes with a casita, an additional small home on
    Since young multicultural customers may get their first                    the property, for grandparents,” points out Gonzales.
    impression of you from your Web page, keep their interests                 “Multigenerational families may also be interested in
    in mind. Include photos of the multicultural aspects of your               homes with two master suites.”
    market as well as information on schools and cultural
    organizations, while remaining inclusive of potential home         Oscar Gonzales says the housing crash has motivated builders
    buyers of all ethnic backgrounds.1                                 to take positive steps towards meeting these unique needs.
                                                                       “Developments like Telfair, Cinco Rancho and Sienna Plantations -
Unique housing preferences                                             Paradigm Cove in the Houston area are designed to appeal to Asian
While agents should not assume that buyers of a particular             and Hispanic buyers,” he says. “Builders are reaching out to ethnic
cultural heritage automatically prefer certain types of housing,       communities.” Looking for new construction like this in your area
it’s helpful to be aware that Asian and Hispanic buyers may have       will help you provide additional attractive options for multicultural
different housing needs. Religious, spiritual and multigenerational    clients, assuming they ask for them.
family concerns can influence their preferences.
                                                                       Asian and Hispanic buyers have helped keep the market afloat
    Buyers from East Asian cultures sometimes use feng shui            during the present housing crisis. Preparing now to meet their
    or vastu shastra in selecting homes and neighborhoods.             future needs simply makes good business sense for any agent
    Feng shui suggests directional orientations, large open front      who wants to grow their real estate practice over the long term. GP
    yards, not being on a cul-de-sac, and that a house have a
    good history (no divorce or foreclosure). Vastu shastra, the
    Sanskrit term for science of structure, guides site selection
    and structural characteristics of the house to attract positive    1
                                                                           Always recall that Fair Housing laws dictate that agents cannot target or
    forces of the universe while minimizing negative ones.                 exclude specific protected groups in their marketing efforts.




       Foreign Home Ownership in U.S. Up Sharply
                            According to NAR’s latest annual report on international home buying activity, the U.S. remains a top
                            destination for foreign buyers. International purchases surged by $16 billion this year, one of the highest
                            increases in recent years.

                            According to the survey, total residential international sales in the U.S. (for the year ending March 2011)
                            equaled $82 billion, up from $66 billion in 2010. Total international sales were split evenly between
                            non-resident foreigners and recent immigrants, while combined total domestic and international
                            existing-home sales in the U.S. were $1.07 trillion.



               Other notable findings:
               • Immigrant buyers (those in the U.S. less than 2 years or          • Buyers from 70 countries purchased in the U.S.
                 with visas) now account for half of U.S. foreign buyers,          • Top 10 countries (in order): Canada, China, Mexico,
                 or $41 billion (this group grew by $16 billion)                     U.K., India, Argentina/Brazil, France, Germany, Japan
               • 28 percent of REALTORS® had international clients                   and Russia
               • 8 percent stated that international clients accounted             • Noted reasons for investment include: secure
                 for 50 percent or more of their business                            investment, rental and long-term appreciation,
               • High visibility and a wide network of contacts are                  purchase residence for college students, foreign
                 important tools for getting international buyers                    executives temporarily working in U.S. GP
                 (53 percent of clients were referred by friends, previous
                                                                                          You can download the complete 2011 Profile
                 clients and international referrals)
                                                                                             of International Home Buying Activity at
               • Chinese buyers overtook Mexico and U.K. as the                           realtor.org/research/research/reportsintl.
                 second largest buyer group (after Canada)


                                                                                                                Global Perspectives August 2011 ~ 7
5
                  Reasons to be in Anaheim, CA
                  Have you made plans to attend the 2011 REALTORS® Conference & Expo in Anaheim, California,
                  in November? It’s your chance to meet with 18,000 REALTORS® and real estate professionals from
                  80 countries — all under one roof. Here are 5 additional reasons to attend:


                                     1   Realtor.com is going global – Realtor.com/global will launch, providing greater global
                                         exposure for members’ listings. Enhanced features include: translations of U.S. listings to
                                         multiple languages, inclusion of international listings, and area and currency conversions.

                                     2 Global Day – A full day of sessions specifically for those practicing global business. For our
                                         international audience, sessions will be translated into French, Portuguese, and Spanish.

                                     3 Expo – Stop by the International & Second-Home Pavilion to visit our international
                                         partners. We’ll also feature networking hours by country (as in the past). Each partner
                                         country will have a table and time slot to facilitate networking exchange.

                                     4 International Night Out - Experience the glitz and glamour of Hollywood as you walk the
                                         red carpet with colleagues from around the world. This is the international community’s
                                         night to shine — we’ll honor some of our special guests during the Global Awards
                                         Ceremony, followed by dinner and dancing to live music.
November 11-14 5 CIPS Breakfast – This is NAR Global’s chance to honor you! Celebrate with fellow CIPS
                                         designees at this breakfast event and welcome the newest class of designees.



            visit realtor.org/conference for more information
                                                                                      800.874.6500 • www.REALTOR.org
                                                                                      430 North Michigan Avenue • Chicago, IL 60611-4087

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Global Perspectives August 2011

  • 1. August 2011 to local, international & lifestyle real estate 4U.S. DEMOGRAPHIC SHIFTS The New American Melting Pot Over the past several months, a mountain of data from the latest U.S. Census has been gradually released to the public. While many news headlines about the 2010 Census have focused on population shifts and political implications—debates over where to redraw lines for voting districts—the message to real estate agents is loud and clear: the face of America is changing. Any business that wants to position itself for long-term growth needs to sit up and take note. Tomorrow’s home buyers will not resemble today’s. Increasingly, the U.S. is becoming a multicultural nation, with recent waves of immigration playing a major role in reshaping communities. In light of these developments, past assumptions regarding the origins of your business and how to best serve future home buyers and sellers need to be reevaluated. This issue of Global Perspectives helps global agents embark on that path by providing a detailed snapshot of the latest Census data, including key facts about changing demographics and implications to real estate professionals. Two groups in particular—Hispanics and Asians—will play a growing role in the future U.S. housing market. Inside, you’ll also find fresh insights on understanding these groups’ cultural perspectives and advice on how to best serve them. GP
  • 2. 4U.S. DEMOGRAPHIC SHIFTS The Changing Face of America Anyone over the age of 30 has probably noticed that television shows, advertising, and even customers at grocery stores look different than they did a decade ago. The early findings of the 2010 U.S. Census tell us why. The population has changed dramatically since 2000. The American melting pot has become more diverse than ever before, largely due to immigration from Latin America and Asia. What does this mean to real estate agents? If you are planning to stay in this business for another ten years or more, you should prepare now to serve a multicultural base of clients, no matter where you reside in the U.S. The big picture The 2010 U.S. Census found that 308.7 million people reside in the United States, an increase of 27.3 million, or 9.7 percent, over the count in 2000. Topline findings include: • The population has gotten older. The segment of people age 55 through 65 grew by 50 percent. The median age is now 37.2, up from 35.3 ten years ago. • Among those who own homes, average household size is 2.65 people. • Average family size is 3.14 people. • Owner-occupied homes make up 65 percent of occupied housing; 35 percent are rented. The real news is that the ethnic population is growing rapidly, and data for minority groups looks different from the population as a whole. Minorities grew to be 36 percent of the U.S. population in 2010, up from 31 percent 10 years earlier. The largest minority groups were Hispanics (16 percent), African Americans (12 percent) and Asians (5 percent). White Non-Hispanics were less than two-thirds of the population. Figure 1 Asian and Hispanic growth skyrockets As the fastest growing ethnic groups in the U.S., Asian and Hispanic populations each increased 43 percent since the last census, four times faster than the general population. All minority groups grew in the double-digits, while 2007 2008 2009 White Non-Hispanics grew just 1 percent between 2000 and 2010. Figure 2 2010 2011 Region 1 64 16 12 5 3 In fact, nearly three in four (72 percent of) new residents added since the last census were either Hispanic or Asian. The Hispanic population accounted for more than half of the nation’s growth 16% Hispanic (56 percent) between 2000 and 2010, while Asians drove 16 percent of that growth. White Non-Hispanics comprised only 8 percent of new 12% African residents. Figure 3 American Immigration is driving U.S. growth 5% Asian The biggest single factor in popula- 3% All Others tion growth is immigration from 64% White Latin America and Asia. Immigrants FIGURE 1 Non-Hispanic 2010 U.S. Population and their children make up the vast majority of Asians and Hispanics in Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 the U.S. today. In 2009, almost two- thirds (63 percent) of all Asians living 2 ~ Global Perspectives August 2011
  • 3. 50% Growth Rates FIGURE 2 Population Changes in the U.S. were foreign-born, as were 40 40% from 2000-2010 percent of Hispanics. Immigration’s impact is even more dramatic when looking at 30% these groups by generation. Over nine in ten (93 percent of) Asians and two-thirds (67 percent) of Hispanics in the U.S. are 20% first- (foreign-born) or second-generation residents. Figure 4 10% Overall, about 27 percent of immigrants in the U.S. arrived in or after 2000. 0% Asian Hispanic African All Others White Minorities and age American Non-Hispanic The most striking demographic difference Source: Annual Social and Economic (ASEC) Supplement to the between the minority and majority Current Population Survey (CPS), 2010 population is age. Median age for Hispanics is currently 27.3 years; for Asians, 34 years; but for White Non-Hispanics, 41.2 years. New Residents FIGURE 3 2007 2008 2009 2010 Region 1 56 16 8 20 Since 2000 = 27.3 million 16% Asian Minority groups tend to be a larger part Source: U.S. Census, 2010 of up-and-coming generations. Over 40 8% White percent of Generation Xers and Millennials Non-Hispanic (currently ages 25–44 and 5–24, respectively) are minority. Baby Boomers (age 45–64) are 73 percent White Non-Hispanic. Asians and Hispanics 20% comprise the majority of minorities in all 56% Hispanic All Others age sets. If you assume that most of the people buying homes in the next two decades are now under the age of 44, then more than one in four will be Hispanic or Asian. The rural landscape Rural counties and states are hotbeds of Asian Hispanic White Non-Hispanic minority and immigrant growth. Minority 100% populations grew by double-digit rates in all but three states. In a change from the last century, the growth rate was often 75% highest in rural states. (See map on page 5) Before 2000, most immigrants were 50% drawn to existing communities in six large gateway states: California, New York, Texas, Florida, New Jersey and Illinois. 25% As of 2009, about half of all immigrants lived in non-gateway states. Between 2000 and 2010, the foreign-born popula- 0% tion increased by more than 50 percent FIGURE 4 in nine states, including South Carolina, Kentucky, Montana, North Carolina and Ethnic Population Breakdowns by Generation Wisconsin. Third+ Generation Second-Generation First-Generation Source: Annual Social and Economic (ASEC) Supplement to the Current Population Survey (CPS), 2010 (continued on page 4) Global Perspectives August 2011 ~ 3
  • 4. 4U.S. DEMOGRAPHIC SHIFTS (continued from page 3) The Changing Face of America For an example of the boom in rural Hispanic and Asian populations, consider new census data for the town of Sun Prairie, Wisconsin. Since 2000, the number of Asians has grown by 307 percent and Hispanics by 136 percent. To look up your area, go to factfinder2.census.gov and click “View 2010 Census tables.” Next, select Table GCT-PL1, titled “Race and Hispanic or Latino: 2010 - State—Place” and enter your state. Since the 2000 Census, the Hispanic population more than doubled its size in one in four U.S. counties. About one in ten counties are now “majority-minority,” that is, minorities compose 50 percent or more of the total population. Among states, Percentage Change in Minority Population FIGURE 5 Texas, Hawaii, New Mexico and California have a “majority-minority” population, as by County: 2000-2010 does the District of Columbia. Counties with a minority population of at least 1,000 Source: U.S. Census Bureau Household characteristics More Asian and Hispanic households are married and larger in size than White Household characteristics of three ethnic groups Non-Hispanic households. These numbers FIGURE 6 reflect not only more children in White Hispanic households, but also more Characteristic Asian Hispanic Non-Hispanic multi-generational families in Hispanic and Asian groups. Figure 6 Family household 76% 78% 65% Nonfamily household 24% 22% 35% Looking forward Average family size 3.39 3.93 2.97 Projections based upon 2010 data have not yet been released, but the Census Bureau Families w/ 5+ children 19% 29% 11.5% recently published population estimates by Median income (2009) $69,500 $40,000 $55,000 race, using interim surveys and lower-than- Owner occupied dwelling 60% 48% 74% current immigration rates. Findings include: Rented dwelling 40% 52% 26% • By 2030, the U.S. population is Sources: Pew Hispanic Center, 2009 American Community Survey, Annual Social expected to be 366 million, up 18.8 and Economic (ASEC) Supplement to the Current Population Survey (CPS), 2010 percent overall. • Asians and Hispanics will have grown by more than 50 percent and 3 Key Takeaways for Global Agents Z will account for over 28 percent of the population. 1. Most of the population growth in the U.S. since 2000 has been in the Hispanic and Asian segments. • White Non-Hispanics are expected to shrink to about 56 percent of U.S. 2. A strong influx of young immigrants has been the residents by 2030. driver of growth in these groups. • By 2050, the United States is 3. Among the next generation of home buyers (those predicted to be a “majority- now under age 44), about one in four will be Asian minority” nation. GP or Hispanic. 4 ~ Global Perspectives August 2011
  • 5. THE NEXT WAVE OF BUYERS prepare now to meet the needs of multicultural clients Multicultural buyers have been important to the health of today’s housing market. Over the next decade, as more Baby Boomers put their homes on the market, and population shifts continue across the U.S., the role of multicultural buyers will become even more significant. Hispanics and Asians comprise the largest segments of tomorrow’s buyers. Are you ready to sell to them now and grow your business with them in the future? Most Baby Boomers are White Non-Hispanic and African American. However, a sea change is coming in the next two generations. Since the 1990s, the United States has experienced the largest wave of immigration in its history. Today, Asians and Hispanics make up about one in four Generation Xers (born 1966 to 1985) and Millennials (born 1986 to 2005). And by 2050, over one in three U.S. residents is projected to be Hispanic or Asian. The face of tomorrow’s home buyers First- and second-generation Hispanics and Asians may not In 2007, minorities and immigrants made up 35 percent and 19 have a credit history they can provide to the lender. Because percent, respectively, of the first-time buyer market. Factors of this bias against borrowing, your buyers may have had little indicate they will be very important to tomorrow’s housing market: experience dealing with financial institutions—and possess no credit cards. Multicultural buyers will continue to seek buying opportunities in today’s soft market. “Though most potential Funds for down payments, or even mortgage payments, may first-time buyers are on the fence about buying a home, come from the buyers’ extended family, and even from abroad. multicultural buyers, on average, are less so,” says Oscar Gonzales notes that sometimes the people making the down Gonzales, principal of the Gonzales Group, a firm that provides payment are the buyers’ extended family. analysis of demographic and economic trends for the real estate industry. Major lenders may turn away your immigrant buyers. “Your clients may meet all the financial criteria and have an ample Households headed by children of immigrants aged 25-64 down payment, but be turned away by major lenders simply typically have higher incomes than any other native- or because they don’t have a credit history,” says Gonzales. foreign-born household segments in that age group, states the Joint Center for Household Studies at Harvard University’s Breaking barriers Kennedy Center. Today and over the next fifty years, these The agent’s role in clearing these obstacles is to be both an will be second-generation Hispanics and Asians. educator and a trusted advisor. The buying power of Hispanics and Asians is expected to grow Start with Real Estate 101. If your clients have no experience faster than the rest of the population, in the near term. Buying purchasing real estate in the U.S., walk them through the power, defined as total post-tax income, for Hispanics and entire process. Discuss your role and duties to them as their Asians more than doubled the growth rate for the total U.S. representative in the buying process. population between 1990 and 2009, according to the Selig Center for Economic Growth at the University of Georgia. Explain that most U.S. home buyers take out mortgages. Help your clients understand how mortgages work, and discuss the Financing hurdles process of obtaining one. Ask them about the source of their As predominantly first- and second-generation residents, Asians down payment funds, and explain the documentation they’ll and Hispanics are often closer to their country of origin’s cultural need if the money has come from overseas. Also discuss the roots than are most Americans. Cultural attitudes toward impact of credit history on borrowing rates. borrowing and a lack of experience with financial institutions have created the biggest barrier to buying a home—knowing how Go the extra mile to find a lender that will work with them. to navigate the mortgage process. In serving these markets, you Regional and community banks as well as credit unions are should know: more likely to be open to the needs of borrowers who don’t fit the traditional requirements. Establish a network of contacts Debt is seen as shameful in many Latin American and Asian with lending officers at small financial institutions and educate countries. Often these sentiments are carried to the United them on the value of having multicultural borrowers. States. Foreign-born buyers may be very wary of taking on (continued on page 6) a mortgage. Global Perspectives August 2011 ~ 5
  • 6. 4U.S. DEMOGRAPHIC SHIFTS (continued from page 5) THE NEXT WAVE OF BUYERS Language and cultural styles While hiring multi-lingual agents or assistants is ideal, language should not be a barrier to dealings with most Asian and Hispanic clients. “For the most part, multicultural buyers’ command of the English language is generally strong,” points out Gonzales. Don’t assume @ that documents have to be translated into your clients’ native tongue. Focus instead on Interesting explaining the meaning and intent of the documents. facts about Asian Working with multicultural clients will require a sensitivity to non-Western styles of communication including gestures, body language, personal space boundaries, and U.S. residents observance of social hierarchy. Anthropologist Edwin Hall’s concept of high and low context cultures offers a useful framework for understanding differences in cross-cultural • 52.6 percent over the age of 25 communication. had Bachelor’s degrees in 2008. Low context societies communicate informally, are loose in how business contacts are • Their median home value in 2007 addressed, and rely heavily on written contracts to legitimize business agreements. was $399,000, double the national average. High context societies have a heightened degree of formality in business practices, hierarchical social relationships, and require extra communication time to establish • Their buying power in the trust between parties doing business. U.S. economy is expected to rise 36.9 percent from 2009 to 2014. The U.S. is a low context culture. Most countries in Asia and Central and South America are high context cultures. Being sensitive to contextual differences may be critical to gaining the trust of your multicultural clients. Including the entire (extended) family @ Asian and Hispanics tend to be closer to their cultural roots, and because of that, the Interesting extended family is more important to them than in many other segments of American facts about society. “Two of the biggest mistakes you can make are ignoring children and elders who Hispanic accompany a couple buying a house,” says Gonzales. “You must understand that everyone in the family is a customer and has a say in the decision.” What should a real estate U.S. residents agent do? • Their median home value in 2007 Acknowledge all young family members and be friendly to them. Introduce yourself was $215,500, compared to and ask their names. Answer their questions and listen to their comments. Ignoring or $192,800 for Non-Hispanics. being unfriendly to a multicultural buyer’s child may dissolve their trust in you. • Their buying power in the U.S. Show deference and attention to elders. Introduce yourself to all older members of the economy is expected to increase family and listen carefully to what they have to say. Answer any questions they have, 36 percent from 2009 to 2014, and address all of their concerns. In Hispanic and Asian families, elders are often key compared to 20.9 percent for decision makers not only because they are deemed wise, but because they may be White Non-Hispanics. making a substantial financial contribution to the purchase. They may also plan on living with the family. Technology considerations Many Non-Western immigrants are more tech-savvy than Americans, especially younger generations. Agents should be ready to accommodate any client’s communication preferences. Learn to text. Several Asian countries have had high-speed Internet access for the last decade, and their nationals have all but given up landlines. Mexican taxi drivers adopted texting years ahead of their American counterparts. Given that many young immigrants, like many young Americans, have used wireless technology for most of their lives, it makes sense that text is now their preferred mode of communication. 6 ~ Global Perspectives August 2011
  • 7. Your website should include elements that address multicul- Asians and Hispanics may want homes to accommodate tural buyers’ community interests. These interests can trump multiple generations, with contained living quarters for the actual curb appeal of their future home. Many brokerages grandparents or in-laws. “Hispanic extended families often focus on listings, contact information and credentials. look for homes with a casita, an additional small home on Since young multicultural customers may get their first the property, for grandparents,” points out Gonzales. impression of you from your Web page, keep their interests “Multigenerational families may also be interested in in mind. Include photos of the multicultural aspects of your homes with two master suites.” market as well as information on schools and cultural organizations, while remaining inclusive of potential home Oscar Gonzales says the housing crash has motivated builders buyers of all ethnic backgrounds.1 to take positive steps towards meeting these unique needs. “Developments like Telfair, Cinco Rancho and Sienna Plantations - Unique housing preferences Paradigm Cove in the Houston area are designed to appeal to Asian While agents should not assume that buyers of a particular and Hispanic buyers,” he says. “Builders are reaching out to ethnic cultural heritage automatically prefer certain types of housing, communities.” Looking for new construction like this in your area it’s helpful to be aware that Asian and Hispanic buyers may have will help you provide additional attractive options for multicultural different housing needs. Religious, spiritual and multigenerational clients, assuming they ask for them. family concerns can influence their preferences. Asian and Hispanic buyers have helped keep the market afloat Buyers from East Asian cultures sometimes use feng shui during the present housing crisis. Preparing now to meet their or vastu shastra in selecting homes and neighborhoods. future needs simply makes good business sense for any agent Feng shui suggests directional orientations, large open front who wants to grow their real estate practice over the long term. GP yards, not being on a cul-de-sac, and that a house have a good history (no divorce or foreclosure). Vastu shastra, the Sanskrit term for science of structure, guides site selection and structural characteristics of the house to attract positive 1 Always recall that Fair Housing laws dictate that agents cannot target or forces of the universe while minimizing negative ones. exclude specific protected groups in their marketing efforts. Foreign Home Ownership in U.S. Up Sharply According to NAR’s latest annual report on international home buying activity, the U.S. remains a top destination for foreign buyers. International purchases surged by $16 billion this year, one of the highest increases in recent years. According to the survey, total residential international sales in the U.S. (for the year ending March 2011) equaled $82 billion, up from $66 billion in 2010. Total international sales were split evenly between non-resident foreigners and recent immigrants, while combined total domestic and international existing-home sales in the U.S. were $1.07 trillion. Other notable findings: • Immigrant buyers (those in the U.S. less than 2 years or • Buyers from 70 countries purchased in the U.S. with visas) now account for half of U.S. foreign buyers, • Top 10 countries (in order): Canada, China, Mexico, or $41 billion (this group grew by $16 billion) U.K., India, Argentina/Brazil, France, Germany, Japan • 28 percent of REALTORS® had international clients and Russia • 8 percent stated that international clients accounted • Noted reasons for investment include: secure for 50 percent or more of their business investment, rental and long-term appreciation, • High visibility and a wide network of contacts are purchase residence for college students, foreign important tools for getting international buyers executives temporarily working in U.S. GP (53 percent of clients were referred by friends, previous You can download the complete 2011 Profile clients and international referrals) of International Home Buying Activity at • Chinese buyers overtook Mexico and U.K. as the realtor.org/research/research/reportsintl. second largest buyer group (after Canada) Global Perspectives August 2011 ~ 7
  • 8. 5 Reasons to be in Anaheim, CA Have you made plans to attend the 2011 REALTORS® Conference & Expo in Anaheim, California, in November? It’s your chance to meet with 18,000 REALTORS® and real estate professionals from 80 countries — all under one roof. Here are 5 additional reasons to attend: 1 Realtor.com is going global – Realtor.com/global will launch, providing greater global exposure for members’ listings. Enhanced features include: translations of U.S. listings to multiple languages, inclusion of international listings, and area and currency conversions. 2 Global Day – A full day of sessions specifically for those practicing global business. For our international audience, sessions will be translated into French, Portuguese, and Spanish. 3 Expo – Stop by the International & Second-Home Pavilion to visit our international partners. We’ll also feature networking hours by country (as in the past). Each partner country will have a table and time slot to facilitate networking exchange. 4 International Night Out - Experience the glitz and glamour of Hollywood as you walk the red carpet with colleagues from around the world. This is the international community’s night to shine — we’ll honor some of our special guests during the Global Awards Ceremony, followed by dinner and dancing to live music. November 11-14 5 CIPS Breakfast – This is NAR Global’s chance to honor you! Celebrate with fellow CIPS designees at this breakfast event and welcome the newest class of designees. visit realtor.org/conference for more information 800.874.6500 • www.REALTOR.org 430 North Michigan Avenue • Chicago, IL 60611-4087